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    <title><![CDATA[Grist Feed: Anthony Watts]]></title>
    <link>http://www.grist.org/</link>
    <description>Articles about Anthony Watts from your friends at Grist </description>
    <language>en-us</language>
    <webMaster>webmaster@grist.org (Grist)</webMaster>
    <pubDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 1:36:58 PDT</pubDate>
    <lastBuildDate>Fri, 27 Nov 2009 1:36:58 PDT</lastBuildDate>
    <copyright>2009, Grist Magazine, Inc. All rights reserved</copyright>
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            <title><![CDATA[Watts provides explaination for trying to censor Sinclair&#8217;s video: he was &#8220;doing him a favor&#8221;]]></title>
            <link>http://www.grist.org/article/watts-provides-explaination-for-trying-to-censor-sinclairs-video-he-was-doi/</link>
            <pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 10:34:15 -0700</pubDate>
            <author>Joseph Romm</author>
            <guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/watts-provides-explaination-for-trying-to-censor-sinclairs-video-he-was-doi/</guid>
            <description><![CDATA[by Joseph Romm <br>Reprinted by permission from Grist. For more environmental news, humor, and inspiration, visit <a href="http://www.grist.org">www.grist.org</a>.<br><br><p>I am filing this under humor, specifically &lsquo;inanity defense'.  The
explanation Anthony Watts has invented for his attempt to yank Peter
Sinclair's video off YouTube is the funniest thing you're ever going to
read - assuming of course you don't read the laughable stuff that
passes for "analysis" on WattsUpWithThat every day [see "<a title="Permanent Link to Diagnosing a victim of anti-science syndrome (ASS)" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/08/02/2009/07/29/2009/01/05/anthony-watts-up-with-that-anti-science-denier-website-weblog-awards/">Diagnosing a victim of anti-science syndrome (ASS)</a>"]. 
ClimateProgress also has an exclusive interview from Sinclair on Watts
and his wildly inappropriate attack on Sinclair's family.</p>
<p>When we last left the former TV meteorologist and top
anti-scientific blogger, his nonexistent knowledge of copyright laws
had failed to stop the world from seeing Sinclair's video (see <a title="Permanent Link to The video that Anthony Watts does not want you to see:  The Climate Denial " rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/08/02/2009/07/29/the-video-that-anthony-watts-does-not-want-you-to-see-the-sinclair-climate-denial-crock-of-the-week/">The video that Anthony Watts does not want you to see:  The Climate Denial "Crock of the Week"</a>). 
Thursday, Watts offered what might be called the "I have no friggin'
clue what I'm talking about but I am the world's biggest hypocrite"
defense for his failed censorship in a post with the unintentionally
accurate headline, "<a title="Read On Climate, Comedy, Copyrights, and Cinematography" rel="bookmark" href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/07/30/on-climate-comedy-copyrights-and-cinematography/">On Climate, Comedy, Copyrights, and Cinematography</a>."</p>
<p>To understand the inanity defense, first take a moment to watch the video Watts is afraid of:</p>
<p>






</p>
<p>Yes, Watts actually claims that Sinclair has committed copyright
infringement because "in the video Mr. Sinclair produced and posted on
YouTube, I noticed that he did in fact use photographs and graphics
from my published book "Is The U.S. Surface Temperature Record
Reliable?"."  If Watts wants to claim authorship of a &lsquo;book' on his
resume that is in fact a 31-page PDF &lsquo;published' by that world-class
publishing house <a href="http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Heartland_Institute">The Heartland Institute</a> (!) and posted for free, well, heck, this is the age of resume padding and vanity presses.</p>
<p>But Watts is going to have a hard time convincing any judge that the
reproduction of a small amount of material from a PDF given away for
free on the Internet hurts the "<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copyright">the potential market for or value of the copyrighted work</a>," one of the four factors considered in lawsuits over the <a title="Fair use" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fair_use">fair use</a> doctrine, "codified by the <a title="United States Copyright Act of 1976" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Copyright_Act_of_1976">Copyright Act of 1976</a> as <a title="Title 17 of the United States Code" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Title_17_of_the_United_States_Code">17 U.S.C.</a> <a title="http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.html" rel="nofollow" href="http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.html">&sect; 107</a>," which "<strong>permits some copying and distribution without permission of the copyright holder or payment to same</strong>." 
Given how little material Sinclair used and the "transformative" nature
of the work - he used it as part of a critical analysis - the whole
notion that there was any copyright infringement here would lead any
court to the simple summary judgment "ROTFLMAO."</p>
<p>Watts would know that if he spent as much time on Wikipedia
researching copyright law as he did investigating Sinclair and his
family.  Since Watts' ignorance of copyright laws rivals his ignorance
of climate science, he actually and seriously and literally posted this
must-read explanation on WattsUpWithThat without a trace of irony:</p>

<p>But since he had used that &copy; symbol, Mr. Sinclair
demonstrated awareness of copyright protections, having availed himself
of them, e.g., <a href="http://www.care2.com/ecards/bio/1023" target="_blank">here</a>, right below his own artwork.</p>
<p>With knowledge of this and ad hominem attacks made on me personally, I reasonably presumed his copyright violation on my part was likely intentional. I also figured <strong>that this might be a teachable moment, as I was still thinking this is a kid just out of college </strong>since there seems to be no business website for Greenman studio in operation yet, it is still "under construction".</p>
<p><a href="http://www.greenmanstudio.com/" target="_blank">http://www.greenmanstudio.com/</a></p>
<p><strong>And, I mused, by bringing the copyright issue to his attention, I'd probably be doing him a favor, since I surmised he'd be at risk for using the film clips. </strong>I
figured anybody working a business out of a house without an operating
web page probably can't afford licensing fees. No deep pockets there. I
certainly have no personal beef with Mr. Sinclair, it is just the
copyright issue.</p>
<p><strong>But my copyright had been ignored, </strong>with evidence
that Mr. Sinclair as a publisher himself using the &copy; symbol understands
copyrights, and WB's copyright also looked like it also had been
ignored. And well, lets face it, <strong>he got the facts wrong about
the project and never contacted or interviewed me to get any facts from
my side (more on that later). So it could hardly be defined as
"journalism" and the protections that such enterprise affords for "fair
use"</strong>. <strong>So I filled out the form for copyright issues on YouTube, and pressed enter.</strong></p>

<p>"I throw myself on the mercy of the court.  I'm inane, I tell you. 
Pathologically, clinically, inane.  I've been diagnosed by dozens of
experts and they all come to the same conclusion:  You must find me not
guilty of attempted censorship by reason of inanity."  [Note:  Any resemblance between that quote and the writing of any person living or dead is purely coincidental.]</p>
<p>Yes, a man who knows less about copyright laws than your average
sidewalk vendor of fake Rolexes thinks he can teach Sinclair about
copyright law.  Apparently, in Watts' view of the law, if you don't
contact or interview the copyright holder - and if you get the facts
wrong from the perspective of the copyright holder - the "fair use"
doctine is null and void.</p>
<p>Seriously.  And people actually go to WattsUpWithThat for any reason other than laughs???</p>
<p>Memo to Watts:  The fair use doctrine extends well beyond
"journalism."  And while I know this is going to come to a shock as
someone as scrupulously wrong as you, but journalists sometimes get
their facts wrong, they sometimes don't contact or interview subjects,
and they are still afforded fair use protection.</p>
<p>Here is Peter Sinclair's reponse to Watts in an email interview with CP:</p>

<p><strong>I set out in the video quite deliberately to
puncture Mr. Watt's  pomposity and sense of self importance, hoping,
frankly, that I might  get a rise out of him. His reaction pretty much
confirmed that my psychological profiling was  dead on.</strong></p>

<p>Readers have sent myriad examples of Watts' hypocrisy when it comes
to copyright laws and standard journalistic practice.  Two seem worth
mentioning.</p>
<p><a title="twit3.gif" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/08/02/wp-content/uploads/2008/07/twit3.gif"></a>First, Watts has repeatedly reprinted and defended <a href="http://climateprogress.org/2008/07/24/how-to-diss-a-peer-real-climate-scientists-take-on-tvmob/">TVMOB</a> (aka <a href="http://climateprogress.org/2008/07/20/irony-gate-viscount-monckton-a-british-peer-says-his-paper-was-peer-reviewed-by-a-scientist-how-droll/">The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley</a> - a famous anti-scientific denier who is most certainly not depicted in
the figure on the right).  Yet TVMOB is guilty of the most extreme
copyright infringement - posting an unpublished article without
permission of the author (see <a href="http://rabett.blogspot.com/2008/07/biter-bit-arthur-smith-has-had-quite.html">Rabett Run</a>).</p>
<p>Second, WattsUpWithThat reposted part of a Chicago Tribune article here - see <a title="Read Pachauri: " rel="bookmark" href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2008/08/03/pachauri-skeptics-are-flat-earthers/">Pachauri: "Skeptics are flat earthers."</a> Notice that the title of the Tribune piece is "<a href="http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/opinion/chi-poi-pachauri_thinkaug03,0,6989806.story" target="_blank">Blunt answers about risks of global warming</a>" by Michael Hawthorne.  But <strong>apparently
Watts thinks it is totally fine to take a copyrighted story and repost
it with a completely different headline, "PERSON OF INTEREST RAJENDRA
PACHAURI" - a fake headline that he ascribes directly to the original
author!</strong></p>
<p>This is standard operating procedure for Watts, who has no regard
whatsoever for the integrity of the written or spoken word.  Consider
that Pachauri did NOT say what Watts claims he said in the headline, as
the excerpted interview shows:</p>

<p>Q: What do you think about the small but vocal group of doubters still out there</p>
<p>Pachauri:  There is, even today, a Flat Earth Society that
meets every year to say the Earth is flat. The science about climate
change is very clear. There really is no room for doubt at this point.</p>

<p>Does Watts believe it is legitimate to ascribe a direct quote to somebody that they never said?</p>
<p><strong>Watts is the last person in the blogosphere who should be
offering anybody a "teachable moment" on copyright laws.  The teachable
moment is for you, Anthony.</strong></p>
<p>Finally, in the department of "making things up egregiously and inappropriately," let's go back to Watts' inanity defense:</p>

<p>He [Sinclair] is not a college student, though <strong>he has a son who is of college age</strong>,
a nice Ron Paul supporter, I am told from someone who has met him. His
rather conservative son, contrasts the rather left-wing eco-activist ad hominem and rhetorically unrestrained father (see here). It is almost humorous greeting card-worthy, this role reversal.</p>

<p><strong>So now Watts has stooped to investigating the children of people he has disputes with?</strong> Scary stuff.  And not just investigating them but publishing untrue
hearsay attacks on them.  Sure, relatives who are public figures and who are in at least a somewhat related field can be fair game (see "<a title="Permanent Link to Like father, like son:  Roger Pielke Sr. also doesn't understand the science of global warming - or just chooses to willfully misrepresent it." rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/08/02/2009/07/02/like-father-like-son-roger-pielke-sr-also-doesnt-understand-the-science-of-global-warming-or-just-chooses-to-willfully-misrepresents-it/">Like
father, like son: Roger Pielke Sr. also doesn't understand the science
of global warming - or just chooses to willfully misrepresent it</a>").  But what does Sinclair's son have to do with anything Sinclair has done?</p>
<p>While trying to protect as much as possible the privacy of
Sinclair's son, after a back-and-forth with his father, here is what
Sinclair says about his son:</p>

<p>He's an Obama-voting organic farmer who has worked on mucking out Katrina-blasted towns.</p>
<p>He and I are are both deeply "conservative" in the sense that we
both feel since there's only one planet, maybe we should err on the
side of caution in caring for it.</p>
<p>So much for Watt's skill as a detective.</p>

<p>Perhaps in addition to brushing up on copyright laws, Watts should
study the libel laws or at least the minimal standards of blogging
etiquette.</p>
<p>In any case, I think Watts can safely count on a winning verdict
with his inanity defense - as long as he gets a jury of his peers or,
rather <a title="Permanent Link to Irony-gate:  Viscount Monckton, a British peer, says his paper was peer-reviewed by a scientist." rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/08/02/2008/07/20/irony-gate-viscount-monckton-a-british-peer-says-his-paper-was-peer-reviewed-by-a-scientist-how-droll/">British peers</a>.</p>
<p>UPDATE:  Watts is still whining today in the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/08/01/publicly-available-data-being-purged-at-uks-hadley-climate-center/">first sentence of a new post</a> that Sinclair "infringed on my copyright."  Waaaah!</p></br></br></a></br>    <p><strong>Related Links:</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/climate-denial-crock-of-the-weekthe-big-mist-take/">Climate Denial Crock of the Week: The big mist take</a></p>




<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/2009-polar-melt-season-the-stats-are-in/">2009 polar melt season: The stats are in</a></p>




<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/climate-denial-crock-of-the-weekbirth-of-a-crock/">Climate Denial Crock of the Week/Birth of a Crock</a></p>


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            <title><![CDATA[Will and Watts embrace a proud former shill for a man convicted on fraud and conspiracy charges]]></title>
            <link>http://www.grist.org/article/will-and-watts-embrace-a-proud-former-shill-for-a-man-convicted-on-fraud-an/</link>
            <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 12:48:16 -0700</pubDate>
            <author>Joseph Romm</author>
            <guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/will-and-watts-embrace-a-proud-former-shill-for-a-man-convicted-on-fraud-an/</guid>
            <description><![CDATA[by Joseph Romm <br>Reprinted by permission from Grist. For more environmental news, humor, and inspiration, visit <a href="http://www.grist.org">www.grist.org</a>.<br><br><p>Denial makes strange bedfellows.</p>
<p>Two of the leading sources of anti-scientific disinformation on
global warming - George Will and Anthony Watts' blog WattsUpWithThat -
have embraced a man, <a title="Robert L. Bradley" href="http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Robert_L._Bradley">Robert Bradley</a>,  who proudly shilled for Enron CEO Ken Lay, who was convicted on fraud and conspiracy charges in 2006.</p>
<p>Watts and I, you may recall, got into a tiny dustup a couple weeks ago (see <a title="Permanent Link to Exclusive:  New NSIDC director Serreze explains the " rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/28/2009/06/05/nsidc-director-serreze-death-spiral-arctic-ice-wattsupwiththat/">Exclusive:
New NSIDC director Serreze explains the "death spiral" of Arctic ice,
brushes off the "breathtaking ignorance" of blogs like WattsUpWithThat</a> and <a href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/06/anthony-watts-marc-morano-global-warming-deniers/">here</a>).&nbsp;&nbsp; Since then, Watts has been throwing everything at me including the kitchen stink, with four full posts attacking me this month.&nbsp; I was planning to ignore him, until two things happened.</p>
<p>First, Watts ran a truly nonsensical piece (<a rel="nofollow" href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/06/23/pushback-on-waxman-markey-now-is-the-time-for-all-good-citizens-to-come-to-the-aid-of-their-country/">here</a>) by Bradley, who is now President of the Institute for Energy Research, which "<a href="http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=115">has received $307,000 from ExxonMobil since 1998</a>."&nbsp; Bradley is one of the <a title="Permanent Link: Denier-Industrial-Complex Kooks (DICKs) scream: &lsquo;Czar' Browner is a 'socialist'!" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/28/2009/01/12/denier-industrial-complex-kooks-dicks-scream-czar-browner-is-a-socialist/">Denier-Industrial-Complex Kooks (DICKs)</a> - see, for instance, "<a title="Permanent Link to Mysterious industry front-group affiliated with Ken Lay's former speechwriter launches anti-Waxman-Markey ads with phony MIT cost figures" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/28/2009/04/30/american-energy-alliance-aea-institute-for-energy-research-ier/">Mysterious
industry front-group affiliated with Ken Lay's former speechwriter
launches anti-Waxman-Markey ads with phony MIT cost figures</a>."</p>
<p>Second, George Will published a piece, "<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/06/24/AR2009062403012_pf.html">Tilting at Green Windmills</a>"
in which he uses a discredited Spanish "study" to claim clean energy
investments don't create jobs (for debunking by CP and the Regional
Minister of Innovation, Enterprise and Employment for the Government of
Navarre, see <a href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/05/04/heritage-foundation-green-jobs-dirty-energy-exxonmobil/">here</a> and <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/05/spain_tall_tales.html">here </a>and <a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2009/05/real_spain.html">here</a>).&nbsp; Will's piece is noteworthy for this remarkable admission:</p>

<p>[This] study was supported by a like-minded U.S. think
tank (the Institute for Energy Research, for which this columnist has
given a paid speech.</p>

<p>That's right, <strong>George Will published an entire piece based on
disinformation bought and paid for by a think tank that is bought and
paid for by ExxonMobil and run by Ken Lay's former top shill - and Will
also took money from that think tank. </strong>At least editorial page
editor Fred Hiatt required that much in return for letting Will publish
his umpteenth article full of misleading and inaccurate statements.</p>
<p>Now you may say, wait a minute, Joe, sure <strong>Bradley served as Director of Public Policy Analysis at Enron</strong>, where he was a speechwriter for CEO <a title="Kenneth Lay" href="http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Kenneth_Lay">Kenneth Lay</a>,"
who was "convicted on fraud and conspiracy charges on May 25, 2006&Prime; -
but how can you say he proudly shilled for Lay when he has wiped any
trace of his connection to Enron from his IER bio <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/staff/robert-l-bradley-jr/">here</a>?</p>
<p>Well, I have had the misfortune of
knowing Bradley for a long time, since Enron Energy Services (EES)
reached out to many leading experts on energy efficiency, and they
really liked by book, Cool Companies.&nbsp; Certainly none of the
energy efficiency folks were aware of what Enron was doing or they
would have quit immediately.&nbsp; I don't even know if anyone in EES
management knew what Ken Lay and his buddies in top management were
doing to fraudulently rip-off the public.</p>
<p>And I have no idea whether Bradley knew of the fraudulent activity,
but he certainly knew what kind of company he was working for.&nbsp; Over
the past several months, Bradley has bombarded me with requests to
publish articles about the disinformation he and his IER buddies have
written.&nbsp; Just last month he wrote to me and James Hansen:</p>

<p><strong>I wish you (and him) could have been in the
Enron government affairs meetings on CO2 trading-we were going to game
it to death and make money coming and going. And no one was quaking
about the future of global climate.</strong></p>

<p>and before that he wrote to us:</p>

<p><strong>We were going to laugh all the way to the bank
with our CO2 trading until the banks said no more laughing-you're
broke.&nbsp; Keep trying Joe-Enron Lives!<br /> </strong></p>

<p>As the Biblical Proverb says, "<a href="http://scripturetext.com/proverbs/16-18.htm">Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall</a>."</p>
<p>Enron does live in on the likes of people like Bradley.&nbsp; That's why
Waxman-Markey has put in many safeguards to protect the public from
fraud in the CO2 trading.</p>
<p>Does that mean the system will be free from fraud?&nbsp; Of course not.&nbsp;
You can write all the laws you want against fraud and robbery and other
crimes, and greedy people who think they are smarter than everyone else
will still break the law.&nbsp; The same is true of the tax code - people
try to cheat it all the time and some succeed.</p>
<p>But one thing you can certainly say about CO2 trading:&nbsp; The
overwhelming majority of CO2 emissions come from the combustion of
fossil fuels, and flows of natural gas, oil, and coal are very closely
tracked in this country, both sales and purchases.&nbsp; So it would be
quite hard to engage in significant fraud of the kind that would lead
to, say, much higher actual emissions than were being measured and
regulated.&nbsp; And as for cornering the market and running up the price of
a tradable commodity, an Enron specialty, again, W-M has multiple
safeguards to prevent that outcome.</p>
<p>I am not going to waste time here debunking the latest Bradley-Watts
attack on me since I have dealt with almost every point in previous
posts.&nbsp; It is 100% nonsense, which is it no surprise since it is
largely an excerpt from something Roger Pielke, Jr. wrote.&nbsp; But it does
contain one unintentionally humorous attack I will address in a later
post.</p>
<p>The point is that one shouldn't have to debunk anything Bradley
writes - or anything the Institute for Energy Research has published or
supported, including George Will.&nbsp; You just need to consider the source.</p></br></br></br></a></br>    <p><strong>Related Links:</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/the-climate-post-where-theres-a-will-theres-a-fray/">The Climate Post: Where there&#8217;s a Will there&#8217;s a fray</a></p>




<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/memo-to-washpost-george-will-cassandra-was-right/">Memo to WashPost, George Will: Cassandra was right</a></p>




<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/exclusive-interview-with-dr.-mojib-latif/">Exclusive interview with Dr. Mojib Latif</a></p>


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            <title><![CDATA[New NSIDC director on &#8220;death spiral&#8221; Arctic ice]]></title>
            <link>http://www.grist.org/article/exclusive-new-nsidc-director-explains-the-death-spiral-of-arctic-ice-brushe/</link>
            <pubDate>Fri, 05 Jun 2009 12:28:27 -0700</pubDate>
            <author>Joseph Romm</author>
            <guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/exclusive-new-nsidc-director-explains-the-death-spiral-of-arctic-ice-brushe/</guid>
            <description><![CDATA[by Joseph Romm <br>Reprinted by permission from Grist. For more environmental news, humor, and inspiration, visit <a href="http://www.grist.org">www.grist.org</a>.<br><br><p>I interviewed by email Dr. Mark Serreze, <a href="http://nsidc.org/news/press/20090519_Serreze.html">recently named</a> director of The National Snow and Ice Data Center.  Partly I wanted him
to explain his &ldquo;death spiral&rdquo; metaphor for Arctic ice (see <a title="Permanent Link to NSIDC: Arctic melt passes the point of no return, &ldquo;We hate to say we told you so, but we did&rdquo;" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/05/2008/12/15/nsidc-arctic-melt-passes-the-point-of-no-return-we-hate-to-say-we-told-you-so-but-we-did/">NSIDC: Arctic melt passes the point of no return, &ldquo;We hate to say we told you so, but we did&rdquo;</a>).</p>
<p>And partly I wanted his reaction to the blog, WattsUpWithThat, the quintessential victim of <a title="Permanent Link to Diagnosing a victim of anti-science syndrome (ASS)" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/05/2009/01/05/anthony-watts-up-with-that-anti-science-denier-website-weblog-awards/">anti-science syndrome (ASS)</a>, who called his appointment &ldquo;<a rel="nofollow" href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/04/26/bad-news-from-nsidc/">Bad News</a>.&rdquo;</p>
<p>But first, let&rsquo;s look at where the Arctic sea ice extent stands as of June 3 [click for update]:</p>
<a href="http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_timeseries.png"></a>
<p>Note:  The satellites only measure ice area.  Since Arctic ice
has been thinning sharply in the past two years, we might be at record
low volume for early June &mdash; see <a title="Permanent Link to North Pole poised to be largely ice-free by 2020:  &ldquo;It&rsquo;s like the Arctic is covered with an egg shell and the egg shell is now just cracking completely&rdquo;" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/05/2009/05/13/thin-ice-free-arctic/">North
Pole poised to be largely ice-free by 2020: &ldquo;It&rsquo;s like the Arctic is
covered with an egg shell and the egg shell is now just cracking
completely.&rdquo;</a></p>
<p>NSIDC reported Wednesday, the &ldquo;<a href="http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/index.html">Melt season gains momentum</a>&ldquo;:</p>

<p>After a slow start to the melt season, ice extent
declined quickly in May. Scientists are monitoring the ice pack for
signs of what will come this summer. The thinness of the ice pack makes
it likely that the minimum ice extent will again fall below normal, but
how far below normal will depend on atmospheric conditions through the
summer&hellip;.</p>


<p>Because the 2009 melt season started out with a thin ice pack,
September ice extent will likely be below average yet again. The
thinning ice pack, discussed in our <a href="http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2009/040609.html">April post</a>,
has played a major role in the strong decline of September ice extent.
Thinner ice requires less energy to melt. It also tends to be
fractured, with more areas of open water. Since water absorbs more
solar energy than ice, heat from the sun warms up areas of open ocean
and promotes even more melt.</p>

<p>Back to Serreze.  I&rsquo;ve been a fan of his since I attended the
American Meteorological Society talk he gave in November 2007.  He is
an impressive cryosphere scientist, who is also a climate science
expert:</p>

<p>He studies Arctic climate, and the causes and global
implications of climate change in the Arctic. Serreze is well known for
his research on the declining sea ice cover in the Arctic Ocean.</p>
<p><strong>Serreze has authored over 90 scientific publications, including an award-winning textbook, The Arctic Climate System, </strong>which he co-wrote with former NSIDC director Roger Barry. He has also served on numerous advisory boards and science steering
committees. In 2004, he testified before the U.S. Congress on changes
in Arctic sea ice cover.</p>

<p>But Anthony Watts is one of the hard-core deniers.  Not content to
simply dispute the science with disinformation, he attacks climate
scientists.  Watts said ealier this year that NASA&rsquo;s James Hansen is &ldquo;<a rel="nofollow" href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/02/22/jim-hansen-supports-civil-disobedience/">no longer a scientist</a>.&rdquo; 
But then Watts routinely smears all climate scientists, approvingly
reprinting denier manifestos that claim global warming &ldquo;is the biggest
whopper ever sold to the public in the history of humankind&rdquo; &mdash; see <a title="Permanent Link: Diagnosing a victim of anti-science syndrome (ASS)" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/05/2009/05/06/2009/01/05/anthony-watts-up-with-that-anti-science-denier-website-weblog-awards/">here</a>.</p>
<p>So perhaps it isn&rsquo;t a surprise that he would attack and misrepresent Serreze, writing:</p>

<p>Last year we had the forecast from NSIDC&rsquo;s Dr. Mark
Serreze of an &ldquo;ice free north pole&rdquo;. As we know, that didn&rsquo;t even come
close to being true. Summer 2008 had more arctic ice than summer 2007,
and <strong>summer 2007 was not &ldquo;ice free&rdquo; by any measure</strong>.</p>

<p>Yes, Serreze said we might have &ldquo;an ice free north pole,&rdquo; but had
Watts bothered to read the original story, he&rsquo;d know that Serreze was
simply talking about the physical North Pole &mdash; and not using &ldquo;north
pole&rdquo; to refer to the entire Arctic being ice free!</p>

<p><strong>Climate Progress</strong>:  The global warming
denier site WattsUpWithThat has attacked your appointment, in
particular criticizing you for your prediction last year that the North
Pole could be ice free in 2008.  I&rsquo;m wondering if you have any comments
on that prediction.</p>
<p><strong>Serreze</strong>:  I have yet to lose any sleep over what is talked about in WattsUpWithThat or any other similar blog that insists on arguing from a viewpoint of breathaking ignorance.</p>
<p>To set the record straight, I never made a &ldquo;prediction&rdquo;.  I said the
north pole might melt out and I was not alone in making such
speculation.  It did not melt out and I got some flack for this. So be
it.  As for the &ldquo;great recovery&rdquo; of ice extent in 2008 heard in some
circles, it was a  recovery from lowest (2007) to second lowest (2008).</p>
<p>I find little room for optimism here.</p>

<p>Duh!</p>
<p>How anti-scientific is Watts?  He puts up this poster of a Serreze talk:</p>
<a href="http://climateprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/nsdic-director-serreze.gif"></a>
<p>Pretty innocuous stuff, no?  Humans are cranking up the Arctic heat
by pouring steadily increasing amounts of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere, which in turn cranks up warming in the Arctic, a very well
documented phenomenon (see &ldquo;<a title="Permanent Link to What exactly is polar amplification and why does it matter?" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/05/2009/03/12/what-exactly-is-polar-amplification-and-why-does-it-matter/">What exactly is polar amplification and why does it matter?</a>&ldquo;).</p>
<p>But for Watts, who is apparently in the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tin_foil_hat">tinfoil-hat</a> and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_helicopter">black helicopter</a> club, that poster reveals dark purposes:</p>

<p><strong>Does anybody live in Maryland that can attend
this talk? I&rsquo;d just love to see what sort of &ldquo;heat&rdquo; he&rsquo;s talking about
&ldquo;cranking up&rdquo;.</strong></p>

<p>Seriously.</p>
<p>Back to the interview:</p>

<p><strong>CP</strong>:  You have used the term &ldquo;death
spiral&rdquo; to describe the loss of Arctic ice &mdash; I&rsquo;d be interested if you
had any further comments or elaboration on what is happening in the
Arctic and what you think its implications are for humankind.</p>
<p><strong>Serreze</strong>:  The downward trend in September sea ice extent seems to be accerating.  That reflects the combination of three things:</p>

Spring is increasingly dominated by thin, first-year ice prone to melting out in summer;
As the thin ice now starts to melt out earlier in summer,  the albedo feedback is stronger meaning even more summer melt;
Arctic is warming in all seasons, meaning that recovery through a
series of cold years is becoming less and les likely. Take these three
together, and you are probably looking at ice-fee summers by 2030.  I&rsquo;d
call that a death sprital.

<p>Serreze is it taking a somewhat conservative line here, I think,
since we are probably looking at very close to ice-free summers by 2020
&mdash; but then again, just two or three years ago, this prediction that
would have been quite alarmist, given that essentially every climate
model the IPCC had been predicting the Arctic would not go ice free
until about 2100.  Such is the rate of change of our understanding of
how dire the climate situation is.</p>

<p><strong>CP</strong>:  I was hoping you might say in a sentence or two what you hope to accomplish as Director.</p>
<p><strong>Serreze</strong>:  My vision is for NSIDC to become an
indispensable asset through providing the U.S. and global research
communities, the public and decision makers the data, products and
information needed to understand and prepare for the consequences of
the earth&rsquo;s changing cryosphere.  My job is to achieve this vision.</p>

<p>The NSIDC is in very good hands.</p>
<p>The cryosphere, however, is not.  If we stay on our current
emissions path, if we keep listening to the science deniers of
WattsUpWithThat, the planet is headed toward an ice free state.  Future
generations will wonder how there ever could have been such a thing as
a &ldquo;cryosphere scientist&rdquo; or a National Snow and Ice Data Center.</p>
<p>Related Posts:</p>

<a title="Permanent Link: NSIDC:  Arctic is on thin ice &mdash; literally &mdash; and that means the &ldquo;perma&rdquo;frost is too" rel="bookmark" href="http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/05/2009/04/07/nsidc-arctic-thin-ice-permafrost-global-warmin/">NSIDC:  Arctic is on thin ice &mdash; literally &mdash; and that means the &ldquo;perma&rdquo;frost is too</a>
</br></br></a></br>    <p><strong>Related Links:</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/disappearing-slave-history/">Disappearing slave history</a></p>




<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/arctic-ice-reaches-historic-seasonal-low/">Arctic ice reaches historic seasonal low</a></p>




<p><a href="http://www.grist.org/article/arctic-sea-ice-is-refreezing-quite-slowly.-go-figure/">Arctic sea ice is refreezing quite slowly. Go figure!</a></p>


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