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	<title><![CDATA[Grist - Comment Feed for &#8216;Hansen has been wrong before&#8217;&#8212;Maybe, but not about the climate!]]></title>
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            <title>Comment #1 by EliRabett</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 16 Dec 2006 11:35:20 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/1</guid>
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				<p><strong>It was not unfortunate</strong></p><p>Michaels actions were deliberate and dishonest.</p>
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				<p><strong>It was not unfortunate</strong></p><p>Michaels actions were deliberate and dishonest.</p>
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            <title>Comment #2 by Coby Beck</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 16 Dec 2006 16:04:24 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/2</guid>
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				<p><strong>no argument here</strong></p><p>Yes, deliberate and dishonest. &nbsp;And unfortunate for the truth.

<p>Invent a clever saying, and your name will live forever!

-- Anonymous</p></p>
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				<p><strong>no argument here</strong></p><p>Yes, deliberate and dishonest. &nbsp;And unfortunate for the truth.

<p>Invent a clever saying, and your name will live forever!

-- Anonymous</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #3 by GreyFlcn</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 10 Apr 2007 18:01:35 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/3</guid>
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				<p><strong>Heh</strong></p><p>Both Michaels.</p>
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				<p><strong>Heh</strong></p><p>Both Michaels.</p>
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            <title>Comment #4 by MarkUK</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 10 Apr 2007 23:12:35 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/4</guid>
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				<p><strong>No but, yes but...</strong></p><p>I think the argument I read once (on SciGuy) was that even if this graph is right Hansen was going all over Washington with a different graph only showing the worst case scenario. Only at this &nbsp;testimony did he produce the full version.</p><p>
In other words Hansen is supposed to be a liar too cowardly to lie at a Congressional testimony and therefore the fact that he was right on the mark with his prediction is irrelevant. Or something like it. I'm still to really comprehend the thinking these people use.</p>
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				<p><strong>No but, yes but...</strong></p><p>I think the argument I read once (on SciGuy) was that even if this graph is right Hansen was going all over Washington with a different graph only showing the worst case scenario. Only at this &nbsp;testimony did he produce the full version.</p><p>
In other words Hansen is supposed to be a liar too cowardly to lie at a Congressional testimony and therefore the fact that he was right on the mark with his prediction is irrelevant. Or something like it. I'm still to really comprehend the thinking these people use.</p>
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            <title>Comment #5 by Coby Beck</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 12:09:10 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/5</guid>
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				<p><strong>interesting logic!</strong></p><p>Hi MarkUK,</p><p>
Ok, I see what they are saying. &nbsp;Hansen is too cowardly to lie to a Senate hearing, whereas Patrick Michaels isn't! &nbsp;So we obviously should put our trust more in Michaels...or something.

<p>"What if this weren't a hypothetical question?"
-- unknown</p></p>
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				<p><strong>interesting logic!</strong></p><p>Hi MarkUK,</p><p>
Ok, I see what they are saying. &nbsp;Hansen is too cowardly to lie to a Senate hearing, whereas Patrick Michaels isn't! &nbsp;So we obviously should put our trust more in Michaels...or something.

<p>"What if this weren't a hypothetical question?"
-- unknown</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #6 by GreyFlcn</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 13:20:17 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/6</guid>
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				<p><strong>There's<p>There's a really good comparison of the charts over here:<p>
<a href="http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-dont-work.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-do ...<p>
As Hansen said when he presented it. &nbsp;Scenario B was most likely.<p>
And guess what, scenario B is tracking almost perfectly. &nbsp;(And he gave this thing way back in 1989)</p></p></a></p></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>There's<p>There's a really good comparison of the charts over here:<p>
<a href="http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-dont-work.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-do ...<p>
As Hansen said when he presented it. &nbsp;Scenario B was most likely.<p>
And guess what, scenario B is tracking almost perfectly. &nbsp;(And he gave this thing way back in 1989)</p></p></a></p></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #7 by GreyFlcn</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 13:25:58 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/7</guid>
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				<p><strong>wups.<p>Heh, well he showed it in congress in 1998.<p>
But he was talking about it since 1989<br>
<a href="http://greyfalcon.net/lindzen2.png" rel="nofollow">http://greyfalcon.net/lindzen2.png<p>
^ Vintage stuff. &nbsp;Still current ;D<p>
(Note how it's published in "American Tobacco Magazine")</p></p></a></br></p></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>wups.<p>Heh, well he showed it in congress in 1998.<p>
But he was talking about it since 1989<br>
<a href="http://greyfalcon.net/lindzen2.png" rel="nofollow">http://greyfalcon.net/lindzen2.png<p>
^ Vintage stuff. &nbsp;Still current ;D<p>
(Note how it's published in "American Tobacco Magazine")</p></p></a></br></p></p></strong></p>
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            <title>Comment #8 by Zarkov</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2007 16:51:16 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/8</guid>
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				<p><strong>What exactly are emissions ?</strong></p><p>&gt;&gt; He lied by omission &gt;&gt;<br>
Classic establishment tactics</p><p>
Hansen is from NASA</p><p>
I wonder what was the make up of what he termed "emissions".</p><p>
This point may be the most critical point in his estimations.</br></p>
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				<p><strong>What exactly are emissions ?</strong></p><p>&gt;&gt; He lied by omission &gt;&gt;<br>
Classic establishment tactics</p><p>
Hansen is from NASA</p><p>
I wonder what was the make up of what he termed "emissions".</p><p>
This point may be the most critical point in his estimations.</br></p>
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            <title>Comment #9 by Coby Beck</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Sat, 14 Apr 2007 19:07:41 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/9</guid>
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				<p><strong>just check</strong></p><p>zarkov,</p><p>
instead of making sinister insunuations, why don't you just click the references and find out? &nbsp;Hansen's papers and the GISS climate models address all of the major climate forcings: CO2, CH4, NO2, ozone (stratosperic and tropospheric), solar irradiance, volcanic SO2, anthro aerosols, albedo changes and many others.

<p>"What if this weren't a hypothetical question?"
-- unknown</p></p>
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				<p><strong>just check</strong></p><p>zarkov,</p><p>
instead of making sinister insunuations, why don't you just click the references and find out? &nbsp;Hansen's papers and the GISS climate models address all of the major climate forcings: CO2, CH4, NO2, ozone (stratosperic and tropospheric), solar irradiance, volcanic SO2, anthro aerosols, albedo changes and many others.

<p>"What if this weren't a hypothetical question?"
-- unknown</p></p>
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            <title>Comment #10 by Bengt Washburn</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Tue, 06 Nov 2007 07:18:50 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/10</guid>
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				<p><strong>Very interesting</strong></p><p>I could see BOTH men lying, especially while trapsing about Washington. When in Rome... Although lying is wrong, it doesn't make their science wrong.</p>
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				<p><strong>Very interesting</strong></p><p>I could see BOTH men lying, especially while trapsing about Washington. When in Rome... Although lying is wrong, it doesn't make their science wrong.</p>
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            <title>Comment #11 by wmanny</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Mon, 05 May 2008 23:52:29 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/11</guid>
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				<p><strong>Hansen's own words</strong></p><p>From the 1988 Congressional record (EMPHASIS MINE):</p><p>
Hansen: "We have considered several scenarios because there are uncertainties in the exact trace gas growth in the past and especially in the future. &nbsp;We have considered cases ranging from BUSINESS AS USUAL, WHICH IS SCENARIO A, to draconian emission cuts, scenario C, which would totally eliminate net trace gas growth by the year 2000."</p><p>
He certainly opened himself up for the interpretation that he preferred scenerio A, given the low probability there would be any emissions changes.</p>
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				<p><strong>Hansen's own words</strong></p><p>From the 1988 Congressional record (EMPHASIS MINE):</p><p>
Hansen: "We have considered several scenarios because there are uncertainties in the exact trace gas growth in the past and especially in the future. &nbsp;We have considered cases ranging from BUSINESS AS USUAL, WHICH IS SCENARIO A, to draconian emission cuts, scenario C, which would totally eliminate net trace gas growth by the year 2000."</p><p>
He certainly opened himself up for the interpretation that he preferred scenerio A, given the low probability there would be any emissions changes.</p>
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            <title>Comment #12 by wmanny</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 07 May 2008 04:07:04 -0700</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/12</guid>
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				<p><strong>Hansen Scenarios vs. Observed</strong></p><p>There is no longer the need to chart Hansen's predictions, even his retroactively preferred Scenario B, against observed temperatures conveniently ending in 1998. &nbsp;It is now 2008, and none of Hansen's scenarios have been accurate for ten years. &nbsp;He is now warning us about a potential SIX degree upward move. &nbsp;Perhaps, just perhaps, the man has an agenda.</p>
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				<p><strong>Hansen Scenarios vs. Observed</strong></p><p>There is no longer the need to chart Hansen's predictions, even his retroactively preferred Scenario B, against observed temperatures conveniently ending in 1998. &nbsp;It is now 2008, and none of Hansen's scenarios have been accurate for ten years. &nbsp;He is now warning us about a potential SIX degree upward move. &nbsp;Perhaps, just perhaps, the man has an agenda.</p>
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            <title>Comment #13 by 314159265</title>
			<link>http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/</link>
			<pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 23:55:51 -0800</pubDate>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.grist.org/article/hansen-has-been-wrong-before/13</guid>
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				<p><strong>BS!<p>wmanny, have a look at <a href="http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-dont-work.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-do ...<br>
(already linked above)<p>
<a href="http://rabett.blogspot.com/2006/06/business-as-usual-in-1988-more-silly.html" rel="nofollow">http://rabett.blogspot.com/2006/06/business-as-usual-in-1 ...<br>
(details scenario changes)<p>
That's all from 2006. Now don't say it's therefore invalid.

<p>Mars J. Pictor Florifulgurator, Western Bavarian Forest.</p></p></br></a></p></br></a></p></strong></p>
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				<p><strong>BS!<p>wmanny, have a look at <a href="http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-dont-work.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.logicalscience.com/skeptic_arguments/models-do ...<br>
(already linked above)<p>
<a href="http://rabett.blogspot.com/2006/06/business-as-usual-in-1988-more-silly.html" rel="nofollow">http://rabett.blogspot.com/2006/06/business-as-usual-in-1 ...<br>
(details scenario changes)<p>
That's all from 2006. Now don't say it's therefore invalid.

<p>Mars J. Pictor Florifulgurator, Western Bavarian Forest.</p></p></br></a></p></br></a></p></strong></p>
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