Comments saluki has made
Who is at fault?
"You right wingers need to get your stories straight."
Unlike you left wingers we have minds of our own and we don't check with the party leadership or with the talking heads to get our daily dos of talking points. Pun intended.
"Not to mention that Freddie and Fanny are not the sole cause of this meltdown."
Fanny and Freddie bought subprime loans from mortgage institutions. The standards that they used for buying those loans set the standards that the mortgage companies used to make the loans. In addition to that, there were law firms like the one that Obama belonged to that sued companies that didn't make subprime loans.
"The car companies have been heading for insolvency for some time now"
Gee I wonder why. Living in Denver I occasionally drive through Boulder. Boulder is the ultra left wing capital of the state. The thing that you don't see there is American cars. It seems that if you are going to be a member in good standing with the pompus left of Boulder, then you need to be driving a European car. Oddly enough, it doesn't seem to matter if it's a high or low gas mileage car, but the thing that a true left wing snob of Boulder cannot be seen in is an American car. Since Boulder has such a high concentration of lefties, this difference is easily recognized while driving through town. Of course the contradiction here is that the American car is made by people belonging to labor unions, a group that leftists are suppose to be strong supporters for. Yet if it were up to the leftists of Boulder (and I suspect the leftists of anywhere), no one in those unions would have a job. I guess the snob factor is more important to them than their philosophical ideals. As for me, I won't drive anything but an American car. I figure those auto workers families need the employment.
On Michael Pollan lays out a national food agenda posted 1 year, 1 month ago 8 Responses
More on climate sensitivity
"THAT is empirical evidence, and it makes 0.6C sensitivity look fairly uncertain."
That is emperical evidence, but it does nothing to dispute the 0.6C. First, we were still comming out of a little ice age near the start of the modern industrial period. So some warming would have been expected regardless. We have also had an increase in solar activity in the last 100 years.
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/07/20th-centur ...
In addition to this, Spencer has been able to show that 70% of the warming of the last 30 years can be accounted for using ENSO, PDO, AMO, etc.
So the .8C that we already have is not meaningful in determining climate sensitivity, because other climate factors were at work at the same time.
On top of that, we have had no warming for the past 11 years, and ENSO does not account for it. So if the overwhelming 3C per doubling that the IPCC advertises is at work, what has been strong enough to overcome that for the past 11 years?
"Now = Arctic melting more each year, well below previous averages for summer sea ice extent. The North-sea passge open for the first time in many millenia. Seems like at least one "serious effect"."
I don't really care about the Arctic melt. The Holocene optimum had temperatures that were 2C warmer than today for a very long time, and most species seem to have done great.
Concerning the passages; the Northwest passage has been sailed through about a dozen times since 1904. Concerning the passage on the European side, we have no clue how often it has been open. We only have 30 years of satellite records of the Arctic.
On Toyota may develop "Prius on steroids" posted 1 year, 1 month ago 22 ResponsesMore climate sensitivity
"There hasn't been any evidence refuting the anthropogenic global warming theory for years."
There hasn't been any evidence supporting the magnitude of the anthropogenic global warming claims - ever.
"You can choose to side with the radicals or the conservatives, but either way, now, or some point in the future, climate change is a serious issue."
No, it's not a serious issue. If Lindzen, Spencer and others are right, climate sensitivity would be around .6C per CO2 doubling. It's doubtful that there would be any serious effect on the earth until we get more than 2.5C. It would require 4 CO2 doublings to get to this point. Starting at 280 PPM, 560 would be one doubling, 1120 would be 2, 2240 would be three, and 4480 would be four. So far we have moved from 280 PPM to about 385 PPM. The odds of getting even that second doubling that would take us to 1120 PPM before we run out of fossil fuel is extremely remote. And that second doubling would only give us 1.2C total of global temperature change. So there is only danger if the higher numbers for climate sensitivity - like 3C per doubling - are true. So far we have zero emperical evidence to support such a number. All we have for that number is models that make feedback assumptions that have never been verified. So their acceptance is really no different than the inquisitors believe about people's immortal soul.
The global warming editor of wiki ran for the green party in the UK. He is a certified eco nut. Try giving me impartial links if you don't mind, because I don't waste my time with the enviro sections of wiki.
On Toyota may develop "Prius on steroids" posted 1 year, 1 month ago 22 ResponsesThe inevitable pattern.
"The left may see corporations as big bags of free money, but the right sees taxpayers in the same way."
No, it is only the right who ever tries to lessen the load on the taxpayer. Bill Clinton's ecomomy was due mostly to a Republican Congress. Bill never wrote any legislation.
The excessive spending that has occured during the Bush administration is no reflection on conservatives. All the conservatives that I know hate Bush's free handed spending. The problem is that it was tough for Republican Senators and Congressmen to oppose Bush's spending plans since he was their President and since he was from their party. Their refusal to pass the first bailout bill was one of the first times that they went against him. Even the second bailout bill was not voted for by the majority of Republicans.
"And as for all of that 150 billion dollars of pork? The difference between passing the bill and not passing the bill was that House Republicans refused to pass it unless it was full of pork."
No, you are full of crap. The bill that was passed was a Senate bill, and it was the Senate Democrats that loaded it up with pork. A few more House Republicans voted for the bill the second time because it had more taxpayer protections and because it didn't give Paulsen a free hand at spending taxpayer money as he pleased.
"the economy wasn't waiting until the election to take a nosedive because the markets knew that they were screwed with either one of these clowns."
With McCain at times trying to out-Democrat the Democrats, that is probably true.
The nice thing about Obama being elected is that Republicans won't have to take the blame for the kind of leftist policies that McCain would undoubtedly compromise his way to. With McCain in the White House, Republicans would never get Congress back. The Democrats have controlled Congress for the last 2 years; the courts forever, and starting in January they will control everything. Then they won't be able to blame their failures on anyone else, though lord knows they will try. People will quickly recognize that they are getting screwed; they will be desperate to stop the extreme policies of Obama, and Congress can then be returned to the Republicans. This pattern seems to repeat itself as people need to be reminded periodically that the Democratic utopian pretentions are good for nothing but making them miserable.
On Town hall again reveals just an anti-science, out-of-touch McCain posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 ResponsesThe corporate enemy
"Our next president will have to be for the people and against corporate control."
Much like they were for the people when they told financial institutions that they should give the people subprime loans - and therby created a market crash that has cost many people their jobs and that has cost most people 25% of their retirement due to investment losses.
Where do you left wing nuts get this corporate control idea. I don't see any corporations controlling anything. No one is coming up to me and pointing a gun at my head to make me buy their products. I can choose to use or not use whatever I like. The government, on the other hand, steals 50% of my money in the form of taxes and gives me very little back for it. It is they who will throw me in jail if I don't obey the millions of laws that they have on the books. The government are the control freaks and nuts like you rant on about corporations. Those corporations provide people with jobs, the things they need to live, and they provide billions in taxes to the goverment. It seems to me that you have your issues exactly backwards. If it were up to the government you wouldn't be complaining about flat tasting tomatoes, you'd be complaining about starving. Raise your own damn tomatoes and stop your bitching.
"Obama has said he's fighting for the people."
Oh, then it must be true. Obama has a half brother in Kenya that lives on 1 dollar a month to whom he has never given a nickle of help, but you are going to trust that he is for the people because he says so. This is the Obama who was friends with terrorists like Ayers and buddies with crooks like Resko; the Obama who's priest and mentor is a racist and an American hater and a very rich man. This is the Obama that you are sure is "fighting for the people". It's apparent that Obama is going to get the ignorant vote.
"He's also shown his support for corporate america by his tax plan."
Yeah, go ahead and elect a president that will destory our corporations. That should give us about 60% unemployment and return our economics to the dark ages. On Michael Pollan lays out a national food agenda posted 1 year, 1 month ago 8 Responses
An eco fascist confesses
"We see it as a moral obligation to lessen our own impact on the planet or risk dire consequences."
Lessen your impact as much as you like. Just leave me the hell alone.
"I can't speak for everyone but I feel the persons not taking the situation seriously are, in a way, threatening my existence as well as the existence of everyone else."
Yes, that was why they used to torture and burn people durning the Spanish Inquisition. Just a bunch of honest, humanely motivated priests that wanted to save peoples immortal soul. They were every bit as sure of the rightness and justice of their cause as you.
"This is why I get worked up because I know there are a lot of people that won't do anything due to laziness or ignorance."
For example, the ignorance of climate scientist like Lindzen, Christy, Spencer, Schwartz, Loehle, Moberg, etc., that all disagree about there being any climate emergency. Instead you are running around ranting because of the output of some climate models, absolutely non of which have yet been proven accurate.
Yes, that was why they used to torture and burn people durning the Spanish Inquisition. Just a bunch of honest, humanely motivated priests that wanted to save peoples immortal soul. They were every bit as sure of the rightness and justice of their cause as you.
"I would have to concur that if people don't make changes of their own free will then the government will have to force them to for the sake of everyone."
Thank you for admitting that you are an eco fascist. You are like the communists of the Soviet Union who demanded that everyone sacrifce themselves for the good of all. But somehow sacrifce for the good of all simply yielded the misery of all those that were being sacrificed, and they were the all.
"I would have to concur that if people don't make changes of their own free will then the government will have to force them to for the sake of everyone."On Toyota may develop "Prius on steroids" posted 1 year, 1 month ago 22 Responses
Let's brainwash green.
"The age of gear-heads is over. "
Who the hell are you to tell people what they can and cannot like. Fascist attitudes simply overwhelm this forum. You people are ready to force everyone to live the way that you want them to at the drop of a hat.On Toyota may develop "Prius on steroids" posted 1 year, 1 month ago 22 Responses
Marx in the minds of the brain dead.
"Imagine instead: education centering on the land, physical health, ecological and economic sustainability, the politic of stewardship; teaching the practice and instilling the philosophy of these."
So basically you are proposing a program of brain washing children to believe what you want them to believe. But then we have always know that kooks like you are fascists at heart. You have no concern about forcing your idiotic ideas on anyone.
"I think of how Marx advocated that education include manual labor, not just to teach practical skills, but to instill a wholesome spiritual and political ethic. He was thinking primarily of manufacturing (which America also needs to revive). But the principle applies at least as well to farming. "
Screw manual labor. This is something that communist pseudo intellectuals like to talk about, but it's something that they themselves never want to do. Manual labor is hard and boring. It numbs the mind and kills the spirit. Manual labor needs to be done by machines, not humans. The sooner we build the machines to do the manual labor the sooner we will free those minds for more interesting persuits. But of course it's a problem for nuts like you because you need this imaginary entity called "the workers" that you can be constantly saving from oppression, and that you can instead oppress yourself.
From one of my other blogs:
"I decided a long time ago that there was no possiblility of a communist state ever being anything other than a police state. I think that this idea is born out by both reason and experience. Here I will assume that the experiential evidence speaks for itself for anyone who wishes to look at how communism has worked in the real world. I will therefore concentrate on the logic of why the communist state must always end up in being a police state.
"From each according to his abilities, to each according to his needs". These are magic words; just words; inspirational words. And there must surely be a race of aliens somewhere in the Universe that could apply those words successfuly. But the individuals that believed that these words could be made to work for man were drunk on their own idealism and blind to the reality of the nature of man. Today this attitude of arrogant ultrahumanism still reigns in academic circles and among the sanctimonious pseudo intellectuals who call themselves liberals, leftists, and socialists. In their zeal to accomplish this they feel certain that any means will be justified by such a nobel end. All the failed attempts to bring about this high ideal in the past have only been due to misunderstanding, corruption and the failings of man, they believe. If man could be properly educated and if the right implementation is followed, then the communist utopia is still possible. In fact, not only is it possible, but it is the only acceptable destiny for mankind.
The transparent and even obvious failings of Marx's ideal never crosses the dogmatically rigid mind of the communists and their little brothers on the left. The full impact of the term "From each" is never inspected to see what it can possibly mean in the real world.
In the early years of any communist revolution the "From each" is not according to his abilities, but rather "From each" according to his wealth. The state appropriates the property of the wealthy and distributes it to the poor. The result is a boon for the poor, but a very shorted sighted and short lived one. Wealth is not a static entity and the wealth that is distributed to the poor will not raise their living standard except for a breif period of time. After the wealth is consumed, whether it be in a year or in twenty years, they will return to being poor. The process of appropriating the property of the wealthy cannot be repeated because the wealthy were made poor by the initial appropriation and they have absolutely no motivation to reaquire wealth. Not only do they have no motiviation, but the communist system will not allow it to happen. So the revolution results in a one time windfall for the poor that can never be repeated. In any case, the appropriation of personal wealth is always the first action of the police state, setting the groundwork for the police state that must always remain there after the appropriation phase.
After the property of the wealthy has been distributed, the "From each" takes on a new meaning. Now the property of every individual must be continously appropriated so that the state can redistribute it according to what it determines to everyone's needs. Man being man, he does not volunteer his property. In fact he will make every effort to hide as much of it from the state as possible. So now the "From each" requires a huge and repressive police state to insure that those two little words are accomplished. A network of spies must exist in all communities to insure that no one can refuse to give up the fruits of their labor. Since the entire fabric of the political system depends on the state being able to take everyones property, the punishment for having the gall to try to keep your property must be high. Why, then, is it not obvious to the most casual observer of human beings that "From each" of neccessity requires the establishment of a pervasive and intimidating police state. Why is it not obvious that the individual must be forced to give up the product of his labor and therefore must even be forced to do that labor.
Man from birth seems to have a feeling of personal property that is never taught, but is simply innate to the animal. When my 2 year old plays with other 2 year olds she shows jealous ownership of her own toys when playing at her own home. And the other children show jealous ownership of their property when she is playing at their homes. I have never made any effort to teach her this characteristic. Since this feature of mankind is anithetical to the communist ideal, the individual in the communist state must be subjected to a life long regimen of propaganda in order to get him to belive and act in opposition to his natural characteristics. As far as I have been able to determine the propaganda effort is never more than partially convincing. As the Soviet Union has shown, the transition from decades of communist propaganda to a new believe in capitalism took absolutely no propaganda at all.
The natural result of the communist philosophy is that the "From each" requires a repressive police state that is able to extract only a paltry amount of wealth from it's unwilling participants. And that paltry amount will then become a "to each" that gives all a share of a small appropriation and leaves the entire state in a condition of poverty. The state is capable of making everyone equally poor. But it is not capable of making everyone rich, or even of making everyone middle class."
On Michael Pollan lays out a national food agenda posted 1 year, 1 month ago 8 ResponsesIn your face greenie wennie.
"I especially like the evocation of the Victory Gardens, for we should be in a war consciousness. Not on account of the fraudulent "war on terror", but in the face of Peak Oil, climate change, the impending collapse of the debt civilization, the predator cabal, the rising Burn Baby Burn fascism (how about those Palin rallies? Seig Heil.), and as Pollan mentions, America's generally fat, slovenly lifestyle. The "moral equivalent of war"."
Wow, can one human being be any more sanctimonious than you. You must have a head the size of a beach ball by now. It's apparent that environmentalism is your excuse to allow yourself to engange in pretensions of moral and intellectual superiority. If no problems existed, and most of yours don't, you would have to make them up just to feed your rapacious ego.On Michael Pollan lays out a national food agenda posted 1 year, 1 month ago 8 Responses
Obama economics
"having a presidential candidate constantly talking about a matter as trivial as earmarks would be the same as if you were brought into the emergency room suffering from a heart attack and your doctor said the first thing to do was remove your bunion."
Yeah, what we need is more of the same from Obama that just brought us into the current financial crisis. I've seen two adds from the Obama camp that clearly illustrates just how stupid this man is.
In the first add Obama proposes to fix health care by attacking Health Care companies. In the second add he promises to fix people's insurace by forcing the insurance companies to accept people with pre conditions that will cost the insurance companies big time. And then he claims that this will save families a lot of money. Is Obama such a moron that he learned nothing from the financial crisis that he helped produce. Now that he and the Democrats have succeeded at destroying our financial institutions, are they also going to destroy our health care institutions and our insurance companies?
One of the characteristics that all of the idiot left seems to have in common is that they think of the nations coorporations as big endless bags of money that need to be exploited by the government. They don't see them as entities that supply us with jobs, that supply us with the products we need, and that supply the government with a hell of a lot of tax money. So the left always takes the position that large corporations must be attacked as the enemy rather than defended for all of the things that they provide to us. Obama has the same brainwashed notions, and so we can depend on him to destroy our economy even further once he is elected.
Of course there is also the manipulative and cynical side of the left. Their approach is to take advantage of peoples greed by promising to take money from entities that have few votes (the rich, big corporations), and give it to people who have a lot of votes (their dumb constituents). The voting members of the left are so dumb that they actually believe that you can take money from the insurance companies and give it to them and that nothing else will happen. It's as though they think that the insurance companies need only print the money. Of course Obama's generosity will be paid for by the very people that he is promising to be generous to. Because the insurance companies will either have to raise their rates or they will go bankrupt. So in essence, Obama promises his idiot voters that he will take a thousand dollars out of their wallets and then give it back to them. And his idiot follower cheer at his generosity and humanity.
I believe that Obama will be elected, and he may even end up with a Democratic Senate with 60 Democrats, so that there will be no stopping his destruction of the country's economy by anyone. I pity our nation.
The last Democatic candidate, Bill Clinton, was a moderate compared to Obama. And Clinton had 6 years of a Republican congress to keep him reigned in. Turning Obama loose on the country will be like putting the fox in the hen house and still expecting to get eggs.On Town hall again reveals just an anti-science, out-of-touch McCain posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses
Spend spend spend - the greed of the left.
"It is the most technologically sophisticated "overhead projector" every developed, the Zeiss"
Really, who gives a damn what it is. We just stuck the taxpayer with a 700 billion bill because the Democrats wanted to give housing to people who couldn't pay for it. How dare they tack another 150 billion in pork to that. That's adding insult to injury. Don't people like you ever think about where that money will come from when you come up with your endless parade of cool things to buy with other people's money?On Town hall again reveals just an anti-science, out-of-touch McCain posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses
Assessment of the evidence
"Tierney just can't conceive that opponents of nuclear power might also engage in reasoned assessment of evidence."
Eco-cultists doing a reasoned assemssment of the evidence? Bwwwaaaahhhhhhaaaaaahhhhhhhaaaaaaa. They will always take an assessment created by a fellow eco-cultist and treat it like it is gospel.
So if scientists say that mankind is responsible for global warming, then we must trust the scientists. If scientists say that nuclear is our best energy solution, then they must do, chuckle, "a reasoned assessment of the evidence."
This brings us to another issue. James Hansen, the high priest of man made global warming, is also a big advocate of nuclear. So is Hansen to be trusted or not. Or is your position that you will trust him where it fits your agenda and not trust him where it doesn't.On Nuclear proponents are, like, totally John Galt posted 1 year, 1 month ago 43 Responses
The right amount of regulation
It's nice to see that Republicans actually believe in more regulation.
No, that's the position that would be used by a brain dead leftists. Republicans believe in the minimum amount of regulation needed to make things function correctly. Leftists believe in regulating everything to death, except in cases where the business is pushing their political agenda. Then they want no regulation at all. Fanny and Freddy were pushing the Democratic agenda of making loans to people that couldn't pay them back, so of course they wanted no regulation on it. Republicans saw that Fanny and Freddy were getting too large, that their risk was way too high, and that it placed the financial system at risk. They explained this to the Democrats, and of course the Democrats stone walled them.On We have another billion-dollar resource at risk: the ocean posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses
Hansen's folly
"The problem for Hansen and company is that direct observations do not support the claims of positive feedbacks."
To get those feedbacks Hansen requires that the extra heat produced by CO2 forcing put more moisture in the air and that the extra moisture then gives us more greenhouse effect. But the problem is that there is no evidence that moisture in the air is increasing. If anything it seems to be decreasing.
"And Hansen still has trouble explaining why we have not had any warming in ten years"
This is not a problem for Hansen. He simply "adjusts" his GISS temp record so that he does get warming, and he ignores the fact that he is rapidly diverging from the other major global temperature records like HadCrut3, RSS, and UAH.
Here:
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/05/divergence- ...And here is a more recent plot of the past 11 years, but excluding Hansen's fraudulent record.
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/06/11-year-tem ...
And here is one with a linear regression trend line drawn through the solar cycles for the last 100 years.
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/07/20th-centur ...
Then, of course we have Hansen testifying to legislators about 25 meters of sea level rise. But the University of Colorado only shows a trend that would give us 13 inches in the next 100 years. The IPCC only predicts 19 inches in the next 100 years. And even these may turn out to be garbage, since there has been zero sea level rise in the last 3 years.
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/06/university- ...On Author and physicist Richard A. Muller chats with Grist about getting science back in the White Hous posted 1 year, 1 month ago 15 Responses
Democrats were bought by Fanny and Freddie
Here is the proof that it is the Democrats that are responsible for the current financial crisis. Here we have the Republicans trying to regulate Fanny and Freddie, and here we have the Democrats fighting to keep it unregulated.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MGT_cSi7Rs&feature=re ...On We have another billion-dollar resource at risk: the ocean posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses
Yawn.
"Yes, yes, I know. You said that before."
Just as you have said everything before. And it's all just as nonsensical as the first time that you said it. On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
Forgot a few rules for the left wing playbook
- Attack your opponent as being motivated by irrational religious extremism. This rule only applies to Christianity. For all other religions, follow pandering rule 7 above.
- Attack you opponent as being a redneck. This only applies to those with American small town cultural backgrounds. For all other cultures, follow pandering rule 7 above.
- Defend the principle of freedom when it fits the agenda, like "A woman's freedom to choose (abortion)". Ignore the principle of freedom in all other cases, like driving an SUV, smoking cigarettes, hunting, going to church, paying taxes, etc.
- Coordinate your daily talking points by checking with sources like Nancy Pelosi, Daily Kos, Huffington Post, etc. These will provide you excellent examples of how to bundle the previous rules.
- Attack your opponent as being motivated by irrational religious extremism. This rule only applies to Christianity. For all other religions, follow pandering rule 7 above.
Science still under debate.
For those of you looking for peer reviewed and published scientific papers that dispute the IPCC, there are actually quite a few out there. Here is the latest that I'm aware of.
http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/0809/0809.0581.pdfOn Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
How to be a radical left wing eco nut.
"Do conservatives go to seminars to learn that or is it something you pick up in church?"
I've always thought that it would be nice to be a left wing eco nut. If you have an IQ above 70 you can pick up all of their debating points in about 15 minutes and you are ready to go to war.
They go something like this.
1. Accuse your opponent of being a racist or
a bigot.2. Big business is evil. (And it's variations)
The military industrial complex is evil.
Oil companies are evil.- Republicans are driven by greed and hatred.
- Advance your issues by illustrating someone
You can always find someone who is suffering.
This will allow you to pretend to be acting
out of compassion and moral superiority.
Ignore any suffering or loss of freedom that
may result from the implementation of your
proposed solutions.5. Propose that the solution to every problem
is bigger government, more taxation, and
more socialism.6. Propose the moral superiority of everthing
that is not American and the moral inferiority
of everything that is American. You've got
to tear the place down if you want to replace
it with a socialist state.7. Pander to all minority groups. Everything
that they do is right, or at least
justifiable.8. Pretend to be trying to save the environment
or some oppressed group. It's the best way
to get power.9. Pretend to be a long suffering victim of
social injustice - even if you are a
millionaire.10. Use popular issues like climate change to
further enhance your power base. Claim that
it is simply a matter of settled science.11. If all of these things should fail, return
to dependable number one and never give it up.On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
- Republicans are driven by greed and hatred.
Another appeal to voting science
"I don't think anyone really expected the gadflies to go away just because the IPCC concluded that the "warming of the climate system is unequivocal" and that there is a 95% chance that it is human caused."
Are you actually unable to see the stupidity of your statement Bio. Climate has been going up and down for the entire history of the earth. Now we are in a warming phase, and using your moronic pronouncement, if mankind was not here, the temperature would be flat. When you say "it" is human caused you are attributing the entire rise to humans. Show me one credible scientist that makes such a claim. Show me where the IPCC makes such a claim. The IPCC position is that some of it is human caused. And since "all of it" is only 0.8C for 157 years, "some of it" is even less.
"I honestly don't believe there is any evidence that can ever be presented by anybody that would convince you."
Blah, blah, blah, yeah, I believe the same about you. Do we have to have these stupid discussions. Do you actually know anything about the issues or do you just accept that same old appeal to authority because it agrees with what you want to believe.
"Essentially, that is why the IPCC was formed--so that the world can safely ignore the interminable gadflies and get on with the business at hand."
The IPCC had concluded that it was going to get rid of CO2 before it even had any of the evidence that it needed. Once it made that decision, it mined the evidence that it needed. Governments love the idea that they can generate trillions in new taxes using AGW as an excuse. And of course the lunatic left loves anything that increases government power, diminishes freedom, and increases taxation.
"I presented you with an analogy and you pretended to take it literally."
It was a dumb analogy. If you want to discredit something you can always find a parallel that will serve your purpose. But the parallel is simply an artifact of your creation. It has no meaning in this context. But the lunatic left seems to be addicted to using the creationist parallel in place of meaningful arguments.
"I don't recall ever visiting that site."
My mistake. On the other hand, it tells me that you have spent very little time trying to understand the debate. I read the anti AGW sites, but I also read several of the top AGW sites to try to understand both sides of the issue as well as possible.
"Trolling the Grist blog sure isn't going to get you anywhere."
Sure it is. It will expose the fact that the Grist crowd knows absolutely nothing about the basis for the debate and that they accept issues of science based upon a vote who's outcome they they are predisposed to like. As a collection of left wing eco nuts, the leverage that AGW gives them is like a free ice cream cone.
"Good luck with your endeavor and get back to us when you have been vindicated by the scientific community."
I would prefer to be vindicated by real world climate observations. And so far that is going quite well, thank you.
On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
Equilibrium position of water?
"I would look to the equilibrium position of water in its different phases as a likely explanation for the plateau in observable warming. "
Do you want to explain that a little further?
On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 ResponsesMore on climate sensitivity.
"The point biodiversivist was making was that you're using the same diversionary strategy that creationists use:"
There is no diversionay strategy. And what does it have to do with creationism. All kinds of people use diversionary strategies, including eco nuts.
"you're claiming that because we might not have absolute proof of a theory, then that theory can't be taken seriously. "
Absolute proof? LOL. No, I'm claiming that you don't have a theory that is supported by observation begin with. Physicists are smart enough to discard their theories when they disagree with actual observations. Climate scientists don't seem to be that smart.
First of all, the entire argument about AGW is around climate sensitivity; in other words, how much increase in global temperature results from a doubling of CO2 in the atmosphere. Climate sensitivity is an output of models. These models use as much information about the physical processes that effect climate as we think we know. So they use parameters for things like aerosols, solar variability, etc. The output of these models already varies from about 1.7 C per CO2 doubling to 4.0 C. The fact that we do not know the physical elements of variation that have overriden the rise in temperature that we should have had over the past 11 years means that a very significant piece of information is absent for purposes of modeling the climate. Here is something, we don't know what it is, that has cancelled out 100% of the effect of the CO2 increase for those 11 years. This is not casting doubt based on what is unknown. We know that there has been no increase in the temperature and we know that CO2 has increased as rapidly as ever over that time period. This is the discovery that there are elements that would strongly effect the climate sensitivity number - and we don't know how they works. Let me make it simpler for you. If you are going to compute climate sensitivity with a computer, then the law "Garbage in garbage out" applies. You can't compute anything if you don't have the right information for computing it. Computers don't produce truth out of garbage. Even if we look beyond those last 11 years, the amount of warming we should be seeing according to CO2 theory is not there. We have had almost 40% of a CO2 doubling. The CO2 warming effect is logarithmic. So 40% of a CO2 doubling should give us almost 50% of the effect of a complete CO2 doubling with regard to temperature rise. This should be about 1.5C. And yet we have only about half that amount. And not only do we have half the amount, we also know that some of the increase we have has other causes. That doesn't leave you with much of actual physically observable warming that you can attribute to CO2. The warmers claim that the wattage is being absorbed by the oceans, and that is why we don't see it in the atmosphere. But the oceans have not warmed for the last 5 years. So where the hell is the heat hiding?
The argument, then, goes something like this - if the effect of a CO2 doubling is as low as +.5C, then we don't have anything to worry about, because we will run out of fossil fuels before the temperature rise becomes significant. However, if the effect of a CO2 doubling is 3, 4, or 5 C, then we may have some problems over the next 100 years. As time and observations continue, the .5C looks like it's going to be much closer than the 5C.On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
Creationism again????
"I recall a debate I had years ago with a creationist."
We are not talking about creationism, we were talking about global warming. I hope you know the difference.On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
Oh boy - I found a contradiction.
"saluki, first you support drilling for oil, then you bait-and-switch to talking about nuclear energy,"
Once again I have to explain things for a simple minded leftist. I support drilling for oil, but I also realize that it is a limited source of fuel. It will probably be much longer than most eco cultists think, but eventually we would run out of fossile fuel. I believe that the warming effect of CO2 is small, but not noexistent. So I want to develop nuclear plants at a steady unhurried pace. If we can be getting most of our energy from nuclear 50 years from now, that would be fine with me. But we should start a program now. Until that transition is complete, we will need oil. And it should be American oil. Our economy cannot afford to send 700 billion a year to other countries.
This is fairly close to what Palin wants to do. You see, the contradictions that you eco cultists always seem to come up with are simply caused by your inability to think in any but the most basic and single track methods.On Watch the video and read the transcript posted 1 year, 1 month ago 14 Responses
Climate sensitivity - what is it?
"Saluki, you really should be sending these incredible insights of yours to the IPCC. Specifically, you should be having direct dialouge with Hansen himself."
Actually, Bio, I have had dialouge with Hansen's man Gavin Schmidt. Gavin is one of the contributers to the IPCC report, and of course he runs what is undoubtedly one of your favorite sites, Realclimate.
Now the HadCrut3 temperature record for the last 11 years has no temperature rise at all. One of Gavin's claims was that the data needed to be ENSO adjusted to be meaningful. So I ENSO adjusted that data and found that it made very little difference. Even with the ENSO adjustment, the temperature trend for the last 11 years was basically flat. I presented Gavin with this information, and he did not debate my results. Rather he claimed that there could be other elements of natural variation that could be overriding the CO2 effect for that 11 year term. I was ready to accept that assertion from Gavin; only I asked him to tell me what these elements of natural variation could be. The 11 years we were discussing were now history and so we should be able to attribute causation for the override. Unfortunately Gavin ran away from the question, refusing to answer, and trying to switch the topic to other temperature records like GISS. Of course GISS itself has only half the expected rise, while HadCrut3, RSS, and UAH have none of it. So the problem is that if we do not know enough about the climate system to explain why we have had 11 years of no temperature rise (11 years during which the CO2 level went steadily up) then how can we have enough information to give meaningful attribution to the prior temperature rise that we had seen.On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
Lessons in Banking
"The Saluki troll is racist as well?"
Only a birdbrain like Pangolin would believe that restricting loans to people who will pay them back is racist. But of course we know that Pangolin is too stupid to come up with a real argument, so she has no choice but to play the race card.
Of course Yglesias is a left wing idiot who will always find a way to spin the facts. The fact that Carter's Community Reivestment Act happened in 1977 is irrelevant. Loans last for 30 years. 1977 was simply the beginning of the issuance of such loans. As the years have gone by, a higher and higher percentage of such loans have been a part of the total. The Community Reinvestment Act was simply the first floor of the house of cards built by the Democrats.
From Wiki:
"In 1995, Fannie Mae began receiving affordable housing credit for buying subprime securities. In 1999, the Clinton administration and Fannie Mae shareholders encouraged the lender to increase the number of mortgage loans offered to those of low and moderate income, both to improve rates of home ownership among those groups and to increase profits."So after the Carter contribution, the next part of the puzzle was to have Fannie and Freddy buy subprime loans from the nations lenders. The quality of the loans which Fannie and Freddy accepted was very low, at the prompting of the Clinton administration. Of course the lenders made loans according to the quality of what Fannie and Freddy were willing to buy from them. Since they were anxious to buy garbage, the lenders were willing to make loans that were garbage.
In 2003 president Bush raised the alarm about the danger to our finacial system that was caused by these high risk loans. People like Barney Frank fought him off, claiming that everything with Fannie and Freddy was just fine. There was no risk, he claimed.
In 2005 McCain produced a new bill in committee to regulate and oversee Fannie and Freddy. The Republicans on the committe voted for the oversight. All of the Democrats voted against it. Because of the unanimous opposition by the Democrats, McCain never brought the bill to the floor for a vote.
"Never mind that the banks then sold the loans as 'tranches' which violated the Glass-Steagall act until it was repealed thanks to Republican, Phil Grahm."
You are talking about the Gramm-Leach-Bliley act. This said that Finacial Service Companies could own Banks and Banks could own Financial Service Companies. So what? Let's see who supported the bill.
"Let me welcome you all here today for the signing of this historic legislation. With this bill, the American financial system takes a major step forward towards the 21st century, one that will benefit American consumers, business, and the national economy for many years to come." -- Larry Summers, Then-Clinton Treasury Secretary And Current Obama Adviser, On Gramm-Leach-Bliley (1999)
Clinton's man Robert Ruben also lobbied for the bill. And of course Clinton signed the bill.
Probably more relevant to the discussion is the Commodity Furtures Moderniztion Act of 2000. This bill was sponsored by Gramm. But it was also co-sponsored by 2 Democrats. It contains provisions for credit default swaps that are mostly unregulated by the government. Once the house of cards that had been built by Carter, Clinton, and other Democrats began to fall, these derivatives made it fall that much faster. But this act was hardly a product of Republicans.
The vote was 180 Democrats for 2 against - 195 Republicans for 2 against. And Bill Clinton signed it.
http://www.govtrack.us/congress/vote.xpd?vote=h2000-540On Could reducing homeowner costs through efficiency help meliorate the housing crisis? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 14 Responses
The perpetual motion machine for saving earth.
"I strongly suggest you listen to the first 15 minutes of the radio interview with Chairman Goldes posted on the MPI website. "
Such a power source would be nice. But I'm skeptical. The guy sounds like another "I'm going to save the world" eco nut. He has no degree in science at all. He only has a BA and an MA. His conversation is much more about politics than science. His invention would also have to break some of the laws of physics. But if it makes you wishful thinkers feel good, then go ahead and place your hopes on Goldes.On CARB shoots down the 'economy vs. environment' myth ... again posted 1 year, 1 month ago 5 Responses
Pangolin of the ranting conspiracy theories
"Saluki doesn't post it's sources because they aren't relevent."
Which of my comments do you believe to be incorrect. I can give you the sources.
"Climate change due to human activity preceded the industrial revolution by a fair bit simply due to loss of forest cover and plowing of soils. All of which release significant amounts of CO2 and methane."
Before the industrial revolution - that was the period of the Little Ice Age. Good point Pangolin.
On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 ResponsesClearing things up for murky minds
"It is nonsensical to be for oil drilling and concerned about climate change."
It's only nonsensical if your ability for playing chess is restricted to one move ahead.
First, let's look at what she is acknowledging. She believes that we have had global warming. But the fact is that we have only warmed .8C in 157 years. She also believes that man is responsible for some, but not all of that. This is pretty much the position of most scientists. None attribute all of that .8C to mankind. So the magnitude that we are dealing with is some unknown fraction of .8C to this point. Hardly a scenario for alarm.
Second, even if we do acknowledge some contribution by mankind, what is the solution. We know that Palin supports nuclear. Something that the left wing loonies violently oppose. So you could also ask the loonies, how can you oppose CO2 when you also oppose a power source the puts out no CO2. So even if Palin wants to reduce CO2, she realizes that in the short term we are going to need fossil fuels. People are not suddenly going to throw away the tens of thousands in investments in fossil fuel transportation that they already have just to make the eco nuts happy. There is going to have to be a transition period. During that transition period we should not be sending 700 billion a year out of the US to pay for our fossil energy. We should be getting that energy here in the US. Our economy depends on it.
So you see, Palin's position makes 100% perfect sense. It's just that you eco fascists are to dense to think beyond the simplest and most ignorant level. That's why you want a moron like Biden, who thinks that the US and France kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon, to be your vice president.On Watch the video and read the transcript posted 1 year, 1 month ago 14 Responses
What historical patterns
"When historical wind patterns change"
There are no historical patterns. Wind patterns are like AMO PDO and ENSO. They change from time to time regarless of CO2.
"Of course since copulation seems to be her families abstinence program I'm not sure this is a challenge for her."
Sorry that you aren't getting any Pangolin. But that's no reason to be jealous of those who do. By the way, what is your position on Palestinians having 8 children per woman?
Speaking of copulation, I figured out how we can solve our financial crisis. Since it was people like Barney Frank that caused this crisis by pushing subprime loans and by preventing the republicans from regulating Fanny and Freddy, I think that he should contribute to solving the problem. I say that we let Barney reopen the male prostitution ring that he was running out of his house. Not only do we let him open that again, but we let him have a national franchise of male prostitution rings. He could call it Barney's Blow Jobs. The only catch is that Barney would have to contribute all of the profits back to pay off the 700 billion bill that he has stuck taxpayers with. Of course Barney wouldn't make any money, but I'm sure that he would be anxious to be of service.On Watch the video and read the transcript posted 1 year, 1 month ago 14 Responses
Primary cause for ice sheet loss
"Winds are Dominant Cause of Greenland and West Antarctic Ice Sheet Losses
Two new studies summarised in a news article in Science magazine point to wind-induced circulation changes in the ocean as the dominant cause of the recent ice losses through the glaciers draining both the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets, not `global warming.'The two stuides referred to are:
`Acceleration of Jakobshavn Isbræ triggered by warm subsurface ocean waters' by Holland et al, published in Nature Geoscience.
The Abstract states:
Observations over the past decades show a rapid acceleration of several outlet glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica1. One of the largest changes is a sudden switch of Jakobshavn Isbræ, a large outlet glacier feeding a deep-ocean fjord on Greenland's west coast, from slow thickening to rapid thinning2 in 1997, associated with a doubling in glacier velocity3. Suggested explanations for the speed-up of Jakobshavn Isbræ include increased lubrication of the ice-bedrock interface as more meltwater has drained to the glacier bed during recent warmer summers4 and weakening and break-up of the floating ice tongue that buttressed the glacier5. Here we present hydrographic data that show a sudden increase in subsurface ocean temperature in 1997 along the entire west coast of Greenland, suggesting that the changes in Jakobshavn Isbræ were instead triggered by the arrival of relatively warm water originating from the Irminger Sea near Iceland. We trace these oceanic changes back to changes in the atmospheric circulation in the North Atlantic region. We conclude that the prediction of future rapid dynamic responses of other outlet glaciers to climate change will require an improved understanding of the effect of changes in regional ocean and atmosphere circulation on the delivery of warm subsurface waters to the periphery of the ice sheets.
And:
`Modelling Circumpolar Deep Water intrusions on the Amundsen Sea continental shelf, Antarctica' by Thoma et al, published in GRL.
The Abstract states:
Results are presented from an isopycnic coordinate model of ocean circulation in the Amundsen Sea, focusing on the delivery of Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW) to the inner continental shelf around Pine Island Bay. The warmest waters to reach this region are channeled through a submarine trough, accessed via bathymetric irregularities along the shelf break. Temporal variability in the influx of CDW is related to regional wind forcing. Easterly winds over the shelf edge change to westerlies when the Amundsen Sea Low migrates west and south in winter/spring. This drives seasonal on-shelf flow, while inter-annual changes in the wind forcing lead to inflow variability on a decadal timescale. A modelled period of warming following low CDW influx in the late 1980's and early 1990's coincides with a period of observed thinning and acceleration of Pine Island Glacier. "On Watch the video and read the transcript posted 1 year, 1 month ago 14 Responses
Hide and seek. Where is Biden's brain.
Can anyone explain why Biden believes that the US and France kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon.
From the debate:
Biden:
"When we kicked -- along with France, we kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon"Did he just smoke one too many joints? Is he having flash backs? Is he living in his own imaginary universe? It this a little like his explanation of graduating near the top of his class when he actually graduated near the bottom. Or is this more like the plagiarism that he used to get through school?
Personally, it think the man has long ago lost touch with reality.On Watch the video and read the transcript posted 1 year, 1 month ago 14 Responses
How much warming is due to man.
"But, of course, if she's still not sure if and how much humans are causing climate change, and how much it's "cyclical temperature changes," it's not clear what she thinks humankind can do to reverse it"
Even the IPCC doesn't know how much of the current warming is due to humans. If you think they do, show me where it is in their report.
The past 157 years, during which we have kept instrument records of the global surface temperature, have yielded only .8C of temprature rise.
The past 11 years have yielded NO rise in the global surface temperature.
Of that .8C we know that part of it can be attributed to other causes, like increase in solar cycle activity and the fact that we were coming out of a little ice age. We also know that ocean cycles, like the PDO were responsible for part of the warming that was experienced from the late 70s to 98.
But no one knows exacly how much of the current warming is due to man. If you look at the warming that is suppose to be caused by a doubling of CO2 - according to the IPCC, you can also compute the warming that should be caused by 40% of a doubling - which is about what we have had. But that amount of warming is simply not there. Even if you attributed all of the warming that we have had to man, the numbers still don't come together. So I would say that Palin is considerably smarter than the cultists on this forum who seem to be living under the delusion that all of that trivial .8C of temperature gain is due to man.On Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses
Biden's team
"Biden is playing for our team."
You mean the one that wants to send 700 billion of our money to foreign countries to pay for energy.On Vice presidential candidates spar on energy and climate issues posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses
I was surprised to learn
that Biden, with a little help from the French, had kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon. He has been in Washington for more than 30 years, and this is what knows about foreign policy? The man is a complete moron. Now we know why he graduated near the bottom of his law school class and why he had to plagiarize his class work.On Vice presidential candidates spar on energy and climate issues posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses
A better proposal.
I have a better way to solve our financial crisis. Since it was Democrats and no one but Democrats that caused this financial crisis, I suggest that every registered Democrat be required to pay 10,000 to solve this crisis.
Is was Jimmy Carter that started the ball rolling on loans for people that couldn't afford them. It was Bill Clinton that expanded the program. When Republicans recognized the situation and suggested legislation and regulation to get it under control, it was Democrats like Dodd, Shummer and Frank that fought off those efforts. And it has been Democrats that have all along been in the pockets of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - defending them against scrutiny and reasonable regulation. It is Democrats that sued loan companies that would not loosen their loan policies and give loans to those that could not support them. It is Democats that defended the fraudulent heads of Fannie and Freddy while those CEOs were pocketing millions. It is Barrack Obama that has brought the heads of those failed organizations into his campaign. And Barrack Obama is the receipient of more campaign money from Fannie and Freddy than all but one other Democratic Senator.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YGnZMGDG4k4&feature=re ...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cVi_Jjxli1o
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QBRIsCkGQ0
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ASvqtD6g8PUOn Could reducing homeowner costs through efficiency help meliorate the housing crisis? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 14 Responses
Does anyone ever check the left wing propaganda?
"By contrast, a recent report from the Center for American Progress found that $100 billion invested in renewables and energy efficiency could create two million jobs in two years -- less money, more jobs, in a fraction of the time."
I guess the morons on this site are not too good at math. If we take 100 billion and break it up among 2 million people (new jobs), it would give each of them about 50,000 total. So this 100 billion would keep that 2 million people employed for exactly one year. But does anyone actually expect that the entire 100,000 billion will be used on salaries. What about the purchase of property. What about the purchase of things like windmills and solar panels - most of which are manufactured outside the US. So if we are lucky, half of that 100 billion would be used for jobs for Americans. So now those 2 million people are getting one year of impossibly low wages of 25,000. The loonatic left is loose again.On In presidential debate, McCain misleads on nuclear power posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 Responses
Daily Kos - an ocean of insanity.
"The Daily Kos also points"
The Daily Kos makes supermarket tabloids that talk about ships on the moon look like reliable sources.
Is that where you people get all the information for which you provide no links. I should have known.On Pipeline to nowhere posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 Responses
Mass confusion
"So yeah, other than laying a pipeline on mud for a gas field that doesn't exist with money we don't have the project is booming."
There won't be mud. The pipeline will be paid for by the company that is building it. And the gas fields are there in quantity already.On Pipeline to nowhere posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 Responses
Yawn
"They place the interests of oil and gas corporations above the interests of our nation."
The only slogans that I hear are the ones about oil and gas companies. It isn't the companies, it's the demand of the consumers. The eco nuts are afraid to admit the truth, which is that the consumers drive the demand for oil and gas. I have yet to have an oil or gas rep come up to me and hold a gun to my head and tell me to consume more of their product. I do it with joy and gusto all by myself, as does most of the rest of the country.
"That the McCain campaign recomends starting a war with russia over."
More of amazingdrx lies. The McCain campaign has never made such a recomendation.
"It's all about the profits for mega multinational oil and gas corporations."
This is why you will always fail. You have created a phony devil just as surely as any Christian, Jew, or Muslim. This is why your group is a cult.
"I think they would say vote for Obama."
ROFLMAO. Yeah, they would want us to turn the country over to a communist.On Pipeline to nowhere posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 Responses
Plug ins.
"Electrical plugs don't produce any power. "
That was sarcasm junior.
"Oak Ridge Labs (the nuclear guys) calculated that if magic happened and overnight every US car turned into an electric, at this very moment we could charge 84% of the fleet during nighttime hours with existing plants and using the existing grid."
Don't you people ever provide links. Half the time you pull this stuff out of your backside, and you never back it up.
On Pipeline to nowhere posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 ResponsesBuses and trains
"riding on buses and trains."
Srew buses and trains. I don't want to ride them. If you want to ride them be my guest. But don't force your ideas on me.
I promise to always keep my carbon footprint as small as Al Gore - so I must be green.On Expanded transit can lead to energy independence posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
More of the usual hostility to industry.
"McCain's record of voting with Bush for huge tax cuts for the super rich and subsidies for corporations to outsource jobs won't help at all."
This is the big lie that the Democrats think will convince people if it is just told often enough. I recieved a nice tax cut from Bush and I'm middle class.
Being tougher on corporations will do nothing to cause them to stop outsourcing jobs. It may succeed in driving corporations out of the country to rebase in other places, like Dubai. But you can't screw the corporations, milk them for taxes, and pretend that they should like it. Exxon paid 300 billion in taxes to the government last year. People like Obama are fooling you because the government makes more money off the oil companies than the oil companies make in profit. So who is really the greedy one? Any politician that would throw away that income stream would be just stupid. Like I said, if you hate large corporations, move to North Korea. They don't have any. And if you expect your government to screw large corporations, don't be surprised when we don't have any here either. Does the idiot left ever think about the millions of jobs that large corporations provide to American's, or don't they care if Americans have jobs?On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
Obama's bluff
"Obama will stop spemding money in Iraq."
He can't. If he withdraws so quickly that Iraq fails he will be held responsible for loosing an all but won war. All that he can do is withdraw slowly. That is basically the same thing that McCain and Palin will do. Also, remember, Obama promises to increase forces in Afghanistan now.
"And won't invade Iran."
Neither will McCain/Palin. The only issue with Iran is their drive for nuclear reactors. If McCain takes any action against them at all, it will be to bomb their reactor sites. No boots will hit the ground in Iraq. Such an operation would be relatively cheap.
"He will usher in a renewable energy/conservation boom in manufacturing and jobs, and expand tax revenues through growth "
Nah, he'll build a few windmills and it will supply a tiny fraction of US power and he will claim success. He knows that any drastic changes will collapse the economy and he knows that if he starts going after peoples cars that he will be out on his ass after 4 years. Tax revenue increase through growth can only happen if you have growth. Obama has no plan for growth. Tax increases don't produce growth. Replacing energy capability that we already have with a different energy capability is not growth, it's just additional cost.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
The NG pipeline will be built
"Turns out not so much:"
You are dead wrong about that. First let's look at what happened. Her predecessor had given the oil companies a fairly sweet deal to encourage them to build the pipeline. But the oil companies didn't want to get started because they wanted a better deal on taxes. As a result, everything was stagnating with no movement anywhere. Palin figured out how to get the oil companies off their asses without giving them a bigger tax break. She simply renewed bidding on the pipeline and included outside companies. So TransCanada looks to have won, and they are already starting to do surveying work. The oil companies were so shook up by Palin's move that they have now gotten off their asses, forgotten their idea of fighting for lower taxes, and promised to build the pipeline without the 500 million seed money that Alaska is offering TransCanada. Because of Palin, Alaska, not the oil companies, is sitting in the drivers seat. TransCanada has already started to do surveying operations even though they haven't yet been given the official contract and they have not received a nickle of the seed money. By the way, the 500 million in seed money that Alaska is providing is only a fraction of the total 30 Billion cost that will be carried by the companies that build it. In other words kiddies, we now have real activity thanks to Palin. Now, if the feds stall the project, there is nothing that Palin or any other governor can do. She can only do what she has authority to do and she has done that in a brilliant way. But I don't think that the Feds are going to stand in the way. Even Obama supports the new pipeline. Energy is the big issue now, and politicians that stand in the way of energy are going to get castrated by the voters. Palin will get her pipeline.On Pipeline to nowhere posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 Responses
Biodiesel
Concerning biodiesel, the past year has shown that we cannot use farm land for generating fuel, because it will drive food prices up. So your only option is farm waste. But I have yet to see anyone here do anything but assert that that can be done economically. I frankly don't believe it. In addition, if the farmers are no longer ploughing their organic waste products back into their soil, I have to think that they are going to have to use more chemical fertilizers. I'm not that crazy about that idea. The eco cultists seem to think that there is a free lunch to be had somewhere. But all I see is that they propose solutions who's price is not yet understood. I'm going to go out on the limb a little here, but I predict that the wind generators that we currently have will be found to cause unacceptable health consequences from their low frequency noise. Maybe we can redesign them. But that technology is not yet a slam dunk.On Pipeline to nowhere posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 Responses
Nuclear baby, nuclear
"Meanwhile gas could go to 15 bucks per gallon."
That's what will insure that we have shale oil. Trust me.
"Plugin, baby, plugin."
Unfortunately, electrical plugs don't produce much power. If you are going to start plugging in vehicles, you are going to need a lot more power generation and probably an upgraded grid. So you will want to support the McCain/Palin idea of building many new nuclear plants. And I have never heard either of them say that they were against breeder reactors. On Pipeline to nowhere posted 1 year, 2 months ago 12 Responses
Approval Ratings
"Here in NY, Hillary Clinton's approval rating from the state was once in the mid 70's."
I guess, "was once", is the operative word. Palin's "is" at 80%. Clinton is a master politician and you have to expect that she will be able to fool the public, at least for a while. But eventually they figure it out. Also, governors run the state, so their effect is more clearly known to people. A Senator is just 1 of 100. And while people might be interested in what comes out of the Senate, most people cannot give you the voting record of their Senator. In NY they probably feel that Clinton has been voting mostly liberal, and that is what they want.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
The Obama delusion
"Last, Obama's stated plan would reduce taxes for the lowest 98% of wage earners, increasing after tax income by nearly 5%. McCain's proposal would increase after tax income by roughly 2%."
This is simply Obama pandering for votes. He had the opportunity to oppose tax increases more than 90 times in his career, and not once did he vote against tax raises. In addition, he spending plans mean that he is going to need more revenue - much more revenue. He will take that tax cut and more out of everone in the forms of other taxes, like inheritance taxes, capital gains taxes, etc. These are taxes that will hurt everyone. I'm middle class, but I own stocks. Many people have pensions that are supported by capital gains. Most people will be leaving property to their children. Also if you look at Obama's cutoff at 200,000. That is a pizza shop, a botique, or a gas station. Small business will be effected by Obama. He's not going to get all of that new money from 1 or 2 percent of the top earners.
What it comes down to is that Obama is supporting the cynical delusion that people can vote for him and he will take money from others to give to them.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
Palin has em on the run.
"Please find one incidence where Palin has shown even a slight interest in understanding Russia."
How would you know if she has an interest in understanding Russia? Where do you get the idiotic idea that there has to be an "incident" in order for her to have such an interest.
"Has she written a book or even article, made a speech, done anything to demonstrate even a tiny bit of engagement?"
Has Obama written a book or an article or anything that shows that he knows squat about foreign affairs? If publication is an indication of interest, then Obama is interested in no one but himself.
"She's admitted that she hasn't paid much attention to US/international issues. Been too busy with Alaska."
At least she concentrates on her job. Must be why she has an 85% approval rating. Obama and Biden work in a body that is completely incompetent and has an approval rating in the teens. In fact, the US economic turndown corresponds to the Democrats taking over Cngress. And those idiots think that they have an answer to the economy. Talk about more of the same. "Let's raise taxes, that will fix the economy". The stupidity is incredible.
"This person is so, so very unqualified to be President of the United States that it is just plain pitiful."
If she is unqualified, then Obama, who has never even run a lemonade stand, who knows squat about foreign policy, who thinks that voting present is a way to run government, and who can't find his butt with both hands, is even more unqualified.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
Elections
"Hehehey, it'll ammuse the beleaguered volunteers though."
After the recent polls, they probably need it. But to be perfectly honest with you, I'm not sure I want McCain to win. I've never been a big supporter of his. But I do like Palin. My concern is that with McCain in the White House, we will never get the Senate and the House back. I don't see that his leadership will be particularly inspirational. McCain doesn't have a real political philosopy. His philosopy is, "Let's compromise and try to make everybody happy". The legislation that he passes is likely to alienate more conservatives from the Republican party. On the other hand, if Obama wins, there will be nothing but Democrats in control of everything. We will see them at their finest. It will be similar to when Clinton first took office. Republicans will be energized. Most of the country will be horrified by Obama's socialism once they really see it, and they will try to put a brake on all of the legislation that they hate by electing Republicans to the House and the Senate.
I'm certain that Omama/Biden can get the House and Senate back for Republicans. And I'm just as certain that McCain won't. Makes me wish that Palin was on the ticket for the 2012 elections instead.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
More information
Obviously we know practically nothing about this issue other than that it gives the DailyKos types a hard-on. So let's at least look at the tiny bit of information that we have. And that is some quotes from Wasilla police chief Charlie Fannon that were printed in The Frontiersman.
"In the past we've charged the cost of exams to the victims insurance company when possible. I just dont want to see any more burden put on the taxpayer, Fannon said."
"Ultimately it is the criminal who should bear the burden of the added costs, Fannon said."
"The forensic exam is just one part of the equation. Id like to see the courts make these people pay restitution for these things, Fannon said."
"Fannon said he intends to include the cost of exams required to collect evidence in a restitution request as a part of a criminal's sentencing."
From the information available we don't know what the state policy was before the new law. We don't know what the Wasilla policy was before Palin. In fact, we don't even know if Palin gave direction of any kind to the police department on this issue. And lastly, we don't know if any rape victim actually ever paid for such a kit with their own money.
But we do know that amazingdrx is in need of a brain cell transfusion. Hopefully at the expense of the state.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Amazingdrx obsessed with lying
amazingdrx:
"Hello, this is Governor Sarah Palin speaking to you from my home in Wasilla Alaska, where I saved the city thousands of dollars by firing the police chief who refused to charge rape victims for rape investigation kits."As usual, amazingdrx is lying. It seems that he would rather lie than breath. First, the firing of the Wasilla Police chief had no connection of any kind to rape kits.
Second, the person who wanted to do the charging was the Wasilla police chief, Fannon. And what he said was that he tried to charge the woman's insurance company in order to save the tax payers money. He also said that his real preference was to charge the rapist for the kit as a part of the compensation that the rapist must pay. There is no evidence that any rape victim ever had to pay for any rape kit with their own money.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Prove to me that the earth is round says Wilkes
"You haven't proved that abortion is murder yet, though."
What is there to prove. You take a living human being and kill them - it's murder. Where is the mystery? What is it that needs to be proven. You want to claim it's self defense?On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
SMOOOOOOTHING
"These are such ridiculously argumentative statements! Now you say we aren't even trying to find a trend, so what are you even on about??"
I said that you don't use smoothing to find a trend. You use a linear regression trend line.
"This is my last comment to you on this issue. 11 years of data does not tell you /anything meaningful. "
Of course it does if you can't explain why it looks as it does in terms of the elements of natural variation.
"My god, that study is tens years old now!"
Mann is still using the same proxies and he has never admitted the problems with his old reconstructions.
"There have been dozens of other reconstructions with all kinds of proxies beside tree rings since then"
Mann's new reconstruction is currently in the process of being deconstructed and it is beginning to look like it has as many, if not more, problems than his earlier version.
As far as all of the other reconstructions in the interim go, they still don't show the same warming as the instrument record.
"Please provide some references to global reconstructions that show previous changes similar or more extreme than today's. "
Mann's original reconstruction had hardly anything from the southern hemisphere and yet he called it a global reconstruction. He explained this by saying that the global climate averages out after a few decades. If you want a reconstruction that shows an MWP that is warmer than today, then Craig Lohele does that. Moberg's reconstruction shows an MWP that is nearly as warm as today. And Moberg himself said that there was nothing unusual about today's climate. In addition, there are regional studies that show the MWP to be warmer than today, and while they may be regional, these regional studies showing that the MWP was warmer come from all over the world.
"Hadley need 10 years before, plus your 11 years, pluss 10 years after to make their plot, sorry it is a simple fact. "
That's really dumb Coby. There are a thousand different kinds of plots. Hadley picked one. Doing a twenty year smoothing has no significance. It doesn't give you a trend. When you do 20 year smoothing you use temperatures from 10 years earlier and ten years later to smooth, not to change the actual value of what the temperature was at the time. Do you really think that if I go outside and take a temperature reading that I'm going to make that reading more accurate by taking another in ten years and adjusting what I took. The idea of smoothing is to SMOOTH not to yield a trend line and not to yield more accurate data. On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
Good grief
"Is everything Palin says a lie?"
I doubt that she can touch Biden who told 5 lies about his education in about 30 seconds. And at least she didn't plagerize her way through school like Biden did.
Of course Obama is the biggest liar of all. "This preacher is my mentor, but I had no idea that he was an American hating racist". Right Obama.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Let's build the gas pipeline now.
"Then when the bridge was cancelled, she kept the money to build the road to mowhere, ending up at the deserted beach that was to be the site of the bridge to nowhere."
"Because of the logging. Are the logs now being sold to China or Japan? "
I don't know. Are they? You seem to have a deep resentment of Alaskans making a living.
"So trust Palin on the pipeline?"
Can't think of a single reason why not. You trusted the original Mr. "I was for it before I was against it" and probably voted for him.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Cruelty
wiscidea:
"I suggested nature is neutral"Does that mean that a caribou doesn't feel any pain as a wolf is ripping it's guts out.
I thought your objective was to reduce pain and suffering. Are you sure that your objective is not simply to heap guilt on mankind.
"A woman who becomes pregnant but does not have the resources to raise another child can terminate the pregancy and minimize suffering."
How is murdering a human being minimizing suffering?
"Why are the wolves less important than the caribou?"
You can feed the wolves kibble instead of caribou if you want to minimize cruelty. If a caribou being torn up by a wolf is not cruely, then why should I care about your silly definition of cruelty. It becomes nothing more than an artificial, baseless, human guilt concept.
"Kill the wolves to "protect" caribou and the caribou starve to death... "
So you are approving an endless cycle of pain and cruelty in order to maintain a balanced population. But then why can't people be in the loop of balancing that population.
"What on Earth takes us from permitting a woman to have an abortion to contemplating means of separating predators from their natural prey?!"
The artificial and nosensical concept of cruelty that you want to impose on human hunting.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Pass me the vodka
"Exactly how many people are on that island three miles from Alaska?"
Completely irrelevant. Just the fact of having Russia as a close neighbor could make her interested in it's policies.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
Getting silly
"Got to be worried about a strike party from a Siberian village carrying out a raid on some Inuit's blubber supply.
Give me a break...."I can understand how you might need a break from your own idiotic strawmen.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
Who da boss?
"Warming heats permafrost above equilibrium. Methane and CO2 are released causing localized increases atmospheric methane and CO2 causing further local warming that melts arctic ice. "
The question you have to ask yourself, is when warming happened in the past, why didn't it continue to warm until all of the CO2 and methane was released. And why didn't it reach a stable point at that much higher temperature level. Why didn't all of that CO2 in the are produce a climate where there would be no permafrost and where it couldn't form.
The records show that temperature in the past increased long before CO2 increased. Sometimes by as much as 800 years. Then, when CO2 was also still increasing, temperature simply turned around and went in the opposite direction.
I think that it is safe to say that CO2 can effect the climate, but not that it can dominate it.On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
Climate Sensitivity
leela:
Let's be clear on the debate. Everyone agrees that the level of CO2 in the atmosphere is still rising. Everyone agrees that CO2 is a greenhouse gas. The place where we disagree is on the feedback effect of the CO2. CO2 by itself, in a test tube environment, has been shown to have a warming effect of about 1C per CO2 doubling. The warmers claim that the positive feedback from the CO2 causes a total effect, called climate sensitivity, of about 3C per CO2 doubling. This is where the fight is. The skeptics believe that this number is much too high. They believe that there is little if any positive feedback - meaning that the total effect of CO2 doubling is still about 1C. And there are a few who even believe that there is a negative feedback causing the total effect to be about .6C per CO2 doubling.
Hope that helps.
On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 ResponsesMeat at last!
"It is too soon to say what the long term trend is over the last 11 years, we need ten more years to know what the trend is today in the CRU data."
That's really silly Coby. I would have expected better from you. The purpose of smoothing is not to learn what the temperature is after a given time. It isn't even to discover a trend. It is simply to get a better idea of what is going on without looking at all of the variation in the detailed data. We have the temperatures for the past 11 years now. A future smoothing process is not going to change that. The trend for the past 11 years is defined by a linear regression trend line for those 11 years. Not by a smoothed curve.
"NASA's analysis has a strong positive trend until 2005, the last year possible to calculate a the 5 year mean they use."
NASA's analysis diverges strongly from the temperature record that we get from that Hadley center as well as what we get from RSS and from UAH. It is basically an outlier. But even as an outlier it doesn't give us the expected .2C per decade that we are currently suppose to be seeing as a result of CO2.
"But on the short term (weather, not climate), one explanation a bit more satisfying than just saying "natural and chaotic variations" is that you are using a period of time beginning with a large El Nino event, ending with a La Nina event."
My god Coby, didn't you read my first response to your thread. There were 7 ENSO (El Nino/La Nina) events over that period. Gavin Schmidt (an AGW advocate) took the HadCrut3 data and adjusted it for the entire period for the ENSO effects. When you plot that data against the original HadCrut3 data you see very little divergence. In other words, we had a flat 11 years even after adjustments for ENSO. See my graphs in my first response on this thread.
"For tree-rings, let's just start with elevated CO2 levels, this is a likely candidate for changing the relationship between ring width and average temperature."
Sorry Coby, you are going in exactly the wrong direction with that. CO2 feeds trees and makes them grow faster. So in theory, the lines for the proxies should show even more temperature increase than the instrument record.
Here is a dirty little secret for you Coby, Mann, as well as many of the other proxy climate reconstructions, use a North American tree ring series, a bristelcone series, that was produced by two climate scientists named Graybill and Idso. When these two gentlemen were collecting that data they did not do it with the intention of producing a long term temperature proxy reconstruction, but rather they did it with the intention of proving CO2 feeding of the trees. Their proxy consisted of mainly strip bark trees, and they did get the tree feeding that they were looking for. Unfortunately, due to Lenah Ababneh's doctoral dissertation, we have found out that going strip bark causes the trees to accelerate their growth. So what Graybill and Idso thought was CO2 feeding was mostly a stripbark effect with a small contribution from CO2 feeding. Then Mann saw that this series had a nice hockey stick at the end (due to a strip bark effect), so not only did he use it as a temperature proxy, but he made it his most heavily weighted series. In fact, he weighted it 200 times as much as his least weighted series.
"Studying past climate changes is definately informative, but it is not explanatory of today's climate change, nor predictive of tomorrow's."
That climate is changing is not the issue. Climate has always changed. The important element is the assertion that climate has changed in an unprecedented way. And you can only establish that fact using paleoclimate reconstructions. Unfortunately, the current reconstructions cannot support that assertion because they are so deeply flawed - as well as the fact that they do not reflect the instrument record. In addition there are also reconstructions as well as historical records that show that the current warming is not unusual.
On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 ResponsesLeft wing feeding frenzies
All in all these are the usual idiotic arguments that you expect from the left.
First of all, at their closest points, Alaska and Russia are 2.8 miles apart. Now, while such a fact may not bestow any automatic information on one, it could certainly be a reason for Palin to have a strong interest in Russia and their policies.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
OOpps
"Thus the problem"
Eh, I was joking. What Pakistani oil?On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Hey Coby
You appear to be the only person here with enough background knowledge to actually talk about the substantive points. So tell me:
- Why has there been no warming for the last 11 years when there were no elements of natural variation to cancel out the supposed effect of CO2.
- Why do the proxy records not reflect the same warming as the instrument records?
- Why has there been no warming for the last 11 years when there were no elements of natural variation to cancel out the supposed effect of CO2.
Huh?
"Although most Americans think global warming is real, the majority of Americans also think a Deity will intervene on their behalf if they properly ingratiate themselves to it, and its attendant angels and demons."
Nice argument that you made against yourself there.
On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 ResponsesSecurity
"The reporter asks directly about her national security credentials."
Same as Bill Clinton's when he became president.On She knows 'more about energy than probably anyone else in the United States of America' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 32 Responses
Dangerous world
"He warned about Pakistan and other key areas."
Yep, Can't do without that Packistani oil.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Science by vote
Everybody:
Your argument is that the majority of climate scientists must be right. I have heard this, oh, maybe a million times. Another million is going to have the same effect. If that's all you've got, why waste everone's time. If you have any specific responses to the evidence that I have provided, let's talk.On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
A few good resources
MClemens:
Here is a list of 10 good papers on the subject of climate science. If you have any interest on what the skeptics view is, they are a good starting point.1. Steve McIntyre's Ohio State University Address;
How do we "know" that 1998 was the warmest year of the millennium? (May 16, 2008)
http://www.climateaudit.org/pdf/ohio.pdf
This is a seminal paper which synthesizes all the errors and obfuscations to do with the Hockey Stick. It also demonstrates McIntyre's methodical, scientific and unadorned approach to the issue.2. Craig Loehle's paper;
A 2000-year global temperature reconstruction based on non-tree ring proxies, Energy & Environment 18(7-8): 1049-1058. 2007
http://www.ncasi.org/publications/Detail.aspx?id=3025
This paper was important because it was a counterpoise to Mann's tree-ring data and provided good support for the Medieval Warming Period, a major obstacle to AGW.3.Douglass, Christy et al; this is the first of the GCM critiques;
A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions. International Journal of Climatology, 2007
http://www.scribd.com/doc/904914/A-comparison-of-tropical ...
http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=3058
This paper really touched a nerve and the level of hostility leveled at it was astounding; it mostly boiled down to nit-picking about Raobcore data and whether a falsification was distinct from a bias. The second link is to an addendum to the paper; comments 69-74 are entertaining.4.Koutsoyiannis et al;
http://www.itia.ntua.gr/en/docinfo/850
Assessment of the reliability of climate predictions based on comparisons with historical time series. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2008
This link is to the first presentation. This was a crucial paper; it covered the 18 year predictive history of the GCM's on a regional basis; regionalism is the Achilles Heel of AGW.5.Stockwell;
http://landshape.org/stats/wp-content/uploads/2008/08/art ...
Tests of Regional Climate Model Validity in the Drought Exceptional Circumstances Report. 2008
This paper did the job on CSIRO and demonstrated the political imput into the AGW science.6. Misckolczi;
Greenhouse effect in semi-transparent planetary Atmospheres. Quarterly Journal of the Hungarian Meteorological Service, Vol. 111, No. 1, January-March 2007, pp. 1-40.
http://met.hu/doc/idojaras/vol111001_01.pdf
This is my favourite. It has everything; the dead hand of AGW censorship, and the demolition of the AGW's semi-infinite opaque layered atmosphere. People have quibbled about the Kirchhoff equations but Miskolczian -ve feedbacks have been established.7. Essex, McKitrick, Andresen;
Does a Global Temperature Exist? Journal of Non-EquilibriumThermodynamics, 32 (1) 1-27. 2007
http://www.reference-global.com/doi/abs/10.1515/JNETDY.20 ...
The fallacy of a global average temperature was taken to task in this paper, and, again, the reaction was hostile. This paper wittily compared averaging temperature to averaging the phone book; an important addition to the regionalism lexicon.8. Spencer and Braswell;
Potential Biases in Feedback Diagnosis from Observational Data: A simple Model Demonstration, Journal of Climate.
http://ams.allenpress.com/perlserv/?request=get-abstract& ...
No list would be complete without Mr Cloud and -ve feedback. As well, Spencer has been a bastion of reliable temperature data. This was still a close call. Minschwaner and Dessler's paper on RH decline as a response to increasing CO2 is a crucial paper, conforming to Miskolczi's feedbacks.9.Chilingar;
Cooling of Atmosphere Due to CO2 Emission, Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects. Volume 30, Issue 1, January 2008 , pages 1 - 9
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15567030701568727
An important paper about convective heat transfer which relegates CO2 radiative heating to its proper subordinate position; and incorporates atmospheric pressure as a heating factor. Thanks to Louis for alerting me to the paper. An honourable mention to the Gerlich and Tscheuschner paper on the fallacy of the greenhouse concept and a host of other errors AGW science makes.10. Pielke Sr et al;
Unresolved issues with the assessment of multidecadal global land surface temperature trends. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol 112. 2007.
http://climatesci.colorado.edu/publications/pdf/R-321.pdf ...
An elegant paper which uses Stefan-Boltzman to support regionalism and show that the notion of a radiative imbalance is defeated by regional temperature based energy differentials. Somewhat superfluous since AR4, FIG 1 shows no global radiative imbalance.
On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 ResponsesCO2 record
"If you want to study the CO2 concentration data, I refer you to this website. "
So you are going to show us what the CO2 level was 500 million years ago by providing us with a record that goes back 400,000 years.
Talk about freak opinions.On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
Scientific Thuggery
Looking for data MClemens. Try this:
http://rankexploits.com/musings/2008/gavin-schmidt-correc ...
Now, look at this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:1000_Year_Temperature_ ...
It constitutes 1000 years of temperature reconstructions by a large number of climate scientists. Most of these have been peer reviewed and published at one time or another.
Something should jump out at you right away. Notice that all of the lines are temperature reconstructions except for the black one. The black one is a modern instrument record. Notice that almost all of the reconstructions stop at about zero or less in the modern era. Only one of them goes up to about .2C above zero. The modern temperature record goes .4C above zero. Now if you go to he Hadley instrumental temperature record that has existed since 1850, you find that the global temperature increase in the last 157 years is about .8C. So basically, all of those temperature reconstructions that you are looking at are missing half of the temperature increase of the modern industrial era. How can this be? One of two conclusions must be assumed. Either the modern instrument record is overcooked, or the proxy records are incapable of showing modern warming. If the proxy records are incapable of showing modern warming, then how can they be capable of showing past warming. In other words, how can we trust them to show the magnitude of the Medieval warming period if we know that they cannot show the magnitude of the present warming period?
Of course that is not even mentioning that the huge variation between all of those reconstructions should in itself make you question their accuracy.
When you look at things like that your own common sense should tell you that something is wrong.
There is a further issue of using temperature proxies that do not so much reflect temperature change as they do moisture availability. But I'll leave that to another time.
For right now, if you want to get a record of the scientific thuggery that has gone on in the AGW community, go the the Climate Audit web site. They have a huge archive of material that you can review. Read what they have to say and decide for yourself if they are telling the truth.On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
Concept cars - there's been a million of them
"You can have your SUV, Amory Lovins has a great one, built with carbon fiber and a plugin hybrid drivetrain. It cuts gas consumption 80 to 90%."
It's a small concept car built with carbon fiber composites that are currently very expensive. They are used in things like million dollar forumla one cars. But tell you what, you go buy one and tell me how it goes. I intend to drive the cars that I have now for the next 10 to 15 years, regardless of Al Gore's drug induced ideas.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
The old oil companies are the devil delusion.
"There is no inevitable here."
Yes, there is. The people who drive cars, will demand it.
The oil industry is being too complacent about its power.
That is just idiotic. You see the oil companies like a boggy man under your bed. Typical sign of a cultist. They always have to pretend that there is some powerful malevolent force so that they can pretend that they are the crusaders for the light and the good.
It thinks it can use its money advantage to tilt the market to its preferred crappy technologies.
It doesn't tilt anything. The internal combustion engine is what a billion people around the world want. And it's the crapy technologies of the eco cultists that they reject.
But guess what ? This strategy doesn't work.
Much like your brain. On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
The inevitable
amazingdrx:
"This might be worthwhile someday though, when oil demand is maybe 1/10 nth what it is now. And if oil reserves run out."I can pretty much guarantee that shale oil is coming. With demand for oil outstripping supply, the prices are going to continue to rise quickly. As prices continue to rise the voters are going to get more and more pissed off about large unused sources. And they are going to vote anyone out of office that doesn't develop those sources. It's basically a stampede that the left wing politicians will be unable to resist. My take is that if they are really hard over on ANWR, that they make a trade. Keep ANWR but give up shale oil. Considering the amount of shale oil available, they could even use that excuse to retain their bans on off shore drilling. When you are in a position of loosing a queen, be grateful if you can turn it into the loss of only a bishop.
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesBig brother told me so it must be true
"So you have dropped the idea that "these organizations" defer to the IPCC, good."
When, exactly, did I do that.
"demanding that every individual institution redo all that work before endorsing it is silly."
No what is silly is to claim that the majority of the world's scientists support the AGW findings. It's really just a domino situation where one knocks down two which knocks down four, etc. Their support is nothing but an agreement that the science is probably right without reproducing the science, without contributing to the science, and in most cases without doing a skeptical review of the findings. They say, "hey, it was peer reviewed, published in a prestigious journal, and accepted by the IPCC, so it must be true."
But if you look at Steve McIntyre's work you find that the peer review was next to worthless because it overlooked many errors and because it was done by friends or associates of the author. You find that people like Caspar Ammann publish papers that refer to the authority of others of their own papers that have not been published. You find that they reference "Supplementary Information" that they never provide and that their prestegious publishers never challenge them to provide. You find that they refuse to archive their data and their methods so that others can attempt to reproduce them. You find that they stonewall requests for data, methods, Supplementary Information, etc. And their publishers do nothing. This is not how science is done. This is how scientific hoods operate. There are mountains of this kind of abuse, and at least in a few cases, the IPCC is party to the deceptions.
On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 ResponsesBig brother told me so it must be true
"So you have dropped the idea that "these organizations" defer to the IPCC, good."
When, exactly, did I do that.
"demanding that every individual institution redo all that work before endorsing it is silly."
No what is silly is to claim that the majority of the world's scientists support the AGW findings. It's really just a domino situation where one knocks down two which knocks down four, etc. Their support is nothing but an agreement that the science is probably right without reproducing the science, without contributing to the science, and in most cases without doing a skeptical review of the findings. They say, "hey, it was peer reviewed, published in a prestigious journal, and accepted by the IPCC, so it must be true."
But if you look at Steve McIntyre's work you find that the peer review was next to worthless because it overlooked many errors and because it was done by friends or associates of the author. You find that people like Caspar Ammann publish papers that refer to the authority of others of their own papers that have not been published. You find that they reference "Supplementary Information" that they never provide and that their prestegious publishers never challenge them to provide. You find that they refuse to archive their data and their methods so that others can attempt to reproduce them. You find that they stonewall requests for data, methods, Supplementary Information, etc. And their publishers do nothing. This is not how science is done. This is how scientific hoods operate. There are mountains of this kind of abuse, and at least in a few cases, the IPCC is party to the deceptions.
On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 ResponsesThe bastards all work for Exxon
MClemens:
"But inquiring minds need to know, so I had to check them out. Turns out, they're not exactly the "genuinely independent source of research and commentary" that they claim to be "So basically you are saying that you don't know enough to decide if the information that they are providing is right or wrong. But you found and excuse to blow them off, so that's all you need. Typical.On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
Show me the beef
Coby:
1 the earth is warming
2 the primary cause is anthropogenicShow me where these organizations did this based upon their own research instead of just a review of the IPCC results.On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
Empty heads.
biodiversivist:
"Garbage in = Garbage out."If you consider HadCrut3 surface temperature data as garbage, then you are obviously a clueless lightweight in the climate debate. All of the people that you consider to be the mainstream climate consensus rely on that same data.
Please don't waste any more of my time.On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
The consensus delusion
"I asked this question somewhere else and received no answer: Are there any large professional science organizations who say that global climate change is NOT happening and that it is not at least in part human caused? "
Each of those large organizations that you are speaking about do not do their own research on AGW. They simply defer to the results of the IPCC. And the AGW conclusions within the IPCC basically come from a small and very incestuous group of modelers. Did you read the link I gave you? Here it is again.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,243151 ...On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
More shale oil
"What we should care for are the environmental costs of any technology. Priced in these numbers, shale oil will be a big time loser."
How do you know?
"If you cannot get over the idea of burning carbon based fuels in the internal combustion engines of your cars, use (a) bio fuels created out of agricultural waste - cheaper,"
Can you show me that agricultural waste biofuel is cheaper or can you only assert it?
"In such a society, shale oil will have no demand and it will be exorbitantly expensive."
Shale oil is a higher quality of oil than sand oil. The cost of producing it will not be much greater than sand oil. Right now Canada produces a million barrels of sand oil a day and they sell it to the US. Their sand oil production is almost half of their total oil production. In 10 years it will probably be 75%. Given these facts I have no idea how you can conclude that shale oil will not be viable.
I have about 70,000 invested in the family vehicles. I'm not going to throw that away for a bunch of eco nuts. If meaningful, convenient and economic alternatives exist after I get my usage out of those vehicles, I might be willing to switch to something else. Right now the world has trillions invested in the internal combustion engine. And there are probably trillions more in infastructure to support it. Factories, filling stations, repair shops, people educated in repairing such vehicles, etc. etc. You are not going to get them to throw away all of that value either.
At least we can agree that nuclear is a good idea. I support a steady, even handed, program to start building the safest nuclear plants that we know how to build right now.
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesThe old authority argument
"You don't seem to realize that legitimate debate over whether or not the planet is warming ended long ago."
Somebody forget to tell the climate. It doesn't seem to want to cooperate.
So, first let's deal with the goofy web sites argument. Do this. Go to the Hadley Center web site in the UK (hopefully you don't consider them creationists) and get their raw global temperature data set - HadCrut3 - for the last 11 years. Take their data and plug it into an Excel spread sheet. Ask Excel to plot the data for you, and then ask it to run a linear regression trend line through it. It's not that much work, and you can make an easy 1000 bucks doing it, because I'm willing to bet you 1000 bucks that you get the same result as is posted in the web site that I gave you.
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/06/11-year-tem ...
How about it, do we have a bet?
Now, let's look at an article on some of that consensus we are always hearing about.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,243151 ...On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses
Duality
amazingdrx:
"I'm spiritual, mainly based on nature."In my mind everything is nature - including man and what he does.
"But these rapture/armageddon folk? Be honest, doesn't the thought of one of them in the most powerful job on the planet make you pause?"
I don't think that Palin is a rapture or armageddon type. If I thought she were it would make me pause. So far her judgements as a Governor look fairly sound; and she hasn't given any indication of pushing her religion on others.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
More haggling.
"so what i'm asking you to do is not petty."
Of course it is. Slap 20% on the $10 to $30 and it's still economical. The added transportation cost is a fraction of the total cost, but go ahead and add 20% to the total. The answer is the same. Project a cost increase over the next few years as the thing is being built. But also project an increase in oil prices. With global oil production near it's limit and with demand continuing to ramp up steeply, chances are that future increases in the cost of oil will outrun future increases in cost of production.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
The one month straw man
Well Coby certainly knocked the stuffing out of that self created straw man.
"Climate is generally defined as the weather conditions averaged over a long period, usually around 30 years."
The 30 year number is a fraudulent number that has been cherry picked by the warmers because they can make the most hay from it. When it suits their needs, the warmers will use much shorter numbers. Here is a paper by the godfather of AGW, James Hansen, and his liutenant Gavin Schmidt.
"This imbalance is confirmed by precise measurements of increasing ocean heat content over the past 10 years."
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/308/5727/1 ...
"One can not discern a trend in climate change by looking at small numbers of years, much less a single one. On top of that, this fallacious objection is using global temperatures in a single month, not even an entire year!"
Of course this is a false assertion. No one is trying to make anything out of a single month or a single year. The truth is that there has been no warming over the past 11 years while CO2 has continued to rise as it normally does. Click on the chart to blow it up:
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/06/11-year-tem ...
"This is very noisy data and those dramatic fluctuations turned out to be just that: noise."
There is no such thing as noise in the climate system. The climate system is not a computer model. Everything happens for a reason - in both the short term and the long term. What the observed "noise" is, is the interplay of various elements of natural variation. ENSO, PDO, Solar, Milankovic cycles, albedo, cloud formation, and to a very small extent CO2 and aerosols, etc. In addition there are probably many factors that we don't yet understand.
"Hadley Centre.Clearly the last few years, far from erasing the entire warming of the 20th century, have remained far above the global baseline (1951-1990 average)."
The warming of the last century didn't build in ten years and it won't disappear in ten years. What is important at this point is that it appears to have stopped. And what is even more important is that there is no explanation among the natural elements of variation for why it should have stopped - especially considering that CO2 has continued to rise.
"We can also see that even in globally and seasonally averaged and smoothed data, there are still numerous peaks and troughs that are irrelevant to the long-term trends."
The long term trend of the earth is cooling. Your long term trend is not a long term trend, but rather a case of using a given period, claiming it's a long term trend, and then using circular arguments to say that anything that varies from it is not a part of the long term trend that you are trying to prove in the first place.
"On this graph, the last four or five years do look as though the trend has paused and even reversed but this is actually a misleading artifact of how the graph was produced."
There is no rule that says we have to use a 20 year smoothing. In fact, trends are generally shown using linear regression. And that is what is shown by the chart that I linked.
"Short term influences like La Nina and volcanic interruptions may cause dips and slow downs but the elevated levels of greenhouse gases already in the air will eventually overwhelm the long-term."
The false claim that is made by warmers is that the recent 11 year trend of no warming is caused by the fact that there was an El Nino at the beginning of the period and a La Nina at the end. But the truth is that there were 7 ENSO events over that period, and when they are all accounted for ENSO had very little effect and does not explant the 11 year flat trend. Gavin Schmidt of Real Climate came up with a set of ENSO adjusted data for the past decade. But he was too ashamed to publish a chart of that data because it didn't show what he expected. He did publish the raw data, so here is a chart of Gavin's data created by others.
"http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/07/gavin-schmi ...
As you can see, the ENSO effect is minimal.
When confronted with this discrepancy and asked to explain why the trend was flat - in other words, when asked to explain what the elements of natural variation were that were overcoming the effects of CO2 forcing, Gavin Schmidt ran away from the question. If we don't know enough about natural variation to explain that question, then we also don't have enough information to extract climate sensitivity from the data.
"Twenty years ago James Hansen was telling the U.S. senate that warming was real, significant, and anthropogenic (human caused)"
Of minor interest is that the month when Hansen testified this year, the temperature anomaly was lower than when he testified 20 years ago.
"and the projections he provided have been largely borne out by what has been observed."
This is simply untrue. Hansen provided three possible scenarios for future temperature. One of them involving no increase in CO2 at all after a certain date. I think it was around 2000. In any case, we are currently cooler than all three of Hansen's scenarios. In fact, his predictins have been so poor that there is now argument to decide if they have already been falsified.
On In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 ResponsesTweek that price!
"this is wrong. you're using 2005 extraction costs and 2008 market price. go get the right numbers and come back when you're ready."
Oh, my, aren't we being petty. Okay, add 4% per year inflation costs. Hell, add 8% if it makes you happy. You still end up with an extraction price that makes it extremely attactive.
"how true! and if you could buy your house at today's price and sell it back in 2005, you'd be rich!"
How is this relevant to the extraction costs?On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Excuse my math.
If you mined a 50 foot depth of shale you would return 65 feet of inert material.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Oil Tech Method
hapa:
Good paper. I'm happy to have someone bring something substantive to the table to talk about. The paper contained a lot of information people should look into. Unfortunately it also contained a few things that were simple handwaving and one or two things where I felt like he pulled it out of his backside.Basically you are starting with one of those.
"A problem that is obvious from the data is that shale oil is always waiting for oil to reach a given price level at which point it will become economic. But as that price is reached and surpassed (even over time by a factor of ten) it remains uncompetitive because the cost of the extraction and processing has increased (Hall et al. 1986). The problem here as with many other alternatives to what we do today, is that as the price of oil (or fossil fuels more generally increases so does the price of everything made directly or indirectly with oil, which is essentially everything from steel to chemicals to water to labor."
This is pure nonsense. The last time that an effort was made to use shale oil commercially, in the 1980s the cost of extraction was found to be about $35 per barrel. At that time middle eastern oil got as low as $10 per barrel. Now the cost of extraction is between $10 and $30 per barrel and the cost of oil has gotten as high as $140. So the cost hasn't risen, it's actually gone down. Adjusting for inflation, it has gone down even more.
There are two other differences between now and the 80s that are also important.
- World oil production is near it's peak - meaning that prices are likely to rise faster than production costs.
- Shale oil technology is far more advanced than it was in the 80s.
"In the U.S., a large-scale commercial oil shale operation could have a significant impact on any nearby communities, the extent of which depends on the existing infrastructures and many other factors. As such, in a case where shale oil development overlaps an area with increasing tourism and recreation opportunities and an expanding urban population, on top of this existing network of energy development and changing land uses it is likely to put much more pressure on an already fragile ecosystem and public temperament (Committee on Resources 2005). An important issue is that most oil shales exist in areas very far from any infrastructure (housing, water, schools and so on) so that either very large daily transportation would be needed or whole new towns would need to be constructed."
That's a whole bunch of generalizations without getting into particulars. So let's get into the particulars. Here is a site that contains a map of where the shale oil is:
http://www.fossil.energy.gov/programs/reserves/publicatio ...
I'm most failiar with Colorado, so I'll speak to that.
First comes the tourism industry. In Colorado it revolves around the mountains and ski areas. The Piceance Basin reserves do not have ski areas and they do not have tourism nearby.
The area has no major urban centers nearby.
The closest city is Rifle - population 9,000. Rifle is right on interstate 70 - meaning that the transportation infastructure is close by. The trip from Rifle to the basin is a short one, meaning that the access infastructure would be short. People working on the projects could probaly live in Rifle and commute to work. Their families would live in Rifle and their kids would go to school there. The town would undoubtedly have an economic boom.
Now, concerning the quality of the land and what would happen to it, you should probably read this article.
"You won't think much of Rio Blanco County if you ever drive through it. In fact, unless you take a right turn off Interstate-70 West at Rifle, head north on Railroad Avenue and then west on Government road to Colorado state highway number thirteen, odds are you'll never even step foot in Rio Blanco County. But even if you keep heading west toward Grand Junction, through the town of Parachute and the shuttered oil shale refineries from the 1970s, you'll see the Book Cliffs geologic formation on your right. For miles and miles. It's a bleak landscape. Almost lunar. At first glance, it's the kind of land you'd never want to explore, much less settle down in."
http://www.dailyreckoning.com/rpt/OilShale.html
The Oil Tech technology uses very little water because it never turns the mined product into a slurry. The biggest water use will be by the people working there. As you can see, the Colorado River also runs through Rifle. So water for the workes and the families should not be a problem. Some water will have to be shipped to the sites - but that should be a very small amount.
Now, let's get on to the energy efficiency of the Oil Tech method. Electricity would have to be used to heat the Kerogen the first time that the retort is filled. But after the Kerogen has been extracted, it still contains enough energy to burn. Oil Tech will use the spent shale and burn it to heat the retort that is then filled with more shale. So after the first batch, electricity will not be needed for the heating process, because each load that has had it's Kerogen extracted will then be used to heat the next incomming load. Further efficiencies are also possible. The burned out mass of shale that was used will still be at an extremely high temperature. It can be used to produce steam, and the steam can be used to drive a generator. So the site can be electrically self sufficient, or it can even supply electricity to nearby towns. At the completion of the process, the spent shale is inert and can be returned to the area from which it was mined. There is a 30% expansion of volumn that results from the extraction process, so if you are mining a 50 foot depth of shale, you would return 80 feet of material.
Hope that covers most of your issues.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
- World oil production is near it's peak - meaning that prices are likely to rise faster than production costs.
The god thingy.
amazingdrx:
"Agnostic eyyh saluki, well that's very different then, nevermind."Probably not a subject worth discussing. But Richard is back to 100% psychobabble that doesn't interest me and I have a couple of minutes.
No, I'm not agnostic. I'm non religious.
My feeling is that any time spirituality becomes organized it becomes corrupted. You may have the same opinion, but there the agreement will probably end.
You are anti-religious. I am not. My feeling is that anyone can believe in anything they want regardless of how irrational I think it is as long as they don't feel the need to force it on others. I will accept their attempts at persuation, but no more.
You believe that religious people are stupid. I do not. This is a tough one because the first question that comes to mind is, "How can intelligent people have stupid believes?" I don't know the answer to that one. But I have seen way too many very intelligent people that accepted some very unintelligent religious dogma. I have to think that they are capable of compartmentalizing their lives in such a way that they never actually turn their insight, intelligence and reason on their own believe systems, because if they did, their believe systems would quickly crumble.
I'm not an agnosic because I have a set of philosophic/spiritual concepts that deal with the whole god idea in a way that is satisfactory to me. I would probably have to rant on for a whole books worth to explain what that is, but you can get a very rough ballpark idea by reading Alan Watts. Also, I have no particular inclination to convert anyone, so what would be the point of talking about it.
Now you have a whole new arsenal of information to attack me with. Have fun.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Richard decides censorship is the best policy
Richard:
"You do realize, the longer you continue with this debate, the less credibility you have."I'm thinking that the longer it continues that the more people are finding out just how clueless you are.
"You justify Ms. Palin's credibility by her high approval rate in a state with a low population, far off the beaten track. "
It justifies far more than your idiotic psychoanalysis based upon one joke. I guess in your mind a politician must have a low approval rating to be trustworthy.
"I will make a prediction. Sarah Palin will come crashing down (in a very big way) before the election."
Apparently the Democratic National Comittee has sent 30 lawyers to blanket Alaska in an attempt to dig up dirt on Palin. Along with the left wing media people who are already there digging they are going to be standing in line for access to the public records. Of course they are going to poke a microphone in anyone and everyone's face, so I'm sure that they will be able to find someone who doesn't like Palin. The Democrats know that they can't win this election over the issues, so dirt is their only chance. Obama won his first and his third election by finding a way to get his opponents off the ticket. Twice he used that trick on fellow Democrats. He has ever actually won only one election in his life.
"We are talking about using wood from existing forests and planting non cropland acreage to fast growing trees... all using technology we've been using for 30 or more years."
So instead of blabbing on about biomass, why don't you provide some links, as I've done for you with shale oil. Making unsupported assertions seems to be the norm on this site. Are the eco cultists just too lazy? Are they used to preaching to the choir? Or are they simply lying and exaggerating? Probably all of the above.
"But perhaps you believe centralized control by monopolies is a good thing."
This is another area where you show your stupidity. If you are going to accuse someone of something at least know of some reasonable justification for such an accusation. Why in the hell would I believe in centralized control or monopolies - espcially since I have come out again and again for minimal government.
"Sure, there are still issues to be worked out to make these technologies 100% reliable, but that's true of nuclear as well (if you take into account the three points I mentioned above)."
The points mentioned above? Now you are going to use your intuition as support of an assertion about the unreliability of nuclear. As though you had actually demonstrated something by mentioning your intuition. With each post you turn yourself into a bigger nut case.
"Advanced countries throughout Europe and elsewhere are employing wind and solar at a furious pace."
Another stupid argument. They are employing these at a furious pace for two reasons. 1. They signed the Kyoto protocol which said that they must lower their CO2 output. 2. They are heavily subsidizing those projects with taxpayer money because private industry will not use them voluntarily.
"Finally, your statements about Oil-Tech remain hypothetical at best."
There is nothing hypothetical about the oil that Oil-Tech has already developed using their methods. They only thing that is hypothetical around here is your biomass idea.
"Saluki... I think it's time for you to leave. "
I understand that you resent being made to look like a fool. But hey, you didn't have to engage in the debate.
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesSomebody help Richard.
Richard:
It is possible Oil-Tech will eventually be successful in producing oil from shale at a cost competitive price. I'll give you that. But it's equally possible they won't.
Given that they have already produced oil from shale from their pilot plant they have a pretty good idea that it will work. Additionally, they at one time had a presentation paper on the web that was presented to the US Senate regarding their technology. The paper included viability, cost, environmental impact, as well as a detailed explanation of how the technology works. It was quite impressive. Unfortunately I am no longer able to find that paper on the net. So you can choose to believe me or not. In any case, their design is not particularly high tech in any of it's parts. It's just the unique way that they combine existing technology that gets them their results.
In addition, I have a friend that works for the EPA, and he tells me that he has already issued liscenses for 9 other shale oil pilot projects for both large and small companies.
One of the biggest costs that we will have with producing shale oil is in the mining of the materials. But by looking at the methods and economies of scale that were achieve with canadian sand oil, we can get a very good estimate of what it will cost.
If you look at the Oil Tech estimates for their technology, even if they were wrong by a factor of 5, their method would still produce oil economically as long as it is over 100 per barrel.
"However, I want you to look at how strongly your own personal views cloud your judgment."
I'm really hoping that you can eventually get away from these kinds of approaches that are dependent upon your own clouded judgement.
"A substantial part of your argument (as I've read from previous posts of yours) for continuing to use oil is that we have vast quantities available through oil shale. You then go on to say we shouldn't rely on renewables because "they are too costly and unreliable". Yet, you would place your bets on oil shale that we have far less data on, in terms of final costs and reliability."
Here is your mistake. The data that we have on renewables shows that they are costly and unreliable. The data that we have on shale oil does not show this. Look, shale oil isn't a pipe dream. Pilot plants have been built. Technologies have been tested. Oil has been extracted. The only thing that isn't tested is the economies of scale that will be achieved. But even if there is significant error in those numbers, it will still be economic.
"Obviously, we know far more about the reliability and costs of renewables than oil-to-shale technology."
Yes, we know that renewables are unreliable and costly.
"It takes just a little common sense to realize that it's a safer bet to use technologies that do not disrupt natural systems, rather than those that do."
Then you should be supporting nuclear instead of windmills dotting the landscape, killing bats and birds, making people and animals sick with low frequency noise.
"inherently feels like a bad idea. Something deep inside me says "no.... find a better way"."
Yes, you use this theme all of the time. It's about how it feels to you instead of being about the facts.
"On a more technical level, the likelihood that we can't overcome the reliability issues with wind or solar is incredibly low."
Fine. When we do we can use it. Of course with wind there are more than just reliablility issues. There are health and environmental issues. And with both there are the issues of the backup systems that we will need to pay for when the wind doesn't blow or the sun doesn't shine.
"We can make nuclear more reliable than wind or solar?"
It already is. Why would you think otherwise?
"You do realize that sooner or later one or perhaps many nuclear facilities will be destroyed by earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes or some other natural or man-made disasters."
Obviously you wouldn't build a nuclear reactor on an earthquake fault zone. Hurricanes and toranadoes will not effect reactors. The worst that could possibly happen would be to collapse the cooling towers. In that case you simply shut the reacters down. No big deal. Your scenarios are simply not credible.
"What will be the effects of that?"
Nothing. Modern designs are able to shutdown and safe a nuclear reactor in fractions of a second. The French have been getting 80% of their power from nuclear reactors with mid level technology that are not as safe as the new generation reactors we would be building. And obviously the French have had no problems.
"My intuition says it's not worth finding out, given that there are other alternatives. "
There you go with your intuition again instead of relying of the facts.
"I noticed you left biomass out of your list of renewables."
I din't think that you still considered it as viable. It has two major drawbacks. 1. It uses land that we can use for food. In fact, the production of biofuels has already raised food prices around the world. 2. The Brazilians are running their cars on biofuels, and the fact that they are cutting down the rain forests to produce the fuel has a net effect of increasing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere.
"As someone who has made it a point to study human nature for some 35 or so years, I've noticed that any woman (or man, for that matter) who would compare herself to a pit bull is not someone I would ever consider giving any power to."
Good lord Richard, it's a self deprecating joke. Everyone that she has worked with in Alaska has loved her. She asks to be called Sarah instead of Governor. Everyone talks about how accessible and non politcal she is. This is people that she has worked with for years. She has an 80% approval rating for christ sake. Do you know of any other politician with that kind of approval rating. Our congress has a rating in the teens. Come on Richard - get real for 5 seconds.
"I would just consider her untrustable and in need of psychological help."
When you come to conclusions like that based upon a joke, I believe that it is you who needs the psychological help Richard. On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Let's do shale some time
Richard:
"I thought I would spend a few minutes to investigate the integrity of the statements you made about oil shale. "Good for you. That means we can talk about facts instead of engaging in psychobabble.
"You do realize that Wiki posts are often unreliable, at best... often serving simply to promote the position of a person or business."
You bet I do. For example, their AGW stuff is pure crap. The AGW editor is a guy who ran for the green party in England. So there is no chance of getting a balanced presentation. But a lot of people seem to put faith in Wiki. It's good that you don't.
"Turns out, even Shell Oil is quite uncertain if their technology will work. They don't know what the actual production cost will be, nor how much water will ultimately be required or where that will come from. Most importantly, their own spokesperson said "it will be at least until the middle of the next decade before they decide if the process is commercially viable." "
I don't think that there is an issue about their technology working. They have been working on a pilot plant for years, and they have already extracted oil successfully. However, I have always been skeptical about their costs. First they freeze an area around the area of interest where they want to extract the oil. Then they heat the kerogen to turn it to oil. The heating and cooling must go on for a long time before the oil can be extracted. It would seem to me that would take a lot of energy. But hey, they quoted the price.
"So it seems your statements about the viability of oil shale are greatly inflated, unless you have some specific evidence to prove otherwise."
Woohaa! Are you telling me that the Shell proceedure is the only one that you looked at? What about the Oil Tech proceedure that I gave you a quote and a link from. That is the horse that I'm putting my money on. Their proceedure looks to be inexpensive, fairly clean, and having very low water requirements. It's also efficient and requires very little outside energy.
"Oil-Tech has perfected its extraction process by constructing a full-scale experimental retort. (See figure) The next step is to build a fully-operational commercial retort and prove out the ability to economically produce oil in scale. Each Oil-Tech retort will cost about $2 million to fabricate and will produce 1000 barrels of oil per day. The cost of producing a barrel of oil with the first retort will be approximately $25 per barrel, it will drop to $16 per barrel with the 2nd retort, and by the time the 7th retort is in operation the cost per barrel is expected to be below $10 per barrel."
http://www.eltonresearch.com/oiltechincutah.page?cart=119 ... ...
Oil Tech has now merged with an Australian company, but I believe they are still planning to go ahead with their process if they can line up enough shale oil acerage. But most of the acerage is federal land, so there is that mess to deal with.
"but that time is still years away."
My guess is that the Oil Tech method could at least start delivering some oil in 3 years if the government got behind them.
"Given this, it would seem prudent to move ahead as quickly as possible with known, renewable alternatives that are cost effective. Do you not agree with this?"
I think we should be moving ahead with nuclear as well as with shale oil as well as with ANWR as well as with Alaskan gas as well as with more off shore drilling. At this point I think that the renewables are too unreliable and too costly. When they get to be reliable and cost competitive, then let's start using them.
Here is a clip of a wind farm for you.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m09vkAIJBXQ&NR=1
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4N4HQv-UyUo&feature=re ...
Not to mention the health issues that are starting to emerge about wind farms.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mablINxg3zE
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0YvSDw5Gll0&feature=re ...
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesClearing out the lies about the Alaskan gas pipe
Virginia B.
"The Alaska Gas Pipe Line, financing guaranteed by US taxes, and partially financed by earmarks, will pipe Alaskan gas to Alberta, Canada, to be used to convert tar sand petroleum to oil to benefit Canada, and which can be sold anywhere, not necessarily the lower 48."Seems like people on this forum would rather lie than breath. I have never seen so many lies told by so many people to serve their own political agenda.
First, there are no plans to sell any of the gas to China. This is the same lie that people on this blog tell about the oil from the Trans Alaskan pipeline. They claim that we are shipping it to the far east, when in fact 100% of it is shipped to refineries on the west coast.
Second, the bill for the pipeline is not going to be paid by American tax payers. A portion of it, about 15% will be subsidized by the state of Alaska using tax money collected from oil companies.
Third, it is only speculation that the gas will be used for producing Alberta tar sand. The plans at this point are still to send it to Chicago. If some of it is used by Alberta they will have to pay for it.
Fourth, Obama has this same project as a part of his own energy proposal.
From the Washington Post:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008 ...
"Congress passed legislation to expedite a pipeline in 2004. Ms. Palin's predecessor as governor, Republican Frank H. Murkowski, attempted to negotiate a deal with the three oil companies that control the North Slope gas, Exxon Mobil, BP and Conoco Phillips. His plan would have awarded the companies a long-term tax freeze in return for relatively weak commitments to actually build the pipeline. But even though Vice President Cheney and Sen. Ted Stevens (R-Alaska) lobbied hard for Mr. Murkowski's approach, Alaska's public and legislature balked, viewing the proposal as stacked in favor of the Big Three oil companies. Ms. Palin rode criticism of Mr. Murkowski's deal to victory over him in the 2006 Republican gubernatorial primary and then to the governor's office later that year. She reversed Mr. Murkowski's strategy, asking the legislature to pass a law setting criteria for a deal, then throwing the project open to companies other than the Big Three. The result was a commitment by an experienced pipeline company, TransCanada, to build the project, which may take 10 years, in return for $500 million in state seed money derived from Alaska's recent oil windfall."
"The oil companies still control the gas. So, if TransCanada actually gets all the necessary permits, assembles financing and builds the pipeline, the Big Three will have to be persuaded, years from now, to ship their gas through it on reasonable terms. Meanwhile, BP and Conoco Phillips have announced plans to build a pipeline of their own without the state's backing -- a sign that the political and economic wrangling over this immense and risky project is far from over. But it is also a sign that Ms. Palin's outflanking of the oil companies injected some competition and urgency into a process that was previously stalled. "
Obama's support of the project:
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/260/story/46706.html
The big three oil companies wanted to get special tax breaks in order to build the pipeline. They were holding up doing any work before they would begin. But Palin outflanked them. Now they want to build the pipeline without any tax breaks and without any money from the state.
http://i-r-squared.blogspot.com/2008/06/alaskan-gas-pipel ...
"At the same time, BP and ConocoPhillips recently announced that they are embarking on their own $30 billion project to pump Alaska's gas reserves through a 2,000-mile-long pipeline. They say they don't need the state's $500 million and will proceed regardless if the state throws its support behind TransCanada.
The TransCanada proposal is born out of an attempt by Palin to force the hand of the big oil companies--BP, ConocoPhillips and ExxonMobil Corp.--to execute their gas leases, from which the state hopes to raise tens of billions in tax revenue. Uncertainties over natural-gas prices and state taxes have long left the companies skittish about committing to a project.
Alaska owns the natural gas; BP and Conoco, along with Exxon, hold most of the leases to develop it. The companies have long talked of tapping the reserves, but have consistently deemed the pipeline too financially risky without the state first agreeing to favorable terms on gas production taxes. Unlike Palin's predecessor, Gov. Frank Murkowski, who wanted to give the companies generous tax breaks, she has refused to budge."
On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Those cuddly polar bears:
caniscandida:
"Of course there is no "evidence" yet, silly!, because the drilling has not yet taken place."So what, exactly, do you expect to happen? Do you think that the drillers are going to tie the polar bear down and run drill bits through them? Do you think that the trucks are going to ruin the fine pasture land up there that the Polar Bear graze on? Do you think that they are going to be scared out of their wits by having a few humans around?
You do remember that polar bears roam around downtown Churchill Manitoba without a care about the presence of human beings. In fact it is the humans who get the hell out of the way when they show up.
Maybe you could be more specific about the nature of this disaster that you see happening if we drill ANWR.
"The oil industry's videos showing solitary caribou in the vicinity of pipelines are misleading. Caribou have herding instincts which drilling operations do not favor, even if some individuals may be able to cope."
I guess more than a few individuals are able to cope. The Central Arctic herd who's calving grounds overlap with the oil fields of the north slope have increased their population from 5,000 before the pipeline activities to around 30,000 today. The largest herd that regularly crosses the pipeline, the Porcupine herd, has trippled in population.
"The Gwich'in spokeswoman and activist, Sarah James (an infinitely better pick for VP, IMHO, than her namesake), of Arctic Village, AK, on the southern border of ANWR, has not very long ago already told Grist, and Grist readers, that drilling in ANWR will be disastrous for her people."
So you are saying that employment would be disasterous for the Inuit. How, exactly, would employment be disasterous for the Inuit?
"You know, I hope this is true, seeing that we defenders are probably going to lose."
It's 2,000 acres out of a total of 19.5 million acres.
"Still, consider the Exxon/Valdez, and remember that anything that can go wrong, will go wrong; and when it does, lots and lots of vulnerable creatures suffer and die, and there is nothing to be done about it."
Yeap, the occassional oil spill will happen. But we are getting better and better at cleaning them up and returning the wildlife to the area. And we are getting better and better at insuring that fewer and fewer of them happen. Look, every time you get in your car you risk your life. Many people are killed in car accidents. But sometimes we decide that the rewards are bigger than the risks. The rewards of drilling are much larger than the risks of spills.
"And anyway, there is nothing "patriotic" or "America-loving" about Alaskan oil. It goes to East Asia, where the market is."
Another delusion that you eco cultists live under. All Alaskan oil goes to West Coast refineries and is consumed in the US.
"And all the bully-bully-ness of John Mccain and Sarah Palin cannot change that, unless they want to morph into Joseph Stalin and Leonid[itska] Brezhnev[ska]"
No, it's Obama and Biden that are the budding communists, not McCain and Palin.
"This description of a predator/prey relationship is totally unbelievable. It is unworkable. It does not happen. If prey species and predator species exist in the same ecosystem, the predation rate can simply not be as high as is here claimed. The ecosystem would have collapsed long ago.
And so, the description is plainly a fiction."I can't completely disagree with you on this. The 99% number sounds exceptionally high. But I doubt that they made up the count of the caribou herd going from 10,000 to 600.
Now, I don't doubt that caribou and wolves will balance in the long run. But population crashes of both wolves and caribou are common. As long as wolves are able to catch enough game, including Caribou, their populations will increase. As their numbers increase the predation on the Caribou herds increases beyond the abilities of the herds to maintain their populations. The herd populations crash, and eventually the wolf populations crash when there is little game for them to hunt. After the wolf populations crash the Caribou herds rebuild and the cycle begins all over. Many years ago I read a doctoral dissertation about jack rabbit populations in New Mexico. They had a similar relationship with the coyotes and those jackrabbit populations varied by a factor of 10 to 1. Now Palin could have decided to simply let those crash and recover cycles go uninterrupted, but the state decided that they didn't want to do this even before she became governor.
"Please tell me, somebody, that at some point in her life, Sarah Palin took in an orphaned caribou lamb, and nursed it with a baby bottle. I would really love to hear such a story."
How about a compassion story about Obama. Obama has a half brother, George Hussein Onayango Obama, who lives in a shanty town outside of Niarobi Kenya. He lives on about one dollar a month. Obama has visited his half brother, knows where he is and how he lives, but he has never sent him a single buck to help him. Obama could have made a huge difference to his half brother on what would have amounted to pocket change for him - and yet he did nothing. I expect that when Obama is able to send his brother other peoples tax money rather than his own, his compassion will greatly increase.
"But, but, but, polar bears ARE endangered; "
No, they are not. Their population is healthy and robust. Their being placed on the endangered list is a speculative placement about the expected results of AGW, not a placement that has anything to do with their actual numbers. In any case, their population has nothing to do with drilling, and I see no reason why drilling would diminish their numbers.
"However, OK, I think we can all agree that discouraging trophy-hunting is a great and good thing, although it does not seem to be a high priority in Alaska state governance."
Like I said before, I don't hunt. But I have no issues with an agency controlled hunting program that protects wildlife populations from overhunting. And if populations get too small, I have no problem with cutting the hunting to zero.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Ohhhh, I'm bleeding
amazingdrx:
""My theory is that the war against the Islamists had to happen."
You just can't make stuff like this up."Yeah, I realized when I wrote that line that it would be like Pavlov ringing his bell and that you would come running with drool dripping off your chin. Of course the statement is no different that a statement like "The war against Hitler had to happen". Not for the purpose of supporting any ideaology or religion, but simply because the expansionist ambitions of the islamic fundamentalists were not going to stop without it.
"Is the second coming set to happen too? Oh great oracle, huff some gas from your cracked bunker wall and tell us. Please?"
I guess I overestimated your intelligence amazingdrx. I would have thought that you would come up with something better than the worn out bag of tricks that has been the attack arsenal for the intolerant and bigoted left for decades now. I already made clear that I have no religion whatsoever. But you are so limited and narrow minded in your thinking that you cannot escape the stereotyped thinking that you do every day. So even though I have no religion, you are so stupid that the only thing that you can think of is to attack with the same old anti Christian tools that you've been using most of your life, regardless of how inappropriate they are.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
ANWR
caniscandida:
"she strongly approves of drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge -- bad news for caribou, other wildlife, and the local Alaskan Native Peoples;"Simply untrue. There is no evidence that drilling ANWR will have any adverse effects on the wildlife population. This is a scare tactic akin to what was used to oppose the Alaska pipeline, and it also turend out to be 100% untrue. You may picture the native peoples as happily living in igloos, but the truth is that they will be happy to have the good paying jobs that drilling in ANWR will provide for them. Also, the footprint of the drilling area is about 2000 acres in an area of several million acres. To keep that footprint small Palin has insured that the oil companies will use horizontal drilling tequniques to cover more area than their above ground access.
"she has consistently supported the aerial hunting of wolves and grizzly bears;"
Also untrue. Her support of hunting wolves from airplanes is not a support for a hunting technique, but rather a support for a predator control technique. The wolves have simply become too numerous and too efficient in certain areas for caribou herds to survive. Palin has supported a program that existed before she was governor to control only certain wolf populations in certain specific areas that serve as birthing grounds for the caribou. In one case a population of 10,000 caribou was reduced to 600 by wolf predation. The wildlife service found that the available food and the pregnancy rate among the female caribou was high. But they also found that 99% of the newborn caribou did not make it through their first two weeks due to wolf predation. Palin's program was designed to remove about 600 wolves out of an Alaskan population of about 11,000, and only to allow the caribou to recover. Killing wolves is not that easy, and doing it from helicopters and airplanes was the only way to make the objective possible. Even with that program they didn't reach their target numbers.
http://www.adn.com/opinion/story/501699.html
"she has been conscientiously involved in the protest against the Environmental Protection Agency for listing the polar bear as an endangered species."
Which is exactly the right thing to do since polar bears are not endangered and Alaskan land usage can be severly limited by that kind of law, even though the land usage has no effect on the polar bear population. A better approach is to limit the number of polar bear hunting liscenses to a sustainable number, or to even reduce them to zero if necessary.
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesBush talk.
"Could you please explain why you believe it is fine to use and exhaust a non-renewable, finite resource like oil?"
Our future generations, like my daughter, are essentially receiving a trade off. They get a highly advanced, highly scientific, very wealthy world with a huge infastructure already built for them. If you look at what we had 50 years ago and what we have now, the advancements are obvious. Now if someone wants to live in a cave and contemplate their naval, they may not believe this. Anyone wishing to do this, by the way, has my blessings. I may even join them one day.
In any case, all of the previous generations that have come before have contributed to what is left to the next generation. That there will not be any oil 100 years from now should be no problem. If we go back 100 years most people were traveling by horseback. To think that we will need the same kind of cars 100 years from now as we need today is just not a realistic expectation. Whether it's electric or fuel cell or something else, the things that we are doing today with fossil fuel they will be able to do with some other source of energy. And the technology and infastructure that we are building today will set the stage for the next level of advancement that will make fossil fuel a horse and buggy type answer. In short, I have no guilt about consuming the fossil fuel. But then I'm not the guilt carrying kind.
"Did you vote for Bush the last two times around, and if so, given his terrible track record and utter failures almost across the board, why should I place any value in your ability to choose the next president?"
No, I didn't vote for Bush or anyone else in the last two elections. But if I had voted I would have voted for him. Given the dismal alternatives presented by the left, I would take the same position again.
- We had about 6 years of growth under Bush, which is a pretty good percentage of the total. The economic slowdown that we are currently experiencing is happening under a Democrat Congress. One that has basically accomplished nothing and one that has a lower popularity rating than even Bush. Obama and Biden are a part of that group.
- After 9/11, which was planned and set up under Clinton, we had no further major terrorist attacks in the US.
- My theory is that the war against the Islamists had to happen. They were flush with success after Afghanistan and Chechnya, and they thought that they were going to take over the world. I used to read the Chechen Islamists web sites when they were still doing well there, and the bragging by their primary commanders about how they would soon meet each other in Moscow gave a pretty clear idea of their objective. Al Quida had expansionist ambitions of the same kind. They still regard Spain as belonging to them, for example. While a war in Iraq was problematic in a hundred ways, it was also an ideal war in many ways. Any war on the Arabian Penninsula had special meaning for Islamists. The prophet Mohammed said this about the Arabian Penninsula:
Book 019, Number 4366:
It has been narrated by 'Umar b. al-Khattib that he heard the Messenger of Allah (may peace be upon him) say: I will expel the Jews and Christians from the Arabian Peninsula and will not leave any but Muslim."and
"Sahih Bukhari
Volume 4, Book 53, Number 392:
Narrated Abu Huraira:
While we were in the Mosque, the Prophet came out and said, "Let us go to the Jews" We went out till we reached Bait-ul-Midras. He said to them, "If you embrace Islam, you will be safe. You should know that the earth belongs to Allah and His Apostle, and I want to expel you from this land. So, if anyone amongst you owns some property, he is permitted to sell it, otherwise you should know that the Earth belongs to Allah and His Apostle.""By the way, I read the Quran, many of the Hadith, and I studied the history of Islam. So I knew that having an American army on the Arabian Penninsula was going to bring out every Islamic extremist from every Islamic nation to fight them. I knew that it wasn't going to be over after Sadam was defeated. Unfortunately, we couldn't simply go out to the middle of the Gobe dessert and invite the Islamists to fight us there. It was going to have to be somewhere they valued. A win in Iraq would have three advantages. First, it would cut all of the momentum that Al Quida was gathering. Their feeling of invincibility and their thoughts of taking the world would be severly undermined. Second, the planting of a democracy on the Arabian Penninsula would be great for two reasons. First it would give the people of Iraq a choice in their government, and second, it would undermine the Islamic extremists that believe that there can be no democracy because mankind is not free to choose how to live because Allah has already told him how to live. And then Iraq would provide us with a killing ground for Islamic extremists that we could not get in any other way because the majority of them operated in sovereign nations where we could not go. And lastly, I knew from the Chechnya experience that when Islamist were actually in charge of anyplace that they were barbaric in the treatment of their own people and that even people who idealized Islam would soon learn and be sick of the extremists. This was an advantage and a lesson for Muslims that we could never get by fighting Muslims in other places. Anbar is a perfect example. At certain periods the Islamists held certain parts of Anbar and the people were behind them. After some time of experiencing the extremists, the people were anxious to be rid of them. But they wouldn't have had the ability to rid themselves without our help.
Bottom line is that I liked most of Bush's choices even though he may not have known what he was doing when he made them.
Regarding the absence of nukes in Iraq, there I was wrong. I thought that they were there. I think that Bush also thought that they were there, and the pre war speeches that we have from the Democrats indicates that most of them thought that they were there. Some of them gave that indication even before Bush came to power. And of course Sadam admitted that he tried to create the illusion that he had them.
Wars aren't cheap, and our country has certainly paid a high price for this one. But I don't think that most people have any notion of what was coming had the Islamists not been handed a severe and embarrasing defeat at some point. I think I do understand it.
Now, considering the very high economic cost of the war, I believe that our nation has done fairly well when you consider the economic disadvantage such a war put us under.
I would very much have liked to have a president that was capable of communication, but all in all, I think he did fairly well under the circumstances. Oh, and let's not forget that much of the image that he now carries is due to almost 8 years of effort on the part of the media to demonize him and to destroy his reputation.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
- We had about 6 years of growth under Bush, which is a pretty good percentage of the total. The economic slowdown that we are currently experiencing is happening under a Democrat Congress. One that has basically accomplished nothing and one that has a lower popularity rating than even Bush. Obama and Biden are a part of that group.
When can we end the psychobabble Richard?
Richard:
"What you've done in your last post, for at least the sixth time, is avoided answering my direct and fair questions."Good grief Richard, are you going to rant on about that indefinitely. Go back and look at this subject when I addressed it the first time. In regards to government services I said:
"However, I didn't say that I proposed doing none of it."
I'm not going to draw up a list for you because there are thousands of government services and if I support only two thirds of them it's still a long list. Frankly, Richard, I don't know what your point is, if you have one.
And after complaining that I don't understand your position I gave you a chance to express it and you still haven't done it. So if you don't want me to try to read your mind, then speak your mind, otherwise you will probably be misinterpreted.
Now, you talk about my integrity, but how can one have a conversation with integrity when you are talking to people who express absurd views like this:
"You hate the earth, and love burning up the bioshpere. In fact you derive actual pleasure from it."
And this:
"Anyone who denies that Palin is a wildlife-hater, and then tries to convince us of anything else, is grossly offensive, and is basically a major waste of our time."
And this:
"True energy independence would mean no oil used for anything but chemical feedstocks, train fuel and bunker fuel for shipping and perhaps a bit for the military.
Since nobody is proposing that it's fair to assume that they're lying. It's also pretty fair to assume that their supporters are lying also."
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesNo one here knows squat about shale oil.
"To mine, crack, crush and steam that mineral to extract the hydrocarbons costs more energy than it yields. That's just physics."
No, that's just stupidity. A barrel of shale oil can be produced for between $15 and $30 per barrel. And the resultant product is better than Canadian sand oil.
This is from Wiki:
"Royal Dutch Shell has announced that its in situ extraction technology in Colorado would realize a profit when crude oil prices are higher than $30 per barrel ($190/m3), while other technologies at full-scale production assert profitability at oil prices even lower than $20 per barrel ($130/m3).[11][64][65]"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_shale_extraction
"Oil-Tech has perfected its extraction process by constructing a full-scale experimental retort. (See figure) The next step is to build a fully-operational commercial retort and prove out the ability to economically produce oil in scale. Each Oil-Tech retort will cost about $2 million to fabricate and will produce 1000 barrels of oil per day. The cost of producing a barrel of oil with the first retort will be approximately $25 per barrel, it will drop to $16 per barrel with the 2nd retort, and by the time the 7th retort is in operation the cost per barrel is expected to be below $10 per barrel."
http://www.eltonresearch.com/oiltechincutah.page?cart=119 ...
"While oil shale is found in many places worldwide, by far the largest deposits in the world are found in the United States in the Green River Formation, which covers portions of Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming. Estimates of the oil resource in place within the Green River Formation range from 1.2 to 1.8 trillion barrels. Not all resources in place are recoverable; however, even a moderate estimate of 800 billion barrels of recoverable oil from oil shale in the Green River Formation is three times greater than the proven oil reserves of Saudi Arabia. Present U.S. demand for petroleum products is about 20 million barrels per day. If oil shale could be used to meet a quarter of that demand, the estimated 800 billion barrels of recoverable oil from the Green River Formation would last for more than 400 years"
http://ostseis.anl.gov/guide/oilshale/index.cfm
So once again, the only thing that stands between the United States and total energy independence are the left wing legislators that are intimidated by the eco cultists.
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesLevees
"Now, if even right now, when America is still relatively rich, and was so full of sympathy for the city's post-Katrina plight, it still can't be bothered to fix the problem, really spending just pennies,"
What rubish you eco cultists talk. On the one hand you claim that it is impossible to get new oil on line in ten years, on the other you claim that we should be able to complete a huge levee system for New Orleans overnight. Much work has already been done on the levee's, and the completion date is 2011. Pretty reasonable for a project that size.
By the way, why didn't Bill Clinton fix the NO levees in his 8 years?
Of course all of this ignores the stupidity of building a city below sea level to start with.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Changing subjects again
amazingdrx:
"Scientific concensus does not constitute an appeal to authority."Of course it does. You are appealing to the authority of those scientists who you claim form a consesus.
"It is based on testable theory and data."
No, it's based upon theory that has never been tested in a real world atmosphere and on models that have never been validated. In fact, at this point in time most of the GCMs are falsified.
"Unless you are a climate or energy expert your counter-arguments too depend on this same source."
My counter arguments depend on the raw results for what we know - not the modeled results for what we will have in the future.
"In this case they appear to be an appeal to unknown, unamed authority."
Nope, no unknown or unnamed authorities involved. Only basic measurement data available to anyone.
"and that there is no shortage of oil to power the US economy right here at home."
Are you saying that the assertion that we have 1.5 trillion barrels of shale oil is from a mysterious authority figure. Will you get your head out of you know where and start talking honestly for one second. Talk about denying the data!
I am feeding you the facts and you are fattening up your trollish position with every talking point I have faced down time and time again over the last few years.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Those evil industries
amazingdrx:
"I think maybe we could strike a happy medium, where real competitive free market capitalism exists alongside reasonable regulation and a social safety net."That would be nice, and that is the objective that Sarah Palin has stated many time. Unfortunately, for the left and the eco cultists there is no such place as too far left and there is no amount of environmental regulation, short of shutting down all industry, that is enough. And of course the left is not really interested in social saftey nets, they are interested in government engineered equality. Not equality of opportunity, but equality of results. They want that safety net to be huge bureaucratic mother for them.
"So a huge mining corporation can save 5% on costs by dumping toxic tailings into the bay, instead of safely returning them to where they came from."
This brings us to the next problem. In their drive to kill manufacturing and return mankind to the stone ages the eco cultists are willing to tell any lie and exaggerate any situation to get their fascist way. No one is dumping any toxic tailings into any bay in Alaska. This is an overt lie of the type that eco cultists are ever ready to scare the public with. First, let's look at the other side of the story and also see how Alaskan's voted on this issue.
http://www.pebblepartnership.com/files/PLP_BM4-2.pdf
"Anchorage, AK - Voters issued a clear vote of confidence in the State of Alaska's water quality standards and regulatory protections for salmon and human health when they defeated Ballot Measure 4 last week, said Pebble Partnership CEO John Shively. "Ballot Measure 4 and its proponents challenged the state's environmental standards and overall regulatory
framework for hard rock mining, and suggested they were insufficient to protect Alaska's important water and fisheries resources," Shively said. "Alaskans disagreed, and reinforced their support for the state and federal permitting process and existing standards for water quality and fish protection as the appropriate measures by which the Pebble Project and other mines in the state should be judged." Ballot Measure 4 was defeated by a 57 - 43 majority. If approved by Alaska voters, the initiative could have introduced new, undefined regulations for all hard rock mines in the state.
"Notwithstanding the outcome of this important vote, the Pebble Partnership remains committed to going beyond compliance with existing environmental regulations to ensure that the significant fisheries resources of Bristol Bay are protected," Shively said."So there are already a large number of regulations in place to protect the environment and the Bristol Bay fish populations. And the mining company that will be building upstream has every intention of following them all and protecting the environment. That is where the balance is. Not with the kind of cheap alarmist sensationalism that we get from you.
From the parent company for this project:
"The Red Dog Mine operates under the most stringent environmental requirements anywhere. In fact, Alaska is the only state where fisheries get constitutional protections in the state's constitution.
The water quality downstream from Red Dog is now better than it was before mining. Annual studies of the drainages below Red Dog show healthy and robust fish populations.
Numerous studies and sampling efforts show that Kivalina's drinking water downstream from Red Dog meets stringent State of Alaska drinking water standards."
By now one can easily recognize that the lies being told here are the same kind of lies that the eco cultists were telling us when they told us that the Alaskan pipeline would endanger the caribou. But instead the caribou that ranged in the area of the pipeline tripled in number.
And what are these mines doing for the state of Alaska? Remember the people on this forum are claiming that Alaska is a welfare leech at the same time that they want to shut down vital Alaska industries.
"NANA currently operates the Red Dog Mine in Northwest Alaska with their partner Tek-Cominco. In 2007 mining revenues topped $58 million dollars. Sixty two percent of NANA's profits are distributed to other Native Corporations through the 7-I provision.
The mine currently employees 465 full time employees with an annual payroll of $48 million with almost 56% of those employees being NANA shareholders from a region that is beset with high unemployment and a lack of good job opportunities.
This is money that goes directly into the hands of Native shareholders and comes back in the form of money for schools and local community support. And not just in rural Alaska. The economic benefits are spread statewide.
The Red Dog Mine uses the services of over 350 Alaskan companies every year from catering and engineering to environmental research. Between 1989 and 2007, Red Dog has paid over $150 million in salaries to Anchorage residents and $60 million to those living in the Mat-Su Valley.
Over the last twenty years, NANA has built an entire suite of supply companies that have provided services not only to the mine but to other industries in Alaska. This vertical integration has provided additional benefits to Alaska's economy by creating economic opportunities and good paying jobs."
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesWho is Richard?
Richard:
"You then continue with a long rant about what I and others here believe, which is in fact just your fantasies and judgments about who I am... none of it, of course, being evenly closely reflective of my beliefs."Here is a news flash for you Richard. It's not about you. You are not the center of the world. You are not what I am trying to understand. My references are directed at the left wing mentality in general. There is a common thread in that mentality. While there may be some variations at the fringes, the core is fairly identifiable. For example, you can bet money that every eco freak is going to bash the conservative candidate, regardless of who they are, and they are going to do it with brain dead, out of context assertions like "Palin is an animal hater". They are going to swallow the AGW hoax hook line and sinker and they are going to use the authority argument (all scientists agree) to support their position without ever trying to take a skeptical look at the evidence. And of course many of them will claim that any disagreement is some kind of conspiracy by the oil companies to spread doubt. They are going to look for excuses not to drill because they want to force the country to their solution, regadless of how impractical their solution might be and regardless of how it damages the wealth of the nation and the lifestyle that it's citizens want lead. I could go on and on about the areas of commonality. Now you may think that those points are baseless, but I see all of them made again and again in different threads all over this site.
If you think that you don't fall into those categories and that you are being treated unfairly, then fine, tell me what you do believe. I'm listening.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Leftist attack babble
amazingdrx:
"Maybe you have been dwelling on that supervolcanoe explosion about to melt the concrete in your underground "bush bunker""Maybe you need a course in reading comprehension. As I said before your comment, I never loose a minute of sleep over it.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Drill baby drill!
amazingdrx:
"You see, the EIA (presided over by your favorite president's administration) and virtually every authority on oil reserves, claim all the "drill, drill, drill, baby, drilling" that anyone cares to do here in the US might take 3 cents per gallon off the price of gas, maybe 10 years from now."That's positively the most idiotic thing that I have ever heard. First of all, Bush didn't go through and fire people from previous administrations in most of the government departments. Most of these people are lifelong government employees. They were probably there long before Bush was elected. They do what they want with no regard for the president. So your first point is crap.
Now, the idea that the EIA has a clue about what oil prices will be in the future and how added supply will effect oil prices is also crap. If you think that the EIA has any credibility in that area, then show me a report of theirs from 10 years ago that shows us reaching $140 per barrel in 2008. I doubt that they would even have been in the ball park. But you are ignorant enough to think that they can do estimates to 3 cents.
Any economist will tell you that prices are effected by both supply and demand and by expectations of future supply and demand. If you produce slightly more than what is consumed, it has an amplified negative effect on prices. If you produce slightly less that what is consumed the competition to get what is needed goes up greatly driving prices up greatly. In the market, the expectation of what that balance will be in the future also drives prices. Now you don't have to be very bright to see that China is growing at a rate that will cause them to increase their oil demands in huge increments, and that India will not be far behind them. The current middle east oil fields simply cannot keep up. Some of the biggest fields in Saudi Arabia are having water pumped into them in order to get the oil out. There is another issue, by the way. The Saudis are very secretive about their reserves and their production. So how does the EIA deal with that missing data? Canadian sand oil is helping the situation, but it's not enough. The EIA also bases it's estimates on current technology which is never realistic.
And of course you and the EIA are completely overlooking the 1.5 trillion barrels of shale oil that we have in Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming. More oil than they have in all of the middle east and enough oil to power the US for the next 200 years. That blatant oversight is a good indication that the EIA has it's own share of eco cultists.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Poverty:
Tasermons Partner:
"Actually, the vast majority of the planet's population lives in poverty."That's changing the subject, but okay let's go there. First, however, you have made a whole shitload of assertions without evidence. Like the one above and:
"compared to what the world was before the industrial revolution, a larger number of people actually die of hunger, despite the advent of industrial agriculture."
and:
"Not to mention the estimated 5 million plus people who died last year alone from pollution-related causes."Frankly, I don't buy any of them.
But, let's go look at some of the worst of that poverty. Here is a satellite image of North Korea and South Korea.
http://strangemaps.wordpress.com/2007/12/16/218-koreas-da ...
Poverty, hunger, and a complete lack of freedom are the norm in North Korea. South Korea has a booming economy, a huge middle class, and compared to North Korea, infinitely more freedom.
South Korea is the product of capitalism and free enterprise. They have huge international corporations. They consume large amounts of natural resources. They burn large amounts of fossil fuels.
North Korea is the product of left wing ideaology where socialism has been taken to it's natural conclusion. They don't consume much in the way of any kind of natural resources. They have a tiny carbon footprint. They don't have any of the big oil companies or other international corporations that the left so loves to hate. Their population is miserable, impoverished, and hungry. But by your definition they must be in Nirvana because they have socialized medicine and they are not being exploited by the greedy capitalists.
That's one of the reasons that I'm certain all of you people are complete nut cases.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
How much is enough?
Richard:
"Remember, the government has no ability to do something for you without taking something from you. And the more that you want them to do for you the less freedom and resources you will have to do for yourself."Yes, I said that and I mean that. However, I didn't say that I proposed doing none of it. The point is that it's very easy to get to where what the government takes far outweighs what it provides.
When you look at a forum like this you quickly discover that the inmates believe that any social or personal problem that anyone has is the responsibility of the goverment. And if it's not solved by the government, then the government is at fault, even if the problem was caused by the bad judgement of the individual. These people seem to want to be eternal children, with no responsibility for themselves. When things get to that level, the only way that the government can have enough resources and control to solve those kinds of problems is to take most of your freedom and most of your money. That, of course, is why it is impossible for a communist government to ever be anything other than a tyranny and a police state. Of course there are always unsavory politicians that not only are willing to make such a deal, but they encourage it. They want the power and the money and so they will make the deal and provide you with the security and services that you are asking for, or even the security and services that they told you you must have in order to have "social justice". Social justice is, of course, the new catch phrase for socialism. And socialism is always fascist. It can't help but be. This is why I despise leftists. They are not only selling their own freedom, but mine as well. For me freedom is a higher value than security or the so called "social justice".
Gotta get some sleep now. I'll get to the rest tomorrow.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Any sane people here?
For that thing that identifies itself as caniscandida:
"Idaho, Wyoming and Utah are solidly Red states"No need to play guessing games. I'm in Colorado.
"Sarah Palin is of course a notorious wildlife-hater"
Got any evidence for that?
"Also, Idaho and Wyoming are probably the most wildlife-hating states in the Lower 48."
Yeah, that's probably why they decided to reintroduce the wolf into their states.
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesThe petroleum ball
"Actually if the Earth were a thin crust of iron floating on a ball of petroleum burning oil wouldn't be sustainable. The only thing that changes is the date that we have to stop."
Yeah, that would be some time after the sun burns out.
On Palin's 'energy expertise' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 16 ResponsesOnly the left wing politicians are in the way.
"All the oil and gas in Alaska will not make us energy independent."
Now that's a dumb assertion. Who cares if it doesn't make us energy independent. It can make us less energy dependent. That combined with drilling in the Gulf, off the coast of Florida, off the coast of California, other places in the US interior, and using the 1.5 trillion barrels shale oil in Utah, Colorado and Wyoming can make us 100% energy independent.
Get educated - please.
http://www.fossil.energy.gov/programs/reserves/publicatio ...
And I haven't even gotten into all of the new and extensive fields of natural gas that we are finding in the US.
We have more than enough US energy to stop sending 500 billion to foreign countries every year. And if we begin a steady, unhurried, program of nuclear construction projects we will never have an energy problem - ever.
It appears that Palin has a much better grip on the energy picture than anyone on this forum.
On Palin's 'energy expertise' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 16 ResponsesGotta be some more dirt around here somewhere
mreinbold:
"They are in overdrive in their efforts to discredit her."That became apparent when they came out with the story that her husband had had a DUI conviction. Of course that conviction was 22 years ago - probably in his early 20s. But when they published the story, they didn't mention that it was 22 years ago. You can only imagine the muckraking that they are going through to find such stories.
Ted Kennedy could probably be issued a DUI any time he gets behind the wheel. But you won't find the media exploiting that fact. On Palin's 'energy expertise' posted 1 year, 2 months ago 16 Responses
Adding it up.
amazingdrx:
"You cherish the unborn.
But feel the born are on their own."If by "on their own" you mean that they are not the property of the government, then yes. Remember, the government has no ability to do something for you without taking something from you. And the more that you want them to do for you the less freedom and resources you will have to do for yourself. Of course I realize that people like you think in terms of having the government take from someone else and give it to you. And there are certainly politicians like Obama that want to feed you that delusion. But that is not how it works.
"You hate the earth, and love burning up the bioshpere."
No, I love the earth and I love feeding the biosphere, which is exactly what CO2 does. Try to figure out why greenhouses operate with an internal CO2 level of between 600 and 1000 ppm. And try to figure out why the biomass of the earth is actually increasing.
"In fact you derive actual pleasure from it."
Nah, sex, good books, good music, hiking, skiing, sight seeing, entertaining my daughter, do it for me. I'm also a big bike racing fan. I'll be glued to an internet video of stage 8 of the Vuelta tomorrow morning. Let me guess, allowing yourself to have a pompus, superior, sanctimoneous attitude does it for you.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Surviving or Living
"Ask those adults in Haiti who are standing on roofs starving and dying of thirst."
A weather event, not a climate event. They have always happend and they always will. Fortunately we now have more wealth and technology to help us minimize the impact of weather events thanks to fossil fuels.
"Abrupt climate change does have a large number of appearances in geological records."
Yes, especially a climate event as small as .8C of temperature rise in 150 years.
"Complacency is not a good long-term survival strategy."
Driving people crazy with low probability disaster scenarios is not a good living strategy. Living within a couple hundred miles of the Yellowstone supervolcano I feel that I have more reason to worry about it killing me that AGW. But I'm not going to loose any sleep over either.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
The dividing line
"Below is a graph representing the abortion debate."
Eh, no you don't have me quite right. I do support the use of contraceptives. And I think the amount of people who don't are so small that making them part of the debate is just a strawman issue. But after a fetus has a nervous system and becomes viable, I don't support abortion even if the abortion was caused by rape. If a girl is raped she needs to check and have her abortion early enough to avoid the nervous system period. After viability I support abortion only in the case where the mothers life is at risk.
"In the middle we have people who are OK with laws that allow a woman to choose to end a pregnancy in the first three months of conception, which is the law as it stands today."
I'm afraid that is not the law as it stands today. Most states allow abortion in the first and second trimester, and only some disallow it in the third trimester. It was a huge fight just to be able to allow states to outlaw partial birth abortion. Let me give you the definition of that proceedure.
"An abortion in which the person performing the abortion, deliberately and intentionally vaginally delivers a living fetus until, in the case of a head-first presentation, the entire fetal head is outside the body of the mother, or, in the case of breech presentation, any part of the fetal trunk past the navel is outside the body of the mother, for the purpose of performing an overt act that the person knows will kill the partially delivered living fetus; and performs the overt act, other than completion of delivery, that kills the partially delivered living fetus. (18 U.S. Code 1531)"
Bill Clinton vetoed legislation that would have allowed states to outlaw such a proceedure. The law allowing states to outlaw it finally passed in 2003. But many of the left wing loonies are still fighting to make it legal. And many of the states have not made it illegal.
Now, let's look at where I stand. Here is a chart of abortions and when they are done.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late-term_abortion
I support abortion for the first group, which is 8 weeks or less and which comprise almost 60% of the total. I may support the second group which goes from 9 to 10 weeks, depending on a sound medical argument about where the level of development of the nervous system is. Beyond that, it's probably a no for me. I think that if you get to the point where there is brain wave activity, that's too far.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Love that fossil hospitality
Bob:
"We seem to have a choice of continuing as we've been doing and making the Earth a very inhospitable place to live"I find it a very hospitable place to live. It seems that others do as well, since they seem to live longer and longer.
"Right now the barrier to change in the US seems to come from fossil fuel interests "
That would be me. I'm very interested in having fossil fuels for my SUV, heating my house, flying on business and vacation, etc.. I certainly hope that those wonderful fossil fuel companies keep on providing us with it.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses
Reality is defined by the dictionary?
"Abortion is not a synonym of murder or infanticide"
Here is a definition:
"5. to kill or slaughter inhumanly or barbarously."
Fits abortion exactly.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Tolerance
Richard:
"I will tell you this, though... the power once held by folks who have opinions like yours is dwindling quickly."I don't see opposition to abortion dwindling.
"Tolerance is key."
Tolerance of murder and intolerace of people with SUVs. I can't wait.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Rules and exceptions
biodiversivist
"Exceptions always exist but are never used to prove a rule."The rule is simple: murder is not a religious issue.
On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 ResponsesLook out. The sky is falling.
Victory:
"seas levels are going to rise.......... and nothing can change that."Apparently something has changed it. There has been absolutely no sea level rise in the last 3 years. In fact, there has been a slight fall. So if these pseudo scientists are seeing an acceleration of ice sheets falling in the water, where is the water going?
If the water is expanding, due to heating, at any deapth, where is the water going?
Here is a plot of the last three years of sea level measurements:
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/06/university- ...
And a plot of the last 11 years of the global surface temperature from 3 different sources.
http://reallyrealclimate.blogspot.com/2008/06/11-year-tem ...
Click on the image to enlarge it.
On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 ResponsesBiofuel
"My interest is in seeing a dramatic increase in forest cover"
Ah, yes, no one can argue against trees - even evil conservatives like me. Shade, wood, oxygen, beauty, building materials - what's not to like. I'm for planting more of them anywhere and everywhere.
And since the increase of CO2 fertilization in the atmosphere the biomass of the earth, primarily trees, has increased. Isn't that nice.
With ethanol it's an easy answer. The eco cultists were wrong to support it. First, the use of the farmland has increased the price of food all over the world. There have even been some shortages. Second, the dominance of ethanol as a fuel in Brazil has resulted in cutting down more and more of the rain forests. It's a net loss since the rainforests are like a huge filter for cleaning the atmosphere.
The health problems to man and beast caused by wind power generation are just starting to come in. Stay tuned.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Just took Psych 101. Watch me go!
Richard:
"This is so typical of the way inflexible thinkers debate. "More psychobabble. What I tried to demonstrate to you in my previous post was that anyone could attack anyone else with psychobabble. All you need to do is change the name. The teqnique of running down other peoples motives, psychology and comprehension because they disagree with you is as old as Moses. But your attempts at such are even worse. They are simple assertions with no connections, no reason, no evidence and no rational. Of course you can get away with such nonsense on a forum like this because the people want to believe it and because the forum is fairly homogeneous in their opinions. So when someone like me comes along it's much easier to attack them in a way that allows you to avoid dealing with the heart of the issue - especially since it has become quickly apparent that the heart of the issue is a looser for you.
Now, Richard, try refocusing on the issue. Abortion of a viable fetus is murder in cases where the woman's life is not at stake. It's very simple and no amount of diversion is going to allow you to avoid it.
On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 ResponsesPalin choice
mreinbold:
"We'll have one fantastic VP right after another. I am totally psyched! I have always been a little indifferent to McCain until now. He made a great decision."I'm still somewhat indifferent to McCain. I was more of a Romney supporter. But, I must say, his speech at the convention was so poor that I may have had the wrong choice. The Huckabee speech was decent. Giuliani's speech was good. And of course Palin hit it out of the park. It'd be nice if Palin was the top of the ticket, but interestingly people are drawing comparisons between her and Mr. "Hope, Dreams, Change, Social Justice". While Obama was selling snake oil for a year without getting to specifics, Palin got to them immediately.
Nobody wants to bother to make comparisons with Biden. I mean here is a guy whose only achievement is that he has mastered putting his foot in his mouth more quickly than any other politician. The guy that graduated 76th out of a class of 85 and then started telling everyone that he had graduated in the top half of his class. The guy that got kicked out of one of his courses for plagerism. Why bother comparing to him. He is a complete idiot. And you have to question Obama's intelligence in choosing him. Of course Obama has never run anything or been responsible for anything in his life. So there is no reason to believe that he is capable of making a reasoned decision. When you consider his choice for mentors and freinds, you have another very strong clue that Obama is clueless.
On Republicans revert to base-rallying strategy posted 1 year, 2 months ago 19 ResponsesMore religion excuses
biodiversivist:
"It is part of a religious doctrine."Same old nutty argument. I never cease to be amazed at how you people are able to blind yourselves to the central issues and replace it with some straw man so that you won't have to deal with reality. As I said previously, I have absolutely no religion. But if you think that murder is a purely religious concept, then I guess you better take it off the law books.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
The religion excuse
amazingdrx:
"A compromise on abortion would be to fully fund women's choices either way."Typical left wing looney. Considers a compromise as doing things exactly his way.
"No abortion, no government social safety net. Period."
How does society become responsible for the sexual choices made by it's individuals. Under your scenario, where is there any motivation at all for people to be responsible for themselves. Just the reverse will be true. You will encourage pregnancy so that the mother can get a free ride from society.
There is no shortage of people willing to adopt children now. That means that there is no excuse for murdering unborn babies, despite your effort to invent them.
"The abortion debate, which is entirely religious in origin"
This, of course, is the way that the left reframes the argument so as to avoid dealing with the glaring monstrosity of their position. I have no religion. I haven't been in a church since I was 15. The fact that abortion is murder takes no religion at all to recognize.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Richard's agenda
Richard and many, many others are actually incapable (at this point in their lives) of accepting a different viewpoint on the subject of abortion.
Richard prefers to focus on making wrong the choices of others he doesn't even know personally, rather than taking full responsibility for the disasters resulting from his own choices. He simply can't handle the pain of the latter.
I have no doubt Richard's heart is in the right place. But he and millions of others with the same belief system are compelled by insecurities and fears that drive the choices they make. It is from that place that people like John Kerry get put into power.
I'm willing to bet Richard voted for Mr. Kerry the last time around. A significant degree of responsibility for the deaths of some 300,000 Iraqis killed by Sadam and another 1,000,000 that would undoubtedly be killed as a result of 50 more years of rule by Sadam and his insane sons rests squarely on his shoulders for the votes he made twice, but you'll never hear him take responsibility for this. Instead of having the freedom to elect their own leaders, the Iraqis would continue to suffer under their tyrants indefinitely. Tens of thousands of terrorists that were killed in Iraq would have been able to direct their forces to other places - including the US. He forgets that Sadam intended to resume his nuclear plans after sanctions were removed. No Richard will not take responsibility for his disasterous decisions. Too painful to do that. There is a long list of other disasters resulting from Richard's personal choice to put Democrats in power. For example his choice of Bill Clinton taught Bin Laden that Americans would run at the first sign of trouble, causing Bin Laden to conclude that he could attack America and kill 3000 innocent Americans. But rather than take responsibility for this and look deeply inside at his decision making process, he'd rather turn to babies he doesn't even know and try to rationalize that their murder is right.
But he can't possibly understand what I'm talking about... no easier than he can understand why the "pro-choice" position should really be called the "pro-murder" platform.
On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 ResponsesThe funeral gage.
Pangolin:
"That means that all the people that would show up for the funeral of a five year old show up."Humanity determined by who shows up at the funeral! Now we are really getting crazy.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Is nature cruel or is cruelty only a human concept
wiscidea:
"Does this mean we cannot use our naturally evolved brain to reduce the amount of "cruelty"? "Well, you can start by stopping wolves from killing deer, elk, moose and caribou. Especially those cute and lovable little caribou babies that they are so fond of. I suppose you could feed the wolves dog kibble. Then you can work on getting those polar bears to stop killing those aborable seal pups. The PB's can probably make it on kibble also. The problem you will have is with cats and members of the weasle family. They kind of need meat. Good luck with that.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Killing babies
amazingdrx:
"The Baby is part of the Mother until it is born."Now there is a convenient way to rationalize murder. As though it's location determines it's humanity. The babies DNA is completely different from that of the mother.
On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 ResponsesKilling babies
amazingdrx:
"All we are asking Is that women be allowed to make their own decisions on their own, without government interference, concerning their own bodies and reproduction."The answer would seem to be all to obvious. Why can't I make my own decision, without government interference to kill you.
I could care less what you do with your own body. That baby is not your body. It is an independent human being and the only possible exuse to kill another human being is to save the life of the mother. Unfortunately 98% of abortions of viable human beings are not to save the life of the mother.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Sarah Palin
wiscidea
"John McCain, and Sarah Palin... as well as Sarah Palin herself ... want to see a Supreme Court that will uphold bans on abortion even in the event of threats to the life of the mother."Do you have a link showing that McCain and Palin would rather have a mother die than have an abortion. I mean a credible link of course. Not the assertion of some left winger.
"Why do we have to pick hardship? Why is this morally superior than aborting a fertilized egg that has not yet developed a nervous system?"
I think we've been over this ground before. I have no problem with abortion before any nervous system is developed - for any reason. Unfortunately that still leave tens of thousands of abortions of viable human beings that are not a threat to the life of their mother. So if a rape victim allows their pregnacy to get to a certain point of develpment, then the right thing to do is have the baby.
"But, again, the Christian Fundamentalist supporters of the current Republican Party would like to see and end to birth control, an end to abortion just days after conception, and an end to abortion even in the event of rape, incest, or threats to the life of the mother."
Yes, there is that, and there is the other side of the coin of left wing extremists that demand abortion at any time after viability including seconds before birth even when there is no threat to the mother. The Christian Fundamentalists will never get everything they want. But apparently the left wing extremists have. And this is the kind of extremism that is supported by Obama and Biden.
"If Christian Fundamentalists wish to stand in the way of some of the means people have for assuming responsibility for sexual behavior -- by simply using birth control or a morning after pill"
When it comes to birth control you are talking about a tiny minority, even among Christians, that are against it. It's a waste of time pretending that such people are some kind of threat. On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Woe is me
"Let it end John. Just say no to this obscenity. Tales of horrendous pain designed to motivate your "base", recounted off a script by another exploitee. "
I agree that John's story has been told too many times. But isn't the objective of this site and of this very tread to tell repeated tales of pain for political gain. On A look at Palin's preferred method of killing wolves posted 1 year, 2 months ago 30 Responses
The predator
vakibs:
"Let's think, let's be creative, and let's save the biodiversity of our dear planet."Unfortunately our ability to think often causes us to go to extremes. We can think about compassion for animals, and we can also think about how proud of ourselves we can be for being compassionate for animals. And we think about how we can look better, more moral and superior in the eyes of our peers by making a show of our compassion. We are even able to think of ways that we can claim that we are acting out of compassion when we really are more interested in advancing a political agenda. Don't you find it odd that we can have compassion for a wolf that is hunted and killed from the air and yet we have no compassion for a caribou that is run down by a pack of wolves, evicerated and eaten before it has even died.
"What wolverine is bemoaning is the appalling lack of this very human quality among several human beings, including Sarah Palin."
In regards to hunting in general, it is a trait that humans aquired over the millenia to better feed themselves. And of course those humans that liked doing it were probably favored by natural selection. Just because we have recently moved past the need doesn't mean that the trait is not still there. I don't hunt myself, but I don't begrudge those that do within the context of a well run wildlife management program.
In regards to Palin and the hunting of wolves, her supposed cruelty and blood lust is simply a misrepresentation designed for political gain. Palin inherited a wolf control program from her predecessor and she chose to continue it. The idea that she or Alaskans hate wolves or don't care about the environment is absurd. The wolf control program is specifically targeted to allow certain herds of caribou to recover after too much wolf predation. One of the southern herds, for example, went from 10,000 individuals down to 600, even though the female pregnancy rate was high and food was available. They found that wolf predation was causing the loss of 99% of the newborn caribou within the first two weeks of their life. Palin's wolf control program is designed to remove wolves from very specific caribou breeding grounds in order to give the caribou a chance to recover. The target was to remove about 600 of Alaska's approximately 11,000 wolves.
So when you talk about being intelligent enough to have compassion, you need to look at the bigger picture, not the simplistic and self serving idea that it is terrible to kill wolves. Not the idea that "I'm going to look like such a great humanitarian if I show how disgusted I am by wolf killing." That this idea is in operation here is made obvious by the fact that no one actually bothered to check into the circumstances of the story.
Here is the report of the circumstances.
http://www.adn.com/opinion/story/501699.htmlOn A look at Palin's preferred method of killing wolves posted 1 year, 2 months ago 30 Responses
Still in that twilight zone.
David:
"and had McCain's VP pick exposed as a hasty, poorly vetted disaster."As usual, the elitists are completely out of touch with reality. They believe that Americans won't recognize a media hatchet job when they are exposed to it. But as usual, Americans are proving them wrong.
"Perhaps most stunning is the fact that Palin's favorable ratings are now a point higher than either man at the top of the Presidential tickets this year. As of Friday morning, Obama and McCain are each viewed favorably by 57% of voters. Biden is viewed favorably by 48%. "
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/e ...
On RNC: Me, in the Twilight Zone posted 1 year, 2 months ago 19 ResponsesCatch and Release
"Amazing how insensitive naked apes can be to the suffering of others, especially of anyone who's not a naked ape."
Actually, the sensitivity of the naked ape to the suffering of others is unique in the animal kingdom. No other predator species shows the least concern for the suffering of their prey. Cats often seem to enjoy playing with their prey before killing it. Wolves, weasles, wolverines, and others often kill more than they can eat. Only mankind has an artificial morality that he imposes upon the universe.
On A look at Palin's preferred method of killing wolves posted 1 year, 2 months ago 30 ResponsesHatred, no, contempt, yes.
earthmama:
"I don't know of any who have killed a fetus minutes before birth nor any that cry over fish. I fish myself."You don't have to look far on this board to find people who cry over the pain felt by the fish. Just look at some of the recent ones. I saw such posts after reading less than a couple of dozen posts here. And I don't care if you are a nurse or who you know. The statistics on partial birth abortions are available.
"all upsetting the God given balance of the planet's living systems,"
There is no god given balance of the planet's living systems. Species have become extinct for the entire history of the planet - or at least that portion where there has been life. Populations crash and replenish without any interference from man. I remember reading a doctoral dissertation about jack rabbits when I was in college. The writer found that jack rabbit populations habitually varied by a factor of 10 to 1. Rabbit populations would be beset by disease, parasites and predators when their density was very high. Then they would crash, making disease and parasites more difficult to transmit, and starving out a large part of the coyote population. Coyotes would also reduce their reproduction rates when food was scarce. Then the rabbit population would begin to build and the cycle would start all over. Eco nuts seem to have this overly romaticised gaia notion of how benign nature is. But the natural life of most species on the earth can be cruel, harsh, and short - without any interference from man. You can live your delusions in order to make yourself feel morally superior and in order to make yourself feel that you have purpose in life, but you are no more in touch with reality than any creationist.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Your elaboration:
wiscidea:
"How many women have undergone this procedure -- killing a viable child minutes before birth -- in the United States simply because they did not want the child and not because birth of the child would harm the mother?"Well, we only have the statistics for the women that participate in voluntary reporting. There are about 1000 partial birth abortions performed per year in America alone. This is more Americans being killed by partial birth abortions than by the Iraqi war. There are more than 13,000 babies killed after 4.5 month each year, and these are definitely viable. There are 164,000 killed after 3 month each year and the viability of these is debatable but some of them definitely are.
"But when two lives are threaten, that of the mother and the unborn child, I fail to understand why anti-abortion advocates believe the mother should die."
Now you are throwing out the straw man. Probably less than 2% of abortions involve the life of the woman. And no one believes that it is the mother that should die. If abortion of viable babies was only done to save mothers lives we wouldn't be having this debate in this country.
"Isn't it important to keep her alive to care for her first three children rather than allow her to die, leaving four children without a mother?"
Again you are basing your argument on only the extreme cases rather than on the norm. I repeat, no one is advocating that women should die in the birth process.
"And rape and incest?! Do you really think it is morally superior to force a 15-year-old who was raped, perhaps by her father, give birth to and raise the child?! How could this be justified when the fertilized egg could be aborted before there is even a nervous system, a process that naturally occurs roughly 50% of the time?"
Rape an incest are indeed an unfortunate circumstance. But when it comes to a choice of hardship on the one hand and loss of life on the other we have to pick hardship.
"How could this be justified when the fertilized egg could be aborted before there is even a nervous system, a process that naturally occurs roughly 50% of the time?""
I don't have a problem with abortion before there is any nervous system. But the reality is that we are still doing hundreds of thousands of abortions long after there is a nervous system.
"There should be minimum wage laws, so parents can earn enough to care for the children they have and are not tempted to resort to abortion. But conservatives are not interested in this."
This is a blatant attempt to remove all responsibility for sexual behavior from those who engage in it. It is not up to anyone to pay someone a salary that is greater than what they are worth. Rather it is up to the individual to make themselves worth the salary that they want to be paid. I have worked for minimum wage at the same time that I was working to educate myself and increasing my worth in the job market. It's not that hard. And if some employer would have had to pay me more than I was worth at that time I might not have had a job at all.
In any case the whole issue is irrelevant. If the child is too much of a burden for the mother, there are millions of competent and financially solvent people that are willing to adopt it.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Choice of what?
"Anti-choice?"
No, her desire to limit government is in keeping with maximizing freedom and choice for everyone. But murder is not a choice because the murdered infant would never choose it. Murdering of the unborn is simply proof of the inhumanity and hypocrisy of the left. Killing viable babies minutes before birth while crying about the pain felt by a fish that is caught by a fisherman shows what true monsters the eco cultists are.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Palin hysteria
What a pack of self deluding loonies we have here. One can only laugh at the blinders that you wear.
Let's take the accusations against Palin about teaching creationism.
"In a subsequent interview with the Daily News, Palin said discussion of alternative views on the origins of life should be allowed in Alaska classrooms. "I don't think there should be a prohibition against debate if it comes up in class. It doesn't have to be part of the curriculum," she said."
"It's OK to let kids know that there are theories out there. They gain information just by being in a discussion."
"Palin said during her 2006 gubernatorial campaign that if she were elected, she would not push the state Board of Education to add creation-based alternatives to the state's required curriculum, or look for creationism advocates when she appointed board members."
"Palin's children attend public schools and Palin has made no push to have creationism taught in them."
"Neither have Palin's socially conservative personal views on issues like abortion and gay marriage been translated into policies during her 20 months as Alaska's chief executive. It reflects a hands-off attitude toward mixing government and religion by most Alaskans."
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gV5jvU52RD3WBflzbmSu5l ...
Obviously Palin takes the approach that she can have opinions without pushing them down everyone's gullet - unlike the eco fascists that occupy this forum.
There is a good reason that Palin enjoys an 80% approval rating in Alaska while our Democrat congress is languishing in the teens.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses
Who is lying?
"Lie No. 1 shows chutzpah, I'll give her that much. Just two months ago, Palin said "I beg to disagree with any candidate who would say we can't drill our way out of our problem." Perhaps someone told the would-be energy expert that even billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens knows her July claim was absurd."
It's only a lie if you insist on using the word "drilling" literally. If you interpret it to mean that we can produce all of the oil that we need domestically, it's very true.
First there are numerous oil reserves still untapped in Alaska, the Gulf, costal Florida, costal California and even the continental US. It's true that even if we tapped all of these we would be unlikely to have complete energy independence. The possibility of hitting more large oil fields in the deep gulf waters is still possible, and could take us a long way to energy independence, but there is no guarantee. However, we have oil shale reserves in Utah, Wyoming and Colorado that are larger than all of the middle east reserves put together. Efficient extraction methods have been developed over the last 5 years that can give us that shale oil at a price between 15 and 30 dollars a barrel. These methods no longer require large amounts of water and their environmental impact is fairly small. Drilling together with shale oil could give us complete oil independence. The construction of the nuclear reactors that Palin wants to build could further reduce our need for oil. So altogether, Palin is telling the absolute truth and the leftists and the environmentalists are the liars.
"Lie No. 2 is that her "opponents" want to do "nothing at all." Aside from the fact that Obama is willing to compromise on offshore drilling, his energy plan is by far the most comprehensive one ever put forth by a candidate from a major party."
Obama was forced to that position by the public outcry over 4 dollar gas. So he proposed the drilling compromise as a way to retain his chance to get elected. There is still no indication that if elected he would do anything but issue a few token licenses with so many strings attached that the oil companies couldn't use them. Comprehensive energy policies that rely on pie in the sky plans about impractical and uneconomic renewable sources are just so much snake oil to sell to the public. We have already found that bio fuels have the effect of reducing the worlds food supply. Windmills are looking more and more like their low frequency noise is causing medical problems for humans and animals that live within a mile of them. And in order for them to begin to be practical they would have to be distributed over tens of thousands of square miles. Solar is still hugely expensive. So for all practical purposes, Obama would do nothing at all. Oil prices would continue to break the budgets of families and enrich dictators across the world. Again, Palin is correct.
"Lie No. 3 is that "a McCain-Palin administration" would "move forward on solar, wind, geothermal, and other alternative sources.""
That this is a lie is simply a lie on your part. You know very well that you are pretending to read their minds and their intentions. I have no doubt that when renewable sources become technically practical and economically viable that both McCain and Palin would support them. And before that there is no reason to jump to an idiotic solution. Both McCain and Palin support nuclear however, and we could start down that road immediately.
"Lie No. 4 is "The Big Energy Lie," which subsumes all the other lies in her entire remarks on energy. The Big Energy Lie is that either John McCain or the Republicans in Congress actually believe in an "all of the above" energy policy."
Again, this is another lie on your part - along with simple stupidity. It's that circular left wing reasoning that says "they are evil, and that proves they will screw us." I expect clearer thinking from my 6 year old daughter. On In her big speech, Palin repeats the GOP's big energy lie -- plus three other energy lies posted 1 year, 2 months ago 11 Responses