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	<title><![CDATA[Grist - Comment Feed for Lovins and Sheikh defend definition and record of micropower]]></title>
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            <title>Comment #1 by Sean Casten</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2008 06:23:23 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/1</guid>
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				<p><strong>Two comments<p>

I'd suspect you're right on the Ventyx data, and would frankly be amazed if the WADE model doesn't substantially undercount the installed base of micropower, for many of the same reasons. &nbsp;As power plants get smaller, they have less and less impetus to report data on their existence or operation, such as is necessary to quantify their total. &nbsp;As a domestic example, FERC requires all generators &gt;1 MW to report to FERC. &nbsp;Which means that everything below that cutoff is in datasets only to the degree that someone - at WADE or elsewhere - was patient enough to try and cobble the data from other sources. &nbsp;We at the <a href="http://www.uschpa.org" rel="nofollow">USCHPA ran square into this in the late 1990s, when we began our effort (still underway) to assemble and maintain a domestic inventory of all known CHP installations, which started 5 years ago from the FERC data. &nbsp;When I reviewed that list from the vantage point of the <a href="http://www.turbosteam.com" rel="nofollow">company I was running at the time, I found just 2 of our 100 domestic installations included in that list! &nbsp;I have no reason to believe our experience would not be representative, suggesting that the micropower total could be well higher than even RMI suggests. &nbsp;This raises a rather interesting question: how much of our current grid reliability is currently depending upon the actions of thousands of tiny actors that are neither known, nor monitored, nor planned by any central reliability coordinator?<p>
A minor quibble: I accept that you can define your terms however you want, but it is confusing to list central wind in a micropower database. &nbsp;There are plenty of good things associated with wind power, but the benefits of local generation are not among them, at least of the central variety. &nbsp;It is a minor criticism though, and only one of methodology rather than conclusion.

</p></a></a></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>Two comments<p>

I'd suspect you're right on the Ventyx data, and would frankly be amazed if the WADE model doesn't substantially undercount the installed base of micropower, for many of the same reasons. &nbsp;As power plants get smaller, they have less and less impetus to report data on their existence or operation, such as is necessary to quantify their total. &nbsp;As a domestic example, FERC requires all generators &gt;1 MW to report to FERC. &nbsp;Which means that everything below that cutoff is in datasets only to the degree that someone - at WADE or elsewhere - was patient enough to try and cobble the data from other sources. &nbsp;We at the <a href="http://www.uschpa.org" rel="nofollow">USCHPA ran square into this in the late 1990s, when we began our effort (still underway) to assemble and maintain a domestic inventory of all known CHP installations, which started 5 years ago from the FERC data. &nbsp;When I reviewed that list from the vantage point of the <a href="http://www.turbosteam.com" rel="nofollow">company I was running at the time, I found just 2 of our 100 domestic installations included in that list! &nbsp;I have no reason to believe our experience would not be representative, suggesting that the micropower total could be well higher than even RMI suggests. &nbsp;This raises a rather interesting question: how much of our current grid reliability is currently depending upon the actions of thousands of tiny actors that are neither known, nor monitored, nor planned by any central reliability coordinator?<p>
A minor quibble: I accept that you can define your terms however you want, but it is confusing to list central wind in a micropower database. &nbsp;There are plenty of good things associated with wind power, but the benefits of local generation are not among them, at least of the central variety. &nbsp;It is a minor criticism though, and only one of methodology rather than conclusion.

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            <title>Comment #2 by Laurence Aurbach</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2008 07:56:43 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/2</guid>
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				<p><strong>Big Wind as Micropower<p>Here are Lovins' <a href="http://www.smallisprofitable.org/207Benefits.html" rel="nofollow">207 Benefits of Distributed Generation.<p>
I think I understand his point, which is that when large power arrays are composed of small modules, then the large array has many of the benefits of the individual modules.<p>
Maybe an easy way of defining such facilities is by marginal costs: Is the cost of adding 1% or 5% to the capacity of a large array approximately the same as building that same amount of capacity as a standalone micropower unit? <p>
That's probably true for a lot of wind farms, solar PV, trough solar thermal and wave power. It's probably not true for larger, more centralized renewable plants like solar power towers, geothermal power or tidal power.<p>
In all fairness, though, a good 10-20% of Lovins' 207 benefits are related to transmission and scale. Maybe his methodology would be more consistent if he were to separately break out large and/or remote renewable power facilities that are composed of small modules.

<p><a href="http://pedshed.net" rel="nofollow">Ped Shed Blog</a></p></p></p></p></p></a></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>Big Wind as Micropower<p>Here are Lovins' <a href="http://www.smallisprofitable.org/207Benefits.html" rel="nofollow">207 Benefits of Distributed Generation.<p>
I think I understand his point, which is that when large power arrays are composed of small modules, then the large array has many of the benefits of the individual modules.<p>
Maybe an easy way of defining such facilities is by marginal costs: Is the cost of adding 1% or 5% to the capacity of a large array approximately the same as building that same amount of capacity as a standalone micropower unit? <p>
That's probably true for a lot of wind farms, solar PV, trough solar thermal and wave power. It's probably not true for larger, more centralized renewable plants like solar power towers, geothermal power or tidal power.<p>
In all fairness, though, a good 10-20% of Lovins' 207 benefits are related to transmission and scale. Maybe his methodology would be more consistent if he were to separately break out large and/or remote renewable power facilities that are composed of small modules.

<p><a href="http://pedshed.net" rel="nofollow">Ped Shed Blog</a></p></p></p></p></p></a></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #3 by Gar Lipow</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2008 09:35:40 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/3</guid>
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				<p><strong>Central Power</strong></p><p>Also in benefits of centralized vs. distributed power I think transmission benefits are overstated at least in case where power still goes into the grid. That is because the capital cost of distribution, and medium distance transmission outweigh long distance transmission by at least two to one. When it comes to maintenance and lost power due to outages, I think that local distribution and short to intermediate transmission (less than 50 miles) outweighs long distance by an even greater factor. And in most cases micropower still incurs those costs. </p>
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				<p><strong>Central Power</strong></p><p>Also in benefits of centralized vs. distributed power I think transmission benefits are overstated at least in case where power still goes into the grid. That is because the capital cost of distribution, and medium distance transmission outweigh long distance transmission by at least two to one. When it comes to maintenance and lost power due to outages, I think that local distribution and short to intermediate transmission (less than 50 miles) outweighs long distance by an even greater factor. And in most cases micropower still incurs those costs. </p>
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            <title>Comment #4 by David Bradish</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2008 02:07:48 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/4</guid>
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				<p><strong>Still Confused<p>Lovins and Sheikh,<p>
This is great. I thought I'd only get one response from RMI but it's good to see you guys defending your work. <p>
Here are my questions and comments.<p>
I still don't understand the definition of "micropower." The word micro obviously implies very small plants. The <a href="http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epat2p2.html" rel="nofollow">average power plant unit size in the U.S. is about 60 MW. So "micro" plants (at least in my opinion) should be much smaller than 60 MW. Yet according to the WADE data you provided, it includes plants over 60 MW. <p>
As well, if the "micropower" data includes other plants greater than 10 MW, why put that limit on hydro then? According to you, I wrongly assumed "micro" was less than 10 MW, but there was nothing else to go by.<p>
Mr. Bradish adds further confusion by injecting his personal opinion that "micropower" shouldn't include what he calls "centralized renewables," like windfarms. But we define micropower to include all renewables except big hydro<p>
Your definition says "distributed renewawbles." 95% of wind is centralized. Why include the word "distributed" if the data is not then? <p>
Mr. Bradish offers a graph from a proprietary Ventyx/Global Energy Decisions database to which we don't have access. We therefore can't tell whether smaller, cogenerating, and non-utility units were fully included.<p>
Good point, let me explain. The dataset I used from Ventyx is called "Generating Unit Capacity." It includes every single unit pretty much ever conceived in the U.S. - operating, canceled, small, big, etc. The specialist you talked with was referring to a different dataset called "CEMS Unit Summary." This dataset uses EPA data to count all of the emissions from plants over 25 MW. I also gave you evidence in my post that my data does include small plants. Here's what I said: "There are a total of 80 GW of co-generating capacity operating in the U.S. (same number reported in WADE's 2005 Survey on page 27). <b>Of the 80 GW, only 3 GW are less than 10 MW in capacity."<p>
We hope Mr. Bradish will study that analysis before further promoting his "one-size-fits-all" solution.<p>
What? You quoted me as saying "there is no one-size-fits-all solution." Yet, you're saying I'm "promoting" a "one-size-fits-all" solution? <p>
Completion of our [Jevons paradox] response was delayed by travel, but we expect to finish it shortly,<p>
I'll be looking forward to it. It's going to be pretty hard to contradict a well-established phenomena, but we'll see.</p></p></p></p></b></p></p></p></p></p></a></p></p></p></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>Still Confused<p>Lovins and Sheikh,<p>
This is great. I thought I'd only get one response from RMI but it's good to see you guys defending your work. <p>
Here are my questions and comments.<p>
I still don't understand the definition of "micropower." The word micro obviously implies very small plants. The <a href="http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epat2p2.html" rel="nofollow">average power plant unit size in the U.S. is about 60 MW. So "micro" plants (at least in my opinion) should be much smaller than 60 MW. Yet according to the WADE data you provided, it includes plants over 60 MW. <p>
As well, if the "micropower" data includes other plants greater than 10 MW, why put that limit on hydro then? According to you, I wrongly assumed "micro" was less than 10 MW, but there was nothing else to go by.<p>
Mr. Bradish adds further confusion by injecting his personal opinion that "micropower" shouldn't include what he calls "centralized renewables," like windfarms. But we define micropower to include all renewables except big hydro<p>
Your definition says "distributed renewawbles." 95% of wind is centralized. Why include the word "distributed" if the data is not then? <p>
Mr. Bradish offers a graph from a proprietary Ventyx/Global Energy Decisions database to which we don't have access. We therefore can't tell whether smaller, cogenerating, and non-utility units were fully included.<p>
Good point, let me explain. The dataset I used from Ventyx is called "Generating Unit Capacity." It includes every single unit pretty much ever conceived in the U.S. - operating, canceled, small, big, etc. The specialist you talked with was referring to a different dataset called "CEMS Unit Summary." This dataset uses EPA data to count all of the emissions from plants over 25 MW. I also gave you evidence in my post that my data does include small plants. Here's what I said: "There are a total of 80 GW of co-generating capacity operating in the U.S. (same number reported in WADE's 2005 Survey on page 27). <b>Of the 80 GW, only 3 GW are less than 10 MW in capacity."<p>
We hope Mr. Bradish will study that analysis before further promoting his "one-size-fits-all" solution.<p>
What? You quoted me as saying "there is no one-size-fits-all solution." Yet, you're saying I'm "promoting" a "one-size-fits-all" solution? <p>
Completion of our [Jevons paradox] response was delayed by travel, but we expect to finish it shortly,<p>
I'll be looking forward to it. It's going to be pretty hard to contradict a well-established phenomena, but we'll see.</p></p></p></p></b></p></p></p></p></p></a></p></p></p></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #5 by President Lindsay</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jun 2008 05:19:13 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/5</guid>
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				<p><strong>Intellectual dishonesty or rank ignorance?</strong></p><p>Thanks to the Find feature I was able to ascertain some facts about The Nuclear Illusion without having to suffer through the entire screed. Lovins' polemic purports to prove why nuclear power is impossible to justify on economic or any other grounds. Yet he makes absolutely no mention of Generation IV reactors, no mention of fast reactors, no mention of pyroprocessing, not even any mention of lightwater reactors (like the AP1000) that use passive safety systems. In short, Lovins completely ignores state-of-the-art nuclear power systems and the reactors that numerous countries are developing (India is building a commercial fast reactor right now, as is China, with other countries planning them).</p><p>
I can see only two possible explanation for this. Either Lovins is ignorant of these systems and their great advantages (in which case he has no business pretending to be an expert on anything nuclear) or else he is being unconscionably deceitful by omitting evidence that would completely undermine his argument. Or I suppose it could be a little of each, both intellectual dishonesty AND ignorance. Altogether, it makes the rest of his points pretty moot, since any comparison he makes with any other types of energy systems aren't worth the electrons wasted downloading his blather.</p>
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				<p><strong>Intellectual dishonesty or rank ignorance?</strong></p><p>Thanks to the Find feature I was able to ascertain some facts about The Nuclear Illusion without having to suffer through the entire screed. Lovins' polemic purports to prove why nuclear power is impossible to justify on economic or any other grounds. Yet he makes absolutely no mention of Generation IV reactors, no mention of fast reactors, no mention of pyroprocessing, not even any mention of lightwater reactors (like the AP1000) that use passive safety systems. In short, Lovins completely ignores state-of-the-art nuclear power systems and the reactors that numerous countries are developing (India is building a commercial fast reactor right now, as is China, with other countries planning them).</p><p>
I can see only two possible explanation for this. Either Lovins is ignorant of these systems and their great advantages (in which case he has no business pretending to be an expert on anything nuclear) or else he is being unconscionably deceitful by omitting evidence that would completely undermine his argument. Or I suppose it could be a little of each, both intellectual dishonesty AND ignorance. Altogether, it makes the rest of his points pretty moot, since any comparison he makes with any other types of energy systems aren't worth the electrons wasted downloading his blather.</p>
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            <title>Comment #6 by David Roberts</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jun 2008 05:28:59 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/6</guid>
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				<p><strong>Lindsay,</strong></p><p>Can you direct our attention to some of these Phase IV reactors? I'd particularly like to hear more about the ones that have been built on time and within budget, financed by private capital, and are now up and running.

<p>grist.org</p></p>
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				<p><strong>Lindsay,</strong></p><p>Can you direct our attention to some of these Phase IV reactors? I'd particularly like to hear more about the ones that have been built on time and within budget, financed by private capital, and are now up and running.

<p>grist.org</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #7 by President Lindsay</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jun 2008 14:54:47 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/7</guid>
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				<p><strong>It's new technology, David</strong></p><p>There was one that was built in the Soviet Union in what is now Kazakhstan back in the day that was used half for electricity and half for desalination. Worked like a charm for years. Russia has one with two more on the drawing board. India is building one, as is China. The problem, of course, is that they're all first of a kind, so of course they don't benefit from standardization yet. But the systems can be simplified, modular units similar to Westinghouse's new AP-1000 that employs passive safety systems similar to what the IFRs will have. It allows a radically simpler design and thus lower costs, building in factories instead of on-site. You can scoff if you like, but if you're into scoffing try saving it for Lovins, who simply pretends that this technology doesn't exist. He's comparing one-off Seventies plants that had stratospheric costs in no small part due to the activities of people just like him. It's simply not valid, because nobody with a brain would ever build a plant like that anymore.</p><p>
Of course if you have a better way to get rid of spent fuel and use it to generate prodigious amounts of clean energy, I'm sure we'd all love to hear about it.</p>
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				<p><strong>It's new technology, David</strong></p><p>There was one that was built in the Soviet Union in what is now Kazakhstan back in the day that was used half for electricity and half for desalination. Worked like a charm for years. Russia has one with two more on the drawing board. India is building one, as is China. The problem, of course, is that they're all first of a kind, so of course they don't benefit from standardization yet. But the systems can be simplified, modular units similar to Westinghouse's new AP-1000 that employs passive safety systems similar to what the IFRs will have. It allows a radically simpler design and thus lower costs, building in factories instead of on-site. You can scoff if you like, but if you're into scoffing try saving it for Lovins, who simply pretends that this technology doesn't exist. He's comparing one-off Seventies plants that had stratospheric costs in no small part due to the activities of people just like him. It's simply not valid, because nobody with a brain would ever build a plant like that anymore.</p><p>
Of course if you have a better way to get rid of spent fuel and use it to generate prodigious amounts of clean energy, I'm sure we'd all love to hear about it.</p>
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            <title>Comment #8 by advancednano</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 02:36:20 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/8</guid>
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				<p><strong>Where is this decades long collapse of nuclear ?<p>The nuclear illusion looks at the data from 2000 forward but claims a decades (plural at least two decades and Lovins has been claiming nuclear collapse since the 1970s) long collapse.<p>
Since 1980, nuclear power TWH has increased by over 400%.<br>
&lt;img src="http://www.world-nuclear.org/images/info/neprod.gif"&gt;<p>
The charts that Lovins uses are only looking at 2000 forward or look at "new additions" when the bulk of nuclear power generation increases was from operating improvement and uprates to existing reactors.<p>
The "micropower" is mostly natural gas of small and big sizes. Natural gas has 4 deaths per TWH (Externe source). So 2500 Twh (to displace nuclear power) would be 10,000 deaths per year.<p>
Natural gas is not renewable. So is Lovins advocating an increase of more than double the US military deaths of the 5+ years of the Iraq war every year from more natural gas air pollution and other causes ?<p>
All energy build costs went up with the increase in commodity prices (steel, concrete, oil)<p>
There are wind turbine shortages and backorders for several years for the large efficient turbines.<p>
Nuclear operating costs are on track for improvement.<p>
<a href="http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/06/gas-centrifuge-versus-laser-uranium.html" rel="nofollow">Laser uranium enrichment 3-10 times cheaper and more efficient<p>
Existing nuclear power plants are getting 20 year extensions and power uprates.<br>
MIT/Westinghouse commercializing new 50% power uprates for annular fuel.<br>
</br></br></p></a></p></p></p></p></p></p></p></br></p></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>Where is this decades long collapse of nuclear ?<p>The nuclear illusion looks at the data from 2000 forward but claims a decades (plural at least two decades and Lovins has been claiming nuclear collapse since the 1970s) long collapse.<p>
Since 1980, nuclear power TWH has increased by over 400%.<br>
&lt;img src="http://www.world-nuclear.org/images/info/neprod.gif"&gt;<p>
The charts that Lovins uses are only looking at 2000 forward or look at "new additions" when the bulk of nuclear power generation increases was from operating improvement and uprates to existing reactors.<p>
The "micropower" is mostly natural gas of small and big sizes. Natural gas has 4 deaths per TWH (Externe source). So 2500 Twh (to displace nuclear power) would be 10,000 deaths per year.<p>
Natural gas is not renewable. So is Lovins advocating an increase of more than double the US military deaths of the 5+ years of the Iraq war every year from more natural gas air pollution and other causes ?<p>
All energy build costs went up with the increase in commodity prices (steel, concrete, oil)<p>
There are wind turbine shortages and backorders for several years for the large efficient turbines.<p>
Nuclear operating costs are on track for improvement.<p>
<a href="http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/06/gas-centrifuge-versus-laser-uranium.html" rel="nofollow">Laser uranium enrichment 3-10 times cheaper and more efficient<p>
Existing nuclear power plants are getting 20 year extensions and power uprates.<br>
MIT/Westinghouse commercializing new 50% power uprates for annular fuel.<br>
</br></br></p></a></p></p></p></p></p></p></p></br></p></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #9 by advancednano</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 02:38:04 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/9</guid>
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				<p><strong>Link to the chart of world nuclear power increase<p><a href="http://www.world-nuclear.org/images/info/neprod.gif" rel="nofollow">Link to the chart of nuclear power TWH increase</a></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>Link to the chart of world nuclear power increase<p><a href="http://www.world-nuclear.org/images/info/neprod.gif" rel="nofollow">Link to the chart of nuclear power TWH increase</a></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #10 by amazingdrx</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 02:53:01 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/10</guid>
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				<p><strong>Fund phase IV</strong></p><p>In the form of experimental waste recycling reactors. &nbsp;It's just that simple to deal with this issue for the next 10 years. &nbsp;</p><p>
Let them build three different designs. &nbsp;At the very least maybe they can treat the waste they already created?</p><p>
Get the nuclear lobby out of the way of this renewable/conservation energy revolution. &nbsp;Let the nuclear priesthood cloister in their remote monasteries, in yucca mountain like environs maybe.</p><p>
Will they emerge with a fine wine, or (radioactive) vinegar to show for the billions of tax dollars spent on research. &nbsp;We'll see.</p><p>
I think they are incompetent and delusional and are used to having every huge error they make overlooked. &nbsp;but that's just my opinion. &nbsp;Let them take a decade to prove it, hehehey.

<p>http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog</p></p>
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				<p><strong>Fund phase IV</strong></p><p>In the form of experimental waste recycling reactors. &nbsp;It's just that simple to deal with this issue for the next 10 years. &nbsp;</p><p>
Let them build three different designs. &nbsp;At the very least maybe they can treat the waste they already created?</p><p>
Get the nuclear lobby out of the way of this renewable/conservation energy revolution. &nbsp;Let the nuclear priesthood cloister in their remote monasteries, in yucca mountain like environs maybe.</p><p>
Will they emerge with a fine wine, or (radioactive) vinegar to show for the billions of tax dollars spent on research. &nbsp;We'll see.</p><p>
I think they are incompetent and delusional and are used to having every huge error they make overlooked. &nbsp;but that's just my opinion. &nbsp;Let them take a decade to prove it, hehehey.

<p>http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #11 by President Lindsay</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 06:36:06 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/11</guid>
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				<p><strong>Let's go with that analogy</strong></p><p>Actually they did cloister in rather spartan environs, working up in Idaho for ten years or so. The IFR is the fine wine they came up with which can quite readily dispose of all the nuclear waste on the planet and provide all the energy humanity needs for the next several hundred years without mining any more uranium to fuel them.</p><p>
Your analogy of high priests is probably apt, though. Like deep spiritual mysteries, the vast majority of people know not a whit about nuclear fission, and must get their information from those who do (or claim to), and from that they form their opinions, often fanatical ones. So you've got the real nuclear physicists and engineers who could be compared to the mystics, few in number but steeped in the most intimate knowledge of the mysteries. Then you've got the regular clergy, in this case personified by the private utility companies who understand it all pretty well but whose main interest is in keeping the hierarchy stable and making some bucks while they do it. Then you've got the tent show revivalists, TV evangelists, and street corner nutjobs who rant and rave about something they know little or nothing about but who know they can make a buck off the fear and ignorance of the public.</p><p>
You're free to listen to whoever you like. But I say we should get all the people who are trying to make a buck off it--private utilities and scaremongers alike--out of the picture. Let's take the best of the mystics' knowledge and harness it for the good of humankind. Energy should be a human right just like health care, and neither should have to be profit centers.</p>
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				<p><strong>Let's go with that analogy</strong></p><p>Actually they did cloister in rather spartan environs, working up in Idaho for ten years or so. The IFR is the fine wine they came up with which can quite readily dispose of all the nuclear waste on the planet and provide all the energy humanity needs for the next several hundred years without mining any more uranium to fuel them.</p><p>
Your analogy of high priests is probably apt, though. Like deep spiritual mysteries, the vast majority of people know not a whit about nuclear fission, and must get their information from those who do (or claim to), and from that they form their opinions, often fanatical ones. So you've got the real nuclear physicists and engineers who could be compared to the mystics, few in number but steeped in the most intimate knowledge of the mysteries. Then you've got the regular clergy, in this case personified by the private utility companies who understand it all pretty well but whose main interest is in keeping the hierarchy stable and making some bucks while they do it. Then you've got the tent show revivalists, TV evangelists, and street corner nutjobs who rant and rave about something they know little or nothing about but who know they can make a buck off the fear and ignorance of the public.</p><p>
You're free to listen to whoever you like. But I say we should get all the people who are trying to make a buck off it--private utilities and scaremongers alike--out of the picture. Let's take the best of the mystics' knowledge and harness it for the good of humankind. Energy should be a human right just like health care, and neither should have to be profit centers.</p>
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            <title>Comment #12 by David Roberts</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 06:40:35 -0700</pubDate>
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				<p><strong>Ha</strong></p><p>Energy should be a human right just like health care, and neither should have to be profit centers.</p><p>
Spoken like a man whose favored technology private investors won't touch with a ten foot pole!

<p>grist.org</p></p>
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				<p><strong>Ha</strong></p><p>Energy should be a human right just like health care, and neither should have to be profit centers.</p><p>
Spoken like a man whose favored technology private investors won't touch with a ten foot pole!

<p>grist.org</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #13 by GRLCowan</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 08:06:37 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/13</guid>
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				<p><strong>President Lindsay isn't as attuned ...<p>to the fossil-taxing-governments-hate-nukes meme as I would like. His favoured 'mystics' tend to be nuclear technologists whom government has long favoured, with steady employment, precisely because the technologies they like to work on, or are willing to work on, solve problems that don't exist. Reprocessing, transmutation, breeder reactors ... none of them is at all offensive to civil servants. To those civil servants on whose mind always, and on whose lips never, oil and gas tax revenues are.<p>
He likes public enterprise. That might be fine, but not when the public's hired help is the biggest oil and gas rentier, and behaves, in re nuclear energy, exactly as would an oil/gas company with law-making powers would.<p>
--- G.R.L. Cowan, H2 energy fan 'til ~1996<br>
<a href="http://www.eagle.ca/~gcowan/Paper_for_11th_CHC.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.eagle.ca/~gcowan/Paper_for_11th_CHC.html</a></br></p></p></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>President Lindsay isn't as attuned ...<p>to the fossil-taxing-governments-hate-nukes meme as I would like. His favoured 'mystics' tend to be nuclear technologists whom government has long favoured, with steady employment, precisely because the technologies they like to work on, or are willing to work on, solve problems that don't exist. Reprocessing, transmutation, breeder reactors ... none of them is at all offensive to civil servants. To those civil servants on whose mind always, and on whose lips never, oil and gas tax revenues are.<p>
He likes public enterprise. That might be fine, but not when the public's hired help is the biggest oil and gas rentier, and behaves, in re nuclear energy, exactly as would an oil/gas company with law-making powers would.<p>
--- G.R.L. Cowan, H2 energy fan 'til ~1996<br>
<a href="http://www.eagle.ca/~gcowan/Paper_for_11th_CHC.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.eagle.ca/~gcowan/Paper_for_11th_CHC.html</a></br></p></p></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #14 by advancednano</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 11:29:00 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/14</guid>
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				<p><strong>micropower = diesel (oil), natural gas and biomass<p><a href="http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/06/amory-lovins-distorts-nuclear-energy.html" rel="nofollow"><br>
The "micropower" is mostly diesel, biomass and natural gas of small and big sizes. The diesel (oil) portion is 35 deaths per TWH. The biomass about 10 deaths per TWH (35,000 deaths per year if diesel was the main source). Natural gas has 4 deaths per TWH (Externe source). So 2500 Twh (to displace nuclear power) would be 10,000 deaths per year. <p>
The blended rate of deaths per TWH from micropower is over 12 deaths per TWH. Far higher than the 0.65 deaths per TWH calculated by Externe for nuclear power. Even if the micropower deaths per TWH was cut in half for lower distribution losses the number is still far higher. Diesel and natural gas are not renewable. Over 75% of the power that Lovins is talking about is diesel, natural gas and biomass.</p></br></a></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>micropower = diesel (oil), natural gas and biomass<p><a href="http://nextbigfuture.com/2008/06/amory-lovins-distorts-nuclear-energy.html" rel="nofollow"><br>
The "micropower" is mostly diesel, biomass and natural gas of small and big sizes. The diesel (oil) portion is 35 deaths per TWH. The biomass about 10 deaths per TWH (35,000 deaths per year if diesel was the main source). Natural gas has 4 deaths per TWH (Externe source). So 2500 Twh (to displace nuclear power) would be 10,000 deaths per year. <p>
The blended rate of deaths per TWH from micropower is over 12 deaths per TWH. Far higher than the 0.65 deaths per TWH calculated by Externe for nuclear power. Even if the micropower deaths per TWH was cut in half for lower distribution losses the number is still far higher. Diesel and natural gas are not renewable. Over 75% of the power that Lovins is talking about is diesel, natural gas and biomass.</p></br></a></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #15 by President Lindsay</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jun 2008 10:27:35 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/15</guid>
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				<p><strong>Now you're gettin' it</strong></p><p>Spoken like a man whose favored technology private investors won't touch with a ten foot pole!</p><p>
Precisely. Did you know that 26% of the electricity people consume in the USA is provided by nonprofit organizations? Who's to say we couldn't make it 100%? Getting the private investors out of it is exactly my point. That 26% get their electricity more reliably and at a discount of about 18%.</p>
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				<p><strong>Now you're gettin' it</strong></p><p>Spoken like a man whose favored technology private investors won't touch with a ten foot pole!</p><p>
Precisely. Did you know that 26% of the electricity people consume in the USA is provided by nonprofit organizations? Who's to say we couldn't make it 100%? Getting the private investors out of it is exactly my point. That 26% get their electricity more reliably and at a discount of about 18%.</p>
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            <title>Comment #16 by anyone</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/</link>
			<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jul 2008 08:43:22 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/nuclear-deterrence-part-two/16</guid>
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				<p><strong>No one stops you<p>Go ahead spend all your private savings on nuclear, but please, please stop asking for tax dollars.<br>
<a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=15545418" rel="nofollow">http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=1554 ...<br>
<a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89169837" rel="nofollow">http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=8916 ...<p>
After 60 years of massive public funding, it's time for nuclear to learn to walk on its own feet.</p></a></br></a></br></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>No one stops you<p>Go ahead spend all your private savings on nuclear, but please, please stop asking for tax dollars.<br>
<a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=15545418" rel="nofollow">http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=1554 ...<br>
<a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=89169837" rel="nofollow">http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=8916 ...<p>
After 60 years of massive public funding, it's time for nuclear to learn to walk on its own feet.</p></a></br></a></br></p></strong></p>
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