Comments josullivan58 has made
- No its not inevitable that the EPA prevail, and lots of tricky things can happen in Congress.On Can EPA regulations on CO2 be blocked? posted 2 weeks, 3 days ago 11 Responses
Well put David.
On Everything you always wanted to know about EPA greenhouse gas regulations, but were afraid to ask posted 2 months, 1 week ago 10 ResponsesThere are people on the left who are willing to throw environmentalists to the wolves. I've never been sure why. Is it to try and keep the right-wing attack machine focused on someone else? Its another case of letting the right set the debate on its terms.
On Joe Klein compares Van Jones to ‘white supremacist,' 'Nazi' posted 2 months, 2 weeks ago 14 ResponsesEPA to declare CO2 a dangerous pollutant
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2009/08/31/MNM219GIJD.DTL
On Could Waxman and Markey have used the EPA threat more effectively? posted 2 months, 3 weeks ago 28 Responses"We did sue" The initial lawsuit was if the EPA had the authority to regulate CO2. Once that was done an endangerment finding was required. Bush punted on that and Obama made it. The next step is to start regulating.
This is where another lawsuit comes in. If the EPA goes slow waiting for legislation from Congress, that's when another lawsuit should be filed. Maybe one of the more litigatious groups like the Center for Biological Diversity can file. The regulations typically require action within deadlines. If action is not being taken enviros should sue to force compliance with the law.
On Could Waxman and Markey have used the EPA threat more effectively? posted 2 months, 3 weeks ago 28 ResponsesThe way things are going I think enviros should aggressively sue to get action under the Clean Air Act. The House Bill had lots of compromises and even with more compromises action seems doubtful in the Senate. To quote the old motto of the Environmental Defense Fund: sue the bastards!
On Could Waxman and Markey have used the EPA threat more effectively? posted 2 months, 3 weeks ago 28 ResponsesA trial to find scientific facts? Since when are courtroom trials the way we conduct science?
The term res judicata is the legal term that describes a situation where a suit is thrown out because the courts have already made a final desicion. If you've lost its too bad because its over. Someone needs to tell the delayers and the denialists its over.
On US Chamber of Commerce calls for ‘Scopes Monkey Trial’ on climate change posted 3 months ago 19 ResponsesYes, rabbit is delicious.
On Puppies and bunnies and carnivorous eco-curmudgeons posted 3 months, 1 week ago 7 Responses"Bet there's no picture with Bill Clinton's arm around the cookie monster!"
There's a picture, but it's not Bill Clinton's arm that's around the cookie monster. ;)
On Caption needed! UPDATE: Caption found posted 3 months, 2 weeks ago 21 ResponsesMaybe the focus should be on using the Clean Air Act to spur congress to act.
On Four Democratic senators call for delay on climate legislation posted 3 months, 2 weeks ago 12 ResponsesRobert Kennedy Jr would be a terrible candidate. A former heroin addict, who failed the bar multiple times, has meger court room experience and never sat on the bench would be a self-destructive choice for enviros. Michael Wara who has been a lawyer for all of two and a half years is simply not experienced enough to be considered for the Supreme Court. Endorsing either one would make enviros look like lightweights.
I'll rephrase my question: who with any chance of being approved by the Senate should have enviros backed?
On Sotomayor endorsement is an embarrassment posted 4 months, 2 weeks ago 11 ResponsesIf not Sotomayor who should have enviros backed for the Supreme Court?
On Sotomayor endorsement is an embarrassment posted 4 months, 2 weeks ago 11 ResponsesFrom Pew: Myths about the Waxman-Markey Clean Energy Bill
http://www.pewclimate.org/acesa/eight-myths/June2009
On Why I'm not freaked out about the Waxman-Markey climate bill posted 5 months ago 36 ResponsesThe right has picked an issue that they are going to fight tooth and nail against and its global warming legislation. They are playing the good cop bad cop routine with "if its not a fact we must not act" Inhofe and smokin' Joe Barton as the bad cops and the patsy republican who are offering poison pill bills as the supposedly good cops.
On Should the Republican carbon tax bill be taken seriously? posted 6 months, 2 weeks ago 6 Responses- For an interesting viewpoint from a conservative law professor read Adler's post on the Volokh Conspiracy. Its a level-headed examination of the issue. EPA Issues Endangerment and Contribution Findings http://volokh.com/posts/1240072108.shtml#contactOn EPA says greenhouse-gas emissions a threat to public health posted 7 months, 1 week ago 25 Responses
"But this begs the far bigger question: why is ice growing in Antarctica at all (with rising CO2),"
See http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn16988-why-antarctic-ice-is-growing-despite-global-warming.html
On EPA says greenhouse-gas emissions a threat to public health posted 7 months, 1 week ago 25 ResponsesI really shouldn't feed a certain type of commenter, but here goes.
"The ice sheets in Antarctica have been actually been growing in aggregate (even as CO2 levels are been increasing!) In other words, Miami is going to be safe! This is good... right?"
No, you are confused. Sea ice is already floating and so doesn't alter sea levels when it melts or freezes. Terrestrial ice is what counts. The cited text from the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research refers to sea ice not terrestrial.
On EPA says greenhouse-gas emissions a threat to public health posted 7 months, 1 week ago 25 ResponsesThere will be lawsuits about the endangerment finding, but they are just a delaying tactic.
The EPA even under Bush never denied the effects of global warming gases. In the Supreme Court EPA v Mass the EPA said there was global warming and it was harmful but chose not to regulate for reasons not in the Clean Air Act. Science will not be a big issue in litigation.
The litigation will focus more on the regulations themselves which will not be made for quite some time.
On EPA says greenhouse-gas emissions a threat to public health posted 7 months, 1 week ago 25 ResponsesRemember
that Paterson was not elected Governor. He is a conservative Democrat in a liberal Democrat state. He might not be the Democratic candidate next election.
I understand here in NY and NYC the economy is particularly bad so somethings have to change, but to hold a secret meeting to change critical AGW laws is unacceptable.
The NYT also had an editorial about this:
A Need to Clear the Air
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/07/opinion/07sat4.html?th& ...On New York governor goes in the tank for industry, backs away from climate plan posted 8 months, 3 weeks ago 12 ResponsesThe Washington Post
was not too long ago bought by new owners and since then its drifted right. On Conservative columnist lies to millions of people, again, ho hum posted 9 months, 1 week ago 36 Responses
From the Cryosphere Today
February 15, 2009
In an opinion piece by George Will published on February 15, 2009 in the Washington Post, George Will states "According to the University of Illinois' Arctic Climate Research Center, global sea ice levels now equal those of 1979."We do not know where George Will is getting his information, but our data shows that on February 15, 1979, global sea ice area was 16.79 million sq. km and on February 15, 2009, global sea ice area was 15.45 million sq. km. Therefore, global sea ice levels are 1.34 million sq. km less in February 2009 than in February 1979. This decrease in sea ice area is roughly equal to the area of Texas, California, and Oklahoma combined.
It is disturbing that the Washington Post would publish such information without first checking the facts.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/On Conservative columnist lies to millions of people, again, ho hum posted 9 months, 2 weeks ago 36 ResponsesUnfortunately
Marc "if it's not a fact you must not act" Morano is a joke, but many people take him seriously. On The entire conservative media is informed on climate science by the office of James Inhofe posted 9 months, 2 weeks ago 23 Responses
Obama is
sending it to the EPA because this is the normal process. According to the Clean Air Act the head of the EPA is the person who grants the waver.
I am happy to see this return to the rule of law, and I expect the waver to be quickly granted. On Move would allow California and 13 other states to set tougher tailpipe standards posted 10 months ago 10 Responses
It is downright disturbing
It reminds me of a statement in a Competitive Enterprise Institute (the "CO2 is Life" people) document about how they thought climate science will lose its urgency in the general public.
People are doubting scientific facts because of the war on science is working and not because the science is becoming less certain.
Hopefully this destructive trend can be reversed. On Poll shows more Americans do not believe global warming is result of man-made activity posted 10 months ago 14 Responses
David Roberts is right this thread
is depressing, so to change the topic and lighten the mood:
Obama to Let States Restrict Emissions Standards
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/26/us/politics/26calif.htm ...On Carl Pope stepping down from helm of the Sierra Club posted 10 months ago 24 ResponsesThe entire regulating CO2 situation.
Saying he would do it then saying he wouldn't, casting doubt on the science, withholding scientific reports, muzzling scientists, blocking the states actions, undercutting international efforts, political appointees castrating agencies, fighting in court, losing in court then flipping off the courts and doing nothing, dragging out the rule-making process to epic proportions.
"hey, let's f*ck with the dirty hippies!" indeedOn Grist looks back at the WTF moments of the George W. Bush years posted 10 months, 1 week ago 3 Responses
The entire regulating CO2 situation.
Saying he would do it then saying he wouldn't, casting doubt on the science, withholding scientific reports, muzzling scientists, blocking the states actions, undercutting international efforts, political appointees castrating agencies, fighting in court, losing in court then flipping off the courts and doing nothing, dragging out the rule-making process to epic proportions.
"hey, let's f*ck with the dirty hippies!" indeedOn Grist looks back at the WTF moments of the George W. Bush years posted 10 months, 1 week ago 3 Responses
I did not think
that Obama was going to take on big agriculture, so I wasn't too disappointed. I could be wrong, but I don't recall Obama pushing farming reform. On What happened to the big win for progressives, the environment, and organic food? posted 10 months, 2 weeks ago 5 Responses
The Daily News
is really just a tabloid. I doubt they have any insight into the Obama administration. Sports, celebrity gossip and lurid news stories are the only things that get any substantial coverage in the paper. On NY Daily News: Obama considering moving USDA pick Vilsack to commerce posted 10 months, 3 weeks ago 1 Response
#2 happened in real life
at a zoo twenty years ago.
BOY ENTERED BEARS' AREA ON A DARE
http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9B0DE7D616 ...On It was inevitable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 2 ResponsesHmmm
Comparing Obama to Saddam Hussein? Didn't the republican smear machine do that? How did that work for them? Isn't it a little early to attack considering he is not even the president yet? On Vilsack's appointment is representative of the narrow range of viewpoints in Obama's Cabinet posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 5 Responses
I wonder how an Obama
administration will run.
Will he give the less than stellar picks like Vilsack a lot of discretion, and will they push their own less-than-green agendas? Or will the appointees be expected to closely follow Obama's agenda?
Obama has said he wants a fact and science based administration. If he runs his presidency like that and requires his appointees to do likewise, he will do a lot of good for the environment. On Vilsack on organic ag and ethanol posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 3 Responses
Not everyone is an environmentalist
As president-elect Obama has to appeal to more people than environmentalists. Some of his picks aren't as great as we would like, but it's just politics.
I am waiting to see how Obama's picks perform. I'm expecting a lot of good but not perfection. On Not-so-deep thought posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 7 Responses
The NY Times
has an editorial with lots of guarded optimism.
Mr. Obama's Green Team
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/13/opinion/13sat1.html?th= ... On Obama's green administration picks signal major shifts in policy posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 6 ResponsesTo see what conservatives
think read this editorial in the Wall Street Journal. They are so ticked off I laughed when I read it.
Obama's Carbon Buster's
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122904166229300171.htmlOn Obama's green administration picks signal major shifts in policy posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 6 ResponsesObama's picks
are pragmatic, but on the progressive and environmental side of pragmatic. Pragmatic means picking people who have experience and abilities to push a new agenda. On Obama's environmental team is centered around a long-time Gore acolyte posted 11 months, 3 weeks ago 4 Responses
I don't think Al Gore meant that either
Environmental Defense is being scapegoated and it serves no purpose other then allowing some enviro's to vent about their failures by blaming other enviro's.On Taking on corporate America's faves posted 11 months, 4 weeks ago 8 Responses
I a backer of using the CAA
to regulate GHG. The CAA with all its faults has been very successful and cost effective. The National Academies of Sciences did a review of the CAA and came to this conclusion.
The 'executive branch overreach' is a only purported disadvantage. Its a hand-wavey way for conservatives to say they don't like business regulations. It gets used by the right almost reflexively.
Reversibility isn't a big problem for enviros. The executive branch still must follow the law, and once a GHG program is in place it will be a violation of the CAA to reverse it.
If there was ever an example of not letting the perfect get in the way of the good, its using the Clean Air Act to regulate greenhouse gases.
The lack of public deliberation is a problem. Something this big ideally would be debated. The public comment period during rule making will however allow lots of input from concerned citizens. On Some thoughts on the merits of regulating greenhouse gases via the Clean Air Act posted 11 months, 4 weeks ago 5 Responses
Its interesting to see what the other side
of the aisle is saying about Obama's picks.
Conservative columnist David Brooks so far likes Obama's choices because they are moderates, well-respected in and out of Washington, and make decisions based on evidence not ideology.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/21/opinion/21brooks.htmlOn Obama announces economic advisers, stresses clean energy posted 1 year ago 3 Responses
Just eat lower on the food chain
Ranched tuna is like clean coal and light cigarettes. They're all bad.On Farming bluefins not an answer to overfishing posted 1 year ago 9 Responses
Promising begining
The big picture looks very good but there are lots of details to be worked out.
The Bush administration doesn't really have the time to do anything about this ruling, even delay is not option because the decision was handed down so close to the end. Those opposed to the decision can appeal it in federal court but this again will just delay it.
If the EPA says CO2 is a pollutant the states have to follow because the EPA has the ultimate authority on air pollution permits, even when the EPA has granted a state authority to do the permitting themselves.
The wildcard is the BACT. Best Available Control Technology has a list of sub-categories and it gets deep into legal and engineering details. I think the most to be expected right now is increased efficiency. Carbon capture techniques might be mandated in the future. On Sierra Club win shuts down 30 proposed coal plants at a stroke posted 1 year ago 14 Responses
Hopefully for NYC
an Obama administration will help cities fund transportation. New York's MTA is looking at serious shortfalls in their budget. On How investing in transit could save Obama's butt posted 1 year ago 7 Responses
All this is not to say
that RFK jr hasn't done some good work, because he has. Its particularly his work as a spokesman on some issues that has been valuable. He has also been wrong on other issues.
RFK jr works for the NRDC. He is not the lead attorney for the NRDC, he doesn't work for the litigation division.
http://www.nrdc.org/about/staff.aspAt Pace University Law School he participates in the clinic which means he helps students get real world experience, but he is not a professor or legal scholar in the normal usage of the that term.On Obama considers RFK Jr. for EPA posted 1 year ago 34 Responses
RFK jr
is never going to be nominated anyway. Obama will not waste political capital on a nominee who has so much baggage and no chance of confirmation.
First of all there is the felony drug conviction at the age of 30, which can't be written off as some youthful indiscretion. Second is that he needed treatment for a full-blown heroin addiction and there is an understandable stigma associated with that. Last he was arrested, convicted and did time for protesting the US Navy in 2001. In the post-9/11 world and in wartime hostile protests of the military are a big negatives.
When these things are considered I don't know how anyone could think that the Senate would confirm him. If the Senate was composed of environmentalists he might have a chance, but its not. On Obama considers RFK Jr. for EPA posted 1 year ago 34 Responses
The right still
has control over the third branch of government, the judiciary, which could hamper the democrats efforts.
The democrats must be careful not to overreach, and start to think that just because they control two of three branches (one of those narrowly) they have a mandate to change everything. The right tried that and look where its got them.On Nader's challenge posted 1 year ago 5 Responses
Obama's campaign
was known for its lack of leaks. Reporters are probably engaging in some idle speculation. Some of the speculation seems well thought-out and not like the RFK jr rumors.On More EPA speculation posted 1 year ago 3 Responses
Backcut
are any of your comments not freak-outs about forest fires? Have you thought about going on meds?On How Obama can revive the economy and heal the planet posted 1 year ago 6 Responses
I almost forgot about that
Waaaay too much baggage, he's DOA. I think RFK jr's nomination is beltway celebrity gossip and only that. The professional environmentalist with the most star power is RFK jr so he's attracting the most gossip.
Kennedy Son Given Probation in Drug Case
http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9A0DE7DF10 ...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_F_Kennedy_Jr#cite_not ...On Obama considers RFK Jr. for EPA posted 1 year ago 34 ResponsesAnd
The EPA is legally obligated to make regulatory decisions using the best available science. To do otherwise would reject the rule of law. Again considering the past eight years the EPA needs an administrator who will closely follow the law.
RFK jr has great qualities for an activist but not those needed to run the most important environmental regulator in the world. On Obama considers RFK Jr. for EPA posted 1 year ago 34 Responses
No
RFK jr would want to do the right thing, but he does not have the ability to do so.
That whole vaccinations and autism stand brings him very close to crackpot territory. Considering the past eight years the EPA needs someone who embraces science, not rejects it. How can the EPA use science as a basis for decisions when the head selectively picks the science he likes. The Luntz memo stated enviros have scientific facts on our side, and RFK jr risks losing this advantage.
He is also sure to be a lightning rod for the right. He doesn't get any more liberal elite. The confirmation might be a tough and costly battle for a subpar administrator.
On Obama considers RFK Jr. for EPA posted 1 year ago 34 Responses
From todays NY Times
"The administration has been especially busy weakening regulations that promote clean air and clean water and protect endangered species."
So Little Time, So Much Damage
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/04/opinion/04tue1.html?_r= ...
On 'Midnight regulation' abounds after June 1 deadline posted 1 year ago 2 ResponsesThe elected representatives already spoke
when they wrote the Clean Air Act and specifically included provisions to allow new substances to be listed as pollutants. No one disputed CO2 is changing the climate in the court case. To do so would be perjurous.
The court followed the rule of law, something the Bush administration routinely ignores.On The next president should use the Clean Air Act to control greenhouse gas emissions posted 1 year ago 3 Responses
The priority is effective action
and sometimes that means compromises.
Its not good vs better courses of action, its doing things that will work in the wider world outside environmentalist circles vs things that won't work.On The Senate and the union hall: Where American climate policy will succeed or fail posted 1 year ago 4 Responses
This is bad
It shows that McCain has the same disdain for the rule of law and environmental regulation that Bush does. A McCain presidency will be an environmental disaster surpassed only by Bush's.On McCain adviser challenges idea of regulating CO2 under the Clean Air Act posted 1 year ago 2 Responses
Very true
If you talk to the people in the companies and not their allies in the media and advocacy groups you'll find they are much more reasonable.
Many lawyers, for example, the priority is 100% compliance, not getting their companies around the law. On future regulations they'll willingly accept very strict limits if it means uniform and stable standards. On Corporate foot soldiers fired up to kick environmental butt posted 1 year, 1 month ago 17 Responses
I wonder
if the flood of comments that slowed down the proposed change to the Endangered Species Act could do the same here.
On the Sierra Club Blog Carl Pope notes that the speed of the rule-making is effectively shutting out public comments and giving the basis for a legal challenge to void Bush's changes. On Bush administration likely to move forward on changes to new-source review posted 1 year, 1 month ago 3 Responses
Obama does in fact get it
Green is the way of the future. We enviros are right, and we'll have a president who agrees.
NY Times has endorsed Obama in an editorial including this line about McCain:
"He surrendered his standing as an independent thinker in his rush to embrace Mr. Bush's misbegotten tax policies and to abandon his leadership position on climate change"
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/24/opinion/24fri1.html?pag ...On Obama muses on the connection between energy/climate and our other problems posted 1 year, 1 month ago 7 ResponsesI almost forgot
about Mass v EPA until Kate's piece about the Obama adviser's interview. Mass v EPA is a big deal. This post and Clean Air Jump-Start are very informative.
Most of the recent advances enviros have made have been in the courts. Lawyers are as important to environment as grassroot organizers.
On Regulating CO2 via the EPA would be a hugely significant move for the next president posted 1 year, 1 month ago 2 Responses
One thing the far right hates
and I mean truly hates is public participation.
When enviros worked to get the current laws passed they made sure substantive involvement for the public was included. In the history of regulation this was a major innovation and the US system of environmental protection is globally recognized for how democratic it is.
To shed some light on some insider baseball meaningful public participation allows enviros to step in and require the regulated groups and the agencies to prove their claims by producing evidence. If they don't produce it or if they do and environmental laws are violated enviros can sue to stop it.
Its these provisions that let the states and enviros sue to force the EPA to obey the law and reduce greenhouse pollution.
I'll summarize the heritage foundation's post: we want to do whatever we want, whenever we want and in any way we want but the enviros are stopping us, so we will change the game. We will kick the enviros out and pretend we are not. On Republican foot soldiers prepare to push for reduced public participation in dirty energy projects posted 1 year, 1 month ago 1 Response
Obama is a pragmatist
but wants to push a proenvironmental agenda.
Energy along with health care and Iraq are Obama's three big issues. Energy and environment are so closely intertwined that if energy is at the top the environment is at the top.
David is right about Obama being our best and only choice. Enviros should protest when Obama he isn't making better choices but should realize what is truly possible and shouldn't be self-destructive. On Obama's 'support' for dirty energy contains conditional clauses that make all the difference posted 1 year, 1 month ago 5 Responses
Well put David
Obama is a good politician and that's what enviro's need. We have been spoiled by our successes and need a dose of realism.
To some degree a committed environmentalist president is like environmentally responsible oil-drilling, they don't exist. Politics and drilling are dirty businesses. Nobody involved with them is untouched.
An environmentalist president will look for the best realistic possibilities. I think Obama has already in reminding us that we already have an enacted and proven very successful law that the Supreme Court ruled covers greenhouse gases, the Clean Air Act.
On Obama cannot politically afford to take the kind of bold green stances enviros are hungry for posted 1 year, 1 month ago 19 Responses
This would allow immediate action
on reducing greenhouse pollution. All the legislative wrangling can be skipped and would not delay progress because the law is already in place. The Clean Air Act is written broadly enough to allow a wide range of regulatory actions. On Energy adviser says Obama would regulate emissions under the Clean Air Act posted 1 year, 1 month ago 1 Response
Its about time
Greenpeace disowned him.
The only reason the nuclear industry and others hired him was because he worked for Greenpeace. All he does lend the NEI and others false environmental credibility in public relations. He is no expert on nuclear energy. On Greenpeace formally disavows any connection to industry shill Patrick Moore posted 1 year, 1 month ago 7 Responses
Palin may mangle facts
but she has no problem using her power as mayor and governor for personal vendettas
Alaska Inquiry Concludes Palin Abused Powers
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/11/us/politics/11trooper.h ...On Palin again mangles facts on energy posted 1 year, 1 month ago 9 ResponsesWell said
"If we as Americans can't reject that kind of politics, we deserve what we get." Well said indeedOn Republican congresscritters are in serious trouble posted 1 year, 1 month ago 5 Responses
Lawyer up
Enviros can and must tie up offshore drilling in the courts. There is a laundry list of things the government must do just to consider opening up offshore areas, and each of these steps can be opposed in court. This will make any claims to drill premature and invalid.
Nothing will happen now, and well into the next presidency. Obama will oppose drilling, McCain won't. Worst case is if McCain wins. All hope will then be in the courts, but if McCain gets re-elected then its over. On Congress looks set to let offshore and oil shale moratoriums expire posted 1 year, 1 month ago 2 Responses
I was mildly suprised
but only mildly. As I have written umpteen times in comments on Gristmill the republicans have no interest in bipartisanship or compromise. Its been this way since at least 2000 and especially since the democrats were elected as the majority in congress.
The public is blaming the republicans for the financial crisis and in response they are holding the country and country's well-being hostage for damage control.
Now I have serious doubts about McCain doing anything about climate change if he becomes president. I am suspecting a Bush style position reversal by McCain. The same people who engineered it for Bush work for McCain. On McCain gambles with the U.S. economy; House Republicans hold the bailout hostage; chaos reigns posted 1 year, 2 months ago 6 Responses
The republicans
are playing election politics, and it is a scorched earth campaign. If it wasn't stopped by republicans in congress, a presidential veto would have stopped any compromise on offshore drilling. They were going to get offshore drilling no matter what the democrats or enviros did, and they were going to make the democrats and enviros look bad doing it.
Look at the campaign that McCain is running, its one of the sleaziest and dishonest in modern history. Is that a campaign of a party that wants to reach out and work with the other side?
The New York Times run an editorial that warned with the way McCain and the republicans are running now it will be very difficult to have any bipartisanship come 2009, and if McCain won he would be unable to effectively run the country.On Offshore drilling ban will expire at the end of September posted 1 year, 2 months ago 1 Response
Bush's support is unlikely
The administration has made it abundantly clear it doesn't like legislation that it removes the tax breaks to oil and gas companies and encourages renewables. Not wanting to seem to contradict the bogus and election motivated "all of the above" scheme, Bush has not said he will veto it.
The bill will go to conference to iron out the differences between the house and senate versions and the inevitable changes will be used as an excuse to veto it. On Senate passes renewable tax credits on the ninth attempt posted 1 year, 2 months ago 5 Responses
The Clintons' angle
I've read is to see McCain get elected for one term, see him screw it up, and then have Hillary run and get elected in 2012. On Clinton Global Initiative jumps the shark, invites McCain to keynote on energy solutions posted 1 year, 2 months ago 2 Responses
Even Bush wasn't this bad
Palin appointed someone with no real experience, either legal or management as the attorney general. Gonzales did a terrible job, but he was at least qualified for the job. The attorney general is responsible for the states criminal justice system, family courts, and enforcing environmental laws just to name a few things.
Palin is not fit to be vice president and McCain in naming her is not fit to be president. On Palin's record of secrecy and cronyism affects environment among other issues posted 1 year, 2 months ago 4 Responses
Which begs the question
"She does a pretty good impersonation. And this relates to the "environment" how?"
how does mreinbold's question relate to the environment?On Tina Fey as Sarah Palin posted 1 year, 2 months ago 6 Responses
I thought the NYT article was OK
It had a bit of the 'new study changes everything' hook, but it was nuanced and did a pretty good job about reporting on the study itself.
What to do about alien/introduced/invasive species involves not just science but also economics and ethics. The last line of the article:
"It's not that this is all good or all bad, and I'm not sure science should be the arbiter," Dr. Brown said. "Placing values on these things is the job of society as a whole."On NYT critiques alien biology posted 1 year, 2 months ago 27 ResponsesAre the answers out there already?
This post is a list of very well thought out questions. Have the pro and cons been thoroughly fleshed out for any of them?
Any links to sites or to pdfs of papers?On Weighing the costs and benefits of increased offshore drilling posted 1 year, 2 months ago 3 Responses
Its finally happened
George Bush is a New England blue blood playing a good old boy. But no more acting for the GOP! The vice president candidate is actually from a trailer park.On Van Palin posted 1 year, 2 months ago 2 Responses
Its not left or right
"I suspect Obama and I are well to the right of most of the folks who comment here"
David Roberts and Obama are not dirty hippies like most of the folks who comment here. ;)On NYT Magazine probes Obama's economic thinking posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses
look at his record
John McCain is a conservative republican, regardless of the spin of him being a moderate or maverick. His record on environmental matters in the senate is poor. Although its not as bad a Bush, but then again no one is bad as Bush.
The people who advised Bush in 2000 had Bush lie through his teeth and say he was going to regulate greenhouse gases. These same people are advising McCain's campaign. On Who's advising McCain on energy and climate? posted 1 year, 3 months ago 2 Responses
David is right
The quest for ideological purity is nice, but its counterproductive. It rears its ugly head in various disguises, like not being enough of a vegetarian or being too friendly with business to be environmentalists, and making compromises is unacceptable even when compromises are the only way to get results.
Now its not leaving politics to the scientists even though science and politics involve different skill sets.On Obama's energy and climate advisors posted 1 year, 3 months ago 52 Responses
One thing is
all the work that went into creating the WCI will be valuable experience when there is a better chance for action on the federal level in 2009.
My semi-educated guess is McCain might push a weak uniform national program that would pre-empt the WCI. McCain is after all a conservative republican so business interests will have a powerful role in his climate policy.
Obama first of all will push much harder for a much better program. Setting a minimum and uniform federal standard, but giving states the option of going further like the Clean Air Act seems most likely. The business community will accept the uniform part begrudgingly, the agencies will like the continuity with the existing CAA, and enviros will like the state's option to go further as will the states.On What happens with a new president? posted 1 year, 3 months ago 3 Responses
Interesting after a quick reading
The legal basis is the standard basis for challenging agency actions, the proposed rule does things that the law does not permit.
Earthjustice wants the state to come up with a plan that does a better job of meeting the requirements of the law. Ambiguities and wiggle room that would create loopholes need to be removed.
Earthjustice wants clear authority for citizen suits to be included in the final plan, based on the provisions already in the Clean Air Act. This request is at the end of the attachment, but its very important. Lawsuits are one of the most valuable tools environmentalists have.On EarthJustice challenges the legality of the draft plan for California's A.B. 32 posted 1 year, 3 months ago 5 Responses
What concerns me
is that the Dems will cave, the coastal areas are opened, and then gas prices don't drop. The public will ask what happened.
The Republicans will come up with something new, like saying "the environmental laws that the oil companies are forced to obey are the reason for high gas prices. These laws must be repealed."On Unilateral drilling deal is bad politics posted 1 year, 3 months ago 3 Responses
Its interesting, I'm anxious to see whats next
David brooks the NY Times columnist has written Obama is a very good politician, maybe the kind that you see only once in a generation.
Obama is turning this into an opportunity. He is being the candidate who is breaking the old DC deadlock. I hope he will play this for all its worth. In congress I hope Pelosi will stand firm. Pelosi is already a lightning rod for the republicans and any additional grief is inconsequential for her.
On Should Obama consider compromise on drilling? posted 1 year, 3 months ago 4 Responses
Governors do have some veto power
Most states have some say in federal activities in their waters under the Coastal Zone Management Act, but most of the drilling would probably be outside of the states territorial seas. On Coastal governors stand in the way of offshore drilling, even if Congress approves it posted 1 year, 3 months ago 4 Responses
Maybe the senators are reading gristmill
Three senators call for EPA chief to resign
http://www.enn.com/climate/article/37796On EPA administrator Stephen Johnson neglects his federal oath posted 1 year, 4 months ago 6 ResponsesSo the EDF is not a dirty hippie
Yes the EDF works with big business sometimes. Yes the EDF makes compromises. Maybe the EDF can be faulted for not pushing hard enough, but its a stretch to say they are in bed with corporate america or undermining the environmental movement.
Some of the discussions about the EDF on gristmill remind me of the posts about meat-eating environmentalists where ideological purity becomes an obstacle to progress.On EDF prez says we can't afford to wait for the ideal first step posted 1 year, 4 months ago 17 Responses
Is the criticism of EDF waranted or wise?
No climate bill was going to be passed in 2008. I don't see how anyone could seriously think any proposal, good bad or indifferent, would be enacted.
I think the EDF is engaging in some political theater. My take on the L-W fight is the EDF is trying to put a positive spin on a no-win situation, basically saying 'look how much progress we're making' and 'we're getting close to results'. This does have the benefit of making enviros look less impotent than we are right now.
The one thing the right is very good at is avoiding damaging public infighting. Even the arch-contrarian Inhofe is dialing down his rhetoric with McCain as the Republican nominee.
We should use caution before we criticize other environmentalists and other environmentalist groups. On Has EDF spun out of environmentalism? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 19 Responses
My clarification
No the Democrats don't agree with the Republicans, but as David accurately notes the Democrats have a special talent for folding.
I am hoping the Democrats won't fold on oil drilling.On Republicans are bluffing on drilling posted 1 year, 4 months ago 19 Responses
I hope David is not right
Its possible the Democrats might be agreeing with the Republicans in talk only. The Democrats endgame hopefully is delaying until after elections when the Republicans will be even weaker.On Republicans are bluffing on drilling posted 1 year, 4 months ago 19 Responses
RealClimate joins in
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/07/onc ...On Viscount Monckton, a British peer, says his paper was peer-reviewed by a scientist posted 1 year, 4 months ago 8 Responses
Shell oil is pusing it
so it has to be a good idea, right?
http://www.enn.com/top_stories/spotlight/37721On Could lime absorb massive amounts of carbon dioxide? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 15 ResponsesIts an election year
I think this is some political theater. The democrats are making a token gesture to the right to blunt the PR offensive McCain and the right have launched. I don't think it will amount to anything.On Some Democrats in Congress bending on drilling debate posted 1 year, 4 months ago 8 Responses
Interesting
This was coming, but I'm surprised this decision came before the EPA acted. I'll have to read the ruling and see exactly what the judge wrote.On Georgia judge finds that coal plant must obtain emissions permit from state EPA posted 1 year, 4 months ago 2 Responses
Moratorium = stick it to the environmentalists
If this wasn't coming from the Bush administration I would say caution on public lands is OK, but this decision is coming from the Bush administration.
Considering Bush's history, its hard not to see this as an intentional poke in the environmentalist community's eye. On BLM contemplates two-year moratorium on solar power plant construction in the West posted 1 year, 5 months ago 68 Responses
Don't feed the trolls
christophersj trying to discuss science with manacker/black wallaby is a waste of time. I and others have tried, but its useless to debate science with someone who hates and doesn't understand science.On U.S. federal report details climate change's impact on weather extremes posted 1 year, 5 months ago 29 Responses
globalwarming.org?
Its a website created by the International Policy Network, a front group created by tobacco and oil company lobbyists. Its not a credible source.
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=International_ ...On U.S. federal report details climate change's impact on weather extremes posted 1 year, 5 months ago 29 Responses
Don't tell McCain adviser Kevin Hassett
that "Polar Bear to Be a Protected Species"
Via NY Times
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/washington/AP-Polar-Bear. ...On McCain promotes eco-cred, while his advisers push for more Bush-style policies posted 1 year, 6 months ago 4 ResponsesRegulations do encourage R&D
There even is a category of regulations called "technology forcing". Generally these regs state that an industry must reduce pollution to set levels by a set period of time. Its done to spur businesses to develop pollution control technology. On How much will it really cost to address climate change? posted 1 year, 6 months ago 11 Responses
Gail Collins at The New York TImes
has a good editorial. The Fat Bush Theory
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/19/opinion/19collins.html? ...On Bush to push for climate legislation? posted 1 year, 7 months ago 6 Responsesmanacker/black wallaby is upset and emotional
manacker/black wallaby:
"back off on your somewhat stupid comment that "commenters are knocking themselves out to convince everyone that there has been a plateau in global warming""First its not my comment and second its not stupid. manacker/black wallaby is confusing weather and climate.
manacker/black wallaby:
"John, who is terribly busy when it comes to others on thread, can leap to respond in less than four hours"manacker/black wallaby is upset that JCross is not replying to him but is responding to other people. manacker/black wallaby needs a more constructive hobby than waiting for comments on gristmill. On Similarities between the skin cancer and climate change 'scams' posted 1 year, 7 months ago 173 Responses
The source
The reference manacker/black wallaby really uses to create his comments is this graph from the Journal of Irreproducible Results
http://www.jir.com/graph_contest/index.html#OneGraphOn Similarities between the skin cancer and climate change 'scams' posted 1 year, 7 months ago 173 ResponsesFor Mr. Nice Guy's question,
this may not be the answer, but may be helpful.
The graph in the New Statesman article is from this RealClimate post:
"Uncertainty, noise and the art of model-data comparison"
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/01/unc ...
On Similarities between the skin cancer and climate change 'scams' posted 1 year, 7 months ago 173 ResponsesReporting while intoxicated at the Wash. Times
Bush has for his six years as governor of Texas and nearly eight years as president fought tooth and nail against environmental protection and conservation in every way possible, violating nearly every major environmental law.
Now bush will do something to fight global warming. If someone believes that Bush will propose global warming regulations, I would suggest that person undergo a sobriety test.
In all likelihood its a ploy to undercut republican support for climate change regulations. Hesitant republicans in congress now have an additional excuse not to support any legislative proposals. They will vote no on existing or future laws before 1/20/2009 because they are waiting to support Bush's plan.On Bush to push for climate legislation? posted 1 year, 7 months ago 6 Responses
Has global warming stopped? No it hasn't.
Mark Lynas wrote an informative article addressing the claims contrarians make about recent short-term temperature measurements.
http://www.newstatesman.com/200801140011On Similarities between the skin cancer and climate change 'scams' posted 1 year, 7 months ago 173 ResponsesFrom how to talk to a climate skeptic:
"Global warming stopped in 1998"
http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2006/11/4/175028/329Using 1998 as a starting point is a classic cherry pick.On Similarities between the skin cancer and climate change 'scams' posted 1 year, 7 months ago 173 Responses
New York Times
Has a spot on editorial, placing the blame on the New York Assembly in general and Speaker Mr Silver in particular. "Unworthy of his office" the NYT writes about Mr Silver.
Mr. Silver does it again
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/08/opinion/08tue2.html?_r= ...On Ten reasons NYC's congestion pricing plan went belly up posted 1 year, 7 months ago 18 ResponsesCite a reliable source
manacker/black wallaby:
"Max pointed to a good reference"Seafriends? Seafriends is astroturf. Its one guy, Floor Anthoni a dive shop owner, who did not like it when New Zealand created a marine protected area. He blew a gasket over this and started spreading pseudo-science.
On Similarities between the skin cancer and climate change 'scams' posted 1 year, 7 months ago 173 ResponsesWhoops again
Biodiversivist, Groundskeeper Willy is Scottish not Irish :( .On Hansen paper released; WaPo fails to link to Grist posted 1 year, 7 months ago 8 Responses
RealClimate covers it too
RealClimate discusses the science in an excellent post
Target CO2
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2008/04/tar ...On Hansen paper released; WaPo fails to link to Grist posted 1 year, 7 months ago 8 ResponsesPhysician heal thyself
manacker/black wallaby:
"Josullivan58,
I recommend that you seek medical help"Why? I am just commenting the same way that manacker/black wallaby comments. If manacker/black wallaby can lie and insult people why can't I do it to him?On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 7 months ago 287 Responses
josullivan58 has a memory problem? no
As I wrote earlier I never heard of the expression "sock puppet" until manacker/black wallaby introduced it on this blog. I only used it after manacker/black wallaby kept repeating it over and over. Since mancker/black wallaby introduced this expression he should explain what it means. He has not.
manacker/black wallaby:
"On 24 Jan on the "Inhofe skeptic of the day" thread you told the world that manacker is a "black knight""First, I did not write that manacker/black wallaby is a black knight. I wrote that manacker/black wallaby acts the same way the black knight did on Monty Python and the Holy Grail. Watch the youtube clip. The resemblance in uncanny.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eMkth8FWnoSecond, its not an ad hominem if its satire. My comment was satire and therefore its not a logical fallacy. If manacker/black wallaby reads the entire wikipedia link I posted earlier, he will find the section that describes in detail the difference between ad hominem and satire. He should reply and write how the wikipedia entry explains it.
Third, mancker/black wallaby is searching through the archives for a comment I made months ago. manacker/black wallaby needs to find a more constructive hobby.
manacker/black wallaby:
"If josullivan58, wonders why I call her Lovely Jo"I'm not sure why mancker/black wallaby wants to explain why he is attracted to me.
On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 7 months ago 287 Responses
I was right
It was a case of mistaken identity!
manacker/black wallaby does have me mistaken for someone else. It's understandable for manacker/black wallaby to make a mistake like that.
manacker/black wallaby:
"I though I'd check just how many times Lovely Jo Sullivan has used the description "sock puppet" on Gristmill"It wasn't me, josullivan58, who used the description "sock puppet". It was this other person Jo Sullivan manacker/black wallaby is referring to. Before manacker/black wallaby wrote about sock puppets on this thread I never heard the expression before. manacker/black wallaby still has not explained what it means.
I'm not sure why manacker/black wallaby keeps writing that he is in Australia. Maybe he wants this man Jo Sullivan to stop by and see him so manacker/black wallaby is telling Jo Sullivan where he lives. manacker/black wallaby does constantly write how he thinks this man Jo Sullivan is physically attractive.On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 7 months ago 287 Responses
A case of mistaken identity
manacker/black wallaby:
"Just going through some recent gristmill sites, you have called me (and what you call my "sock puppet, Black Wallaby") a "troll", written that I am "arrogant", that I "hate freedom", am a "black knight" or a "contrarian" and am "part of the 38% that are not entitled to have an opinion"."
manacker/black wallaby is confused. He must have me mixed up with someone else. I don't think I wrote those things. I have never even heard of the expression "sock puppet". Maybe manacker/black wallaby can reply and explain to me what it means. On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 7 months ago 287 Responses
Show me
manacker/black wallaby:
"I identified a few "fallacies" sometimes used by IPCC supporters...""Do you ever use any of these?"
I don't think I do. Maybe manacker/black wallaby can read through my comments and point to the fallacies in my comments. On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 Responses
You been had
Its obviously an April Fool's Joke.On New campaign plans to relocate polar bears to Antarctica posted 1 year, 8 months ago 27 Responses
Science's Achilles Heel
Its unfortunately very easy to cast doubt on science. Scientists have to follow a high standard of behavior and can't be dishonest. The PR people who work for tobacco companies, tanning businesses, oil companies etc. can, and do, lie all they want. On Similarities between the skin cancer and climate change 'scams' posted 1 year, 8 months ago 173 Responses
My Fallacies?
Maybe manacker/black wallaby can list all the logical fallacies in my comments. I would like to see that.On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 Responses
Once more unto the breach
I, like JCross, have noticed the logical fallacies of manacker/black wallaby. If manacker/black wallaby reads this list of logical fallacies and then eliminates these fallacies from his comments perhaps the readers of Gristmill will take him seriously.
List of Fallacies
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallaciesI know manacker/black wallaby doesn't trust wiki-sources, he prefers websites like the heartland institute. The heartland institute has quite a record for being a reliable source of scientific information since its primary author seems to be the snuffalufagous.On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 Responses
Do we still have to be dirty hippies?
Sierra Club and the other big groups like NRDC and Environmental Defense have evolved away from the old model of environmental activism. This is a good thing. As far as the specifics of the deal I can't say much because I don't know much about it, but maybe co-operation with former enemies will be more productive. On Sierra Club removes leadership of its Florida chapter posted 1 year, 8 months ago 42 Responses
I'm still reading JCross
Yes I noticed that your argument with manacker/black wallaby was similar to the my argument with him in December. I have no doubt that you came to your conclusions based on your own research. Your points are essentially the same as mine because they both are based on the science in the IPCC.
Its a waste of time trying to engage in a scientific debate with manacker/black wallaby. This thread started with manacker/black wallaby misrepresenting a statement in the IPCC, either due to his misunderstanding of the way scientific research is published or due to his idealogical conflicts that make it impossible for him to accept scientific facts.
Nearly all of manacker/ black wallaby's assertions are scientific sounding hand-waving. This combined with his lack of civility and his parroting anti-environmentalist talking points it isn't worth the effort to reply to him.On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 Responses
manacker/black wallaby protests too much
manacker and black wallaby are the same person. Reading his comments is like sitting through an episode of sock puppet theater.
The lengths he goes to deny this are funny.
black wallaby
"I will be away for some four days, and probably out of range of radio contact"As soon he does this manacker mysteriously appears
"Maybe Black Wallaby will have some more comments to add when he returns"black wallaby spends an entire comment on this. manacker (who is named max and from Switzerland) made some comments then black wallaby (who is named bob and is from Austrailia) made comments eight hours later, so they must be different people.
Oh yes, I'm sure.
I get annoyed at times and at times laugh at manacker/black wallaby. There are other times I almost feel sorry for him. All the the time he spends making comments on gristmill that are the length of War and Peace defending positions that have no basis in reality and inventing false identities to do it is sad. On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 Responses
Don't feed the trolls
manacker and his sock puppet black wallaby are applying lesson 1 and lesson 2 from Nexus 6
http://n3xus6.blogspot.com/2008/03/lesson-1.html
http://n3xus6.blogspot.com/2008/03/lesson-2.htmlDiscussing climate science with black wallaby/manacker is like discussing evolutionary biology with creationists or discussing the health effects of smoking with a tobacco company spokesman.On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 Responses
Reports by Duncan Wingham
"data show that Antarctica and Greenland are each losing mass overall"
Recent Sea-Level Contributions of the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheets
Andrew Shepherd and Duncan Wingham
Science 16 March 2007:
Vol. 315. no. 5818, pp. 1529 - 1532
DOI: 10.1126/science.1136776
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/315/5818/1 ...On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 ResponsesCherry picking?
"cherry picking is used metaphorically to indicate the act of pointing at individual cases or data that seem to confirm a particular position, while ignoring a significant portion of related cases or data that may contradict that position."
"when a person with a supposedly neutral position cherry picks, that is commonly regarded as inappropriate. Examples would be journalists, scientists, and judges."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherry_pickingIPCC SPM Page 5
"New data since the TAR now show that losses from the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica have very likely contributed to sea level rise over 1993 to 2003 (see Table SPM.1)."From Table SPM.1 Page 7
"Rate of sea level rise (MM per Year)" 1993-2003 Antarctic Ice Sheet 0.21 +/- 0.35.The IPCC states clearly the Antarctic Ice Sheet might have been a net sink. Claiming the IPCC ignored papers that conclude the Antarctic might have been a net sink ignores incontrovertible facts.
Citing the first half of the sentence on page 5 and ignoring the second half of this same sentence and then ignoring page 7 entirely is a textbook example of a cherry pick.On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 Responses
Pielke is having a fit
RPjr has a post on his blog about how he is persecuted. Next thing he'll do is compare himself to Galileo.
Considering RPjr's history of misquotes (one incident involved comments I wrote on RealClimate) and his confrontational tone on his blog he is overreacting to being called a delayer.On Hadley Center says we're warming, not cooling posted 1 year, 8 months ago 8 Responses
Start with a credible source
manacker/black wallaby:
"On March 11, on the gristmill 'solar distraction' site, I cited a reference to a September 2007 report..."
"...I asked if anyone had seen a direct refutation of this paper."A paper on physics.oa-ph? From the physics.oa-ph FAQ:
"7.1 Some of the arXiv articles are nonsense!"
"If a submission is merely mediocre, speculative, or erroneous, the readers of some particular category could still find it useful."
http://front.math.ucdavis.edu/ifaq#moderationmanacker/black wallaby finds the physics.oa web page useful to try to waste time with specious claims. If this is really a scientific debate, manacker/black wallaby has to start using peer-reviewed science as sources.
If someone chooses not to reply to manacker/black wallaby on one post, then manacker/black wallaby should get the hint. If someone does not reply on one post, its still unlikely they will if the comment is repeated on another post.
On The Heartland conference recycles the usual climate change skeptics in its speakers list posted 1 year, 8 months ago 287 ResponsesI know when it won't be done.
As long as Bush is in office the EPA will do nothing. Expect action in the EPA to start up about Jan. 20, 2009.On Hey, EPA, when are you going to develop that national system for regulating CO2? posted 1 year, 8 months ago 1 Response
Add the Discovery Institute
Big oil, big tobacco and big religion are all united by their hatred of science.
Big oil is using the same tactics to undermine support of climate science that the Discovery Institute created to undermine biology and medicine. Its falsely creating doubt to advance political goals.
From Framing Science:
At the Heartland and Discovery Institutes, a Shared Rhetoric
http://scienceblogs.com/framing-science/2008/03/at_the_he ...On Do Big Oil and Big Tobacco share a similar smokescreen? posted 1 year, 8 months ago 26 ResponsesPangolin is right
"Oh, and please, please quit the chatty, "hi norm" bit. We know you're all sitting in the same room."
Yes we do know, manacker and black wallaby are sock puppets of the same person. They both misuse the term blog. Manacker/black wallaby here is some basic web terminology: Gristmill is a blog, meaning a website where topics are posted and the public can submit comments. Dr Dessler submits a series of posts on different topics. Each post is is not a different blog.
Manacker/black wallaby should try not to be as clueless on basic web terms as he is on basic science.
As far as the cold January temps disproving global warming, pro-warming and climate change alarmist scientist Patrick Michaels thinks this:
"Patrick J. Michaels, a climatologist and commentator with the libertarian Cato Institute in Washington, has long chided environmentalists and the media for overstating connections between extreme weather and human-caused warming. (He is on the program at the skeptics' conference.)
But Dr. Michaels said that those now trumpeting global cooling should beware of doing the same thing, saying that the 'predictable distortion' of extreme weather 'goes in both directions.'"
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/02/science/02cold.html?th& ...On Climate change myth debunked: scientists did not predict new ice age posted 1 year, 8 months ago 32 ResponsesWell put David
The problem with the waffling middle
From PZ Myers on ScienceBlogs
http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/2007/08/the_problem_wi ...On Green advocates urged to be reasonable posted 1 year, 9 months ago 16 Responsesmanacker = black wallaby
There is no difference between manacker and black wallaby. Its the same person with a different sign on name. They are sock puppets.
The writing style is the same. Both make comments in poetry. Manacker makes a point of writing "bye for now" or saying he can't make comments for the next week. As soon as manacker does this immediately black wallaby starts commenting.
Black wallaby at first didn't make any comments, just sent e-mails in to Dr Dessler claiming that black wallaby was being blocked from commenting. Soon after manacker was submitting comments he claimed were from this other person black wallaby.
Manacker claimed to be from Switzerland, and black wallaby claimed to be from Austrailia, but then mancker claimed to be from Missouri. Manacker slipped up when he tried to establish an alibi.
Apparently trolls get paid not just by the comment, but also for inventing people to make comments. On Revisiting the climate-science funding question posted 1 year, 9 months ago 48 Responses
Oh I forgot
black wallaby (manacker's sock puppet)
"Please stop taking-up unfertile page-space and go elsewhere"Yes that's right, gristmill is black wallaby's blog and black wallaby decides who can make comments here and what the comments should be. For someone who likes to talk about free speech its odd to tell people to stop speaking out. Maybe the only free speech black wallaby wants is his own.
Black wallaby needs to read gristmill's posting rules, particularly #1, #2, #3, #4 and #6.
Steve Earl Salmony don't listen to black wallaby.
On Today: Christopher Castro posted 1 year, 9 months ago 68 ResponsesDon't bother
manacker and his sock puppets have no interest in science.
They are using the same strategy that tobacco lobbyists and the creationists are using.
Its creating a controversy that doesn't exist to push a political view.
manacker does not need to look at the IPCC, manaker (and his sock puppets) should try reading a basic textbook, like the ones Raypierre Humbert and David Archer have written and are online.
I get the feeling that manacker won't.On What happens when a group's position statement does not reflect its members accurately? posted 1 year, 9 months ago 89 Responses
More incorrect statements from manacker
manacker
"Then some of Andrew's surly surrogates, like josullivan58 or ian forrester, get in the act and start spewing venom"I do not spout venom.
I questioned manacker's reliance on a partisan publication that routinely misrepresents science. I can not, nor can any other person who understands science, take a creationist publication seriously. In a scientific debate there are standards that must be met to make it a scientific debate. Using the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons as a source violates basic scientific principals.
I questioned the assertion that Eos is suppressing sammyowl's freedom of speech because Eos would not publish sammyowl's advertisement in Eos. The editors of Eos are not stopping sammyowl from expressing his views, they just don't want to publish his ad in Eos. Maybe sammyowl can submit his ad to the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons.On What happens when a group's position statement does not reflect its members accurately? posted 1 year, 9 months ago 89 Responses
Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons
as a source? Hmmm.
Well that journal also offers such great science like claims that evolution isn't fact its an immoral religious system and the HIV virus does not cause AIDS. This journal is not on the Medline/Pubmed or the World of Science databases. I wonder why not?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_of_American_Phys ...
Quackwatch calls The Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons "fundamentally flawed"
http://www.quackwatch.org/04ConsumerEducation/nonrecperio ...On What happens when a group's position statement does not reflect its members accurately? posted 1 year, 9 months ago 89 Responses
What is free speech?
If the AGU doesn't publish something you want to publish it does not mean they are suppressing your free speech.
If benp, sammyowl, or manacker were to submit a fictional manuscript to a novel printer and they don't publish it, that doesn't mean they are suppressing free speech. The publishers just think that people won't buy it.
Free speech is like the free market, if people want to hear it the publishers will accept it, if they don't too bad for you. On What happens when a group's position statement does not reflect its members accurately? posted 1 year, 9 months ago 89 Responses
I though manacker was on a break
manacker:
"Like I said, figures don't lie..."No accurate figures don't lie, but manacker and his sock puppet black wallaby do lie constantly.On The fourth IPCC report is still going strong a year later posted 1 year, 9 months ago 65 Responses
Does it matter?
Is a 2008 climate bill a realistic possibility?
The Bush administration will most certainly veto it. Is there any possibility that enough republican congressmen will sign on to make it veto proof?
As far as I know this is not a possibility, but I am open to listen to facts that say I'm wrong.On Delay makes environmental catastrophe more likely posted 1 year, 9 months ago 25 Responses
A new study
There a study that applies to manacker's and black wallaby's comments.
Study: 38 Percent Of People Not Actually Entitled To Their Opinion
"American society currently has a drastic oversupply of the kinds who don't have any good or worthwhile thoughts whatsoever. We could actually do just fine without them"
http://www.theonion.com/content/news_briefs/study_38_perc ...manacker and what seems to be a sock puppet black wallaby are firmly in that 38%.On Revisiting the climate-science funding question posted 1 year, 9 months ago 48 Responses
manacker is losing it
manacker:
"A correction: if Manacker were a "her" it would have to be "ad feminem" outbursts."No, ad hominem refers to both men and women. Ad feminem is not a real term. If it is then "manacker" should be "womanacker". Manacker is not content to make up things about science, politics, economics and the comments on gristmill. Now manacker is making up her own vocabulary!
manacker:
"A poem for MarkUK and josullivan58"
Wow, manacker is composing poetry for me! What is that about? The next thing manacker will do is send me flowers.On AGU releases position statement on climate change posted 1 year, 9 months ago 62 ResponsesWait one second
black wallaby
"In response to the infinite wisdom of David Roberts, who cautions on things like 'don't feed the trolls', you actually wrote something to the same effect:
'Its also fun to taunt them, and its not like the NFL where you can draw a penalty for it!"Black wallaby misunderstands. I have never characterized black wallaby as a troll, and I can't recall ever using that term on Gristmill. In addition, just because I wrote its fun doesn't mean I personally have fun taunting. Black wallaby is jumping to conclusions.On AGU releases position statement on climate change posted 1 year, 9 months ago 62 Responses
My wisdom is boundless
Manacker:
"Thanks for your ad hominem outburst, josullivan58"Since Manacker appreciates it so much I'll keep them coming. I'm sure that will make her happy.
Black Wallaby:
"Apparently too, you like teasing the trolls. I refer to various threads where you have issued forth."I don't recall writing any such statement. Black Wallaby must have me mistaken for someone else.On AGU releases position statement on climate change posted 1 year, 10 months ago 62 Responses
How Arrogant
It's amazing how arrogant manacker is. Manacker will make long comments several times a day every day to let us know how much manacker knows about climate science and to let us know how everyone who doesn't share manacker's politics is wrong about climate science.
Manacker then claims arrogantly that he understands the scientific process and fails to mention or understand that his arguments are the antithesis of science. On AGU releases position statement on climate change posted 1 year, 10 months ago 62 Responses
mancker hates freedom
Freedom of speech means a person is also free not to speak. If a well-known climate expert choses not to reply to manacker, that expert is free to. Any climate expert should not be harassed for exercising his right of free speech.
Its against American jurisprudence and deeply held American values to try to force someone to speak. Manacker wants everyone to toss aside their fundamental human rights, just so he can continue his rants.On Today: George Waldenberger posted 1 year, 10 months ago 52 Responses
Andy's groupies
"Andy's gotten a little coterie of flat earthers that follow him around now. Quite a compliment, I'd say!"
Its also fun to taunt them, and its not like the NFL where you can draw a penalty for it!On Climate skeptics blame the sun for global warming posted 1 year, 10 months ago 45 Responses
manacker is very talented
Manacker is doing a truly spectacular impression of the black knight. Well done manacker!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Knight_(Monty_Python)
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-1433376252473629 ...
On Today: George Waldenberger posted 1 year, 10 months ago 52 ResponsesI have followed the money
"Perhaps you should ask Pew, UCS, MoveOn, NRDC, Friends of the Earth, GreenPeace, and dozens of other left wing think tanks and lobbying/pressure groups where their money is going too"
These groups are not funding research.
The scientific facts support environmentalist's positions, but that doesn't mean they are the ones doing the research. On Scientists do not have a financial incentive to settle the climate debate posted 1 year, 10 months ago 30 Responses
Its more dishonest spin from the right
The "scientists are exaggerating to get funding" talking point was created to counter the fact that much of the doubt being pushed about climate science is part of a PR campaign funded by industries that would be effected by regulations.
When environmental regulations were first being discussed companies that would be regulated started public relations efforts to sway the political outcome. This PR was less than honest. Enviros won big PR points by connecting this dishonesty with the financial motivations, ie big greedy corporations poisoning the air and water.On Scientists do not have a financial incentive to settle the climate debate posted 1 year, 10 months ago 30 Responses
The Bush administration's EPA won't win but,
can delay the final decision until 2009 and so not have to grant the waiver on their watch.
The Bush administration has always been vehemently opposed to environmental regulation. If they can't stop the waiver they will delay it until 2009. This way they can spin it as a victory for Bush.
Bush and Co. did just this with listing polar bears as endangered species. So much for this year's greener president. The NRDC has a post up about it, Justice Delayed is Justice Denied.
http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/awetzler/justice_delaye ...On Increased CO2 in the atmosphere exacerbates the effects of air pollution posted 1 year, 10 months ago 6 ResponsesFrom another angle
Tim Russert said about the New Hampshire primary that McCain was so successful in 2000 because the independent-minded people joined the Republican primary to support McCain. Obama, considering his performance in Iowa, might siphon off these same independents and they would instead join the democratic primary. On McCain will likely take it after all posted 1 year, 10 months ago 8 Responses
I agree with Keith Gaby
I knew people who worked with ED in the legal department. ED is as aggressive in litigation as any of the major environmental groups. Fred Krupp is playing the role of good cop in the good cop/bad cop show in the political arena.
We enviros should try to avoid public infighting. The right has been successful in no small part because they don't.On Krupp plays along posted 1 year, 10 months ago 3 Responses
Thanks, but its time to go
Steve:
"If you would be so kind and helpful, please... ...do not let go of this discussion just yet."I appreciate the encouragement, but the thread with manacker has outlived its usefulness. Considering the dishonesty of the contrarian positions, it gives more attention to contrarians than they deserve. Manacker has the chance to stop making things up and repeating things someone else made up on gristmill.
Seeing this comment, manacker will feel compelled to take a break from his habit of kicking puppies to make up more stuff on gristmill. I will not reply. Life is too short to spend time replying to vacuous arguments.On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 10 months ago 227 Responses
I agree with Sam and Ian
There is a major campaign against science and environmentalists and it has been very effective.
Participation in this thread has been interesting, like participating in a social experiment. Having an argument with a contrarian like manacker is getting direct participation with and being personally targeted by the right-wing slur machine.
Manacker's comments are a shining example of the war on environmentalists and science. Read the luntz memo and then read manacker's comments. They use the same language and tactics that luntz recommends. When the thread moved on to the science, manacker cited the same papers and used the same arguments that contrarian/industry sponsored web sites like CO2science started.
I saw a news story on the National Academy of Science report that recommended keeping intelligent design out of the public school science classes. A spokesperson for an evangelical group disagreed saying there needs to be more 'scientific' debate about the validity of evolution. The ID movement is trying to redefine the definition of science to take advantage of science's reputation for reliability while not having to meet the high burden of proof that defines science.
The movement to attack climate science is doing the same thing. Manacker's comments are a prime example. My exchange with manacker was not a scientific debate because the rules that make science what it is were ignored by manacker. On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 10 months ago 227 Responses
What?
Yes Bush is going to pursue a pro-environmental agenda. And the check's in the mail. And I gave at the office. And I'll call in the morning.
Add it to the list of lines that everyone knows, or should know, are BS.
Yes 2008 will different. That's why 16 states and 5 environmental groups (including Fred Krupp's Environmental Defense) sued the Bush administration the first day of 2008 the courts were open because Bush is blocking their global warming plans .
From NRDC The Great Galvanizer
http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/ddoniger/the_great_galv ...Eileen Claussen summed it up best, yes the public image has changed, but its only image.
Bush has always been virulently anti-environmental, but there has been a big push back that has been getting a lot of public attention.
In response the Bush administration is launching a PR campaign to cover their losses and cover up their extremist behavior. The Bush administration is also framing the debate for the upcoming struggles with congress, the courts, the states and environmentalists.
The Washington Post article ends with the question whats the next step. That's easy, it will be the same as the previous steps.On The Washington Post offers a late entry for Worst Story of the Year posted 1 year, 10 months ago 1 Response
To top it off
manacker:
"Get serious and grow up, pal."
I'm glad to see that you consider me your friend, but you think just because I'm young I can't participate. More censorship, manacker hates young people and freedom.Ian Forrester
"you [manacker] have a rock for a mind"
That comparison is unkind to rocks. On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 ResponsesI should let this go, but...
manacker
"Don't hijack the "science" mantel for only those scientists that support the IPCC's "party line" stand on AGW."I'm not. Science is science when the high burden of proof is met. To meet that burden certain behaviors are required in a scientific debate. None of manacker's claims meet the threshold of convincing arguments. Its not because they disagree with the IPCC, its because manacker is creating strawmen using false statements about what's in the IPCC and what's in the science literature. This is besides manacker's cherry-picking.
manacker
"And, josullivan58, where you are way off base is in thinking that only scientists should have an opinion on the draconian policy changes being proposed by the pro-IPCC political lobby"Another strawman, I never wrote that.
manacker
"which most experts tell us will do major harm to the world's economy and will have no impact on the world's climate."Isn't the use of experts "elitist", "pompous" and "arrogant" according to manacker?
manacker
"And as rational skeptics, we have to probe for and expose any weak spots in the science that supports these proposed policy changes."Let us know when you start being rational.
manacker
"I think I understand the message here."No , when it comes to the science everyone has to meet the same standards. As long as the procedures are rigorous, you can be wrong but not dishonest. The conclusions don't have to be the same, but standard scientific method has to apply to all the science. To claim my position is different is another strawman.
manacker
"So your deadline argument is not valid. But it was a good try."Wow a combined cherry-picking/strawman involving both my statements and the IPCC with an accusation of IPCC censorship on the side and an ad hom on top, that's a lot of non-science in a science debate! First the claim that the IPCC rejected Wingham (2006) because it concluded Antarctic ice sheet is growing is false because the IPCC included other studies with similar findings and the IPCC stated that the ice sheet might be growing not melting. Second, read this page for the deadline issue. Its not as black and white as manacker claims http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/ipcc/revised_deadlines.phpOn More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
Call this exhibit A
This thread is evidence supporting Dr Dressler's point in the main post.
Scientists are the best people to do and to interpret science because they understand how science is done. Science has rigorous requirements. If you want to make statements about an area of research and you want to be taken seriously by the scientific community you need to be very familiar with the work. You can't selectively cite papers or draw conclusion by only reading summaries or abstracts and be taken seriously (this means you manacker).
The way science is a process that grounds itself in physical facts, has a high burden of proof and tries to eliminate biases makes it a powerful tool. Scientists who ignore this aren't doing science and risk professional scorn.
Science's ability to prove things makes it unpopular with some and is the motive for much of the attacks on climate science.On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
Answers
manacker
"Thanks for your latest 'ad hominem'"
No need to thank me, I'm more than happy to do it.manacker
"Where do you dig up all this drivel?"
From your comments on Gristmill, the scientific literature, and the anti-environmentalist's memos.manacker
"Is this ad hominem attack supposed to be witty? Or is it just plain stupid and childish?"
None of the above, its just meant to turn your own tactics on you and to see if you like it. I get the distinct impression that you don't.manacker
"But you have not yet shown me why my statement is incorrect."
You need to prove its correct first. Since this thread is about the science, act like a scientist. In science you need objective proof for a idea to be accepted. You haven't offered any facts yet.manacker
"These are totally irrelevant to our discussion on what happened in both Greenland and Antarctica over the 11-year period 1992-2003, since they only started in 2002 and are thus outside the period we are discussing."
Why can I only write about the things you want me to? You're suppressing my free speech. You must hate freedom. On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 ResponsesThe IPCC
The IPCC is mostly made up of scientists who already have full time research positions in other places. They review the peer-reviewed climate-science research and summarize the entire body of this science literature. Its similar to a review article, but on a vast scale. Considering the size of the project, deadlines are necessary.
The IPCC is not a group of political operatives who tell lies in order to achieve world domination, notwithstanding manacker's conspiracy theories about the IPCC.
Manacker started on this post by pushing the misleading Luntz/Limbaugh anti-science and anti-enviromentalist talking points, like how science is elitist, scientists are arrogant and against freedom and the IPCC is apparently run by the villains from James Bond movies.
Manacker moved on to the science and is pushing the same talking points, but now with extra hand waving. I have had some fun feeding this troll, but dealing with dishonest and/or delusional people like manacker gets old quickly.
On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 ResponsesIf at first you don't suceed, lie, lie again
Thats manacker's motto
Manacker:
"Published reports based on hundreds of millions of 24/7 ESA satellite readings over an 11-year period showed net growth of both ice sheets over same time period:
Greenland:
Johannessen (2005)
Antarctica
Davis (2005)
Wingham (2006)
Just facts. That's all."The Competitive Enterprise Institute, a lobbying group with a history of dishonest behavior, produced ads that said the same things as manacker about Johannessen (2005) and Davis (2005) and might be manacker's source. Namely the ads claimed these papers showed net growth of the entire ice sheets and went on to say that this invalidates the science.
Dr Davis saw the ads. In response Davis put out a press release with the university he is a professor at. "Davis said that three points in his study unequivocally demonstrate the misleading aspect of the CEI ads.
- His study only reported growth for the East Antarctic ice sheet, not the entire Antarctic ice sheet.
- Growth of the ice sheet was only noted on the interior of the ice sheet and did not include coastal areas. Coastal areas are known to be losing mass, and these losses could offset or even outweigh the gains in the interior areas.
- The fact that the interior ice sheet is growing is a predicted consequence of global climate warming."
Johannessen (2005) and Davis (2005) were published in the journal Science. The editors of Science saw the ads and also put out a press release.
"The text of the CEI ad misrepresents the conclusions of the two cited Science papers and our current state of knowledge by selective referencing. The following lay- language press summaries were approved by Science Editorial at the time when the papers were published. These press summaries therefore represent our official interpretation of the research.
More recent research is indeed beginning to provide such an integrated view of the entire ice sheets. A study looking at the mass balance of the entire Antarctic Ice Sheet using the GRACE gravity satellite has found an overall negative mass balance for the past several years. Other studies also show a negative overall mass balance for the Greenland Ice Sheet and other evidence of accelerated melting. See, for example, several papers and a news story in Science, 24 March 2006."
http://www.aaas.org/programs/centers/pe/CEI-ad.pdfManacker:
"IPCC SPM 2007 claimed net loss of both GIS and AIS, in each case equal to a sea level rise of 0.21 mm/year over the period 1993-2003."The IPCC:
- 0.07
"New data since the TAR now show that losses from the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica have very likely contributed to sea level rise over 1993 to 2003 (see Table SPM.1)." page 5
From Table SPM 1
Source of sea level rise Greenland Ice Sheet, rate of sea level rise 1992-2003 0.21 +
Source of sea level rise Antarctic Ice Sheet, rate of sea level rise 1992-2003 0.21 +/- 0.35
page 7The plus and minus indicates a range of values that is found by adding and subtracting the second figure from the first. So the rate of sea level rise from Antarctica could be as great as 0.56 or as little as -0.14 meaning that it could be taking water from the oceans, not adding to the oceans. The range for Greenland is different, 0.28 to 0.14.On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
- His study only reported growth for the East Antarctic ice sheet, not the entire Antarctic ice sheet.
OK I'll put it simply.
Just so manacker won't be so upset and emotional on New Year's Eve, I'll try to end this thread on a civil note.
Manacker claims that the IPCC states that both the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Antarctica Ice Sheet have each separately contributed 0.21mm a year from 1992 to 2003.
Well not exactly, the IPCC gives a range of potential contributions, and for the Antarctica Ice Sheet the range of contributions includes a possible negative effect on sea level. It first states this in on page five and directs the reader to the table on page seven for the details.
Manacker then builds an argument based on this incorrect premise. Manacker cites two papers that supposedly claim the IPCC is wrong and dishonest. Manacker claims these papers show that the ice sheets are growing so can't be adding to sea level change. The Competitive Enterprise Institute has said the same things publicly, but the authors and the publishers of these papers said the CEI was incorrect and misleading the public.
Manacker cites another paper and claims it was ignored by the IPCC because it proved the IPCC wrong about the Antarctica Ice Sheet. The paper first of all was not included, like many others, because it was published past the deadlines for submission. Second the paper concludes that the preliminary data show that Antarctica is likely to be a net sink, but there are uncertainties. The IPCC and this paper are not necessarily in conflict. The IPCC concludes that it is possible that Antarctica is a net sink for the same period. Based on a newer and better data set conclusions change. That is how science works.On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
going in circles
Manacker is selectively citing scientific studies to falsely cast doubt on the science. Manacker cited three studies to try to disprove the IPCC. The Competitive Enterprise Institute cited two of these studies and publicly claimed that they showed that the Greenland and Antarctic ice caps were growing not melting. Manacker repeated these claims. The authors and publishers of the studies themselves said that the CEI was lying.
On the third study, Wingham et al 2006:
Mancker: "it does not change the fact that Wingham concluded in his report that the Antarctic Ice Sheet overall gained mass equivalent to 27 Gt/year over his 1992-2003 study period, which just happened to coincide with the period of IPCC's claim of mass loss equal to a sea level rise of 0.21 mm/year, which calculates out to a mass loss of 71 Gt/year over the period."The authors do no such thing. The authors recognized the discrepancies and clearly stated "other data are needed to settle this value. In any case, our data excludes 28% of the grounded ice." They emphasized that good measurements are lacking in Antarctica and that even their study is preliminary because data is lacking.
I will point out again that Wingham 2006 was not included in the IPCC because it was published after the deadline for studies. Deadlines are a constant present in our daily lives, they are not a sign of some conspiracy.
On the IPCC:
manacker: "IPCC does, indeed, claim a LOSS of ice in both the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets, each equivalent to a sea level rise of 0.21 mm/year over the period 1993-2003. You have to actually read pp 5 and 7 of the IPCC 2007 SPM report and you will see that this is the case."The 0.21mm year figure manacker gives is misleading. Manacker fails to note the error bars in the IPCC on page 7. For Antarctica the error range is +/- 0.35mm so this means that according to the IPCC SPM Antarctica could be absorbing 0.14mm a year from the oceans. The IPCC is explicitly stating the possibility that Antarctica is a net sink of water. The error bar for Greenland is 0.07mm, and so not the same as Antarctica.
On page 17 of the IPCC SPM puts this in prose: "Current global model studies project that the Antarctic Ice Sheet will remain too cold for widespread surface melting and is expected to gain in mass due to increased snowfall. However, net loss of ice mass could occur if dynamical ice discharge dominates the ice sheet mass balance."
I don't know if manacker is being dishonest or has intellectual blinders on, but its clear manacker is looking to sow uncertainty about the science where there is none.
On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 ResponsesI forgot to respond to the last question
"And what the hell do Johnny Cochrane or the tobacco companies have to do with what we are debating?"
Constructing "Sound Science" and "Good Epidemiology": Tobacco, Lawyers, and Public Relations Firms
Am J Public Health. 2001 November; 91(11): 1749-1757. Copyright © American Journal of Public Health 2001
"Public health professionals need to be aware that the 'sound science' movement is not an indigenous effort from within the profession to improve the quality of scientific discourse, but reflects sophisticated public relations campaigns controlled by industry executives and lawyers whose aim is to manipulate the standards of scientific proof to serve the corporate interests of their clients."
http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid ...Some of the people who are lying about climate science, like The Competitive Enterprise Institute, use the same tactics when they represent the tobacco companies and act like criminal defense attorneys.
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Competitive_En ...Much of the language of manacker's comments mirrors the recommendations in the infamous Luntz memo, like emphasis on the "need to continue to make the lack of scientific certainty a primary issue in the debate".
http://www.luntzspeak.com/memo.htmlOn More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 ResponsesBe careful of what you ask for...
I'll respond to specifics:
Manker cites three papers to show how the the IPCC is wrong and dishonestSnowfall-Driven Growth in East Antarctic Ice Sheet Mitigates Recent Sea-Level Rise
Curt H. Davis et al Science 24 June 2005Dr Davis on the claims by people who say it disproves climate science and the IPCC, calling it "a deliberate effort to confuse and mislead the public about the global warming debate. They are selectively using only parts of my previous research to support their claims. They are not telling the entire story to the public."
http://www.factcheck.org/article395.htmlRecent Ice Sheet Growth in the Interior of Greenland
O.M. Johannessen et al Science 310: 1013-1016
The editors of Science printed this in response to people saying that this paper disproved climate science and the IPCC, the "ad misrepresents the conclusions of the two cited Science papers and our current state of knowledge by selective referencing."
http://www.aaas.org/programs/centers/pe/CEI-ad.pdfThe author's research institute comes to conclusions that are similar to the IPCC's
http://www.bjerknes.uib.no/pages.asp?kat=2&id=170& ...Mass Balance of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
D.J. Wingham et al Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A.
From The summary of this paper:
"What is clear, from the data, is that fluctuations in some coastal regions reflect long-term losses of ice mass, whereas fluctuations elsewhere appear to be short-term changes in snowfall. While the latter are bound to fluctuate about the long-term MAR, the former are not, and so the contribution of retreating glaciers will govern the twenty-first century mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet."
http://bowfell.geol.ucl.ac.uk/~lidunka/EPSS-papers/djw3.p ...This again agrees with what the conclusions of the IPCC.
Manacker is misrepresenting the content of the IPCC SPM as well. If you use the find function on the pdf for "antarctic" you will see its found eleven times and when you look at what the IPCC says all eleven times, it concludes that the ice sheets on Greenland and the Antarctic probably contributed to recent sea level rise, but its unclear how much.
The IPCC SPM itself states its predictions of sea level rise don't include the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets because of the uncertainties in ice sheet dynamics.
Check RealClimate for a discussion
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2007/03/the ...Intentionally or not, manacker is making comments that are deceptive. Judging by the tone of manacker's comments and the clear political content I would say its the former. On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
More of how science works
To find out what the state of research in any scientific field you have to look at the entire scientific literature. It is very common that in a subfield some of the papers will point to different conclusions. It takes honest effort and expertise to accurately determine the facts.
The IPCC did exactly this. The scientists followed the standard scientific procedure that placed the highest value on accuracy and explaining the certainties and the uncertainties.
Manacker and company are putting their political ideologies first then cherry-picking papers to sow uncertainty. They are the ones who don't like free speech. Manacker on this thread attacked scientist Dr Metz just for talking to the media. Its the same tactics that the tobacco companies used. Dishonestly attack the science and the scientists to win a political fight.
The goal is to falsely create reasonable doubt like criminal defense attorneys do. To paraphrase Johnny Cochrane when he represented OJ Simpson for murdering his ex-wife, if global warming is not a fact then you must not act. On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
How science works
There are categories of acceptable and unacceptable behavior in the scientific community.
Acceptable behavior is making claims that have a basis in physical reality. Unacceptable behavior is making claims that don't have a basis in physical facts.
Inhofe is trying to attack the scientific community to avoid the the political question of what to do about global warming. The people the senator cites don't have arguments that are based in facts.
I personally don't see anything wrong with the argument that we should not regulate economic activity to address global warming. Just be honest about it, instead of raising spurious objections to the science. On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
Out out touch with reality
Manacker:
"You wrote: 'The contrarians don't have the facts on their side. If they were to use the same arguments in a court of law they would be charged with perjury.'
Kinda doubt it in a free society."No, to function the court system can't allow people to lie at all they want. That is why perjury is a crime. As a news flash for you we live in a free society and lying in legal proceedings is perjury and a crime. The well known skeptic Pat Michaels was called as an expert witness in court, but withdrew because he could not lie and get away with it.
Facts don't change because you don't like them. Facts are not voted on. Facts aren't elitist. They are how things are, good or bad. One plus one equals two, but do you think that changes because you don't like it? You are using the same strategy that Luntz advocated to stop talking about the facts. Its also the strategy that the cigarette companies used when they didn't like the facts that cigarettes are addictive and deadly. On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
Remember again
The contrarians don't have the facts on their side. If they were to use the same arguements in a court of law they would be charged with perjury.On Today: Thomas Ring posted 1 year, 11 months ago 66 Responses
Remember
The contrarians don't have the facts on their side. If they were to use the same arguements in a court of law they would be charged with perjury.On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
Opinion vs Fact
The late Senator Moynahan famously said that everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not there own facts.
The scientific community agrees with AGW because the physical facts overwhelmingly support it. Even the right's leading PR strategist Luntz agrees that the facts are on the enviros side, and has urged his clients to avoid debates about the facts.On More bogus climate skepticism posted 1 year, 11 months ago 227 Responses
I'm glad to hear it
"What I don't like is the bullying, negativity and downshouting of Al Gore and his Green Guard minions."
It's good that you want people to stop bullying and downshouting Al Gore, the greens and the scientific community. I agree, people should stop being negative towards Al Gore, environmentalists and scientists.
"Again, reading the actual science over a long period of time is essential."
Yes you should read the actual science. Let us know when you start.On NYT's Revkin gives Inhofe a pass posted 1 year, 11 months ago 66 Responses
Is jabailo a creationist too?
Jabilo is using a definition of consensus that does not apply to the word consensus as it is used in science.
Its like people who say that evolution isn't a fact because its just a theory.On NYT's Revkin gives Inhofe a pass posted 1 year, 11 months ago 66 Responses
fact checking
DarthPetrol makes some interesting comments.
"It seems to me that if California and the other states want to do something about gas mileage, they could pass legislation to limit or prohibit certain low mileage vehicles. They could pass their own gas guzzler tax or subsidize more fuel efficient cars. They didn't need to run off to the Supremes to get this done."
The state's have been trying to do this, but they are being stopped by the Bush administration and their allies in the auto industry. They have gone to court over this, but not the supreme court.
"Mass v. EPA was a political decision which should have been resolved by Congress not the courts. If the Clean Air Act is unclear on regulating CO2, then let elected officials resolve it, not 5 justices"
No it wasn't. The Clean Air Act has provisions that allow for to new pollutants to be added to those already regulated. Several states and environmental groups petitioned the EPA to add greenhouse gases to this list, but the EPA refused. The EPA never argued that greenhouse gases were not a pollutant and the Clean Air Act provisions would not allow the EPA to regulate them. The EPA said that they would not for other reasons, but these reasons violated the law. Because the EPA was breaking the law the states and environmental groups sued.
Mass v. EPA was a 5-4 decision, but the dissent was based on the right of the states and environmental group to challenge the EPA's unlawful act in the courts.
"They don't need the Supreme Court or the EPA to do this, but it does make for a nice sideshow."
The Bush administration is using the authority of the EPA to block the states and the states are going to the courts to challenge the Bush administration. On EPA staff say they were excluded from waiver decision; suspect Cheney's involvement posted 1 year, 11 months ago 10 Responses
%$@*! Filibuster Indeed
If it could be successfully spun as the republicans as being obstructionist or sore losers, trying to force the republicans to filibuster might be worth it. It would be a major PR victory and could win more pro-environmental seats in congress come fall 2008.
But as David Roberts put it "frankly, my confidence that Dems would win the ensuing PR battle is fairly low". More likely it would make the democrats look incompetent or ineffective.On Dems can't overcome filibuster threats to get decent legislation -- so what should they do? posted 1 year, 11 months ago 31 Responses
I'm not surprised
The EPA Versus the Department of Transportation on FindLaw:
"To be sure, the language of Section 209 of the Clean Air Act seems to give EPA no discretion to deny such a waiver, where the state establishes its entitlement to one. But a recalcitrant EPA can hold up a waiver through extended hearings, study, and general foot-dragging, so the prospect that the current EPA actually would grant California (and thus also Vermont) its waiver before President Bush leaves office, seems remote."
http://writ.news.findlaw.com/dorf/20071217.html#continueMore info on Warming Law
http://warminglaw.typepad.com/my_weblog/2007/12/looking-a ...On Analysis of the EPA's decision to deny California's waiver posted 1 year, 11 months ago 15 ResponsesWhere's the liberal bias?
Reports like this where all over the media. Many seemed to be repeating republican talking points.
Even The News Hour on PBS, normally a very even handed and reliable source, said part of the conflict over the energy bill was about the democrats plan to tax the oil companies, not to repeal the tax breaks they were given.On Press peddles Republican talking points on energy bill posted 1 year, 11 months ago 4 Responses
We are on the same side
The democrats had a weak hand and played it as strong as they could. They sent a message to the republicans in congress and the president that they are going to aggressively push the pro-environmental agenda.
Things are going slow in the congress and nowhere with the president, but that will change in 2008. Lots of progress is being made in the federal courts which is a big deal because these rulings sidestep the obstructionist republicans.
Julia Bovey's post on NRDC Switchboard brings up a really important thing to remember: the democratic politicians and environmentalists are on the same aide. Lets not hurt our efforts by fighting with our allies.On Sen. John Kerry defends Dem decision not to force a filibuster on the energy bill posted 1 year, 11 months ago 22 Responses
Sam Wells has a good point
Any politician in Texas or Louisiana or Texas is going to be in bed with the oil industry to some degree. Big oil is an especially big player in Texas and Louisiana politics.
As I understand it Sen. Mary Landrieu initially voted for the bill, but then said no. She probably voted yes because her single vote would not matter in the outcome, but when it came down to one vote there would have been negative repercussions for the democratic party in Louisiana.
Texas and Louisiana democrats are different than most democrats. I joke with people I know in New York that Texas democrats are more conservative than New York republicans.On Louisiana's Sen. Landrieu votes against party, for Big Oil posted 1 year, 11 months ago 7 Responses
There is always the next session
I did not think anything positive would come out of Congress, but I let my hope get the best of me for a second or two. I did think the way the democrats caved was embarrassing, but they did put up a fight with only a bare majority in the Senate and a hostile president.
Considering the present political environment the bill is the best in substantive work to be hoped for. It could be an important victory later down the road. The democrats did fold, but only after matching the republicans obstruction with some brinkmanship. By showing some backbone when the democrats are still weak, they are sending a message about what will happen later when they are in a strong position. On Sen. John Kerry defends Dem decision not to force a filibuster on the energy bill posted 1 year, 11 months ago 22 Responses
Was it irony or simply poor word choice?
None of the above. It was dishonesty pure and simple. The Bush administration has been consistently anti-environmental but has tried to spin its positions as the opposite. Remember the Clean Skies and Healthy Forests Acts?On The U.S. sits on the sidelines rather than leading the charge in a war on climate change posted 1 year, 11 months ago 2 Responses
I'm embarrassed
I saw this happening from the very start. The democrats were played from day one.
The republicans were never going to cooperate. The "if you compromise a little, we'll vote for the bill" was a ruse from the very start. Even if the oil companies stop getting tax breaks and the bill gets out congress Bush will sure as hell veto it.
If a man will reject something that has broad bipartisan support like health care for children, he'll never sign a bill that his allies in the auto and oil industries don't like.
The democrats should have forced a filibuster immediately. The net results would have been the same but without the public embarrassment. On Senate Republican minority blocks energy bill posted 1 year, 11 months ago 5 Responses
Was he really saying that in the speech?
Al Gore's point seemed to be that the failure of leadership of China and the US was the problem, not that the US and China had historically equivalent emissions.
Has he said or written that China is as bad as the US at other times?On There is no comparison between Chinese and American GHG emissions posted 1 year, 11 months ago 41 Responses
On the other hand
"If the opponents of the bill are forced to publicly filibuster it, they will also have to take the majority of the blame for not getting necessary legislation passed."
There is the possibility that the republican noise machine will spin this as the democrats being incompetent or unnecessarily partisan.
What I'm afraid will happen is that the RES and oil company tax sections will be removed only to have the bill not to pass congress or be vetoed. Then the CAFE standard will be cut and the only thing left will be the subsidies for industrial agriculture.On Reid will have to decide whether to trim back the bill to get it through posted 1 year, 11 months ago 4 Responses
Take a stand
The best thing to do would be to force the republicans to filibuster it. Odds are Bush will veto any bill with increased CAFE standards anyway, so it will be a double defeat to get cave in the Senate and then be vetoed by Bush.
Right now the goal should be to build momentum for meaningful legislation when the new president is in office. Sticking to the original bill will show the obstructionists in congress who is in charge and will show they won't be able to block strong bills.
If the opponents of the bill are forced to publicly filibuster it, they will also have to take the majority of the blame for not getting necessary legislation passed.On Reid will have to decide whether to trim back the bill to get it through posted 1 year, 11 months ago 4 Responses
Wait a second
This bill will be vetoed so all the complaining that its not enough is a waste of time and energy.
It is a very good sign of things to come. It looks like the upcoming elections will put more pro-environmental candidates in office (i.e. Democrats), and no matter who is elected president they won't be as anti-environmental as Bush. In the next round the bill will be improved, but the environmentalist community will have to be involved. Sitting on the side lines and complaining that other people aren't dirty hippies is self destructive. On Greens need to learn how to celebrate their friends and their movement posted 1 year, 12 months ago 31 Responses
Doom-and-gloom over victories
Well put David. A few things about the environmentalist community:
We as a group are idealistic, and sometimes this gets in the way of action. While there is something positive to be said for people who are completely committed to a cause, having an ideologically pure movement is no replacement for effective action. The right-wing spin machine portrays enviros as holier-than-thou to an extent that is out of touch with reality, but there is a grain of truth to this spin. Lets not fall into our opponents trap.
In the US the environmentalist community has had stunning success. In the span of 25 years we went from having virtually no environmental protection to the most extensive and effective environmental regulations in the world. Our success has made us spoiled and complacent. These victories were hard won and at the time our opponents were not really fighting back. Now they are, and this means it will be harder to get legislation passed and there will be no perfect bills.
We often forget that not everyone is an environmentalist. Just because all the enviros want to do something does not mean everyone else wants to do it too. Getting climate change bills passed will require broad based coalitions with people who are outside the environmentalist community. They might not want everything the enviros want, so sometimes compromises must be made for the sake of progress. On Greens need to learn how to celebrate their friends and their movement posted 1 year, 12 months ago 31 Responses
NRDC likes it too
The NRDC's Switchboard has some info on the new bill, and they quote David Roberts.
http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/ngreene/house_dems_stri ...On Pelosi says bill up for vote next week will contain CAFE, RFS, and RES posted 1 year, 12 months ago 29 Responses
UCS urges support of the energy bill
From an e-mail the Union of Concerned Scientists is sending out:
"Thanks to almost a year of your emails and calls in support of an Energy Bill that promotes fuel economy and renewable electricity, we are on the cusp of passing a strong, comprehensive energy package that protects consumers and reduces the threat of global warming.
Last night the Speaker of the House announced that they will vote this week on an Energy Bill that includes strong standards on fuel economy and renewable electricity. This historic bill will raise fuel economy standards for the first time in 32 years, require electric utilities to obtain more power from clean, renewable sources--such as the wind and sun, and will help reduce America's global warming pollution.
Please urge your representative today to support the energy bill. This is your last chance to contact your representatives about this bill!"On Pelosi says bill up for vote next week will contain CAFE, RFS, and RES posted 1 year, 12 months ago 29 Responses
What kind of car does he have?
I'm assuming Mr Carlson is well paid, so he probably has a pretty nice car. I would be very happy to accept the bet and take his car off his hands.On Notable quotable posted 2 years ago 4 Responses
Debate still goes on in the media unfortunately
On the American Museum Natural History's website:
" Maxwell T. Boykoff of the University of Oxford analyzed 143 news segments about climate change that were broadcast between 1995 and 2004 on programs ranging from the CBS Evening News to CNN's Wolf Blitzer Reports. Only 28 percent of the segments paralleled scientific opinion in portraying humans as the main cause of global warming, Boykoff discovered. Just a handful of segments went so far as to suggest that humans had a negligible effect on Earth's climate, but a full 70 percent gave roughly equal play to both sides of the debate."
http://www.naturalhistorymag.com/index_samplings.html
scroll down to the warming earth sectionOn Search for local climate skeptic in Texas proves fruitless posted 2 years ago 61 ResponsesDivide and conquer?
I think this is an attempt to peel off congressmen from the majority needed to pass legislation. Relying on the word of the president, there will be congressmen arguing for weak legislation and refusing to vote for any meaningful bills. It will certainly make it impossible to override a veto.
Considering the Bush administration's record, Bush will never ratify any new environmental laws, no matter how weak.On Via Boucher, Bush signals willingness to sign onto (weak) mandatory carbon controls posted 2 years ago 2 Responses
Yes he is.
Ralph: "I'm not pushing any taxes."
Ralph's previous comment: "Great idea. Seriously, I agree. Let's supplant existing property and income taxes with consumption taxes on fossil fuels."
That sounds like pushing taxes.
The Copenhagen Consensus is misleadingly titled. Its a handful of libertarian-leaning economists who were cherry-picked for their political views. It presented a false dichotomy that measures to reduce global warming would take money from efforts to address other problems. It also was based on global warming being very moderate and gradual, a view that is a scientific outlier. On One last rant from the Senate's loopy streetcorner anti-prophet posted 2 years ago 34 Responses
Whats that about?
Ralph writes:
"Great idea. Seriously, I agree. Let's supplant existing property and income taxes with consumption taxes on fossil fuels. It's a perfectly logical solution that if structured properly will preserve our economy and foster economic growth."Why is he pushing for a tax that addresses a problem he says does not exist? I bet he is in the tax advising business and just wants to line his own pockets.On One last rant from the Senate's loopy streetcorner anti-prophet posted 2 years ago 34 Responses
Quote a reliable source
Roger Pielke's blog is no longer running. Alot of his posts were complaints that his area of research wasn't getting enough attention. Towards the end of his blog he started being a crackpot complaining about the scientific community's conspiracy plots.
On One last rant from the Senate's loopy streetcorner anti-prophet posted 2 years, 1 month ago 34 Responses
Much ado about nothing
First, ED's and the other groups' positions are not that different.
Second, there is not a snowball's chance in hell that any meaningful climate legislation will be signed by president Bush and there will not be enough votes in congress to override a veto.
What's the difference between a great bill, a mediocre bill, and a bad bill if none of them will be enacted?
All of the enviro's current legislative work is just practice. It is a good exercise to see what can be done when the next president is in office, but until that happens its just practice.
If there has to be fighting within the environmentalist community maybe it should wait until something is really on the line.On Facing big obstacles, environmental movement can't afford division posted 2 years, 1 month ago 5 Responses
Its not what you say its how you say it
As a general rule vegetarian/vegan diets have less environmental impacts.
That being said its a good to suggest a vegetarian/vegan diet to people who are environmentally conscious and to encourage people who are less environmentally conscious to eat less animal products.
The key is to do it in a way that does not alienate the people you are trying to convince. The demands to stop eating meat because it is morally offensive are often off putting. Some of the more strident comments here remind me of the old saying the road to hell is paved with good intentions. On On PETA's latest campaign posted 2 years, 1 month ago 256 Responses
My last word
The arguments for vegetarian/vegan diets are all over the place.
1. Health benefits
There absolutely are benefits to vegetarian diets, but only over diets high in fatty meats. Eating meat does not mean over-consumption of meat. Diets low in fatty meats are not measurably unhealthier or healthier than vegetarian diets. There is no middle ground for the pro-vegan/vegetarian posters on this thread. Vegan diets are not intrinsically healthier because vegans have to go out of their way to get necessary nutrients.
2. Good for the environment (less resources, land use and pollution etc.)
Vegetarian/vegan diets are not good for the environment. They are only not as bad and less damaging and not beneficial. All forms of consumption have negative environmental costs. The extreme amount of environmental harm from meat is not a black and white issue. It certainly applies to some farm-raised animals, but not to all animals, in particular some seafood. What about sustainably harvested sea food like alaskan salmon and aquacultured shellfish like mussels which have little negative environmental impacts? Again there is no middle ground for the pro-vegan/vegetarian posters.
3. Science
Evolutionary/physiology studies show people naturally are omnivores. The fact is that vegan diets require extraordinary efforts to meet basic nutritional requirements shows we are not naturally adapted to it. It is only modern society's technology, including fossil fuel burning technology, that makes it possible to have the choice to be vegan. Science really is a poor way to justify moral choices. Science is based on physical facts that can be objectively proven while morality is largely subjective and a matter of personal choice.
4.Moral/ethical issues
The basis for many of the arguments in favor of vegan diets are based on some people's belief that raising and eating animals for food is an atrocity. While I don't agree with this moral position, I will defend the right to the freedom of choice. I will also defend the right to persuade people to adopt this belief system. I don't agree with the attempts to hide this personal moral choice with scientific, health and environmental arguments. I do not not agree with the demands that people have to be vegans/vegetarians, especially demanding all environmentalists be vegans/vegetarians. In my opinion this is offensive and hurts the environmental movement.
Preservation of ecosystems partly for their intrinsic value and for the services they supply, humane treatment of food animals, and not causing the extinction of species of animals are things most people support. The opponents of environmental protection recognized this and tried with a great deal of success, for example in the DDT controversies, to dishonestly portray the goals of the environmental movements as extremist. Animal rights people who declare that only they are environmentalists and then equate eating any meat to murdering people and being a racist (it happen to me on this thread) is handing the people who want to stop environmental protection a huge victory.
My own ethic is similar Aldo Leopold's land ethic, and I do not support rights of individual animals. If clubbing baby seals would stop or reduce global warming then I would be 100% in favor of clubbing baby seals.On On PETA's latest campaign posted 2 years, 2 months ago 256 Responses
I am amazing!
"JoSullivan58's posts never cease to amaze me." Of course they do because my posts are the best ones ;)
My issue with PETA is how effective their climate change campaign will be. I think that they will not help and will hurt attempts to reduce global warming. PETA is very good at getting attention but screws it up because much of that attention is negative. Animal-rights activists have had only small successes. A small group of people buy into their message and the public has a whole has made only cosmetic changes. There is no reason to think that this will change.
Climate change will be reduced only by major changes in society. PETA's campaign is hurting the environmental groups attempts to do this.
As for the specific claims of the benefits of vegetarian/vegan diets, there are many benefits, and I personally eat little meat. Too often however the benefits are overstated. Many of the animal-rights activists oppose eating meat for moral reasons, not for scientific reasons or environmental reasons. Trying to explain your choice not to eat meat using science and conservation is too often disingenuous.
A more realistic goal would be to try to persuade the public to eat less meat, not demand that people stop eating all animal products.
I'm sorry if some people don't like me saying this. It does not mean, as C4nier writes, that I am a mass murderer ("JoSullivan58 isn't willing to give up delis, barbecues, clams or hamburgers, even if he may be killing us all") or want slavery or segregation ("it's people like this who reminisce the days of slavery, segregated society...") or want unrestrained pollution, pesticide use, or unsafe products ("...sewage filled waterways, indiscriminate DDT spraying, and ubiquitous lead paint).
I am hesitant to add this, but what does the C in C4nier stand for, crackpot?On On PETA's latest campaign posted 2 years, 2 months ago 256 Responses
Environmentalist vs animal rights groups
The main difference between the animal rights movement and the environment movement is that the animal rights movement is dominated by extremists while the environmental movement is dominated by moderates. As a result I support Biodiversivist's contention, yes the environmental movement should separate itself from the animal rights movement. Not completely, just keep PETA et al at arms length because a close relationship would be damaging to the environmental movement.
PETA is the flagship animal rights group. It dominates and sets the agenda of the animal rights movement. It has set the animal rights movement on an extremist path. They assert their moral and value judgments as fact. They see no middle ground or room for compromise. They demand that everyone do what they do. They demonize people who disagree. They use arguments that a reasonable person would see as outside the norm. They are clearly hostile and support violence.
The result of this is PETA is a small ideologically pure sect. There is something to be said for people who live up to their own ideals, but a group on the fringes of society is the last thing the environment needs.
Environmental problems like climate change are bigger and more complex than animal rights issues. Broad public support is essential to solve environmental problems. Extremist demands like mandatory vegan or vegetarian diets to be in favor environmental protection are going to push people away, not bring them in.On PETA VP argues vegetarianism is the best way to help the planet posted 2 years, 2 months ago 77 Responses
Some different answers
Question #1
The convenience or cost of going vegetarian is very subjective. In financial terms going veggie is one of the few things that will instantly save you money and help the environment, but food is an important part of culture. Think of the New York delis, the Texas barbecues, the New England clam shacks or the drive-through hamburger places that are ubiquitous in the US . Giving up something that makes us what we are as a people is a lot to ask. How many people would give up their thanksgiving turkey, easter ham or hot dogs at the ball park?Question #2
I agree completely. There is too much tribalism and infighting. One of the things the right does very well is not infighting, not publicly at least. I also think that some on the left view the environmentalists as sacrificial lambs that they can offer to the republican noise machine to keep them off their own back. Infighting encourages this.As long as the term environmentalist is not used to green-wash or cover up another agenda it should be used broadly. That being said PETA is first and foremost an animal-rights group. PETA shares many of the same goals as environmentalist groups, however PETA has acted against environmentalists if they violated PETA's position on animal-rights.
Question #3
PETA is good at getting itself heard, but more substantive results are harder to come by. For example a large majority of people in the US and Europe now considers wearing fur unacceptable. That has resulted in a temporary drop in fur sales, but sales increased over 30% in the past 5 years
http://news.scotsman.com/topics.cfm?tid=604&id=175461 ...Largely because of PETA, many food companies and restaurants use more humanely raised meat, and clothing companies use more humanely raised leather, but PETA has not caused much of a dent in the consumption of these animals. One of the reasons why PETA was successful was because these where relatively small sacrifices. Getting a large part of the public to become vegetarians will be much harder, if its possible at all.
Why PETA's recent campaign against environmental groups is bad:
Infighting of any kind wastes time and resources.
Public infighting further damages the public image of environmentalists.
The things PETA is saying are reinforcing the right's stereotype of environmentalists as holier-than-thou and hypocritical and environmentalists as not smart enough or too emotional to understand the issue.
The way PETA is behaving reinforces the right's stereotype of environmentalists being fringe radicals who are hostile and want to force everyone else to live their extremist lifestyles.
It gives ammunition to the republican noise machine to set a negative public image of environmentalists that many in the general public accept.
Its these images that have influenced people to join the attacks on environmentalists, or decide not to work with or support environmentalist groups.
It increases infighting with groups that should be environmentalists natural allies.
Reinforcing these negative images makes it harder to create the broad coalition necessary to fight climate change.Why is PETA doing this, to get environmentalists themselves to go vegetarian? Some motivated environmentalists will do it, but that will have little effect.
Do they want the environmental groups do push the message? This seems to be the case.
Why, because environmentalist groups have been more successful than PETA ? (yes they have been).
Because environmentalists groups have a broader base of public support? (yes they do).
To capitalize on Al Gore's success increasing awareness about climate change without having to develop an effective campaign themselves? (this seems pretty likely, PETA is opportunistic).On On PETA's latest campaign posted 2 years, 2 months ago 256 ResponsesIs PETA an environmental group?
No they are not. Why would they say this
http://www.peta.org/living/AT-Summer1999/purr.html
and do this
http://www.encyclopedia.com/doc/1G1-15794304.htmlOne of the major threats to ecosystems is invasive species. Rather than remove feral pigs PETA would rather watch them destroy ecosystems and drive other animals and plants to extinction. Conservation of ecosystems and stopping extinctions that are caused by people are core values of environmentalism and conservation. Stopping work which helps the environment, like removing animals that are destructive because they are in unnatural situations and conserving ecosystem, is the opposite of being an environmentalist.
This is not to mention ad campaigns that have been criticized for being sexist
http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m0820/is_n210/ai_16 ...and that unforgivably compared the murder of millions of people in Nazi concentration camps to eating meat.
http://www.adl.org/Anti_semitism/holocaust_imagery_ar.asp ...
http://www.adl.org/PresRele/HolNa_52/4235_52.htmAnd not to mention defending people who are at best vandals and at worst terrorists
http://www.splcenter.org/intel/intelreport/article.jsp?si ...And funding and supporting groups that have been labeled as terrorist organizations
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PETAYes PETA's campaigns get people talking, but much of what they say is "wow those PETA people are a freak show, and I won't listen any environmentalists anymore, they're all crackpots". PETA is an extremist animal-rights group whose actions are hurting the chances of reaching the broad-based political consensus needed to stop global warming.
http://www.tolerance.org/news/article_hate.jsp?id=724The NDRC has a good take on this.
http://switchboard.nrdc.org/blogs/jcoifman/go_pluck_yours ...On Animal-rights group makes the stupid claim that enviros must be vegetarians posted 2 years, 2 months ago 208 ResponsesWhat do you want?
Do you want an ideologically pure sect or do you want effective actions that will help stop global warming?
PETA's "if you like to eat hamburgers, you must like clubbing baby seals" rhetoric is counterproductive. They preach their way is the only one true way to save the planet. Unfortunately few people will follow their way, and the shrillness and the hostility of their ads are off-putting.
Effective action to stop global warming needs broad support from society as a whole. Measures that are seen as too extreme by most people are not realistic goals. Infighting and extremist demands are a waste of time and energy. On Animal-rights group makes the stupid claim that enviros must be vegetarians posted 2 years, 2 months ago 208 Responses
I'll add a few things
"The strict government mandates concerning air and water quality" were enacted only because of public outcry and the work of dedicated environmental activists. Without these things the government would have been loathe to act.
There is a desperate need for congressmen to stand up to then nonsense that the obstructionists in congress use to excuse inaction.
Back in February on gristmill Anthony Weiner (Rep. Dem. NY) was criticized for doing this. I lived in his district for years and I was signed up for every major environmental group's action list. This meant I sent several e-mails a week to him. He sent me letters, not just form letters but letters indicating that he (or his staffers) read all my e-mails carefully and sent thoughtful replies.
His environmental record in congress was very good, but I noticed after the consent urges for action I sent he became even more active in congress for environmental legislation. Both PIRG and the League of Conservation Voters called him an environmental hero because of his actions in congress. On How to tell whoppers and get away with it posted 2 years, 2 months ago 3 Responses
Its late, but listen
Anthony Weiner (Rep. Dem. NY) is being criticized, but be careful. I lived in his district for years and I was signed up for every major environmental group's action list. This meant I sent several e-mails a week to him. He sent me letters, not just form letters but letters indicating that he (or his staffers) read all my e-mails carefully and sent thoughtful replies.
His environmental record in congress was very good, but I noticed after the consent urges for action I sent he became even more active in congress for environmental legislation.
Both PIRG and the League of Conservation Voters called him an environmental hero because of his actions in congress. On Gets into it posted 2 years, 2 months ago 19 Responses
dissent?
In science ideas that don't agree with physical reality are rejected. Jabilo submit the Bailo model to peer reviewed science journals. If it is not published it might be because your model does not accurately represent physical facts.
Please tell us what journals you submitted your model to. Perhaps your model is not accurate. If your side doesn't get recognition it isn't because you're being suppressed, your model might just be inaccurate.
To quote Senator Moynahan "You are entitled to your own opinion...but you are not entitled to your own facts." On Flawed new analysis purports to show that there's no scientific consensus on climate change posted 2 years, 2 months ago 34 Responses
How science works
I agree with Dr Dessler that scientists have to explain how science works in the normal day-to-day work to have people understand what the scientists are saying.
Individual papers only address small parts of the big picture. Thats how science is done. Big questions are only examined in synthesis reports like the IPCC. Also scientists should explain that the basics behind climate change will not be found in recent papers. These facts are so well established that to find them you'll need to look in basic climatology textbooks.
As far as the private property question, remember that nuisance, the legal term of art that means that one can not use their property in a way that negatively effects someone else's property, was on the books as long the US existed. It does apply to climate change.On Flawed new analysis purports to show that there's no scientific consensus on climate change posted 2 years, 2 months ago 34 Responses
Who is the most cynical?
Andrew Dressler is not as cynical as Steve Bloom or me ;)
Some of the things that McIntyre does are like what lawyers do in legal proceedings. In regulatory matters lawyers will often make demands that are time, labor, and financially expensive with the goal of getting a desired decision from an agency.
In this case it seems to an attempt to delay or stop laws that deal with global warming.On The Wall Street Journal contradicts itself on global warming posted 2 years, 2 months ago 24 Responses
Mr McIntyre is getting the desired results
"The reaction in the right-wing blogosphere is overwrought," Mr. McIntyre said. "I certainly haven't said that this is some kind of magic bullet that disproves global warming."
I will say with a high degree of certainty that Mr. McIntyre wants to produce the kind of material that will fuel the right-wing noise machine. He is not not just some amateur scientist, he's a political operative. On The Wall Street Journal contradicts itself on global warming posted 2 years, 3 months ago 24 Responses
A preverse CBA
The small scale artisanal fisheries benefit the local people but don't benefit the central government.
The central government gets cash (the benefit) and does not suffer (the cost).
Using immoral logic, the cost benefit analysis for the government is to screw the local people to get money for themselves.
If there was a more open democratic government they would not have done this.On Unsustainability in the water posted 2 years, 4 months ago 10 Responses
Daily Kos and Enviros
Environmentalist groups like Sierra Club ticked off the liberals this fall because they endorsed republicans in elections if they had strong environmental records.
The first question and response of the interview says it all. Marko's first statement is a complaint that environmentalist groups don't want to create a progressive voting block similar to conservatives.
The environmental groups don't want conservation and environmental protection to be a partisan issue, so they decided not to exclusively support progressive candidates and issues.On For shame posted 2 years, 4 months ago 29 Responses
What Bush has been really doing
From this weeks Rolling Stone:
"The Secret Campaign of President Bush's Administration to Deny Global Warming"http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/15148655/the_s ...On Hold the applause on the administration's posted 2 years, 5 months ago 9 Responses
Bush is not a "foot-dragger"
Bush is an uncompromising obstructionist when it comes to meaningful action on global warming. He just publicly lies about it beginning when he started campaigning for the presidency in 1999. No action will happen when Bush is in office.
Friedman in today NY Times writes that the only thing blocking action is a few politicians who are putting their own interests ahead of the United State's well-being. Bush is not only one of them, he is the leader of them. On Hold the applause on the administration's posted 2 years, 5 months ago 9 Responses
'Invasion Biology, Critique of a Pseudoscience' ??
metalman writes:
"If you are interested in this topic, you haven't touched the surface in the debate until you read this book, by David Theodoropoulos."From a review of this book in the journal ecology:
"Specifically, invasion biologists will
be surprised to learn that their work is isolated from the rest of biology, that their research is solely motivated by xenophobia with historical roots in Nazism, and that '[p]sychotherapeutic counseling has been successfully used to reduce racial prejudice in individuals, and could be used to help anti-invader extremists.'"
Deprogramming Invasion Biologists?
http://striweb.si.edu/basset/PdFs/Longino2004Arthropods.p ...On They may not all be bad. posted 2 years, 5 months ago 82 ResponsesIrreversable actions
Remember once a species is established it can be impossible to eradicate. Its better to prevent alien species from getting established than to let them get established and blindly hope for the best.On They may not all be bad. posted 2 years, 5 months ago 82 Responses
realpolitik and ED
Environmental Defense is taking a pragmatic look at the issue.
Any new tax will have trouble being passed. The very word "tax" is likely to be poison to any legislation. Especially to republicans who control ~45% of congress.
Beyond academic discussions of what may be the best policy there are considerations of what is doable in todays political climate.On Getting something done is the priority posted 2 years, 6 months ago 10 Responses
Was he off his meds?
It was a funny skit, but the guy seemed to be disturbed. I know they edited it to make fun of the man, but when he talked about the world ending he was almost scary.On Some of the funniest stuff I've seen in a long time posted 2 years, 7 months ago 2 Responses
More fun
Remember the guy in Seattle who stopped a school teacher from showing An Inconvenient Truth?
He was on the Daily Show and he made a complete fool of himself. On Kill me posted 2 years, 7 months ago 2 Responses
receives no funding from energy corporations
In a way that is true, but Newsweek writes it in a way that's deceptive.
The entire quote is:
"Lindzen is the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. His research has always been funded exclusively by the U.S. government. He receives no funding from any energy companies."Lindzen's research funding is exclusively from the government, and Lindzen has received no RESEARCH funding from energy companies. Lindzen has received CONSULTING funding from the energy companies.
The biographical note is like the editorial itself. It appears to be correct, but its wrong and worded deceptively. On For shame! posted 2 years, 7 months ago 23 Responses
I agree with the post
and David's follow up comment.
It's more important to let the public know how science works. Tell people that science is based on physical facts that can be objectively shown and tries to remove the personal subjective interpretations. Its not that science does this perfectly, but that is different than most other area like politics, law and business.
Other things are about the day-to-day life of scientists. They are not saying people are warming the planet to get money. One of the scientist at realclimate worked on the IPCC reports and said he spend many hours on it outside is regular job for no money. Another is how dishonesty is treated in science. Making things up the way jabailo does is completely unacceptable in the scientific community.
On They've got it, they shouldn't be ashamed of using it posted 2 years, 7 months ago 15 ResponsesThe difference
I think David and Jason are talking past one another. When Jason talks about enviro's he means the people who are interested but not actually the people who are involved in the policy decisions.
When David talks about enviro's he means the professional types whose job is getting policy objectives done.
If we understand what they mean, there is not so much difference. If we explain what we mean a little more clearly there would be less conflict.On Unintended consequences? posted 2 years, 8 months ago 46 Responses
Not everyone is an environmentalist
Yes that seems obvious, but its easily forgotten. For action to be taken enviro's have to win over people who are not all that interested in environmental issues.
There are people who don't care about nature for nature's sake and they won't support environmental protection if there are not more utilitarian reasons.On Earth Firster urges a return to conservationism posted 2 years, 8 months ago 42 Responses
A strawman?
Is this emphasis on enviro's wanting to preserve nature for nature's sake something that is being blown out of proportion by enviro's opponents?
It sounds like the often heard enviro's as extremist shtick. The right is very good at setting up the discussion in a way that benefits their side.
Are enviro's falling into a trap when we ourselves make a big issue out of this?On Earth Firster urges a return to conservationism posted 2 years, 8 months ago 42 Responses
Good angle, but there's a catch
Translating the science into impacts where people live is difficult because this will require better regional predictions than are currently available.
Make predictions without enough evidence and people will yell "alarmist!"On 'Supporting global warming initiatives is tantamount to endorsing communism and the one world order' posted 2 years, 8 months ago 27 Responses
Its Finally Happened!
"whether in the form of global warming or homosexuality"
I knew that some one was going to connect taking action on global warming to promoting gay marriage! I didn't listen to the video because I thought it was the same old stuff, but this is different. On 'Supporting global warming initiatives is tantamount to endorsing communism and the one world order' posted 2 years, 8 months ago 27 Responses
Same old nonsense
There two goals with the "enviro's as commies" shtick.
First associate a popular and successful political movement with an unpopular and failed political movement. Second associate unrestricted polluting and land use with all personal freedom.
Both of these assertion are so far away from reality that people pushing them are at best uninformed, and at worse deranged.
There is a positive correlation between open democracies and environmental protection. Why would enviro's be in favor of a political system that would destroy what they have accomplished and stop and further gains?
Economic activities that are done that are detrimental to other people's property have always been restricted since the time the US was settled. The legal terms describing this are nuisance and tresspass.On 'Supporting global warming initiatives is tantamount to endorsing communism and the one world order' posted 2 years, 8 months ago 27 Responses
More of the worst ever category
Worst commenter ever on gristmill: jabailoOn Oil and gas lobbyist pleads guilty posted 2 years, 8 months ago 4 Responses
wow
I'm shocked at the level of corruption, but at the same time I'm not surprised. Every day its something new and worse with the Bush administration.
I'm officially calling it: George W. Bush, worse president ever.On Oil and gas lobbyist pleads guilty posted 2 years, 8 months ago 4 Responses
Republicans pro nuclear?
It sounds like they want to blame environmentalists for making global warming worse
Because enviro's opposed new nuclear power plants the republicans want to discredit enviro's. On Liveblogging is the new black posted 2 years, 8 months ago 27 Responses
I agree with J ason
I don't think this was a hit piece as much it was an attempt to make an interesting story by making something that is not all that controversial into a controversy.
The last part of the article is most informative when they quote Dr Oppenheimer:
"On balance, he did quite well -- a credible and entertaining job on a difficult subject," Dr. Oppenheimer said. "For that, he deserves a lot of credit. If you rake him over the coals, you're going to find people who disagree. But in terms of the big picture, he got it right."On Coming tomorrow posted 2 years, 8 months ago 19 Responses
Post OK but for a different forum
This post is a classroom type of teaching tool. The facts are changed to spur discussion. It can quickly break down into arguing for arguments sake.
If I were in an an environmental policy course it would be good, but on a public forum like gristmill I would expect something better. On An opportunity for reflection posted 2 years, 8 months ago 35 Responses
The big picture
One the Environmental Defense's people has a Q&A about the deal.
http://www.environmentaldefense.org/article.cfm?contentID ...I think its the big picture that's important. The big groups like ED and NRDC are big picture people. This is a shift by major investing groups from opposing regulations to supporting them.
In the public debate this takes climate change from being a fringe dirty-hippie issue into a mainstream issue of legitimate concern.On TXU bleg posted 2 years, 8 months ago 1 Response
Just in
The TXU board is recommending that shareholders approve the take over.On This is huge posted 2 years, 9 months ago 21 Responses
New Window of Opportunity
There might be financial interest involved in the buyout, but there is nothing wrong with that.
There was a movement, particularly in the legal departments of the companies, that polluting industries should abandon the lobby/litigate efforts to avoid regulation. They should accept regulation and make good faith efforts to work with NGO's and government agencies to find common ground.
This movement lost momentum when conservative republicans took all three branches of government. Now that the conservatives are losing ground and more reasonable voices on the right are gaining control there are new opportunities for progress.
Progress does not mean you will get everything you want, but thats politics. For example the grandfathering of plants was not for constitutional reasons because its perfectly constitutional not to grandfather them. It was a compromise made to make progress. On This is huge posted 2 years, 9 months ago 21 Responses
Rodger Pielke Jr
I don't think Rodger is a skeptic, but his main thing is that he seems to like to debate.
If you read his blog it sometimes gets to the point where he argues for the sake of arguing rather than making any really substantive points. Its hard to figure out what his point is.
I made a comment on RealClimate and he took that comment an said it was a comment by climate scientist Judith Curry. He was trying to provoke a response and he was publicly misquoting me and Judith Curry to do it.
I wrote on RC that I liked the NRDC's and Environmental Defense's web pages on global warming and then Rodger took that comment and said it was from Dr Curry and said that she was publicly endorsing ED and the NRDC.
He later complained that no one criticizes environmental groups. When I called him on that he backed down from that position. I think he got caught up in the debate and acted without thinking about what he was really saying. On Our old friend posted 2 years, 10 months ago 22 Responses
Its all funny
"Cheney was clearly suppressing a laugh that started before your clip starts"
Yes, the whole state of the union speech was a joke. On VP snickers at Bush energy proposals posted 2 years, 10 months ago 9 Responses
New measures needed
Some member of congress should sneak a rider into a bill thats sure to pass that would ban Polombo from politics completely. He could keep his right to vote but he should not be allowed to do anything else.On Planning to work for firm that had lobbied him posted 2 years, 10 months ago 4 Responses
Maybe this is the best we can expect?
No its not very good, but at least its progress. The country is not yet ready for major changes, and until it is small measures are the best hope.
Any new federal legislation will have a hard time getting enough votes to overcome a filibuster in congress or a presidential veto. Moderate measures that have the support of the polluting industries have the best and possibly only chance of passage. On Sounds ... whaaa? posted 2 years, 10 months ago 17 Responses
its the pombo syndrome
Maybe they saw what happened to Pombo, and it made them a little nervous. They don't want to take the far right anti-environmental position because its increasingly unpopular. On Alaska's Ted Stevens gets desperate for ANWR posted 2 years, 10 months ago 1 Response
Bush's view of energy independence
That's easy, Oil drilling everywhere in the US! ANWR off all the coasts, in national parks, etc. etc. Bush wants us to drill everywhere to achieve energy independence.On It's all about energy, again posted 2 years, 10 months ago 1 Response
Tell it like it is
It refreshing to read:
"Like all advocates, they use whatever arguments they think will win"
"That's political debate, folks. If you don't like it, move to North Korea. The scientific community has no control over either group and should not be held responsible for them"Its important to differentiate between the activist and scientific community. On What do the climate scientists think? posted 2 years, 11 months ago 24 Responses
Bush's misuse of law enforcement
The Bush administration has a history of misusing law enforcement to harass to the environmental movement.
Texas had a long problem with air pollution. Under federal law Texas had to revise their program to reduce pollution. The levels of air pollution were exceeding the legal limits and causing health problems. Then Governor Bush's postition was that industries in Texas did not have to comply with the law and the health hazards they were creating should be ignored.
This sparked lawful protests outside the governor's mansion. The Bush adminstration considered people exercising their right of free speech and assembly potentially embarassing for his presidential campaign.
To stop these legal protests the Bush administration claimed they had to ban them for public safety reasons. I am not making this up: the Texas DPS (the state troopers) claimed the one or two dozen protesters were endangering people because pedestrians could have to walk around them and when they did they could walk in the street and since they were in the street they could be hit by a car. Citing this as a security concern, the DPS banned the protests.
However the the DPS, acting on behalf of the Bush adminstration, was violating a Texas law that explictly allowed small peaceful protests in front of the governor's mansion. The environmentalists did not comply with the unlawful ban and were arrested.
The environmentalists sued because the DPS violated their rights of free speech and assembly and broke the law when they arrested the protesters. As was reported in the Austin American Statesman, because the DPS was clearly wrong it settled the case and paid a 99,000$ fine. On There are differences posted 3 years, 10 months ago 1 Response
Why people are opposing environmental protection
People are opposing environmentalism because others are persuading them to. There is a highly organized and financed campaign public relations campaign to destroy environmental protection by convincing the public that environmental protection is bad. I think all environmental organizations should mount a unified counter-campaign with the single purpose of exposing the lies, slurs and mudslinging and the sources.
Two of the posts here on the gristmill about DDT (from Tim Lambert) and about the eco-terrorism labels are examples of anti-environmental campaign. I also think gristmill's advice about how environmentalists should respond to the terrorism charges by exposing these lies and who is behind is the best response and trying to explain its just a few bad apples etc etc etc is just playing into anti-environmentalist's hands.
Much as been said about the "death" of environmentalism, but I think the more accurate way to put it is that there are people who are trying to kill environmentalism. They are spreading lies to destroy environmentalist's strength, public support. We need to a much better job in protecting ourselves.
On Liberal opposition to drilling is reason enough to support it for some folks posted 4 years, 1 month ago 4 Responses