Comments samircmi has made

  • hydro

    Pumped hydro is great where you have two existing reservoirs at large differential heights. If you try to build it from scratch its expensive and often has some pretty serious env impact issues. I think the consensus is that there isn't a big potential for large expansions in pumped hydro, but having said that, there are plans in Portugal to expand pumped hydro to 1 GW over the next ten years to support their projected growth of wind.On American Electric Power to install large battery banks to store wind energy posted 2 years, 2 months ago 10 Responses

  • bottling the wind

    I liked the last paragraph too

    A range of options is available for the remainder of the storage, including the use of plug-in hybrid cars, Mr. English said. The idea behind plug-in hybrids is that the owner of a car would charge the batteries every night when demand and cost of electricity were low. The next day, under a contract between the utility company and the driver, the car would be left plugged when not in use, and the power company could reverse the flow of electricity and draw power out of its batteries during times of peak demand.

    The idea of moving our cars with wind-generated electricity sounds great to me.

    Its puzzling to me though that they didn't mention compressed air energy storage (CAES), which as the ESA figure linked to above shows, is the lowest cost bulk storage technology. It can also ramp quickly, operate at high efficiency under part load, and appears to be widely available in wind-rich regions throughout the continental united states. The capital cost looks too high to make it readily economic, but it certainly looks better than sodium sulfur batteries in the short run. I guess blowing air underground is less sexy than high-tech batteries.

    (Matt Wald's "Storing Sunshine" in the  July 16th NYT does mention CAES however)

    Sean asked about additional motivations for storage beyond simple arbitrage. One big one is transmission constraints. Storage allows you to put much more wind capacity behind a given transmission line and also allows you to run the line from the wind farm at a higher capacity factor thus better utilizing the transmission capital. If we start building dedicated transmission lines to remote wind resources, storage may become increasingly important.

    Another reason to consider storage is that at high penetrations wind gets a smaller capacity credit. The declining load carrying capacity means that you need something else on line to come on when there is a lull. In the limit of high wind penetrations the value of wind is just the variable cost of running an open cycle gas turbine or something similar which can ramp quickly. So storage (together with other strategies like coupling geographically separated and temporally uncorrelated wind farms) can help firm up wind at high penetrations.

    It also means that you use less fossil fired capacity to back wind. Remember that wind capacity factors are like 25-35%, so even if you have your wind capacity matched to your peak load, a large chunk of your energy is still coming from some other source. If that source is hydro (as in Denmark, with neighboring Norway providing lots of balancing) then no problem. If you are balancing with natural gas or even worse an old intermediate load coal plant, then you are really not doing a great job cutting CO2 emissions.

    So if you have lots of transmission capacity to spare and can tie wind farms across the country, or if you have lots of eco-friendly hydro (not a lot of that in the great plains though), then you might not need storage. Otherwise, storage might be a good thing to consider. And considering lots of transmission projects are facing huge NIMBY (not in my backyard) and BANANA (build absolutley nothing anywhere near anything) issues, storage could likely play a big role as wind continues to expandOn American Electric Power to install large battery banks to store wind energy posted 2 years, 2 months ago 10 Responses

  • err....

    If you start with the assumption that you need to preserve the coal industry, then you've started on the wrong foot already.

    The coal industry does not lack a place at any table in US politics.  I agree that carbon policy moves forward faster if more constituencies see it in their best interest (e.g. converting closing GM plants into wind turbine manufacturing facilities) but framing CCS as a way to preserve an industry is exactly the wrong approach.

    Once viable technologies are established, there's ways forward that take into consideration all stockholders, but we can't define the future by what came before. Especially when it comes to allocating money for research, development and demonstration plants.

    "If I had asked my customers what they wanted, they'd have asked for a faster horse." - Henry FordOn Carbon sequestration is a costly alternative to renewables, not a transition to them posted 2 years, 2 months ago 21 Responses

  • agreed!

    Efficiency? YES! Renewables? YES!

    I agree, I agree, I agree. Lets do all of it!

    But if CCS gives a way to make climate change mitigation easier, then lets take look at it. The carbon price needed to bring in CCS for power generation (~$30/tCO2) is equivalent to about 25¢/gal of gasoline. Is that really that much? And even if it is, thats not a reason to ignore it as a potential solution given the urgency of the problem. Any technology that has the potential to get us off of "business as usual" in a significant way and quickly is worth pursuing.

    I'm just going throw this out again because its worth repeating - when I saw if the first time it really conveyed the urgency of this issue to me:


    Base on current trends (BAU), the emissions from coal plants in the 2003-2030 time period will be comparable to all the carbon emitted from coal plants over the past 250 years

    (Socolow, R., 2005: Can we bury global warming?, Scientific American, pp. 49-55, July)

    On Carbon sequestration is a costly alternative to renewables, not a transition to them posted 2 years, 2 months ago 21 Responses
  • the expense of coal

    If you're saying that coal is expensive when you take into account externalities, then I totally agree. What I'm saying is that supercritical steam coal-fired power plants currently enjoy a high rate of return compared to other forms of electricity generation. That is what's fueling an expansion of coal capacity. Thats the reality and any solution that stops an SCS plant and puts a low-carbon alternative in its place is something that merits consideration regardless of what fuel it uses.

    Regading the possibliity of China pursuing IGCC with CCS - all I can say is that buying down the costs of the technology can only make it easier to promote adoption of the technology. There are already plans for huge increases in wind capacity in China (last year was astonishing in terms of growth rate), but its not putting any brakes on the expansion of conventional coal. Making the alternative cheaper may not be enough, but it may be a step in the right direction. Perhaps this combined with CDM-type instruments and international pressure....

    I'm open to all possibilities at this point. I'm just saying don't rule out CCS just because it requires an equivalent carbon price of $30/tCO2 todayOn Carbon sequestration is a costly alternative to renewables, not a transition to them posted 2 years, 2 months ago 21 Responses

  • big picture

    This is not just about US tax subsidies because its not about just the US. This expansion in coal capacity is already well underway in China, and I honestly don't see a way to influence what is happening in emerging economies other than by to lead by example. China has extensive gasification experience and a deep concern for air quality issues. If pilot plants in OECD countries can reduce the "first-mover" risk with CCS, there is a good chance it could be deployed quickly on a large scale.  We can say we hate coal, but its a cheap commodity with a stable price that is readily available in many regions of the world. Its going to be used one way or another (at least in the short term). We can't wave the renewables flag and ignore the fact that coal still makes good business sense. What has already started in China is beginning here. Despite the backlash against many proposed coal plants, many are still moving forward at breakneck speeds and many more are being planned. If we miss this boat the emissions from coal plants through 2030 will be comparable to all the coal emissions over the past 250 years [1]. OECD countries need to take a leadership role now.

    1 Socolow, R., 2005: Can we bury global warming?, Scientific American, pp. 49-55, July
    On Carbon sequestration is a costly alternative to renewables, not a transition to them posted 2 years, 2 months ago 21 Responses

  • Its not either-or

    Frankly we need to pursue both CCS and renewables aggressively. The argument for CCS is not to delay renewables, but to give us something to mitigate the carbon emissions from 100's of GW of coal capacity that are in the planning stages today. Even if wind maintains its 20+% growth rates (thats in the US), its growing from such a small base that it would take many years to supply a significant fraction of electricity demand. Add to that the huge lead times for transmission infrastructure additions (needed to support massive increases in wind), and you realize that we can't afford to put all our hopes on one ship. Other renewable technologies are even further away.
    Today's high natural gas prices coupled with long lead times for nuclear means that coal is coming back in a big way whether we like it or not. A carbon management regime may mitigate this in the future, but CCS is a technology that should be pursued aggressively today together with every other option on the table.On Carbon sequestration is a costly alternative to renewables, not a transition to them posted 2 years, 2 months ago 21 Responses

  • Carbon Neutral with Biomass Co-gasification

    Co-processing coal and biomass could reduce carbon emissions from synthetic fuels. The use of coal gives you the scale economies needed for these types of plants as well as the ability to use existing technology (co-gasification with biomass is already being done) and the biomass input with carbon capture and storage gives you negative emissions which brings the overall emission rate down to near-neutral thus making this approach viable in a carbon-constrained world.


    With CCS, the GHG emission rate for coal F-T liquids could be reduced to about the rate for crude oil-derived fuels. The net GHG emission rate could be reduced further, to near zero, via coprocessing biomass and coal with CCS so as to exploit the negative emissions of storing photosynthetic CO2. At a carbon price of $100/tC the co-processing option is the most economically attractive of all the options considered for F-T liquids production and requires far less net biomass input to realize near zero GHG emissions than conventional biofuels such as cellulosic ethanol.
    If the CO2 captured in F-T or IGCC plants were used for CO2-EOR, the economics of CO2 capture and storage would often be attractive even at a carbon price of $0/tC. CO2-EOR  pportunities in the USA (and perhaps elsewhere) are sufficiently large to make the CO2-EOR application an attractive way to gain extensive near-term experience with gasification-based energy and CCS technologies and the opportunity to "buy down" the costs of these technologies substantially as a result of learning by doing.

    http://www.princeton.edu/~ssuccar/Williams_Pres_NETL_2007 ...

    http://www.princeton.edu/~ssuccar/Williams_GHGT8_2006.pdf ...
    On Coal-to-liquid is a dead end if there's a price on CO2 posted 2 years, 2 months ago 3 Responses

  • We Need Every Tool and We Need To Get Started FAST

    We need every single tool at our disposal to address the climate problem. CO2-EOR is one of the lowest-cost near-term opportunities for establishing carbon capture and storage (CCS) as a viable technology  and we can't afford to discard it [1]. Using concentrated industrial CO2 streams for EOR gives us a way to get started understanding how to monitor supercritical CO2 underground, how to measure small leaks, understanding the effects on wellbore cement and start us down the path of making CCS an established technology with a proven industrial experience base.

    The technology for CCS exists, what is needed are mega-scale demonstrations that show that this can work and that we know how to mitigate the risks. Plus, getting the ball rolling with large scale demonstration plants will help to buy down the cost of getting started. CO2-EOR gives us a quick path to this and could tell us whether low-carbon coal plants are a viable option maybe even before China can install another 100GW of conventional coal.

    We don't have a million ways of offsetting gigaton-scale levels of carbon. CCS is one of those ways, and we need to get started as soon as possible establishing the industrial experience base to mitigate the risks involved with deploying a "new" technology on a truly large scale.

    This is not a "quick-fix", this is not a "distraction" - it is one of a handful options we cannot afford to discard. While washington takes its time deciding what to do with carbon prices, cap and trade schemes or whatever you want, we need ways to get started. This is one good way to do that and I would argue we don't have the luxury of simply saying no thank you.

    The production of oil from EOR in this case should not necessarily be viewed as a negative. Would it not be better to increase production in existing fields than to open new ones? With talk of pushing for further easing of drilling restrictions in the Gulf of Mexico and opening ANWR for oil drilling, boosting production from existing fields seems like a preferable alternative.

    As others stated above, eliminating CO2 EOR as a carbon credit does not reduce oil demand. What's more, in an era of unprecedented tight production margins, boosting output from existing fields might help ease supply constraints down the line as well. Given that current drive toward E85 and corn ethanol will not accomplish anything for energy security, climate or air quality, we need to pursue alternatives. As we develop better fuels (or develop better ways of producing existing ones), why not reduce the pressures on the oil market and learn how to decarbonize electricity at the same time?

    We need to get started in a hurry and we don't have a lot of roads to take. We need to pursue all roads aggressively and CO2-EOR might give us a way to establish CCS quickly. We need demonstrations far beyond what Weyburn, In-Salah, Sleipner and other pilot plants have been able to give us thus far. This is critical for establishing the kinds of liability, risk and cost guidelines for CCS that would be necessary to determine if it makes sense. Lets pursue lifestyle change, renewable energy deployment and all the rest, but we can't afford to simply say no to CO2-EOR, and frankly I don't see why we would want to.

    1 R.H. Williams, E.D. Larson, H. Jin (2006) "Synthetic fuels in a world with high oil and carbon prices" 8th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, Trondheim, Norway, 19-22 June 2006On Injecting CO2 into oil wells is not real carbon sequestration posted 2 years, 3 months ago 15 Responses