Comments mspelto has made
BBC Coverage
You have merely to read the first few pages of the summary report and examine the charts contained to see the significance. The BBC has the most reporting I have seen. A sobering report indeed.On IPCC synthesis report confirms global warming is a force to be reckoned with posted 2 years ago 7 Responses
Missing an even more important fact
Clinton and Gore were out front helping lead the charge internationally on the issue. No congress wanted no part of it at the time, but as a professional glaciologist for 24 years, I know from internatinal science meetings that we were seen as a leader then. Today we are seen as being an anchor and it is all about the president in the minds of the international scientists I talk with.
mspelto
On Bush is working with a much stronger consensus posted 2 years, 7 months ago 10 ResponsesRun of river
This would beyond a doubt add water to the system, with those evaporative losses. The timing of this addition would be the problem, more water in the spring, less in summer and fall. Evaluating hydro projects for FERC I occassionally see a run of river project which extracts water from the stream, when flow is large enough to handle the loss, pipe it for some distance until the river valley has dropped then, have it descend on the turbines like usual, without needing the dam. Instead of backing up the river with a reservoir to raise it, you just take the water from further upstream and pipe it to your destination, even if it for drinking. This does not seem like a good idea here, but has merit in places
mspelto
On ... before nature does it for us posted 2 years, 7 months ago 6 ResponsesOne in hundred
Between studies in Alaska and Washington I have observed terminus behavior of 130 glaciers over the last 25 years, one of them is advancing, teh Taku Glacier and 124 are retreating and five have disappeared. North Cascade Glacier Climate Project
mspelto
On 'But the glaciers are not melting'--Except ... they are! posted 2 years, 7 months ago 3 ResponsesTip of the Iceberg
The number of glaciers referenced above is the tip of the iceberg of the number observed. Terminus fluctuations reported to the World Glacier Monitoring Service numbered 546 for the 1995-2000 period. Terminus behavior reflects mass balance change. Positive mass balance indicates surplus snowfall over ablation, and leads to advance. Negative balances result from excess melt and lead to retreat. The retreat is like jettisoning debt for a glacier. If it cannot jettison enough debt through time via retreat it will disappear. In the North Cascades of Washington we observe mass balance on ten glaciers each year and terminus behavior of 47, all 47 have either been retreating or disappeared. We have also noted that of the 756 glaciers in the North Cascades noted by the USGS based on maps from the 1955-1965 period, 53 have disappeared. I could go from nation to nation noting the number of glacier observed by myself and fellow glaciologists it is extensive indeed.
mspelto
On 'Glaciers have always grown and receded'--A few glaciers melting does not mean global warming posted 2 years, 7 months ago 14 ResponsesLindzen loves the spotlight
As a glaciologist and a climate scientist I first met Lindzen 24 years ago, at a conference that focussed on the threats of global warming. Over the years it has been interesting to see him backpedal from sulfates will cause more cooling than CO2 warming, to it is going to be a wash, to it is definetly going to warm up but not much, to it is warming up but it will be good. He loves the spotlight, always has, and he has gained it and held it by being a contrarian on the issue. Most scientists I know, including many contributing to the IPCC, consistently avoid that same spotlight, and try to let the data speak for them.
mspelto
On For shame! posted 2 years, 7 months ago 23 ResponsesGood analogy
Using budget examples is the best way to bring a message home. Having observed 47 North Cascades glaciers every year since 1984, well actually only 43 are left, we have noted that a small percent change in snowmelt compounds quite dramatically. We measure glacier mass balance, and if glacier snowmelt increases by 3%, than the mass of the glacier declines by a like amount each year, rather quickly leading to its disappearance. Glacier mass balance is an annual budget, they have income snowfall and expenditures snowmelt. If there is a deficit they have to pay it out of pocket, depleting the glacier. North Cascade Glacier Research
mspelto
On How can 3 percent be important? posted 2 years, 8 months ago 22 Responsesperson by person
Just like politics sometimes you have to convince people one person at a time, personally. That means we need more people who are revealing the science. As a glaciologist who has monitored glaciers for 25 years, I cannot make it through a single day without being asked about global warming. I than talk to them about glacier after glacier that shows what is happening. On Can Al Gore's message be tailored for kids? posted 2 years, 8 months ago 16 Responses