Comments F James Handley has made
- The Senate's balking at cap-and-trade (fourth time now). Much as Kerry and Boxer may try to re-slice the Waxman-Markey pie, there don't seem to be enough goodies (free allowances) to give away to win 60 votes. And many Senators (especially Dorgan and Corker) are concerned about creating a new carbon market to be gamed by Wall St. Developing countries aren't likely to sign on to caps that would hobble their development, but both India and China have indicated willingness to enact carbon fees that would drive down their carbon intensity, if others are also willing. It's time to think about another, simpler, more effective climate plan. The U.S. can and really must lead. If the U.S. enacted a transparent carbon fee, with harmonizing border adjustments (sanctioned by WTO), that would create incentives for all U.S. trading partners to enact their own carbon pricing systems -- failing to do so would mean forfeiting revenue. An international carbon price would drive emissions reductions where they can be made quickly and cost-effectively worldwide. See Imagine: A Harmonized, Global CO2 Tax.On Copenhagen panic is premature posted 1 week, 3 days ago 5 Responses
- In reply to Skitters: As soon as the U.S. enacted a carbon fee, if it included harmonizing border adjustments (sanctioned by WTO), that would create pressure for all U.S. trading partners to enact their own carbon pricing systems. See Imagine: A Harmonized, Global CO2 Tax.On Mr. President: Time to quit fibbing and spinning posted 1 week, 4 days ago 11 Responses
- Dave's (snide?) comment reminds me of a conversation I had last week with a Senate staffer. He suggested ("off the record") that the Senate might be able to pass a bill that repealed all of EPA's authority to regulate CO2 emissions, except the power to impose an upstream fee on carbon, perhaps within a Congressionally-specified price range. He emphasized that was not speaking for his Senator, but he speculated that something like that had a better chance than Kerry-Boxer of getting 60 votes and would be much more effective. In that way, and by ASKING Congress to work out a price mechanism for carbon, and to set aside the idea of trading, perhaps Obama could shift the debate. I sense that we're ready for a game-changer.On Mr. President: Time to quit fibbing and spinning posted 1 week, 4 days ago 11 Responses
- I agree with McKibben's call for presidential leadership on climate. If President Obama wants to pass effective climate legislation maybe he should heed the advice of nearly every economist who's studied issue, including his Budget Director Peter Orszag. While at CBO, Orszag co-authored "Policy Options for Reduction of CO2 Emissions" which detailed the flaws of cap/trade and the advantages of a carbon fee. Or Obama could heed the advice of former Clinton political advisor Elaine Kamarck (now at Kennedy School) who points out that almost every country could enact and enforce a carbon tax, but few (if any) can manage a complex cap/trade system especially with offsets. She thinks a carbon tax with revenue-recycling to households is far more politically viable (not to mention effective) than cap/trade with offsets. The continued squabbling over who gets the free allowances under cap/trade shows one of its many flaws, both political and economic. They say "three strikes and you're out!" Cap/trade is on its fourth swing in the Senate. Obama should call it "out" and move on to a revenue-neutral carbon fee. Time's a-wast'in.On Mr. President: Time to quit fibbing and spinning posted 1 week, 4 days ago 11 Responses
- John Broder claims that Obama is being "hobbled" by the Senate. Really? If Obama wants to pass effective climate legislation maybe he should take the advice of his Budget director Peter Orszag who co-authored "Policy Options for Reduction of CO2 Emissions" which detailed the flaws of cap/trade and the advantages of a carbon fee. Or the advice of former Clinton advisor Elaine Kamarck (now at Kennedy School) who points out that almost every country could enact and enfoce a carbon tax, but few (if any) can manage a complex cap/trade system especially with offsets. The continued squabbling over who gets the free allowances under cap/trade shows one of its many flaws, both political and economic. They say "three strikes and you're out!" Cap/trade is on its fourth swing in the Senate. Obama should call it "out" and move on to a revenue-neutral carbon fee.On Delaying an international climate treaty: not as bad as it looks posted 1 week, 5 days ago 28 Responses
- Dave,
Thanks for questioning CC&S.
I studied and practiced Chemical Engineering. Thermodynamics dictate the minimum energy required to capture CO2 from a coal-fired power plant and the energy needed to compress it to liquid and inject to a particular depth in the Earth. These minimum energy requirements are independent of the process chosen. Then you have to add losses and inefficiencies that are design-dependent, along with the pumping costs to move CO2 to the sequestration site.
Here' a reference that's looking at the basic thermodynamic limitations: “Carbon capture and storage: Fundamental thermodynamics and current technology” by Page, Williamson, and Mason, published in the journal "Energy Policy" (2009):
"… CCS is considered a leading technology for reducing CO2 emissions from fossil-fuelled electricity generation plants and could permit the continued use of coal and gas whilst meeting greenhouse gas targets. However considerable energy is required for the capture, compression, transport and storage steps involved. In this paper, energy penalty information in the literature is reviewed, and thermodynamically ideal and “real world” energy penalty values are calculated. For a sub-critical pulverized coal (PC) plant, the energy penalty values for 100% capture are 48.6% and 43.5% for liquefied CO2, and for CO2 compressed to 11Â MPa, respectively. When assumptions for supercritical plants were incorporated, results were in broad agreement with published values arising from process modelling. However, we show that energy use in existing capture operations is considerably greater than indicated by most projections. Full CCS demonstration plants are now required to verify modelled energy penalty values. However, it appears unlikely that CCS will deliver significant CO2 reductions in a timely fashion. In addition, many uncertainties remain over the permanence of CO2 storage, either in geological formations, or beneath the ocean. We conclude that further investment in CCS should be seriously questioned by policy makers. ” [Emphasis added.]
On Is "we're going to burn the coal anyway" an argument for carbon sequestration? posted 2 weeks, 1 day ago 40 Responses - Confusion? That's not what I heard. I'd say the Senators were more disgusted with the volatility, gaming and free allowances under the cap/trade bill. Fortunately, all the economists testified that these pitfalls can be avoided by setting a carbon fee directly and by distributing revenues to households via a direct "dividend" or by reducing other taxes. The big surprise for me: Sen. Murkowski seems to be considering the kind of cap-and-dividend approach that Cantwell is working up. And Cantwell railed against the "shenanigans" of markets and manipulation saying they won't be tolerated. Can hardly wait to hear the splash as the 1400-page Waxman-Markey bill (with Volume II as Kerry-Boxer) is thrown overboard and hits the water. For more on the advantages of a simple revenue-neutral carbon fee to drive a low-carbon, green jobs economy, visit http://www.carbontax.org. We're thrilled that Progressive Democrats of America now strongly supports a direct carbon price!On Confusion in the Senate regarding allowance allocation posted 1 month ago 1 Response
- We can avert disaster: Last month in the journal "Science," Michael McElroy, an environmental scientist at Harvard University, published a study showing that China is windy enough to supply all its electricity from wind power by 2030. McElroy and his colleagues calculated that if China wanted to save 30 percent of the future growth of its CO2 emissions by 2030 by using electricity generated by wind rather than coal, the total cost would be about $900 billion over the 20-year period. Sounds like a lot of money, but WE CAN DO THIS!!!On The economics of 350 posted 1 month, 2 weeks ago 4 Responses
- The report's bottom line: The climate crisis demands "maximum progress" on decarbonizing our economy. NOW! What's the policy that gets maximum progress by spurring both the private and the public sectors to decarbonize? It's a simple, revenue-neutral carbon fee -- a price on every ton of CO2 emitted, with every dollar returned to households. Cut Wall St. out of the game and set the price directly. If we don't take that first step to begin to tilt the economic tables away from fossil fuels, no other policy will be as effective as it could be, and many will not work at all. In short, it's price carbon or we're toast. For more on revenue-neutral carbon pricing, see http://www.carbontax.org.On The economics of 350 posted 1 month, 3 weeks ago 4 Responses
Van,
Glad you're determined to keep the focus on green jobs in a low-carbon economy.Have you considered supporting a revenue-neutral carbon tax? A broad (bipartisan) consensus of economists and policy analysts (and a growing coalition of environmental activists) conclude it's by far the most effective and fair policy to stimulate both private and public sector investment and jobs in a green economy while pumping revenue back to all households -- especially benefitting low and middle income families. For more information, visit the Carbon Tax Center. Far better to level the playing field with a pricing system promoting alternatives (jobs building wind, solar and mass transit) and conservation (jobs building and retrofitting houses, buildings and factories) than to rely on a patchwork of government programs whose funding couldn't possibly match the private sector and would vary every year.
Your firing for signing a petition calling for investigation of 9-11 strikes me as absurd. In "The Man Who Knew," (2002) PBS showed how the Bush Administration pulled FBI anti-terrorism specialist John O'Neill off the trail of Al Qaeda. There's no question of their responsibility. Al Franken (and his team of Harvard researchers) also documented Bush administration malfeasance that lead to the 9-11 attacks in his book "Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them". Nobody's questioning Franken's bona fides. But none of this can be news to you.
To me, and probably many others, your departure leaves a lot of unanswered questions. My sense is that you're a hero and that your full story hasn't yet been told.
Van fan,
James Handley
On A message from Van Jones posted 2 months, 1 week ago 16 ResponsesVan,
Glad you're determined to keep the focus on green jobs and building a low carbon economy.Have you considered supporting a revenue-neutral carbon tax? A broad (bipartisan) consensus of economists and policy analysts (and a growing coalition of environmental activists) conclude it's by far the most effective and fair policy to stimulate both private and public sector investment and jobs in a green economy while pumping revenue back to all households -- especially benefitting low and middle income families. For more information, visit the Carbon Tax Center. Far better to level the playing field with a pricing system promoting alternatives (jobs building wind, solar and mass transit) and conservation (jobs building and retrofitting houses, buildings and factories) than to rely on a patchwork of government programs whose funding couldn't possibly match the private sector and would vary every year.
Your firing (ostensibly) for signing a petition calling for investigation of 9-11 strikes me as absurd. In "The Man Who Knew," (2002) PBS showed how the Bush Administration pulled FBI anti-terrorism specialist John O'Neill off the trail of Al Qaeda. There's no question of their responsibility. Al Franken (and his team of Harvard researchers) also documented Bush administration malfeasance that lead to the 9-11 attacks in his book "Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them". Nobody's questioning Franken's bona fides. But none of this can be news to you.
To me, and probably many others, your departure leaves a lot of unanswered questions. My sense is that you're a hero and that your full story hasn't yet been told.
Van fan,
James Handley
On A message from Van Jones posted 2 months, 1 week ago 16 ResponsesVan,
Glad you're determined to keep the focus on green jobs and building a low carbon economy.Have you considered supporting a revenue-neutral carbon tax? A broad (bipartisan) consensus of economists and policy analysts (and a growing coalition of environmental activists) conclude it's by far the most effective and fair policy to stimulate both private and public sector investment and jobs in a green economy while pumping revenue back to all households -- especially benefitting low and middle income families. For more information, visit the Carbon Tax Center. Far better to level the playing field with a pricing system promoting alternatives (jobs building wind, solar and mass transit) and conservation (jobs building and retrofitting houses, buildings and factories) than to rely on a patchwork of government programs whose funding couldn't possibly match the private sector and would vary every year.
Your firing (ostensibly) for signing a petition calling for investigation of 9-11 strikes me as absurd. In "The Man Who Knew," (2002) PBS showed how the Bush Administration pulled FBI anti-terrorism specialist John O'Neill off the trail of Al Qaeda. There's no question of their responsibility. Al Franken (and his team of Harvard researchers) also documented Bush administration malfeasance that lead to the 9-11 attacks in his book "Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them". Nobody's questioning Franken's bona fides. But none of this can be news to you.
To me, and probably many others, your departure leaves a lot of unanswered questions. My sense is that you're a hero and that your full story hasn't yet been told.
Van fan,
James Handley
On A message from Van Jones posted 2 months, 1 week ago 16 ResponsesVan,
Glad you're determined to keep the focus on green jobs and building a low carbon economy.Have you considered supporting a revenue-neutral carbon tax? A broad (bipartisan) consensus of economists and policy analysts (and a growing coalition of environmental activists) conclude it's by far the most effective and fair policy to stimulate both private and public sector investment and jobs in a green economy while pumping revenue back to all households -- especially benefitting low and middle income families. For more information, visit the Carbon Tax Center. Far better to level the playing field with a pricing system promoting alternatives (jobs building wind, solar and mass transit) and conservation (jobs building and retrofitting houses, buildings and factories) than to rely on a patchwork of government programs whose funding couldn't possibly match the private sector and would vary every year.
Your firing (ostensibly) for signing a petition calling for investigation of 9-11 strikes me as absurd. In "The Man Who Knew," (2002) PBS showed how the Bush Administration pulled FBI anti-terrorism specialist John O'Neill off the trail of Al Qaeda. There's no question of their responsibility. Al Franken (and his team of Harvard researchers) also documented Bush administration malfeasance that lead to the 9-11 attacks in his book "Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them". Nobody's questioning Franken's bona fides. But none of this can be news to you.
To me, and probably many others, your departure leaves a lot of unanswered questions. My sense is that you're a hero and that your full story hasn't yet been told.
Van fan,
James Handley
On A message from Van Jones posted 2 months, 1 week ago 16 ResponsesEncouraging that Wirth is calling for the Senate to re-think ACESA and cap/trade. But calling cap/trade a "tax" isn't caricature, it's fact. Cap/trade's (apparent) political advantage is that it doesn't bear the "tax" name, but that doesn't change the truth: cap/trade is a hidden, volatile and regressive tax that could crash worldwide financial markets again. It's time for an honest discussion about an explicit, predictable, progressive carbon tax shift to reduce payroll taxes as Rep. Larson has proposed. Tax carbon pollution, not work!
On Former Sen. Tim Wirth stirs up controversy over cap-and-trade, tries to tamp it down posted 3 months ago 3 ResponsesInstead of fussing with a cost-benefit study of ACESA, Mr. Sunstein should apply his philospohy of "nudges" to the climate crisis.
He should nudge President Obama to abandon emissions trading in favor of a simple, revenue-neutral carbon tax. A carbon tax would gently, but persistently nudge the whole economy toward efficiency and low carbon energy and nudge our trading partners to enact their own carbon taxes. That's the pricing policy favored overwhelmingly by economists (including Obama's OMB director Peter Orszag when he was at CBO) and increasingly by environmentalists and political pragmatists.
Here's one more important nudge: If a carbon tax were used to reduce payroll taxes (as Rep. John Larson proposes) that would nudge us in the direction of economic growth by putting more money in workers' paychecks.
For more information, visit the Carbon Tax Center.
On The three things Cass Sunstein should do on his first day posted 4 months, 2 weeks ago 1 ResponseIf it passes, apparently both Hansen and Inhoufe agree that ACES would do little or nothing to reduce U.S. GHG emissions.
But even if ACES could somehow be effective in meeting its very weak goal in the U.S., it would not set up a template for an effective international system. Linking cap/trade systems is nightmarishly complex and would lead to perverse incentives for countries to set weak(er) caps in order to become suppliers of allowances in exchange for cash. "Hiding the price" makes harmonization and linkage very challenging. In sharp contrast, the Congressional Budget Office concluded that linking carbon tax or fee systems is relatively straightforward, involving the harmonization of one parameter-- the carbon price, which can be accomplished with WTO-sanctioned border tax adjustments.
The goal of climate legislation has to be to set an example and begin to weave a pattern that can form the basis of a workable international system. ACES isn't leadership, it's obfuscation. No one will follow us down that dead-end.
On The enemy of my enemy is my friend, ACES edition posted 4 months, 2 weeks ago 38 ResponsesHiding The Price Has a Cost
Spent some time waiting in Senate offices in the last few weeks. Noticed staffers taking lots of calls, mostly about two things: healthcare reform (callers want a public option) and cap-and-trade (callers decry the cost).
As Prof. Kamarck pointed out (see Back to Plan A: The Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax) when you hide the price as cap-and-trade does, you give opponents license to make outrageous claims about the cost.
But as Anne Appelbaum pointed in her WashPost column out this morning: a tax on carbon emissions is essential to nudge investment into green energy. If the tax is transparent and predictable, we'll know the cost and if we return the revenue to the public, it won't drag down our economy.
On Lunatic fringe watch: wing nuts unleashed on ACES climate bill posted 4 months, 2 weeks ago 1 ResponseBillhook,
Waxman-Markey is a step backward for many reasons. Perhaps the most glaring: a $2 trillion market in carbon-based securities (with accompanying unregulated derivatives) would do little or nothing to reduce emissions and might crash the financial markets again, putting climate way on the back burner. With unemployment soon to be in the double digits because of financial gimmicks, are we really willing to entrust not only our financial system, but our climate system to Wall Street? That's not a partisan argument, that's common sense.
And Waxman-Markey would repeal or phase out a whole range of existing authority by EPA and states that is at least a backstop. If we have to wait another year or two to get the policy right, that's far better than trying to wrest this Rube Goldberg contraption from the grasp of traders, coal interests and the purveyors of bogus offsets.
Fortunately, the Senate doesn't seem all likely to pass it. The sooner we start thinking about a simple, effective pricing system the better.
On Senate panel to kick off climate hearings on Tuesday posted 4 months, 3 weeks ago 10 ResponsesSee "The Ethanol subsidy is worse than you can imagine" at http://www.slate.com/id/2122961/.
Guess big Ag is paying Al F's legal bills off. Bad start.
- jh
On Et tu, Al? Franken gulps the ethanol-spiked Kool-Aid posted 4 months, 3 weeks ago 5 ResponsesThis hearing is to consider different “legislative tools” for addressing climate change. But the witness list looks like cap-and-traders vs. climate change deniers. Either way we lose.
The public is justifiably wary of a carbon trading system that could crash financial markets and which hasn't been effective in the EU. Cap-and-trade tries to hide the price, which leads to huge exaggeration of its cost (by many Republicans) as well as its effectiveness (by many Democrats).
Former Clinton advisor and political scientist Elaine Kamarck suggests it may be time for the Senate to go Back to Plan A: The Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax. “If we can design a policy that is transparent and easy for people to understand, puts an effective price on carbon, and reimburses average Americans for all or nearly all of their increased energy costs, we have a chance to reverse climate change in a timely manner.”
Direct carbon pricing options will be the subject of a briefing for Senators, staff, NGOs and reporters next Monday July 13 at 1 PM in rm 208-209 of Capitol Visitor's Center. The Price Carbon Campaign, Carbon Tax Center, Climate Crisis Coalition, Friends of the Earth, the Friends (Quaker) Committee on National Legislation, WeAct for Environmental Justice, the Clean Campaign, and Progressive Democrats of America are hosting.
Lead NASA climate scientist Jim Hansen will speak along with Robert Shapiro economist and former undersecretary of Commerce, Cecil Corbin-Mark policy director of WeAct for Environmental Justice and Janet Milne, professor at Vermont Law School.
On Senate panel to kick off climate hearings on Tuesday posted 4 months, 3 weeks ago 10 ResponsesElaine Kamarck, former Clinton advisor and Kennedy School of Government lecturer says it's time for the Senate to go Back to Plan A: The Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax.
Cap/trade is too complex, easily-gamed and because it hides the price it's subject to wild claims about both its cost and its effectiveness.
On Counting Senate votes on a climate bill posted 4 months, 3 weeks ago 4 ResponsesKen, Bravo!
There is an alternative to cap/trade: Revenue-neutral carbon fee or tax. The Carbon Tax Center has posted our reasons for concluding that Wax-M isn't good enough.
One point you didn't mention: ACESA would create a $2 trillion carbon market that would be mirrored by an unregulated derivatives market. If you think that global warming can be solved by another financial crisis, ACESA is your bill. But if you think that kind of chaos might just push climate policy off the table, this one's too risky.
On 9 damned good reasons why some U.S. environmentalists should heartily oppose Waxman-Markey posted 5 months ago 7 ResponsesIf fossil fuel energy stays cheap (no carbon price) and we impose stringent federal building codes, what happens? People avoid expensive upgrades and keep wasting energy.
If we raise carbon price and don't make more efficient alternatives available what happens? People's behavior changes (we turn off lights and turn down the heat) but we're still stuck in inefficient buildings. We need both. A price signal changes the software-- people's choices. Better building codes change the hardware.
The most effective, transparent and fair way to put a price on carbon is a revenue-neutral carbon tax. Economist Gary Hufbauer testified to the Senate Finance Committee yesterday:
"To reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, a carbon tax system would be vastly superior to a cap-and-trade permit system. Carbon taxes would be more transparent, more uniform across all GHG sources, raise more revenue, easier to administer, and more readily adjusted at the border. The Waxman-Markey draft legislation illustrates the enormous complexity, opacity, and rent-seeking inherent in a permit system."
In short, Waxman-Markey hides the price.
For more on the advantages of a revenue-neutral carbon tax, visit the Carbon Tax Center.
On Washington Post launches attack on clean energy and climate bill for promoting building efficiency posted 5 months, 2 weeks ago 1 ResponseCap/trade allows the Energy and Commerce Committee to print money (by calling it "allowances") and to give it away to anyone who might oppose the bill. Because E & C is the most coal-friendly committee on the Hill, we got a bill that does more for coal and heavy industry than for climate. The best thing about the original bill was the requirement for utilities to shift to renewables and to increase efficiency (RES). But RES was weakened below what many states have already required (and would largely pre-empt them) in order to get cap/trade. So now the bill looks like a lifeline to big coal with some environmental ornaments thrown on.
The Republicans are screaming that cap/trade will jack up consumer costs. CBO's numbers tell another story-- carbon prices around $26/t CO2 in ten years. That's a whopping 26 cents a gallon of gasoline, and even smaller price effects on electricity if the free allowances to utilities really are passed through to consumers. No price on carbon and no effect on emissions. The Republicans are grossly exaggerating the cost of this bill, and the Democrats are exaggerating the emissions reductions cap/trade with huge offsets and a loose cap could possibly produce.
If the Republicans want to gripe, they should complain about the federalization of the building codes. Building codes are one size fits all. That will REALLY cost (and hassle) consumers. And with the Dem's insistence on keeping coal cheap, that means consumers will have a choice-- keep wasting cheap fossil fuel or blow the bank account on contractors for upgrades that won't save money. Great way to piss off everyone and lose seats in the Senate.
Congress should reinstate the higher RES standards, scrap cap/trade and pretty much everything else in the bill, and declare victory for this year. Next year, a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
On Waxman-Markey bill would do more for climate without cap-and-trade provision posted 5 months, 2 weeks ago 10 ResponsesJeez-- How much welfare can big Ag grab? Ethanol subsidies already dole out millions for no public benefit.
Weaker offset standards will mean more and cheaper offsets, further depressing allowance prices and squashing any price incentive to reduce GHG emissions. Under the current bill, CBO estimates a $26 allowance price in a decade. A whopping 26 cents a gallon, in ten years! Does anyone seriously think that's going to affect consumption? More cheap offsets would reduce that microscopic price signal even further.
Waxman-Markey has become a bail-out for coal. Now Big Ag wants a bail-out too. Energy & Commerce weakened RES (efficiency and renewable standards for utilities) to get the "cap" that legend says will "put a price on carbon." The bill is loaded with freebies for the mythical "carbon capture and sequestration" and regulations on buildings, appliances, cars... you name it.
More stringent building codes and appliance standards make upgrading more of a hassle and far more expensive. Low carbon prices tell us: keep wasting cheap energy and don't upgrade -- that's expensive and will never pay off.
Ditch the rest of the bill and reinstate the stronger RES standards. That would be a clear victory and a step in the right direction. Then let's get serious about a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
On Will Big Ag plow under Waxman-Markey? posted 5 months, 2 weeks ago 8 ResponsesI agree with DESIGNIMPACT: putting a serious price on carbon emissions is essential so that millions of decision makers start taking into account those costs. It's not the only step, but it's necessary.
The Waxman-Markey cap/trade bill doesn't even try to price carbon. Some advocates claim that caps can reduce emissions without substantial price fossil fuel increases (through offsets), and the give-away of allowances to local distribution utilities was justified as a way to avoid consumer price increases.
David Morris, co-founder of the Institute for Local Self Reliance called the bill a "giant step backward" arguing that it would be stronger without the cap/trade provisions. Similarly, Garth Lipow pointed out in Gristmill recently that once the free allowance holders are vested, the Wall St. traders are in the game, and the purveyors of offsets (real or imaginary) are cranking out profits, there's no turning back, even if this policy doesn't reduce GHG emissions. And it hasn't in the EU.
Unfortunately, among the BEGs (Big Environmental Groups: EDF, NRDC, Sierra?), belief in caps is so strong that they're willing to abide almost anything to get them. If this is U.S. leadership, I hope the world doesn't follow. (The U.S. insisted on cap/trade in Kyoto which is how the EU got into the mess it's in.)
British Columbia enacted a revenue-neutral carbon tax last year, returning all revenue to the public. Premier Gordon Brown (an avowed fiscal conservative) won re-election last month despite his opponent's attempt to pillory his carbon tax. That's leadership that the world should follow.
On Obama 'optimistic' U.S. can lead on climate change posted 5 months, 3 weeks ago 3 ResponsesI hope this means that Ways & Means will have time to propose alternatives or improvements to cap/trade.
On Pelosi won't commit to deadline for passing climate bill posted 5 months, 3 weeks ago 1 ResponseExcellent summary, Kate.
Given coal's huge role in GHG emissions, vast inefficiencies and the potential for alternatives in the electricity sector, RES seems like the most potent near-term GHG-reducer in the Waxman-Markey bill. Hope we can restore higher numbers for both efficiency AND renewables.
As for cap/trade, proponents seem ready to abide whatever give-aways, water-downs and double dealing are needed to enact the (illusory) "assurance" of a "cap" that will "save us" by meeting "80% by 2050" (even though it's 80% of 2005 emissions, not 1990).
If caps were iron-clad guarantees, their logic might be sound. Give anything away if it saves the planet, right? But caps aren't really guarantees-- they're more like goals. Especially 40 years from now and if we're relying on EPA to enforce them. (I speak as a 14 year veteran of EPA enforcement.)
There are two ways to reduce emissions: direct regulations (e.g., RES, appliance standards, building codes, fuel efficiency standards, banning light bulbs, etc.) or by raising fossil fuel prices relative to other cleaner energy and energy conservation. Caps (if enforced) are a way constrain supply and indirectly raise prices, inducing conservation, substitution and innovation.
The more pronounced, predictable and widely-perceived the carbon price increase, the more emissions are reduced. The more we hide the price, the less the system works. Until we're willing to face the fact that we must raise carbon prices, direct regulation is a more honest and effective approach than "hide the price" (cap/trade) with give-aways and loopholes. If you believe in the tooth fairy, "caps" are for you. If you believe prices change behavior, it's a carbon tax. And if you don't want to add to tax burdens, make the carbon tax revenue-neutral: use the revenue to cut out some other tax as the carbon tax goes up.
On Everything you always wanted to know about the Waxman-Markey energy/climate bill -- in bullet points posted 5 months, 3 weeks ago 12 ResponsesCheapness of fossil fuel is no virtue. It's the root cause of the climate crisis.
As Yale economist William Nordhaus explained in Copenhagen:
"Economic participants-thousands of governments, millions of firms, billions of people, all making trillions of decisions each year - need to face realistic prices for the use of carbon if their decisions about consumption, investment, and innovation are to be appropriate... without a strong price signal, there is simply no hope for making the vast number of decisions in a remotely efficient manner... Raising the price of carbon is [thus] a necessary condition for implementing carbon policies in a way that will reach the multitude of decisions and decision makers over space, time, nations, and sectors." [Emphasis added.]
Cap and trade is a way to hide the price, and carbon offsets are a way to fake the cap.
A carbon tax with revenue recycled to households would do a lot more for the climate by gradually and predictably raising carbon prices giving conservation, efficiency and renewables a foothold, while explicitly making consumers who use less than average amounts of fossil fuels better off. Don't hide the price, recycle the revenue.
I hope Waxman-Markey is heading for the same graveyard as Lieberman-Warner. RIP. Let's start over with a simple, fair, carbon tax. And of course, no offsets.
More on revenue-neutral carbon taxes at the Carbon Tax Center and the Price Carbon Campaign.
On Understanding offsets posted 5 months, 4 weeks ago 6 ResponsesThanks Kate for letting readers know that there is still time to fix or ditch Waxman-Markey, especially in Ways & Means.
Auctioning all the permits instead of giving them away to polluters would fulfill candidate Obama's promise and provide revenue that could be directly distributed to households via a payroll tax cut or a direct dividend.
Cutting out offsets would ensure that the bill actually makes carbon reductions in the U.S. Offsets are practically an invitation for fraud.
Setting a predictable carbon price directly would be another huge improvement, cutting out the price volatility, traders and the huge profits and gaming for Wall Street.
With those three steps, we'd have a bill that would be fair and effective.
On Next steps for Waxman-Markey bill posted 6 months ago 1 ResponseJoe,
The very important question you posed was: "Do 2 billion in offsets allowed in Waxman-Markey gut the emissions targets?"
Your answer (and that of the hedgers you quote) amounts to: We just don't know.
You hope that offsets won't all be used because making emissions reductions will be cheaper than buying offsets and you offer some credible reasons to think things might work out that way at least some of the time. That would be terrific. But look at the incentives:Waxman-Markey would create a system that rewards projects and countries that generate cheap (or fraudulent) offsets and rewards those that rely on those offsets. (And it would create incentives for accounting mischief that would be very hard to police in an international offsets market.) Who has incentives to keep this in check? Even the auditors will depend on keeping the system going. The parallels to the subprime mortgage market are obvious and ominous.
Waxman-Markey with 2 billion in offsets that would be leveraged and derivatized threatens not only to deliver no emissions reductions, it seems likely to plunge us into an even larger financial catastrophe.
See The Carbon Tax Center's Parsing the Waxman-Markey Cap-and-Trade Bill and Friends of the Earth's Subprime carbon report.
On Do the 2 billion offsets allowed in Waxman-Markey gut the emissions targets? Part 1 posted 6 months ago 1 ResponseRobert,
You seem to be saying --
1) If allowances can be traded, the intial allocation (by auction, gift, lottery... ) doesn't matter because trading will get allowances to those who value them most (essentially Coase's Theorem) which will allocate the burden of acheiving the chosen level of emissions reductions (the cap) at least cost, and
2) If it's politically necessary to give away allowances to the participants to win support for the system, that's worth doing; it doesn't reduce the effectiveness of the system at reducing emissions.
The problem: Nobody actually knows exactly how much reduction emission reduction is optimal. "80% by 2050" has acheived a totemic quality but it's not an accurate description of the scientific consensus. Dr. Hansen says: Get CO2 levels back down to 350 ppm ASAP. (We're at 386 now.) Which means: reduce emissions now, as fast as we can.
We can't efficiently allocate for an "optimal" level of reductions -- we don't know what it is. If we set the "optimal" too loose, we're leaving lots of low cost reductions on the table.
A gradually-increasing carbon tax avoids that problem. It says: carbon prices are going up. If you can find a way to reduce emissions at today's price, do it. And if you can find a way to make reductions at tomorrow's price, get ready. If the carbon tax were revenue-neutral, the tax wouldn't be a "brake" on the economy, in fact it's potentially a stimulus -- discouraging resource waste, and if the funds were used to reduce payroll taxes, spurring employment.
To me, the political problem is this: big coal / utilities, "energy intensive industry", purveyors of offset projects, gas companies, and the sharks on Wall Street all have better access to the Energy & Commerce Committtee than the workers who'd get reductions under a revenue-neutral carbon tax. So instead of a simple, effective carbon pricing system, Waxman-Markey is a system to pay off all the big corporate interests that's lost its raison d'etre which should be maxmimum GHG reductions at lowest cost. Waxman-Markey is minimum (if any) reductions with maximum payola.
So if you're saying that cap/trade is great for hiding the price and the payola, I agree. But it's built on a false assumption of scientific omniscience and is not an effective climate policy.
For more information about revenue-neutral carbon taxes, see http://www.carbontax.org. for videos, petitions and letters to Congress see http://pricecarbon.org.
On The wonderful politics of cap-and-trade: A closer look at Waxman-Markey posted 6 months ago 5 ResponsesJoe,
Do you really think the watered-down Waxman Markey bill is even worth fighting for?
Sure it's great for Wall Street-- a trillion or two in allowances to trade. And big coal got tons of allowances, along with "energy intensive" industry, gas companies, and more down the "clean coal" money pit. But what's in it for the environment? The offsets are so huge (2 million metric tons out of ~ 6) that the bill doesn't really compel reductions for a decade. Which suggests the carbon price will stay very low, doing little to encourage conservation, innovation or investment in alternatives, not to mention just turning the lights out.
A month ago, I thought the renewable and efficiency standards might be the best part of the W-M bill but they seem to have been watered down in order to get cap/trade. (And yes, the Senate's doing the same watering down to their energy standards bill.)
What about a bill with just two parts: the original higher renewable and efficiency standards for utilities, along with a revenue-neutral carbon tax that would cut workers' payroll taxes by exempting the first few thousand from the tax. That would push the utilities to improve where it's probably the easiest and cheapest to get early term reductions, put price signal in place to nudge the rest of the economy onto a low-carbon diet, and boost employment when we need it.
Is that such a hard sell? Seem like about 50 pages that everyone could understand instead of 900 that only the energy lobbyists have read. And we could have it in time for Copenhagen.
On Climate politics scoop and question of the week posted 6 months ago 2 ResponsesA globalized "equal effort" is good starting point for international climate policy. The U.S. could lead by enacting a revenue-neutral carbon tax like the one British Columbia enacted last year and which Premier Campbell stuck with and won re-election on May.
Developing countries won't enact caps on emissions and the EU's carbon cap shows no signs of delivering the promised reductions anytime soon. If the U.S. were to enact a carbon tax in the context of tax reform-- reducing other taxes simultaneously while also imposed harmonizing taxes on imports -- we'd create an immediate incentive for our trading partners to enact their own carbon taxes to recoup that revenue. An equal carbon tax level would represent an "equal effort" while taking advantage of cheaper reductions available where ever they exist.
The 900 page Waxman-Markey bill amply demonstrates the perils in trying to statisfy everyone with handouts. All the interest groups got their cut, but because of huge offsets and a weak if not completely muted price signal, the bill's result would be negligible emissions reductions for at least a decade.
We can do far better and we can set the example and be the catalyst for a wordwide carbon reduction strategy. Best of all, a carbon tax could be in place in months. If our goal is to lead by example in Copenhagen we should be thinking simple, transparent and easily linked carbon tax, not some Rube Goldberg contrivance like cap-and-trade.
See http://carbontax.org, and http://pricecarbon.org.
On The Climate Post: Something wrought in the state of Denmark? posted 6 months ago 1 ResponseYep, Gore can marshall the troops. But ad hominem attacks on dissenters like Hansen betray the weakness of their legislative "candidate."
It's built not on strength, but on attempting to buy off all opposition. It won't fall easily, but we gotta keep shaking.
Call your Representative (202-225-2131), ask him/her to support the Ways & Means Committee's alternatives to cap/trade. Committee members have introduced five alternative bills. See http://www.carbontax.org/progress/carbon-tax-bills/. No offsets, no free allowances, no other gimmicks. Just a straight, gradually increasing carbon price with revenue recycled to households.
On Gore's green groups kick into campaign mode to push climate legislation posted 6 months ago 11 ResponsesGar,
You've nailed it again. The first rule of negotiation: Don't start with your bottom line. Mainstream environmental groups are so hungry for a deal that just a promise of reductions a decade or two from now has them drooling.
Have we forgotten? The whole point of this bill is GHG emissions reductions. Instead, we're offered a giant offsets program, a vast new carbon allowance commodities market, more money and credibility for "clean coal" and all kinds of other goodies for special interests that all get their slices now.
It's not over. Ways & Means gets the bill next. They've held half a dozen hearings on the problems of cap/trade including volatility. Five members have introduced carbon pricing bills in Ways & Means -- any of which would be a quantum improvement over the cap/trade provisions of Wax-Mar. House members need to hear from voters who want real reductions soon instead of shell games of cap/trade.
Call em, folks: 202-225-2131.
See http://www.carbontax.org, and http://www.pricecarbon.org.
On Mainstream environmentalists' enthusiasm for Waxman-Markey ensures it will get worse posted 6 months ago 13 ResponsesClimate and Policy Experts Warn Watered Down Cap-and-Trade Bill Won’t Prevent Catastrophic Climate Change
“The revised Waxman-Markey climate bill is too watered down to qualify as a positive step for avoiding catastrophic climate disruption,” said Dr. James Hansen, leading climate scientist and prominent advocate of a revenue-neutral carbon tax to curb climate change....
Clinton Administration Undersecretary of Commerce Robert Shapiro, who heads the U.S. Climate Task Force, recently wrote that after the Wall Street meltdown, carbon trading looks like a “dead policy walking.” Both Hansen and Shapiro have urged policymakers to support a simpler and more transparent alternative of setting prices through a carbon tax which would increase gradually and whose revenues would be recycled back to taxpayers. This would raise carbon prices in an orderly, predictable way without subjecting consumers to price volatility and without delivering windfall profits to companies receiving free allowances or fueling speculative trading on secondary markets.
“Predictably raising the price of carbon-based fuels is essential to promote investment in low-carbon renewable energy and efficiency,” said Charles Komanoff, economist and co-director of the Carbon Tax Center. Komanoff suggested that “We will need a range of policies to avert climate disaster, but without clear, orderly price signals, there simply is no hope of creating the economy-wide incentives we need to become a low-carbon economy.”
“There is a time to compromise -- to accept the best that you are likely to get. This is not one of those times,” said Tom Stokes, coordinator of the Climate Crisis Coalition. “We understand the need to get behind an effective climate bill. Dr. Hansen's scientific findings are serious and compelling. Waxman-Markey doesn't comes close to addressing the dire challenge we all face. As a model for effective and fair climate legislation, we urge the Energy and Commerce Committee to take a hard look at Rep. John Larson’s carbon tax bill, America's Energy Security Trust Fund Act of 2009 (H.R. 1337). Larson's bill combines aggressive goals, quick implementation, predictable carbon fees and an equitable recycling of the revenues back to the people."
More at http://www.carbontax.org and http://www.pricecarbon.org
On Al Gore rallies his grassroots supporters to help pass House climate bill posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago 7 ResponsesRgional Disparities in the incidence (impact on household income) of a carbon tax or cap with auction were studied by economists Hasset, et al. (AEI) at and Burtraw, et al. (RFF). Both concluded these differences are small -- primarily because roughly half of our carbon footprint is indirect-- it's the fossil fuels used in the production of goods. Indirect incidence tends to be uniform because so many goods are marketed nationally.
See http://www.carbontax.org/issues/regional-disparities/
Hassett et al. concluded:
"Carbon taxes are… thought to have uneven regional effects. We … find that the regional variation is at best modest. By 2003 variation across regions is sufficiently small that one could argue that a carbon tax is distributionally neutral across regions."
Differences in effects on industry and employment are certain to be larger. Rep. Larson's (D-Conn) carbon tax measure addresses this by temporily devoting some revenue to "transistion assistance" for impacted workers. A state like Montana, with both coal and wind resources, might be a net employment gainer under a carbon tax as construction and operation of wind generation facilities increased; but its coal workers would still need transition assistance.
Inglis and Flake's measure could easily be modified to include transition assistance. Otherwise, it's remarkable how similar it is to Larson's bill. Rep. Inglis prefers that a carbon tax be revenue-neutral -- every dollar in carbon tax would be used to cut payroll taxes; he hopes this will appeal to other Republicans concerned about global warming who don't want to create a larger federal government.
On Should the Republican carbon tax bill be taken seriously? posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago 6 ResponsesCould be Worse? Is that the standard now?
Waxman-Markey's "Proposed Allowance Allocation" released today gives away 85% of allowances (emission permits), overwhelmingly to industry, assertedly "to protect consumers from energy price increases." But it's far from clear that handing free allowances to industry would "protect" consumers. Furthermore, any muting of price signals would undermine a key incentive to reduce emissions. Douglas Elmendorf, director of the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office testified to the Senate Finance Committee on May 7 that:
Firms that used [cap-and-trade] emission allowances for CO2 would generally pass along to consumers the cost of using those allowances in the form of higher prices for their products — regardless of whether the government sold emission allowances or gave them away. Such price increases... would be the most important mechanism through which businesses and households were encouraged to make investments and behavioral changes that reduced CO2 emissions. (Emphasis added.)
See: Climate and Policy Experts Warn Watered Down Cap-and-Trade Bill Won’t Prevent Catastrophic Climate Change at www.carbontax.org.
On Waxman-Markey permit allocation plan: could be worse posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago 4 ResponsesAnyone who doesn't think Inglis is serious should read this:
http://theenergycollective.com/TheEnergyCollective/37475.
He's gone to Antartica, he gets the science and the economics.
Either a carbon tax or cap/trade raise fossil fuel prices-- that's the point -- to encourge conservation and alternatives. But two recent economic analyses concluded that cost differences between regions are slight primarily because about half of the carbon price would be indirect-- the energy cost of making things we buy on a relatively uniform national market. See http://www.carbontax.org/issues/regional-disparities/.
Of course, the coal industry would be hard-hit. Efficiently phasing out coal or requiring carbon capture (if feasible) is a key purpose of climate legislation. Rep. Larson's carbon tax bill offers transition assistance to those regions. See New Larson Bill Raises the Bar for Congressional Climate Action. Places like Montana and West Virginia can go from coal to renewables like wind and end up with more jobs and a cleaner environment.
On Should the Republican carbon tax bill be taken seriously? posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago 6 ResponsesGimme A Piece of that Pie!
Conventional political wisdom has been "hide the carbon price" under cap-and-trade. To keep the game alive, Waxman's opened the "free allowances" and "cheap offsets" windows (and has been forced to backslide on climate goals). No surprise that lobbyists have been lining up for their slices of pie.
In contrast, British Columbia's voters yesterday decisively re-elected Gordon Campbell who enacted North America's first revenue-neutral carbon tax. See www.carbontax.org.
Maybe it's time to re-think the conventional wisdom and send the dirty energy lobbyists home by enacting a revenue-neutral carbon tax that distributes the revenue to households. The Citizens' Climate Lobby is asking for exactly that: http://citizensclimatelobby.org/
On Dirty energy interests have spent $79 million this year lobbying Congress posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago 2 ResponsesYes, the U.S. has been lapped in the climate race.
Here's a study in contrast:
- Carbon Tax advocate Gordon Campbell rode to victory in yesterday's election in British Columbia, widely viewed as a referendum on the carbon tax.
- Meanwhile, in Washington D.C., Rep. Waxman continues a death struggle to salvage cap/trade by further weakening climate goals, larding on more offsets and giving away free allowances to polluters.
If we want to catch up, the U.S. might consider BC's example: they enacted and implemented a gradually increasing revenue-neutral carbon tax in five months and now it's withstood a serious political test.
Carbon Tax analysis and policy information at http://www.carbontax.org.
Letters to Congress and videos at http://www.pricecarbon.org.
On Critics blast U.S. climate efforts posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago 1 Response
Real Differences
Dave,
True, whether it's 80& or 100% revenue return, that's a huge improvement over Lieberman or USCAP-style cap/trade that would've spent all revenue, much on questionable items like "clean coal".
A more substantial debate is over mechanism. Caps imply trading. Why create a secondary market? Haven't derivatives been de-mystified by now?
Don't we want the rest of the world to join? Caps are extremely complex to internationalize; border adjustments based on "process" may be illegal under WTO. Carbon taxes can easily be harmonized: we'd carbon tax the products for our trading partners until they enacted their own carbon taxes.
Hope Congress will focus on simplicity, transparency and rapid implementation on a global scale. By those standards, the carbon tax bill introduced by ... Rep. Larson which includes a rate adjustment to assure that emssions targets are met, is a giant step forward.On On Sen. Bob Corker's 'support' for carbon legislation posted 8 months, 3 weeks ago 1 Response
Thanks, Peter / Investing "dividend"
Yes, Hansen articulated the reasons for revenue-neutrality of a carbon tax. It has to be fair (non-regressive) and it has to build political support. And as Peter points out, like Social Security, the program has to hold up for 40 years or so without attempts to divert the funds.
See Hansen Tells Ways & Means: Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax Needed to Spur Clean Technology Revolution.
I am intrigued by Ken's idea of investing "dividend" money in the green economy, especially renewable energy. Since the "dividend" would presumably be income-taxable, maybe a way to encourage investment would be to allow people to invest and defer taxes (like an IRA) in an approved fund for clean energy capitalization. That would allow those with discretionary income to make green energy investments, providing a pool of capital, while not hurting those who need their "dividend" money immediately.
On Some perspective on tax-and-dividend and a better alternative posted 8 months, 4 weeks ago 26 ResponsesLink to Price Carbon Campaign
www.PriceCarbon.orgOn Photos of climate and coal protests in D.C. posted 9 months ago 2 Responses
Hansen says "put a price on carbon"
Sign a petition and letters to Congress at the Price Carbon Campaign.On Thousands protest against coal in front of D.C.'s Capitol Power Plant posted 9 months ago 18 Responses
Hansen says "put a price on carbon"
Visit the Price Carbon Campaign to sign a petition and letters to Congress to tax carbon and recycle revenue to the people.On Photos of climate and coal protests in D.C. posted 9 months ago 2 Responses
Hansen: crisis compels revenue-neutral carbon tax!
See Hansen Tells Ways & Means: Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax Needed to Spur Clean Technology Revolution.On Congress starts to outline how they'll meet Obama's directive on climate and energy legislation posted 9 months ago 12 Responses
Dr. Hansen seems to be doing it pretty well
See Hansen Tells Ways & Means: Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax Needed to Spur Clean Technology Revolution.
I'm with that other Baruch (Spinoza). Truth matters. And avoiding it isn't usually a good shortcut. On Dear public advocates for addressing climate change, posted 9 months ago 7 Responses
Dr. Hansen: Carbon Prices, Not Secondary Markets
No telling what President Obama meant in terms of timing (this session or this Congress) or mechanism (tax or cap), but House Ways & Means (the greenest committee on the Hill) is studying simple price-based mechanisms to reduce GHG emissions. See Hansen Tells Ways & Means: Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax Needed to Spur Clean Technology Revolution.
On Obama puts climate and energy atop his priorities list in his first address to Congress posted 9 months ago 8 ResponsesU.S. Carbon Tax could move China, too
Dave, you report: "members of... Congress fear carbon restrictions that aren't matched by China will put the U.S. at a competitive disadvantage and export jobs overseas."
Trade experts testified on 9/18/08 to House Ways & Means: Carbon caps could disadvantage energy intensive U.S. firms. Not clear how or if caps (with ambiguous, volatile prices) can be harmonized under WTO rules.
As you noted, rapidly-developing China can't embrace a carbon cap. But a U.S. Carbon Tax with non-discriminatory border tax adjustments on imports would collect (and keep) China's carbon tax -- encouraging them to enact their own carbon tax to capture that revenue themselves.
In short, the transparent price signal of a U.S. carbon tax with border tax adjustments would encourage low-carbon development in China and worldwide.
See www.carbontax.org and www.pricecarbon.org.On The game plan: partnership with China posted 9 months, 1 week ago 2 Responses
Browner is no socialist, but she is a regulator
Browner / EPA are regulators. But there are 3 general approaches to reducing GHG emissions:
- Regulate,
- Market-based (cap/trade),
- Price (carbon tax or fee).
Testifying on 9/18/08 to Ways & Means, Browner advocated a "predictable market signal" (which would suggest pricing) but embraced cap-and-trade.
The committee didn't ask: What magical enforcement process will assure compliance with a cap? Would EPA shut down power plants when they've run out of CO2 permits? Wouldn't trading result in seconardy markets like those that crashed our mortgage and banking systems?
Browner concluded: EPA has authority to regulate greenhouse gas emissions under the Clean Air Act, but "Given the magnitude of the problem, and the scale of the solution required, I believe it is important that Congress provide national leadership on this issue."
She's worried that Congress will punt GHG emissions policy to EPA without clear instructions. A preview of the nightmare: EPA's Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking: twist existing Clean Air Act authorities into a cap-and-trade rule. Battle it out in the federal courts where the rule (and EPA's authority to make it) will be challenged and delayed for years. Then slug out the years-long process of implementation. Even if you believe cap-and-trade would work, can we really wait another decade to find out?
British Columbia enacted and implemented a revenue-neutral carbon tax in 5 months. EPA used a fee system to quickly phase out ozone-depleting CFCs.
Regulation isn't the only way, and tradeable permits aren't the only alternative. Pricing mechanims are simple, direct and effective.
Hope Browner is talking to new budget director Peter Orszag, whose CBO reports concluded that carbon taxes would be five times as effective as fixed caps.
See www.carbontax.org.On Are you now or have you ever been a member of the environmental party? posted 9 months, 1 week ago 2 Responses
- Regulate,
Cap-and-Trade is Hide-the-price
Cap-and-trade = hidden, volatile, regressive tax creating secondary markets ("derivatives") enriching traders, gumming up the entire energy economy with noisy price signals and transaction costs. Its main advantage: it's not called a "tax".
Cap/trade hasn't reduced emissions in the EU and will probably have to be scrapped at tremedous cost.
News Flash: EPA attorneys explain why explicit fees as sucessfully used to phase out ozone-destroying CFCs would work to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. See www.carbontax.org
On European climate program reduces emissions posted 9 months, 1 week ago 14 ResponsesMileage based auto insurance
Dean Baker of the Center for Economic Policy suggests that auto insurance based on miles driven. This would create a continuous incentive to reduce GHG emissions by driving less. (Instead of the usual "all you can drive" insurance.) It's also fairer.
http://www.cepr.net/index.php/op-eds-&-columns/op-eds ...On A price signal in the vehicle market is best applied to the vehicle posted 9 months, 1 week ago 14 Responses
EPA can't really protect the environment
It took me a while to understand why EPA is so pathetically ineffective as I worked as an EPA enforcement attorney.
EPA's fundamental structure is weak. EPA Administrators are appointed by and serve at the will of the President. Very different than commissioners at the FDR-era independent agencies, for instance FCC or the Federal Reserve, overseen by independent commissioners who serve for staggered terms and whose agencies have their own enabling statutory authority.
Congress can micro-manage and interefere with EPA's funding. In the early 90s, House Speaker Newt Gingrich made a high art of excising enforcement funding from EPA budgets. Clinton / Gore did not confront the Repubilcans' manipulations.
EPA has no enabling statute, it works from a patchwork of laws that don't mesh well. Nixon set up EPA by executive order to pre-empt Senator Muskie who was working on legislation to set up a much stronger agency. Nixon intentionally crippled EPA from the start at many levels, including housing EPA HQ in a dilapidated, vacant shopping mall in SW DC, owned by a Spiro Agnew crony.
Nixon's design has assured weak implementation and enforcement of environmental laws.
If Congress hands implementation and enforcement of climate legislation to EPA (or if Congress just punts and lets EPA try to regulate greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act) watch for a very weak, legally questionable, and ineffective regulatory or "cap-and-trade" system. Further delay, weak implementation and spotty enforcement are exactly what some very powerful industries want, and are exactly what EPA's very structure was designed by Nixon to deliver.On A look at EPA administrators since the agency's founding posted 9 months, 2 weeks ago 3 Responses
Price Signals Nudge Everyone.
David Roberts,
Sure, we urgently need public investment in research on renewables, efficient public transportation, bike and pedestrian infrastructure, a smart grid... But not funded by a carbon tax.
A clear, transparent, upward-trending price on carbon would move the whole economy, not just those receiving subsidies. There just isn't enough money around to bribe everyone to cut fossil fuel use as much as we all need to do. Furthermore, the legislative process isn't a good way to pick technology winners; they'll emerge when they're not submerged in cheap fossil fuel energy.
In order to create a strong enough price signal and to sustain the necessary upward trend, recycling carbon revenue is essential to avoid hammering poor and middle income households and dragging down the economy. And recycling revenue builds support. The Alaska Permanent fund is wildly popular.
Price signals and public investment work together: Buses and trains fill up when fuel prices rise. Utilities (and their customers) buy wind power when coal is more costly.
But as Davedenali commented above, trying to do both together may mean doing neither effectively. Senate Republicans' resistance to the stimulus bill suggests they won't sit still for cap-and-spend bill. But at least some, e.g., Sen. Corker, show interest in a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
Maybe I'm dreaming, but I sense the possibility of a bipartisan revenue-neutral carbon tax this year! And without the long implementation delays of cap-and-trade. On House speaker now says she wants a climate bill passed by December posted 9 months, 3 weeks ago 10 Responses
Truth-in-Pricing vs. Subsidies
Note Pelosi's comment: "You cap and you trade so you can pay for some of these investments in energy independence and renewables."
Both cap-n-trade and carbon taxes are said to be mechanisms to "price carbon." But a tax explictly uses prices to achieve emissions reductions. Pelosi's saying a major goal of cap-n-trade is revenue for subsidies.
If we want to nudge conservation and innovation with fossil fuel prices that reflect more of their true climate costs, then a clear, predictable gradually-increasing price signal is key. Revenue recycling through either a tax shift (e.g., reducing payroll taxes) or a direct distribution, would eliminate a carbon tax's "income effect," retaining the desired "substitution effect". That's what Rep. Larson is proposing and Al Gore recommends.
But if you're really after funding for government spending on renewables and "energy independence," a hidden tax (that bypasses the appropriations process) sure seems alluring. Who'll notice that it's volatile and regressive? Or that the "cap" (with allowances and offsets) isn't really a firm limit?
The terminology is Orwellian. As currently proposed (i.e., the USCAP proposal), cap-n-trade is far more of a "tax" (and spend) than a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
Check out "Cap Secrets" at
http://stoft.com/ebooks/cap-secrets.pdf
by economist Steve Stoft.On House speaker now says she wants a climate bill passed by December posted 9 months, 3 weeks ago 10 ResponsesDon't hide the price, recycle the revenue!
To me, this is Lipow's most important point:
"[W]e will never reduce industrial emissions sufficiently without a priced-based mechanism."
Clear expectations of a gradually-rising carbon price would drive investment and innovation in the direction of a low-carbon economy. Even the most cleverly-targeted subsidies can't be big enough or widely distributed enough to do that, and given how Congress works, funds would probably go to existing, powerful industries and interests rather than to spurring innovators.
The main alleged political advantage of cap-and-trade is that isn't called a "tax" and that it hides the price signal. As Lipow describes, adherents concoct bizarre contortions to "fix" cap-and-trade's flaws. But they can't "fix" what they claim is a feature: that it hides the price. (And yes, secondary markets tend to muddy price signals further.) USCAP claims to be able to avoid higher consumer electricity prices with free allowances to electricity distribution companies. When we waste vast amounts of energy because it's so cheap that we don't even think about it, is muting the price signal really a good feature?
Even a modest, predictable price increase is a tough sell. Revenue recycling, via a payroll tax reduction as Rep John Larson (D-Conn) is proposing, is a transparent way to make a serious price on carbon politically and economically feasible.
Don't hide the price, recycle the revenue.
For more on revenue-neutral carbon taxes, see www.carbontax.org. Video explaining carbon tax at www.pricecarbon.org. On Carbon pricing needs to supplement, not undermine, other means of cutting emissions posted 9 months, 3 weeks ago 6 Responses
Senator Corker Steals the Show
Senator Corker asked about a revenue-neutral carbon tax, with revenue used to reduce other taxes. Gore agreed, that would work the best.
Corker quoted an expert who said that carbon capture and sequestration (so-called "clean coal") will happen when "donkeys fly." Gore admitted that CCS is "not a near-term solution."
For more on revenue neutral carbon taxes, see www.carbonntax.org. To sign a petition and send letters to Congress, www.pricecarbon.org.On Gore urges Congress to quickly pass stimulus package and climate bill posted 9 months, 4 weeks ago 5 Responses
Sen. Corker Hits the Mark, Kerry Notices
"We're shooting real bullets now", Corker said.
And he hit the mark: A gradually-increasing revenue-neutral carbon tax would give conservation and renewables a chance to compete while pricing out the dirtiest energy first. Returning 100% of revenue via a payroll tax reduction or would stimulate employment and avoid pounding low and middle income households.
Of carbon capture and storage ("clean coal") Corker quipped, when "donkeys fly".
Roberts' "nobody's lighting the revenue on fire" retort exposes cap-n-traders' agenda: taxpayer funding of favorite projects through a hidden, volatile, regressive tax called a cap. Who'd get the carbon auction dough? If the Lieberman bill was a clue: polluters, especially utilities, "clean coal" research, corn-to-ethanol subsidies, nukes...
After Corker called for a transparent, simple carbon tax, Kerry didn't scream "poison pill". No, he asked Corker to help with a bipartisan approach. On Sen. Bob Corker wants a carbon tax posted 10 months ago 5 Responses
Revenue-Neutrality makes strange bedfellows
To nudge us all toward energy conservation and alternatives, a carbon tax (or cap-n-trade with permits auctioned) raises prices of fossil fuels. A phased-in carbon tax would raise carbon prices predictably, gradually; a cap would raise prices unpredictably as permit shortages occured; inducing volatility, as we're seeing in the EU.
Because low- and mid-income households spend a larger fraction of income on energy than top brackets, they'd be hit harder by carbon pricing (either tax or cap). It's a regressive tax.
Sen. Shaheen asked Gore yesterday about "recycling" funds from carbon taxes (or carbon auctions under a cap) as monthly distributions or reductions in payroll taxes. Gore agreed, that would help.
Economists and maybe pro-business Republicans (e.g., Corker, Inglis) dislike wage taxes -- they discourage hiring and work. If they support pricing carbon while reducing taxes on "goods" (like work) and replacing them with taxes on "bads" (like carbon pollution), isn't that a win-win?
The "denier-in-chief's" departure changed the conversation. Republicans bristle at cap-n-trade proposals -- hidden taxes to fund all kinds of questionable projects and free allowances. Environmentalists (e.g., Friends of the Earth) are concerned about the same kinds of give-aways.
Maybe strange bedfellows, but both want transparency, maybe for different reasons.
Think bipartisan revenue-neutral carbon tax!
See www.carbontax.org for more info, and www.pricecarbon to send letters to Congress and sign our petition.On More on conservatives and carbon taxes posted 10 months ago 15 Responses
Senate testimony-- Corker steals the show
Senator Corker asked Gore about transparency: Wouldn't a carbon tax work better?
Gore said, Yes definately, that's his preference.
Corker said, my goal is to make this better.
Senator Kerry invited Corker to help draft the bill.Encouraging, if like most economists including Peter Orszag the new Budget director and Gore, you're convinced a carbon tax would work a whole lot better and avoid delay, gaming and volatitilty endemic to cap-and-trade.
On On Capitol Hill, Gore urges quick action on climate posted 10 months ago 2 ResponsesRep. Larson, 12 co-sponsors aren't shills
Dave,
If advocates of a revenue-neutral carbon tax were all people who months ago denied any climate problem, your "poison pill" argument might be plausible.
But economists across the political spectrum have repeatedly concluded that cap-and-trade is ineffective, volatile and rife with opportunities for gaming. Rob Shapiro, former undersecretary of Commerce and chair of U.S. Climate Task Force spoke at a Hill briefing December 9. "We're only going to get one shot at effective climate policy... Cap-and-trade just hasn't worked."
Rep. John Larson, chairs the House Democratic Caucus. His carbon tax bill, HR 3416 had 12 co-sponsors last session, including some prominent "greens": Earl Blumenaur, a stalwart advocate of bicycle and pedestrian facilities, Pete Stark, Jim Moran, Rosa DeLauro, Sam Farr, Raul Grijalva, Zoe Lofgren, Nita Lowey, Jim McDermott, James McGovern, George Miller, Jim Moran, Fortney Pete Stark and Edolphus Towns.
Not climate deniers or obstructionists. These legislators understand that cap-and-trade is a hidden, volatile, regressive tax. Its chief advantage (unless you're a carbon trader) is that it's not called a tax. Larson and co-sponsors take the flak for openly advocating a "tax" because the consequences of choosing an ineffective policy -- would be more delay. As Shapiro put it, "cap-and-trade would fail" and lead to "public cynicism that anything effective" can be done to curb greenhouse gas emissions.
Larson's "tax" proposal actually would return the vast bulk of revenue to workers by reducing payroll taxes. In that sense, it's much less of a "tax" than cap-and-trade proposals like USCAP's and Lieberman's which hide the tax and divert the revenue to an array of insiders and favorite projects.
For more on revenue-neutral carbon taxes see www.carbontax.org. To send letters to Congress and sign our petition go to www.pricecarbon.org.On There's a reason Republicans stump for a carbon tax, and it ain't to reduce emissions posted 10 months ago 37 Responses
Why not Carbon Tax?
Most economists like carbon taxes better than cap-and-trade because they're simpler, more transparent and don't create price volatility and aren't as easily gamed.
Most (but not all) politicians like cap-and-trade, because it hides the price from the public. The word's getting out that cap-and-trade is really a tax; maybe now we can listen to what the economists are saying and compare the two approaches without hiding. See www.carbontax.org.
And if we just have to do cap-and-trade, what about a price floor? With a sagging economy driving down carbon emissions, the cap isn't likely to be a real restriction for several years. A price floor, like a carbon tax, would create incentives for innovation and conservation measures now, even before economic growth resumes and we approach cap limits. On NRDC and EDF endorse the weak, coal-friendly, rip-offset-heavy USCAP climate plan posted 10 months, 1 week ago 7 Responses
Why not Carbon Tax?
Most economists like carbon taxes better than cap-and-trade because they're simpler, more transparent and don't create price volatility and aren't as easily gamed.
Most (but not all) politicians like cap-and-trade, because it hides the price from the public. The word's getting out that cap-and-trade is really a tax; maybe now we can listen to what the economists are saying and compare the two approaches without hiding. See www.carbontax.org.
And if we just have to do cap-and-trade, what about a price floor? With a sagging economy driving down carbon emissions, the cap isn't likely to be a real restriction for several years. A price floor, like a carbon tax, would create incentives for innovation and conservation measures now, even before economic growth resumes and we approach cap limits. On NRDC and EDF endorse the weak, coal-friendly, rip-offset-heavy USCAP climate plan posted 10 months, 1 week ago 7 Responses
Fix "crumbling roads, bridges" Ugh!
Why should the federal government prop up the auto-based transportation network? Turn it over to states, let them outsource maintenance in exchange for tolls-- let drivers start paying their way.
Instead, fix, modernize and expand our crumbling (or non-existent) rail, bike and pedestrian networks. Jobs building an efficient infrastructure for the post-oil, low-carbon age!
Old-fashioned highway construction encourages longer commutes and increases energy-consumption. "They're going to put a bunch of money through a broken system to stimulate the economy. That doesn't make sense to me," said Colin Peppard, a transportation expert for Friends of the Earth. (Wash Post 12/24/08.)
FoE recently began a "Road to Nowhere" campaign, saying that new roads would lead to new pollution. They're urging Obama to keep the economic stimulus clean.On Obama references energy, climate challenges in inaugural address posted 10 months, 1 week ago 13 Responses
Why not a Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax?
"Emissions Certainty" is the chief selling point of cap-and-trade. But if potential offsets overwhelm reductions under the cap, where's the "emissions certainty"?
If free "allowances" to energy distribution companies "protect" consumers from higher prices, why expect them to invest in (or even bother with) energy conservation?
USCAP seems to be avoiding the most potent medicine available to avert climate disaster -- a transparent, gradually-increasing price on carbon that would turn the whole economy into a laboratory for energy conservation and renewable energy.
We don't know what's politically possible in this Congress until we try. At least two Republicans and two Democrats are working on carbon tax bills, all including revenue-recycling provisions. A carbon tax could be implemented in months, not half a decade.
See www.carbontax.org for more information and www.pricecarbon.org to sign our petition and letters to Congress.
On NRDC responds to criticism of USCAP's Blueprint posted 10 months, 1 week ago 29 ResponsesCarbon Tax gains momentum as cap-n-trade fades
Describing USCAP's proposal, Pew's Eileen Claussen said, "all the components of the plan are linked." So are the players. All betting on a piece of the revenue "pie". From what I can tell, ("transparency" isn't a word associated with cap-and-trade) "dessert" is expected to be served through free allowances, offsets and subsidies funded by a hidden, regressive, volatile tax, called a "cap."
That dog won't hunt. That "give-away" plan was Lieberman-Warner. Senator Corker didn't sit quietly for it. He's reportedly drafting a carbon tax bill as are Rep's Larson and Inglis. Rep. Stark has just introduced one. All expect to feature revenue recycling. Think bi-partisan revenue-neutral carbon tax. See www.pricecarbon.org.
- James Handley On Business/enviro alliance unveils climate plan, attracts critics posted 10 months, 2 weeks ago 4 Responses
EPA: Good Call, but Tax, don't regulate CO2
Hooray! Coal-fired power plants are US's largest source of Co2 emissions, this is huge!
EPA is a very over-burdened agency and its enforcement program is even more thinly stretched. (I was an attorney there for 14 years.)
EPA, Congress and the new Administration should resist the temptation to regulate GHG emissions and price them instead. Economists agree that a revenue-neutral carbon tax is the best way to drive down emissions and shift to a low-carbon economy. See www.carbontax.org.
EPA regs take five years to promulgate and another decade of litigation would ensue. And then they're unlikely to be well-enforced.
Tax Carbon Pollution, Pay people! On EPA board freezes construction of new coal-fired power plants in U.S. posted 1 year ago 15 Responses
See "A Tale of Two Elections"
posted Friday 11/7 at the Carbon Tax Center
site.(Discussing implications of Canada's election for US policy.)
On Canada has its own elections, which may shape future of a carbon tax posted 1 year ago 10 ResponsesCap and Charade
I agree that McCain wasn't serious about effective climate policy. One test is to look at what would be covered under the "cap." Most of the conservative proposals (including Harper's plan in Canada) would leave out about half the emissions, covering primarily coal-fired power plants.
Beyond that, cap-and-trade is so fundamentally flawed that neither party's proposals can be taken seriously. Cap-and-trade has produced no net reductions in the EU for example, because it's so easy to game the system.
Economists are virtually unanimous that a carbon tax would work much more effectively and could improve the efficiency of the ecomony if carbon tax revenue were recycled via a direct distribution to individuals or used to reduce other taxes, for instance payroll taxes.
See www.carbontax.org.
On Judgment and objectivity in media posted 1 year ago 1 ResponseEconomics for a "Planet in Peril"
Yes, this historic election sent a clear signal for "transformative change."
To transform policy on climate and energy, we must use the most powerful market signal: Prices. The Stern Report on Global Warming put it bluntly, "failure to price carbon emissions represents the greatest market failure of history."
Will Obama have the guts and political support to start pricing carbon so we all have incentives to conserve and switch to renewable energy?
Our planet truly is in peril and we need the strongest and most effective medicine for the climate fever. "Tax Pollution, Pay People" urges NASA's lead climatge scientist, Dr James Hansen. He supports a carbon tax on coal, oil and gas producers with all revenue distributed individuals. That price signal could lead to real transformative change: energy conservation, development of renewables, and green jobs.
The work begins now. See www.carbontax.org.
On Obama triumphs, names environment and energy as priorities posted 1 year ago 11 ResponsesHot air, but NO WIND
Shieffer's question linked energy with climate, too bad his re-statement let them dodge the Inconvenient Truth.
McCain advocates "drill" and "nuclear." Obama: "clean coal" and fuel efficiency standards.
Nukes wouldn't be built if taxpayers weren't insuring them. (Private companies don't take that much risk without government backing.) Shouldn't that tell us something about the cost and the risk of nukes? So much for McCain's "free market" ecomomics.
"Clean coal" (a.k.a. "carbon capture and sequestration") is a deadly mirage. The Department of Energy doles out huge grants to research CCS. DOE and the Fourth IPCC report project that CCS would require AT LEAST 25% of the net energy from coal and roughly 80% more capital infrastructure than current coal-fired power plants. That's if CCS works at all. (No functioning CCS system to date.)
Wind-generated electricity is NOW available for about 15% more than coal. (I buy it in DC. It's called POWER CHOICE.) Solar (both photovoltaic and direct heating) is rapidly gaining cost competitiveness with fossil fuel sources. Barely a mention of these much more cost effective and environmentally benign energy sources.
Very disappointing that neither candidate mentions conservation or transit. We waste half the fuel we burn in the US, mostly because low prices (and price volatility) discourage investment in conservation.
No matter who wins, climate and energy activists have our work cut out for us. Conservation, Wind and Solar which could stimule millions of new jobs, deserve to top the agenda. Instead, we get warmed over baloney about "energy independence." On Candidates talk energy in the final debate, but don't stray from their usual talking points posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses
Revenue-Neutral CarbonTax Still the Best Policy
Sadly, Canada's Conservatives will continue to govern by "divide and conquer."
Dion's Liberal Party courageously pressed for the most effective and fair policy to reduce Global Warming: a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
Conservatives gained seats but failed to gain a majority in a three-way race where both Liberals and the NDP proposed plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The results suggest that a majority of Canadians support such measures, but may not agree about which one. Hardly a condemnation of Dion's proposal or even of his political acumen. I count him as a hero.
British Columbia successfully enacted a revenue-neutral carbon tax. Perhaps for now, progress in Canada will be on the provincial and local level. I hope that an Obama administration and the new Congress will give serious consideration to a carbon tax in the US as the many flaws of "cap-and-trade" become inescapably evident.
For more information, see www,carbontax.org.On Canada's election deals defeat to Liberal Party and carbon tax posted 1 year, 1 month ago 7 Responses
Green New Deal: Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax
Fossil Fuel prices tell us that burning carbon is (still) cheaper than conservation or developing and implementing low-carbon alternatives. We're following price signals by continuing to burn more.
Moralizing doesn't change market behavior, but prices do! A gradually-increasing revenue-neutral carbon tax on fossil fuel producers could change price signals. Distribution of the revenue to individuals could stimulate our economy. Check out www.carbontax.org.
Yes, this is an opportunity to build carbon pricing into the financial restructuring!
And, yes, coastal areas are cooling: as land gets hotter creating updrafts, temperature gradients between land and ocean are increasing, drawing more cooling wind off the oceans. (Ocean winds induced by heat in the desert make San Francisco chilly in late summer and early autumn.)
"Global warming" is misleading (it's not uniform warming) and too benign-sounding (it's not gradual and we won't be able to adapt for long). More like accelerating "Climate Weirdness" or "Climate Chaos." No predictable seasons means no rain when we need it. Failing crops, and in short order, collapsing civilization.
Setting climate policy (including a price on carbon) is far more important than bailing out speculators. On Last year's world CO2 emissions exceeded most dire IPCC predictions posted 1 year, 2 months ago 5 Responses
Brent Blackwelder has it right!
We should be re-thinking the entire financial structure with the goal of aligning the incentives to create a green, low-carbon economy.
This "crash" COULD be an opportunity!
Conservatives don't govern and they don't regulate, because they don't believe in government and they hate regulation, no matter what harm it prevents. Would you give the keys to your new car to a guy who hates cars? Are we surprised that he crashed it?
Progressive Greens: Please start articulating an alternative to "Republican-lite" -- most people instinctively avoid watered-down imitations. FDR boldly offered a "New Deal" -- that's the kind of leadership we need now! A New Green Deal!
Barak?On Friends of the Earth says anti-regulation approach causes environmental destruction posted 1 year, 2 months ago 25 Responses
Cap without trade? Carbon Tax is better.
In reply to Wolverine:
Yes, emissions traders introduce many problems and would require a huge monitoring and enforcement effort. Manipulations on the scale of Enron have been predicted and speculation on permit prices is already underway. In his new book "Question of Balance" Yale economist William Nordhaus predicts tradeable permits would become the new underground currency for terrorism, guns and drugs. (And what would be the sanction for rogue players? Cut them out of the emissions reduction regime?)
"Cap" without "trade" would be a regulation. E.g., "Every facility (individual?) must reduce CO2 emissions X percent a year." Some can do it cheaper than others and some can do it sooner than others. Hence trading was introduced to allow optimization.
But to work, cap and trade requires that emissions be permitted and that permits be tradeable. Permits should all be auctioned. (Why would we give past polluters a free, vested right to keep polluting?) As the Republicans helpfully pointed out during the debate over the Lieberman cap-and-trade bill, auctioning permits and requiring all emitters to have a permit for every ton of CO2 is a tax. In fact, the biggest tax ever.
The Lieberman bill would have reaped from energy consumers (hitting the poor hard) $4.3 trillion (yes, that's a "t") and doled it out to past polluters and to big, dirty energy corporations, with handouts to favored "renewables" like: corn-based ethanol, nukes and so-called "clean coal" research. (See Friends of the Earth's "giveaway analysis" of Lieberman's bill.) Not much to real renewables like wind and solar.
So economists of all stripes (and a few enviros are coming around) prefer a staight tax on fossil fuels in proportion to their carbon content. (Coal highest, petroleum in the middle and natural gas the lowest.) No traders. No permits. No price spikes. Easy to internationalize. No bickering over the cap: who's covered, and who gets exemptions, etc.
If the tax revenue is used to offset other taxes, it's called a "tax shift." (Canada is debating a "Green Shift" along these lines.) Offsetting regressive taxes (e.g., payroll taxes) could make the carbon tax progressive. Or a direct, equal (monthly?) "dividend" (share of the carbon tax revenue) to individuals would offset the income effect, pumping all the carbon tax revenue back into the economy -- hitting the bigger fossil fuel users the hardest but more than offsetting the price increases felt by those using less than average. A revenue-neutral carbon tax would create ongoing incentives for everyone to conserve and switch to alternatives.
That's exactly the opposite of what cheap fossil fuel energy tells us to do now: encouraging us to use as much as we can. Efficiency advances have been overtaken by new uses for cheap fuel.
Can't think of a reason that a cap and a tax couldn't be done together, but a cap (with necessary monitoring and enforcement) just isn't needed if the tax is high enough and goes up predictably to affect behavior and planning.
A hybrid approach is a cap with a price ceiling or "offramp." When the price of permits hits the ceiling, a "safety valve" is opened. That's helpful to limit price spikes, (but of course removes the emissions certainty of a fixed cap) and we'd still have the complexities of implementation (the EU's cap-and-trade system is a nightmare and has acheived no net reductions) as well as traders, the opportunities for gaming the system, and the regressivity of a hidden carbon tax.
About the only advantage of cap-and-trade is that it's not called a "tax" (even though it is a huge, regressive tax). Aside from frightful name, a revenue-neutral carbon tax is truly an elegant and transparent system.
Check out The Carbon Tax Center for more information. www.carbontax.org. On Los Angeles utility starts to squawk as it stares down a $700 million carbon bill posted 1 year, 3 months ago 9 Responses
Nixon maimed Muskie's EPA
Unable to prevent EPA's birth, Nixon gouged out its eyes and ears, severed its limbs and declared himself a proud father.
To pre-empt Sentor Muskie's legislation of a science-based independent environmental regulatory agency, Nixon signed an executive order consolidating already-existing functions of other agencies. Then he shoved his "new EPA" into a sick building (Waterside Mall) owned by Spiro's friend (Bressler) in Southwest DC where its staff combatted an epidemic of chronic illnesses while struggling to do their already difficult jobs.
Tricky Dicky's slight of hand worked brilliantly. EPA is an intensely dysfunctional, grossly understaffed and underfunded executive agency without its own authorizing statute and subject to intense political struggle at every turn.
Most people assume that EPA protects the environment. EPA doesn't really even have legal authority to "protect the environment." It still operates under a patchwork of poorly-coordinated statutes with conflicting mandates. EPA is too weak (blind, deaf and limbless) to resist industry and is subject to every whim of the White House. (Most recently, Bush dictated that EPA disapprove California climate rules on utterly spurious legal grounds.)
EPA Enforcement (where I served as an attorney for 14 years) is pathetically crippled just as the trickster intended. EPA's penalty authority is paltry and the number (and importance) of enforcement cases has declined to a trickle while nearly every indicia of environmental health is declining just as the vital signs of a dying patient might.
After 1994, Speaker Newt Gingrich emasculated EPA enforcement by cutting its funding. (Not a whimper was heard from VP Al Gore.) Newt understood the importance of preserving Nixon's mirage while leaving "EPA enforcement" essentially an oxymoron.
The mirage of EPA is one of "The Trickster's" most enduring and apt legacies. On Nixon: Not a closet enviro posted 1 year, 3 months ago 3 Responses
Price spikes make Cap-and-Trade costly, painful
Yes, raising energy prices IS itself an efficiency program.
But AB 32's cap-and-trade program is a very costly, inefficient and unfair way to "force" GHG emissions reductions. (Reductions are likely to be elusive without major, ongoing enforcement efforts.)
Economists are virtually unanimous: a gradually- increasing carbon fee would get far greater reductions for less pain. A thoroughly-researched Congressional Budget Office study concluded in February that a system of carbon fees or taxes would be roughly FIVE times as effective as a fixed cap. The EU's cap-and-trade system hasn't produced ANY net reductions and California's RECLAIM (smog cap & trading program) engenders huge price volatility with little or no pollution reduction, while concentrating pollution in disadvantaged areas.
See www.carbonfees.org, where two EPA enforcement attorneys debunk the myths of cap-and-trade (which they witnessed) and explain the advantages of carbon fees.
Also see www.carbontax.org for comprehensive information about the advantages of revenue-neutral carbon taxes over cap-and-trade.
YES, higher prices are necessary to induce conservation and investment in renewables. But cap-and-trade's price volatility sends mixed signals. And a cap has very serious (mostly hidden) income effects that aren't shared fairly.
A revenue-neutral carbon tax would be more effective and fairer. Glad California is taking the lead where the Bush Administration has thwarted all progress. Too bad the Golden State is rushing down a dead-end. I hope we can learn from this mistake at the federal level.On Los Angeles utility starts to squawk as it stares down a $700 million carbon bill posted 1 year, 3 months ago 9 Responses
Better medicine -- Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax
"States bypass logjam at the federal level with their own cap-and-trade programs." Sounds like good news but on closer inspection, probably an illusion.
Sadly, cap-and-trade is decidedly a second-best policy that hasn't acheived any net reductions in the EU after five years of struggle. A wide range of economists and the Congressional Budget Office conclude that a carbon tax would be at least FIVE times as cost effective as a fixed cap at reducing GHG emissions.
Why? Because rising price signals distribute the cost of reductions across the economy and over time. Quantity controls (caps) create artificial scarcity and force costly short-term reductions. Trading mostly enriches traders.)
British Columbia leads the way with a revenue-neutral carbon tax. BC "primed the pump" by distributing carbon tax dividends to citizens before the tax took effect. Savvy and effective. Canada's (centrist) Liberal Party leader Stephan Dion is championing a national "green shift" whose key element is a revenue-neutral carbon tax.
But here in the US, the subject of carbon taxes remains decidedly on the political sideline (even while it's mainstream economics).
The Carbon Tax Center (www.carbontax.org) is dedicated to informing citizens and policy-makers about the advantages of a carbon tax.
The dire consequences of global warming demand the most effective policy. Let's get our best player -- carbon taxes -- off the sideline and onto the political playing field. On Western states unveil draft cap-and-trade scheme posted 1 year, 4 months ago 3 Responses
Clean Coal is a mirage
Here's what's behind the wizard's curtain:
- "Capture" CO2 from the very hot exhaust gases of electric power plants. How? Condense it with BIG ammonia refrigeration units. (Condensed CO2 is dry ice at atmospheric pressure-- must get VERY cold to condense. Does that kind of cooling system require energy? Yes, I'll bet my chemical engineering degree, it's vast. And the "capture" system would be comparable in cost to the rest of the power plant.)
- "Sequester" the CO2 by pumping it into depleted natural gas (methane) formations, displacing gas fuel. (Some net energy recovery is possible there. But gas is a fossil fuel; ITs emissions would need to be captured and sequestered too.)
Yes, the only clean coal is that which stays in the ground. And the energy economics of "clean coal" processes suggests strongly that money spent on wind would get us a lot more energy than money spent on clean coal.
My take: Talk about "clean coal" or carbon capture and sequestration is a stalling tactic to justify building more coal-burning electricty generation capacity. The industry knows it's a loser and DOE is willing to throw research money around (though actually not very much, so far) so it appears to be doing something about global warming.
A revenue-neutral carbon tax with dividend for individuals would create the right signals for development of wind energy and would quickly make coal generation un-economical.
Check out www.carbontax.org for information and news.
On McCain calls for 45 new nuclear reactors in U.S. by 2030 posted 1 year, 5 months ago 5 Responses
- "Capture" CO2 from the very hot exhaust gases of electric power plants. How? Condense it with BIG ammonia refrigeration units. (Condensed CO2 is dry ice at atmospheric pressure-- must get VERY cold to condense. Does that kind of cooling system require energy? Yes, I'll bet my chemical engineering degree, it's vast. And the "capture" system would be comparable in cost to the rest of the power plant.)
Carbon Tax + Dividend = Environmental Justice
Joe,
You raise some great points. Check out my response: "Dividend makes Carbon Tax Environmentally Just."
I'm thrilled that a large group of EJ organizations supports a carbon tax.
I think it's essential that a carbon tax be revenue-neutral. I hope advocates for disavantaged people will understand that a tax that hits poor people hardest isn't just and wouldn't be as effective,
On National environmental justice coalition blasts cap-and-trade, backs carbon tax posted 1 year, 5 months ago 9 Responses
Dividend makes Carbon Tax Environmentally Just
To reduce carbon emissions, a carbon tax (on coal, oil and gas entering the economy) must be high enough and increase steeply enough to broadly affect consumer and business behavior -- encouraging conservation and alternative energy.
As Joe Bongiovanni suggests, revenue from a carbon tax COULD be doled out for "good works" such as alternative energy projects.
Lieberman's cap-and-trade bill attempted this: auction (some) carbon emissions permits and dole out auction revenue to a long list of technological and political favorites. (It was "deficit neutral"-- a tax that would have SPENT ALL of the revenue.)
Three flaws, Joe:
- Congress tends to dole out money to powerful corporations. (Lieberman's bill included subsidies for ethanol, nukes, "clean coal" research, as well as "adjustments" for the very fossil fuel industries that would have paid for pollution permits. Every fat corporate pig you can think of was bellying up to the trough.)
- It's early in the race: neither Congress nor anyone really knows which technologies will work the best for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. A tax on carbon pollution sets the market to work on finding, developing and marketing those technologies.
- A carbon tax has a disprortionate effect on lower income people UNLESS linked to a dividend to distribute the revenue to everyone equally. We'd all pay higher prices for fossil fuel but we'd all get the same dividend. So those who use less than their share of fuel (lower income folks and those who learn to reduce carbon impacts) would pay less in increased prices than their dividends. We'd be PAID to conserve the carbon recycling capacity of the atmosphere while the wasters at the top would be penalized.
So, yes a carbon tax would push everyone to reduce fossil fuel use. Recyle the revenue through a divident and we can do it WITHOUT hammering the poor.
That's MY idea of environmental justice.On National environmental justice coalition blasts cap-and-trade, backs carbon tax posted 1 year, 5 months ago 9 Responses
- Congress tends to dole out money to powerful corporations. (Lieberman's bill included subsidies for ethanol, nukes, "clean coal" research, as well as "adjustments" for the very fossil fuel industries that would have paid for pollution permits. Every fat corporate pig you can think of was bellying up to the trough.)
Cap-and-trade like Byzantine health-care system
"Impossibly tangled" nails it! Lieberman-Warner was like the convoluted health-care system that we're stuck in. Everyone in the system gets a cut but it doesn't work very well for users.
Carbon traders, like the insurance companies, would skim money out of everyone's pockets without reducing global warming.
Clauseen is right-- SIMPLIFY! But not just a little bit. Go for a revenue-neutral carbon tax with dividend. No pork, no games, no price spikes, no free permits.
See www.carbontax.org for more information and news about revenue-neutral carbon taxes. British Columbia is doing it. We can, too!On What went wrong on Lieberman-Warner? posted 1 year, 5 months ago 7 Responses
Revenue-Neutral makes the (tax) medicine go down
A REVENUE-NEUTRAL carbon tax should take off like a rocket in the EJ community! It would assure that funds got recycled back into individuals' hands (not corporate favorites').
An equal dividend would be progressive; lower income folks use far less fossil fuel than high fliers, SUV drivers and McMansion owners. Much better than BUSH's stimulus checks, carbon dividends would arrive every month and go up every year.
Now THAT'S a stimulus.
Check out www.carbontax.org for more information and news about revenue-neutral carbon taxes.
On National environmental justice coalition blasts cap-and-trade, backs carbon tax posted 1 year, 5 months ago 9 Responses
When's a tax not a tax? When it's revenue-neutral
Calling cap-and-trade a tax IS truthful, even if motives of the truth-tellers aren't pure.
Lieberman-Warner was fairly described as the biggest tax ever proposed, handing out trillions in free permits and subsidies to political and technological favorites. (Way too early to handicap the technology race. Corn-based ethanol anyone?)
A REVENUE-NEUTRAL carbon tax (or cap) on fossil fuel producers, returning revenue to individuals as a dividend are vastly different than taxes that raise money and dole it out. As Eric de Place suggests, they deserve a different name than "TAX"; unlike the usual taxes, they're not a drag on the economy, aren't regressive and aren't corporate welfare, standard objections to taxes.
Should we call it a carbon disposal fee with dividend? Few object to fees for garbage collection or sewage. A carbon tax would make our energy bills more like most water bills -- pay for bringing it to us and for disposal.
Humans are pumping out twice the CO2 that Earth can recycle. Economists say, "price it or lose it." Right now, prices say "FREE UNLIMITED DUMPING HERE." And we're doing it.
Check out www.carbontax.org for more information and news about revenue-neutral carbon taxes. On The political chances of carbon taxes posted 1 year, 5 months ago 2 Responses
crash and burn
Lieberman-Warner was bait for the howling global-warming deniers so the Dems can enlist environmental groups to defeat them. As political strategy, it worked surprisingly well. Perhaps naively, I'd hoped more R's would at least (pretend?) to improve the bill, especially given its plethora of glaring flaws.
As legislation, it had no hope of enactment and wouldn't have put a dent in greenhouse gas emissions.
Its first glaring flaw: Giving away the majority of permits to past polluters.
Second: handing out what revenue it would have collected to big (mostly dirty) energy instead of returning it to citizens as a dividend, as proposed by Sen. Corker (R-Tenn) and Rep. Markey (D-Mass).
Third, the safety valve (or off-ramp) was inadequate -- leading to wide price fluctuations.
Finally, it would have been a bonanza for emissions traders, poised to profit from price volatility and speculation.
Consensus among ecomomists: a revenue-neutral carbon tax with dividend is the "gold standard" for climate legislation. Now we have a little time to organize and educate about measures that might really work without fouling up the economy and giving away trillions.
See www.carbontax.org for details. On Climate Security Act dies, failing to muster enough votes to move forward posted 1 year, 5 months ago 18 Responses
Boxer's trap for global warming deniers
I'm a bit surprised that Repubicans are falling into Boxer's trap so predictably. The Lieberman-Warner bill never had any chance of passage. She forced a vote so the environmental score-keepers would notch one up for the Ds and one down for the Rs.
The bill is deeply flawed -- Friends of the Earth, Greenpeace and a coalition of other progressive environmental groups point out that the bill would GIVE AWAY most of the carbon emissions permits. They advocate actioning ALL permits. Both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama have also called for 100% auction of permits. So Lieberman-Warner is already way behind the political curve.
But who would get the permit auction money? The bill gives most of it to big energy corporations.
Rep Markey has introduced a bill in the House that would distribute auction revenue to individuals, and Sen Corker has offered a similar amendment in the Senate. Worthy improvements that aren't getting serious consideration (yet).
Lieberman-Warner is a trail balloon, but more than that, it's a trap to bring the howling dogs who deny the climate problem out of the woodwork so Democrats can campaign against them. As legislation, it's a failure. As political strategy, it's working like clockwork, and I can't help wondering why Republicans don't try to improve the bill (or at least fake it) intstead of obstructing it. There's plenty to improve on (like where the revenue would go) and they could avoid being tarred as neanderthal global warming deniers.
Too bad Boxer's political trick is working so well. But maybe it will lead to a realignment in the Senate.
Economists agree that the gold standard for effective climate policy is a revenue-neutral carbon tax with dividend. Maybe the spectacular crash of Lieberman-Warner will start a discussion about better alternatives.
For more about the advantages of a revenue-neutral carbon tax, see www.carbontax.org.On GOP leaders resort to high jinks to stall climate bill posted 1 year, 5 months ago 8 Responses
YES! Energy prices matter!
The relatively swift shift to more fuel-efficient vehicles in response to climbing gas prices shows that we can dramatically reduce energy use with the right price signals. (And, of course, we've seen the converse, too. Gas at $1.00 a gallon due to a "cheap oil" energy policy gave rise to the Hummer, its SUV cousins and McMansion lodgings.)
A gradually-increasing revenue-neutral carbon tax with a dividend paid to individuals would stimulate our whole economy toward conservation and green energy without bureaucracy and pork.
For more information, check out www.carbontax.org.On GM considers selling Hummer brand posted 1 year, 5 months ago 5 Responses
Politicians folllow. We must educate and organize
Obama's showing potential. Didn't pander for a "gas tax holiday." Pointed out its tiny monetary value ($30, average) and that it would mostly profit oil companies and encourage oil addiction.
We'll have to educate and organize, as the civil rights activists did. Obama seemes willing to "lead" if there's a movement ahead and behind him.
Getting Obama elected (and 60 votes for the environment in the Senate) would be the beginning of a movement towards sound energy and environmental policy. The rest is up to us.On Obama claims nomination, but Clinton says she's not going anywhere yet posted 1 year, 5 months ago 14 Responses
Next time try a Carbon Tax with Dividend
The Lieberman-Warner bill is fatally flawed in at least four ways:
- Gives away more than half the permits to polluters.
- Distributes revenues from permit auctions to powerful special interests. (Coal, nuclear, biofuels...)
- Does not distribute revenue to taxpayers as a dividend. (Sen. Corker (R-Tenn) has offered an amendment along those lines.)
- Creates incentives for cheating and manipulation on a vast scale with no credible monitioring and enforcement system.
- Does not contain an adequate saftey valve, so price spikes are likely to crash the system and engender public outrage as energy prices become more volatile.
Next time, try a Revenue-Neutral Carbon Tax with Dividend. See www.carbontax.org.
On Lieberman-Warner climate bill hitting the Senate floor posted 1 year, 5 months ago 6 Responses- Gives away more than half the permits to polluters.
YES! Truth in Carbon Pricing
Yale Econ. Professor Bill Nordhaus says pricing carbon emissions is "essential... to tackling global warming" and "the rest is largely fluff."
Ryan's got it right: we're not even considering the costs to our climate of our everyday decisions and yet they accumulate to make North Americans emit about 25 times as much carbon as the global average.
A gradually-increasing revenue-neutral carbon tax would send the right signal. It would change expectations and show us how to make efficient decisions about everything from where to live to what to wear.
Revenue-neutrality is very important-- last week NASA's lead climate scientist, Dr. James Hansen concurred with the consensus among economists: distribute the carbon tax revenues as a dividend to each household.
That would be both effective to dampen global warming and economically progressive. Imagine "stimulus checks" coming every month. Yes, the prices of things would go up in proportion to their carbon content, but average and below-average income people would come out ahead. And we'd all have the right price signals to get busy reducing fossil fuel use and switch to alternatives.
For more on revenue-neutral carbon tax and dividend, check out www.carbontax.org.
On Carbon pricing is about tweaking the little, everyday decisions we make posted 1 year, 5 months ago 1 Response
Revenue Neutral Carbon Tax would be even better
Thanks for Dr. Hansen' reality check.
Yes, Cap and Dividend would be a HUGE ($5 trillion) improvement! It's a tax that recycles revenue back into the economy via dividends to each of us instead of into give-aways to big industry (as Lieberman-Warner would do).
Economists (and the Congressional Budget Office) agree that a revenue-neutral carbon tax with a dividends to individuals would work even better at reducing emissions.
Tax and Dividend is better than Cap and Dividend because it's easy to implement, avoids price volatility, traders, rigged markets and doesn't disadvantage US business. In fact, AEI's economists (Kevin Haslet and Ken Green) say it would make the economy more efficient.
Hansen's urging us to demand improvements on the Lieberman-Warner (climate security) bill. Let's keep going. The best medicine to avert climate disaster is a CARBON TAX with DIVIDEND.
Lieberman-Warner just isn't nearly good enough. On Hansen: Governors aren't getting it posted 1 year, 6 months ago 10 Responses
Truth in Carbon Pricing
Terrific Piece!
Obama dared to tell the truth that a "gas tax holiday" would only make things worse, and he WAS rewarded for it. Very encouraging.
Proponents of cap-and-trade seem to assume that Americans can't handle the truth and prefer our carbon taxes hidden. So they dismiss a much more effective strategy -- a revenue-neutral carbon tax -- as politically impractical.
But, yes, let's take the positive response to Obama's candor as a indicator that people will understand and appreciate the truth. Wouldn't distributing carbon tax revenue as an equal monthly "dividend" to each taxpayer give it populist appeal (like Bush's stimulus checks)? And wouldn't that frame it as a net gain for those who strive to reduce carbon emissions?
So why not a Carbon Tax and Dividend?
The Boxer-Lieberman-Warner cap-and-trade bill would only auction some of the permits (handing free permits to past polluters). And it would hand billions in revenue from the auctioned permits (hidden taxes) to special interests. They're thinly veiled as "alternative" energy -- such as (fictional) "clean coal," nuclear (which already receives more than its share of subsidies) and ethanol (ditto).
So cap-and-traders are hiding the tax and they're quietly giving away the revenue to industries that already have advantages.
Are we ready to say: Enough with hidden taxes and subsidies already?
Instead, why not distribute the stimulus widely and push everyone to conserve and switch to renewables? Put cash in the hands of consumers and businesses to choose the best technologies while taxing the most carbon-intensive options the most heavily.
That would be truthful, effective AND POPULAR.
For more on revenue-neutral carbon taxes, see www.carbontax.org.On Behavioral quirks make taxes a tough sell posted 1 year, 6 months ago 4 Responses
The next step: carbon tax and dividend
We CAN have all three -- simplicity, efficiency, AND political buy-in. It's called a revenue-neutral carbon tax. The revenue is paid as a per person dividend.
For more about Revenue-Neutral Carbon Taxes, see Carbon Tax Center at www.carbontax.org.On Trading efficiency for inevitability posted 1 year, 6 months ago 20 Responses
Carbon Tax & Dividend beats cap & trade
Yes, Boxer-Lieberman-Warner's now a mere "trial balloon." (Or is that a "hot-air" balloon?)
Cap-and-trade carries intrinsic flaws: price volatility, manipulation, long implementation delays, nearly impossible enforcement, regressivity, potential for tradeable permits to fund arms deals and terrorism...
Beyond cap-and-trade's intrinsic flaws, Romm shows that B-L-W's "cost containment" measures would gobble up emissions reductions.
To add insult to injury, B-L-W would GIVE most permits to polluters, rather than auction them. (See FoE's "Fix or Ditch Lieberman-Warner" campaign.)
In B-L-W, revenue from auctioned permits winds up "kick starting" a list of political favorites, including Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS).
The idea: capture (condense) CO2 from hot exhaust gases of coal-fired power plants. How? Giant refrigeration systems. Where's THAT energy come from? MORE COAL. Still more energy to pump the CO2 into depleted underground gas formations. (Possibly offset by methane (natural gas) displaced by CO2.)
PEPCO Energy charges ~25% extra for 100% wind-generated electricity in DC. Could CO2 be captured and sequestered for less than 25% of the net energy from coal? If not, wind energy is ALREADY cheaper than coal + CCS and should become more economical as we improve designs and build capacity. Conversely, CCS will become more costly as the easier sequestration sites are used up and pumping costs (for longer distances and deeper formations) rise. It's a dead-end.
So, can we PLEASE cut out the subsidies already? Government trying to pick technological winners got us corn-produced ethanol, a net energy loser surviving on government largess.
Better yet, skip cap-and-trade AND the subsidies! Let the markets work. Tilt the playing field away from fossil fuels with a gradually-increasing revenue-neutral carbon tax and distribute the reveneue as a per person dividend. The Congressional Budget Office reported that a carbon tax would work FIVE times as effectively as a fixed cap. Economists ranging from Rob Shapiro (former Clinton Admin), Bill Nordhaus (Yale) to Ken Green (AEI) agree that a revenue-neutral carbon tax works much better for both the economy and the environment than clumsy cap-and-trade.
With gimmicks like "cost containment" and CCS, B-L-W looks worse than doing nothing, at least for now.
Not a moment too soon to start building support for a gradually-increasing revenue-neutral carbon tax like the one British Columbia is impementing. The election's less than half a year away.
For more on a gradually-increasing carbon tax with dividend, see www.CarbonTax.org.
On If cost-containment mechanisms in new climate bill are exploited, emissions could remain unchanged posted 1 year, 6 months ago 2 Responses"Off ramp" essential for cap-and-trade
A "safety-valve" or "off-ramp" is essential for the stability of a cap-and-trade system. (The Boxer-Lieberman-Warner "off ramp" seems to mean borrowing future permits).
Otherwise, price spikes will completely destroy political support. Imagine the screaming if electricity rates tripled in the middle of a hot summer!
Boxer doesn't include provisions to auction ALL the pollution permits (as Friends of the Earth, Obama and Clinton have suggested), and doesn't return the revenues as tax reductions or dividends, which means it isn't revenue-neutral. It's a net tax increase.
Not necessarily bad, except for where she'd spend it: Among other things, more carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) research. To "capture" (condense) CO2 from the hot gases leaving a coal-fired power plant requires a lot of energy. What's the energy source for that? Coal. How much net energy after we capture the CO2? CCS looks a lot like is a bandaid for the coal industry, the most carbon-intensive fossil fuel. It helps justify building new plants that supposedly could be retrofitted.
100% wind-generated electricity from PEPCO Energy Systems here in DC runs me about 25% more than coal-generated power. Which suggests to me that wind power is ALREADY much cheaper than coal would be with CCS. No way they're going to capture and sequester CO2 for less than a 25% energy premium. And wind will get cheaper as we go. CCS will get more expensive as the easy places to sequester CO2 are used up.
Let's stop with the subsidies. That's how we got corn-based ethanol. The government should not be in the business of picking technology winners (certainly not this early in the race).
A gradually-increasing carbon tax would soon make wind economical and let coal die and would push everyone to make carbon reductions.
Boxer needs to start over with a revenue-neutral carbon tax as British Columbia is implementing. The Congressional Budget Office concluded that a carbon tax would be FIVE TIMES as effective as a fixed cap with emissions trading.
Now that we're starting to agree on the disease: Global Warming, let's be sure we pick medicine that works: Carbon tax and dividend. See www.carbontax.org.
On Barbara Boxer circulates an outline of her amendment to Lieberman-Warner posted 1 year, 6 months ago 4 ResponsesCarbon Tax better than Boxer's patches
Sen Boxer says she's listening to scientists, but is she ignoring economists and the Congressional Budget Office conclusion that a carbon tax would be FIVE times as effective as a fixed cap?
CBO noted ways to improve cap-and-trade which would make it more like a tax:
- Auction ALL the permits.
- Make it revenue-neutral ("Cap and Dividend")
- Build in a safety valve to mitigate price spikes, and
- Keep a very close eye on the traders who profit by speculation and volatility.
The remaining problems with cap-and-trade are potentially fatal and don't arise with a carbon tax. Two brave whistleblowers in EPA Reg. 9 wrote an open letter to Congress describing the flaws and manipulations of cap-and-trade as attempted for smog emissions in LA. It's at www.carbonfees.org.
Will the best medicine for the escalating climate crisis, a revenue-neutral carbon tax, remain on the shelf because of its ugly label?
For more on the advantages of carbon taxes, check out the Carbon Tax Center at www.carbontax.org.
(And yes, Will Candler, "cap and dividend" would address #1 and # 2, but still leaves problems #3 and #4.)On Sen. Boxer's summary of her Manager's Amendment to Lieberman-Warner posted 1 year, 6 months ago 5 Responses
- Auction ALL the permits.
Carbon Tax & Dividend
YES! The disconnect between the escalating climate crisis and the current discussions about solutions is fearfully vast. The old tools of environmental protection (e.g., regulations or emissions trading) can't provide the impetus for a shift as deep and wide as we must all make.
What would it take to shift the entire economy (and those of our trading partners) briskly away from fossil fuels (especially carbon-intensive coal) towards conservation and renewables and make that shift quickly and efficiently as possible?
That signal is the price of carbon. Climate scientists have reached near-unanimity on the problem. Economists are converging on the first necessary step in the solution: PRICE CARBON EMISSIONS OR DIE!
The simplest and clearest price signal: A GRADUALLY-INCREASING CARBON TAX, revenue-neutral, with revenues paid in equal dividends to everyone. That would make EVERYONE who spends money a GHG reductions enteprenuer by rewarding those who reduce emissions.
Yale Prof. Nordhaus offers this test: Proposals to change light bulbs, raise fuel efficiency standards and ethanol subsidies miss the fundamental economic lesson: "RAISING THE PRICE OF CARBON IS A NECESSARY STEP FOR TACKLING GLOBAL WARMING." The rest, he says, is "largely fluff."
For more on revenue-neutral carbon taxes, see www.carbontax.org.
On The Climate Policy Paradigm has reached its endgame posted 1 year, 6 months ago 21 Responses
Nuclear Subsidies -- INSURANCE; Oil subsidy -- WAR
Nukes recieve another subsidy: limited liability. The Price-Anderson Act limits liability of nuclear power plants to $300 million each. If they had to buy full coverage on the open market, would any would be built or operated?
And they're absolved of liablity for long term radioactive waste encapsulation and monitoring. Which is why Congress has to FORCE states to take nuclear waste along with hefty bribes.
And speaking of subsidies, what about the elephant in the room -- oil is subsidized by oil wars. If the material cost of the Iraq wars were factored in, what would gasoline cost? (If the death toll were factored in, even at $1 million per life, the cost would be astronomical.)
Whatever subsidies wind, solar and other alternatives enjoy, they pale in comparison to these.
And of course, don't forget that the effect of all these subsidies is to make energy conservation very un-attractive. In an economy where so much energy is wasted, conservation is the cheapest "alternative" fuel around.
Nuclear and oil subsidies are bribing us to waste energy and we're doing a fine job.On Subsidies for wind power pale beside subsidies for nuclear posted 1 year, 6 months ago 23 Responses
Lieberman-Warner, RIP. VIVA CO2 fee w/ Dividend!
The Cong. Budget Office concluded that a revenue- neutral CO2 fee would reduce GHG emissions up to FIVE times more than cap-and-trade (i.e, Lieberman-Warner).
British Columbia is showing the way --- using carbon fee revenue to reduce other taxes and distributing a $100 per person dividend each month. A real, populist stimulus (unlike a phony "gas tax holiday").
In an open letter to Congress this week, two EPA enforcement attorneys pointed out the failure and corruption of cap-and-trade and called for revenue-neutral carbon fees. www.carbonfeees.org
Senators' struggles to protect their states' industries with special exemptions is just the beginning of the "food fight" that cap-and-trade would engender.
So Lieberman-Warner, RIP!
Time to start discussing a carbon fee and dividend. Win-win. Climate protection, improved enconomic efficiency and populist appeal.
See www.carbontax.org. On Lieberman-Warner moved from critical condition to the morgue posted 1 year, 6 months ago 5 Responses
Great week for truth in carbon pricing
Three heartening developments:
- Obama gained high ground by acknowledging the inconvenient truth: reducing fossil fuel prices in the face of climate catastrophe isn't a good idea.
- British Columbia intiated a revenue-neutral carbon tax with dividend to create incentives for a more carbon-efficient economy.
- Two courageous EPA enforcement attorneys exposed the manipulations and failures of cap-and-trade at www.carbonfees.org.
Along with Al Gore, and NASA's Dr. James Hansen, economists from left to right (Rob Shapiro, Bill Nordhaus to Greg Mankiw and Ken Greene) agree: pricing greenhouse gas emissions is a necessary first step in any effective effort to combat global warming. And like the EPA whistleblowers, they agree that a revenue-neutral carbon tax would work much better than cap-and-trade.
Because I'm convinced that a gradually-increasing revenue-neutral carbon fee would stimulate our entire economy towards efficiency and renewables (and create incentives for our trading partners to follow suite) I volunteer for the Carbon Tax Center. www.carbontax.org.
We have much work ahead to build support for a carbon fee and dividend system, but after this week, I have hope.
On What North Carolina and Indiana tell us about future oil and climate policy posted 1 year, 6 months ago 1 Response
- Obama gained high ground by acknowledging the inconvenient truth: reducing fossil fuel prices in the face of climate catastrophe isn't a good idea.
Cap vs Tax
See my post at CarbonTax.org (4.10.08)
Cap and trade is an indirect tax too. To be effective, it would necessarily raise fossil fuel prices but unliked a tax the increases would be volatile and unpredictable.
Cap and trade's main advantage is that it's not called a "tax." It's a way to create a new market for carbon emissions and new set of fat-cat traders.
A tax uses the existing energy market and creates much broader incentives for everyone to get into the energy conservation and alternatives business. On A guest essay from Environmental Defense posted 1 year, 7 months ago 41 Responses