Comments naturescene has made
some thoughts
This is as much a case of "government failure" as it is "market failure". Since there never has been a functioning free market I don't see how anyone can seriously argue that a free market philosophy of limited government has been an abject failure. It's never been tried! And it never will be. So let's go ahead and get past meaningless platitudes.
The people involved in this are NOT free marketeers - they have NO principles. They're for whatever helps them out at the moment.
As easy as it is to blame this entire thing on greedy Wall Streeters, or even all the people taking loans they knew they couldn't afford, we should also remember that the regulatory system in place encouraged and in some cases required many banks to lend money to people who otherwise wouldn't qualify for a loan - all in the name of affordable housing. At the same time, as the dot-com bubble burst, money flooded the construction industry. Construction lobbyists were successful in getting many communities to allow poor-quality housing, built at 2-4 units per acre, and sold at inflated prices -- all in the name of "Smart Growth" or (supposed) "Low-Impact Development" (a concept I think is past time for a new discussion among environmentalists). These problems were compounded by mark-to-market accounting requirements, hold-overs from the 30s, that forced companies to undervalue assets, almost encouraging them to file bankruptcy.
Wall Street isn't innocent, but neither is the government. We don't need more regulation (or deregulation - those terms are becoming meaningless), but we do need smarter rules put in place. Thankfully a 1999 act repealed some of the regulatory barriers between investment banks and commercial banks that were set up by the Depression-era Glass Stegall Act. Doing so is the only reason that JP Morgan was allowed to buy Bear Stearns and that Bank of America was allowed to buy Merrill Lynch. Here's a case of deregulation that actually kept this crisis from being even worse.
But there is no fundamentalist case to be made for either regulation or deregulation. There must be oversight, but at the same time regulations should not create perverse incentives. Oh how I wish it was easy.
Now to the bailout. Everytime I read about it I see "there is no alternative" or "if we don't have the bailout, things will be even worse!"
There's a strategy here: Say something enough times and people will start to believe it. You don't need facts, or even explanations. Kinda like WMDs and the Iraq War.
There are alternatives. For one, the capital gains tax could be lowering, likely encouraging money to flow back to the markets.
A contraction and some pain at this point is unavoidable. What the bailout does is put it off for a while - so new politicians have to deal with it. But it doesn't fix anything.
When someone tells you that the bailout is the only option, ask them how exactly it will work? How does a government, which itself has bad or toxic debts, have the ability to buy up other bad debts and make things ok? It doesn't. The bailout ensures that certain companies will continue to exist rather than making sure that there is a functioning market.
It's time for some of Schumpeter's creative destruction of the market to take over. Let the giants fall and new markets emerge. It'll hurt in the short term, no doubt, but in the long-term it's advantageous. The bailout is a short-term band-aid with disastrous long-term effects.On Friends of the Earth says anti-regulation approach causes environmental destruction posted 1 year, 2 months ago 25 Responses
ITQs
Some environmental economists have promoted ITQs for years, and fisheries in Alaska and New Zealand showed signs of success. It's good to hear this concept becoming more mainstream.On Allocating individual quotas could save many fisheries, study says posted 1 year, 2 months ago 4 Responses
not socialism, markets
Wolverine,
I believe you're overlooking the fact that this proposal is advocating a market-based system for fisheries, in which individuals are allocated quotas, but the quotas are transferable. In other words, it's a market-based cap-and-trade for fisheries.
Sorry to burst your bubble.On Allocating individual quotas could save many fisheries, study says posted 1 year, 2 months ago 4 Responses
Not an oxymoron
There's are two very simple truths that benefit-cost analysis is a must: The first is scarcity - that is the resources that we have available to deal with environmental problems is limited. The second is opportunity costs - the opportunities we give up by devoting our resources to a certain action.
There is no shortage of demand for funding to fix environmental problems, but the available funding is limited. All environmental goals are noble, but the fact is that a dollar spent in one place can be much more effective than a dollar spent elsewhere. To ensure that public money is directed to the projects in which it will be most effective, there must be some sort of analysis to compare the pros and cons of a policy option - that is benefit-cost analysis.
If you argue that benefit-cost analysis can't include non-monetary values you have shown that you are completely unaware of the current state of research in environmental economics.
But what you're really arguing against here isn't benefit-cost analysis anyway, it's the use of discount rates. The points made in regard to this are valid, but you've cloaked an interesting argument about discount rates into a straw man over benefit-cost analysis.
There are environmental issues besides climate change, that have immediate impacts and are perfectly suited for benefit-cost analysis.
On Lisa Heinzerling responds to Richard Revesz on cost-benefit analysis posted 1 year, 6 months ago 38 Responsesnone of this
directly refutes Sean's assertions that good carbon policy should provide penalties as well as incentives.On Empirical data and theory both show that emissions taxes get passed to consumers posted 1 year, 7 months ago 6 Responses
hmm,
I'm not sure that conventional economic theory really states that producers can pass on most of a tax. Rather that the extent of a tax that can be passed relies on largely on demand elasticity, and in practice there are examples across the spectrum.
So it's the demand elasticity that matters more whether or not a tax is "broad-based."
The two products used in the study you provide - clothes and personal care items - are likely to have relatively inelastic demand curves for U.S. consumers so it's pretty obvious that the sales tax on those items gets passed on.
So compare carbon taxes to sales taxes on demand elasticity rather than the scale of the tax. In all likeliness, you'd reach a similar conclusion but with a stronger foundation.On Empirical data and theory both show that emissions taxes get passed to consumers posted 1 year, 7 months ago 6 Responses
Re: Jonas
Fertilizers save the environment.
It depends on your perspective here and what you define as the environment. Yes, fertilizer applications can increase the productivity of a plot (supposedly "saving" rainforest), but only up to a point. But fertilizers can also have negative effects on waterbodies and fisheries. Should we blindly advocate increased fertilizer use, even when the consequence of doing so may reduce other food supplies?
To my knowledge, no one here is arguing for the complete abandonment of fertilizers. But recognizing that increased fertilizer use can result in a trade-off with another food source, is it not reasonable to want to reduce or minimize the external effects of fertilizer use?
Since there are diminishing marginal returns on fertilizer application (and subsequently on each dollar spent), better soil science in agriculture could go a long way to determining optimal fertilization rates that are in sync with seasonal variations and other environmental factors.
Right now there is a disconnect between the private costs of fertilizer applications and the other external costs, imposed on either other individuals or on the public. Getting these costs more in-line, or allowing those affected by the external effects of fertilizer use to legally defend their property rights can only be a step in the right direction.On Nitrogen fertilizer is in short supply posted 1 year, 7 months ago 53 Responses
Great to see this on Grist
It means that we're close to being able to have an open discussion on environmental resources and property rights.
I think with enough time, people will be mostly convinced that a market(s) for ecosystem services is a reasonable and effective approach to conservation.
You bring up the very important issue of how property rights are allocated and enforced in emerging markets, and I hope you continue to explore this issue.On Social concerns complicate an issue that, for scientists, is a no-brainer posted 1 year, 7 months ago 3 Responses
Adam,
If you're unclear about the two interpretations of additionality I know of a few sources that can help clarify (note that I don't always agree with the conclusions of some of these arguments, I'm simply pointing out that I'm not alone in making this distinction):
- First, simply check out the Wikipedia page for the CDM, it's a great place to start.
- There is a discussion of environmental vs financial additionality tests in Robert Dixon's book The UN Framework Convention on Climate Change Activities Implemented Jointly
There is no financial test in the world that can show that a project actually offsets emissions. The financial test actually undermines the concept behind additionality. If you can provide an example of a non-additional project that can only be excluded on financial grounds I may be better able to address your concern.
I'll make it clear again that I agree with the concept of additionality, but I think the financial tests for it are a poor approach and actually undermine what we want to achieve - which with offsets is the ability to reduce the costs of emissions cuts.
Capster, let me try to address your concerns:
- You'd end up paying for projects that would be done anyway;
- With the flood of non-additional projects because of no financial additionality, the market prices would go to near zero, and none of the real, additional projects would get built;
- Credibility would be missing without assurance of financial additionality;
- Financial additionality does not hinder projects from getting done, it provides incentives for projects to get done;
- The rules are not as subjective and arbitrary as some would say - if you read the various protocols (almost all of which have financial additionality), you'll see some fairly straightforward rules.The first issue can't be proven one way or the other as I've already clarified several times, but even if you do provide more revenue to a project that would have occurred anyway, what does that matter? The point of additionality is to ensure that emissions are actually offset - whether or not a project makes a profit has no bearing on that. As Sean pointed out, you can actually discourage the best offsetting projects by directing offset funds towards projects that can't make it on their own, and this suboptimal investment leads to greater costs - the exact opposite goal of offsets!
If I understand your view, offset payments should only go to "new" projects, not ones that were already planned or undertaken. But does that make sense from an investment risk perspective? Not in my head. I don't understand how a new risky project is more credible than one that can stand on its own, and I don't understand how a financial test is going to lend any credibility to the offset.
Unless you're the person selling offsets, I'm not sure why you're so worried about a low price of them. The point is to reduce the costs of meeting emission requirements, and a lower cost per ton does just that! Financial tests can't prove whether or not a project actually offsets carbon emissions (that it is additional), so it's disingenuous to say that projects that would still exist at a low price are non-additional.
Financial additionality tests, as both Sean and I have argued, can in fact discourage good projects from being undertaken. The fact that they can provide incentives for suboptimal investments does not help me sleep at night.
The CDM protocol is ripe with qualifying language such as the word "unlikely," leaving an incredible amount of discretion to those doing the certification. This creates a moral hazard for potential offsetters to distort the finances of a proposed project and to exaggerate the barriers of a particular project. This is precisely why none of the financial tests can prove additionality.
Financial additionality tests reward suboptimal investments while doing nothing to reward proven technologies - I suspect that the motive behind this has more to do with a desire for economic justice than the actual goal of offsetting carbon emissions. Trying to say that a project is additional based on a financial test undermines the actual concept of additionality.
Ok... release the hounds.On Almost always, but the reason is more subtle than you think posted 1 year, 7 months ago 11 Responses
- First, simply check out the Wikipedia page for the CDM, it's a great place to start.
Financial vs environmental again.
For example, a recent McKinsey analysis suggested that 40 percent of the greenhouse gas reductions available to us are revenue-positive.
Why does it matter whether or not a project is revenue-positive prior to offset revenue? It has no bearing on the environmental effectiveness of the offset project, only the economic distribution of offset payments. I've explained my problems with financial additionality in the article titled "Let me boil it down for you," so I'm not going to rehash them here, but I would love to hear a good explanation of why exactly this financial additionality matters.
And, of course, a lot of possible projects are just flatly unhelpful -- I routinely field questions from well-meaning people wondering if they can get offset revenue for leaving some tract of land undeveloped. If we don't test carefully, non-additional projects will soak up all the available offset financing, undermining a carbon cap and stranding the projects we want to support."
Right, this is environmental additionality not financial additionality. This is what's important.On Almost always, but the reason is more subtle than you think posted 1 year, 8 months ago 11 Responses
It took me a while to understand this,
but I think I follow you.
My research background with market solutions is with water quality - so I've been extrapolating most of my knowledge of those systems to try and join the debate on carbon policies. In water quality cases, we want a mass cap, so at first I didn't understand why that doesn't work as well for carbon dioxide.
I wasn't convinced the first time I read through this, but now it's starting to make sense to me. I think I agree, but I'm going to have to give it more thought before I can add anything useful.On The solution: Output-based standards posted 1 year, 8 months ago 72 Responses
Yes, offsets need credibility
But I do not see how "financial additionality" tests, whatever they may be, have any bearing on the credibility of an offset.
Since the purpose of a project is to offset carbon emissions, that should be the only test needed for credibility. It is impossible to prove whether or not a project "would have been done regardless." Thus, we have subjective and loose tests for it. I understand that the purpose is to lend credibility, but how much credibility comes with such subjective and discretionary "standards"? The "financial additionality" criteria are really a way to avoid the more important issue of "environmental additionality".
Why should one project that will effectively offset carbon emissions be excluded from accepting offset revenues because someone deems it "likely" that the project would have occurred without offsets? What happens if the potential offsetter, even though the project makes economic sense on paper without offsets, refuses to go through with the project if it is not certified as additional?
The financial additonality issue is a breeding ground for moral hazards.
Interestingly enough, the types of offset projects that are the most verifiable in terms of actual carbon offsets, are also the ones likely to not be applicable for offset revenues due to the financial additionality criteria. That is the suboptimal investment Sean was writing on.
Standards are a must for the voluntary offset market in order to attract people to it, but the standards should spend more time focusing on the environmental impact of a project rather than the economic distribution of offset payments.On When additionality always matters posted 1 year, 8 months ago 18 Responses
environmental vs. project additionality
I think this needs to be made more clear, since there is some confusion over the concept of additionality.
On the one hand we have environmental additionality - the concept that a reduction project is going to lead to an overall reduction in emissions. I'm pretty sure this is what Gar is talking about when he says additionality, but that is not always the understood meaning of the term. For such a test, we must first establish a baseline of emissions; therefore, it may be advantageous to refer to this concept with terms such as baseline analysis or something along those lines.
Project or financial additionality is what Sean was writing about and what CDM uses to assess a project. Whether or not a project would have been undertaken without CDM can never be known with certainty, and really isn't something we should be worried about.
Environmental additionality/baseline analysis = great
project/financial additionality = not so greatOn When additionality always matters posted 1 year, 8 months ago 18 Responses
Capster
I'm all for the concept of additionality when we're talking about offsets - a test for it is unnecessary in a market of capped allowances, but let's focus on offsets here. However, the idea that there is some sort of "iron-clad" test for it is absurd. I know there isn't a totally objective test - that was the whole point of Sean's earlier article, but Gar tries, and has tried before, to imply that there is such a test. Gar is simply trying to dismiss the important discussion that Adam and Sean were having, and I won't have that.On When additionality always matters posted 1 year, 8 months ago 18 Responses
Gar
what is this "iron-clad additonality" of which you speak? What is the objective test for it? How do you determine whether or not a project would have occurred without the financial incentives of trading or offsetting? Do you somehow have knowledge of every carbon reducers finances? If so, that's great!On When additionality always matters posted 1 year, 8 months ago 18 Responses
good post, Sean
I've really enjoyed this series of posts and the comments after each article.
Granted, this article is rather technical for some and may put some people to sleep, but you made an excellent point:
"if you want people to invest capital, you need to provide the option to sell on a long-term strip, short-term spot, and any crazy hybrid of the two. And those options naturally emerge whenever governments simply allow buyers and sellers to meet up, negotiate deals, and get out of the way."
It's really not a question of which is better, spot vs strip, but a question of whether or not we will allow the market to evolve. We don't really need to set up tons of rules at the beginning - in fact, doing so provides ammo for the people who claim "a tax is just so much easier than cap-and-trade."
Create the market, provide the base operating rules, and let it go to work.On Spots vs. strips posted 1 year, 8 months ago 19 Responses
Yep.
On the surface, the intrigue of both a tax or permit trading program is that they can reduce the costs of reducing carbon dioxide.
Focusing on these promised cost savings, however, does nothing to explain what actually drives costs down. Under a tax, emitters face a financial incentives to reduce emissions to an optimal point. Under permit trading, emitters face those same private financial incentives, but other players also now have incentives to create new ways to reduce emissions.
Profit, greed....whatever you want to call it, is the incentive for people to start investing in new ways to reduce emissions. Since you can't profit under a tax, the incentive is nonexistent and these reduction projects may not ever come to fruition. It seems then, that there are no incentives created by a tax to go beyond the "optimal" reductions, whereas a functioning carbon market could create such incentives through potential profits.
On Carbon taxes vs. carbon trading posted 1 year, 8 months ago 5 ResponsesSome thoughts:
No doubt, an auction is preferable for initial efficiency considerations. But the idea of using quarterly auctions as the primary allocation method raises a number of issues in my mind.
>New entrants don't need to trade. They can buy permits at the same auctions as everyone else.<
Possibly, but having quarterly auctions would mean that those new entrants would only compete for permits with those other players on that particular permit cycle, which could potentially distort costs from quarter to quarter. The administrative costs of quarterly auctions would need to be evaluated. You would have a similar issue with environmental groups wishing to retire permits - how will they choose when to compete at auction? will they have the resources to compete every 3 years as permits expire? For someone that spends a great deal of time talking about the dynamic efficiency effects of carbon policies, it seems like you glossed over that issue here.
>Now if you don't have a giveaway, then there is no point in issuing all the permits for a period at once.<
I'm not sure I get this one. If you don't have an initial auction of all the permits, then aren't you going to be bringing a number of businesses to a halt as they wait for the next quarterly auction? Or are you saying that the cap would be phased in over a 3 year period until the last emitter has bought its permits at auction? I think of the example in water quality caps (TMDLs) where once the cap is set, all permits are issued at once and renewed as a group every five years. If you stagger the initial allocation of permits, you're going to be creating a lot of uncertainty.
> carbon tax, or a carbon tax like permit system IS a market solution.<
Since the meaning of phrases seems particularly important here, I'd tread carefully on this one. A carbon tax would provide economic incentives and would rely on market mechanisms (prices), but is not necessarily a "market solution," since there would be no market! Having a price set by the government means that the necessary conditions for a market do not exist.
>Secondly, if you do offsets, there HAS to be an additonality test. That is not anti-market,that is asking that markets function properly.<
>Re: additionality - it's a great intent wrapped in a crummy package, but that is the subject of a longer discussion. I've been through the additionality process enough to go crazy from it, because it forces you to favor projects that don't pencil on their own and/or stretch the truth about why the project won't go fwd. The result is transactional costs and a bias away from the lowest cost carbon-reduction approaches which - since all wallets are finite - is equivalent to a bias away from maximum carbon reduction.<
Sean's point is one that I have tried to explain here before, but was unable to get my point across. Yes, additionality is what want, but there is no objective test for it. Sean's example makes it clear that you're deal with a moral hazard when it comes to determining whether or not a project meets the additionality criteria.
This thread was great for creating a new discussion on this issue, but the premise is shaky. I think Gar's idea of this behemoth permit trading market is somewhat of a straw man. He says don't focus on trading since it will only take place on the margins. Duh, ALL trading only takes place on the margin. That doesn't mean you don't need an institutional structure for it. Setting up an exchange with trading rules seems less costly than holding auctions every quarter. The government would still have regulatory oversight, but there's no need for it to have such an active role. This, along with my other concern about the periodic auction system make me disagree with Gar here, even though I agree with the importance of auctioning permits as the method of allocation.On If 100 percent auctioning is done right, the trade component will be trivial posted 1 year, 8 months ago 27 Responses
one thing i don't like
is that the major environmental groups share member address information.
I donated to the Nature Conservancy because their methods are most compatible with my personal philosophy. But now, I receive mailers from NWF, Audubon, and the Sierra Club, etc., every few months. I understand the reasoning behind it, but I don't like it. If I want to donate to one of those groups I will, but the constant mailers aren't likely to sway my opinion.
I can already opt out of credit card offers, how do I opt out of Sierra Club mailers?On More on Catalog Choice and the Do Not Mail registry posted 1 year, 8 months ago 8 Responses
Strange
The history of America and sugar is long and troubled. Your thesis is very interesting and this story is a great example of how government restrictions on trade have actually created the conditions for ADM to gain monopolistic power.
In the search for oil substitutes, the debate over "independence" and protectionism as opposed to trade is renewing itself.
On A speculation about why ADM's HFCS business is booming. posted 1 year, 8 months ago 6 Responseswell, i agree in principle, but...
given that this war has been financed largely by debt, can we really say that we could take those funds and divert them towards other projects?
Don't get me wrong, I'd much rather go into debt to build solar panels than bombs. I'm just saying...On The money we've spent on the five-year Iraq War could have shifted the world to renewables posted 1 year, 8 months ago 13 Responses
Hal,
Ecosystem services can be part of the restoration economy and are do not necessarily arise from hard-engineering solutions.
The idea behind markets for ecosystem services is that the establishment of property rights over these services encourages conservation of what already exists, restoration of function of damaged ecosystems, and the establishment of new ones. The last objective is the most controversial, and questions about humans' abilities to mimic natural ecosystems are certainly important.
Privatizing ecosystem services does not remove the positive externalities that the public derives from those services. Whether a wetland is privately or publicly owned does not affect its ability to filter nutrients and sediments from water, provide flood hazard buffers, or to provide wildlife habitat. Allowing private owners to profit from the public benefits provided by their land simply creates greater incentives to preserve and restore ecosystems.
People should be willing to pay for what they demand. The problem with providing anything for free is the problem of common resources - overuse due to the lack of a mechanism that links supply with demand. But think for a minute, are ecosystem services that wetlands provide really free right now? No, we pay taxes to the government in exchange for public goods, which you and I believe should include ecosystem service. There's no free lunch - the cost is just hidden and less transparent. So does the government do a good job at using our tax money to protect ecosystem services?
No. Otherwise, we wouldn't be having this discussion.
Which makes more sense to you: paying taxes and then hoping that your elected officials are trustworthy enough to direct funds toward conservation (you can lobby but that's even more time and money), or directly paying for ecosystem services which will ensure the protection of ecosystems.
Another thing: there's no need to be so ideological about it. The debate over ecosystem services isn't as black and white as the commons/public goods vs. the free market/privatization. The issue is ripe for public-private partnerships. For example, rather than expanding wastewater treatment plants, municipalities could pay landowners to protect and restore wetlands that can provide primary and secondary levels of treatment, thus reducing costs for the municipality. Rather than taxes, which go into general funds, people would pay user fees for water treatment. The distinction between taxes and user fees is not always apparent but it very significant because it directly links people's wallets to ecosystem services, encouraging them to become more aware of what their government is doing.On On the oddity of privatizing nature posted 1 year, 8 months ago 31 Responses
thanks for this coverage
This is an idea I came across a few years ago and have tried to promote on Grist in the past.
Ecosystem Marketplace has a great website that provides a lot of info on already functioning ecosystem markets.On On the oddity of privatizing nature posted 1 year, 8 months ago 31 Responses
on the bright side
at least prison inmates have low carbon footprintsOn Folks with ties to the Earth Liberation Front indicted in Michigan blaze posted 1 year, 8 months ago 5 Responses
more...
I'm generally a fan of the cap-and-trade approach, although my ideal solution would be to first establish a property right to carbon for every citizen, and let them sell "carbon stock" to businesses in need.
But there's no doubt that Terry Anderson hit the nail on the head about the political economy of USCAP (I can do without the other two people and their arguments). I would have posed his question slightly differently, since by now we should realize that cap-and-trade won't "cripple the economy," but it sure could increase the costs of doing business for a lot of companies, many of which are competitors with GE and will not be able to withstand these extra costs. GE's motivation is not environmental... it is anti-competitive. Anderson was making a very valid point, grounded in economic theory and evidence of rent-seeking behavior in the face of coming regulations.
I know first-hand that the "ideologues" at PERC understand that there is no such thing as a true free market. The point of their work is to support "freer markets," and it is largely based on empirical research and pragmatism.
I encourage you to check out the PERC website, (www.perc.org) and even if you don't agree with their basic philosophy, you will see a striking difference between the tone there and the tone at say, CEI. One is constantly finding new ways to bash any and all things environmental, while the other works to show how markets can be made to work for the environment. On GE CEO explains practical realities to free marketeers posted 1 year, 8 months ago 11 Responses
I don't know how right-wing I consider PERC
Is PERC pro-market? Yes. Conservative... right wing?? Eh...
I attended a seminar at PERC several years ago, and was pleasantly surprised at the pragmatism of the fellows and speakers there, who all seemed to have a genuine concern for the environment but saw alternative methods for effective environmental protection.
The guys at PERC often gray the line between the "free market" and "market mechanisms". In fact, Terry Anderson's seminal book "Free Market Environmentalism," while it does indeed argue for more property rights solutions to environmental problems, actually helped to popularize the "cap-and-trade" prior to the SO2 trading program. - not exactly the "free market".
Honestly, I think Terry probably had a good point about a program benefiting the ones who can afford the regulations as well as who can afford to lobby so that it benefits them more. This happened with DuPont and the phase-out of CFC's, so it's not completely off-the-wall. Of course, the CEO of GE is going to get defensive about a comment like that, but that doesn't make it wrong.
On GE CEO explains practical realities to free marketeers posted 1 year, 8 months ago 11 Responsesempricial evidence is great, Gar,
In fact, here are some papers with empirical evidence on how trading does encourage innovation that leads to cost-savings. Both papers acknowledge that innovation in the real world deviates from theory, but show that, nonetheless, the innovations encouraged by trading are very real.
http://www.rff.org/Documents/RFF-DP-00-38.pdf
The 1990 U.S. Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) instituted a national program in tradable sulfur dioxide (SO2) emission permits, referred to as "emission allowances," in the U.S. electricity sector.
This paper provides a survey and assessment of the SO2 allowance trading program with a focus on the role of innovation. Over the last decade the cost of compliance has fallen dramatically compared with most expectations, and today the total cost of the program is 40- 140% lower than projections (depending on the timing of those projections and the counter-factual baseline considered). Marginal costs of reductions are less than one-half the cost considered in most analyses at the time the program was introduced.
Innovation accounts for a large portion of these cost savings, but not as typically formulated in economic models of research and development (R&D) efforts to obtain patent discoveries. Innovation under the SO2 allowance trading program involves organizational innovation at the firm, market and regulatory level and process innovation by electricity generators and upstream fuel suppliers. An important portion of the cost reductions that are evident was already in the works prior to and independent of the program. Nonetheless, the allowance trading program deserves significant credit for providing the incentive and flexibility to accelerate and to fully realize exogenous technical changes that were occurring in the industry. This marks a significant departure from conventional approaches to environmental regulation, which would not be expected to capture these savings. The ongoing transition to restructuring of electricity markets and expanding competition in electricity generation complements the design of the SO2 allowance trading program by providing firms with full incentives to reduce costs of pollution
control.Impact of emission trading on innovation
This article seeks to appraise the potential innovation impacts that may be triggered by the European emission trading system starting on 1 January 2005. To this end, our paper provides a review of the theoretical and empirical literature on the potential innovation effects triggered by the pioneering US emission trading schemes (ETS). Our review's basic empirical results are that the innovation effects were initially limited, partially because of lenient or even non-constraining targets in the first years, but there is empirical evidence on a vast range of low-cost compliance strategies. Yet, the substantial body of theoretical literature provides no consensus on the issue of whether or not emission trading generally triggers more innovation than other policy instruments, such as regulation standards.
On Carbon offsetting is not the best way for the global north to subsidize the global south posted 1 year, 8 months ago 12 Responsesbut Gar,
You continue to ignore the fact that trading may be able to spur innovation in technologies that could never occur under rule-based regulations, which grant de facto monopolies to certain technologies.
When was the last time the government picked the truly best technology? Your perspective is worthy, no doubt, but I think that some public choice analysis of it might reveal a good amount of rent seeking that occurs prior to the government establishing best available technology standards.On Carbon offsetting is not the best way for the global north to subsidize the global south posted 1 year, 8 months ago 12 Responses
When physicists suddenly become economists
You get information about as useful as if I were to write up an article explaining string theory. Nothing in that article explains the subtitle "rising cost of oil pushes value of the dollar down."
We have a plunging dollar thanks to the Fed's policy of lowering interest rates every other week... not because of the spectre "housing crisis" and "decelerating economy." And for those of you who don't know... lowering interest rates is Fed speak for printing more money. Aha! Inflation: the more money there is in circulation the less valuable each dollar is. (Interestingly enough, after the 3rd or 4th rate lowering, the headline on CNN was Bernake: Now worried about Inflation. That's our Fed chairman: captain obvious).
Couple domestic inflation to a global monetary system where many international currencies have been more or less tied to the dollar since the early 70s, and it's no wonder that investors are moving their wealth to the Euro, and things like oil and gold. But do rising oil prices cause devaluation of the dollar? No. The rising prices are a reflection of the weaker dollar in a market with high demand.
Another note: The U.S. still has the highest standards of living in the world. The real prices of luxury items continue to fall, so more people are able to afford them than any other time in history. The "war on the middle class" isn't a product of economic discrimination but rather that members of the so-called middle class have increased their standards for living. Today, being middle class means you have a 2 story house, a big screen TV with cable & Tevo, a car, high-speed internet, it goes on...On Rising cost of oil pushes value of the dollar down posted 1 year, 8 months ago 27 Responses
she
also does a great job playing a crazy lady in the second season of Weeds.On An actor turns to singing and fails to suck posted 1 year, 9 months ago 1 Response
Dear Patrick,
If you had read my comment more carefully you would have noticed that I clearly understand that most power plants are located in less affluent areas, hence the following:
The underlying assumption here is that power plants in more affluent areas (if there are any) must have lower marginal costs for abating CO2 than those in the poorer areas.
So moving forward: Since most power plants are located in less affluent areas, carbon trading means that emissions are going to be reduced in some poor areas while possibly increased in others. But it's not the carbon that EJ or you seem to be worried about, it's the other pollutants. So I ask: if your main concern is the directly harmful pollutants, why not focus on getting those limits tightened rather than indirectly addressing the issue by opposing carbon trading?On Cali EJ groups reject cap-and-trade in strong terms posted 1 year, 9 months ago 28 Responses
correction to my 2nd point above:
Trading carbon could conceivably bring increases in mercury and other emissions, if a plant is currently emitting below its limit of those pollutants.
However, opposing the carbon trading on these grounds is quite indirect. If it's mercury, etc. you're worried about - spend your resources trying to get those limits tightened.On Cali EJ groups reject cap-and-trade in strong terms posted 1 year, 9 months ago 28 Responses
more
Another point:
Trading carbon permits won't allow plants to start releasing more of the other pollutants (mercury, sulphur, etc.) into the atmosphere than they already are.
So the problems caused by those pollutants are already there - they won't be caused by a carbon trading program.On Cali EJ groups reject cap-and-trade in strong terms posted 1 year, 9 months ago 28 Responses
That's understandable, but
Can someone provide some quantitative proof that under a trading program the plants that will continue to pollute will be mostly in poor areas?
It's not enough just to say they probably will. The underlying assumption here is that power plants in more affluent areas (if there are any) must have lower marginal costs for abating CO2 than those in the poorer areas.
I'd like to see some proof of that, otherwise this is all just conjecture.On Cali EJ groups reject cap-and-trade in strong terms posted 1 year, 9 months ago 28 Responses
hmm
Carbon dioxide isn't harmful to humans, and it also dissipates into the atmosphere rather evenly.
So I'm confused. Is EJ's opposition to pollution trading an opposition of carbon trading? If so, it seems pretty nonsensical.
There's no such thing as a carbon hot spot. If they were talking about mercury or some other heavy metals, then they have a point... but I don't think they are.On Cali EJ groups reject cap-and-trade in strong terms posted 1 year, 9 months ago 28 Responses
pretty good article
Sean, could you clarify something for me? Your third "basic test" for a market is price transparency "(e.g. prices reflect costs)."
Don't prices in a market reflect supply and demand, rather than costs?
As I was taught, the third bullet should be more along the lines of "information transparency, as reflected by prices." That is to say that there should be few, if any, barriers to obtaining the prices, and the information about the market that is conveyed by those prices. On Pro-business vs. pro-market posted 2 years ago 14 Responses
Best - enemy of the good?
The rent seeking behavior in a tax system has the potential to cause a number of economic distortions. While such behavior also exists in C&T systems, the effects are likely to be distributional without economic distortions.
Anyone telling you that one is hands-down better than the other (ahem Carbon Tax Center) is pulling one over on you. The way I see it is that Cap and trade has the political momentum, so the effort should be spent on making that system better rather than trying to undermine it with a tax system that is also going to have a number of issues that must be dealt with.
Check out Common Tragedies, the Resources for the Future Blog, and what they have to say on this issue.
In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. But in practice...
"Don't let the best be the enemy of the good, particularly when the best could be the worst"On No carbon reduction program is a silver bullet posted 2 years ago 10 Responses
interesting development indeed
100% auctioned would be nice, even something like 80% would be good. Any ideas where that money would go? Any talk of a trust fund for other environmental projects?On Lieberman expresses openness to auction all carbon permits posted 2 years, 2 months ago 1 Response
i like this paragraph
... But we're also intrigued by the possibility of allowing polluters to get carbon credits for protecting intact ancient forests. Conceivably, it could radically alter the financial incentives in national forests and elsewhere so that timber companies and others could make more money by helping restore forests than logging them. But, if not carefully managed, there's also potential for abuse. Such a system is largely dependent on having a robust cap-and-trade or cap-and-auction system in place as well; if we adopt a carbon tax, does that mean that forests and other native ecosystems won't benefit from the massive investments in tackling the climate crisis?
From a perspective that is concerned with ecosystems and biodiversity, the concept of creating financial incentives for creating, restoring, and even protecting ecosystems is a great one.
From a perspective that is only concerned with climate and carbon, the ability of vegetation to "offset" other emissions is still difficult to measure at best - nonexistent at worst. That's why you have to have institutions in place that protect against abuse.
I think the point about a cap and trade scheme (there can still be trading even if permits are auctioned!) being more more in tune with the issues of incentives for the restoration of ecosystems is an important one, and one that is often overlooked.
I've mentioned this at least twice before (one time was this week) that if it turns out that vegetation is not a good tool in reducing carbon emissions, that does not mean that we should abandon the concept of bringing ecosystem creation/restoration/protection to the market. All it takes is to stop calling them carbon offsets and start calling them something like biodiversity, ecosystem, or habitat credits.
I think that if a policy that caps carbon is enacted, the use of offsets to fill allowance requirements should be limited and should probably not include very difficult to measure projects like planting vegetation. But as long as they remain a completely voluntary mechanism, I don't think there's much of an issue.
As far as a question goes: I would like to know what he thinks about offset projects involving forests vs. projects such as landfill gas capture.
On Thursday event in D.C. seeks carbon questions posted 2 years, 2 months ago 15 Responsesi also say
that if trees aren't any good for offsetting carbon, we should still consider using market concept to encourage the planting of vegetation.
That is, stop calling them carbon offsets. Make them biodiversity credits, habitat credits, environmental credits, etc. Eco-conscious people should still want to pay for them (after all, the purchasers of offsets are already environmentally-minded). On Can planting trees offset your carbon footprint? posted 2 years, 2 months ago 20 Responses
a straw man
I'd bet most carbon offset projects that plant trees are far bigger than your backyard project, but forget about that.
No one, except maybe a handful of people, argues that offsets are a silver bullet for global warming.
At this point, I don't understand attacking the merits of offsets. The voluntary carbon markets have hit the ground and taken off running, you're not going to stop it but you can provide information to make them better.
The only message I would take away from this piece is that buyers of carbon offsets should research what they are actually buying and decide if they think that's adequate to meet their desires for emissions reduction.On Can planting trees offset your carbon footprint? posted 2 years, 2 months ago 20 Responses
not a bad essay
It's good to see the major environmental groups converging around the idea that they should embrace markets rather than attack them.
I think there is more depth to the commons issue than Pope writes on.
Social commons, like the Internet, differ in several aspects from natural commons. For one, the Internet absolute capability to support human demands is growing daily; meanwhile natural resources are being depleted. Secondly, the Internet acts just as much as a framework for the free market of e-commerce as it does a common resource in the sense that we talk about natural resources.
Ownership isn't just the key to profit (owning what you sell) it's also the key to conservation. The issue over public resource vs private remains too ideological, on both sides. No one is getting into the grit and talking about how ownership institutions should operate, regardless of if ownership is public or private. The legal frameworks of these ownership schemes determine whether they benefit humans and the environment and cause problems.
Also, we too often ignore the distinction between a commons and a public good or resource. A commons has no owner, while public goods are theoretically owned by citizens, although the citizens generally allow governments to control and manage public goods on behalf of the citizens. Without mechanisms that allow citizens to employ their rights over public goods, we are essentially giving away these rights to the government -- a government doesn't always face incentives for proper management of public goods.
Community, neighborhood, and individual rights to a clean environment and other public goods must be defined and enforced.On Carl Pope reviews Break Through by Ted Nordhaus and Michael Shellenberger posted 2 years, 2 months ago 14 Responses
Is it a macro vs micro issue?
I'd agree with Sean that the predictive ability of macro-economic models is extremely limited, but I think that's a characteristic of macro-economics rather than economics in general.
Entire populations don't actually have marginal cost curves (although macro-economists try to aggregate individual MC curves), therefore there can be no "scientific" predictions.
On the other hand, at the micro-level it is possible to know a marginal cost curve and demand elasticity beforehand, so we can predict an individual (or firm's) behavior changes in response to price changes.
One of my econ professors once said that macro-economics does not truly exist, and I think that what I just went over has something to do with his assertion. Micro-economics is much more scientific, although I don't like calling economics a science at all.On WSJ on the carbon tax vs. cap-and-trade debate posted 2 years, 2 months ago 17 Responses
demand vs. quantity demanded
Increased demand around the world is actually behind the price increase. For demand to change, there must be substitutes for oil - right now, none compare.
What you predicted was a change in quantity demanded, but that's nearly impossible to do on an aggregate level because we don't know the marginal cost curve for the entire world. Better answer: there isn't a marginal cost curve for entire populations, only for individuals.
Therefore, if you took a single individual with a known marginal cost curve, you can predict changes in quantity demanded in response to price changes. I guarantee that there are plenty of individuals out there that make changes in response to higher gas prices, but on the aggregate level we aren't seeing it, and may not see it for some time.
The macro-economists that try to aggregate those individual MC curves and then make predictions seem to have done a pretty clean-up job of convincing (hoodwinking) the world that what they say holds any weight.On Demand for oil remains strong despite price increases posted 2 years, 2 months ago 7 Responses
bad graphic
That graphic makes it appear as though a $15 dollar tax is equivalent to a 15% cut. I hope WSJ and Grist readers are smarter than that.On WSJ on the carbon tax vs. cap-and-trade debate posted 2 years, 2 months ago 17 Responses
straw man, overgeneralization...
"You see, economists (and the reporters who love them) often pretend that the "economy" is somehow different from real people."
Maybe if you specifically said macroeconomists who love to aggregate individual actions, then I might agree with you.
But to say that economists in general think the economy is abstracted from people is completely ridiculous and shows that you may not have had much actual training in microeconomic theory and philosophy.
The only thing micro-economists are concerned with is individual actions -- that's people. I'd ask you to clarify between the micro and macro aspect of economics, because if you did, then you'd be making a better point.On It's a mistake to view the economy as an abstraction posted 2 years, 2 months ago 10 Responses
I brought this issue up
with my former boss one day. I asked what she thought about electricity deregulation, and she replied that the California experience had shown her that deregulation was not all it was cracked up to be.
I asked her how keeping price controls in place could possibly constitute deregulation. All I got in return was a blank stare.
The California debacle set back efforts among economic and evironmental thinkers alike to show that deregulation is beneficial.
Thanks for bringing up this issue again.
"Just calling something a market does not make it a market."
On The high price of electricity deregulation posted 2 years, 2 months ago 7 Responsesok bernardo
We know what you don't like: The ED, the Nature Conservancy, deregulation, market mechanisms...
So what kind of environmentalism do you promote?
And who is watching Nonprofit Watch? ;)On The high price of electricity deregulation posted 2 years, 2 months ago 7 Responses
this is one problem
with allowing allowing the government to control water resources. Water is far too precious to be in the hands of short-sighted politicians and unaccountable bureaucrats. Why do we generally assume that government workers and officials actually do what they promise and work in the interest of the public good?
It's time to wake up.
The old wisdom goes like this: Water belongs to everyone. Therefore it is a public good, and public goods are best managed by government.
Yet, when we allow the government to control the resource which supposedly belongs to us we implicitly give our common ownership rights to the government.
We place a trust in the federal government to use our tax money towards projects that benefit us all. But federal tax revenue spending is disconnected from voting. We don't vote on public expenditures, we yell. And some people yell louder than others (or speak softly and carry a big wad of cash) - the special interests.
The iron triangle leaves most citizens out of the loop.
Instead of relying on a failed system to wisely manage our common resources (or hoping in vain that a new school will replace the incumbent corrupt), we should consider reclaiming our rights over things like water. Allow government to build and maintain infrastructure, but do not let it control day to day activities.
In a free and open market for water, in which the right to water is first granted to individual citizens, those who want more water could purchase it from those who have a surplus. Agribusiness wouldn't get water as a gift, it would have to buy all of it at market prices. I know plenty of water market schemes have been viewed negatively or have simply failed, but I'd attribute this to poor market design rather than the markets themselves. On Interior Dept. plans huge water giveaway to Big Agribiz posted 2 years, 3 months ago 2 Responses
blind faith
in the government or in the market is foolish. History and experience show us that both can "fail." The problem about saying markets fail is that markets don't usually have goals, whereas government does.
BioD's point of government failure is an important one, and one that not a lot of people - especially people in the environmental movement - take the time to examine. The United States government has a terrible record when it comes to creating sensible policies that improve the environment, yet some of us still hold onto that last thread of hope that somehow it will be different this time around. If only we had the right people in government! They could fix it!
Yes, markets can also "fail", in the sense that they fail to bring us to that general welfare equilibrium point the neoclassical models love - that bliss point, but did anyone expect them to work as perfectly as some model based on some odd assumptions? No. However, there is empirical and historical evidence that, by and large, markets work. Furthermore, it is useless and incorrect to compare market outcomes to textbook outcomes, instead we must assess their effectiveness relative to other means (i.e. command-and-control policies).
When people don't understand things, they tend to fear and attack them. In the past, this has defined the relationship between environmentalists and markets - a relationship I hope is on its way out.
Thank you BioD for your perspective and the willingness to take a step back and respond to Galbraith.On Economist goes over to the dark side posted 2 years, 3 months ago 17 Responses
Nonprofit, if I understand correctly
you're saying that I'm receiving funding from oil companies because I think that price mechanisms are the most effective, environmentally and economically? You're also implying that I somehow don't care for the Earth and should change my name?
good one.
Call market mechanisms "corporate" all you want, but until you can provide substance instead of name calling, realize this -- you represent the reactionary environmental movement that is on its way out. Progressive environmentalism embodies the reality that we don't have to pit the environment vs. economics, and we can in fact use economic thinking and mechanisms to improve environmental policy.
You showed me a funding list that includes a variety of privately funded and government funded grants. The government grants are used to fund specific projects while most of the private grants do not go to specific projects. So, what exactly is your point? Or better yet, where do you expect funding to come from if not government and industry?
Maybe I'll change my name to sockpuppet.
On Correcting two misunderstandings posted 2 years, 3 months ago 19 Responsesexactly, odo
Even if you accept Gar's version of what happened with RECLAIM (to which I've provided a different take in my link above), it's still an issue of the size of the market and the design of the pricing mechanism - not a blanket proof that pricing mechanisms fall short of their goals. On Correcting two misunderstandings posted 2 years, 3 months ago 19 Responses
No, Gar
It's not an assumption of unlimited carbon reduction opportunities, but an understanding that carbon reductions from more efficient agricultural practices are fundamentally the same as carbon reductions from more efficient buildings.
Here's a paper by Danny Ellerman of MIT explaining cap-and-trade with specific references to the So2 market and the RECLAIM program. Below I've included what he writes on the RECLAIM programs apparent failure.
This exceedence of the NOx cap is unfortunate, but it must be placed in context.
The events of 2000-01 in California's electricity market led to an extraordinary call on old generating plants in the Los Angeles Basin that were not equipped with NOx emission control devices because heretofore they have been dispatched for only a few hours a year to meet peak demand (Joskow, 2001). The unanticipated call on these units to meet electricity demand increased the demand for RTC credits to cover the resulting NOx emissions beyond what could be provided within the temporally constrained time period within which RTC credits are valid (one year with some banking and borrowing possible because of overlapping compliance cycles). The result was 1) unprecedented high prices (up to $90,000/ton), 2) the establishment of the $15,000/ton mitigation fee, 3) the temporary removal of electric utility units from the cap-and-trade system, and 4) the imposition of mandates on those units to retrofit NOx emission control devices. These units are now proposed for re-entry into the NOx cap effective January 1, 2004.
The relevant question in assessing this performance is how the command-and-control program that RECLAIM supplanted would have fared under the same circumstances. For one thing, the exceedences would not have been recognized, much less compensated. The only argument for better environmental performance by the alternative system is that it would have succeeded in having NOx abatement equipment installed, prior to the summer of 2000, on the generating units that were the source of the problem, thereby avoiding the large spike in emissions. The prior low utilization of these units and the high cost of capital-intensive retrofits make such an assumption debatable at best. Also, given the high price of NOx allowances since the summer of 2000, it is hard to imagine that owners of these units would have resisted retrofitting these units, unless they expected the units to return to the earlier level of low utilization. Accordingly, mandating the retrofit of these generating units will have the effect either of prescribing what would have been done anyway in response to the higher prices and expected higher utilization, or of providing very high cost protection against future allowance price spikes.The real handwaving here is that you haven't explained why a price mechanism can't work alone, though you may think that you have. Like I said before (as well as odograph) we can set the cap as low as we like - the problem isn't the mechanism, it's political will.
On Correcting two misunderstandings posted 2 years, 3 months ago 19 ResponsesAlso
It's really a question of do we care where emissions reductions come from? If not, then a carbon price alone works.
If we, for some reason, decide that we want emissions reductions to come from the construction industry, then we will have to impose standards, but will also have to understand that our opportunity costs may be cheaper reductions elsewhere.On Correcting two misunderstandings posted 2 years, 3 months ago 19 Responses
varying marginal costs
Gar,
It seems you're arguing that since a price on carbon won't encourage every actor to conserve the maximum amount possible, that carbon prices can't do the job alone.
While I might agree with the general sentiment, I think your example and argument are pretty bunk. A carbon price works precisely because actors have different marginal cost structures. The thing is, we don't need every actor to reduce emissions to the max. Instead we need to set an emissions reduction goal and try to reach it at the lowest possible costs - hence the carbon price. I know you know this, but I'm trying to figure out where your departure comes from.
Your info on green buildings is far too general. Unfortunately, not all green buildings operate on the same cost structures you envision, and not all upgrades pay for themselves in just a few years. Specifics, not generalizations, are much more useful in this case, and also show why carbon pricing, rather than standards are a more versatile tool.
Finally, there's no inherent shortcoming in a pricing system. A cap on carbon emissions can be set as low as we want. The problem is not with the mechanism, it's the political will to use it. That's holds just as much for traditional regulations.On Correcting two misunderstandings posted 2 years, 3 months ago 19 Responses
public/private
Jon,
Sean clarified the point I was trying to make. I didn't directly address natural monopolies for a few reasons. One is that I don't think public transportation (I prefer to call it mass transportation) is a strong natural monopoly, unless you're only considering rail. I implicitly accepted what Jason pointed out, that most US cities aren't designed for rail - but instead of moving the issue to one of dense development I opted to remain focused on transportation. If you're talking buses, I see no natural monopoly.
The other reason for steering clear of the natural monopoly issue is that the term 'monopoly' conjures up an assumption of anti-competitiveness. But, as others have already pointed out, the public sector can benefit from competition. Public-private partnerships in mass transportation is what I was referring to when I said that policies should encourage competitive contracting. Government may have a comparative advantage in planning and building infrastructure, but private firms tend to face better incentives for better manufacturing, operation, and maintenance. Partnerships that play on these comparative advantages can be developed through good market-based policies.On One economist says no posted 2 years, 3 months ago 58 Responses
Dave,
I believe you're hitting on the crux of the argument here:
markets and market-based policies don't lead to pre-defined specific solutions; rather, they create the atmosphere in which innovation, creative destruction, and the entrepreneurial drive excel.
Whereas Galbraith, and others I presume, are completely sure that an overhaul in transportation infrastructure is necessary, I wouldn't jump on that yet. It may be sufficient (it may not), but necessary? With all the carbon reduction possibilities out there right now, how do we decide which ones are necessary? I have my own concerns about the wisdom of more investment in public transit, but I'll leave that aside for now.
It's an interesting question, so I'll give it a little thought experiment:
First, why do we not already have more public (or mass) transportation? Answer: it is relatively expensive compared to other means.
Why is it more expensive? Well, one reason is that public transportation is historically a government granted monopoly - thus there are no incentives to reduce costs. Competition is needed in the public transportation market. Policies that promote competitive contracting of services would be one step.
Another step would be to shift the focus away from just rail. Buses are less expensive to invest in, and more versatile - yet the majority of public transit funds go to rail. Alternatives like buses offer a bigger bang for the buck.On One economist says no posted 2 years, 3 months ago 58 Responsesmarkets vs. market-based policy
Galbraith should understand this important distinction, but it seems he doesn't.
Grist readers and contributors should take the time to understand it if they don't already.On One economist says no posted 2 years, 3 months ago 58 Responses
Galbraith does a disservice to the cause
Make no mistake about it, pricing carbon is far superior to certain types of planning and allowing government to pick the technologies of the future.
This argument should be all but dead and buried, and we should be focusing on which pricing mechanism to use. Note, a tax or a cap-and-trade are pricing mechanisms, not markets.
The Carbon Share program is the truest "market" policy approach to carbon reductions - more so than a carbon tax, more so than any of the other cap-and-trade proposals. It's a shame that it is not getting any attention.On One economist says no posted 2 years, 3 months ago 58 Responses
my guess
Is that she will become president.On An interview with Hillary Clinton about her presidential platform on energy and the environment posted 2 years, 3 months ago 32 Responses
We can agree
I agree with you about long transfers, especially ones that go to arid areas. I hope anyone that thinks about moving to a city in the southwest considers the relative scarcity that they will have to deal with.
By all means, I think states can improve institutions that govern water transfers.On Can it happen here? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 26 Responses
here's the regs for North Carolina
IBT's must undergo environmental assessments and environmental impact statements, completed by environmental scientists.
If you take the time to look around, you'll see that IBT's aren't allowed haphazardly and must fit into the larger water supply plans.On Can it happen here? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 26 Responses
In Georgia
The EPD only allows interbasin transfers for municipalites that reside in two watersheds, sitting on the ridge. This is common in North Georgia. IBT's are only granted if other resources are being allocated elsewhere, or they determine that there are no other feasible options.
Both receiving government and those in the watershed from which water is drawn must submit population and economic growth projections.
There are a variety of environmental factors that must be met in order for the transfer to be allowed.
There is currently a movement to update these laws and include instream flow requirements and drought provisions.
Under the right institutional framework, in which the stakeholders are allowed an opportunity to provide input, transfers can be done without destroying ecosystems and other processes as you suggest.On Can it happen here? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 26 Responses
it's a matter of degree
wiscidea wrote:
When you move water from one watershed to another, the result -- as far as where the water came from -- is lower water tables, loss of streams, loss of wetlands, loss of entire inland seas (google Aral Sea), influx of sea water into the ground water, collapse of the surface to form sink holes, negative effects on ecosystems, migratory birds, agriculture. Not a big deal, naturescene?
This is the problem with generalization rather than looking at individual projects, you come up with a long list of effects that might or might not occur with a given project. Believe it or not, water transfer can be done sustainably. Furthermore, not all water transfers send water to arid regions. Again, generalizations and not specifics.
Did I say it was no big deal? No, I said examine each situation and weigh the merits.
No, I'm not just saying "let's drain that lake, who gives a shit?" I'm saying weigh the costs and benefits.
Of course if we had a blank slate, we could just choose to move to where the water is and start society. But we're here in medias res. There are cities that don't have enough natural water supplies to support their growing economies and populations. I'm not talking about ideals here -- because I sure as hell wish that it wasn't the case -- I'm talking about practical matters. We live in a second-best world and we have to deal with it.
I'm wasn't giving a blanket endorsement of water transfers, but I believe you successfully spun it that way. On the same note, blanket opposition to them is just as naive.On Can it happen here? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 26 Responses
I tend to see both sides of it
On one hand, there seems to be an inherent ecological correctness or beauty in the idea that water shouldn't be transfered between watersheds - man shouldn't interfere with nature.
On the other hand, I think, the demand is there for water, why not use it? We're really not in danger of using up the absolute amount of fresh water right now, but even if we were - we could adapt through methods like conservation, recycling, and desalination.
The hydrologic system is chaotic. Storm events happen due to the confluence of a large number of factors. The same is true for where rivers form, as it is also a function of geologic chance.
The human system is also chaotic - we have no choice over where we come into existence (and although some people have the resources to be able to move, not everyone does).
So our natural access to water is the result of thousands of factors and the chance that they all provide the right conditions together.
As far as IBT's go, I'd say you can't make a sweeping generalization - some are more harmful than others. We should seek to reduce our negative impact. For these reasons, I am also a fan of soft engineering over hard engineering.On Can it happen here? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 26 Responses
JMG
We do live in a world of naturally limited fresh water, but we are not experiencing an absolute shortage of fresh water by any means.
"reaching into other states to steal theirs"
This is absurd. There are issues with interbasin transfers, but most IBT's are negotiated previously. There is no stealing, but an exchange. You're implicity assuming that water belongs to the people that reside within the same political boundaries (imaginary lines) as the water. To play devil's advocate here, why should it?
But in the end, I didn't say it was a bad idea. I simply said I thought that the costs would be prohibitive.
On Can it happen here? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 26 ResponsesDave
I'd imagine that the costs 100% closed loop water system would be extremely prohibitive. There would also be issues of continued economic and population growth in the context of artificially limited supplies of water.On Can it happen here? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 26 Responses
classic
I may not lean as left as kos, but that doesn't change the fact that Bill O'Reilly is an ass.On YearlyKos explained posted 2 years, 3 months ago 2 Responses
Gar,
Good points about some of the people that might lose out in a total carbon share system. I think a compromise makes sense. On More on carbon trading posted 2 years, 3 months ago 9 Responses
maybe
the main difference I see with Sky Trust and Carbon Share is that the CS program allows for individuals to retire their permits, essentially tightening the cap.
I could be wrong, please correct me if I am, but the Sky Trust with dividends essentially forces people to accept compensation for giving up their "sky rights." Under the Carbon Share, individuals have the choice to sell or keep those rights.
I consider this an important distinction. Sky Trust is compatible with the polluter pays principle, but it removes any individual choice in the matter.
It seems to me, that if the goal here is reducing carbon, the transaction costs of the Carbon Share might actually turn out to be a good thing. Some people might decide that it's too much effort to sell their permits, so they just hang on to them instead. Without consciously meaning to, they will be ratcheting down the cap.On More on carbon trading posted 2 years, 3 months ago 9 Responses
off the topic a bit
Gar,
What do you think of the Carbon Share program advocated by some people in California?
As far as I know, this isn't really on the table anywhere, but the idea is interesting: allocate the rights to citizens, for free, on a per capita basis. Then allow those citizens to sell the permits on the open market.
I really haven't run across this idea until this afternoon, but after a quick readthrough it makes a lot of sense to me. If the transaction costs were manageable (i.e. an online permit exchange), then this seems like the best option, especially coming from my libertarian-leaning viewpoint.
Carbon Share would essentially give citizens property rights over carbon, rather than giving them to companies for free or to the government (on behalf of citizens). Each and every citizen would then be free to sell his permits to companies, or keep the permits if he so desired.
Companies don't get any welfare, the government doesn't get any unneeded revenue, and the carbon exchange would be closer to a true market than any other scheme. Everyone would be able to participate, meaning that conservation groups could purchase credits and set them aside -- essentially tightening the cap.
Giving the rights directly to the people sounds pretty grassroots to me. Your thoughts?
On More on carbon trading posted 2 years, 3 months ago 9 ResponsesBy and large
I agree with his conclusions. Although, I think that there may be some innovative opportunities left out if the system is upstream only as opposed to some hybrid system, the benefits of a simpler and cheaper upstream system probably outweigh those costs.
Safety valve = bad
Permit banking = goodI also like his point about how an upstream scheme would basically negate energy subsidies. This is good!On More on carbon trading posted 2 years, 3 months ago 9 Responses
what about in developing countries though
I understand the argument against bottled water for people that have access to clean systems.
But what about in developing regions of the world? I'm kinda surprised Jason didn't hint at this at all, but it seems he's only concerned with domestic use.
I'd imagine the infrastructure throughout the developing world isn't a good as in the US. I've also read before that tap water in some parts of Africa costs much more than bottled water (do I hear corrupt government?)
I'm fine with reducing bottled water consumption in the US, but I think more information needs to be gathered before we turn this into something global.On Water, that is posted 2 years, 3 months ago 11 Responses
i'd like more
empirical examples of a cap and trade relative to a tax rather than relative to command-control if you've got it.
I'm also interested in what you, and the carbon tax folks have to say about the Lieberman-Warner proposal.On Give away rights or sell them? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 7 Responses
should have previewed
I typed "quoteblock" instead of "blockquote" to finish Gar's quote.
Maybe a kind administrator could fix my mistake?On Give away rights or sell them? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 7 Responses
no need to talk down
I have a degree in economics, so I'm fully aware of the difference between theoretical models and the real world.
I do thank you for responding. Bear with me now as I offer some alternative perspective to your points.
- There are ways to reduce price volatility in C&T. Take for example the proposal put forth a few weeks ago that created a framework in which a C&T scheme would allow participants to bank & borrow carbon credits, as well as trade them. The banking mechanism reduces wild price volatility, without creating a stagnant carbon price. Also note, a little volatility in prices is actually a good thing.
- A carbon tax only encourages overshoot when the marginal cost of innovation is less than the marginal cost of paying the tax. In fact, once the marginal costs are equal, or the tax is less expensive, the participants no longer have an incentive to innovate. Instead, they just pay the tax. On the other hand, the profit motive created by the cap-and-trade mechanism can continue to create incentives. Someone will always be looking for the cheaper, better (more efficient) way to cut carbon. Someone else will always be looking for the cheapest way to meet regulatory standards. They can both benefit from exchange.
Actually market based means in general tend to encourage less innovation then more conventional regulation.</quoteblock>
If the conventional regulation you're referring to is technology standards, then this is false. There is no innovation under technology standards. Bureaucrats decide where and how emissions are reduced, often with no regard for costs.
I'm guessing you have a certain picture in your head of what "innovation" - probably some technological breakthrough that either increases efficiency or becomes a substitute for an older technology. The thing is this is only technological innovation - there are other types.For example, whereas a cap-and-trade scheme could potentially spark eco-entrepreneurship -- finding ways to profit from the restoration, creation, and protection of ecosystems -- a tax would not. The mitigation and restoration industry would grow under cap-and-trade, but not under a tax. Making the conservation of resources profitable is exactly the incentive people need to be attracted to the idea of protecting the Earth's wonderful resources and beauty.
3. Is it necessary that the price of carbon is very low in the first phase?
I think we have different views on what exactly constitutes innovation, and exactly how it occurs. I understand where you're coming from on this one, but I also like the eco-entrpreneurship that occurs and the creative destruction that only comes with the cap-and-trade mechanism.
I think that the type, more so than the amount, of
innovation is different under the two schemes.4. Could you point to some of the examples of the complexity caused by a cap-and-trade relative to a tax so that I could better assess this point?
There are going to be large administrative costs associated with either scheme, so I need some examples so that we can weigh the costs and benefits.
Don't get me wrong, I'd support a tax if it was the thing on the table, or if, after comparing, it was designed better than a competing cap-and-trade scheme. But I think some people are, more or less, running a smear campaign against cap and trade when perhaps they haven't considered all the differences between the two.
I think there is a strong case to be made, from an environmental perspective, for placing a strict cap on emissions rather than a known price with unknown emissions cuts. I know there are uncertainty issues with setting the right cap, but the concept of a cap cut is more direct, encouraging more people to let their voices be known. On the other hand, a tax is bound to be set by bureaucrats, with less public input. From an environmental perspective, I think the knowledge problem tilts the balance in favor of a cap-and-trade scheme.On Give away rights or sell them? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 7 Responses
- There are ways to reduce price volatility in C&T. Take for example the proposal put forth a few weeks ago that created a framework in which a C&T scheme would allow participants to bank & borrow carbon credits, as well as trade them. The banking mechanism reduces wild price volatility, without creating a stagnant carbon price. Also note, a little volatility in prices is actually a good thing.
but Jon
we have a mixed economy now. The question is towards which end does it tend to lean? So what you're saying is that you don't like the mix now, and would like to see it lean a little more towards the central planning side?On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
Jon
So...
Is your basic idea that we need regional trade agreements, like NAFTA?On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
hmm
...about production prospering when different functions are in proximity together with your example of building an airplane. It's preferable that all of those engineers can talk to each other, in person, and look at the processes and parts they are building, to get instant feedback. "Throwing it over the wall", as I've heard it referred to, wherein one group forgets about a design as soon as they are finished, is counterproductive.
Sure, and thus we have the theory of the firm and economies of scale.
I think it's a bold move to extend the theory of the firm to the national level in which the government is directing this.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
Also
If you could look at my questions that I posed to you in the other article, I'd like to know your answers.On Give away rights or sell them? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 7 Responses
Gar
What exactly is your issue with the "trade" part of cap-and-trade?On Give away rights or sell them? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 7 Responses
long term comparative advantage
I keep coming back to a thought, although I think I'm having trouble getting it across here.
In theory, thinking about long-term, rather then short-term, comparative advantage makes sense - especially if we are considering environmental consequences.
But as Jon equates the changing technology problem to the traditional view of comparative advantage, I'd argue that it provides the same difficulty for the theoretical long-term thinking. It is all a case of Hayek's knowledge problem.
How do we know that the technology and training we choose now actually will give us a long-term comparative advantage. What if we spend millions in specialized training, only to have a technology change in a few years. While in our heads, we believed we were thinking about the long-term, it turns out we didn't know enough to be able to do so.
Jon, I guess it's your political science education that keeps you thinking about a global economy in terms of nation-states. I on the other hand have a degree in economics (as well as one in natural resources) and I view that way of thinking as an obstacle to an understanding of what a global economy really means.
Either way, you've sparked an interesting debate, and I hope you have more to say.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
yikes
Jon, you'd like this idea of dynamic comparative advantage actually. It seems to play into your infant-industry argument. I was too quick to post it, thinking it was supporting what I said - my mistake.
But the problem still lies with government choosing which infant industry to protect, etc.
I think the short-term issue is overblown.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
i wish there was an edit option
so i wouldn't have to make a new post every time I remember something.
Jon,
I encourage you to explore the idea of dynamic comparative advantage, so you can see that many of the criticisms you and others make are misplaced.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
your flaw as well as EPI's and even Ricardo's
Is thinking about a global economy in terms of nation-states and political boundaries.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
i was hoping that's what you'd say
The theory of comparative advantage assumes that technology does not change.
This is not anywhere near true. It's the same kind of BS that comes from the likes of the Economic Policy Institute (which also claims that comparative advantage doesn't hold if labor is free to move).On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
jon
I'd be careful advertising something you found on wikipedia as an "economic concept."
So, it would be advantageous of every large country/region had their own independent capacity to produce most parts of an industrial system
Sounds like there is a real economic concept that you should try to learn more about: comparative advantage.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 3 months ago 45 Responses
anyway
Here's a link to a good, unbiased view of the economics surrounding cap-and-trade vs. tax.
http://www.env-econ.net/carbon_tax_vs_capandtrade.html
You non-economists might not understand what the models show, but you should be able to understand the conclusions.
In terms of the market failure, the negative carbon externality, both a carbon tax and carbon cap-and-trade will achieve the same level of increased efficiency by achieving the optimal abatement level at the minimum cost. The only difference is the distributional implications. The cost to the firm is lower for carbon cap-and-trade. The government receives tax revenue with a carbon tax. Both policies are preferred over techological or output standards (i.e., command and control regulation).
On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 3 months ago 12 Responsesknock, knock
anyone home?On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 3 months ago 12 Responses
yeah
I don't think I have the same vendetta against coal as Dave does, but I am no fan of corporate welfare. Instead of trying to hold its hand, we should be letting it try to walk on it's own. If that doesn't work out, well then, too bad.On Oy posted 2 years, 4 months ago 5 Responses
other points to ponder
- Ending all subsidies for energy is the way to go
- Raising US corn prices might help some developing farmers, but it will also harm low-end consumers who live off corn-based staple foods.
- Corn ethanol can have devastating effects on aquatic systems due to the fertilizer required. Is that worth it?
- Maybe enviros did tout ethanol. Some people (notably environmental economists) have been warning about ethanol the entire time. It's just that now people are choosing to listen.
- Ending all subsidies for energy is the way to go
ah, i missed the inherent protectionism though
Thanks to Ron and Sean for pointing out some of the errors in the logic of the article and the bill.
I've changed my mind on this bill on the whole, although I think a "green job" safety net might still be a good idea for displaced manufacturing workers.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 4 months ago 45 Responses
maybe you meant
administrative costs instead of transaction costs?On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
Gar
By upstream do you mean coal, oil, and natural gas producers and by downstream do you mean companies that use those products?
Could you explain why C&T can't be levied upstream? Is it because of the number of potential participants?
Also, I'm not so sure that upstream is really what we want. A price on carbon does two things: encourages conservation, but it also encourages innovation. Who is more likely to innovate, a few upstream sources or the thousands of downstream sources?
Also I think you're creating a false dichotomy here. There's no reason that large emitters can't be regulated downstream while some sources (residential, commercial, etc.) fall under upstream regulations.
Pointing out that transaction costs are important is great. But I think they're also exaggerated as an argument against the C&T. Or have we forgotten about this thing called the Internet? The fact is that online exchanges vastly reduce those transaction costs on which your argument seems to rely. Am I wrong in thinking this?On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
Chris
We're talking about the environment here.
Zero fun is allowed. Didn't you know that?On Brangelina argue over politics posted 2 years, 4 months ago 7 Responses
sounds all right
I haven't spent much time looking into it, but on the surface it seems like a decent idea. Two things here: first, it provides the safety net for workers who fall behind in the global economy. These safety nets have been shown to reduce resistance to global trade, which is by-and-large a great thing.
Second, it has the potential to provide the technical & labor base needed to shift to a cleaner economy. However, I'd be more interested in knowing exactly what the education programs will entail. Hypothetically, I don't know if it would be the greatest thing if it is training workers for the heavily subsidized ethanol industry.On Pelosi's plan to save the polar bears -- and poor kids, too ... posted 2 years, 4 months ago 45 Responses
excellent response
Thanks, Adam.
Don't get me wrong when I almost conceded that offsets are a "fraud." I never meant to imply that the motives weren't good. (You'll also see that I'm a big fan of offsets for many other reasons besides the carbon reductions.)
You've pretty much cleared this thing up for me. More or less, I'm in the same position I was before I started these comments. I'm a supporter of the voluntary carbon market, but I do acknowledge that it will take some time and effort to tweak it in order to get the biggest possible benefit.On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
I agree with Tom
"think tanks" like the Carbon Tax Center that argue a tax is superior to C&T have two problems.
First, they are simply wrong. I've written rebuttals to each of the CTC's arguments for a tax over C&T. If anyone is interested, I'll repost them here.
Second, they are delaying progress. Maybe knowingly, maybe unknowingly, but they're doing it. There are various C&T bills floating around, and most people think it's more politically feasible. Why not spend the effort to mold and shape those bills rather than arguing (wrongly) that a tax is superior.On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
more
this has been explained somewhere on this site before, by someone else. But here it is again.
The differences in allocation systems, under a C&T, are simply differences of where the property rights over carbon emissions are granted. It is inherently a legal and political aspect of the system, not an economic one.
A C&T with free permits is basically a carte blanche starting point: Until now there have been no rights over carbon emissions, so they're up for grabs.
under a system with auctioned permits, the government is laying claim to emissions rights and industry must pay the government for the use of those rights.On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
Not so fast, Dave
According to economic theory, a cap that is below current emissions levels would do the same thing as a tax. A cap that gets ratcheted down every so often has the same effect of a tax increase.
the advantage of auctioning permits is pretty much that allocation is no longer left to political whims and the influence of special interests. Auctioning also provides revenue for the government. Something a tax does, but C&T wouldn't if permits were allocated freely.
Just to be clear: Economic theory tells us the cap and tax are the same. It is political theory that tells us auctioned permits are preferable to free ones.On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
right.
most of the politicians that are proposing some kind of pricing mechanism understand the fundamentals: there needs to be a price on carbon if we want to create incentives to shift to a low carbon economy.
Unfortunately, Dingell doesn't seem to understand that a cap on emissions is fundamentally the same thing as a tax on emissions. Both systems will raise the price of carbon.
So I'm not sure I understand his comment about how Congress may enact a cap-and-trade system, only without a carbon fee, since the cap meets the same goal.
On In a prominent op-ed posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responsessorry
but that's a pretty crappy rebuttalOn His new piece says so in downright shrill terms posted 2 years, 4 months ago 10 Responses
subsidies for ethanol
is one of the issues that most economists, libertarians, and environmentalists could probably agree on. It's a bad idea.
On His new piece says so in downright shrill terms posted 2 years, 4 months ago 10 ResponsesAlso Adam
what are the liability rules surrounding the offsets that your company provides? Who, if anyone (buyer or seller) is responsible for ensuring that projects do what they claim? On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
hmm, thanks Dave and Adam
maybe in some twisted way I do think offsets are a "fraud" then, I don't know though - I still think they're useful. But I've mentioned on here multiple times that I don't think we should be calling them "carbon offsets" at all. Call them renewable energy credits or habitat protection credits. I think I've expressed my sentiments that a narrow focus on carbon as the major environmental issue is the wrong path to take.
So maybe that's one of the big differences here. I guess if I was only concerned about reducing carbon emissions, then I would be much more wary of offsets. But, even through the carbon uncertainty, I see so many potential benefits, such as investments in alternative energies, habitat restoration and creation, and the potential for money to flow from developed countries to developing countries. I see offsets as the way to break open a larger market for ecological goods and services.
Maybe Adam is right, that the additionality of some projects can be measured (or at least reasonably estimated). Also, thanks for splitting the additionality and baseline concepts for me, that clears some things up conceptually.
I guess I also am more sympathetic to the arguments against tree offsets now (although like I mentioned above, I think there is room for these in a larger market for environmental goods & services).
What do you think, Adam. Is it a matter of technological ability to measure additionality and baselines, or are there some projects for which these will always be elusive?On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
saw this the other day
Glad to see some sense over ethanol is making it into popular culture.On His new piece says so in downright shrill terms posted 2 years, 4 months ago 10 Responses
I'm not sure I like NativeEnergy's explanation
Usually phrased as the question "is the project reducing emissions in a way that is business as usual, or is it beyond business as usual," the concept of additionality reflects people's gut feeling that if a project was or is reducing emissions regardless of the prospect of offset revenues, we shouldn't be giving it offset revenues. Instead, we should give offsets revenues only to those projects that really need them.
I'm not so sure about the "gut feeling" about giving money only to offset projects "that really need them"
In markets you don't necessarily pay money to people that "really need" revenue. You pay money to people that offer products or services that you want. On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
maybe
maybe i'm wording it wrong, or using "additionality" in the wrong place. I know what the concept is.
What I want is a case (aside from using already protected forest/land) where we can prove that an offset does not meet this requirement. Who decides what the "business as usual" standard is, and how do they do it?
I think I agree with Gar to some extent then. It seems to me that additionality is impossible to measure. I don't think this is a fatal flaw at all, since these offsets exist in the voluntary market.
I'm willing to concede it's a more complex issue when we talk about using offsets under a regulatory scheme.
But... I think there are possibilities here still. What it boils down to is that the additionality argument is basically pointing out the uncertainty associated with emissions reductions benefits.
I think the major uncertainty is that we have no way of knowing what "business as usual" really would mean. We can introduce some mechanisms to reduce this uncertainty. The idea of trading ratios comes into play here. If we are talking about offsets under a regulatory scheme, then maybe there should be a trading ratio that establishes that a certain number of offset credits (for example, 5) is equal to one carbon credit. This 5:1 ratio doesn't change the fact that we can't measure additionality, but it might increase the chances that we do offset the emissions.
I would be interested in hearing how offset provider claim to measure additionality.
On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responsesit's not some meaningless point
I'm asking anyone who knows. What sort of test is used to determine that an offset project doesn't meet the additionality requirement?
I think the article is interesting too, and when I got to the part about additionality, I really thought about it for a moment. I decided that yeah, the principle makes sense, but I couldn't come up with a way to prove that the offset would have occurred under "business as usual". So that got me to thinking that there are no pragmatic teeth to this argument, no matter how sound the principle is.
If you want to avoid discourse, that's fine. You don't have to respond, you know. But next time you decide to, don't call my arguments weak and then avoid explaining why.On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
that's a terrible argument
against such a great idea.
the idea behind the smart meter is dynamic pricing, and it's a very, very good one.
who are these people claiming to be "consumer advocates?"On Stupid on smart meters posted 2 years, 4 months ago 4 Responses
"unproven doesn't mean inarguable"
what kind of BS rhetoric is that?
I'm not saying I don't agree with the principle. I'm saying it's pretty much impossible to say what would be "business as usual."
As for your "weakest argument" thing. That's nice. But why don't you explain for the rest of your readers why you think so?On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
on what grounds?
how is additionality tested?On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
I've always been a beliver that
the beauty of solar (and other alternatives) is the ability to decentralize energy distribution. On No surprises here, please posted 2 years, 4 months ago 2 Responses
as far as i see it
the only time you could prove the additionality factor is if a forest was already protected in perpetuity.On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
no no
I'm not asking how you measure the offset to make sure that the emissions don't happen.
What I'm saying is that I don't think the additionality thing is really provable. You can't know everyone's microeconomic picture and the opportunity costs they face. Thus, you can't know whether the carbon sequestration would have occurred under "business as usual."
If you can't know that, you can't use the additionality argument against offsets now can you?On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
additionality
this seems to be the main issue for most folks. JMG, do you know the method by which additionality is proven?
That is, how can we prove that an offset project would have taken place without the carbon market?On Having survived Biosphere, she's ready to enter the offset debate posted 2 years, 4 months ago 18 Responses
good point
on the regressivity GreenMom. That right there, pretty much makes the gas tax a political loser.On It's not the same as a carbon tax, and it's not cool posted 2 years, 4 months ago 13 Responses
it's an interesting issue
I certainly wouldn't want just a gas tax increase to be proposed (note: I'm pretty sure all the states have a gas tax already, so it's not something new).
I mentioned here before that I think one idea (I don't know about political possibility here) would be a C&T scheme for the electric industry (we could expand it later) and a gas tax to address transportation.
I haven't given it much thought since then, but there might be some reasons not to totally throw away the gas tax. Maybe, Jason Scorse could give some input?
- It levies the prices directly on the consumable goods, and could potentially have a greater behavior change effect among motorists than an upstream carbon tax would.
- relatively hidden costs might not be what we want when talking about transportation
- a gas tax would not only affect emissions levels, but might also address other issues like congestion.
On It's not the same as a carbon tax, and it's not cool posted 2 years, 4 months ago 13 Responses- It levies the prices directly on the consumable goods, and could potentially have a greater behavior change effect among motorists than an upstream carbon tax would.
there was a time
I remember agreeing with one of JMG's posts. The 5% annual emissions reduction goal, is a smart, practical approach to the problem.
However, since then he has been sliding down a path toward complete delusion.On Here are some posted 2 years, 4 months ago 32 Responses
meanwhile
JMG with his ancient views of the world and the environment remains an anonymous "keyboard politician." "Change the world", he says, "but you can only do it my way."
I wonder how many economics classes he's ever had? I mean, surely he has a basis besides ideological rhetoric for his aversion? Surely he as an in-depth knowledge of the very thing he feels fit to criticize?
Right?On Here are some posted 2 years, 4 months ago 32 Responses
say it with me now
end all subsidies. period. none for biofuels, wind, solar, nuclear, coal, oil, etc.
take the politics out of energy.On Your government at work posted 2 years, 4 months ago 7 Responses
hmm
It's a problem, yes. But a fundamental problem? No. Sometimes you're so off the mark it's painful.
Lack of transparency isn't some "natural law" of offsets. This is a case of an infant market, with unclear rules on liability.
So the problem, right now, is incorporating offsets into a regulatory framework, because we don't have clear liability rules. What is the fundamental problem that can't be fixed here? I'd really like to know.
I know you don't like the voluntary market either, but I hope you aren't insinuating that this is some fatal flaw in the voluntary carbon market.
You talk a lot, but I've yet to be convinced that the flow of money from developed countries to developing countries, in order to protect ecosystems and fund clean development is a bad thing.On Double counting does not legally qualify as fraud posted 2 years, 4 months ago 6 Responses
it's like
you've been reading my mind (or my posts)!
you can give $ to "plant trees and improve water quality, increase wildlife habitat and help restore public lands damaged by natural disasters such as wildfires", and people do, but not in the numbers that we'd like to see.
Elsewhere I mentioned that there is no point to call them "carbon" offsets and we could easily switch to calling them something simple like "environmental protection credits" or "ecological credits". But carbon is in the center of the the environmental "movement" these days. There's also a lot of it, so it makes for a big market.
The whole point is to eventually move into a completely open market for ecological goods and services like habitat, water filtration, buffering, etc. The offsets serve as the intermediary to that realization.On Can't we offset something other than carbon? posted 2 years, 4 months ago 9 Responses
it's misdirection and misinformation
rent seeking can occur under a carbon tax as well. On Making things out of wood sequesters carbon, turns out posted 2 years, 4 months ago 6 Responses
price volatility
that should read "some price volatility is necessary and welcome"On Moderate senators are ready to get on board posted 2 years, 4 months ago 3 Responses
i read through it
and it sounds like a great idea to me.
the senators seem to get something that Carbon Tax people don't - that some price volatility is necessary and expected.
this is the institutional framework that is needed for a successful C&T program. They've laid it out nicely, let's get to it.On Moderate senators are ready to get on board posted 2 years, 4 months ago 3 Responses
it has to do with investment ability
and not really costs for the automakers.
Diesel technology is easier to invest in than hybrid technology, simply because there are more companies focusing on diesel than on hybrid. Right now, it's the better option, and it's looking like the better option for a few years down the road.
But things can change.On GM will offer clean diesel passenger cars in 2010 posted 2 years, 4 months ago 22 Responses
market solutions
this is a winner.On Borrowing and banking carbon -- the new black posted 2 years, 4 months ago 1 Response
precursor to this article
The future: hybrid or diesel?On GM will offer clean diesel passenger cars in 2010 posted 2 years, 4 months ago 22 Responses
go the hell off
means that he ranted. it doesn't mean he was off the mark. get with it old man.On Lots of good answers posted 2 years, 4 months ago 13 Responses
another good one
Thanks for voicing another beneficial aspect of offsets.
I'm seeing the beginning of a huge market for ecological services...On Just when you thought it was over posted 2 years, 4 months ago 15 Responses
awesome.
thanks for this, Dave. It's nice to see some data associated with this stuff for once.On A new report with numbers and stuff posted 2 years, 4 months ago 17 Responses
here's an interesting story
Can market mechanisms revive dead zones?On Thanks in part to that 'green' fuel, corn-based ethanol posted 2 years, 4 months ago 32 Responses
i was really asking Sean
Because as nice as it seems, the idea that reducing we can reduce carbon without any costs is either naive or blatantly misleading.
That's not to say that there isn't business opportunity in beating climate change. In fact, facing this challenge can be a net benefit both economically and environmentally. If that's what he was trying to say, then I agree, but I think saying that we can do it without any costs is a poor use of words. That is simply not true.
Still, I'm all for reframing the way we approach carbon reduction -- it's an opportunity rather than a requirement.On Don't let your ambition limit your reality posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
surely
you understand that "cost" to economist is opportunity cost not just the amount of cash spent?On Don't let your ambition limit your reality posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
yeah
I'd be for a carbon tax if it replaced income or property taxes, preferrably both.On Very interesting posted 2 years, 4 months ago 9 Responses
hmm
"increase employment by 241,000 jobs in the year 2020."
From what year? From now? From 2019? When? The study never explains what these predicted increases are increases from - for any of the numbers they give.
"In addition, consumers will save billions of dollars on gasoline"
Save? Or spend on the new fuel that will power their vehicles?
Other things that I would want to look at more: they assume perfect price elasticity on vehicles - is that true.
In order to trust the model (that uses 21 "economic factors!) they use we need to verify all of the assumptions.
All in all, it's interesting, maybe slightly biased, worth looking into more, but definitely not the final word.On Contrary to what you might have heard posted 2 years, 4 months ago 3 Responses
I think
everyone is getting a little tired and cranky over this debate. So far, I think biodiversivist has given the best explanation (at Grist anyway) of why offsets can be very beneficial and why we should spend our efforts making them better rather than bashing them.On Trees should play a bigger role posted 2 years, 4 months ago 27 Responses
That is the point
You found it! The fact that offsets may be a tool in combating multiple problems (global warming and biodiversity/habitat loss) is what it's all about.
There are certainly things to be said for making sure we measure and monitor offsets better, but in no way do these concerns make a case for dropping offsets and voluntary environmental markets from the toolbox.On Trees should play a bigger role posted 2 years, 4 months ago 27 Responses
the bad logic
being Romm's of course, not the Senators - they're doing what must be done to get a bill through. Waiting on the utopian bill to come means waiting forever.On It's weak posted 2 years, 4 months ago 7 Responses
this is bad logic
and a complete misunderstanding of politics and the legislative process.
"it would be better to wait..."
I thought what you guys have been saying all along is that there is no time to wait! Which is it?On It's weak posted 2 years, 4 months ago 7 Responses
JMG
you've missed the entire point of this article. I've said it before and I'll say it again - myopic environmentalism (like yours) will set us back.
There is no "danger" of the voluntary carbon market keeping people from implementing mandatory controls. No, the only thing they do is allow people to get on the before governments finally tell them they have to.
There are a lot of people talking about offsets (particularly planted tree offsets and protected forest offsets) that appear to be altogether clueless about biodiversity. It's like there is a generation of environmentalists who know nothing about the environment except that they know global warming is a threat.
Environmental markets, based around the rights over ecological goods and services, hold huge potential to help us address a number of problems. The possibilities are slapping us in the face! Yet you continue to ignore them.
Conservation trusts are leading the way to this ultimate realization, while the nay-sayers remain behind their keyboards and whine that other people are doing things incorrectly.On Trees should play a bigger role posted 2 years, 4 months ago 27 Responses
an excellent article
good job, biodiversivist! It looks like some people are finally coming around to the ideas of environmental markets for ecosystem services - offsets being just one example.On Trees should play a bigger role posted 2 years, 4 months ago 27 Responses
Gar is wrong, as usual
While Adam and Dave continue to come down on the right and reasonable side of this argument. "sin is personal, CO2 is not" - I like that.
Gar, buddy, you gotta stop acting like "cap-and-trade" is a blanket mechanism in which polluters get their intitial credits for free. The fact that this is something included in most proposals does not mean that's what cap-and-trade is.
Let me break it down for you. Cap: means a cap on emissions. Trade means allowing polluters to buy and sell credits in order to meet their regulatory requirements. Auctioned permits, while different from and preferrable to free allocation, are still part of a cap-and-trade scheme!
Furthermore, Adam is totally right. Any federal cap-and-trade legislation is far more likely to draw from state-level intiatives rather than the voluntary market. This is how both the Clean Water Act and the Clean Air Act came about.
You have built a straw man against offsets, probably for some ideological reason, but who really knows? If we are serious about reducing emissions then you should welcome all of the tools in our bag. Measures to protect habitat and reduce emissions are never a bad thing - especially when they can be done voluntarily.
On A new Pardoner's Tale? posted 2 years, 4 months ago 30 ResponsesYeah but
That's a bad argument. For one, it doesn't really look like a half-ass carbon tax at all. Putting something on the table isn't a setback, it's a step forward. Do people really expect that the holy grail of climate legislation is just around the corner, waiting to save them?On He proposes a carbon tax, assuming it will fail posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
bluff indeed.
Nice perspective and insight Dave. Can someone explain to me how proposing a carbon tax bill undermines the fight for a carbon tax?On He proposes a carbon tax, assuming it will fail posted 2 years, 4 months ago 12 Responses
here's something interesting
jellyfish mucus perfect for cosmeticsOn Overfishing, pollution contribute to exponential rise posted 2 years, 4 months ago 8 Responses
keep on truckin' Dave
There's a lot of 'what if' reasons why offsets might be undesirable as ways to reduce carbon emissions, but still no convincing evidence that offset markets operate in these 'what if' scenarios.
Here's my solution:
Stop calling them carbon offsets. Market them as something larger - environmental protection credits. Trees provide many other services aside from carbon sequestration - storm buffers, habitat, & filtration to name a few. It's time to start selling these services the way we sell lumber. EPCs would be a way to ensure the protection and even creation of ecosystems that provide these services.
Not all environmental credits will produce all services. For example, a project may not actually sequester any carbon. This is not a problem inherent in offsets, this is a problem with measurement. You can't control what you can't measure.
Stop wasting your time trying to stop voluntary offsets and start using to figure out how to measure their services so that we can make them better.On Many offset critics appear to be shadowboxing posted 2 years, 4 months ago 76 Responses
hey
A great post, David. One of the few times I agree with you 100%.On Many offset critics appear to be shadowboxing posted 2 years, 4 months ago 76 Responses
in defense
In defense of at least some of your attacks on my hometown (at least where I grew up, I have moved away since).
Can't get vegetables in the South? Jesus man, you seriously cannot have been looking hard. Not only is almost everyone with a backyard growing their own vegetables, but there are plenty of farmer's markets around. You were in Atlanta for Pete's sake, you'd have to be blind, deaf, and dumb to not be able to eat vegetarian there! Aside from the many dedicated veggie restaurants, almost every restaurant serves vegetarian options.
Hmm, you call a bunch of little kids running around wildly in an indoor playplace rude? Do you seriously expect kids to slow down and watch out for everything? They're kids!
Everywhere I've been people are bad parents - letting them be raised by gameboys and tv. That's not just a Southern thing. But seriously, to be annoyed by a kid who wants to be friendly and talk to you is pretty lame man. Again, they're kids! On A few random observations before getting back to work posted 2 years, 4 months ago 25 Responses
multiple markets
A multiple market in ecosystem services could put an end to the belief that planting trees isn't always a good thing, while giving property owners more incentives than ever before to preserve and protect habitat and other resources.
If property rights over ecosystem services were well defined and enforced, then markets could form for all sorts of goods and services: habitat, water filtration, storm buffers, flood control, carbon sequestration, etc. Not every ecosystem could generate credits for each of those things, but it would probably be able to generate a few. More credits to sell gives more landowners the incentive to get into the business of protecting ecosystems.
The myopic focus on one issue - global warming - and even more narrowly, carbon dioxide, seems to have made too many people forget that we have other battles to fight as well.On Trees are good for a lot of things; carbon offsetting isn't one of them posted 2 years, 4 months ago 27 Responses
here
HYPERLINK: Solar power to be delivered to PG&EOn Breaking all the offset rules posted 2 years, 4 months ago 16 Responses
bernardo
The advocates of offsets that you speak of wouldn't be as quick to oppose regulations that use market mechanisms rather than across-the-board standards to reduce emissions/pollution with economic efficiency.
Economic efficiency is a good thing because being cost-effective means that there is more free capital that can be directed to other endeavors.
So yes, companies are typically opposed to standards because standards take no consideration of economic situations while markets allow actors to make economic calculations.
The real question is, why do you think it is necessary to harm businesses in order to address climate change? We would like to see some changes in the way businesses function, but that in and of itself does not imply that we must harm businesses to do so.
I think that environmentalists need to drop the anti-corporate position. Most environmental groups that are doing real good in the world have already distanced themselves from this position. Regardless of what you think of the "mainstream enviros", they are the ones that are getting things done. ED is constantly forming partnerships with polluters to reduce pollution. The Nature Conservancy uses its funds to directly protect habitat rather than paying for lobbyists to persuade politicians to protect habitat. The people that whine about groups that are doing good in the world are either holding personal egos above results or just want to stall progress.
The best approach would be a completely voluntary carbon market, but that can only exist in a world where property rights over carbon exist. In a next best world, we must use the next best solution.On Carbon offsets are tricky business posted 2 years, 4 months ago 17 Responses
joe joe joe
I already posted this once for you (in your first article), but you probably ignored it. It's a post that links to a news story about how several banks have signed onto an agreement for standards of carbon offset projects.
self regulation in the voluntary carbon marketOn Carbon offsets are tricky business posted 2 years, 4 months ago 17 Responses
myopic environmentalism
This is what happens when you get so focus (obsessed?) with one issue. You lose sight of the bigger picture. Though you think that you're the one looking at the bigger picture. Greenhouse gases are not the only issue we face as environmentalists, as humans.
There is no logical argument that can be made that investing in habitat protection & creation or energy alternatives & efficiency is a bad thing. The only thing is that we need to be sure we get what we pay for. We can do this.
Go ahead and call it indulgences, but realize that by doing so you are only helping to stall action and progress.On Offsets should be the last thing you need to turn to posted 2 years, 4 months ago 31 Responses
off-point but related
Big Oil?
Exxon is the largest publicly held oil company, yet it's production puts it at par with Norway, the world's tenth largest oil producing country.
From now on when you talk about big oil talk about state-owned firms like Saudia Arabia, China, and Russia. All of which dwarf the production of Exxon.On An oil exec gets the diagnosis right posted 2 years, 5 months ago 15 Responses
Sean
So ethanol may not be all bad. But this highlights the problems with government mandates, does it not. Do we want government to choose corn ethanol as the winner when a better form (or something else entirely) could just be years away?On Predicts rabbit out of hat in three years, too posted 2 years, 5 months ago 32 Responses
thanks
thanks for the enlightenment, Sean.On Predicts rabbit out of hat in three years, too posted 2 years, 5 months ago 32 Responses
but Sean
I was under the impression that the carbon reduction benefits of many types of ethanol aren't all that great in the first place. So your reasonable assumption might not actually hold.On Predicts rabbit out of hat in three years, too posted 2 years, 5 months ago 32 Responses
a breath of fresh air
Sean Casten's articles and comments are a breath of fresh air to Grist. Thanks, Sean.
Dave, you're all right too.
On Jon's comment:
"People will resist change if it comes out of their pocket -- which is why, as the authors point out, it may be an easier sell to actually have the government spend a lot of money building thins."
And where exactly do you think government funds come from? Oh yeah, the citizens!
Either way you look at it, the people are going to be paying for these investments (I for one would rather pay directly, so I know what my money is going towards.). And though, like Sean said, there is a place for governments, nothing/no one makes use of capital better than the millions of actors in a decentralized market.On Voters like it, but how to do it well? posted 2 years, 5 months ago 19 Responses
"No rules of the road exist"
That's about to change. Witness some self-regulation in the voluntary carbon markets.On Taking 'em to the mat posted 2 years, 5 months ago 7 Responses
forget CAFE
I agree with David on this one. I've said it here before, and I think another poster has said pretty much the same thing:
CAFE is designed to lag the market. It's a political symbol for the people that care about those things (ahem, Greenpeace).
I do have a question though, slightly off topic. How important is reducing emissions from transportation. Don't emissions from electricity production dwarf those from transportation? I may be wrong, but I thought I saw that. Maybe we should focus on one at a time. Or better yet, has anyone done a Cost-Benefit Analysis to see where cheaper reductions can be made - energy production or transportation?On He's pro-carbon tax, anti-CAFE -- which matters more? posted 2 years, 5 months ago 20 Responses
good post
auctions are part of the ED/NRDC plan and have been all along.
I'm pretty sure the only economists that are pushing for free allocation would be those that receive their paychecks from DuPont, GE, etc.On I'm sure whoever has the best argument will win, right? posted 2 years, 5 months ago 8 Responses
conservation payments
to farmers that use best management practices or preserve habitat are much more equitable than subsidies and they flow to all farmers. the funding for these conservation payments should be restored in the Farm Bill.On Don't call it a subsidy posted 2 years, 5 months ago 19 Responses
but
people should be able to drive what they need or want to -- but they should also have to pay for the costs they impose on others by doing so. Increasing the gas tax would make that happen.
On After many years of trying, we're moving in the right direction at last posted 2 years, 5 months ago 21 Responses
you've got to be kidding me
It's time to ditch CAFE... it's about 30 years past time to ditch CAFE and use economic price instruments to reduce the consumption of gasoline.
So there's the first major problem with this bill - a complete brushoff of effective, efficient policies in exchange for draconian standards that will be irrelevant by the time 2020 rolls around anyway. CAFE standards tend to lag the market.
Next problem - a provision in this bill against energy price gouging. Thanks for wasting paper Congress. This provision is utterly meaningless - have you guys defined "unconscionably excessive" prices?
What is it with politicians and their complete misunderstanding of economics. How in the world do they expect to reduce gas usage and keep prices low? This is, like, high school stuff.
So the last major problem (though I'm sure there are more) - mandates for ethanol? Seriously guys, this is strike three.On After many years of trying, we're moving in the right direction at last posted 2 years, 5 months ago 21 Responses
make the government play in the market
The government and its vast expansive glory is probably a huge emitter of carbon. Make government agencies participate in the carbon markets.On What good carbon policy should -- but often doesn't -- reward posted 2 years, 5 months ago 13 Responses
hey
I didn't say that the auction was secondary, I said stuff like what to do with the auction revenue is secondary!
Believe me, I understand that institutions and the structure of these markets matter.On What good carbon policy should -- but often doesn't -- reward posted 2 years, 5 months ago 13 Responses
in theory
tax and cap-and-trade are equally efficient. After that, there are a lot of political economy reasons that either a tax or cap-and-trade might be less efficient. There are also some other ideological reasons that one may be biased in favor of one over the other.
If we're talking on a national scale here, I think that we should have a cap-and-trade scheme with auctioned permits. Put the money in an environmental trust, give it back to citizens, or... whatever - that's a secondary issue. The main issue is cutting carbon, so we should be focused on what the cap should be. Everything else should be considered after this primary goal.
I probably wouldn't be opposed to a higher gas tax either.On What good carbon policy should -- but often doesn't -- reward posted 2 years, 5 months ago 13 Responses
nonsense
Most leading scientists on this issue have already distanced themselves from the WWF report. GHG emissions from desalination are minute. The big issues are the damage done to ecosystems, but that continues to be addressed as the technology advances.On Quench Warners posted 2 years, 5 months ago 3 Responses
it was incredibly dusty
but that's what happens when you have a drought in Tennessee and 80,000 people walking around.On Did someone call for a smog machine? posted 2 years, 5 months ago 3 Responses
where has the coverage been?
http://www.abetterearth.org/blog/id.4012/news_detail.aspOn Phosphorus Is Bad Phor Us posted 2 years, 5 months ago 2 Responses
three words
water quality tradingOn Phosphorus Is Bad Phor Us posted 2 years, 5 months ago 2 Responses
as far as carbon schemes go
This makes the concept of cutting carbon seem doable to the average person. 5% a year rather than 80% by 2050, is a better way to market this.
Good points too, they make a lot of sense.
Your scheme would couple nicely with a global cap-and-trade scheme.On Your math teacher knew you'd need this stuff someday! posted 2 years, 5 months ago 27 Responses
but of course
more important than having a sweeping effect on industry and infrastructure is reducing carbon. Plain and simple, that's the goal here. We need not lose sight of that.
One thing that bugs me about carbon tax advocacy is that it keeps focusing on the ideal situation of rebates after the tax, but that is being compared to C&T with free allocation. That's a faulty way to compare the two.
Also, the more arguments I read for a carbon tax, the less they talk about actually reducing carbon. Almost all of them break down into issues of tax redistribution and revenue building. Those things are great and all, but the primary purpose of legislation should be to reduce carbon, not raise revenue.On Carbon tax v. cap and trade -- the hottest arguments since McCartney v. Lennon posted 2 years, 5 months ago 8 Responses
Komanoff is wrong
On almost every one of his points. But anyway, So far the best thing I've heard is this:
Cap and trade for industry, tax for transportation.On Carbon tax v. cap and trade -- the hottest arguments since McCartney v. Lennon posted 2 years, 5 months ago 8 Responses
hmm
"We will only be successful in fighting global warming via a transition to renewable energy."
Wasn't there a recent study that argued that efficiency is far more important than renewables in the attempt to address climate change?
I'm all for renewables for other reasons, such as decentralization, but I do wonder about this assertion that renewables are the only way to avoid damaging climate change.On Getting carbon cap and trade right for renewables posted 2 years, 5 months ago 2 Responses
Also
This study on hydrilla doesn't address other potential problems caused by hydrilla. In fact there is no mention of the effects of hydrilla on fishes and other aquatic life, aside from waterfowl.
Since humans use water for other purposes than environmental reasons, we also have to consider those. Hydrilla has enormous negative impacts on recreational activities like fishing, boating, and swimming. Not to mention it can clog drainage canals, creating potential flood hazards, and irrigation canals, reducing the amount of water reaching crops.On They may not all be bad. posted 2 years, 5 months ago 82 Responses
i used
to wonder what the big deal was about invasives and non-native species. In fact, many times I came to the same conclusion as Erik - partly due to the fact that I think the idea of a steady-state ecosystem is dubious and flawed.
However, now I work in the field and part of my job is monitoring and controlling invasive species. Why? Because for every exception to the rule, there are many invasives that do exactly what we imagine - they invade and dominate ecosystems until all that is left is a thriving population of a single non-native species. Now, it's silly to think we can eradicate them once they're here, but we can try to manage them so that they do not become a threat.
Are "alien" species intrinsically bad? I don't think so, but on practical grounds and (more often than not) for the sake of biodiversity, invasive species prevention should be a top priority and careful management of invasives is necessary.On They may not all be bad. posted 2 years, 5 months ago 82 Responses
that mill example is rather odd
You do realize that rivers change position quite naturally don't you? Also, precipitation patterns are likely to have a greater effect on the amount of water in a channel rather than the location of that channel.
If you have some studies that indicate otherwise, please let me know. Otherwise, I'd suggest that climatologists should leave the geomorphology to geomorphologists. On On the NASA administrator's comments posted 2 years, 6 months ago 11 Responses
question
How complicated does a tax rebate or credit system make the prospect of a carbon tax? Do these administrative issues measure up to the institutional and administrative issues of cap-and-trade?On Conservative critique of the carbon tax posted 2 years, 6 months ago 8 Responses
well
The science of Silent Spring is rather sketchy, and while Carson wasn't the sole force behind the end of widespread DDT use, she was a major factor.
The problem with DDT isn't it's toxicity, it's the overuse. Properly managed, DDT is one of the most effective and cheapest ways to battle malaria, which is a terrible disease. There's no reason malaria should still be as widespread as it is, and the hysteria around DDT is partially to blame for that, I have no doubt.
But Carson did raise awareness of many issues (whether or not she was right on everything), for that she should be commended. I don't see why there should be a bill to honor her though -- Congress has better things to do. However, the idea of someone blocking this bill is ridiculous. On I shall speak now and then forever hold my peace posted 2 years, 6 months ago 20 Responses
second
"ending natural resource subsidies of all kinds should be the #1 priority for environmentalists."
I second that.On Senators call for a worldwide end to fishing subsidies posted 2 years, 6 months ago 20 Responses
cool
Just to nit-pick.
Kohl's is a department store. Not a grocery store.
Otherwise, good news all around.On Clean-up on aisle ... earth posted 2 years, 6 months ago 9 Responses
it all depends on the function of parks
Are national parks meant to be tourist attractions so that people may enjoy the beauty of America or are they there to ensure the preservation of a natural landscape?
I think the answer probably lies somewhere in between. I can understand why some people are up in arms -- there is an equity issue -- but I am in favor of park fees. Additionally, I think there are ways to implement the fees that will provide the greatest benefits.
For one, the fees should be put back into a separate Park fund rather than going into the general fund. Park managers would be able to use these funds to make park improvements, etc.
Consistent rates set by a central authority seem foolish to me. Each park should be allowed to set its own rate, based off of what it sees fit. Different parks may have different goals or mindsets. For example, Yellowstone may strive to attract crowds while the Congaree Park may draw fewer crowds and focus more on preservation of an old growth swamp.
Price discrimination is one way to address the equity issue. For example, charge less for children, seniors, and students. Perhaps geographic discrimination? Maybe all citizens of the state a park is located in can enter for free or at a reduced fee. On This Land Was Paid By You and Me posted 2 years, 6 months ago 3 Responses
public choice
Public choice tells us that the small number of losers in the taxing scheme (businesses) will organize better and be more vocal than the large group of dispersed winners (the "public").
Although I firmly believe that the cap-and-trade is better than a tax, the basic economics do not favor one scheme over the other.
However, I think the political economy argument falls to the side of cap-and-trade. It's more feasible because it will get less resistance from businesses. Politicians in the US are embracing the cap and trade system, maybe simply because of the language associated with it: markets, incentives, innovation.
The tax may work, if your ideal situation of rebates were to happen. But the public choice analysis shows that this is pretty unlikely.
So would the Carbon Tax Center support taxes, regardless of where the revenues go? If so, why?On Those people are smart posted 2 years, 8 months ago 11 Responses
still
government holding onto the revenues isn't the biggest problem with the tax anyway.
The biggest problem is that taxes will not be set at perfect levels the first time around, and any subsequent efforts to raise them will be met with a lot of political opposition. Even if they do get raised, there is still no guarantee that they will meet desired emissions reductions.
That is simply why quantity controls are better than price controls when your goal is to reduce the quanitity of something.On Those people are smart posted 2 years, 8 months ago 11 Responses
the other problem with the tax
With a tax, revenues go to governments, which we are to assume will use the revenues to promote clean energy, etc. But when has government ever been good at picking the best options as far as technology goes?
Case in point: If there was a carbon tax system in the US currently, those revenues would likely be funneled into the production of ethanol from corn. Is that what we want?
The cap and trade system leaves the investments into clean energy to market competition, which will ultimately offer better products and more choice than government ever could.On Those people are smart posted 2 years, 8 months ago 11 Responses
Same
Could you elaborate on the "market use" vs. "reduction credits" idea, I might be able to comment if I understood what you were getting at.
If not all carbon credits are equal, then an exchange market structure would not be the best way to go about establishing the market. Either bilateral trades (with or without brokers) or a clearinghouse stucture would be more appropriate. Transaction costs increase with bilateral trade stuctures, but it would also provide an opportunity for buyer liability that would address the phantom credit problem. The clearinghouse (carbon bank) structure could also address the phantom problem by placing liability on the clearinghouse.On Those people are smart posted 2 years, 8 months ago 11 Responses
not so sure
The major downside in this paper of cap and trade is that it produces price volatility. The major downside of the tax system is that it might not be set to the right levels to get proper emissions reductions.
What is the goal here? Isn't it getting the emissions reductions correct?
The cheating that Shaprio claims would be rampant with C&T systems can be fixed by a designation of buyer liability rather than seller liability - this gives buyers of the credits the incentives to make sure that the reductions are actually taking place.
Shapiro assumes that if taxes are found to be too low, they can easily be raised. How valid is this assumption? Sounds like a starry-eyed pipe dream to me. The political feasibility of raising taxes again and again lessens each time. Not to mention the sheer impossibility of a global carbon tax to begin with. Shapiro has made the classic Pigouvian mistake - there is no such thing as a market-perfecting tax because markets are dynamic.
Shapiro is advocating abandoning an imperfect system, rather than learning from its mistakes, in favor of embracing another imperfect system.On Those people are smart posted 2 years, 8 months ago 11 Responses
the "split"
David,
I think the "split" you're referring to has happened in the past, but the two-party system eventually mends any prior splits.
Think about it, when Republicans are in power, more and more "conservatives" start looking to other outlets - remember Ross Perot. But eventually, an election like Al Gore vs. Bush reunites them under the Republican banner. When the Dems are in power, more "liberals" start looking to other outlets like the Green Party, and the Dems just haven't figured out how to reign them all back in as well as the Republicans have.On Some call for action posted 2 years, 8 months ago 17 Responses
progressive vs. reactionary
It seems to me that the underlying difference here is between progressive and reactionary conservatives. I believe the same divide exists among liberals, but for now we can focus on this one.
"Progressive" conservatives (ignore the oxymoron there for a minute) are the ones willing to champion environmental causes, because they see new opportunities to advance their beliefs, all in the name of continuing progress. Reactionary conservatives are the louder voice -- reactionaries down any party line are usually the loudest voice -- and you might also call them contrarians. Their version of conservatism is "no change."
David's sweeping generalization of conservatives lumps them all as reactionaries. They're certainly more vocal and powerful. But we're starting to see the "progressive" conservatives step forward on environmental issues. It would be interesting to assess the underlying roots of progressives vs. reactionaries, whether conservative or liberal.
The environmental movement needs to embrace conservatives as well as liberals if it wants to sustain itself.On Some call for action posted 2 years, 8 months ago 17 Responses
jjwfmme
That's fair enough. I had already been through the science debates of global warming for about a year or so before I saw the movie. I guess I expected more than I should have. I'll leave it alone.On Share with friends and family posted 2 years, 9 months ago 42 Responses
Dave
It was never my concern that the movie be entertaining. I just wanted facts, and perhaps just a mention of some of his thoughts for addressing climate change. Oh, a massage would have been nice too.
Thanks for the link to the speech, at least there he's getting into specifics.
I don't think I ever attacked Gore, just expressed weariness over the obsession with him. As far as political attacks go, I still think that he should be the one to respond to them. After all, they are directed at him. Maybe the numbers are lies, maybe Gore offsets it all, maybe he uses green energy. That's all fine, but HE needs to be the one to tell us. On Share with friends and family posted 2 years, 9 months ago 42 Responses
not crazy or paranoid.
I like David's writing on a variety of things, although I do wish there was more attention paid to a broader scope of environmental issues. I may disagree with him a lot, but I'd rather read his stuff than something from people I see completely eye-to-eye with.
You're certainly welcome to feel admiration or affection for Al Gore for doing what he has done. If you really think that he is the best voice behind action on climate change, that's perfectly fine. In my opinion, all he has done is popularize the issue but he hasn't put forth any good suggestions on how to deal with it. I found the movie lacking for that reason. It wasn't enough for me.
I just think that it's getting carried too far, and the focus here has become about Al Gore and not about climate change.
If it's that serious of an issue, why are we content to just slap him on the back and say "job well done" when in fact, still nothing is being done?On Share with friends and family posted 2 years, 9 months ago 42 Responses
nope
Not at Fox News - or most of the major news networks these days On My aborted adventure on Fox posted 2 years, 9 months ago 11 Responses
thanks
Thanks for putting my incoherent babbling in better terms than I did, Green Granny. On Share with friends and family posted 2 years, 9 months ago 42 Responses
not a troll
Probably just a fleeting thought that I really shouldn't have posted.
But the love-fest still bugs me. There's no need to come to Gore's defense all the time. He's a big boy. There's also no need to have multiple posts about him over the course of a day.
Look, most people would have rather had Gore than Bush (me included), as evident from the election.
I saw the movie, thought it was pretty self-glorifying and all-in-all, not that convincing. I didn't need to be convinced by then - I already accepted climate change was happening and was in part due to man's influence. I just thought that for anyone who had actually read-up about global warming science, Gore's moving shed no new light, and actually had some incorrect information.
I understand that scary images of sea level rises and polar bears are necessary to get people to pay attention. But that's exactly my problem with it - Gore made this a political thing. He used fear as his tool, rather than a detached view of the situation.
Maybe he should be applauded for reaching so many people with the issue so that they start to think about things like climate change. But do we need to keep kissing his ass all the time? Isn't once enough? If we keep focusing on the good he has done in the past, aren't we neglecting the progress that needs to be made in the future?On Share with friends and family posted 2 years, 9 months ago 42 Responses
some ideas
Issue 1: What are some possible market mechanisms to ameliorate environmental problems?
Here are some environmental market mechanisms aside from taxes (these provide incentives, taxes offer punishment):
- water quality trading schemes such as nutrient/sediment trading to help control nonpoint source pollution
- cap n' trade on air emissions
- transferrable quotas for fisheries
- the use of conservation easements and tradable development rights to protect land and habitat
Issue 2: What common ground can be found for removal of subsidies among green and conservative thinkers?
That's a tough one if you're talking about getting politicians on board. Subsidies line their pockets with money from oil, agriculture, and auto industries.
In the short run, nothing is going to change the politicians. You have to keep hammering the subsidies=bad to their contituents - the ones that vote for them, not the ones that pour money on them once they've been elected. It's a tough job, but it's a job I don't see anyone working on. Where are the protests? Where are the movies about the damage that subsidies do?Issue 3: Shouldn't the question be what real-world support is available from Republicans and/or Democrats.
Last time I checked, the Dems had control, and I still don't see any of these issues about market environmentalism or subsidy removal being brought up. Not all Democrats are environmentalists, not all Republicans are anti-environment.
I'm no soothsayer, but I'd say that support from the conservatives is coming. For one, I think we're about to find out that the religious right is losing their control of the Republican Party. They had their chance to yell and scream for 8 years - most moderate Republicans are tired of it. It'll become political strategy, if the Repubs keep alienating the moderates, more and more will keep voting for Democrats.
Second, I think it has to be sold differently to conservatives. Don't try to sell impending ecological doom. Don't even sell the words "environmentalist" or "conservationist". Start campaigns like "Save the Natural Beauty of America."
It has to be about tradition and heritage, that's what conservatives love. Remind them that the heritage of America is independence and natural beauty.On There's a coalition waiting posted 2 years, 9 months ago 60 Responses
- water quality trading schemes such as nutrient/sediment trading to help control nonpoint source pollution
paid by Gore, David?
No. I don't think you are - in fact, I think this whole scandal thing is pretty silly.
But I do think that Grist's love-fest with Gore brings to light an interesting issue, at least in my twisted mind.
Why is it that the people that speak out against global warming alarmism or try to highlight the uncertainty associated with science referred to as "being in the pockets of Big Oil" - especially Exxon?
Truth be told, the reason those think tanks make those points isn't because their money comes from Exxon, and I bet my bottom dollar that they would make those arguements without Exxon's funding. In fact they do. CEI is no longer funded by Exxon, but has the attack on global warming science and activism stopped? Nope.
So David Roberts isn't funded by Gore, as far as we know. So why the love fest? Maybe because it's just what you believe - just like the people at CEI? You don't have any underhanded motives or underlying agendas do you, Dave?
Not much of a point really, just an observation. But don't you think it's time to drop the obsession with the former should-be president? I mean, what good is it doing except fueling the "us vs. them" attitude that's causing so many problems in the first place?
It's clear from reading your posts that constructive comments for a way forward aren't your thing, but the reactionary thing is getting old, fast.
On Share with friends and family posted 2 years, 9 months ago 42 Responsesnice
Maybe this will be the subject of the next X-files movie?On Aliens! posted 2 years, 9 months ago 6 Responses
So to change the directions of this:
What are some come compromises to principle that libertarians concerned about the environment may be willing to make?
Just a few off the top of the head:
Regulating through markets. You need government to lay the framework - the rules of the game - but after that government needs to step back and let the market do what it does best. Cap n' Trade. (Captain Trade?)
Raise the tax on gas. BUT only if you lower the tax on capital and wealth. Stop taxing people for making money and start taxing them for making pollution. Most Libertarians hate the word "tax" but most of us small-l libertarians understand the political realities of taxes.
Now where do the compromises need to be made on the green side of things?
Biggest one I can think of is pricing ecosystem services. Not arbitrarily, but through better definitions of property rights that would allow markets for these services to emerge.
Conservation and mitigation banking. Granted this needs to be done within guidelines so that it can be successful.On There's a coalition waiting posted 2 years, 9 months ago 60 Responses
how did this get on libertarians anyway?
Why does libertarianism always get associated with the Right? Where are you people learning your political science? Libertraian philosophy is neither Right nor Left. Although libertarians have mostly been associated with the Republicans due to a similar view on economic policies, they shun other aspects of Republicans. In this wonderful two-party system that America has, people with libertarian leanings have often had to choose the "lesser of the two evils" based on their beliefs. Many of them thought that lied with the Republicans.
NEWS FLASH: A hefty number of people in America have libertarian leanings. They are not members of the Libertarian Party (how libertarian is it to have an organized party?). Please stop confusing the two. The LP is stubborn, most people with libertarian leanings are not. When you lump them together you start to lose those that don't associate with the LP.
Want an interesting view as to why Democrats won the elections recently? libertarians. Small l. Those voters that had always thought the Republicans were the lesser of the two evils finally grew some balls and voted against the party that has payed lip service to their principles but stabbed them in the back repeatedly.
When certain jackasses start interchanging libertarian and conservative, they show how ignorant they are. They also come off as as stubborn as the jerks that run the LP. Those of us left with libertarian leanings are ignored, but we're the silent majority. If you don't give us a reason to listen to you and work with you, we won't. Voters with libertarian principles helped sway the recent elections -- read that, most people are willing to compromise -- but compromise and working together is a two-way process.On There's a coalition waiting posted 2 years, 9 months ago 60 Responses
Assigning?
Assigning is the wrong word to use when putting forth the idea that ecosystem services should be measured and valued in a manner that will allow them to be considered by decision-makers. It is the wrong word, not because the concept of nature having a monetary price is wrong but because it begs the question - who is assigning these values? The very concept of value being assigned is wrong.
First, keep in mind that value and price are totally different. Value is subjective, prices are aggregations of expressed values - and they are objective. Putting a price on nature won't change the fact that some people value nature for its own sake, but it will make more people consider the environment when making decisions.
Ecosystem services need to be priced because that is the only way they will be taken into account, on a large scale, in decisions that involve trade-offs between disturbing nature and leaving it pristine. It is the only way that nature's services can be compared with alternatives.
This question isn't new, and in fact many environmentalists and most economists agree that pricing nature would be a useful tool. So how do we put prices on nature's services? They cannot be assigned in a conscious effort, because any conscious effort to assign prices to all nature's services will be skewed by personal values. Remember, prices are aggregations of subjective values.
The key to this equation is being missed in almost every conservation I hear or article I read about it - it has to do with property rights.
Prices are the mechanism of the market, but things can't be traded in a market - or priced - until someone, or a group of people, has ownership over them. The only way ecosystem services can be priced is if someone owns those services.
Once ownership of the services is established, then the negotiations can begin. Do we pay Joe X amount for the water filtration services that his wetlands provide, or do we pay Bill Y amount to build a water treatment facility?
We've overlooked the important question in this debate, which is how are the property rights over ecosystem services to be assigned if the services are to be priced, and therefore entered into decision-making processes?On Environmentalism's confusing accounting posted 2 years, 9 months ago 59 Responses