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	<title><![CDATA[Grist - Comment Feed for Follow-up on think tank paying writers to question IPCC]]></title>
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            <title>Comment #1 by Benny Big Eye</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 08 Feb 2007 05:00:25 -0800</pubDate>
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				<p><strong>Pay for Play?</strong></p><p>Still haven't head a response from Roger Pielke Jr. over whether there was payment for him to write for Cato's Regulation Magazine.....

<p>Benny Big Eye</p></p>
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				<p><strong>Pay for Play?</strong></p><p>Still haven't head a response from Roger Pielke Jr. over whether there was payment for him to write for Cato's Regulation Magazine.....

<p>Benny Big Eye</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #2 by Andrew Dessler</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 08 Feb 2007 08:33:03 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/2</guid>
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				<p><strong>money is overrated</strong></p><p>my opinion is that too much of an emphasis is put on who funds stuff. &nbsp;science should be judged on its merits, not on funding source. &nbsp;the work of gray, baliunus, lindzen, etc. is terrible science all by itself, not because an odious think-tank paid for it. &nbsp;I find these arguments dull rather than sharpen the discussion.</p>
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				<p><strong>money is overrated</strong></p><p>my opinion is that too much of an emphasis is put on who funds stuff. &nbsp;science should be judged on its merits, not on funding source. &nbsp;the work of gray, baliunus, lindzen, etc. is terrible science all by itself, not because an odious think-tank paid for it. &nbsp;I find these arguments dull rather than sharpen the discussion.</p>
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            <title>Comment #3 by BobAegerter</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 08 Feb 2007 10:16:50 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/3</guid>
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				<p><strong>Pay for comment by AEI on ART/4</strong></p><p>What seems unique here is they have the money before the horse.</p><p>
Usually scientific folk submit ideaas and a budget to a committee and wait around with an acid indigestion waiting for results.</p><p>
In this case they hang a sum of money out and say, "go for it." &nbsp;Does not seem like the "Good Old Days." &nbsp;With integrity and ethics it may be OK, but what about the appearance of fairness doctrine?

<p>Bob Aegerter
Pacific Northwest</p></p>
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				<p><strong>Pay for comment by AEI on ART/4</strong></p><p>What seems unique here is they have the money before the horse.</p><p>
Usually scientific folk submit ideaas and a budget to a committee and wait around with an acid indigestion waiting for results.</p><p>
In this case they hang a sum of money out and say, "go for it." &nbsp;Does not seem like the "Good Old Days." &nbsp;With integrity and ethics it may be OK, but what about the appearance of fairness doctrine?

<p>Bob Aegerter
Pacific Northwest</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #4 by KenGreen</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Feb 2007 01:26:11 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/4</guid>
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				<p><strong>AEI and AR4</strong></p><p>Andrew -</p><p>
Your posts on this insanity have been somewhat more moderate than most, but you're still missing the story entirely. <b>Every single paragraph</b> of the letter to North and Schroeder focused explicitly on climate policy. I'll put some emphasis on the words here, as they seem to have been hard for some people to see in the letter you posted:</p><p>


The very first sentence of the letter to Schroeder and North reads: "The American Enterprise Institute is launching a major project to produce a review and <b>policy critique</b> of the forthcoming &nbsp;Fourth Assessment Report..." This is exactly what Nicholas Stern did - reviewed the science with scientists to find what he felt was most relevant to economics, then discuss policy. Think his people worked for free? </p><p>
The next paragraph begins by saying that the purpose of the project is "to highlight the <b>strengths</b> and weaknesses of the IPCC process, especially as it bears on potential <b>policy responses</b> to climate change.</p><p>
What we specifically requested of North and Schroeder in the third paragraph was a "well-supported but accessible discussion of which elements of climate modeling have demonstrated predictive value that might make them <b>policy-relevant</b> and which elements of climate modeling have less levels of predictive utility, and hence, less utility in developing climate <b>policy</b>."</p><p>
We expected them to co-author the paper, and split the honorarium. $5,000 would not buy Gerry North's integrity, no more than $50,000 would.</p><p>
Why Steve Schroeder gave you the letter to post (leading to an unpleasant bout of character assassination) is a complete mystery to me. We had previously co-authored papers, and he should have known I do not reject the scientifically-conservative claims of the IPCC, and never have. Steve could simply have asked who else would be involved, rather than assume we'd be taking extreme voices on board. That would have been far more honorable than setting the stage for a political attack on a former co-author and, I had thought, a collegial friend.</p><p>
While I will respect Steve's privacy more than he did mine, out of a sense of fairness, I would like you to <b>ask Steve if he did the previous work for Reason or Fraser Institute for free and post his response here, as you did our letter.</b> <br>




<p>Kenneth Green
-----------------------------
Resident Scholar
American Enterprise Institute
(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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				<p><strong>AEI and AR4</strong></p><p>Andrew -</p><p>
Your posts on this insanity have been somewhat more moderate than most, but you're still missing the story entirely. <b>Every single paragraph</b> of the letter to North and Schroeder focused explicitly on climate policy. I'll put some emphasis on the words here, as they seem to have been hard for some people to see in the letter you posted:</p><p>


The very first sentence of the letter to Schroeder and North reads: "The American Enterprise Institute is launching a major project to produce a review and <b>policy critique</b> of the forthcoming &nbsp;Fourth Assessment Report..." This is exactly what Nicholas Stern did - reviewed the science with scientists to find what he felt was most relevant to economics, then discuss policy. Think his people worked for free? </p><p>
The next paragraph begins by saying that the purpose of the project is "to highlight the <b>strengths</b> and weaknesses of the IPCC process, especially as it bears on potential <b>policy responses</b> to climate change.</p><p>
What we specifically requested of North and Schroeder in the third paragraph was a "well-supported but accessible discussion of which elements of climate modeling have demonstrated predictive value that might make them <b>policy-relevant</b> and which elements of climate modeling have less levels of predictive utility, and hence, less utility in developing climate <b>policy</b>."</p><p>
We expected them to co-author the paper, and split the honorarium. $5,000 would not buy Gerry North's integrity, no more than $50,000 would.</p><p>
Why Steve Schroeder gave you the letter to post (leading to an unpleasant bout of character assassination) is a complete mystery to me. We had previously co-authored papers, and he should have known I do not reject the scientifically-conservative claims of the IPCC, and never have. Steve could simply have asked who else would be involved, rather than assume we'd be taking extreme voices on board. That would have been far more honorable than setting the stage for a political attack on a former co-author and, I had thought, a collegial friend.</p><p>
While I will respect Steve's privacy more than he did mine, out of a sense of fairness, I would like you to <b>ask Steve if he did the previous work for Reason or Fraser Institute for free and post his response here, as you did our letter.</b> <br>




<p>Kenneth Green
-----------------------------
Resident Scholar
American Enterprise Institute
(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
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            <title>Comment #5 by Andrew Dessler</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 09 Feb 2007 03:56:31 -0800</pubDate>
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				<p><strong>I must disagree<p>Ken-<p>
Thanks for your comments. &nbsp;Your original <a href="http://www.met.tamu.edu/people/faculty/dessler/AEIscan.pdf" rel="nofollow">letter to Steve Schroeder read to me like the preface to an attack on the scientific results of the IPCC. &nbsp;<p>
Here is an example of why I thought that:As with any large-scale "consensus" process, the IPCC is susceptible to self-selection bias in its personnel, &nbsp;resistant to reasonable criticism and dissent, and prone to summary conclusions that are poorly supported by the analytical work of the complete Working Group reports. &nbsp;An independent review of the FAR will advance public deliberation about the extent of potential future climate change ...This reads to me like an old-fashioned IPCC hatchet job.<p>
The argument that the SPM does not represent the full reports is an old canard that was settled by the 2001 NAS report. &nbsp;The statement that the IPCC is resistant to criticism is simply unfounded, again suggesting a hatchet job. &nbsp;Finally, the IPCC reports are self-selecting, in the sense that the authors are selected by their expertise in climate science. &nbsp;There is no evidence that the views of the IPCC represent the views of only part of the relevant expert community.<p>
While I do not know what you were intending, and your letter does talk about policy critiques in place, there was ample ambiguity in the letter to interpret it as the beginning of yet another assassination attempt on the IPCC. &nbsp;I'm extremely happy to hear that that's not correct.<p>
As far as Steve Schroeder goes, don't be too hard on him. &nbsp;I can honestly say that neither of us had any idea this would go where it did. &nbsp;It was one of the first entries on my blog, and when I wrote it I wasn't even sure anyone read my blog. &nbsp;I'm quite certain I would handle this differently now.<p>
Regards.</p></p></p></p></p></a></p></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>I must disagree<p>Ken-<p>
Thanks for your comments. &nbsp;Your original <a href="http://www.met.tamu.edu/people/faculty/dessler/AEIscan.pdf" rel="nofollow">letter to Steve Schroeder read to me like the preface to an attack on the scientific results of the IPCC. &nbsp;<p>
Here is an example of why I thought that:As with any large-scale "consensus" process, the IPCC is susceptible to self-selection bias in its personnel, &nbsp;resistant to reasonable criticism and dissent, and prone to summary conclusions that are poorly supported by the analytical work of the complete Working Group reports. &nbsp;An independent review of the FAR will advance public deliberation about the extent of potential future climate change ...This reads to me like an old-fashioned IPCC hatchet job.<p>
The argument that the SPM does not represent the full reports is an old canard that was settled by the 2001 NAS report. &nbsp;The statement that the IPCC is resistant to criticism is simply unfounded, again suggesting a hatchet job. &nbsp;Finally, the IPCC reports are self-selecting, in the sense that the authors are selected by their expertise in climate science. &nbsp;There is no evidence that the views of the IPCC represent the views of only part of the relevant expert community.<p>
While I do not know what you were intending, and your letter does talk about policy critiques in place, there was ample ambiguity in the letter to interpret it as the beginning of yet another assassination attempt on the IPCC. &nbsp;I'm extremely happy to hear that that's not correct.<p>
As far as Steve Schroeder goes, don't be too hard on him. &nbsp;I can honestly say that neither of us had any idea this would go where it did. &nbsp;It was one of the first entries on my blog, and when I wrote it I wasn't even sure anyone read my blog. &nbsp;I'm quite certain I would handle this differently now.<p>
Regards.</p></p></p></p></p></a></p></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #6 by EliRabett</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 10 Feb 2007 01:45:09 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/update-on-the-aei-and-ar-4-brouhaha/6</guid>
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				<p><strong>A very thin bench<p>I have put up a <a href="http://rabett.blogspot.com/2007/02/as-it-happened.html" rel="nofollow"> transcript of Steve Schroeder's interview with As It Happens. In it he mentioned that he wrote an article on climate modeling with Ken Green. &nbsp;What he does not mention is that the third man was Tim Ball and that Green was at the Fraser Insitute at the time the article appeared. &nbsp;<p>
Further, in the following interview Green states that the letter was sent to mostly policy people and economists. &nbsp;As you have shown there were two letters. &nbsp;Note that the $10K was UNCONDITIONALLY offered to Schroeder and North, but the offer in the second letter is UP TO $10K, e.g. conditional on AEI's approval. &nbsp;It is not clear to me that anyone north of Fred Singer would bite on this, and even he would negotiate the fee first. &nbsp;<p>
The next step for this story is to figure out whom the second letter was sent to. &nbsp;Since Tim Ball is well known to Green I'll toss him and Richard Tol into the pot. &nbsp;Any other guesses? &nbsp;</p></p></a></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>A very thin bench<p>I have put up a <a href="http://rabett.blogspot.com/2007/02/as-it-happened.html" rel="nofollow"> transcript of Steve Schroeder's interview with As It Happens. In it he mentioned that he wrote an article on climate modeling with Ken Green. &nbsp;What he does not mention is that the third man was Tim Ball and that Green was at the Fraser Insitute at the time the article appeared. &nbsp;<p>
Further, in the following interview Green states that the letter was sent to mostly policy people and economists. &nbsp;As you have shown there were two letters. &nbsp;Note that the $10K was UNCONDITIONALLY offered to Schroeder and North, but the offer in the second letter is UP TO $10K, e.g. conditional on AEI's approval. &nbsp;It is not clear to me that anyone north of Fred Singer would bite on this, and even he would negotiate the fee first. &nbsp;<p>
The next step for this story is to figure out whom the second letter was sent to. &nbsp;Since Tim Ball is well known to Green I'll toss him and Richard Tol into the pot. &nbsp;Any other guesses? &nbsp;</p></p></a></p></strong></p>
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