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Fill 'er Up: A Grist special series on biofuels
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On the Road AgainHow the world got addicted to oil, and where biofuels will take us04 Dec 2006
If oil is over, what's on the horizon?
Photo: house.gov
But as we plunge headfirst into a sea of biofuel -- both in the energy-hungry world and in this Grist special series -- it's worth looking back at previous energy transitions to gain insight into the current one. Oil and the "Sea of Troubles"During the buildup to World War I, the British Royal Navy faced a momentous decision: keep running its ships on stodgy but plentiful Welsh coal, or switch to a promising alternative fuel concentrated mainly in distant Persia (Iran). An ambivalent British official invoked Hamlet: "To commit the Navy irrevocably to oil was indeed to 'take arms against a sea of troubles.'" That official, a young Winston Churchill, eventually convinced the Navy to choose petroleum -- the decisive moment in oil's triumph over coal and biomass.
Winston Churchill.
In that time, those in developed countries have become accustomed to living in brutally hot places without breaking a sweat, and in bitter-cold climes without needing to split a single log. We regularly achieve the dream of medieval kings: to consume products from around the globe. Moreover, we've grown used to zipping about at will in private motored pods and giant flying machines -- easily traversing, as Freud memorably put it when describing the miracle of the telephone, distances that "would be respected as unattainable even in a fairy tale." Curses, Roiled AgainBut Churchill's "sea of troubles," which had been relatively calm since the first Gulf War, is now roiled again. The inflation-adjusted price of a barrel of crude has leapt nearly sixfold since 1998, driven at least in part by new demand from rapidly industrializing China and India, the world's most populous nations. A growing school of thought claims that global oil production has peaked, or soon will. If correct, the "peak oil" prognosis means that the recent price surge is merely the prologue of a long-term trend. Meanwhile, for the second time in a little over a decade, the U.S. is embroiled in a war involving Iraq, site of the world's second-largest oil reserves. (In Churchill's day, Iraq was known as Mesopotamia -- and its oil wealth had already made it the subject of much great-power geopolitical wrangling.) The current Iraq war has lapsed into chaos, and Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz reckons its final cost could reach a staggering $2 trillion. An introduction to Grist's special series on biofuels.
Can My Car Do That? Find out which cars can run on ethanol and biodiesel.
The Big Three. The numbers behind ethanol, cellulosic ethanol, and biodiesel in the U.S.
What About the Land? A look at the impacts of biofuels production, in the U.S. and the world.
Give Green, Go Yellow. How cash and corporate pressure pushed ethanol to the fore.
More articles on biofuels.
What, then, to do? There are no easy answers. When the Royal Navy switched to crude oil, there were fewer than 2 billion people in the world. Today, global population stands above 6.5 billion. Demographers figure population will top 9 billion before 2050. In this context, can we maintain the energy-intensive lifestyles of the post-industrial north, accommodate new energy demands from rapidly industrializing nations, and slash carbon emissions? Biofuel derived from vegetation presents an attractive solution. Unlike crude oil, a rich concentration of carbon leached from the atmosphere over eons, biofuel stores carbon that's currently within the atmospheric cycle. Burning it theoretically doesn't add to the atmosphere's net carbon balance. And while oil tends, perhaps because of the wealth and power it confers on its controllers, to be concentrated in politically unstable areas, the feedstock for biofuel is potentially ubiquitous: It literally springs from the ground beneath our feet. Yet for all of its allure, biofuel represents no panacea for our energy troubles. Over the next two weeks, Grist will probe the promise and perils of our growing reliance on biofuels. Our premise is this: Churchill's "sea of troubles" metaphor proved prescient at the dawn of oil dominance, and environmentalists should remember it as we lunge into the biofuel age. |
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Fill 'er Up. A Grist special series on biofuels.
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