Comments RDMiller has made

  • Please... disregard

    Bob,

    I have a simple solution for dialogue between us. Please disregard whatever I say. Ignore me, please. Not that I'll be posting much or visiting Grist.

    That's not a tantrum, Bob. It's discretion.

    RichardOn Cellulosic ethanol's bumpy ride posted 11 months, 1 week ago 19 Responses

  • re: asdf

    Bob,

    I was just wondering if there is anything you don't know. People who talk a lot usually think they know far more than they actually do.

    How about a little humility. Please.

    RichardOn Cellulosic ethanol's bumpy ride posted 11 months, 1 week ago 19 Responses

  • DRX

    I understand you have a hard time dealing with people like me who have a nuanced position. It certainly must be easier to ignore reality as you do in virtually every post, and simply talk pie in the sky. I guess the idea of getting in dirty with the real world just doesn't do it for you.

    RichardOn Cellulosic ethanol's bumpy ride posted 11 months, 1 week ago 19 Responses

  • Billhook,

    I realize this is hard for you to understand, but I'll try explaining once more.

    The issue has nothing to do with people who have different views. I am always interested in hearing other viewpoints. The issue has everything to with people who don't know the difference between a biased opinion and a factual, or at least, unbiased report. If Grist is simply about people having built in biases and spewing beliefs, and not about factual reporting, few serious people will spend any time here. Hence, the answer as to why few (like Khosla) do.

    This planet is in the trouble it is in primarily because people who end up in power can't tell the difference between their own personal agendas and what it means to serve the greater good. Sounds like you haven't noticed this.

    Personally, I've had enough of that pattern, and my hopes were high it wouldn't show up as much here. Stupid me. David R. was right. This is just another place on the Internet where people preach beliefs, claiming it's something else. That's unfortunate, because there really is a lot at stake.

    Given what's transpired here, I'll withdraw from posting on cellulosic ethanol. I don't need the frustration.

    And for the last time... I do NOT have a bias in favor of CE. I'm not at all certain it's the most sensible way to go. I DO have a bias towards creating healthy forests and using wood harvested sustainably. But if the writing on the wall tells me CE is coming and will impact forests in a big way, I'd prefer to do what I can to create a favorable outcome... rather than standing on the sidelines making believe it isn't happening or shouldn't be happening. That's just be irresponsible.

    Richard  On Cellulosic ethanol's bumpy ride posted 11 months, 1 week ago 19 Responses

  • re: What happened to Khosla?

    My guess? He's got better things to do with his time. Why bother posting here. Articles like Tom's show an amazing lack of depth and understanding of development cycles... not to mention personal bias for one technology over another.

    I've got to seriously consider if it's worth any of my time posting here as well.

    RichardOn Cellulosic ethanol's bumpy ride posted 11 months, 1 week ago 19 Responses

  • re: Which contains more biomass per cubic foot...

    Tom,

    Wood is denser than switchgrass, but the equation is more complex than that... especially if you assume the switchgrass is dry and the wood is green and of a less dense species.

    The issue of availability of forest biomass is also more complex than it might seem, because while a sustainable harvest rate for a given forest is relatively low, the one-time, initial harvest could be very large (on the order of 50 times the sustainable rate). This would kick start the CE bandwagon, leaving time to develop dedicated energy plantations from switchgrass and fast growing woody species like poplar and willow. I don't think anyone in this business is overly concerned about biomass supply for CE over at least the next 15 years.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • Time to bow out

    Bart,

    I don't believe this discussion between us will get anywhere. I'll not waste your time anymore.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • re: Missionary or fellow seeker?

    Bart,

    I agree with almost nothing you've said. That aside, I'll make just one point now (which I've made many times before and which will be in whatever I write). Jon has made this point several times as well, but it's not quite getting through.

    There are "biofuels" (as the public has come to know this term) and then there is cellulosic ethanol from wood. It's a huge mistake to confuse these two. They have little in common in terms of sustainability, EROI, costs, history, etc.

    Many in the CE sector are basing their business plans on wood (whether from natural forests or plantations) because just about everything about this.... other than the technical process of converting the wood into ethanol... is very well known. As I said before, the same wood that is harvested in large volumes every day for one product or another could go to CE. It can easily be sustainable, in every sense of the word. This is proven... it's not up for discussion. There is over 100 years of solid evidence to back this up.

    So Bart... if you and others want to discuss biofuels (as defined above), I'm not interested in that discussion. That's a subject I know enough about to know it's on troublesome grounds. But this is NOT the discussion to be had about cellulosic ethanol.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • Cellulosic ethanol - recent update

    As it turns out, this article came out today, which does a great job of summarizing current developments in cellulosic ethanol. I'll reference this again later in whatever I write, but for now, folks here might want to review this piece:

    http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/magazine/story?id ...On New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • re: OK

    David,

    I'll work on something over the next couple of days and see if it meets your approval. Thanks for the offer.

    Bob... I don't recall calling anyone names here. And I certainly never said "other people here know nothing." Where do you come up with these things? I said too many people here draw conclusions about some things they know too little about. That's a far cry from saying people here know nothing. It's this kind of twisting of statements that drives me away from Grist (and I know David... it's not Grist specifically... it's the Internet. I'm sure the folks behind Grist would like to see the discussion go up a notch).

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • David

    I agree with most of what you have said. Perhaps it's my mistake for thinking that Grist might be a particularly useful place to discuss issues pertaining to energy and the environment. But if not here, I don't know where... and that's a bit of a shame.

    As far as discussing the specifics of cellulosic ethanol, I would guess I've made 20-30 posts here over the months that contain specific data and answer questions on this subject. Perhaps a reorganization of this site so that data like that can be more easily found, would be in order. To post the same thing again and again... I certainly don't have the time or patience for that.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • John

    The point I was making... and the reason I find Grist a less than satisfying experience... is that too many people here make judgments about issues FIRST, before asking questions. This shows a lack of maturity that doesn't bode well for sorting through these very important issues.

    I tend to avoid making definitive statements about any energy technology I don't have first hand experience of us, because they are all complex.

    People here should learn to ask questions first... not reach conclusions first. It would make Grist a far better site.On New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • No confusion

    David,

    By "close minded", I specifically mean people who are not willing to put their own beliefs aside to fully and openly consider different views. Debating is not the point. You can't have a sensible debate with a close minded person. It's pointless.

    As I said, cellulosic ethanol involves many complex issues not familiar to people who study wind, solar and other energy technologies. The information they need to make informed judgments is not intuitive or easy to learn. It requires a certain maturity and self reflection to accept this. I often don't find this here.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • Ignoring the evidence

    Bob,

    You, too, have simply failed to listen to anything I've said.

    My point is that Obama, Chu and many others on Obama's team stand firm behind cellulosic ethanol... not to mention the investors and government agencies that have pumped more than $1 billion into it over the past 18 months.

    But all of us must be mad, Bob... just delusional. And you must have the answers.

    Right.On New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • Think!.. please

    Tom,

    I hear this same old silly argument again and again about how the cost of hauling the biomass will kill cellulosic ethanol. This simple statement most clearly speaks to the lack of basic knowledge even so-called experts have about CE.

    I'll say this one more time (it gets tiring after a while). Woody biomass is transported every single day up to 100 miles from forest to end user (pulp plant, biomass facility, sawmill, etc.). The cost of doing this is simply not a major factor. It'll be no different for CE. Every CE company has factored this in. It's a KNOWN cost... proven over the past 30 years.

    Folks who are establishing dedicated wood energy plantations (for CE) understand these costs as well. There's no guessing here.

    With switchgrass, there's a bit more unknown, but it's not rocket science and it's definitely not a show stopper. There are options to compress and even dry the material before it leaves the forest or farm, both of which will allow for even further transport distances.

    Corn?.. well that's a different creature I personally have no interest in.

    Cash to build the facilities? It's standing by the sidelines. Just keep watching.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • Didn't hear a thing I said

    Bart,

    It's as if what I said went in one ear and out the other. It's why I don't bother reading or posting much here anymore. Closed minds. Closed ears.

    No matter. Cellulosic ethanol is coming, in a big way, whether Grist folks like it or not. Must be Obama and Chu are just out to lunch because some select group of "experts" know better. Looks like we're all screwed.

    A lot of folks here really need to learn how to listen more openly and not be so damn afraid that someone else might notice your not an expert on everything. Because no one here is an expert on all things energy.

    A little humility is in order.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • Cellulosic ethanol is key

    I don't bother reading or posting much on Grist anymore, as it's really too close-minded a community for me. Several of the posts here demonstrate this once again.

    The problem for many Grister's, as I've said before, is that when it comes to carbon based solutions that involve growing things... as opposed to wind, solar and other non-carbon energy sources... the issues become far more complex. Simplistic, quick assessments of cellulosic ethanol, for example, are of little value.

    Obama (Chu and others) recognizes the complexity of this issue, but also the many options and potential benefits inherent within it. They see beyond analyses like those of Mr. Jacobson, who for all practical purposes, understands only the smallest sliver of the CE pie.

    One of the reasons there is so much attention to CE is because it can create jobs... hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of jobs. The right kind of jobs. Dispersed. Rural. Good paying. Low tech. This factor alone places it in a category different from solar and wind. But then, maybe Grister's just don't put much weight on this.

    In fact, the nature of CE is decentralized, making it relevant to every section of the country. No need to focus on siting a massive solar plant in the desert or restricting a wind farm to a few key locations.

    Further, the raw material is already present in forests, allowing the sector to get underway immediately after CE has been proven commercial. Current knowledge will allow us to grow massive volumes of new biomass from a wide range of plants... ALL in a sustainable manner.

    I could go on and on (as I've done in the past), but it doesn't really matter. It's coming, folks. Get over your agenda's and start to think creatively. Use your brilliance to help direct it toward a sustainable end. Become informed about the options. And tell Mr. Jacobson he's not helping himself by narrow analyses of a direction he seems to know little about.

    RichardOn New energy chief's enthusiasm for cellulosic ethanol makes me uncomfortable posted 11 months, 2 weeks ago 61 Responses

  • Getting back to 350 ppm

    There is a tangible, realistic way to implement what Jonas posted using known technology.

    The solution to the issue of CO2 from coal plants in the US is not to attempt to implement CCS, but rather to convert them to using torrefied biomass. This biomass can replace coal on a 1:1 basis with virtually no change to the facility, and it creates the carbon-negative bioenergy approach Hansen asks for.

    The process of producing the "bio-coal" creates excess bio-char... exactly what Hansen asked for. Feeding this bio-char into the soils in the existing forests and new biomass plantations surrounding each coal facility both sequesters more CO2 and increases the productivity of those forests.

    Anyone can go through the figures with relative ease and see that the resource base is available around virtually every coal facility in the US to make this conversion. The beauty of it is that the bio-coal can be mixed in with conventional coal gradually as the conversion process ramps up over time. And it includes a massive reforestation program which includes converting abandoned strip-mined land to biomass plantations, thereby addressing another part of Hansen's plan.

    Of course, this also more than solves the problem of jobs in coal regions, because even more people need to be employed to produce the biomass than are needed to mine the coal. And the economics of burning bio-coal vs. conventional coal are not significantly different to derail this approach.

    We have this technology right now and it rather well known. This approach could start to be implemented today. All we need is the political will and the dollars to make it happen.

    RichardOn Carbon is forever posted 1 year ago 35 Responses

  • re: nuclear waste transport

    Karen,

    I don't believe I ever said anything about shutdowns of current nuclear plants. I also didn't say I expect no new ones to be built... only that a good case can be made that none (or few) will. It's hard to say how this will unfold.

    As far as your question goes as to whether any "expert" has laid out a peer-reviewed plan for a sustainable energy future without nuclear, I don't follow those folks thoroughly enough to answer this. But I suspect there are plenty of folks like that who do lay out a long term energy future for the US that includes only a relatively small amount of new nuclear. I'll bet there are folks here at Grist that can verify this with specific links.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • re: Nuclear & Wood Power Generation

    Jim,

    How about coming back to reality. I know it's painful, but it does make for a more useful discussion.

    Your 30 planned nuclear plants mean little until any of them are built. A good case could be made that few, if any, will.

    I realize you want to make it sound like nuclear produces a major portion of our power and cannot be done without, but the facts show otherwise. Fact: nuclear produces well under 10% of US energy. Fact: plans are on the table to eliminate it completely over time.

    With Obama in now, expect to see a continuing rapid expansion in the use of biomass for energy (mainly through cellulosic ethanol). With the plans I am aware of, it should be about 10 years before biomass produces more energy in the US than nuclear.

    That said, I will say once again that I am not opposed to nuclear energy. But it has a long way to go to prove it is cost effective and safe.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • It's a CAR, hello... not a submarine

    Vakibs,

    In your previous post (now further backed up by your latest post), you said you thought the payback time on a PHEV or hybrid car was 10-15 years. I'm guessing (others can chime in here) that this was based on gas at $4.00 per gallon... not $2.50. But even so, come on... who holds onto a car for 10-15 years! This isn't a nuclear powered submarine. People change their cars after 3-5 years or so. In other words, it costs them more (today) to go the electric route than the liquid fuel route.

    I'm not saying there aren't many other reasons to choose a PHEV or hybrid, but saving money because the car might be powered by a nuclear facility isn't one of them.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • Vakibs... stop the incorrect statements already

    Why do you keep making unequivocal statements of fact that you can't possibly prove to be true?

    I said: "My guess is a vehicle powered by cellulosic ethanol will be considerably less expensive to operate than one driven by electricity... at least in the next 10 years." This is a guess on my part... not a fact, because no one can know the truth of this yet.

    You came back and said it was false. Since when do you know the future? What you should have said is, "it's my belief this will not be the case." Come on, Vakibs. Debate with some truth to your words or don't debate at all.

    Then you go on again and talk theory (about efficiency) versus fact (in terms of what people actually pay). The FACT is, it's more expensive today to operate a hybrid or electric vehicle than a gas driven one.... especially with today's gas prices. If cellulosic ethanol came in to the market at today's gas prices, it would clearly be less expensive TO ME AND YOU to operate now in the US. In 10 years, who knows. Arguments could be made either way.

    I am glad the first few paragraphs of your post represented a change from your earlier statements. Now you are saying "nuclear power should be cheaper than alternatives." OK... that's a fair statement regarding your hopes. But let's be clear, nuclear is far more expensive today than other sources of power here in the US for anything other than direct usage of electricity.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • Lets be honest Vakibs....

    Vakibs,

    I know you believe nuclear is the cheapest source of power in the US, but this is simply an untrue statement. Anyone with even a little knowledge here knows this is a distortion of fact. This is why other statements you make become suspect.

    Yes, it could well be true that nuclear provides the cheapest source of pure electricity. But this is often a meaningless number, as homes and businesses don't pay their bills directly to nuclear facilities... they pay energy bills.

    If I have to heat my home or business, I don't want to pay for nuclear... it's far too expensive. I want passive solar first and foremost, then biomass. I'll even take natural gas well before nuclear.

    If I want to power my car or truck, I don't want nuclear (i.e. electrically powered)... it's too expensive. Yes, electrically-driven vehicles will become cheaper to buy and operate within 20 years, but not today. My guess is a vehicle powered by cellulosic ethanol will be considerably less expensive to operate than one driven by electricity... at least in the next 10 years.

    So please, Vakibs... stop distorting facts. If you want to say that nuclear is the cheapest source of electrical energy when used to power items that can only be powered by electricity, then that is probably a true statement. But even with this, biomass, coal and natural gas are close behind... so close that this statement of yours wouldn't really be that significant. And as noted in my last post, this contribution of nuclear (about 8.5% of all US power) is not that really that big to begin with.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • He's gone nuclear

    Jim,

    At least get the basic facts right. Your numbers do not reflect reality. This leads me to believe anything you say is suspect.

    In 2007, nuclear provided around 8.5% of total US energy; biomass around 3.5%.

    http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alternate/page/renew_energy_ ...

    You then say "there are no signs of an increase in the use of biomass for energy." Come on, Jim. Wake up. There's been more venture capital invested into the use of biomass for energy in 2008 than was invested in genetics or the Internet. New biomass plants are being built at the highest pace in 50 years. And wood stove and wood pellet sales are off the charts... dealers can't keep up.

    Now let's see... how many nuclear plants are being built here in the US?

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • re: appeal to demogogues

    Vakibs,

    I know you're frustrated that many just aren't buying your arguments. I know you believe strongly in the advantages of nuclear and want others to believe as you do.

    As I've said numerous times, there may well come a time when nuclear energy proves itself as safe and low cost. But wish as you will, that time isn't here yet. You'd have a better time arguing your positions if you acknowledged this fact first.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • re: richard is wrong on multiple places

    Vakibs,

    You can continue to make your claims for the safety and low costs of nuclear energy until you're blue in the face, but it won't change the realities that TODAY, nuclear is considered too expensive to expand (at least in the US), remains riddled with waste disposal problems, is prone to devastating damage from attack by military means or natural events, causes serious environmental damage when mined, and may be causing damage to humans from low level radiation.

    There could be solutions to these issues, and for this reason, I remain open to the nuclear energy possibility.

    What is a fact is that biomass energy is being expanded at a rapid pace and is demonstrated to be low cost, safe and renewable. Nuclear is just not there yet.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • re: Here's a Reference

    Jim,

    I looked over the report you specified.

    1. The results for biomass, as you point out, are still quite low. Yes, if you use only the parameters from their research, wood is higher than nuclear. But this is a shallow argument because it is focusing on only one element of biomass versus nuclear energy (i.e. the cost of externalities as defined by those researchers) and even this factor is hardly significant. There are other externalities not included.

    2. It focuses only on conventional wood burning technology. Newer technologies (like advanced pyrolysis) would bring those numbers down to, or under, the numbers for nuclear... even given the parameters of the research.

    3. It did not compare the full environmental costs of uranium mining as compared to sustainable forestry. Had this been factored in, the nuclear external costs would be much higher.

    4. It did not factor in the long term costs of storing nuclear. Again, this would drive the nuclear numbers far higher.

    5. It did not factor in the costs of keeping nuclear material contained and safe from exploitation for military purposes... another huge cost factor.

    6. Finally, it did not factor in the contribution that could come from a carbon-negative biomass system.

    As far as radioactivity is concerned, as you mention, even if the small amount of radioactivity in the emissions from a conventional wood burning plant are higher than from a nuclear facility (and many would argue that this is not true), we all know that the big concern with nuclear is the radioactivity of the waste material. As far as I know, there are no reported deaths from contact with wood ash... even a rather large pile of it. On the other hand, I'd prefer to keep considerable distance between me and a nuclear waste pile.

    Jim... there's a reason new wood-fired facilities are being built left and right throughout the US and Europe, but hardly a nuclear plant. Someone's looking at the economics and making the choice for biomass.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • re: Split Atoms not Wood

    Jim,

    You're ideas about wood burning are from the stone age...sorry. Wood dirtier than coal? Wood has a greater impact on the environment than nuclear? I'd challenge you to prove either of these statements, based on current wood burning technology.

    These are classic statements from folks who read something about burning wood 40 years ago. They have nothing to do with the current discussion.

    Oh yes... please prove that last silly statement as well, about wood energy being more radioactive than nuclear. It gave me a good laugh anyway.

    Richard On The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • What's your point?

    Wolverine,

    I have read post after post from you where you talk about the need to reduce human population. Why do you even bother to bring up this issue when there is clearly no possible resolution to it... at least for the next 50 years?

    Yes, I agree we need a dramatic change in the way people live and impact the Earth. But substantially reduce human population? How do you propose that this takes place?

    RichardOn We need a price-floor on fossil fuels posted 1 year ago 20 Responses

  • re: Need for a renewable model

    Atomicrod,

    I'll give you an excellent example of what you asked for ("could someone point to any reasonably sized village, town or city that gets even a large fraction of its power from the popular forms of renewable power so that we can all see what living there would be like"): Burlington, Vermont

    Burlington (a city of about 50,000) has been largely powered by the local 50 MW wood-fired electric plant since the early 80's. This plant has competed effectively with Vermont's only nuclear plant and cheap hydro over the past 25 years. It's been consistent, renewable, inexpensive baseload power.

    RichardOn The flawed economics of nuclear power posted 1 year ago 106 Responses

  • re: The Forester's Toolbox

    Backcut is quite right about this. We have a wide range of tools to throw at this mess. New advances in mechanized harvesting equipment, plus considerably higher prices for the harvested biomass when used as energy feedstock, have created effective opportunities that weren't here in the past. Numerous companies are intently working on this. You'll see many new initiatives in the next few years.

    RichardOn Where the presidential candidates stand on public-lands issues posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses

  • In all seriousness...

    Tom,

    I know Branson has some money in several cellulosic ethanol companies, hoping to find a way to power his jets. Almost as cool as this baby:

    http://www.hybridcars.com/technology/silver-buckshot-appr ...

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: Good one, RD

    Branson drinks the stuff. Where do you think he gets his energy from...On AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: This is my nightmare

    Tom,

    Like I've said in every post I've made at Grist about nuclear, I take no position on it. It has great potential, but lots of questions remain.

    However, if you are planning to go to another planet, I'd say a nuclear powered ship would definitely be preferable over one driven by cellulosic ethanol. Granted, the CE ship won't kill you on its own, but you'd be way too old by the time you got any place where you could put your feet on the ground (well, OK...other than the moon).

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: Let's see that reference RDM.

    Bill,

    Give me a break. This response of yours is so lame it is barely worth a response.

    Where in this response of yours does it prove nuclear is affordable?

    Where does it prove it is safe?

    Where does it prove it is reliable?

    Come on, Bill.

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: Global Relevance is the primary criterion . .

    Billhook,

    Typical response... paying no attention to anything I say. Just in your own little world, making up words instead of reading mine.

    I don't "hype" cellulosic ethanol. I've made it perfectly clear I have many concerns about it and believe it is only one of many possible uses of biomass. Don't you even bother to read what I write?

    To say the development of CE is about lobbyists and profiteers, though, clearly indicates your interests lie somewhere other than history and fact.

    Research into CE has been steadily ongoing since the early 70's when no one much cared about it. The large sums of money flowing into it more recently occurred when oil and gas prices spiked and concern grew over GHG's.

    Fact is, CE represents the ONLY large-scale direct replacement for transport fuel which does not compete with food for cropland. I'd say this makes it far more than a "flighty interest to line the pockets of profiteers". What planet do you live on? It's very hard to take your comments seriously.

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: Give me a reference.

    Bill,

    Sure... I'll give you that reference... just as soon as you point me to the paper that says we can produce unlimited quantities of safe, proven, low cost power from nuclear.

    Come on, Bill... step it up, please.

    I simply said I have read there is around one billion acres of non-forested, non crop land available in the world today. This land can grow trees. We know how to grow trees with a reliable production rate of 10 tons per acre per year, requiring little water and fertilizer. That's all I said.

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • Forget global relevance...

    Billhook,

    I understand you want to engage in a theoretical discussion about the potential relevance of cellulosic ethanol technology to the world outside the US. I'm much more concerned about reality.

    My interest in CE has to do with what is actually taking place and where the money is going. Whether you think it's relevant or not doesn't make much difference. The fact is, it's coming... and it's coming all across the globe. Why? Because there's money to be made, resources to be used, and oil to be replaced.

    I don't have much interest in debating the relevance of this technology. I'm far more interested in trying to steer it toward sustainability.

    If you dig into the conventional wood-to-methanol technology that has been around quite a long while and compare it to what is expected from CE processes, you'll understand why hundreds of millions are being plowed into this. These people are hardly the type to be throwing their money at a needless technology.

    That said, this doesn't mean I think CE is the best route to go. But my opinion... just like yours... won't change what's happening. I'd rather focus on reality and try to steer it in a healthy direction.

    Richard On AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: If it ain't global . . . . . qui bono ?

    Billhook,

    I'm barely certain I understand the point of this post of yours. Regardless, it contains several incorrect statements.

    Many CE facilities, to begin with, are being designed to be small and modular... not "massive scale" at all. They will be appropriate for most countries.

    The most recent estimate I've seen is that there is around 1 billion acres of abandoned farmland around the world (much of it not very good for crops)... only a small portion of this in the US. A significant amount of this land would be perfect for the establishment of new, biodiverse forests, designed to produce biomass for energy. This is low tech, high employment work... perfect for most countries where the land is available.

    So just what is your point?

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • I'll repeat it all again (for the 5th time)

    1. My cellulosic ethanol web site is designed only to cover who is doing what. It is information based only and sells nothing.

    2. I built the site because I have many concerns myself about where this technology may be heading. CE could be very useful to bridge the gap from oil to electric and to offset the use of oil for plastics and base chemicals. But it could also be mishandled and become unsustainable, at least in terms of its impacts on forests and soils.

    3. My interest is in the sustainable forestry area. Has been for 35 years. Anything that effects forests in a big way is something I take interest in. Anything that can allow for better forest management is something I get behind.

    The potential to create markets for low-grade and over-crowded timber is a very important development, because it provides a mechanism to take pressure off of cutting mature timber, provides more money to landowners, allows for more sustainable management, creates options to improve soil and water quality, creates an opportunity to develop carbon negative systems, and on and on.

    Cellulosic ethanol could create this kind of market. But other competing technologies exist which could provide this market as well (or perhaps in a much better way). The value of using one technology over another is a very complex subject, and frankly, no one has the answer to this yet. I'm NOT in favor of CE over any of these other technologies.

    4. Tom... I've covered the land issue numerous times already. We have at least 750 million acres of non-food-producing land available in the US. To see a breakdown of all US land, go here:

    http://www.ers.usda.gov/Publications/EIB14/EIB14_reportsu ...

    I've made the argument we could easily shoot for pulling 200 million acres out of the total 2 billion acres of land in the US and designate these to sustainable energy plantations. Water is not an issue. Fertilizer is not an issue. This land would be located throughout the US, as close as possible to CE facilities. The species of trees and grasses to grow on it already exist and have been rather thoroughly tested.

    Based on current yields, this 200 million acres could produce a minimum of 10 tons per acre per year of biomass. That's 2 billion tons of biomass per year. At 100 gallons of cellulosic ethanol per ton (this is the current yield several companies are experiencing), this land could produce 200 billion gallons of ethanol per year. I think that's a sizable number.

    Independent analyses of some CE technologies are already showing energy-in-to-energy-out balances of 8:1. Best guess is this number could go to 15:1 within 10 years. Also, best guess is that the yields of biomass per acre of land could go to 20 tons per year within 15-20 years. In other words, 400 billion gallons.

    This is the reason so much money is chasing the CE sector... many hundreds of millions of dollars in the past few years.

    In the short term, existing forests will provide the feedstock necessary to get the CE sector off the ground. At a minimum, current forests could withstand removals of around 50 tons per acre as a one time shot (we'd have to wait 15-20 years to do that again), but this would actually be a very good thinning and would help restore optimal forest health. So take half the total 750 million acres and multiply it by 50 tons to get some idea of the currently available volume of feedstock waiting for the CE sector. Remember, I can only support this if it's done according to FSC (Forest Stewardship Council) standards, but that is certainly doable.

    AmazingDRX... your one track thinking gets so tiring. You keep talking about biogas when the discussion is on using biomass from forests and energy plantations. These two issues have nothing in common. Why can't you get this?

    Biogas is fine. Great. I fully support it. Wonderful. Do it yesterday.

    But that has nothing to do with sustainable forestry, and nothing to do with creating energy plantations (read "new forests") based on mixed species, sustainable rotations, and the use of no toxic chemicals and only the available water. Some folks really want to do this, OK? We understand it's not your thing. But unless you have a specific objection to this (based on the criteria I just mentioned), stop talking about biogas as a response. It's just silly and makes your thinking look incredibly rigid.

    BioD.. I have no objection whatsoever to your statement. All this biomass may well be better used to offset coal. There's a lot of sense to this argument. But as I said earlier, the issue is complex... offset coal or offset oil. Different people are placing their bets in different places.

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: nucear plants are too safe

    Bill,

    If you're going to continue throwing out silly news headlines like this one: "Cellulosic biofuels endanger old-growth forests in the southern U.S.", I'm going to continue taking you less and less seriously. I thought you were someone I could have an intelligent debate with, but I guess I was wrong.

    Do you know how many news headlines I could throw at you that make nuclear sound like the most dangerous and expensive energy technology on the planet? I know you do. But I won't do that, because both of us know there's little or no value in a news headline alone.

    Step it up, please Bill? I know you can offer more than this.

    RichardOn Nuclear proponents are, like, totally John Galt posted 1 year, 1 month ago 43 Responses

  • It's alive and well

    Tom,

    Cellulosic ethanol is alive, well and growing rapidly. If anyone wants to review the many dozens of commercial efforts underway, they're all covered at my web site:  http://www.thecesite.com

    Please note that I share the concerns of Billhook. There may be better uses of biomass than cellulosic ethanol, and I'm all for a careful evaluation of this matter. But a reasonable case can be made that CE might be an important bridge fuel from oil-based transport fuels to electric vehicles. Also, CE would be an critical factor in replacing oil used to make plastics and chemicals.

    As far as answering the second key point you raise, it's important to understand that most folks in the CE universe are NOT focused on using crop land to grow the feedstock for CE. So your points are not really valid. The feedstock for CE will come from existing forests (in the near term) and energy plantations down the road a bit. Both of these will be located very near the CE facilities. Transport will not be a big concern.

    In fact, IF this is done correctly, one could argue a very strong case to dramatically increase the use of biomass for cellulosic ethanol, pyrolysis or other wood energy production technologies. That case is that we need to create vast new forested areas to act as sequestration sources for GHG's. We know how to do this... we've been doing it for at least 100 years throughout the US. Water is not a limiting factor. Land availability is not a limiting factor. We just need to do it sustainably and pay careful attention to biodiversity and soil quality. But this is all doable.

    RichardOn AP: cellulosic 'not even close' to being ready to satisfy government mandates posted 1 year, 1 month ago 30 Responses

  • re: Not enough biomass

    Bill,

    Please, go ahead and pat yourself on the back for throwing out a ton of numbers and convincing yourself you're right. The only problem is, you completely failed to address the specific point of my post. This is the typical response of someone who doesn't want to take responsibility for making an incorrect statement.

    You made a statement that I think was incorrect, silly and certainly incomplete: "Nuclear power is the only non fossil technology with the proven ability to supply unlimited amounts of reliable dependable electricity at an affordable cost."

    What you should have said was this: "Nuclear power is a non fossil technology that can potentially supply very large amounts of reliable dependable electricity at what is currently a fairly low cost. We're still working on ways to improve safety issues and address long term storage concerns. We're not entirely certain of the final energy cost, because there are numerous long term costs that aren't known for certain and haven't all been factored. Mining of the feedstock also causes some serious concerns that are being worked on. Nevertheless, nuclear energy could be a very large source of non fossil fuel energy in the near term future."

    Your statements about biomass obviously reflect your bias against it and for nuclear power. That's fine. You're entitled to your opinion. If there comes a time when I get any indication you are really willing to listen openly to other positions, I'd be happy to engage in a conversation with you then. Until then, I have no interest in debating the matter with you.

    Beyond that, I have provided many details in previous posts here at Grist on the matter of producing the equivalent energy of 200 1GW nuclear plants from sustainably grown biomass. You are free to review those and ask specific questions about the points in those posts, if you wish.

    Finally, I have made my position clear many times before. Solar, wind, biomass, geothermal, tide energy and nuclear... in addition to energy efficiency... are all important parts of the new energy future. All must prove their long term viability, safety and near term costs. My specific area of interest is biomass, but I'm in favor of promoting every technology that works to its maximum potential.

    RichardOn Nuclear proponents are, like, totally John Galt posted 1 year, 1 month ago 43 Responses

  • re: Nuclear power is the only non fossil technolog

    This statement of yours is incorrect, silly and of little value to the debate at hand:

    "Nuclear power is the only non fossil technology with the proven ability to supply unlimited amounts of reliable dependable electricity at an affordable cost."

    First of all, biomass could make the same statement. Most experts would argue it is considerably cheaper the nuclear. It is certainly dependable. And it can reverse the GHG problem... something nuclear cannot do. Further, nuclear has numerous important problems you do not mention (most related to safety).

    More importantly, exclusive of biomass, your statement may be true today, but will almost certainly be untrue in 10-20 years as solar and wind prove themselves and costs drop.

    For all practical purposes, your statement is meaningless and adds nothing to the important debate in front of us. I know you have a lot of value to add to the discussions at Grist, but making statements like this doesn't add to it.

    Richard On Nuclear proponents are, like, totally John Galt posted 1 year, 1 month ago 43 Responses

  • re: By biodiesel he meant

    BioD,

    Your statement is actually incorrect. When Obama talks about "biodiesel", he's talking about cellulosic ethanol. If you follow the trail of those in his inner circle and their connections to CE... and Obama's direct history with CE and statements about it at his web site...you'll quickly see that he understands the potential for CE and very much supports it. I think he fully understands that corn ethanol is a transitional fuel only and should not be further developed (and, in fact, should be phased out as CE sources come on line).

    RichardOn Candidates talk energy in the final debate, but don't stray from their usual talking points posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses

  • Not worth my energy

    Jabailo,

    Thank you for reinforcing my point.

    I'll let the powers that be decide how to handle you. In the meantime, I'll try my best to ignore you. I figure that's what most folks here are doing.

    RichardOn McCain's 'Farm and Ranch Team' is chock full of agribiz heavies posted 1 year, 1 month ago 8 Responses

  • re: Barry Cracked Corn...And You Don't Care

    Jabailo:

    Why do you continue to make useless posts that add nothing to the depth of discussion here at Grist?

    I believe Saluki was just removed from this site for a similar reason. Do you not pay attention?

    Three posts from you in the past hour and not one line of value in any of them.

    I'm sure the management at Grist is watching you on a short string. If you don't have anything of value to contribute, why not just leave on your own...or perhaps you enjoy being asked to leave? I know I get nothing of value from your posts, and I suspect that's true for most other folks here.

    RichardOn McCain's 'Farm and Ranch Team' is chock full of agribiz heavies posted 1 year, 1 month ago 8 Responses

  • Enough already

    Grist,

    I appreciate it greatly when this Grist discussion remains focused on examining environmental issues and solutions. To the extent politics effects this topic, the discussion should be extended to that as well.

    I have no use for feedback from posters like Saluki and Jabailo, and I do believe it detracts from this site. Saluki's comments, in particular, are disrespectful, mean-spirited and simply counter productive. They add virtually nothing of value and do not contribute to what I suspect is the mission of Grist: to build a more sustainable future.

    I think Saluki is capable of engaging here in a respectful, and even intelligent, manner, but I read little of that. What I read is language that is hate filled, angry, frustrated and demeaning. I don't see how this serves the mission of Grist.

    I've noticed few people here respond directly to Saluki anymore, hoping maybe she'll get the message and either change her tone or go away entirely. Perhaps this will work over time. Still, I think a few choice words from Grist management to her might be in order. It would improve the quality of this site.

    RichardOn Town hall again reveals just an anti-science, out-of-touch McCain posted 1 year, 1 month ago 10 Responses

  • re: RD - I agree, sort of

    Sean,

    Have you specifically looked at this process:

    http://www.newearth1.net/e-coal.html

    I believe it may solve some of the issues you are dealing with. I'm not sure about their reed plantations (a form of bamboo, I believe), but creating a sustainable supply of fast-growing biomass can be done in numerous ways.

    RichardOn How current GHG policy distorts capital allocation posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses

  • High temp heat

    Sean,

    Just so this is clear... any application that can be fired by coal, can be fired by biomass. High temperature energy is not an issue. Scaling is not a problem. New forms of torrified biomass replace coal "chunk for chunk" and carry the inherent potential to be carbon negative. We have the land base. The cost is affordable. No new plants need be built to burn the stuff. We have the technology. It's just a matter of doing it.

    RichardOn How current GHG policy distorts capital allocation posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses

  • re: be practical about coal

    Vakibs,

    I've warned you several times already about making statements that are flat out wrong, because it seriously compromises your credibility (which is just about shot with me, anyway). I don't think you want to be seen in that way.

    You say nothing is cheaper than coal, but this is so close to being untrue that's it's not worth saying. Direct burning of biomass is so close to the cost of burning coal that the difference is not worth discussing. Add just the slightest bit of a carbon tax to coal and it becomes more expensive. The bottom line is that if every coal system was converted to biomass, end users would not see a prohibitive rise in their energy bills.

    You then make a statement pertaining to choices one has to make when pressed for land and water, but this has nothing to do with North America. Yes, it's true in India, but we're not focused on India here... we're focused on the US. Here in the US, land and water are not constraining issues for biomass. Or better put, there's far more likelihood to be able to grow biomass for power on a local basis throughout the US than there is to mine and burn coal locally.

    You then say no amount of biomass can offset coal emissions. To begin with, this is absolutely untrue. We could replace all coal everywhere in the world with biomass if we wanted to. We definitely have the land area. But it's not a practical way to go. That said, biomass plus solar, wind, geothermal and hydro could certainly do it, especially in the US.

    Finally, if one is really serious about climate tipping points, we're far better off switching to a carbon negative system than a carbon neutral one like nuclear.

    That said, I reiterate again that I do not inherently oppose nuclear and can imagine some variation of it that makes sense. It already fills an important role and may end up being a reliable, safe, renewable source. But it has some hurdles it still needs to pass.

    Richard
    On The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • re: pangolin's solar plan

    Vakibs,

    How about saying we discover even trace amounts of radiation from nuclear plants cause cancer?

    How about discovering waste nuclear material is being used to create far more bombs than previously expected.

    How about learning that nuclear facilities are easily destroyed by earthquakes?

    Now, I'm not saying any of that makes a lot of sense, but it does make about as much sense as your statements.

    We can either have intelligent discussions here, making the assumption that reasonably intelligent people are not presenting ideas that are inherently destructive and completely unworkable, or we can throw out silly statements to quickly dismiss the suggestions of other. Take your choice.

    RichardOn The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • re: Split the difference already

    Pangolin,

    Good plan. I don't know enough about the feasibility of using solar mirrors in all (or even most) regions where coal is burned, but if it can be done and coupled with pyrolyzed biomass, it sounds like a winning approach to me.
    On The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • Inadequate

    George,

    I looked through the link you provided (at PeakOil) covering Charlie's work, but there was nothing there about biomass.... only corn ethanol and biodiesel. These figures are irrelevant. Can you point me to any specific information he provides that discusses the EROI for direct combustion of sustainably-harvested biomass or even cellulosic ethanol (which I believe is lower than torrification)?

    Here's one very firm link showing a 7.7 EROI for cellulosic ethanol... and this is still early in the game. Many researchers expect the EROI for CE to exceed 15:1 over the next few years.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUSN06279 ...

    Unless you can point to specific studies by Charlie that cover (certified) sustainable biomass harvesting operations based on carbon negative systems tied into more advanced biomass energy production methods, your argument is really quite weak.

    RichardOn The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • Not biofuels... pyrolyzed wood

    George:

    Here are a few links to get you started:

    http://www.scbiomass.org/Publications/TorrefiedWoodPresen ...

    http://www.eubia.org/fileadmin/template/main/res/pdf/publ ...

    http://www.airless-systems.co.uk/torrefying.shtml

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biochar

    http://www.btgworld.com/index.php?id=117&rid=36&r ...On The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • Typical confusion

    George,

    My discussion was entirely about replacing coal with a densified form of torrified biomass. I never mentioned biofuels. The two have very little in common. Your comments clearly indicate you know nothing about the former. So why do you bother to state conclusions about something you know little or nothing about? I stand by my statements about the EROI of direct-burned biomass vs. coal.On The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • re: biomass cannot replace coal

    Vakibs,

    This argument of yours makes absolutely no sense. I'm surprised you would make it. It undermines your credibility.

    You are saying biomass can't do the job because it can't create all the energy requirements of the world? What kind of silly statement is that?

    The discussion was simply around replacing coal... period. I don't know the total energy contribution of coal, but I'm willing to bet that if biomass can contribute  2000 GW of power or more worldwide from sustainable, carbon-negative sources, this... combined with other renewables... would eliminate the need to burn coal. This is my only point. The ones you have made sound bizarre to me.

    RichardOn The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • Doesn't add up

    George,

    It doesn't sound like you are familiar with the EROI of biomass... particularly versus coal. I'd challenge you to back up your conclusions. I don't believe you can.

    Biomass competes effectively with coal on price alone today. This does NOT include the huge external costs of burning coal, not currently factored into the price of coal. These include damage to the environment from extracting coal, coal being seriously carbon positive versus biomass being potentially carbon negative, and damage to the miners extracting the coal (injury and long term impacts). When factored in, coal is far more expensive and damaging than biomass. We are starting to factor these items in now, and as we do, the outlook for coal will continue to diminish.

    Richard
    On The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • It's impossible for Saluki to get it

    What Saluki doesn't get is that most folks here at Grist don't trust her conclusions... her judgments. She figures if she just presents "facts", everyone with a brain will come to the same conclusion.

    Now, this is the same person who said she hadn't voted in the past two elections, but even today, if she could, she'd vote for George Bush.

    This is the same person who actually believes Sarah Palin would make an excellent VP and could handle the job of President, if necessary.

    This is the person who argues there's no good reason to move away from fossil fuels.

    Saluki reminds me of the (so-called) "intelligent" people who made economic policy in the US over the past eight years. No doubt, many of those people were considered to be the brightest and most experienced economists and business leaders in the country. They could back up every one of their policy decisions with reams of data based on historical fact and proven systems of economic management. Only problem was, they had terrible judgment and virtually no common sense.

    These are the same types of people who said we'd win the war in Iraq in no time at all. Brilliant military leaders and politicians... all with terrible judgment.

    The thing is, these types of people.... just like Saluki... are incapable of understanding why they reach the wrong conclusions time and time again.

    It's up to the rest of us to make certain the days of giving them power quickly come to an end.

    RichardOn Reflecting on (and fact-checking) the VP debate posted 1 year, 1 month ago 27 Responses

  • Biofuels clarification, energy density

    Randy,

    Saying biofuels are a death warrant for the world's tropical forests is simplistic and a distortion. No one seriously involved with next generation biofuels (i.e. cellusic ethanol) proposes clearing any rain forests. Of course, we have no tropical forests in the US, so any discussion on using biofuels or biomass to replace coal (in the US) clearly bypasses this issue entirely.

    George,

    Your statement that there are no alternative energy sources that have sufficient energy density to replace coal and oil (other than nuclear) is incorrect. Biomass can be easily turned into a direct coal replacement with the exact same energy density as coal. Combine this with other renewables and we could replace all the oil and coal (and natural gas) we use within some acceptable period of time. It's just a matter of committing to do it.

    RichardOn The Biden-Obama position on 'clean coal' is not a mistake posted 1 year, 1 month ago 50 Responses

  • re: You have convinced me RDM

    Bill,

    Apparently, you're not paying attention at all. But that's what I expected.. which is why I didn't want to engage with you.

    "The plan is impractical"? Well, it's actually well under way, with new biomass facilities being built every month. In case you haven't noticed as well, there's been far more money going into biomass research than nuclear. But I guess we're all just impractical dreamers.

    Every statement I made to you can be documented factually. But like I said, it's not worth the effort.

    RichardOn Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • re: That's a big improvement RDM

    Bill,

    I believe you are somewhat of an expert on nuclear issues. Remember what it feels like trying to educate people who know nothing about nuclear... especially when they come into it with certain conclusions already in mind? This is what I'm going through now with you. This isn't any fun at all.

    Transportation is a non-issue. Actually, millions of acres of forests are very close to coal plants... not to mention the millions of acres of "unused" land to grow new plantations. But that's secondary anyway, as advanced technologies allow the biomass to be converted into a coal substitute which can be transported hundreds of miles, if necessary... no differently than coal is moved long distances today.

    Your second and third points are not valid. Again (and for the last time) millions and millions of acres of forest are harvested continually to produce the wood products which form the backbone of our construction industry. Everyone accepts this as part of normal commerce. Creating more forests specifically to grow energy (instead of building products) is simply more of the same.

    Your other points about the yields from fast growing biomass and availability of land for it are also not significant. Here are the facts. There's around 750 million acres of forests in the US, 600 million acres of grasslands, pastures and range, 300 million of "special use" lands (including most national and state park lands), and 450 million acres of cropland... any portions of which could be used to dedicate to the 200 million acres I have talked about. Take your pick of this lot. If we can pull out 200 million of it and use it to produce 200 GW of renewable, carbon negative energy, it sounds like a good choice to me.

    The issue of whether or not to create electricity, transport fuels, plastics and/or chemicals from this material is being hotly debated.

    RichardOn Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • You're partly right

    Bill,

    Yes, the conversion figure is 10,000 tons per MW. That was a typo on my part. Thanks for pointing that out.

    My estimate for producing the equivalent of 1000-2000 GW of power from biomass was a global figure based on 1 billion acres of land. I have been using the figure of 200 GW of power in the US in all my other posts here at Grist.

    As far as the 368 million dry tons of sustainable fiber is concerned, you're confusing a few things (which typically happens when folks not familiar with this sector jump in and grab a line here or there). First, this is a dry ton figure, compared to the wet ton number of 10,000 tons per MW. You have to double this 368 to get green tons, making the sustainable harvest (according to FPL) approximately 750 million green tons. Other researchers use a considerably higher figure... more in the range of 1-1.5 billion green tons.

    But I was clear in talking about using energy plantations to supply this 200 GW (in the US or 1000-2000 GW worldwide) on a sustainable basis, while using existing forests in the first 5-20 years. The difference is that current forests produce, on average, 1-2 green tons per acre, while fast growing plantations produce 10 or more green tons per acre per year. However, current forests hold 100-200 green tons (or more) and most should be sustainably thinned to move them back to more optimum growing conditions. This harvest would yield, on average, 40-70 green tons per acre. Using 50 as a figure, you'd need 40 million acres per year (in the US) to supply the 200 GW (the 2 billion tons). Doing this for 10 years would require 400 million acres (there are 750 million acres of forests in the US).

    On a long term basis (I know I said this before, but I'm just making the numbers clearer to you), the plan is to produce the 2 billion tons from 200 million acres yielding 10 green tons per acre per year (increasing to 20 tons over time). If we wanted, we could double this 200 million acres to 400 million (because we have the available land area here), yielding 400 GW of power in the US. And if the researchers are successful in getting to the 20 tons per acre per year figure, this could go to as much as 800 GW of power here in the US.

    Western lands (obviously a very general statement) can support all kinds of fast growing trees and grasses. Many of these species are specfically designed for dry land, requiring very little water.

    I hope this clears up the discussion, but feel free to point out any other items you think might contrast with what I've said. Bottom line, the potential for biomass remains as I've said: at least 200 GW in the US, 1000-2000 GW wordlwide.

    RichardOn Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • Definitely radioactive

    Bill,

    The simple fact you would try to defend nuclear by arguing that all the potential problems either have been, or could easily be, addressed, indicates to me you have a mindset I'd rather not debate with. It's just not worth my time.

    When you state that "failure of the biomass crop could lead to...", you apparently didn't read that the heart of what I presented is based on forests. Simple forests... whether planted or natural. I'll tell you this... if we experience wide spread failure of forests, there ain't no nuclear plant anywhere that's going to make a bit of difference. It'd be fair to say we had crossed the tipping point a long time before that and are pretty well cooked.

    As far as answering the specific question you asked, you need to understand that millions of tons of biomass are harvested, transported, dried (when necessary) and converted into energy every year. It's been going on for a long time, with the energy competing with nuclear and coal since the 70's. There's no mystery in this. I have no idea what point you're trying to make.

    Here's a few rough figures for you. Biomass typically costs $10-$20 per ton to harvest; perhaps $2-$5 per ton to transport; and generally nothing to dry (it's often burned green in large power plants). Delivered costs of green wood chips is typically $30-$40 per ton these days. I hope that answers your question.

    RichardOn Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • You're a bit radioactive for me

    Hey Bill,

    Now I get the picture. You seem interested in debating the nuclear vs. biomass paths. But I have no interest in that... nor do I have any interest in countering your so-called "facts".

    I know my sector. I don't know yours. I don't know enough about nuclear to argue with your facts (but I know others here do and would certainly not agree with many of your conclusions).

    I've said before I have not reached a conclusion about nuclear. Intuitively, I have great concerns with any power source that leaves behind extremely toxic waste for generations, can be converted into a high-intensity bomb, can result in the death of huge numbers of people if something unforeseen goes wrong, and may emit low levels of radioactivity dangerous to human life. But I leave open the possibility those issues (and others) can be resolved, resulting in a low-cost, clean source of energy.

    I happen to be one of those folks who likes the idea of an energy production system with huge potential that requires establishing more forests, can increase wildlife habitat, creates decentralized energy that supports rural jobs, can reverse global warming, improve soil and water quality, and can't be used to kill people.

    But heck... that's just me.

    RichardOn Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • re: Just so Im clear

    Biomass includes any plant in any form: standing trees, tops of trees harvested for sawtimber, residual wood products left over from processing, wood salvage from old buildings, plus all forms of grasses and plants (switchgrass, corn husks, leaves, etc.).On Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • re: More details please

    Bill,

    Actually, I'm not that motivated to go through this exercise in detail to prove my points. Why would I want to? What's to gain?

    I'll provide this much information in response to your questions. Anyone can google this info to document it.

    1. It takes 10,000 tons of green wood chips to produce 10 MW of power. This is a standard figure that's been documented hundreds of times in existing facilities over the past 30 years. This number can be substantially improved with better technology, but it's a sound figure to start with.

    2. Hybrid poplars and willows consistently produce 10 tons of biomass per acre per year. Researchers believe this could double within 10 years. Several grasses exceed this level. All of these can be established with little or no fertilizer or added water.

    3. Existing forests (some 750 million acres) typically carry 100-200 tons of biomass. A proper thinning of these forests would remove 30-50% of the biomass to help move these forests back to optimum health. This would be a one-time shot, though (you could repeat it in 10-25 years), but more than adequate to "kick start" this initiative while the biomass energy plantations came on line.

    4. There is at least 500 million acres of land we could choose from to establish these plantations. Some of this could be unproductive forests. Most of it would be abandoned cropland and degraded land.

    5. Depletion of nutrients is not an issue. It is addressed by the mixture of trees and grasses being planted, the nature of the harvest cycle, and by returning nutrients to the soil which are yielded through the energy production process (for example, biochar).

    6. Wood for energy is harvested in large quantities every day, and competes successfully with nuclear and coal. The issue of energy-in to energy-out is not a consideration. I've gone through the numbers before. An inconsequential amount of energy is needed to harvest, dry and transport this biomass.

    You can work through the numbers yourself to confirm my origin statement regarding the potential energy contribution from biomass.

    If we so chose, we could double the land area to 400 million acres... doubling the potential. The land is there. The technology is well known. It's simply not that complicated.

    All it took was a substantial rise in oil prices and concerns over GHG's to set this path in motion. The use of biomass for energy is increasing rapidly, but we've only just scratched the surface.

    If you or others have specific questions, I'll do my best to answer them. And if anyone finds compelling evidence to substantially argue against any claim above, I'll respond with specific references to document my points.

    RichardOn Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • re: More details please

    Bill,

    I don't believe I ever suggested biomass would supply all the power needs of the US. It wouldn't and shouldn't. But I have explained before (on two other posts) how it could produce the equivalent energy of 1,000 - 2,000 nuclear power plants (1 GW each). Water requirements are not significant. Any residual materials would either be used to make products or enrich soils. This isn't rocket science. It's based on existing technology, much of which has been in use for 30 years or more. It's just a matter of deciding to do it.

    Put simply, the approach combines sustainable management of existing forests along with planting 200 million acres of unused land to fast growing trees and grasses. Either gasify or liquify the biomass after that, depending on just which energy products make the most sense to produce.

    This should be used with all other renewables to solve our energy problems. The biggest advantage of biomass, though, (as Jonas mentioned) is that you can create a carbon negative system.

    RichardOn Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • re: Biomass + CCS is the core solution

    Actually, addressing the carbon issue with biomass (to make it carbon negative) is much easier than developing new CCS solutions. All that needs to be done is to harvest the biomass sustainably (making the process carbon neutral), then return a small percentage (something under 10%) of the carbon yielded from the energy production process back to soils (in the form of char). This technology is already developed and economical.

    But it is quite possible to go far beyond this by increasing the productivity of current forests (through sustainable forestry practices) to store larger volumes of CO2, and growing new forests... lots of them. Combine all of these elements and you've got the path forward to dramatically reduce current CO2 levels, while simultaneously producing large volumes of low cost energy.

    And, as I've mentioned elsewhere, the technology exists to use this biomass directly in coal-fired plants with virtually no cost to retrofit. In other words, the facilities to produce much of this energy are already built.On Is coal with carbon capture and storage a core climate solution? posted 1 year, 1 month ago 24 Responses

  • Biodiesel is just easier to say

    John,

    I don't believe Obama means "biodiesel" in the traditional sense you and others think of it when he uses that term in his campaigning. He means (primarily) cellulosic ethanol. It's just that that term is a mouthful and one the majority of folks have never heard of. He is apparently in favor of increasing the availability of home-grown biodiesel, but even with this, my understanding is that he insists it come from sustainable sources only.

    RichardOn Bad news for climate change posted 1 year, 1 month ago 9 Responses

  • And..

    the figures I am using are based on old wood combustion technologies with rather low efficiencies. I believe those numbers could be increased by 25%-35% (maybe more) with new technology.On Duke Energy announces investment in wood biomass on first day of the Clinton Global Initiative posted 1 year, 2 months ago 18 Responses

  • re: OK, let me try some stats.

    Jon,

    It is absolutely possible to replace all the coal burning with biomass. The technology is available today. The land is certainly here to do it (we have over 1.5 billion acres of land we could call on). All it requires is the decision to do it.

    Even better, new technology allows us to actually burn this biomass in the existing coal facilities, if we wanted to. And make it all carbon negative.

    Not a bad deal, considering it would create several million new jobs, create a lot more forests and increase soil quality.

    RichardOn Duke Energy announces investment in wood biomass on first day of the Clinton Global Initiative posted 1 year, 2 months ago 18 Responses

  • Jon....the more likely

    path is that, over time, most of the biomass for energy will come from dedicated biomass energy plantations. Hopefully, these will contain numerous wood species and possibly other plants as well, essentially creating dedicated, biodiverse forests specifically geared for energy production. The entire process will also plow some small percentage of the biomass (used to produce energy) back into the soil, creating a carbon negative system.

    These plantations will consistently produce 10-15 tons per acre per year (or more). It then all depends on how much acreage is dedicated to them.

    Since it currently requires 10,000 tons of biomass to generate 1 MW of electric power (this will become considerably more efficient over time), at 10 tons per acre per year, one needs 1,000 acres of energy plantation to generate 1 MW of power indefinitely.

    Hence, I was saying we could create the equivalent energy of 200 1-GW nuke plants from 200 million acres of land in the U.S dedicating to growing trees for energy (while simultaneously restoring "natural" forests to optimal health).

    In the very short term, before the plantations are available, we can safely harvest 30-50 tons of low-grade trees from existing forests (as a one time harvest... NOT 30-50 tons per year) to help get these forests back to better health, following years of "high grading" practices. You'd then have to let each of these forests regrow for 15-20 years before this could be done again. But by then, the energy plantations would have come online.

    I like this scenario, but there are others.

    RichardOn Duke Energy announces investment in wood biomass on first day of the Clinton Global Initiative posted 1 year, 2 months ago 18 Responses

  • re: biomass is great, but insufficient

    Vakibs,

    I downloaded MacKay's book, but found nothing pertaining to your reference. What was his summary on biomass? I've found that many so-called energy experts are often most lacking in knowledge about biomass.

    As far as population densities, last I checked, uranium isn't available near population dense areas either. There's no problem growing biomass wherever one can and shipping it to population-dense areas. The room required for the actual energy production facility is not so large as to be prohibitive. But you are right in saying that, for numerous smaller countries (geographically), there isn't going to be land available to produce large amounts of biomass within that country.

    It terms of it being a least power-dense alternative, I don't see the relevance of that argument. In fact, it's actually a positive if one is concerned about creating rural jobs. Unlike with solar and wind, biomass doesn't involve installing large numbers of "manufactured energy collecting devices"... trees or grasses do all the work.

    But you are absolutely right... biomass can only be part of the solution. Many other technologies are needed. Still, given the potential to produce the energy equivalent of 1,000 - 2,000 nuclear facilities while reversing GHG problems, it needs to be taken mighty seriously.

    RichardOn Palin's climate skepticism is irrelevant posted 1 year, 2 months ago 39 Responses

  • Better alternative than nuclear

    Vakibs,

    I don't want to get into a long debate right now, but I will refute a few of your points and present an alternative.

    You continually say that there is no current fuel source that is as cheap as nuclear, except coal. This is incorrect and you should stop saying it. Biomass is as cheap or cheaper than current nuclear and has been for some time. For example, here in Vermont, the biomass generating plant has competed with Vermont's only nuclear plant since the last 70's.

    But beyond that, biomass has many critical advantages over nuclear... whether 1st, 2nd, 3rd or 4th generation.

    1. The technology is completely known and proven.

    2. Creates far more jobs (especially rural jobs) than nuclear. I'd guess 10 times as many or more.

    3. Biomass can be carbon negative. Nuclear is not and cannot reverse the GHG problem. This factor is huge and cannot be overstated.

    4. Biomass, if done sustainably, can increase soil health, water quality and biodiversity. Nuclear cannot.

    5. The potential is vast. I recently heard (from sources I consider trustworthy) that there is something like 1 billion acres of degraded / unused farmland available around the world. Using today's technology, that land could be converted to forest and produce the equivalent power of 1,000 new 1 GW nuclear facilities. Yes... 1,000. As better technology is employed over time (higher yields from the forests and better combustion technology) that number could be doubled.

    6. New technology (already being employed) makes it very feasible to cost-efficiently ship biomass fuel anywhere in the world. It's already being done today, but will get much better over the next five years.

    7. New technology (already being used) allows biomass fuel to DIRECTLY displace coal... any coal, any place. Dozens of coal-fired facilities in the US and abroad are moving towards doing this. No substantial change in the coal plant need be made.

    The list goes on and on.

    Now, I'm not saying we shouldn't develop advanced nuclear technology and see if it works, because there are places in the world where it might make sense (especially near cities). I don't have a strong opinion on this one way or another. And I'm certainly not making any statement about the value of employing solar technologies. I'm simply setting the record straight regarding certain statements you've been making, and presenting a technology which is known, has many important advantages over nuclear, and has tremendous potential to generate large volumes of clean, renewable power.

    RichardOn Palin's climate skepticism is irrelevant posted 1 year, 2 months ago 39 Responses

  • re: Biomass Plant Size

    KenG:

    These are 100 MW plants. They'll have no problem getting the feedstock. There's plenty of biomass available in that region.

    Your statement that "you can't afford to log forests for biomass feedstock" is incorrect. It's being done every day all across the country. The value of biomass as energy has skyrocketed along with the price of oil. All of this standing wood is harvested mechanically.

    The sustainability of Georgia's tree farms is questionable, but that's a complicated debate.

    RichardOn Duke Energy announces investment in wood biomass on first day of the Clinton Global Initiative posted 1 year, 2 months ago 18 Responses

  • Makes sense

    Biodiversivist,

    You make a valid point. I didn't quite appreciate that strategy until you made it. In that case, it would seem to make sense to continue putting out the facts and accepted conclusions of scientists so that others with an open mind can become better informed.

    At the same time, I hope the "spectators" (as you call them) will come to realize the futility of talking to people whose minds are closed. As intelligent as they may sound (ex. Karl Rove), poor judgment leads to poor conclusions... and then to poor actions.

    RichardOn In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses

  • Impossible

    Biodiversivist,

    As I said in my first post about Saluki, it is impossible to get her to agree with the points you are making because she is incapable of significantly changing her point of view on global warming and many other environmental and social issues. Facts will be argued against; conclusions of experts denied or worse.

    It's all about good judgment, which is not something Saluki has demonstrated and not something she is capable of accessing, because it doesn't come from intelligence, smarts or studying data.

    In my opinion, Saluki lost her credibility here when she said that, even after all we know now about Mr. Bush's history as president, she would STILL vote for him. That puts her in the 30% (or less) of the voting population who still support Bush's policies and decisions. You folks can label these people whatever you want. I simply call them untrustable.

    Saluki is certainly not a bad person. Just a very confused one... and she hasn't a clue that this is the case.

    RichardOn In 2008, did temperatures drop as much as they rose over the whole 20th century? posted 1 year, 2 months ago 71 Responses

  • re: oh yeah! sez who?

    Russ,

    What the heck is it with you? Calm down! Seriously, have you checked your blood pressure recently?

    My goodness, I just asked you to stop making incorrect assumptions and jumping to wrong conclusions, and then you turn around and do it again!

    Your statements exactly mirror and support my own. They don't counter what I said... they back mine up. We're on the same page here. Relax! On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Far worse than any troll

    Russ,

    If you don't understand what I'm speaking about (such as my meaning for the word "conscious"), ASK. Stop flying off the handle on everything. My god, you need a sedative, dude. Calm down. Ask questions. Stop making huge, and often very wrong, assumptions.

    I never said intelligence and smarts are not very useful. I simply said that they are dangerous without being balanced by other critical elements.

    Calling me right wing puts you in the dog pound for the day. I'm so far left of you on numerous topics you couldn't find me if you had a telescope.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • "Smart" is not the answer

    John,

    I think you understand that being smart, in and of itself, is the single leading cause of the problems we have in the world today. I can assure you Dick Cheney and Karl Rove are very smart, to give two examples, as are countless other politicians, scientists and business people. But being smart without being "conscious" (if you understand my use of that term) leads to abuse of power, control over others, and misuse of resources.

    There isn't any direct path from being smart to being conscious, either. The two are not really connected.

    I'd rely on a less intelligent, but highly conscious person, every time because that person will seek out "smarts" from others and filter the information through their own compassion, intuition, wisdom, tolerance and balance to create solutions that work across the board. This is the path ahead.

    I see no indication Sarah Palin or John McCain are conscious people. Smart yes... conscious, no.

    And yes, Saluki... this is just more of my psychobabble, so pay no attention to it.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: What's Extreme?

    Wolverine,

    I respect your opinion on the issue of killing trees because it is one I shared strongly during my earlier years (until I was 23 and decided to build a community in the back woods of Vermont). I think I understand your perspective and I certainly believe it is a rational, compassionate approach to living things. It is not one I share at this time, mainly as a result of my own direct experience working closely in, and with, forests for many years.

    For me, having recognized how much bad forest management (outright abuse, damage and waste) was (and still is) taking place in the forestry sector, I felt compelled to get involved in the industry in an attempt to steer it toward sustainability. I'm still doing that and can take comfort in knowing I've had a positive impact. I'm not sure you can respect that choice, but at least you know my perspective.

    You may or may not be aware that there are quite a few indigenous groups around the world that are very involved in sustainable forestry and have been leaders in this area for quite some time. And then there are others who are not.On Google knows what you're doing posted 1 year, 2 months ago 13 Responses

  • Fortunately

    Fortunately for most of us here at Grist (this is especially for you, Karsten, since the tone of your last email sounded so sad and almost accepting of inevitable defeat), the days when folks with opinions like Saluki's are truly numbered. Again, just my perspective, but having been on the front lines of environmental issues for 30 years and having fought too many battles, the tide is most definitely shifting our way. This is why you see such aggressive fighting from folks like Saluki. They can sense the end of their reign is close at hand. She's not conscious of this, but she's very concerned about the shifting tide (but certainly will not admit to it).

    I have never been more certain we'll come out the other side of this in the next 10-20 years and put an end to the destructive ways Saluki promotes. Just keep on pushing ahead and promoting what you believe is healthy, balanced, fair and responsible.

    The overall thrust of ideas here at Grist represents the future. You just have to know inside it's worth the battle and will work out in the end.

    Richard On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • Now we see the true Saluki

    You see, when folks like Saluki get pushed beyond their comfort zone, they start relying on name calling, labeling and quite vicious attacks. She can't handle it when the discussion goes outside the line of linear argument.

    "Idiotic psychoanalysis", "stupidity", "nut case"... this is what Saluki's debating skills degrade into. It's not something I have much patience for... and it's certainly not a sign of tolerance or wisdom.

    All that aside, her arguments this last time around were weaker than ever. I'm happy to continue pointing out the flaws, if anyone is interested. But as I've said numerous times, she's not going to change her mind on anything.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Ok, I have not read everything Saluki wrote bu

    Karsten,

    The debate with Saluki was long, in my opinion, and covered plenty of ground. You ask "if the statements presented were right or wrong", as if all statements have a right or wrong answer. They don't. Most of the important questions of our time don't have "right or wrong" answers. The "right" answer is the one that fits a person at any given time.

    Is religion right or wrong?
    Which religion is right or wrong?
    When does a soul enter the fetus?
    Is there such a thing as a soul?
    Can you prove (unequivocally) that global warming exists as a result, primarily, of man-made contributions?
    Can you prove we are worse or better off using cheap, but dirty, fossil fuels?
    Can you demonstrate, beyond any reasonable doubt, that wind energy is reliable and without significant harm?
    Can you demonstrate nuclear waste presents a problem greater than the benefits of the large-scale, (relatively) cheap energy it yields?

    This list is very long, and I don't think anyone here can change Saluki's mind on virtually any one of these items in any meaningful way. She's not here to be educated. She's here to point out why you are loony. Have you seen one bit of movement on her part yet?

    But this is just my opinion. Like I said to Vakibs, jump in any time and engage her yourself. I stated it was only my opinion the debate had run its course, but I hold no weight at Grist.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • Formatting

    Sorry about the formatting for that last post. The system here at Grist does what it wants to when it formats certain kinds of responses.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Somebody help Richard.

    Saluki:

    You do realize, the longer you continue with this debate, the less credibility you have. I know you can't see that because you're so convinced you have answers for all the questions. But that's really just delusional thinking.

    I'll work with many of your responses, one by one.

    1. You justify Ms. Palin's credibility by her high approval rate in a state with a low population, far off the beaten track. I believe Mr. Bush had an approval rating at one time well over 60%. Need I remind you of his rating now? But then, you did say you would have voted for George if you could have... even now, given his history. Again, I'm not going to attempt to change your mind about this. I'm simply pointing out that, given this position of yours, you have no credibility here or with me. But that's just my opinion.

    I will make a prediction. Sarah Palin will come crashing down (in a very big way) before the election. This is not something you need to argue with, Saluki. Let's just watch and see. If I'm correct, you can come back here and ask me how I knew it would be so.

    2. Obviously, you know nothing about biomass energy. That sounds about right, as you seem sold only on dirty, non-renewable, dangerous and/or centralized energy systems.

    The two points you made about biomass are completely irrelevant. Biomass energy in the U.S. (we are talking about the U.S., Saluki, in our discussions) has nothing to do with displacing farm land or cutting down rain forests. We are talking about using wood from existing forests and planting non cropland acreage to fast growing trees... all using technology we've been using for 30 or more years.

    Saluki... when you don't have a clue what you're talking about, it's better to ask questions first, rather than make statements that demonstrate ignorance.

    As I said, we can create the equivalent energy from 200 nuclear power plants using this technology. It has every possible advantage over oil shale but one: it can't be controlled by a handful of oil companies. But perhaps you believe centralized control by monopolies is a good thing. That would seem to fit into your mindset.

    1. That you put more reliance on facts than on intuition is actually your greatest downfall and the place where you need to grow the most. Again, not something I can argue with, but something all the world's wisest people (including some of the smartest, like Einstein) seem to recognize. You'll understand someday.

    2. I won't argue with you about the safety of nuclear facilities, as it's not my area of expertise. But my intuition (yes, there I go again) tells me one or more of these facilities will have major problems over the next 20 years. Perhaps someone else can document the potential dangers here with documented facts. My point is, why take the risk of the danger from a natural disaster or from terrorists potentially using the materials or from our inability to safely dispose of the waste, when there are better alternatives.... like biomass (and solar and wind and geothermal...)?

    3. Your arguments against using wind and solar because of a lack of reliability are completely groundless. Sure, there are still issues to be worked out to make these technologies 100% reliable, but that's true of nuclear as well (if you take into account the three points I mentioned above). Advanced countries throughout Europe and elsewhere are employing wind and solar at a furious pace. You think they are all making poor bets on unreliable technology? Come on, Saluki. No one takes an assertion like that seriously. You're digging a hole for yourself.

    4. Finally, your statements about Oil-Tech remain hypothetical at best. When, and if, it becomes commercial on a significant scale, we can revisit the issue then. Until then, it is simply a possibility full of great risk: damage to natural areas; water usage; disposal of waste materials; and potentially unforeseen impacts resulting from such intense disruption of natural systems. You'll find few supporters here at Grist for this technology, and no arguments of yours will change anyone's views here... so stop wasting your time.

    Saluki... I think it's time for you to leave. This is just my opinion, but at this point, you are wasting your time and certainly mine... and probably that of many others. Why stay? What do you expect to gain?

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: you already won the debate, just make it expli

    Vakibs,

    Thanks for your comments. I understand your point.

    There's a saying something like, "we don't want to win the battle, but lose the war."

    I'm not as interested in getting someone like Saluki to agree to a specific point or accept defeat with a given argument as I am in helping her consider a very different perspective and orientation to the world. People like Saluki need help in understanding why other people (like you and I) have the concerns we do. She is capable of understanding specific points or facts, but incapable of accepting the fundamental flaws in her world view.

    Again, it's like the differences between Democrats and Republicans. Plenty of Republicans have the intelligence to understand specific facts that may run contrary to what they think, but this doesn't mean they'll make any change in position... especially if that change would require a fundamental reconsideration of their perspective on the world and human issues. They have a better chance of deep change by being introduced to completely new and different perspectives, AND by seeing how others can debate fairly and calmly and with integrity... something they can at least respect. If all of us just use name calling and other degrading tactics, they can then fairly call us loonies or eco-freaks or whatever. I'm trying to show Saluki it is possible to have a very different perspective, but still act with civility and some respectable level of intelligence.

    The most I can hope for is to plant a seed in her... and let the seed grow slowly over time.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: winning the debate is crucial

    Vakibs,

    If you think you can win a particular aspect of the debate with Saluki, go right ahead. However, I don't think you'll be successful, because the debate is not largely about facts, it's about opinions, future planning, political beliefs and analyses of the capabilities of certain personalities (like Palin).

    I haven't seen you be successful yet in arguing many of your points here with other Grist regulars. While you do have agreement on many items, there is also considerable disagreement on other points. It's not that you're "losing" the debate or debating poorly, it's just that others have a different belief system.

    But heck, if you believe otherwise, by all means, jump right in and have a go at it with Saluki.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: how to lose a debate which you can win

    Vakibs:

    If you think anyone can "win" this "debate" with Saluki, you're mistaken about what is actually taking place here. You can't (generally) use logic or arguments to change the perspective of one who is more conservative in views, into one who is more liberal. You can't change a Republican into a Democrat using any given logic or debate. "Logical, linear" people might think you can, but that's a fallacy. In other words, there isn't a way to convince anyone to "do the right, sensible" thing just by talking about it. You haven't figured this out yet? People are more complex than this.

    This is not (largely) a debate about facts. This is a discussion about different ways of seeing, and interacting with, the world. It's certainly not a boxing match. Saluki and others with similar views will change their minds over time, but not through debates like this. But it does help to introduce them to other perspectives... and that's about the most we can hope for.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Let's do shale some time

    Saluki,

    I'll respond to this post of yours with the best answer I can give you, but one I suspect you are not currently able to understand. Please try to consider what I am saying, though.

    It is possible Oil-Tech will eventually be successful in producing oil from shale at a cost competitive price. I'll give you that. But it's equally possible they won't.

    However, I want you to look at how strongly your own personal views cloud your judgment.

    A substantial part of your argument (as I've read from previous posts of yours) for continuing to use oil is that we have vast quantities available through oil shale. You then go on to say we shouldn't rely on renewables because "they are too costly and unreliable". Yet, you would place your bets on oil shale that we have far less data on, in terms of final costs and reliability.

    There is absolutely no logic to this. Obviously, we know far more about the reliability and costs of renewables than oil-to-shale technology.

    When you do this, Saluki, it sends a loud message to everyone that you can't be trusted, because you'll twist your arguments any way you wish to support your personal opinions and agenda.

    But I want to go beyond this with you.

    My intuition tells me to always place my bets on technologies that are most in harmony with nature and least disruptive. Why? Because we still know so little about the complexity of the Earth's systems and how all the pieces fit together. It takes just a little common sense to realize that it's a safer bet to use technologies that do not disrupt natural systems, rather than those that do.

    Extracting millions of tons of Earth (shale) to produce oil, or simply extracting oil or gas from inside the Earth and dispensing it into the atmosphere, inherently feels like a bad idea. Something deep inside me says "no.... find a better way".

    I don't know for certain what the impacts of using fossil fuels are, but everything inside me says it doesn't make sense to persist with this. You can't feel that in yourself?

    On a more technical level, the likelihood that we can't overcome the reliability issues with wind or solar is incredibly low. Even for you, Saluki, that is a terribly poor argument to use. We can make nuclear more reliable than wind or solar? Come on, Saluki.

    You do realize that sooner or later one or perhaps many nuclear facilities will be destroyed by earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes or some other natural or man-made disasters. It's inevitable, and I think many people sense that. What will be the effects of that? My intuition says it's not worth finding out, given that there are other alternatives.

    I noticed you left biomass out of your list of renewables. The technology for direct conversion of biomass to electric and/or heat is well known and thoroughly tested, as is the low cost of producing energy through this means. I've demonstrated in previous posts how we could produce the equivalent of 200 new nuclear facilities from biomass energy plantations using all known technology. This would decentralize power and create far more jobs for Americans than any technology you have talked about so far. Why dig up millions of tons of oil shale, divert rivers, destroy mountains, and damage ecosystems, all with potentially disastrous side effects, when we could safely grow trees and grasses using nature's proven technology of photosynthesis?

    The difference between you and me is that when it comes to complex issues, I tend to follow the wisdom and logic of "do that which does the least harm". Seems you don't agree with this approach.

    On a separate, but somehow related, issue, I wanted you to consider this thought about Ms. Palin.

    As someone who has made it a point to study human nature for some 35 or so years, I've noticed that any woman (or man, for that matter) who would compare herself to a pit bull is not someone I would ever consider giving any power to. It's my opinion that someone like this cannot be trusted to make wise choices, and probably has deep seated emotional problems. That's not to make Ms. Palin a bad person... not at all. I would just consider her untrustable and in need of psychological help.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: false equivalences rule

    Russ,

    Obviously, you are angry about what's going on. There's plenty to be angry about. I've not experienced that that path works for me, though.

    While I share many of your hopes and dreams for a better world (as best I can tell from what you've written), I have doubts anger, labeling, fighting and the "eye for an eye" approach will get us there any quicker. No, I'm not suggesting being timid, cautious or even withholding one's feelings, but there are other paths to change.

    You do it your way, I'll do it mine. Heck... two different approaches to a similar goal... sounds like we're covering the bases.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • Mistaken interpretation

    Russ,

    It's interesting that you completely misinterpreted my use of the phrase "fringe elements here" to think that it applied to the Grist crowd in general. What I was saying is that there is "a" fringe element here at Grist. In other words, some smaller percentage of folks here are at the extreme left... NOT the bulk of the Grist crowd.

    I think if you had been paying attention to my posts over time you'd realize I have far more opinions in sync with the "middle of the pack" Grist mentality than not.

    Saying Saluki is a "brick wall" and a person of "aggressive stupidity" doesn't reflect well on your tolerance or compassion. Relax. There are many (though a minority these days) who still think like Saluki. Let's hear them out and debate with facts, creativity and wisdom.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Bush talk.

    Saluki,

    Thank you for your reply. It helps me to better understand your perspective.

    It would be pointless to debate your arguments one by one. As I said in my first post to you, from where you are coming from, there's no chance you can shift your thinking in any meaningful way simply from a discussion alone. (I hope others take note of this. It's really useless to debate item for item with Saluki.)

    It's my opinion that your belief system is what led us to war in Iraq and has directly resulted in the deaths and maiming of hundreds of thousands of humans, unnecessarily. I think a different belief system would not have had this effect.

    It's my opinion that actions emanating from belief systems like your own is resulting in a far less healthy and biodiverse ecosystem, and potentially one that will have catastrophic consequences. I think a different believe system could avoid and reverse this, and create a much higher quality of life for humans and all other creatures on this planet.

    It's my opinion that actions resulting from your belief system cause excessive inequality in the distribution of fundamental life-sustaining resources, creating intolerable levels of misery and pain for billions of people every day. A different belief system could change this circumstance immediately.

    And it is my opinion that the limitations of your belief system greatly restrain opportunities to create and sustain a world powered by inexpensive, renewable, clean, efficient and largely decentralized energy.

    For all of these reasons (and many more), I have a very different belief system. As yours becomes more and more painful to bear (and it will, because you have a heart and a soul which seek evolution and harmony), that (and only that) will lead you to adopt new ways of seeing the world. Until then, I will do my best to respect you, while working my hardest to create a better world and reverse (or at least confine) the almost unimaginable damage I believe is occurring from the actions of millions who carry beliefs like yours. Fortunately, the days when your belief system ruled the world are numbered and waning quickly. Enjoy it while you can.

    Richard

    P.S. I note you didn't answer my post about oil shale, in which I challenged statements you put forth with direct evidence to the contrary.On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • Russ, Canis.... listen better, please

    You two seem to have gotten the impression that I, in some way, either endorse anything in particular about Ms. Palin and/or seek to appease Saluki. Nothing could be further from the truth.

    You both must be so stuck in your own rigid mindsets (just like Saluki, but to the other side) that you can't even recognize a respectful dialogue that includes listening to the other side. I can listen to Saluki to better understand her without agreeing with anything she says. Or, I can agree with SOME of the things she says when she is either factually accurate (as she has been some of the time) or has a balanced perspective on a particular item, while still strongly disagreeing with her opinions on many critical issues.

    I think this problem with the way you two think (remember... I'm only stating this because of your OWN statements) is what drives folks like Saluki to brand all of us as "left-wing loony eco-freaks". You're not serving anyone with your rigidity and your unwillingness to agree with an "opposing" party when they state something that is actually correct.

    Loosen up, please. And pay better attention to my words.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: No one here knows squat about shale oil

    Saluki,

    I thought I would spend a few minutes to investigate the integrity of the statements you made about oil shale.

    You do realize that Wiki posts are often unreliable, at best... often serving simply to promote the position of a person or business. So I thought I would check the latest news reports about oil shale. To that end, I read four separate news accounts, all posted within the past week.

    Turns out, even Shell Oil is quite uncertain if their technology will work. They don't know what the actual production cost will be, nor how much water will ultimately be required or where that will come from. Most importantly, their own spokesperson said "it will be at least until the middle of the next decade before they decide if the process is commercially viable."

    So it seems your statements about the viability of oil shale are greatly inflated, unless you have some specific evidence to prove otherwise. If you do, I'd like to review it. Otherwise, I think you need to accept that this may never be a solution and, at best, is at least 7-10 years away with uncertain costs and environmental impacts. If it turns out to be viable and achievable without obvious and serious environmental impacts, we should all consider it at that time, but that time is still years away. Given this, it would seem prudent to move ahead as quickly as possible with known, renewable alternatives that are cost effective. Do you not agree with this?

    Thanks.
    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: When can we end the psychobabble Richard?

    Saluki,

    My goodness, you really don't listen well at all. How can I be clearer with you? I have no interest in discussing my positions with you. You've shown no flexibility or openness, so why would I waste my time with such an exercise?

    I agree that all the statements you referred to (in your last post) that others made are really out of line and over the top. I don't see much value in those statements. But how do you twist that around to reflect positively on you? Come on, Saluki... you've got to take this up a notch.

    As far as my unanswered questions go, you've partially answered one of them. But there are at least five others that remain unanswered. Let's start with two of them. I'll present them here as I did before:

    1. Could you please explain why you believe it is fine to use and exhaust a non-renewable, finite resource like oil? What gives you (or anyone) the right to make this resource unavailable to future generations when there are alternatives that would preserve or at least conserve it? Do you believe depleting a finite resource is indicative of an advanced, intelligent civilization, or is it your position that we can do whatever we want with the Earth's resources... future generations will just have to deal with it?

    2. Did you vote for Bush the last two times around, and if so, given his terrible track record and utter failures almost across the board, why should I place any value in your ability to choose the next president?

    Please Saluki... respond to this post only with answers to these two questions.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Who is Richard?

    Saluki,

    It's definitely not about me... I've made that clear several times.

    What you've done in your last post, for at least the sixth time, is avoided answering my direct and fair questions. There's a pattern here. Every time you are asked a challenging question based on your own statements, you simply divert from answering, and instead, twist the discussion to turn it on me or imply I have a position that I've actually never stated. When you do this, you lose all credibility.

    Sure, you can keep arguing with more fringe elements here and, given your often extreme positions on the right, make it sound like you're in the center and Grist folks are all "loony, eco-freaks", but this fantasy won't move your cause forward. Why? Because it's not so much your positions themselves that are often out-dated and rigid (though many are), but rather the fact that the way you debate lacks integrity. It is this deep pattern within you which no longer serves you or others. With each passing day, increasingly more people "smell" this about you and quickly know you can't be trusted.

    Fact is, I don't disagree with every position you maintain. Some of your positions are factually accurate; some are reasonable; and many others are simply bizarre and out-dated. That's not the problem. The problem is your inability to admit when you're wrong or when you simply don't know what the best answer or solution might be.

    If you wish to continue this discussion, I suggest you start by answering the half dozen or so questions I've asked you in previous posts.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: How much is enough?

    Saluki,

    Once again, I'm not debating you on a given issue. I've not shared my views with you. I'm simply trying to understand your viewpoint and pointing out to you how you continually use your mindset and personal agenda to misstate facts and make statements about others that are simply untrue. This last post of yours demonstrates this repeatedly.

    1. You never answered my statements about the things government does for you that you probably want government to continue doing. You simply bypassed the matter. This indicates you have a hard time admitting to your misstatements, even when presented with clear evidence.

    2. You then go on to say that your real point is that it is possible to take more from the government than what you get back. Saluki... no one here disagrees with this statement. It's certainly not an intelligent point to make.

    3. Next, you refer to me as an "inmate" and then state that I believe all social and personal problems are the responsibility of the government. Can you please point out to me where I said anything even remotely close to this, or is this just one more example of how you judge other people before you've even heard their opinions? You've done this numerous times with me. This is always indicative of a person with a fixed, rigid mindset. Remember Saluki... I'm simply playing back your own words. I'm not making anything up here. These are your statements... not mine.

    4. You then continue with a long rant about what I and others here believe, which is in fact just your fantasies and judgments about who I am... none of it, of course, being evenly closely reflective of my beliefs. Some of what you say may reflect some of the opinions of some people here, but so what?

    The point is, Saluki, you can't lump everyone with a different view than yours into a box. It's more complex than this. It's quite possible some of my views reflect thoughts you've never even considered... unless you believe that your thoughts are already as evolved as they'll ever get. Tell me... is that statement correct? Are you certain your views right now reflect your highest potential as a human being?

    I can tell you this for certain. Based on all the misstatements, judgments and lies you've made about me in our brief correspondence, you have a great deal of personal growth ahead of you. While this is taking place, you might want to consider asking people what they believe before you pass judgment on them. But then again, it's probably far more comfortable for you to continue living within your illusions and stories about "the rest of us."

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Adding it up.

    Saluki:

    I suspect you don't really believe this statement of yours... you just said it without thinking about the truth of it:

    "Remember, the government has no ability to do something for you without taking something from you.  And the more that you want them to do for you the less freedom and resources you will have to do for yourself."

    Are you not content to give the government money to build the roads and bridges you use, deliver your mail, establish communications and energy infrastructure, protect your food from poisons, and (last but not least) protect your family from hostile forces?

    True, there are certainly instances in which the government takes resources from me to do things I might not agree with, but there are likely far more instances in which I willingly give the government a portion of my resources to provide basic necessities for my life. Is that not true for you as well?

    From what you said (and again, I'm just replaying your words here), you would prefer to keep your money so that you had the freedom to do these things for yourself. Could you please explain how you would go about this?

    Richard
    On New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Love that fossil hospitality

    Saluki:

    Could you please explain why you believe it is fine to use and exhaust a non-renewable, finite resource like oil? What gives you (or anyone) the right to make this resource unavailable to future generations when there are alternatives that would preserve or at least conserve it? Do you believe depleting a finite resource is indicative of an advanced, intelligent civilization, or is it your position that we can do whatever we want with the Earth's resources... future generations will just have to deal with it?

    Remember... I'm not stating my position here... just asking for clarification on yours. What I've read from your posts leads me to believe you don't care about resource depletion. I want to make sure I understand your position.

    RichardOn New sea-level rise research, part 1: 'Most likely' 0.8 to 2.0 meters by 2100 posted 1 year, 2 months ago 178 Responses

  • re: Tolerance

    Saluki,

    Again, I won't debate the issues with you, but I will state facts.

    To state that opposition to abortion is as strong as ever simply ignores all polls and facts of the past 50 years. But like I said, you'll lie to yourself even on the most basic of facts to sustain your belief system.

    "... intolerance of people with SUVs"... would you please point out where I stated that? Once again, all you can do to defend yourself is create lies about my beliefs.

    Keep it up. You're validating everything I said earlier.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses

  • re: Just took Psych 101. Watch me go!

    Saluki,

    I have no interest in debating with you. I've made my opinion clear: given where you are coming from, I see no possibility you can openly consider my position on the issue of abortion (even though I have not yet shared what that position is). Having recognized this, there's nothing to be gained from further discussion with you.

    I will tell you this, though... the power once held by folks who have opinions like yours is dwindling quickly. It has dominated for a very long time, but those days are now numbered. What is coming in now cannot be stopped. Tolerance is key. On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses

  • Ethanol mandate

    John,

    You probably won't be satisfied with this answer, but I really don't have an opinion on the GOP effort to kill the ethanol mandate. As I've said before, corn ethanol isn't something I have much interest in. Intensive farming with monocrops, pesticides and fertilizers isn't something I can get behind.

    My interest is in seeing a dramatic increase in forest cover, with these forests being as bio-diverse and productive as possible. If cellulosic ethanol can help this become a reality, I say do everything we can to make it so.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses

  • Typical response

    Saluki,

    This is so typical of the way inflexible thinkers debate. You never asked for my opinions or positions. You simply assumed you knew my beliefs.

    Turns out, virtually every one of your assumptions was incorrect.

    Of course, it's so much more comfortable for you to try and fit me into some kind of box you understand. As I said, thinking outside the box is just not something you are prepared to do.On The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses

  • Saluki's agenda

    John,

    This debate you and others are having with Saluki is an excellent example of how people's personal agenda's makes it impossible to fully consider the viability of an opinion quite different from their own.

    Saluki and many, many others are actually incapable (at this point in their lives) of accepting a different viewpoint on the subject of abortion. To do so would require a complete re-wiring of their inner world and belief systems. The only personal security they have right now is their reliance on a limited, out-dated set of beliefs created by others who need followers like Saluki.

    Saluki prefers to focus on making wrong the choices of others she doesn't even know personally, rather than taking full responsibility for the disasters resulting from her own choices. She simply can't handle the pain of the latter.

    I'm willing to bet Saluki voted for Mr. Bush the last two times around. A significant degree of responsibility for the deaths of some 4,000 US soldiers in Iraq and the maiming of tens of thousands of others there rests squarely on her shoulders for the votes she made twice, but you'll never hear her take responsibility for this. Too painful to do that. There is a long list of other disasters resulting from Saluki's personal choice to put Mr. Bush in power, but rather than take responsibility for this and look deeply inside at her decision making process, she'd rather turn to a woman she doesn't even know and tell that person what is right and what is wrong.

    I have no doubt Saluki's heart is in the right place. But she and millions of others with the same belief system are compelled by insecurities and fears that drive the choices they make. It is from that place that people like George Bush get put into power.

    But she can't possibly understand what I'm talking about... no easier than she can understand why the "pro-life" position should really be called the "anti-choice" platform.

    As Pangolin said, debates like this with folks like Saluki cannot possibly result in a change of position. The breakthroughs she seeks will come in their own perfect time.

    RichardOn The eco-rundown on Alaska guv Sarah Palin, John McCain's veep pick posted 1 year, 2 months ago 120 Responses

  • re: Clearcuts Are Always Bad

    Jeesh, Wolverine:

    This attitude about killing trees being immoral is really extreme. Few environmentalists support this position. I often sympathize with the hard line you take on many environmental problems, but this is over the top. Go so the Menominee forest and see what can happen when humans work creatively and respectfully with forests.

    On the issue of clearcuts, though, I agree with you in large part. It's my experience from some 30 years in the forest industry that 90% of the time clearcuts are prescribed, they shouldn't be.On Google knows what you're doing posted 1 year, 2 months ago 13 Responses

  • re: Reality v. Fantasy

    Wolverine:

    I understand that you have a particular mindset and set of beliefs that compels you to follow a specific line of thinking. It's not likely you'll change any part of that because that would lead to a complete personal breakdown. And you're not willing to let that happen... not yet anyway. But the points you make are simplistic and simply don't reflect what is possible or even the trends of the past 500 years.

    I never said "lust for material things" was a part of our sustainable future. I agree with you that this is not spiritual or sustainable... which is why we'll grow beyond it.

    I never said we can sustainably increase population AND individual consumption across the board. I said we can increase our population while changing our behaviors and consumption patterns to live in harmony with the planet.

    Your use of the word "overbreeding" is just silly and reflects an overly simplistic understanding of human life. Humans are far more than simply animals. If you have any spiritual knowledge at all (and I believe you do), you'll understand what I mean by this.

    Ecosystems and species have evolved countless times over the course of Earth's history and have survived far more turmoil than is present now. Yes, there will be dramatic changes on this front, but the Earth will evolve as human society continues to change, eventually finding a new balance (with a substantially higher population).

    Your desire to return to some kind of "natural" state, at least here in the US, is unrealistic. With 97% of our old-growth forests gone, that can't possibly happen for at least 250 years, at best. The pre-"white man" phase is gone, forever. But that hardly means we can't establish harmony with nature and maintain adequate "wild" places.

    New technologies for efficiency (in everything), resource conservation and materials recycling will allow us to sustain more people with far less impact. Will we employ these "in time" and in sufficient volume to make a difference? I believe we will. You may believe otherwise. There's nothing you or I can say to prove this point one way or another. We'll just have to see what happens.

    RichardOn Bearded freak hippie discusses biofuels with Bill Scher posted 1 year, 2 months ago 23 Responses

  • re: Efficiency gains

    John,

    I see you continue to persist in making statements you cannot back up with facts. Others here reminded you again and again that you lose credibility every time you do this, but you persist.

    Each time we go through a round of debate together, it gets to a point where I back up my statements with fact, then you simply withdraw from the debate.

    In this recent post of yours, you continue with your line of incredibly simplistic statements that  have no basis in fact. You try to present the worst possible scenario for biofuels, then generalize it to imply that virtually all biomass-derived energy is bad.

    I could easily present scenarios for wind and solar that make each look completely impractical and unproductive. But intelligent people don't do that. They look at renewable resources (like solar, wind AND biomass) and figure out how to make these work. You, on the other hand, because you don't understand biomass and forests, simply discount all of it (except for your little biogas pet project).

    I've pointed you to the Menominee as one example of sustainable forestry. Clearly, despite more than one billion board feet of wood having been removed over the years, those forests have healthy soils. So your argument that using that harvested wood and converting some of it to biomass energy implies depleted soils, is simply silly and without merit.

    Biomass can be used in a sustainable way to produce renewable energy with less GHG impacts than either solar or wind. This is a fact. If you wish to refute it, prove your case. Biomass energy can also be obtained very poorly and unsustainably, just like solar and wind. We need to make sure that that doesn't happen.

    RichardOn Bearded freak hippie discusses biofuels with Bill Scher posted 1 year, 2 months ago 23 Responses

  • re: More Deniers

    Wolverine,

    I realize you believe there are only two choices and you present this as fact: "support the Earth and people who are willing to live on it naturally, or you support human destruction of it." This statement of yours is really a rather old and simplistic way of looking at human life on Earth... coming from a time well before the 60's.

    I know you preach the importance of a spiritual orientation to life and environmental issues, but I do not often see this reflected in your writings, tone or positions. Nevertheless, I believe you sincerely want to live with the least impact on the Earth and in peace with nature and other people, and I respect that.

    I would simply suggest you consider that there is a way to live in harmony with the Earth and with people, while accommodating a far larger population and potentially higher (selective) resource demands from our world. It will require greater intelligence, considerably more creativity, and a much stronger commitment to "do the right thing", but it is possible... and I believe, it is the direction to which we are heading, despite the seeming insurmountable problems we appear to be facing.

    I'm not saying we'll definitely get there, but I am saying your "two choices only" position is incomplete.

    Richard On Bearded freak hippie discusses biofuels with Bill Scher posted 1 year, 2 months ago 23 Responses

  • re: Thinning

    John,

    What I persist in doing is balancing the needs of humanity for various forest products (including energy and recreational uses) with the needs of forests to remain biodiverse and capable of producing healthy soils and water.... as well as the pressures on landowners to offset taxes so that forests are not converted into less desirable uses. This is a complex balancing act. For those who pay too much attention to any one of these pieces, the balancing act collapses.

    I didn't create these pieces. I just know they are real and must be dealt with. This is far from a perfect world we live in, but we have to deal with what we have... and move towards what we ideally want.

    If I was the kind of person focused on biomass production, I would not have been a founder of the Forest Stewardship Council. This argument of yours has no historical fact behind it. My work has been dedicated to sustainable forestry adhering to the strictest principles we can employ while still balancing the other real factors effecting forests today.

    As far as energy plantations go, I am of the belief it is possible to establish vast areas of new, highly productive, forests which fully address biodiversity, soil and water quality issues, and are geared to producing biomass to offset the use of oil and coal. If this poses any significant genetic problems, I can't support it. If it requires intensive use of fertilizer or water, I can't support it. If the creation of it releases more GHG's than can be re-absorbed within 10-20 years, I can't support it. If the entire energy balance of the system is not significantly positive, I can't support it.

    That said, I believe it can... and should be... done.On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: Misquote

    John,

    I know you don't understand this, even though I've explained it several times.

    Forests throughout the U.S. need to be thinned, particularly of low-grade and over-crowded trees. These are not our original, native forests. These are forests that have been high-graded again and again, and now have too much lower-grade wood. A lot of this wood is best suited for energy. That's just the way it is. By removing it carefully, the health and productivity of the forest will increase. It's no different than a garden. It works exactly the same way, except that most of the trees are left after a harvest, and new trees regrow on their own without the need for fertilizer.

    Here in Vermont... just one example of many states... we import over $1 billion worth of energy every year just for heating purposes. This is money that goes out of the state, and often out of the country. By using just a portion of the annual regrowth of biomass, we could displace ALL of that fossil fuel energy, save Vermonters at least a half billion dollars per year, create thousands of local, rural jobs, and displace all the greenhouse gases that would otherwise be released indefinitely by burning oil, natural gas or coal.

    Yes, in years to come, there will be other options to produce heat for homes and businesses here. And when there are, we'll need to look at those. But that's quite a few years down the road.

    Of course, they'll still be a need to displace the oil used to make the plastics, chemicals and other oil-based goods that Vermonters use. I'd prefer to see those come from sustainably harvested biomass.

    Landowners need to realize an income from their forest land, otherwise it gets converted into some other less desirable, income-generating product. The best way to maintain this land as forests is to keep it producing various wood-based products. Energy (or ethanol to plastic) is the key for the foreseeable future. There is no other viable alternative anyone has come up with. This is a fact, John, that you need to come to terms with.

    Trees are renewable electrons. What don't you get about this?On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: Living with war

    John,

    Why do you persist... again and again... to make statements that you call "factual" when, in actuality, they have no basis in fact or are simply personal opinions? We've been through this over and over, yet you continue with the same misstatements.

    You can't lump biomass in with coal and oil and attempt to make a generalized statement. It's simply silly and no one can take it seriously. Biomass grows back, continuously. Biomass IS solar energy. It is the perfect solar energy storage vehicle. This isn't rocket science, John.

    Coal and oil don't grow back. I know this is elementary, but you don't seem to appreciate the huge difference between renewable plants and non-renewable fossil fuels. Come on, John. I know you are smarter than this.

    Then you say, "logging equipment is part of a war". Why? Because it's a machine? You mean like the vast number of machines required to create the components for solar and wind units? What's your point here, John?On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: It's quite common to see a thread degenerate

    Biodiversivist:

    I find nothing of value in your post. Wasted words only.

    If you want to debate specific items I have raised about cellulosic ethanol, sustainable forestry or wood energy, please do so. Other than that, I really have no interest in conversing with you. I find it a waste of time.

    You labeled me a "devout supporter of all things biofuel". Go read your post if you need to. On far too many occasions, I have specifically said I am not this. I could not have made it any clearer that I have no particular interest in any biofuel other than cellulosic ethanol, and even with that, I only support it if it is done sustainably. But again, you have misstated my position and twisted my words. Why would I want to spend any time debating with someone who consistently misstates what I say. I can't think of a good reason. You are not to be trusted.On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: Good Lord

    Biodiversivist:

    It's rather comical watching how you deal with the fact that something you don't support (cellulosic ethanol) continues to get the funding and political support it needs to succeed. It just seems to eat away at you. But rather than discuss specifics and debate fairly, you attack the messenger.

    I was having a discussion with John... specifically with John. It was inappropriate for you to step in and take statements out of context. But as I said, it seems to be your way to attack the messenger, rather than speak to facts.

    Your little game of revising my words so they point to me is once again your way to avoiding specifics and the actual content of what I say.

    Once you learn the difference between "intentions" and "personal agenda", we might be able to have a civil discussion.On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: Delusional agenda

    Biodiversivist:

    If I thought for one minute it would be worth engaging in this conversation with you, I would. But I don't take you seriously... and I suspect few professionals do. Based on your last post to me, you seem incapable of having a respectful dialogue.

    While you continue to scream from the sidelines, the reality of cellulosic ethanol continues to grow with each passing day. Some of us need to actually do the work and solve the problems you speak of. Now if we could only harness the hot air you seem to generate so profusely... On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: A plan?

    John,

    This is your plan:

    "Oil demand reduction is easy at first.  Tire inflation, tuneups, car pooling, existing mass transit, switching home heating away from oil, using more freight rail to save diesel fuel used in long haul trucks, people retiring older gas guzzlers and switching to more efficient cars, those sorts of changes would be enough to power steady demand reduction for a few years."

    You believe this will actually take place and reduce oil demand by at least 40% within 20 years? I won't even ask for documentation on how this adds up to the 40%+ reduction. I'll just ask for evidence that this... or anything remotely like it... WILL happen. I know you want it to, but you can't really expect the rest of us to base our lives on your hopes, can you? Show me the evidence it WILL happen.

    But more importantly, why would you want to dismiss the possibility that a significant part of the solution could come from sustainable cellulosic ethanol? Again, if it's not sustainable, I don't support it either. But there's a lot of evidence that this could be done sustainably. So why not do it?

    Also, you have not addressed the second part of my initial comment about reducing current CO2 levels. Nothing in your solution does that, yet Hansen says we need to. Please provide your solution to this AND the means to get it funded.

    RichardOn What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: Only 5% per year

    John,

    Of course, you provided no specifics on how to accomplish a major reduction in oil use over 20 years... just your usual fluff. Sorry to be so hard on you, but your reply is just a fairy tale. Of course, I fully support what you would LIKE to see happen. I'd like that too. But some of us are trying to deal with realities... trying to deal with the huge mess we're in and will likely remain in for quite some time.

    If you have a step by step approach that you believe can, AND WILL, be implemented within 20 years to reduce oil usage by at least 40%, please spell it out. Then we can comment on the reality of that happening.

    If you don't have this, then I suggest you support other approaches than can address this concern. We need to employ every possible sustainable method there is to reduce oil demand.

    Wishing it will happen is not acceptable. And just saying, "reduce it by 5% a year" is just silly. Tell us the specifics of your plan.On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • A vision of delusion

    John,

    I hear your vision and actually fully support the part of it concerning the future for transportation. So there's no argument there. Let's move to electrical ASAP. But you're deluding yourself and others by not accepting the realities we confront in getting from here to there.

    Do you actually believe we will dramatically reduce our need for liquid fuels over the next 20 years? Read my words, John... I said "dramatically" reduce. Yes, I hope that this need will get reduced soon, but it will take at least 20 years to make major (i.e. 40%+) reductions. What are you proposing we do in the meantime? Keep burning oil, when we could potentially replace it with carbon neutral cellulosic ethanol from sustainable sources?

    And what do you propose we do to reduce the current level of GHG's? Dr. Hansen... someone with a great deal more credibility than you and your friends... suggests we look at a dramatic increase in the use of biomass to remove GHG's and provide power at the same time. What's your proposal to reduce existing CO2 levels, and how do you intend to fund it?

    Get real, John. On What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • Too many myths in "Myths of Biofuels"

    This is directed to David Alport (GreyFlcn), John S. (AmazingDRX) and others who have bought into the myths told by David Fridley.

    I decided to follow your link, David A., to the video showing Fridley's talk on the "Myths of Biofuels." I was barely able to get through it. The number of misstatements, incomplete details and his simple outright bias was quite troubling.

    It seems Mr. Fridley's heart is in the right place. I don't question his intentions, though I don't know the full story on the man. But this presentation was obviously created to talk the layperson into believing his story. I don't know what his agenda is, but I can't imagine serious people in the cellulosic ethanol sector taking him seriously... not with all the inaccuracies in his presentation.

    On my first pass through, I noted 23 statements of his that are either untrue or incomplete. I'm happy to go through each one of them in detail here. And if Mr. Fridley actually monitors this site, I'd go through that process "face to face" with him.

    I think the important thing to understand is that when someone like him makes so many misstatements, it really doesn't serve him or the larger effort to find a path to a renewable energy solution, because eventually he'll lose his credibility, as will the supporters of his position.  

    People can take various positions on these issues, but those positions really need to be backed up by facts. And when the facts aren't clear, this needs to be said right up front. When a statement is made that is an opinion, this also needs to be made clear.

    It's a shame Mr. Fridley has some kind of personal agenda that seems to have gotten in the way of his ability to help steer the cellulosic ethanol sector toward sustainability, because I think he could help accomplish this if he stuck to facts. Instead, he is promoting his own myth and confusing many with a story that is simply full of untruths.

    RichardOn What it means to put 4.1 billion bushels of corn into our gas tanks posted 1 year, 3 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: The Biophilic Imagination vs. Reality

    Michael,

    It's not clear to me that you are actually reading through my posts or simply reading the first and last line of each. Your comments don't make a lot of sense relative to what I posted.

    1. Your point about the efficiency of solar thermal vs. biomass is completely irrelevant. I never suggested biomass was anywhere near as efficient as solar thermal for a given acre of ground. It obviously is not. But that's not the point. Actually, you made the exact point I was getting at.

    If it takes 1000 acres of desert to produce 200 MW of energy, then it would take 1 MILLION acres of desert to produce the 200,000 MW I was talking about in my post about biomass energy plantations.

    If you believe it would be easier to create (and maintain) 1 million acres of solar thermal than 200 million acres of trees and grasses, than you are not at all realistic. Is this what you really believe?

    2. You then go on to talk about the "extensive" energy needed for transport and processing, and whether or not I had figured that in. I provided several clear and complete posts covering this in detail! Did you not read through them?

    There's not much sense in discussing this issue if you simply fail to read my responses and/or completely distort what I am saying. When I talk about 200,000 MW, please don't respond with a post talking about 200 MW. It makes the conversation impossible.

    RichardOn The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • re: "Trust but verify"

    John,

    I'm not sure why you don't get this, but what I suggested (as far as electric production is concerned) is well known and thoroughly tested. You can find installations like this all over the world. The Burlington Electric plant is 30 years old. No one questions how well they work. The environmental impacts are quite minimal.

    We know how to grow trees. Virtually every stem of wood used as structural lumber to build every home in the US comes from plantation grown trees. There's no mystery in this. What I and others are suggesting, though, is growing trees only for energy purposes, and doing it in the most sustainable way possible (reducing impact on existing biodiversity; limited the use of fertilizer; maintaining soil quality; etc.). But this work has been ongoing for 30 years as well.

    The only question now is whether we want to do it... or keep burning coal and oil... build more nuclear plants... and simply wait for GHG issues to become overwhelming. I'm a big fan of solar and wind, but we can't just toss aside the potential... using KNOWN technology... to offset the energy we'd get from 200 new nuclear or 300-400 new coal facilities by using biomass-based energy instead. On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • re: I've been battling this one

    I have given DRX numerous links documenting that sustainable cellulosic ethanol production has, at worst, no effect on GHG's, and at best reverses the problem. For some reason, he chooses to ignore these and instead keeps pointing to a study that in no way supports his contention that CE fuels increase GHG's 50% over oil. I've given up on him around this subject. It seems to challenge some personal viewpoint of his so strongly that he refuses to change his opinion despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Perhaps someone else can help him understand.

    Sustainable forestry is not difficult to understand. You start with X tons of biomass per acre, harvest Y and turn it into energy, and in ten years you have X tons (or more) growing again. The carbon goes up and the carbon comes back, in fairly short order.

    As far as the concerns he raises in his previous post, I'll be watching those issues right along with him. I share his concerns.On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • re: Wood is interesting and scary at the same time

    Jon,

    A bit more on potential...

    You asked about the 200 million acres. Considering we have some 750 million acres of range/pasture land and another 750 million acres of forest, it is not a stretch at all to envision pulling 200 million acres from this 1.5 billion acres and creating sustainable energy plantations of poplars, willows and grasses... if we wanted to or needed to... and if it could be done sustainably.

    What's it amount to?

    Standard conversion figures for biomass electric plants are 10,000 tons of chips per MW of electricity. If each acre of plantation is producing 10 tons of biomass per acre per year, we need 1000 acres to produce 1 MW of baseload electricity. That amounts to 1 million acres of plantation to generate 1000 MW... about the size of a small nuclear plant, I believe, or a large coal facility. That 200 million acres gives us the equivalent of 200 new nuclear plants. I think that's a meaningful number. Then use all the sustainably managed natural forests to offset oil usage in plastics and chemicals. This scenario even gives DRX and others the option to drive electric vehicles off of mother nature's very own natural solar conversion system.

    I'm not sure what the output is of a solar thermal plant, but my guess is trying to produce 200,000 MW of power from these is a bit of an environmental nightmare.

    Personally, I'd be more inclined to establish thousands of decentralized, sustainably-managed biomass energy plantations run by local co-ops throughout the country, keeping power generation local and rural, encouraging biodiversity as much as possible, and creating the opportunity for a carbon negative solution. But that's just me.On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • Biomass transport

    Jon,

    Since you mentioned the issue of transport fuel costs for biomass, I thought I'd put a few numbers down to paper.

    The trucks moving wood chips today are getting 5-10 mpg and are typically moving 20 tons of chips. So if we use 5 mpg and figure this on an 80 mile round trip, the transport is taking 16 gallons of fuel. The 20 ton load could yield 2000 gallons of liquid fuel.

    As I said, transport is not a significant factor, as long as the distances are kept under 60 miles from source to production facility. On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • and waste....

    And, of course, add in large volumes of wood waste and other non-wood waste materials, all of which can be converted to cellulosic ethanol and/or turned into energy through other existing and near-term technologies. I don't have these numbers at hand, but they are large.On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • re: OK Richard, let me try some numbers

    Jon,

    Actually, it's 100-120 gallons of liquid fuel per ton. But there is also a substantial volume of other product from each ton that is not liquid fuel. I'm not certain of those numbers (I could look them up), but I do know it's more than enough to completely power the production process. The transportation numbers are actually quite small, as long as transport is kept to 60 miles or so. And this transport number has the potential to go lower as new technologies become available to process the raw wood fiber before transport (so you're transporting more energy-grade material than water).

    But this is not at all a complete picture of what will happen with biomass.

    In the short term, existing forests have the capacity to conservatively produce an initial harvest of 15-30 tons per acre (higher in some areas), because this "energy grade" wood has generally accumulated across many tens of millions of acres. So the short term numbers (over a 5-10 year period) are much higher.

    Then energy plantations (trees and grasses) come on board, and these numbers can get very large. Existing test plantations are already producing 10 tons per acre per year, and this number could well double within 10 years. If we wanted to (or needed to), it is certainly possible to establish 200 million acres of sustainably managed biomass plantations. Do these numbers and I think you'll see where biomass energy can go.

    So again, start with existing forests by tapping into the large volume of standing energy-grade wood, establish eco-certifiable plantations over the next 15 years so that this material is available long term, then continue to manage forests on a sustainable basis indefinitely. This is what I expect to see. On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • Differences

    Michael,

    Let's start this discussion with an understanding that there is a huge difference between what many folks (I believe you seem included in this group) call biofuels versus sustainable use of biomass.

    For all practical purposes, let's include corn ethanol and virtually every other type of plant-based fuel that is out there now... with the exception of woody biomass... in one group that we'll call biofuels. There are a few exceptions to this, but these represent small volumes. The other group we'll call biomass (which includes trees and grasses, like switchgrass).

    I limit my discussions on "biomass/biofuels" potential to biomass. I have no interest in biofuels, as defined above, and can't speak to the potential sustainability of this group. All we know so far is that most of what I've defined here as biofuels is not being grown sustainably and/or has questionable GHG/energy balances. The FSC may have some involvement in this group (I'm not currently active in the FSC), but it's main focus is on biomass.

    So again, my comments are limited to biomass.

    On this front, there is no issue with water use. It's just not on the radar screen because it's a non-issue (at least in the US). Soil conservation is an issue, but it is integral to eco-certification and sustainable biomass production.

    That said, I have read numerous statements by companies (and investors) involved in cellulosic ethanol, as well as other biomass energy technologies, that they support sustainable production of biomass feedstocks. Time will tell how strongly this position is adhered to, and whether they ultimately rely on stronger standards like those of the FSC or weaker ones (which I would personally oppose).

    But the point is, there is enormous energy potential that can come from sustainably grown and harvested forests and biomass plantations. I think it is fair for folks to speak out aggressively that biomass be used in this way, and spoken against if it is not.

    Your point about the internal combustion engine is really not relevant. Yes, transportation will largely convert to some other mode in time. I think most agree on that. But that time.. the time when MOST of this conversion has taken place... is at least 20 years away. In the meantime, we need to offset the use of oil. This is what those in the cellulosic ethanol sector are focused on, and anyone who argues to the contrary is simply in dreamland.

    Stating that the use of biomass could become a problem is, of course, a true statement. I can present scenarios for wind and solar that are quite problematic as well. It's all of our jobs to make sure this doesn't happen.

    But again, let's differentiate between biofuels and biomass, and let's acknowledge that there is huge potential for sustainable biomass energy. Some scientists, in fact, argue that greatly expanding the use of biomass is, in fact, vital to reversing (not just stabilizing) GHG levels... something solar and wind can't do.

    I, for one, get far more joy out of spending time in a sustainably managed forest than I do in a wind farm or solar thermal array. But maybe that's just me. On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • Biomass

    John,

    I don't think it is really important whether biomass gets used as cellulosic ethanol (which is not commercialized yet) or as some other form of energy using existing, proven technology. It is more important to look at the real potential of biomass based on what can be produced sustainably. This potential includes not just what is available from existing forests, but also what we know can be produced from sustainable plantations. Biomass plantations have been thoroughly researched in the field for more than 30 years. It's not a question of IF we can grow tens (if not hundreds) of millions of acres of dedicated biomass plantations, but when we'll start doing this... and that time is very close. Fact is, when you look at the energy that can come from more intensive use of existing forests plus plantations, it's anything but a niche. And it doesn't matter what we do with that in the end (again, using existing technology or new ones on the horizon). The point is, this usage is happening now and will only grow. And, as I said, it's already bigger than wind and solar. On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • re: Who's living in a dreamworld?

    Michael,

    Had you read any of my previous posts at Gristmill, you'd know that not only do I support a very tight and heavily enforced system of eco-certification, but I am one of the founders of the Forest Stewardship Council... already the largest eco-certifier for biomass. So we have no disagreement on this point. I cannot support any biofuel which has not been so certified. In other words, I don't support most biofuels today.

    But that isn't the point I was addressing in your statements. Given that we agree sustainably-produced biofuels should be a part of the equation, this statement of yours is either biased or uninformed:

    "Biofuels, sustainably produced, especially from wastes, will have a niche in aviation and marine propulsion."

    My point is that this flies in the face of what is happening today in terms of investments in, and planning for, cellulosic ethanol, but also direct burning of biomass (already a larger producer of energy than wind or solar) and numerous other options for producing energy from biomass. To say it will be a niche is simply incorrect... not unless you consider wind and solar niches as well.

    As far as DRX's comments go, he is no longer to be taken seriously on this subject. He is unable to substantiate much of anything he has to say on this matter, and simply stops responding when presented with direct evidence contrary to his statements. On The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • Get over it

    I won't even bother addressing DRX's posts. He simply avoids supporting his statements with facts in regards to cellulosic ethanol and GHG issues. I've provided more than enough evidence to show that biofuels from sustainably harvested wood and grasses would be carbon neutral at the least, if not carbon negative.

    More importantly, folks like Michael are living in a dreamworld if they think simply making mistatements about the potential of sustainable biofuels will make this solution go away. It won't.

    Billions are being invested into this sector. Production facilities are being built. Cars are already available to run off it. Development is ongoing at a nearly frantic pace. It's coming, and it'll be big.

    Get over it.
    RichardOn The five transport energy solutions and one imperative posted 1 year, 3 months ago 34 Responses

  • re: Hmmm

    John,

    I've explained the GHG issue (with respect to using biomass for energy) to you on several occasions, but you seem unwilling to simply address the details point by point with your alternative theory. I'll try once more... and this time I'll also show why it is easy for GHG to go negative.

    You start with an acre of forest containing 70 tons of biomass.

    Harvest trees containing 25 tons of biomass. In other words, cut them down so others can grow in their place.

    Within 15 years or so, this 25 tons has regrown. So this acre again contains 70 tons of biomass.

    At this point, this cycle is carbon neutral... regardless of what you did with the 25 tons that was harvested. Even if you burned the entire 25 tons, whatever went into the atmosphere, was pulled back out and into the forest during those 15 years.

    Where it goes negative is on two accounts.

    1. Out of the 25 tons originally cut, you leave 5 tons in the woods for decomposition into the soil. Now you're carbon negative. This is common practice with sustainable forestry.

    2. You don't burn all 20 tons, but instead take 5 of it and put it into wood products, like structural lumber or furniture. Now it's even more carbon negative.

    Which part of this doesn't make sense to you?On Short, medium, and long-term solutions to phase out oil posted 1 year, 4 months ago 46 Responses
  • re: Natural carbon cycle

    John,

    Enough already! You are burying yourself by continuing to stick to this absurd line of reasoning. I'll ask you for the fifth time at least: DOCUMENT your statement! I have no interest in hearing you share an opinion that has absolutely no scientific basis and cannot be documented.

    I can quickly provide numerous links to studies that show that using biomass as energy when it originates from sustainably-grown or managed feedstocks is carbon neutral. You can't provide even one to the contrary. Do you really think anyone should take you seriously on this matter?

    Give it up already. I know the idea of being able to produce a sustainable oil substitute from wood and grasses just doesn't fit into your plans. But you'll have to deal with that on your own. What you say on this matter has no credibility... unless you can document it otherwise.

    RichardOn Short, medium, and long-term solutions to phase out oil posted 1 year, 4 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: No problem

    John,

    Why do you persist in making completely untrue statements? You continue to state cellulosic ethanol raises GHG 50% over oil based fuels, but I have asked you repeatedly to document this, and you have been unable to do that. All you've been able to do is point to a study that says it is possible to displace food crops with other crops that would result in higher GHG emissions for cellulosic ethanol, but no CE company I am aware of is proposing to do that.

    I have repeatedly asked you to prove that CE results in higher GHG's when the feedstock is grown sustainably (which would be the basis for the CE sector when the source is not landfill waste), but you can't do that. You can't, because all the studies show that a sustainable source of feedstock for the CE sector results in a carbon neutral balance.

    So why persist in making false statements? To me, that shows you have a personal agenda that is more important to stand by than facts. This makes your statements less than credible.

    If I am wrong about this CE issue, please provide the evidence to directly refute my points so we can all see that I am mistaken.

    RichardOn Short, medium, and long-term solutions to phase out oil posted 1 year, 4 months ago 46 Responses

  • re: Point taken, thanks

    Yes, Jon.... the small amount of truly virgin, original forest that is left is in pretty good hands and safe from any human intrusion, other than the occasional visitor. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: ok, agreement on...

    It is truly fascinating how hard it is for most folks to understand forestry and forests.

    Two points:

    1. Sustainable forests are NOT planted!!! Well, perhaps very, very rarely, but NO... sustainable forests are existing forests which are managed sustainably. Forget planting. That's an entirely different discussion.

    2. "Natural" forests, in the sense most people think of this term, do not exist in the U.S., except on about 1-2% of our remaining forest land. ALL our current forests have been either regenerated from cleared land (what WAS once virgin forest... a few hundred years ago) or have been logged over numerous times in the past 100-200 years. The vast majority of pine forests in the entire southeast US are plantations, as are many millions of acres in the west (not necessarily pine out west, but still planted forest).

    The point is, we have virtually no untouched natural forest in the US. All our forest products come from managed forests. The question is, are these forests managed sustainably or not. That is the only issue here in the US (aside from protection of the small amount of truly virgin forest we have left).

    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Alright already

    Jon,

    My comment about John smoking drugs wasn't to be taken literally, but to suggest that he could be more helpful by debating fairly, listening better, being a tad bit more realistic and taking into consideration that others have different interests and orientations to nature and the Earth... and that these are not necessarily bad just because he doesn't share them.

    After all the debating back and forth, John still has the nerve to make a statement like this, which he has not been able to back up with even one study:

    "Tree [or crop] to fuel or energy robs from the soil, stored carbon and nutrients, and increases GHG."

    I've asked him several times to document that sustainable forestry, even if practiced on hundreds of millions of acres, would decrease soil quality and increase GHG. He cannot do this, but he still makes the statement. No one can take that kind of debating seriously. Accordingly, the rest of his statements lose credibility.

    I know John's heart is in the right place. I can sense his passion for the Earth and his intense desire to see it cared for. I can also sense his frustration with the lack of progress so far, and I share that. But he would be more effective in bringing about change if he states facts that can be documented, debates fairly, never twists the words of others, and admits when he's said something incorrect. I'm still waiting for the latter.

    RichardOn Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: Another compromise Jon

    John,

    I'm sure there are many in positions of influence within government and business that are keenly interested in following your prescription here. I'll just bet they are already changing their business plans, stopping the chain saws, shutting down the wood pellet mills, selling their log skidders and writing off their billions in investments.

    I haven't done any drugs in a long time, but whatever you're on, I want some...

    RichardOn Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: oil for chemicals, etc.

    Jon,

    I couldn't agree more with the last paragraph of your previous post.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: It's in progress

    John,

    Comments like this are what most show your personal agenda and lack of maturity. It's all about what YOU want, because you have different interests and beliefs than many others.

    What you don't understand or appreciate is that millions of individuals prefer to live and work in an integral way with nature, whether as farmers of the land or stewards of forests. This is true around the world, and it is as valid a choice as any you might have.

    What you fail to accept is that millions of people (in fact, most people) enjoy and want all the products we get from forests.

    What you cannot accept yet is the realities of the next 10-30 years as we work our way converting from a society driven by fossil fuels to a different one. Wish as you might, compromises will need to be made.

    What you have been so far unwilling to answer is how you plan on solving the issue of how to produce the myriad of products that come from oil (not energy products, but all the others)... products that we depend on for so many basic aspects of our lives. Plastics and base chemicals stand out high on that list. Have you done the calculations to understand just how large this volume of oil-replacement product actually is? Where's it going to come from?

    You can take all the pictures of bad logging you wish and protest as loudly as you can, but it won't effect the items I've listed above one iota. You may... and hopefully will.. help move forest management towards a more sustainable form. But you won't slow down the use of forests and biomass the slightest, because it's necessary.

    I know this frustrates you. I suggest you figure out how to work through this frustration. It's bad for your blood pressure. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Biomass and electricity

    Jon,

    There's a useful chart here of all current US energy production by type:

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_use_in_the_United_Sta ...

    It's interesting that, even though the installed base of wind power is twice that of wood, biomass produces almost twice as much power as wind.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: One big correction, on forest area...

    Jon,

    First, your numbers are still off quite a bit. Total forested acreage in the US is around 750 million acres. I believe you were looking at just non-federal forest land area. So this doubles your figures.

    Then, if the intention was simply to focus on growing biomass to produce electricity, the plan would need to include dedicated energy plantations producing 10-20 tons per acre per year. With these figures, it would be possible to produce all the electrical power in the US from something like 1/4 of US acreage.

    But I can't see a good reason to focus on producing electricity from wood when we have solar, wind, hydro and other options for that. While there are specific locations now where it makes a lot of sense to create electricity from wood, these would be the exception, not the rule.

    The focus for biomass in a sustainable energy economy must be, first and foremost, to displace oil for those key items where solar, wind and hydro have no effect... like plastics, chemicals and liquid fuels... as well as provide heat and even electricity during the interim years (let's say the next 30-40 years) as other renewables get up to steam.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Jon

    The Menominee lands likely average 50-100 tons per acre of standing biomass. The annual regrowth is around 1 ton per acre.

    The concern you share regarding switchgrass is one I also share. I'd tend to want to grow forests whenever possible. But an argument can also be made for growing switchgrass in the same way we grow organic foods... even on a large scale. Why not? If we can do it organically, what's the difference if it's a food crop or any energy crop?

    I'm not aware of any more recent information on the Menominee, but there are many other well-documented (and large) sustainable forestry operations in the US. I can provide links, if this would be useful.

    The most recent studies done on cellulosic ethanol indicates a 8 to 1 energy-out to energy-in ratio. I'm not sure exactly all that this takes into account, but I believe the balance is very favorable... especially since it will soon be possible to run all the harvesting, transport and processing equipment on some variation of biodiesel.

    I'm not at all convinced that the best use of biomass is for liquid fuel. It may be better used for residential heating or even electricity in some locations... or chemicals, plastics, charcoal or many other products. These calculations are complex and depend on many issues. The more important point is that it is possible to produce large volumes of biomass on a sustainable basis to help free us from oil and coal.

    As far as the question regarding production of electricity from biomass, that issue is well documented. Burlington Electric (in Vermont) was the first municipal utility in the country to use wood to produce electricity (50 MW), starting in the late 70's. There are many other such facilities now. Wood is commonly used in Europe to produce electricity in many kinds of buildings, from apartment complexes to schools, hospitals and all kinds of businesses. I can provide more detailed data, if you wish.

    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Thank you

    Thank you, Spaceshaper, for your kind words.
    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Biomass potential as liquid fuel

    Jon,

    This is primarily in response to your question.

    I'll start off by saying that what I am laying out below is only acceptable to me if the sustainability elements are kept in play. I couldn't support a plan that went beyond this and simply saw production as the primary goal.

    Also, I'm not advocating that the best use of this biomass is to replace gasoline for vehicles. This may be so (depending on numerous variables), but it may also be that this biomass is better used for some other product.

    And third, this is just to provide some sense of potential. Whether this could be realized or not, I simply don't know.

    There are two major components to this. One is utilizing existing forests to produce biomass (to make products relative to this discussion) and the second is utilizing energy plantations.

    World oil demand... total demand for oil for all purposes... is around 1.3 trillion gallons per year.

    Existing forests in the world total 10 billion acres. Put half of it aside for now... leave it totally out of the equation. On a sustainable basis, it would be safe to say this 5 billion acres of forest is producing 1 ton of new biomass per acre per year, or about 250 gallons of various products that could be used to replace oil. Do the math and it turns out the this 1/2 of the world's forests is producing... simply as new growth without any human help, fertilizer, etc... enough biomass to replace all the worlds production of oil.

    From the perspective of dedicated energy plantations (assuming these could be grown in a fashion similar to organic food), if production could reach 20 tons per acre per year, we'd need 1/20th of the above acreage (the 5 billion acres), or 250 million acres. This amount of land is easily available throughout the world. Even if the production was dropped in half to 10 tons per acre per year, 500 million acres could be readily found to grow biomass to replace all the world's production of oil.

    Of course, we could use a combination of the above, using sustainable forestry on a portion of our forests to produce biomass, along with a sizable volume of "organically-managed" energy plantations, to replace oil.

    I hope this shows why so much money and research is chasing this concept. But again, it needs to be done sustainably to have any lasting value.

    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: energy efficiency

    Solar Greg:

    This comparison of yours... relating 2,000 gallons of ethanol per acre per year to being equal in energy output to what you can get from an acre of solar panels in 4 days... is fairly meaningless.

    For example, given the cost to install that acre of panels, you could grow dozens (or perhaps hundreds... I haven't done the math) of acres of biomass. So even on a strict dollars-to-energy basis, your comparison says little.

    More importantly, though, you can't make plastic or rayon or chemicals or any liquid fuel from that DPW systems, and this was the context of the discussion.

    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Your question, Jon.

    I'm going to get to your item a bit later. It's a good question that requires an answer. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Harvest

    John,

    You asked:
    "Are you repudiating or supporting tree farms?"

    I do not support the conversion of healthy natural forests to tree farms. For existing tree farms, I support managing them in a way that reverts them back to a more natural state. How? Answered below.

    That said, I believe it is possible to create "energy farms" of fast growing poplars, willows and other species that can be established and managed in as sustainable a manner as any organic food farm.

    You asked:
    "How do you suggest tree planting be done in cut areas?  In rows?  At random?  Leave a few large trees to reseed the forest?"

    I'm not quite sure what you're asking here, as the great majority of forest harvesting does not require any planting be done after the harvest. New growth occurs naturally. Perhaps you are referring to specific types of forests where clearcutting is normally considered the best option. I'm not that familiar with this type of situation, as I've never faced it. But I'd be comfortable with the prescription of foresters like those who are part of the Rainforest Alliance's SmartWood program (I gave a link to before).

    You asked:
    "How do you recommend that tree farms be turned back into natural forest, if this is even possible?"

    It is very possible. I've done it myself before. Just don't harvest all the trees when they reach commercial maturity. Leave enough (the percentage varies with different species) to keep an intact forest, then let other species start taking root (or introduce them when necessary). Over time, it'll revert back to a more natural state... and continue producing wood for conventional and energy purposes.

    You asked:
    "How does removing biomass and burning it for energy, either directly or for fuel conversion, return nutrients to the soil and sequester carbon?"

    Please understand that it doesn't matter what you do with the tree after you harvest it. That factor has nothing to do with the soil quality itself and the issue of carbon sequestration. Any sustainable harvest (like those done by the Menominee, for example) maintains soil quality and at a minimum, keeps the volume of biomass per acre at a stable level over time (and can easily increase this level if the management is done well).

    So if you have an acre containing 50 tons of biomass and you remove 15 tons, within 10 years or so that acre again contains 50 tons of biomass. This is why burning wood (in temperate forests.... NOT rain forests) is considered carbon neutral. The CO2 from the 15 tons of biomass that went into the air is sequestered back into the ground after the regrowth period occurs.

    You asked:
    "Why would removing biomass from forests to make liquid fuel for ICE vehicles be worth the risk, since transportation with plugin hybrids can be powered by renewable wind, solar, wave, and biogas electricity?"

    Every expert I am aware of believes it will be 15-20 years or so, at best, before we can be done with liquid fuels for transportation. And this time period includes a fairly rapid conversion to electric cars. The earlier conversion to hybrids will still require liquid fuel. You understand this, right? All the solar, wind, etc. can't make this liquid fuel.

    You said:
    "Mismanagement of forests is the rule, not the exception."

    I would tend to agree with this, but we're doing much better today than we were 15-20 years ago. Improvement is about all I can hope for. Continuing pressure from consumers and others will continue to shift the industry toward sustainable forestry.

    You asked:
    "The risk is that a rush for fuel from trees would further degrade forests.  Can any group guarantee they can stop that?"

    Guarantees?... you know better than that. All we can do is work as hard as possible to make the entire matter of energy from biomass as sustainable and efficient as possible. There are many forces at work, most beyond our control (such as geopolitical issues, hurricanes, etc.), that will effect this outcome. What I know is that it is POSSIBLE to use biomass in a very positive way, and it carries numerous advantages that solar and wind don't have.

    You asked:
    "What is left over to use for liquid fuel production after "sustainable" harvest of forests for timber, chips for building material, and paper pulp?"

    The woody material that would go to liquid fuel (or plastics or methane or natural gas or chemicals or whatever else comes from the conversion process) is often considered unsuitable for any other application. For example, in Vermont we have no pulp mill or wood panel production company anywhere in the state. So all of this material (the low-grade, over-crowded trees that are often part of an "improvement" harvest) have no market today and could go to energy.

    You asked:
    "What sort of machinery would be used to harvest trees?  Would it be the ones used now?  That guzzle diesel fuel and rip up the land and ecosystem?  Or with some of the recently developed scandanaivian technology that dioesn't tear up the ground?  Powered by renewable electricity."

    I've always used the least impactful system. That's what I support. Yes, the Scandinavian approach is quite good. I support using the smallest machines possible that are economically viable. Too many in the forest industry use machines that are not appropriate for sustainable forestry.

    You asked:
    "What is done with slash and waste under FSC guidelines?  Is it chipped up for a use that returns nutrients and carbon to the soil or burned or left in place to feed fires?"

    Under FSC rules, soil quality is vital, so residual materials must be handled in a way that assures healthy soils. The way this is done varies, depending on many factors. The issue of reducing fire damage is always factored in.

    Please understand that sustainable forestry is no different in terms of goals than organic food farming. The same mentality drives both... protect the Earth while producing products people need.

    You asked:
    "Describe the total energy and biomass balance of a "sustainably" managed forest, how much biomass can be removed for fuel production before soil nutrients and carbon are diminished by the process.  For instance, how would forest ecosystems fix nitrogen and other nutrients to offset the removal?"

    I've already answered this question by stating that these issues are always factored into every sustainable forest management plan. For example, the Menominee (and many others) do what you've asked every time they harvest. It's simply a given: maintain, or improve, soil quality. It doesn't matter whether you make a piece of furniture, a wad of paper, or you heat a room with the trees you harvest.

    You asked:
    "Would fertilizer be added?  Where would that fetilizer come from and what would be the GHG imbalance from applying it?"

    Fertilizer is never needed in a sustainably managed forest.

    You asked:
    "With plugin hybrids powered by solar and other renewable electricity, meddling in natural ecosystems is not necessary.  Why use an approach with all this risk, when this safer path would provide all the transportation energy we need in a GHG free fashion?"

    I already answered this question. There's no escaping the need for liquid fuels for at least another 15 years... not to mention replacements for all the other items we get from oil.

    You asked:
    "With all the trees killed by climate change related drought and disease, why would we need to cut live healthy trees for fiber and construction materials?"

    Because we have plenty of forests... a great abundance... and despite all the lousy forestry still being done, we have increasingly more and more trees (in North America) every day. Many people prefer homes made from wood; furniture and flooring made from wood; paper; and many of the 5,000 other products that come from wood.

    Hope that helps answer some of your questions.
    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • I agree

    Jon,

    I agree with everything in your last post.

    RichardOn Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • John and Jon

    I'm going to take the time to respond to each of the questions in your last posts later today. Obviously, it's going to take a good deal of time to do that, but I'm happy to take a stab at it.

    And John... thanks for asking questions! Now we're getting somewhere.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re; How does this

    John,

    The intent in me describing what is happening now with energy plantations and cellulosic ethanol is simply to inform people here that this is becoming real. Hundreds of millions are being invested into it, and many influential individuals (government and financial) are involved with it.

    I am NOT endorsing this. But if we don't understand what is happening and why, there's no chance of being able to do anything about it.

    Your comparison to solar is silly. What I described... or at least some variation to it... is going to happen in the next few years.

    The fact is, folks involved in this sector are basing what they are doing on being able to produce something like 2000 gallons per acre per year of an oil substitute. Unlike algae (which sounds very promising to me), this CE and energy farm technology is very close... just a couple of years away. Algae is thought to be at least 10 years away.

    Something you need to understand is that there are (again, influential) people who are considering what we would do if oil imports are greatly curtailed (for geopolitical reasons of one kind or another... like a war, perhaps) and/or if our access to domestic oil is substantially restricted (for example, because of one or more major hurricanes)... or if the price of oil simply goes sky high. Solar and wind cannot replace what we get from oil... like liquid fuels, plastics, chemicals, etc. These would be critical to US survival in the relative short term. Cellulosic ethanol is one important source to look to for these items. This is just reality, John... much as I'm not thrilled about such scenarios. On Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: In short, not a word about biomass

    Jonas,

    Thanks for this excellent post. Now let's hear folks refute these points with studies and facts, if any believe differently. If not, readers should take in what Jonas has said, because biomass is already big, will grow much bigger, and has an important role to play in the alternative, renewable energy sector.

    RichardOn Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: Good Gar

    The FSC policy regarding tree farms has always been controversial. The original thinking was that, since these farms existed before the FSC, the FSC should certify the better ones (and only the better ones) when they are making efforts to revert back to a more natural state. Other facts are taken into account as well, such as the use of pesticides, social issues (impact on local people and treatment of workers), and future plans for the forest after the primary harvest.

    The FSC will NOT support any recently-converted tree farm or any that is about to be created from natural forest.

    I have been one of those outspoken people who only supports tree farms if the intention is to convert the farm back into more natural forest by leaving a large number of trees standing after the primary harvest has taken place and allowing other native species to re-establish in that forest.

    But this gets more complicated in areas like New Zealand (which is often used as the basis for discussion on this complex topic), where they specifically grew large acreage to tree farms to stop ANY harvesting of their incredible natural forests. New Zealand had an active and significant forest products area and decided that in order to keep that afloat AND protect their natural forests, they would establish tree farms (which are actually managed quite well). They have forbidden harvesting in almost all natural forests for quite a long time. Everyone I know who has seen what they've done thinks this plan has worked quite well.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • At least you're trying

    Sorry, folks, for the mistaken spelling in my last Subject line. It's still early in the morning...On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • At least your trying

    John:

    We'll take your responses one by one. I know you tried to defend your statements, but of course, you continued to twist and distort mine in the process.

    1. Regarding the GHG study you point to... virtually all my discussions have related to the potential to use existing forests, through sustainable forestry, to produce biomass for energy. Your study said nothing about this... absolutely nothing. It refers only to plowing up existing fields to plant biofuels... something I do not support. So you are still challenged to find some study that says using biomass from sustainably managed forests is not carbon neutral. If you can't, you need to state that you were wrong about this.

    2. Your answer regarding the amount of liquid fuel that could come from woody biomass (whether from an energy plantation or a sustainably-managed forest) is incredibly wishy-washy. You just tried to slip away from answering it.

    There have been many tests by independent bodies which state what the current conversion rate is of biomass to liquid fuel. Did you bother to look into this? A common figure is 100 gallons per ton. This is a verified figure. Do you need me to point you to such a link? I think you are quite capable of finding this. You see, John... I just don't make up numbers. I state facts or I don't speak.

    3. As far as finding details on what constitutes sustainable forestry, you can go here. Smartwood is one of the FSC certifiers:

    http://www.rainforest-alliance.org/forestry.cfm?id=certif ...

    Once you've looked around, tell me if you have a problem with their overall approach and believe that the forests they certify are generally not sustainable. If you can't, please acknowledge you were mistaken in your statements.

    4. With respect to your new comment to Gar, you are talking about established tree farms. I don't believe I've ever mentioned anything about that. What I discussed (at length) refers to the vast majority of current "natural" forests, and how all of these forests originated from cleared land simply left alone to grow back into our forests of today.

    To the extent the tree farms you reference have anything to do with "professional forest management", it is a small sliver of what constitutes forestry today (well under 5%). Generally speaking, I do not support monoculture tree farms.

    Summary... so far you're striking out, John. You have failed with all three answers so far. If you can't do better, please apologize and state your mistakes. That's all it takes for us to move on.

    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Let the community judge

    John,

    Your tone is modifying somewhat, and I even hear something of an apology in there. It's weak, but I am hearing you say you'll back off on distorting what I (and others) say. Yes, stick to the facts... that would be much better.

    But you go on to say, "I'm not backing down on the facts!", as if you have stated any facts that I disagreed with? Please, tell us which facts you're not backing down on. But remember, you'll need to document these statements. Without that, they're not facts... just opinions which may have little or no credibility.

    As far as my behavior is concerned, I take pride in listening well and trying hard to understand the positions of others. But when my statements are distorted and my integrity is questioned, I can get much tougher. If you continue to treat me as you have, you'll continue to get the same response. Treat me fairly and state my positions as you hear them, and you'll find me a very civilized, courteous debater. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Yep Jon

    John,

    1. You said, "I can point to at least two studies mentioned here in Gristmill that find cellulosic ethanol increases GHG by 50% over oil". Go ahead... point to the studies. This is easy, John. Find a study that documents what you say. I can find 10 quick links on the Internet that say burning wood is carbon neutral. But you've said otherwise, so prove it... or don't say it again.

    2. Your second point is at least as weak. Hey man.. at least take responsibility for your own words! You accused ME of supporting this: "the trash and slash and destruction from professional government forest management that I see every time I'm in the woods." I NEVER said I supported that. I said I do all my forest harvesting work in conformity with the FSC... and have for 30 years. And I've sacrificed a great deal along the way to do this. So either apologize for twisting my words or prove that work done in conformity with the FSC generally creates a mess.

    3. And your third point...

    "How efficient is corn ethanol production, in terms of solar energy converted to ethanol?  How efficient would wood to liquid fuel production be in terms of solar energy converted to biodiesel or ethanol?  I assume it would be much less.  maybe I'm wrong."....

    says nothing about your original statement ("one third of our forests amounts to 1% of our liquid fuel use), except that you have no idea if what you said is true or not.

    Then you go on to say:

    "Is it possible or desirable to turn a hypothetical one third of forests into GMO tree farms, the paradigm you based your hypothetical on?  I say no.  How much fuel would that produce?  Hard to estimate."

    "Possible" and "desirable" are two TOTALLY different points. Come on, you know this! Get real. I said it was POSSIBLE. I certainly did not, AND DO NOT, think it is desirable.

    You said, "How much fuel would that produce."

    I gave firm numbers. If you believe they are way off, prove it.

    John... my statements about you remain true. But even worse, you won't even apologize when you've been taken to task for twisting my words and distorting my integrity.

    I am sure others are seeing through you as well. Your credibility is seriously in question.

    But you have a way out. It starts by apologizing, and ends by saying something like "I made statements that I can't document as being true. I'll try to be more careful in the future."On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Maybe I can clear up some of the confusion

    Jon,

    I share this same concern: "it seems clear that lumber companies will pull their normal shenanigans and mine the forest if left to their own devices." Wishing it to not happen, though (I'm not saying you're doing that), won't make it so. It'll take hard work, patient discussion, creativity and tolerance.

    With respect to the communication between John and I, it will get personal if he continues to twist my words and lie about what I say. No one should settle for their integrity being challenged. It is not acceptable and should not be tolerated on Gristmill.

    John has work to do. He's been challenged to defend statements he has made. Let's see what he comes up with.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Use the waste first

    John,

    You really don't listen well.

    1. Point out IN MY POSTS where I said we SHOULD embark on a plan to replace all oil with tree farms. You won't be able to do that, because I never said it. I said it is possible... that's all. And I was VERY CLEAR in saying that that was the ONLY point I was making. Stop playing games, John. Grow up.

    2. Point me to two experts (you get to choose them) who have documented we cannot produce cellulosic ethanol on carbon neutral basis. Until you can do this, your statements have no credibility and will dismissed as that of a child throwing a tantrum.

    3. Document that the majority of FSC certifications result in the "same old mess." Do this, or never state it again.

    4. Document that there is any truth to this statement of yours: "Will one third of the forests be turned into 1% of our fuel use sometime soon?" Forget about whether this will happen. Show me how one third of our forests amounts to 1% of our liquid fuel use.

    Until you can prove these statements, your rantings are nothing more than what I said earlier: those of a child who can't figure out how to get his way.

    I'm really tired of your lies and distortions, John. You've been challenged now. Go to work.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • It's Gristmill's loss

    I thought I'd stop back here for a moment to see if the conversation continued, only to find out it has degraded even further.

    Now I see that despite everything I have said about my background, my orientation and my work, John has taken to completely distort who I am and what I do. The fact that this site even TOLERATES this is proof Gristmill is a sham... nothing more than a hate-spewing site for immature boys to vent their frustrations because they are incapable of bringing about meaningful change in the world.

    I hope there are a few here that have at least listened to my words and understand that I am deeply passionate about protecting the world's forests. I can guarantee you my passion for trees and forests runs just as deeply as John's and Wolverine's and Whisferfish.

    The difference is, I chose years ago to get involved IN the world and figure out what I could do to change the way logging and forestry are typically done. It is a very difficult undertaking. Compromises need to be made along the way toward eventual victory. Intelligent and patient discussions are necessary with people on the other side who would prefer to simply mine the world's forests. My job is to find a way to move them toward sustainability... not distance them further. It requires a certain level of patience and tolerance.... something John and his friends have little of.

    John.... I say this man to man. You should be ashamed of yourself. If I was standing in front of you and you could feel my heart, you'd know how terribly wrong your words have been. Same for you, Wolverine and Whiskerfish. Grow up, guys.

    Until you do, your dreams for a healthier, more peaceful, world are driven further away by your lies, distortions and hate. We can't afford this any longer. The work begins INSIDE each of us first. The anger and intolerance in folks like John only fuels the outer destruction of our planet we all wish to see come to an end.

    When Gristmill puts in place a better system of moderation, this site may actually grow into something that can have a positive impact on the world. Until then, folks like myself... serious people doing serious work... will see it as little more than a playpen for immature boys and girls to throw their toys at others who wander in for a look around.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Is Gristmill just a joke?

    It's really hard to take this site seriously when so many of the regular contributors don't hear what others have to say. It's one thing to disagree... it's another to have such powerful personal agendas that the statements of others are either ignored or distorted. I always leave this site wondering why I wasted my time here.

    What I observe with these folks is what I have observed in the 30 years I've worked closely with many who take up the role of environmentalist activists. These are often folks who have done little or no personal inner work. You can always spot these people because they care more about making themselves right than working cooperatively with the diversity of people who make up our world and the diversity of opinions these others have. They have little tolerance for divergent views.

    And how could they, when they see their identity as integrally linked to their viewpoints. All the environmental activist work in the world won't help overcome this pattern. But heck, they probably have no idea what I'm talking about anyway. And even if they did, they'd just twist and distort it anyway.

    This site has so much potential, but it needs better moderation and regular contributors who can be taken seriously. Until then, I'll spend little time here... and leave with a sour taste in my mouth. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: That's a big problem

    John,

    This response of your ignores everything we've been discussing in the past few days, and actually coming to increasingly greater agreement on. Very disappointing. That's enough for me. I prefer not to engage with you again. I'm not that great a fool.On Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • "Biodiversity" and forests in the US

    One more point... again, just so we know certain facts and can discuss certain options which might not otherwise be considered...

    Vermont, for example, was 90% virgin forest before the "white man" arrived (again, let's not focus too much on fine details, because many would argue even the Native Americans disrupted forests before "we" got here). Let's say all the original biodiversity was intact at that time.

    By the turn of the 20th century, Vermont was 90% OPEN LAND. It was all cut down or burned. Same was true for dozens and dozens of other states. Original forests, all gone. Biodiversity... mostly lost.

    Today, Vermont is 90% wooded again. How? The farmers left and moved to the mid-west. The forests re-grew on their own. Did the biodiversity return? Certainly not all of it... not to mention most of the current forest land since 1900 has been logged 2,3 or 4 times (and often times with little care). And still, despite it all, today's forests here don't look all that bad.

    The point is, when we look across great expanses of forests in the US today, these forests have little to do with what was here originally. We cut them all down, and they've mostly grown back up.

    So... again, just to make a point... if we decided oil was a really bad thing and we wanted to replace it... we could convert 200 million acres of the lowest-grade forest to energy plantations for 20-30 years, until... say, all the cars were electric... then start to back off on the plantations and revert these lands back into forests again.

    It could be done... that's all I'm saying. And maybe the trade-off for eliminating oil usage entirely would be worth it.

    I'm simply throwing ideas out for consideration. I'm NOT advocating we do this.
    On Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: Well, now we know

    Just a little exercise... it's just an exercise, folks...

    The people producing hybrid energy-grade trees tell us they're heading towards yields of 20 tons per acre per year. The cellulosic ethanol people are already at 100 gallons of liquid fuel per ton. So each acre of ground can produce 2000 gallons of liquid fuel per year.

    We use 21,000,000 barrels per day total oil in the US, or around 900 million gallons per day. At 365 days, that's 330 billion gallons per year.

    Divide that by 2000 gallons means you'd need 165 million acres to replace all the oil we use in the US each year. We have around 750 million acres of forest land alone... plus another 300+ million acres of farm land... plus 100 million or so acres of marginal non-crop land.

    Plenty of land... and that's just in the US.

    Again.. this is just an exercise. Let's not argue the merits of it.On Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: Hooray For Whiskerfish!

    Wolverine,

    I hope your positions are serving you well and I wish you the best of luck in bringing about the change you desire. We clearly have different perspectives and different approaches toward creating solutions. If you see yours working, stick with it. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • How does this sit with you

    Take a look at this technology and tell me how it sits with you. This company has raised a lot of money: http://www.greatpointenergy.com/biomass.htmOn Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: Blogger loggers ...

    Sunflower,

    The point is, if there was no market (or a much poorer market) for wood, landowners would need to convert their properties into something else that earned money... like houses and strip malls. It's a simply reality of our capitalist system. It costs money to own land. Something needs to come in for income to offset that (not for everyone, but for many). Fortunately, wood is valuable as a product (along with the many other values it carries), so you never get to see how much destruction of forested land there would be otherwise.

    Also, were it not for all that wood, your home would be full of far more plastic objects and rather ugly furniture, and you'd probably be reading a newspaper made from oil (if you could afford it!).

    I could point you to dozens of sustainable forestry operations in Washington where you could see a type of commercial forestry taking place that would likely impress you. This is the only kind of forestry I support.On Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • re: Hooray For Whiskerfish!

    Wolverine,

    Here's the thing... no one, outside of a very, very small group of people... takes you seriously when you take this kind of position. People see you using all kinds of wood products and view you as a hypocrite. People who live in and near forests, and have made a living for decades harvesting and caring for forests, see you as out of touch and disrespectful of their lifestyle.

    Fact is, wood use is only increasing. Forests continue to be harvested every day. You can yell all you want from the sidelines, but it changes nothing.

    Go see the Menominee Nation's forest, then report back here what you experienced. Until then, your view will seen by most as seriously misinformed.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: And you left out

    John,

    We've just been through this at length in the previous thread I was involved with. I thought you were getting it. Guess not.

    You say, "we don't need to use live trees for motor fuel or electric power".

    This is the problem with so many in the environmental community who have become divorced from the realities of living in rural, forested areas. In fact, John, people who own forests DO need to harvest trees periodically in order to offset taxes and the general cost of owning their land (unless they are quite wealthy... in which case they don't need the money, but should still steward the forest properly).

    As it turns out, the return to the landowner these days from thinning their forests (it's called an "improvement cut") is higher if a large part of the wood is used to replace oil, as opposed to turning it into paper or something else. This is simply a reflection of how valuable wood is as an alternative energy source, and how inexpensive it is compared to oil and natural gas.

    Fact is, this process is carbon neutral, if not carbon negative. Let's not argue about this... it's a fact no expert would argue with. Wood harvested correctly regrows in a short period of time and is often replaced by an even higher level of growth.

    If forests are not maintained as productive forests (because we don't give enough value to the products these forests produce), they very commonly get converted into shopping malls and housing complexes. Is that what we want?On Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses

  • Biomass

    I don't want to get into a debate about this because I just finished a long one ("Biofuel for the flames") and don't have the time to engage in another right now. You folks can discuss it amongst yourselves. I'll just point out a couple of facts, keeping in mind that I am NOT talking about including corn ethanol in this discussion... just woody biomass:

    1. The use of biomass as energy far exceeded the use of solar and wind.... COMBINED... according to the latest government figures in 2007 (http://www.eia.doe.gov/fuelrenewable.html). Most folks just don't realize how energy self-reliant the forest products sector is, and tend to leave this out of the equation. But it's as valid a source and use of energy as any other.

    2. Since the standing volume of timber available today exceeds the volume of timber available yesterday, and last year, and the year before (this has been the trend for years), it's fair to say no significant GHG's were added to the Earth because of this biomass energy. Trees are pulling out the CO2 from the atmosphere just as fast (or faster) than any burning of them (in the US) is putting CO2 back in.

    3. All of this biomass displaced a great deal of energy which would otherwise have come from burning coal, oil or natural gas.

    The use of biomass as energy is growing fast. The potential is very large. It can be done sustainably. Leaving it out of the equation you are discussing in this thread may be convenient, but it is incorrect.On Time to stop using the phrase 'renewable energy' posted 1 year, 4 months ago 65 Responses
  • re: Definitions and hangings

    Whiskerfish,

    I'm made my points. I'll not play your game of arguing what is meant by specific phrases which have already been defined within the context of a much longer discussion. Your getting off track now and I have better things to do with my time.

    If you or anyone else has anything more of substance to add to this rather lengthy thread, I'm happy to respond. Other than that, we're done.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: FSC cont.

    Whiskerfish:

    I'll not go into each of your points individually, because you've demonstrated you can't debate a point without distorting what others say.

    That said, I've made it unquestionably clear in my last response to you that the FSC is not perfect. In fact, I was one of the loudest critics early on, demanding a higher level of independence for the FSC and its agents, as well as tougher inspections. The FSC still has some growing to do... and it does need to do that rather quickly. Time will tell if it succeeds at this. If not, something better will come along, because those in the marketplace (like yourself) will demand a higher level of quality from any certification brand which seeks to label wood products as "sustainably harvested".

    The matter of what the impact could be to forests if, and when, the use of forest biomass for energy substantially increases, is something of great concern to me. So in this respect, I share your warnings and concerns. It could get out of hand... no question about it.

    But here's the thing: there's not a lot that can be done to stop the increased use of biomass for energy, because it's available, cheap, distributed and uses known technology (not including cellulosic ethanol, which is not quite proven yet). So rather than sitting on the sidelines complaining about it, I suggest doing something NOW to avoid the worst impacts and create the best.

    I am aggressively moving ahead with my own plans to establish a biomass-based energy business I think you would be comfortable with. I'll tell you that the standards my business will use to ensure sustainable forestry will be at the upper end of what the FSC supports. And if the FSC can't get its act together to independently certify what I do... and do so with enough integrity that competitors can't slip by with significantly lower performance... I'll be devoting a good part of my time to creating a competitor to the FSC. Because your concerns are valid, and when energy use drives forest harvesting, the impacts could potentially dwarf what the FSC is currently doing with respect to standard wood products.

    We definitely don't want that evil genie to leave the bottle.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Firestorm

    John,

    I would be very interested in learning more about any advanced methods for utilizing biomass that are more energy efficient and better at addressing GHG issues. I've never been stuck on pushing one method over another. Let's go for the best possible way to produce energy and offset non-renewables through biomass utilization... as well as the tightest restrictions on forest harvesting to best assure the health of forests.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: CCC revival to revive forests

    Well, John... we WERE getting more on track together. But why do you say this when it's just silly:

    "burning it for energy is scarcely better than forest fire, from a GHG stand point."

    If you burn it for energy, you MUST factor in the oil or coal that is displaced. This means you're reducing the GHG contribution by roughly 1/2! To say this is "scarcely better" is silly.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: I'll look at the FSC standards RD

    And yes...do visit the Menominee Nation's forests. It's really quite amazing to see a fully productive, bio-diverse working forest. They demonstrate the viability of sustainable forestry every day. I encourage anyone who can visit them to see what these folks have been doing for the past 140 years or so.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: I'll look at the FSC standards RD

    John (amazingdrx),

    There's far more in this post of yours that I agree with, than disagree with. We're probably much closer on this topic than our debating might seem to show.

    I'm happy to leave it at that.. for now, anyway.

    RichardOn Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Modern fuels reduction projects

    Backcut,

    As usual, California is ahead of the curve. What you're working on sounds great.

    But the statement of yours that no one will buy the logging slash because other biomass is available for free, simply means that the powers that be in California, as well as the energy producers in that area, haven't figured out how to connect the value of that waste biomass with the energy needs of local energy users. But I can assure you it is a cheaper source of energy than oil, coal, electric, nuclear and natural gas... and sooner or later, someone will figure that out. Until then, it's a shame to see it truly wasted.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: FSC

    Whiskerfish,

    I don't think I have any misunderstanding of the FSC, as I am one of the original very small group of founders. I know exactly what it's about and the tensions within it. I should point out I have not been directly associated with the FSC for the past 7-8 years, so this does not reflect any personal ongoing connection I have with it.

    The FSC is not perfect... just as you most certainly are not. It is learning as it goes, just as you are. However, the principles of sustainable forestry underlying the FSC are the best we have in the world today, as far as trying to find a balance between protecting forests and the requirements of industry to produce large volume of product at affordable prices. This is a very difficult balance to maintain.

    One thing is certain and that is that the presence of the FSC has dramatically shifted the way forest harvesting has been done over the past 17 years toward something much more sustainable than it was. This has resulted in hundreds of millions of acres of forest being harvested in a more respectful, careful manner. This is certainly a good thing.

    With respect to the issue of certified paper, I share your concern and have spoken out strongly to the FSC about it. I hope we'll see a change in policy before long.

    To describe the FSC as a "deeply flawed organization" is unproductive and silly, and simply shows immaturity on your part. Have you done better or more than the FSC? If so, please tell us of your long list of accomplishments. I'm all ears.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Quantity versus quality

    Amazingdrx,

    Man, you are tough to get through to. For some reason, you keep ignoring the deeper sentiment I've clearly put forward... the places where we both connect and share values... and instead focus on stating my position as something I've clearly described otherwise. I give up. Think what you wish.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: I would include

    Amazingdrx,

    Your concerns about what is "sustainable forestry" and what isn't is very much a fair and important discussion. And I have no doubt too much of what is happening in Wisconsin is NOT sustainable forestry. And you should be concerned with this.

    This is exactly why the FSC was created... and created by (as I've said several times already) leading environmental groups (along with many others). We need independent bodies to certify the kind of forestry taking place. Otherwise, we have nothing to assure it is taking place... and too many in the forest products industry will revert back to "timber mining" and worse.

    It's the same as with organic food. We have independent certifiers who MUST certify any claims of "organic". I'm not buying organic food unless I KNOW it is produced organically. The claim of the manufacturer itself isn't good enough for me.

    So demand that any biomass used for energy be grown and harvested according to FSC standards. It's the only assurance we have that forests will increase in health... not decline.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: RDMiller = ducking the question; Backcut = foo

    Whiskerfish,

    You're way out of your league, so be careful. It's obvious to me you are a "know it all." You are clearly saying you know more than all the folks behind the FSC, the hundreds of thousands of landowners around the world practicing sustainable forestry for decades (and even centuries in some cases), and the dozens of mainstream environmental groups which started the FSC and support it. You really think anyone should take your positions seriously?

    As far as specific numbers are concerned, here's a starter for you.

    Start with the assumption a typical forest in the US contains 50-100 tons of standing biomass. Keep in mind EVERY ONE of these forests has either been harvested numerous times already or has regrown from open land (which was previously forest)... so we're not talking about any virgin forest and we are assuming much of the original biodiversity is gone.

    A so-called "improvement cut" should be limited to about 1/3 of the standing trees (but this is very variable, depending on the forest). If this harvest is focused on thinning out over-crowded, diseased and less desirable trees, the forest left behind will increase in productivity AND health. In other words, 10-20 years down the road there would be MORE biomass there and better quality trees. Let's leave the "word" arguments aside for now (such as whether any given tree is better or worse than another).

    If this harvest is done correctly, extra care would be taken to leave a percentage of woody material on the ground to increase soil health and improve habitat. Again, let's not argue on this point because we know, from hundreds of studies, that this can be the case. The Menominee Nation's forests are one example.

    Now do the numbers. For the sake of a discussion, let's say we do this on 400 million acres of forests... about half of the forest land in the US. That gives us the potential to sustainably harvest 8 billion tons of biomass (400 million acres x 20 tons per acre). Now we're talking about a one time harvest here. We can discuss what an ongoing level of sustainably-harvested biomass might look like over a period of 100 years in another discussion.

    The cellulosic ethanol guys are telling us we're now up to being able to produce around 100 gallons of gasoline per ton of wood. So this 8 billion tons of biomass gives us 800 billion gallons of gasoline... or something like 6 years worth of all the imported gasoline used in the US.

    It would take someone with a lot more economic skills than me to figure out the positive economic values we could realize by shutting off all oil imports (for gasoline usage) for a period of six years, PLUS plowing all this money back into rural communities and private (and public) landowners... and employing hundreds of thousands of people to carry this out... and improving forests across the US.

    This nice six year window might even give us enough time to bring electric vehicles on board, all the while dramatically reducing the CO2 impact from all the oil not used (because the biomass will all grow back).

    Now add to this the ongoing annual regrowth of biomass to sustain this program indefinitely. Then add on the huge amount of biomass we can get from dedicated energy plantations of switchgrass and hybrid poplars and willows grown on marginal lands.

    There's your picture, Whiskerfish.

    Now I am NOT saying we should use this biomass for cellulosic ethanol to replace oil. A case can be made we're better off burning lots of it for heat and/or electricity, or displacing oil-based products (like plastic) with this cellulosic ethanol. I'm simply demonstrating the potential to grow and harvest forests sustainably and produce biomass to displace oil and coal.

    Whiskerfish... if I was to bring you to a typical forest where 1/3 of the biomass was removed in a respectful, careful manner.. and then brought you back ten years later... I believe you'd be impressed with the results. I can bring you to many such forests I have harvested myself anytime you want to pay me a visit in Vermont.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Battles of the last millenium

    Backcut,

    First of all, one of the main reasons clearcuts are no longer allowed in most US Forest Service forests is because of the FSC and the work of the environmental community. I was there in the midst of that fight in the late 80's and I know this for a fact. Pressure from numerous big wood users who wanted to stop the boycotts led them to help force an end to the mess of that earlier time. But you probably know that.

    With respect to my statements about clearcutting and conversion of diverse forests to plantations, I didn't say this a big problem on public lands. But it remains a big problem on private lands, and the great majority of US forests lie in private hands.

    With respect to the issue of cutting larger trees in thinning projects, I understand very much the challenge you folks face. It has been hard to do these necessary thinning projects and make them commercially viable without adding in a few big, mature trees here and there. But it is this piece which still causes the tension, because there's too much variability in what one forester might want to include in a stand cut (in terms of how many, and which, mature trees to mark for sale) versus another forester. There's also not enough of a thorough inspection process to make sure the loggers then remove only the designated trees. Until this tension is resolved, many of these (needed) thinnings won't take place.

    The solution is to use an INDEPENDENT body, like an FSC certification agent, to oversee the harvest. This gives the environmental community the comfort it needs to support the thinnings.

    But something much more important is now taking place, and it's something most foresters just don't quite understand yet. Because of the dramatic increase in the price of energy, the value of trees which should be removed as part of a thinning has now risen DRAMATICALLY... more than enough to offset a reduction in the harvesting of mature timber while still making the harvest very profitable... more profitable than ever before. The problem is, there's still a disconnect between the value of using this wood to offset oil and coal as energy, versus the value of this wood as a conventional forest product. Until that connection is made, this wood will be greatly under-valued, leading to tension and a lack of progress on conducting the necessary thinnings. But it'll be figured out before long, and when it is, I think you'll find resolution to many of the challenges at hand.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Stick to waste

    Amazingdrx,

    I have no argument with what you are saying. Fine. Do it. But it's not nearly enough. That's the point you just don't seem to get.

    OK... "your" idea is great. Congratulations. What else can I say? It's just not enough. Do the math.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Sobering article on electric vehicle conversion

    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121640867386365903.html?m ...On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: I get the concept

    Justlou,

    Now we're getting somewhere. I think we share a common frustration regarding the huge lack of sustainability throughout the world across the board of a wide range of activities. It can certainly seem as though there's little hope in finding a solution to the increasing demands of a rising population and the lack of care so many have about how their lives impact the Earth. It is certainly questionable how much longer we can go on the path we're currently on.

    The Menominee Nation is a great example of sustainable forestry, but what they do is not common practice. It should be and it can be, but it isn't. How do we get from where we are to where we need to get to?

    There's only so much any one person can do. Environmental activism or work within an environmental business are great and worthy endeavors. But even these, in the end, are no replacement for the "consciousness raising" work we each need to do on our own. Whether or not the overall consciousness of people will rise quickly enough is the question of the day. But I believe it starts with each one of us, and I have found that too many in the environmental community prefer to preach personal agendas to others before doing their own inner work (I'm not speaking about you personally, Justlou).

    It all seems overwhelming at times. However, there is still time and there is still hope. And as long as that's the case, I'll do everything I can to create a better world. I trust each of you will do the same.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Sustainability?

    Justlou,

    I understand your concerns.

    What I suggest you do is visit a sustainably managed forest and decide for yourself once you've actually seen and felt what this means. Restrain judgment until then. I'd be happy to suggest such a forest within reach of you if you wish to visit one. They can be found throughout the US and Canada.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Why FSC?

    Backcut,

    Here are a few reasons for the FSC. This applies primarily to US forests. There are other critical issues that apply in other regions.

    1. Because despite any regulations you might think are in place by national or local governments, unrestrained clearcutting and high-grading (cutting only the biggest and best trees) still takes place everyday across forests of the U.S. Do you wish to buy wood products that came from these? I don't. Buying products with an FSC label assures you and me that proper care was applied.

    2. Because under standard timber industry guidelines, you can still take a diverse forest of hardwoods and softwoods (with all the biodiversity it contains) and clear it, completely, then replant it to a monoculture of fast-growing softwoods (often applying copious amounts of pesticides) which support a fraction of the original biodiversity. This is where most of our structural housing material comes from. But there's a different, more sustainable, approach that can give us the same building materials... albeit, perhaps with a small price premium (under 5%). I prefer the latter.

    3. Because even in California (which has strict harvesting guidelines), if we open up millions of acres of forests to thinning procedures to reduce fire damage, there aren't adequate safeguards in place to make sure a certain percentage of very mature, high-quality trees won't be removed as part of the thinning process when these trees really could (and should) be left standing. Why is this? Because like I said, different people see forests in different ways. Some want to mine it; some want to work sustainably with it. We've cut enough old growth. I want to know systems are in place to protect the remaining old growth, and the FSC helps to assure that.
    On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses
  • Apology, and more

    First, I'll apologize to Wolverine for calling him ignorant.

    After using that phrase, I reflected back on a time in my earlier days... I was around 21-22... went I was a Psychology major in college and boarding with a student majoring in Forestry. Coming from an upbringing in which I had had no exposure to logging and forestry work... and seeking to live a "least impact possible, vegetarian, spiritual seeker" lifestyle... I tended to argue with this fellow daily about the merits of cutting trees. To me, it seemed unnecessary, even brutal and barbaric.

    Of course, I was ignorant (or my thinking was ignorant... however you want to put it, Ron). I was totally disconnected from the fact that I loved (and depended on) wooden things in my life... furniture, wood flooring, wall paneling, newspapers and books, rayon clothes, cereal boxes, toothpaste, baseball bats, and many of the other 5,000 or so products that come from trees.

    I hadn't worked a day in my life in the woods. I had had no exposure to cultures that lived in intimate harmony with forests, using trees to sustain their lives while carefully managing those forests... cultures like the Swedes, Norwegians, and Germans... you know, rather intelligent people.

    As fate would have it, after graduating from college, I went out into the deep forests of Vermont to build a community of like-minded people. I wanted to build my own home (a log cabin), completely disconnected from the grid, in the middle of a forest along a beaver pond. I bought a chain saw, determined to do this on my own with a few friends... but knowing nothing about what I was doing. I cut my first tree... and completely fell in love with working in the woods.

    The next 30 years were spent learning what it means to work with forests in a sustainable manner... learning what it takes to make sure everyone else who fully enjoys the benefits of using wood in their lives can be sure that someone took the time to harvest those trees with the most respect and care they could.

    I also quickly learned that tremendous volumes of trees were being cut every day by others who were in it just for the money... who saw forests as simply a resource to be mined. I saw it could be done differently and set about to provide wood products that were harvested with care and respect.

    At a certain point, everyone gets to choose if they're going to live in a cave (which is a fair choice) or out in the world at large. If you're in the modern world, you're using wood. If you care about your impact on the environment, then you need to support those who supply wood products which reduce impact on the environment. It's that simple.

    But it's also more complex, because so many of the products we use are dependent on oil... like the plastics that make up your computer (Wolverine). I'd much rather know that this plastic came from a renewable tree harvested sustainably than from another gallon of oil. And soon I'll be able to make that choice.

    Fact is, 99% of US forests have been cut at one time or another. There are essentially no "virgin" forests left in the US. Mankind has left its mark on forests everywhere, and in many cases, the harvesting of the past was not done sustainably. We have a chance now to undo some of that damage... to help forests become more productive and more complex, while growing better soil and producing more diverse habitat. And... we can still get the benefits of having large volumes of wood products available for many kinds of important products.

    Think about all the things in your life that originate from forests... then think about all the products you use that come from non-renewable sources. Which would you prefer to support?On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Ummmm?

    The Sierra Club would tend to be opposed to any forest harvesting that did not conform to FSC (Forest Stewardship Council) guidelines (such as some of the logging taking place in National Forests), and I'd tend to be in agreement with them. Without conformity to these guidelines, there's no assurance the logging was done in a sustainable manner.

    Note that there are some large forests certified to FSC standards in Canada, though still very much the minority.

    We can get all the biomass we need for the purpose of replacing oil, natural gas and coal from forests harvested to FSC standards. I'm not saying there's anywhere near enough certified forest yet in the US, but we can get there.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Ignorant

    Wolverine,

    Thank you for showing all of us just how truly ignorant you are.

    So you, like one of your friends earlier, also disagree with the position of Sierra Club, Greenpeace, National Wildlife Federation, Friends of the Earth, WWF and most other environmental groups who not only support sustainable forestry but helped found the FSC (www.fsc.org) to promote it around the world. But that's right... I believe Earth First! never quite came on board with it. Guess your part of that wing of the environmental movement. That's OK. Like I said, ignorant. But you've got as much right being here as the next person and I'll continue to respect that. It's just few people could consider your positions as being intelligent, let alone respectful of the millions of indigenous and local peoples around the world who understand what it means to work in harmony with the Earth.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Biofuels Clearly NOT A Solution

    Wolverine,

    When cellulosic ethanol from sustainably harvested, locally-managed, forests is available in a couple of years and you get to choose between using that or using imported oil, it's unfortunate to hear you say you'll just keep burning the oil.. cause, heck... it's all the same, as you say. What a brilliant fellow you are.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Evidence?

    Ron,

    I hear your frustration with the subsidy situation. Government supports have been all over the place over the years regarding many alternative energy endeavors, as well as other non-energy ventures. I share a lot of your frustration and agree "fairness" and appropriateness don't seem to be part of the equation.

    We'll just have to see what happens.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: ecological ignorance - RDMiller & co.

    Whiskerfish,

    Not sure which mud hole you've been swimming in, but you do realize the positions and statements you have made are in direct opposition to those of every major environmental group in the world, including WWF, Sierra Club, National Wildlife Federation, Greenpeace and others. All of these support the principles and activities of the Forest Stewardship Council (www.fsc.org) and the concept of sustainable forestry (NOT the conventional timber industry... there's a huge difference). Either you disagree with those groups and the FSC or you just didn't read through my postings. Which is it? On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • CE Subsidies

    Ron,

    The issue with cellulosic ethanol right now is that there are at least 10 different approaches to producing it, and no one knows for certain which will work and which will work best. This is the primary reasons subsidies are needed. This kind of research needs to take place. Everyone will be ultimately well served by it. But it is very risky (and expensive) for investors. They won't take these risks without help from the government.

    Once one or two processes are shown to work well, I believe the subsidies should be (and will be) phased out fairly quickly.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Reality

    Here's a dose of reality about biomass as a replacement for oil, coal and gas (and even nuclear): it's here now and growing. Why? Because it's available, it's inexpensive, the technology is known, the potential is vast, it can be carbon neutral (or even negative), and when done well, serves forests and rural communities in ways no other alternative energy technology can.

    It may well turn out that cellulosic ethanol is best used as a replacement for oil in the production of virtually all the products we now get from oil... plastic, in particular. It may well turn out that ultimately, solar and wind are better sources for electricity than direct burning of biomass. And certainly, it will almost never be the case that conversion of rainforests, productive farmland, or even many grasslands over to "energy plantations" is a good thing. But we're not going to get from HERE to THERE in the short term.

    In the short term, CE will be used to offset transportation fuels, because it's better to use biomass for this than oil. When cars get converted to electric technology, this use for CE will end.

    In the short term, biomass will be directly burned to produce electricity and space heating. When solar, wind and other sources are pervasive throughout the U.S. and can produce electric power for these applications at a cheaper cost, biomass will phase out of this application and be used otherwise.

    These are realities, and if folks like Amazingdrx don't understand this, then nothing they say can be taken seriously. Short term alternatives to oil and coal are necessary. Sustainably-harvested biomass is one of those.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Keep demonstrating just how biased you are

    Amazingdrx,

    Are you not aware that Mr. Gore is part of two firms that continue to make substantial investments in cellulosic ethanol? Seems he thinks it's a good idea as well. But you fail to mention this.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Not worth the effort

    Amazingdrx,

    The only thing amazing about you is your decision to believe only what you want to believe in the face of compelling information otherwise. Your responses continue to border on the absurd. If this is what I am to expect from Gristmill, I'll not come here often. This is amateur play and it's what gives environmentalists a bad reputation. You serve no one with your responses... especially the Earth. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Ecosystems empowerment for the rural poor

    1Eco,

    Yes, that title (the footer to your post) says a lot. There are few options for rural communities with as much potential as increased use of biomass for energy. Unlike solar and wind (two technologies I fully embrace), biomass-based energy is labor intensive. Unlike coal, oil and natural gas, it is highly decentralized and available in the majority of States. It takes advantage of the kind of skills more common amongst rural people and provides jobs more akin to their lifestyles. It generates and keeps energy dollars local.

    Because of historical reasons, the biomass we can take advantage of is already standing in our forests. No need to incur any new costs to plant it; no need to wait for it to grow. The key, though, is to make sure it is harvested sustainably... meaning, remove no more than grows back in a relatively short period of time; create the least disturbance possible; maintain or enhance wildlife and soil quality; and in the case of biomass, remove the diseased, over-crowded and deformed trees. Leave the biggest and best standing.

    The volumes available are huge. The cost to extract it is low. And the technologies to use it are varied, giving us heat, electric power or (soon) a replacement for oil which can be used as a transport fuel or to create plastic and many other items typically produced from oil.

    Biomass has been competitive with oil for many years... way before solar or wind. But the technology has tended to attract a different crowd of researchers, investors and environmentalists than solar and wind. But that's changing now (though apparently not so for Amazingdrx, GreyFlcn and a few other holdouts here).

    I've been working in this sector for about 30 years. I'm happy to answer any specific questions you might have. I maintain a web site (www.thecesite.com) to track who is doing what in the cellulosic ethanol sector. The developments are fascinating and hold much promise.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Define this

    Amazingdrx,

    That is an incredibly weak response, indicating you choose to hold onto an opinion (which you can't back up with documentation) in the face of firm evidence to the contrary.

    By DEFINITION, sustainable forestry is sustainable. If you don't understand what this means, read through the hundreds of pages of background info here: http://www.fsc.org

    Put simply, if you have an acre with 50 tons of biomass on it and you harvest 10, within 10 years you have 50 tons of biomass there again (because of something called growth). In other words, no contribution of GHG's. More importantly, those who have practiced sustainable forestry know it is quite likely that you'll end up with 55 or 60 tons after ten years, because you've improved the productivity of the forest. Hence, a carbon negative scenario.

    There's no argument with this by anyone familiar with sustainable forestry... which is why there's no documentation to support your position.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: I wasn't talking about R&D subsidies, RD

    Ron,

    You seem to be arguing that it's unreasonable to pay substantial subsidies to cellulosic ethanol producers when CE is commercialized and a regular, ongoing production process. I might agree with you, but we're not there yet. Everything happening with CE today is still in the R&D phase, even when we're in the stage of demonstrating that CE is commercially viable. These subsidies are completely appropriate and necessary right now. Down the road, I might well agree with you.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: A good start

    Amazingdrx,

    Not nearly good enough. I'm not interested in your rantings. I'm interested in independent confirmation of your viewpoint.

    Prove to me, from any scientifically validated source, that using biomass as a fuel when the biomass was harvested sustainably, is a significant contributor to GHG problems.

    If you can't prove this, stop saying it.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: Just isn't so RD

    Amazingdrx,

    Stubborn as ever. Why do you continue to make silly statements that demonstrate your ignorance on specific topics you know little about? Why don't you try... just for a change... saying you're not certain and have a question?

    Show me evidence that this statement of yours is true when applied to sustainable forest harvesting practiced under the guidelines of the FSC (Forest Stewardship Council)?

    "The natural carbon cycle is interrupted when biomass, grown on land that naturally would sequester that carbon, is turned into fuel and burned."

    I mean, obviously some kind of natural cycle is interrupted, but I'm assuming you are saying that the effects of the sustainable forestry and energy production process results in a carbon positive problem. Prove this, please.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • re: It's not just costs, but opportunity costs

    Ron,

    I didn't say cellulosic ethanol is feasible today. I said we're rapidly heading in that direction. But until we get there, subsidies are needed to support research. There are countless examples of this in other areas of energy and elsewhere.

    If, instead, we internalized the true costs of burning oil and coal (even nuclear), we probably wouldn't need those subsidies. But this level of intelligence within our government and the powers that be simply doesn't exist.

    Whether farmers decide to grow switchgrass, trees or something else instead of food is yet to be seen. Any rational person would hope this doesn't happen. But that's not the point. The point is it's looking like these "crops" can be grown on millions of acres of non-farm land and be profitable. It is this that would be a significant part of the basis for the cellulosic ethanol sector.

    While your statement that there is growing demand for woody biomass as a feedstock for energy is true, this demand (today) is only the smallest fraction of supply. One could argue we haven't even dented the supply yet. Of course, it is possible, one day, demand might exceed supply. But this is so far down the road it makes no sense to discuss it now. For the foreseeable future, it is unlikely the cost of delivering energy-grade wood (whether chipped or otherwise) will increase significantly... not when supply exceeds demand by a factor of hundreds (or even thousands... I haven't done the calculation).On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Understanding biomass

    The problem for many who comment on alternative energy possibilities is that it's actually much more difficult to understand the issues behind producing (and utilizing) biomass, in contrast to solar, wind and hydro.

    There are many horror stories out there about rainforest destruction, old-growth logging, clearing forests for biofuels and such. This has created a certain justifiable wariness about utilizing wood and similar feedstocks for energy. But it says nothing about the potential to utilize biomass on a sustainable basis (something being done every day by countless companies around the world).

    As I said, though, it's harder to understand the mechanisms, costs and issues involved in biomass production than solar or wind, so too many simply grab onto any of the horror stories and use those as a basis to form a negative opinion about biomass. But this is not "truth"... it's simply becoming comfortable with ignorance and playing it safe. This serves no one.

    As someone who has spent years in the field producing biomass sustainably, I know it can be done and I know what the costs are. I know how vast the resource is and I know how much larger it can become.

    When folks have an agenda, they'll take a position on something that they have no direct experience with, rather than saying "I just don't know how to evaluate this." I encourage GreyFln, Amazingdrx and others here to consider this. On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • A few facts

    Ron,

    I can appreciate that some wariness exists because of exaggerated or unrealized claims regarding biofuels and many other hoped-for alternative energy solutions.

    I certainly can't say for certain that cellulosic ethanol will become a viable reality. No one knows for sure, though the mounting evidence is favorable. But there are a few things we do know about biomass and its potential as an energy source.

    First, there is a large volume of available biomass that can be readily accessed immediately, as is noted in the posting here: http://www.ecoworld.com/home/articles2.cfm?tid=462

    Second, ongoing developments in the area of dedicated energy plantations show us a path forward to produce very large volumes of new biomass. The question is not whether this will work (we know how to grow trees in large volumes at low cost), but rather just how high the potential tonnage per acre per year figures can go and what the cost will be of this harvested feedstock.

    Third, we know what today's prices are for delivered biomass feedstock, because millions of tons (annually) of wood chips and logs are being delivered regularly throughout the US. This material, when compared to oil, for example, can provide energy at less than 20% the cost of oil... far below solar or wind. The feedstock itself will not increase in value very much in the foreseeable future simply because the supply far exceeds demand. What this means for cellulosic ethanol pricing is not entirely clear, but it's certainly a positive sign.

    These are facts that are driving the continued high level of funding by VC's into cellulosic ethanol. Whether CE is the best end use for biomass is still uncertain. One needs to take into account not just the obvious economics, but the potential to displace imported oil and all the benefits that provides (in addition to perhaps tens of thousands of new jobs in rural communities). Add to this the potential for a carbon negative contribution and the case looks more and more compelling.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Tough to swallow

    Folks,

    Amazingdrx, GreyFlcn and a few other characters here will never budge on the issue of the viability of cellulosic ethanol to positively impact climate and energy issues... and that's OK. Because their naive positions in the face of volumes of contrary evidence will not, FOR ONE SECOND, stop the dramatic increase in the use of sustainably-produced biomass for energy.

    These folks have not demonstrated any actual experience in working with biomass. They simply have agendas to promote other renewables that, from their limited perspectives, cannot co-exist with potentially competing options. But this won't stop a thing.

    In the 2nd quarter, venture capitalists poured funds into cellulosic ethanol development at a rate faster than was put into Internet tech or genetic research companies (http://www.altassets.com/news/arc/2008/nz13769.php).

    New CE facilities are being built at an increasingly faster pace to demonstrate both advancements in the technology, as well as commercial viability (http://www.thecesite.com).

    Results on the viability of growing switchgrass continue to be more favorable (http://scienceblogs.com/energy/2008/07/life_as_we_know_it ...).

    Articles describing the potential of CE in the US show clearly how big a contributor CE can be (http://www.ecoworld.com/home/articles2.cfm?tid=462).

    This train won't be stopped. And that's a good thing, because anyone who has ever worked in the sustainable forestry and farming sectors knows the potential for growing and using biomass in harmony with the Earth.On Are biofuels a core solution? posted 1 year, 4 months ago 201 Responses

  • Done, for now

    Sometimes bullies need to be stood up to. There's far too much bullying on this site to have a productive debate.

    I really am too busy to continue this round. I've made my point. A few don't wish to hear it, preferring instead to continue arguing just to be right. I hope some of what I said had some value to others.

    To you bullies... and you know who you are... you've just got to learn how to leave your agenda behind and debate simply on fact and merit. Darn... there's that word agenda again. What the heck does that mean?On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • re: Dead Thread

    amazingdrx... this is exactly how folks respond when they have an agenda which has nothing to do with the statements others are making or the facts at hand. They simply ignore details and questions presented to them, instead focusing on gibberish and grandiose conclusions about issues they just barely know something about.

    I have stayed with this game long enough. If and when you are your friends are ready to debate about facts, and answer questions with respect to the detail and specifics of the question, we may be able to engage again.

    Until then, you should do yourself a favor and stop making your voice irrelevant. I really do believe you have something valuable to contribute, but your way of going about it is not working for you or your friends.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • You really don't listen well!

    Spaceshaper,

    I'm getting very tired of this. It's like talking to someone wearing earplugs. You MUST improve your ability to listen to what someone else says and writes. You will not be taken seriously otherwise.

    Your statement #1: The evidence you ask for is in the recent Science study. I trust the results of that study far more than I trust your opinion. The study is clear: growing certain kinds of crops, like switchgrass, on abandoned farmland CAN BE DONE without any negative effect on carbon sequestration. Stop arguing with this! You are sounding foolish.

    The Study doesn't say it will be done sustainably.... just that it is quite possible.

    Your statement #2: I SPECIFICALLY stated that I could only support use of forests for cellulosic ethanol IF IT IS SUPPORTED BY THE ENVIRONMENTAL COMMUNITY and done sustainably. That you question whether this can happen is, for all practical purposes, a useless statement. If you can't help demonstrate whether this is possible one way or another, then please just be quiet until those of us who believe it can be done work to demonstrate it. If it can't be done, so be it. I won't support  it then.

    3. Your statement #3: The fact that there is government funding for the development of cellulosic ethanol fits right in line with the billions of dollars of government funding over the years for solar, wind, electric vehicles and on and on. Why do you make such silly statements? Of course it could turn into a disaster if done poorly or if it turns out to be not viable. But many people with good intentions, skills and intelligence believe otherwise. Your negative attitude is based on your agenda. Please, prove to me that this endeavor can't be done well.

    #4: This statement of yours, "preliminary research seems to show fairly conclusively that biomass-for-cellulosic-ethanol is really unlikely to be able to be done well or sustainably" speaks so clearly of your agenda again. Go ahead... prove your statement. Show the research that supports this statement.

    Stop already. You are burying yourself and making your voice meaningless.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • One last try

    biodiversivist, amazingdrx, justlou, etc...

    First, to RBColeman... thanks for your words. As near as I can tell, these are a bunch of kids whose hearts are well meaning and have a fire burning within. I understand that and actually appreciate it. In time, they'll learn how to debate respectfully, and in particular, really listen openly to others and consider budging from their stated positions when the facts so dictate. But you're right.. it is probably a waste of my time to hope this might occur now.

    Let's make clear a few issues about my stated position. Don't mix my positions with others. LISTEN to what I say and then respond ONLY to what I say.

    1. I do NOT support land use change, unless that change applies to abandoned farm land, involves planting that does not require excessive fertilizer (preferably none or only organic fertilizer) and water inputs, and grows something that is highly sustainable. The determination of whether this process is sustainable or not MUST be done by a group which has widespread support from major environmental groups (NRDC, Sierra Club, NWF, Greenpeace, etc.)

    2. Sustainable forestry (at least as it is defined by the FSC) IS endorsed by every one of those above groups. Why? Because we know it is sustainable... meaning, the forest continues to grow as well OR BETTER after the harvesting takes place. We know this from studying forests that have been managed this way over the past 100-200 years. Carbon in the ground increases... biodiversity increases... people have jobs they love... rural communities benefit.

    3. Cellulosic ethanol is coming. There are at least 100 companies working intensely on the subject, with billions of dollars invested. The science has been reviewed by established, reputable firms and they tell us it will work. Some very smart people are investing a lot of money into this, and their record of investing is very good. BUT, they need to do it right, and many people (like myself) will be watching carefully to see that they do. If they start to depend on poorly-chosen feedstocks or use production processes that are questionable, their investments will be at risk and many will speak out.

    4. It is a fact that it is POSSIBLE to harvest biomass sustainably and turn it into energy. This could be done well and contribute in a large and positive manner to the energy issue, or it can be done poorly. We need to steer it in a positive direction. But arguing that it is inherently a bad idea is silly. If you continue to do this, it indicates you have an agenda... meaning, you're not willing to discuss facts; you're not willing to change your position; and you don't know how to find acceptable compromise with other human beings in a world that demands this.
    On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses
  • re: Ya know, Richard,

    The "agenda" I speak of, first and foremost, is that you have to be right. You seem willing to do whatever it takes in a post to prove you are right.

    Having been deeply involved in the environmental movement for 30 years, I've seen this agenda many times before. It makes it difficult, if not impossible, to discuss issues on merit and fact.

    Think President Bush. Why do you think he does what he does in the face of so many facts to the contrary? It's called a personal agenda.

    If you could see beyond your agenda, you would see that your words against folks like me are degrading and dismissive.

    It's not my nature to be offensive. But I will defend myself when the need arises.

    Tone down your responses, listen to what others are saying (not agree... just really listen), and leave open the space to be wrong.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • re: Forest thinnings

    Thanks, spaceshaper, for some good questions.

    Here's what I know from some 25 years working on sustainable forestry issues.

    1. A very large portion of our forests are in poor health due to poor harvesting practices over the past 100 years (primarily, high-grading and conversion of natural forests to monocultures). This doesn't mean there isn't a great deal of biomass there... it just means these forests are not nearly as healthy as they could be. We need markets for low-grade trees in order to reverse the cycle of "removing the best and leaving the rest." Whether that market is for cellulosic ethanol, direct combustion to produce electricity, paper, building products, firewood, pellets... those answer are not clear. Many factors will determine this outcome. In the end, some bad choices will be made, as well as many good ones. But if cellulosic ethanol technology can produce inexpensive, renewable liquid fuel, and should there be a good reason to use this product over others, it'll come about. I don't know the answer to this yet, and I doubt anyone else does for certain as of yet.

    2. A lot of abandoned farmland could be turned back into productive forests which could be managed sustainably to produce a wide range of products, as well as rich biodiversity and other non-economic values.

    3. If the extraction of woody biomass from intact forests is left to the conventional forest products industry, without adequate market controls, we could be facing a disaster. I am very concerned about this. But it doesn't have to go this way. I know there are quite a few groups working to make sure this doesn't happen. I'm involved in that effort as well. Let's hope and work toward success... and stay vigilant for anything else.
    On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses
  • re: where the 200 million acres reside

    Ron,

    Let me be clear... my personal interests lie with forests. I'm not promoting switchgrass or any similar energy crop. I've simply been responding to incorrect statements here and trying to explain what I have come to understand as the arguments by those in the biofuels sector.

    I have read the 200 million acre figure in several places, but I don't know the details of it. It may be high... it may be low. But you can be sure folks in the biofuel area are focused on using some of it. They may use it responsibly... they may not. Time will tell.

    My interests lie in the 400 million forested acres you stated and the "conversion" of former forested land back to forests. On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • re: with gay abandon

    Thanks for this more reasonable post.

    I don't know the actual breakdown in terms of the current state of abandoned farmland in this country, but I'm sure a meaningful percentage of it is already reverting to forest and other original habitats. On these lands, it seems to me, we'd need to be quite careful in how they are approached as potential feedstock sources. However, this certainly does not mean they can't be used to support the biofuel sector... it simply means (at least for forests) that they need to be managed sustainably.

    I was recently invited to view a research forest plot in Vermont that was being sustainably harvested (by the University of Vermont) to measure impacts and yields. This forest was probably 30 years old. It had 65 tons of forested biomass per acre. They were removing 20 tons (mostly to alleviate over-crowding) specifically to be used as feedstock for energy. This is what a sustainable harvest looks like.

    If you ever get a chance to visit the Menominee tribal forests in Wisconsin, you can see the effects of 150 years of sustainable forestry on 220,000 acres. I can only say that this forest is incredible in terms of health and productivity. Managing U.S. forests like this to produce forest products and energy would be a blessing (with, of course, leaving aside a significant percentage of our forests in a completely untouched state).

    In terms of abandoned farmlands reverting back to native grasses and other non-forest habitat, the call to use those lands to grow switchgrass or other energy crops would need to be made on a case by case basis.... and always designed to minimize carbon storage losses. But I'd agree with you that in some cases, they would be better left in the state they are currently in.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • Same old stuff

    GreyFlcn,

    I could see why you like that particular article, as it uses the same deceitful tactics as you and your friends use. Namely, it incorrectly uses the phrase "croplands AND OTHER CARBON-ABSORBING LANDS". The latter could, of course, be anything, from prairie lands to intact forests. This is NOT what the Science study speaks to. It is specific in stating that there is not a problem using switchgrass on abandoned farmland. How could there be. Those lands have already largely lost their carbon sinking ability.

    Again, when you are your friends twist words, it indicates you have an agenda that requires you to displace facts and replace them with personal gibberish to force your point.

    Let's stick to facts.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • Your agenda blinds you

    This last post of yours, amazingdrx, was so blatantly over the top that I just had to respond. Maybe with this post you'll begin to see how your agenda blinds you.

    I was VERY SPECIFIC... as was the Science study... in specifying that my point was relative to abandoned cropland only. What you did was to twist that into "prairie lands". There's no question that taking native prairie lands and converting those to any biofuel is not sustainable... at least with the current systems being discussed. But I was VERY SPECIFIC in NOT talking about that. Yet you twisted it around to say something different, because you have an agenda. This is how agenda's work. They twist what someone else is saying so that the speaker can feel "right".

    If, in fact, you are stating that taking abandoned farmland and planting switchgrass must, by its nature, be a problem, then you are directly contradicting the results of the Science study. I am quite sure you have no evidence to support that conclusion.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • Keep on fooling yourself

    The difference between what I posted and what you posted is that my response was simply focused on quoting from facts presented in the Science study. Namely, that it is quite possible to grow switchgrass without a negative impact on CO2 levels, and it is possible to sustainably manage forests to produce feedstock for ethanol production.

    What you posted was your agenda and a lot of unsubstantiated gibberish. If you want to document your statements with independent studies and facts (not links to statements from your colleagues who hold similar views), please do so. Otherwise, know there are few people (who are in positions to effect what actually happens) who take your statements seriously.

    I could go through your statements one by one and point to spin, agenda, and twisted logic, but it's simply not worth my time.

    My goal here was simply to clarify a few facts regarding the initial post and a few follow ups to that. This done, I'll now move on.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • "Biofuels bombshell" lacks credibiliy

    I don't post here often because I find there's an underlying agenda from folks like amazingdrx, justlou, diodiversivist and others that undercuts the credibility of much of what they write. Clearly, their hearts are in the right place, but their agenda causes them to change or leave it critical facts. An example is this "biofuels bombshell" blog.

    A few critical facts have been left out from the discussion of this Science study.

    1. Switchgrass and other potential feedstock sources for cellulosic ethanol can be planted without negative impact on abandoned farmland (of which there is something like 200 million acres in the U.S.). The problem discussed in the study comes from converting native grasslands or forests to switchgrass... NOT from planting on land which was previously used as farmland. When people leave out important facts like this, all credibility is lost.

    2. There is no discussion in the report about using wood harvested sustainably from forests as a feedstock for cellulosic ethanol... clearly, because this is not a problem.

    These two facts are more than adequate to support a large, successful and sustainable biofuel industry.

    On the other hand, I think the issues raised by this study are vitally important and need to be headed. Clearing forests to produce biofuels; converting savannah and native grasslands; even converting abandoned farmland to corn ethanol, are all problematic and should not be utilized.

    Let's try to keep the facts straight.

    Coskata and other companies are on track to produce cellulosic ethanol at $1.00 per gallon. While questions remain, this could well turn into an important component of the renewable energy mix of the future.On Researchers find corn ethanol, switchgrass could worsen global warming posted 1 year, 9 months ago 111 Responses

  • re: Vermont

    Thank you for convincing me to stop wasting my time on sites like this. When important discussions get overtaken by children with agendas, they lose all value.

    I have more important things to do with my time. Like continuing to focus my efforts in tangible, grounded ways to make sure the Earth and humanity remain viable for people like yourself.On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • re: One flaw RD

    When you say things like, "any amount of biomass, not returned to the soil, burning tress rather than letting them compost into the soil, for instance, is unsustainable", you simply lose all credibility. There's just no truth in this statement. It's pure fiction and silly. The fact is, if you remove a "typical" tree from a forest in the U.S. and a new one grows in its place, there's no significant impact on climate change. This is less true if the tree is hundreds of years old, and it's not true if one was removed from a rainforest. But we're not talking about that. We're talking about using lower-quality trees, trees from overstocked forests, diseased trees and others which can be sustainably harvested. This would be some of the feedstock for fueling a CE market, and removing these can be done sustainably and need not contribute to climate change. In fact, some researchers believe that a process like this could actually create a net increase in CO2 sequestration in the ground through increased forest growth. The verdict is just not in on this yet.

    When you talk about putting solar panels on farm building and wind machines on the fields, I have to assume you live in a city. In my neck of the woods (northern Vermont), almost every wind project proposed in the state has been turned down. Why? No one wants to look at the things off in the distance... let alone up close on a farmer's field! And solar panels? Well, some day the economics of this will make sense, but not today. That is a simple fact.

    More importantly, all the wind machines and solar panels placed into production today would have virtually no significant impact on the transportation sector... not for at least 15 years (some say more like 20-50 years). You simply can't ignore the existing infrastructure and transportation system we now have and wish it away. It just doesn't work like that.

    It's time for folks like you to get real. I don't like what exists today any more than you do. But I can't ignore it. On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • re: Ethanol and rural sustainability

    OK... I'll try again. Let's first get rid of the "low labor intensity" argument. You would be hard pressed to suggest any other method of energy production which is higher in labor intensity than producing biomass for energy (regardless of whether it's for CE or direct burning). Wind, solar, geothermal, nuclear, oil... take your pick. Producing biomass is the most labor intensive on an ongoing basis, probably by a factor of 10:1, if not 50:1.

    As far as the "high resource requirement" argument goes, by definition, "sustainable" production of biomass governs the amount of material that can be extracted so that we never cross the "too high" limit. At the same time, if you do the calculations, you quickly discover that the amount of biomass potentially available from most forested rural areas is more than enough to produce all the energy required for that locale, with plenty more available for export to more populated areas... all on a sustainable basis (meaning, you can do this indefinitely; you never use timber better suited for other applications; and you leave enough forest untouched for other uses... wildlife, biodiversity, etc.). These are simple calculations which others have studied in depth. And this doesn't take into account the potential for sizable increases in the amount of biomass currently growing in these areas as a result of better forest management. But again, the caution here is that it must be done sustainably. If it's done using all-too-conventional forest management practices or, worse yet, NO management, the effects could be disastrous.

    Your statement that "biomass fuels are, generally speaking, mechanisms for turning soil nutrients into atmospheric contaminants" is simply not supported by facts... unless you are talking about using firewood in a home wood stove (which is still a source of excessive pollution). Studies of existing commercial-sized biomass-to-energy facilities (and there are quite a few) clearly show no serious pollution problems. That issue was solved years ago. Perhaps you are talking about the release of CO2 from burning the biomass? That issue is also not seen as a major concern, as the regrowth of new biomass in those recently-harvested forests (and hence, sequestration of CO2) balances out this problem. I know you're not talking about potential releases from CE facilities, because no one could answer that yet.

    Of course, I'm not expecting to "convert" your thinking or anyone else here. I'm simply trying to offer some detailed and fact-based information to address claims I've seen on this blog which seem to be more "agenda based" in nature or simply uninformed or incomplete.On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • re: Banning biofuels would be simplistic

    There are so many problems with this post that it's hard to know where to start.

    You make the argument that if supplies were curtailed from the Middle East, we'd simply be able to buy our oil elsewhere, as supply availability shifted. This is a seriously flawed and simplistic argument. Yes, oil at some price might be available elsewhere... though there are certainly no guarantees of that. But the bigger problem is that the shock of the shutdown of Middle Eastern oil would drive the price of oil so high that our economy would be seriously threatened. THIS is the concern... pricing... not just availability.

    Next, you seem to be implying that converting the entire infrastructure of service stations over to something other than liquid fuel shouldn't be too difficult or expensive. You're saying that the argument that corn-based ethanol is helping to "prime the pump" for cellulosic ethanol is flawed. I'd like you to document why you think it would be fairly easy to convert the existing infrastructure from liquid fuel to some other type of transportation system. I can't seem to find that evidence anywhere.

    You then go on to infer that a substantial part of the argument for the existence of our current corn ethanol refineries is so they can be used to produce cellulosic ethanol when the time comes. Are you serious? I know of no expert who has put this forth. It would make no logistical, economic or technical sense and would not be viable.

    Next, you say that a free market would not, by its nature, need millions (or billions) of dollars of investment from the government into the development of new technology. What? Have you ever heard of the Internet? Or perhaps space travel? How about genetic research? I'm guessing there might be another... I don't know... few hundred instances in which government funding was the catalyst for new and useful technologies that, following a very risky development period, were taken over by the free market.

    Finally, you argue that there's a real possibility what will actually happen is that we'll turn our attention to importing ethanol from sugarcane-based producers in Latin America... leading, in turn, to destruction of the rainforests. Therefore, cellulosic ethanol, according to you, could all be just a scam.

    How do you come up with this stuff? On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • re: Ethanol and rural sustainability

    Spaceshaper,

    Let me be clear that I am quite concerned with the possibility that the production of biomass for cellulosic ethanol COULD become a problem for many rural communities. My point is simply that it doesn't have to... and, it could turn out to be very positive. It depends on a number of factors.

    1. First and foremost, how is the production done? Is it done in a truly sustainable manner (for example with wood, is it done under Forest Stewardship Council guidelines) or more in line with "standard" forest industry practices (excessive cutting, conversion of diverse natural forests to monotypes, etc.)? If it's not done sustainably, it could become a serious problem. If it is done sustainably, the potential ongoing yield from CURRENT forests in most forested regions of the U.S. is large enough to support a very significant CE marketplace... enough to dramatically and positively impact all of these communities, and beyond. Let's keep in mind that most of our forests in these rural areas are still privately owned, so the decision as to what happens on this land will be in the hands of millions of private landowners.

    Add to this the potential for dedicated "energy farms", whether they be farmed with trees, switchgrass or other woody crops appropriate to each locale. This can also be done sustainably (let's call it organically) on abandoned or otherwise underused land. Again, the potential contribution of liquid fuel from these lands could be very large... more than enough to supply the liquid fuel needs of every one of these local communities... and then some.

    Let me stress again, though, that we still need to see if cellulosic ethanol technology works AND becomes the most intelligent way to use this biomass. There's a good possibility the answer will be "yes", but if not, this biomass should, and will, go into other forms of energy production.

    2. There is the distinct possibility oil prices will go out of control over the next 5-20 years, whether due to geopolitical crises, weather problems (causing a shut down of refineries) or some other unforeseen factors. What do you think might be the response of our government to this problem? I believe this concern is perhaps the primary reason why there is so much government focus on accelerating the development of CE technology. Many see CE as the only viable, relatively short-term, substitute liquid fuel for gas. Yes, we all know that other forms of transportation are possible (hybrids, electric, etc.), and in many cases, perhaps preferable, but none of these could quickly become a substitute for the millions of liquid fueled vehicles that make up our transportation sector today. There is the distinct possibility CE and other biomass-to-liquid-fuel technology (for example, biodiesel) will need to be ramped up very quickly. With this comes the real possibility that much of the production may be done in a less-than-sustainable manner. It's hard to say what can be done in a situation like this to encourage sustainability... when the very viability of our economy is at serious risk. What is chosen then... sustainability or economic survival? I hope we never have to make that choice.On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • re: From Fisk to Flame!

    I am not an expert on cellulosic ethanol production, but I do know many different approaches are being tried, including some that do not use hydrolysis. In fact, there are so many different approaches being researched, that I felt the need to keep track of what all these companies are doing. You can find this information at my web site: www.theCEsite.com. (I'm not selling anything there... just keeping track of who's doing what.)

    My sense is that there's a lot at stake here with CE and a lot of people watching carefully from the sidelines. I think the likelihood of a company succeeding with misguided or inappropriate technology is far less likely than in the past. But that doesn't mean it won't happen, and I'm probably just as concerned about this as you are. It's good to ask these kinds of questions and keep a close eye on developments in this sector. I believe it holds tremendous promise, but it could also go very wrong if short-sighted technology is used or unsustainable harvesting methods (regardless of the feedstock).

    It's simply far too early to make any educated statements about the ultimate value of cellulosic ethanol in solving energy and climate change problems. But educated and fair questions... those are great.On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • It's that agenda again...

    I'm sure you really want to help solve global warming and energy problems. No doubt your heart is in it. It's too bad some sort of personal agenda makes it difficult for you to fairly consider new and different viewpoints.

    Do you really know all the ways cellulosic ethanol will be produced? Are you sure they all involve coal? Are you certain the transport of the biomass would use oil?

    Let's see now. The facility would produce an oil substitute, but will need to rely on oil to move the feedstock. That makes sense.

    You might want to consider cutting out the coffee breaks.On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • re: Burning Money

    Once again, another person responding with their own agenda...one which pays little attention to what others have written. It's really impossible to have effective dialogue like this.

    Please do a little research into the meaning of sustainable forestry as defined by the Forest Stewardship Council (www.fsc.org) which was founded, in part, by most of the major environmental groups. If you do, you would understand that it is pointless for you to talk about "rapid deforestation" in response to a post that is discussing the role of sustainable forestry in the production of biomass-based energy.

    Also, as has been pointed out before, you simply can't lump corn-based ethanol production and cellulosic ethanol together in the same breath. To say "ethanol in cars does not make economic thermal dynamic sense" is simply an incomplete, if not useless, statement. While it may be true corn ethanol has a questionable energy balance, the balance for cellulosic ethanol is expected to be far different... perhaps by a factor of 10 times or more. Yes, it's true that much of this is still speculative, but it is founded on good research. We'll know for certain in a couple of years if the work being done now yields the hoped for results. If it does, cellulosic ethanol could make a lot of sense. If it doesn't, so be it. In that case, there are numerous other options for effective, sustainable use of biomass as an energy source. The point is, sustainable forestry and wood for energy are part of the solution in addressing the issues of energy, climate change and the health of rural communities.On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • Pay Attention, Please

    It's difficult to engage in meaningful conversation here if those who post in response to others simply insert their own agendas and pay no attention to what has been written.

    You wrote this:

    Most obviously, commodity silviculture for whatever purpose has high energy, land and capital demands and very low labor intensity - vast acreages, big machines, few people working them. These are exactly the conditions that have been a major driver of rural depopulation.

    Do you not understand the definition of sustainable forestry as defined by the FSC (Forest Stewardship Council)? If not... as is obviously the case...please educate yourself before responding. Had you understood something on this subject, you would know that sustainable forestry is the EXACT OPPOSITE of what you described in your post. As you stated.... and as I stated...commodity silviculture HAS been the problem. What I said we need is the opposite of this... a change to sustainable forestry practices which focuses first and foremost on biodiversity and the health of rural communities.

    Please get informed about subjects at hand before responding and calling other people's comments ludicrous. On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses

  • Sad Commentary

    At some point, you'll begin to realize that posts like yours are actually the worst kind of "pollution" on this planet. You have personal work to do. You do not serve the Earth through vicious attacks like your post against Mr. Khosla.

    You call yourself a champion of biodiversity? Start in your own back yard. Do you know that some 97% of our original US forests are gone... those which had the most biodiversity? The loss is perhaps most striking in your neck of the woods. What's your plan to recover some of this loss? You think it's responsible to simply leave the mess behind without making an effort to repair it?

    There are some of us who have been working hard on this front for a long time, while waiting for a market like that of cellulosic ethanol to become realized. Why? Because to undo the mess in our forests, we need a market for the millions of tons of low-quality, diseased and over-crowded trees which saturate too many forests today as a direct result of poor forest management from the past. We need markets to support the undoing of decades of "scientific" forest management which has left too many forests seriously lacking in biodiversity, looking more like wooded corn fields than diverse natural forests.  

    It doesn't matter much to me whether these markets take the form of cellulosic ethanol, biomass-to-cogeneration plants or some other technology. The important thing is that SOME markets show up quickly so we can get this work underway.

    No one knows for sure how things will unfold on this planet over the next 10-20 years. However, I can imagine a number of scenarios in which a direct replacement for oil and gas here in the U.S. could be vitally important. It's a serious stretch to imagine much of the current liquid fuels sector being replaced with some other technology during this time frame. Bottom line: we need a renewable, indigenous replacement for liquid fuels ASAP, and cellulosic ethanol has perhaps the best chance of being that. For those who don't yet know, corn ethanol and cellulosic ethanol are two very different creatures. The latter has few of the major disadvantages of the former, though this potential is certainly not firm or realized yet.

    Beyond the issue of energy and climate change, however, there is a perhaps equally compelling reason why we need to pay more attention to the benefits of using biomass to solve some of these problems... and it's a reason that cannot be addressed through solutions like wind, solar and electric vehicles. I speak of the health of rural communities.

    Our rural communities are dying as jobs continue to flee to cities here and abroad. What can change this? The single greatest option for dramatic revival of these communities stems from increased SUSTAINABLE use of their natural resources... this being forests in many parts of the country, but also numerous other types of plants which already grow, or could be grown, throughout the U.S. to support a biomass energy marketplace. This resource is sorely underutilized now because markets don't yet exist for much of this material (yes, there are obviously markets for wood, but I'm speaking of markets for the lowest-quality wood... the trees which have tended to be left behind while we have removed the better quality ones over the past 100+ years or so). Instead, we import oil into countless rural communities, while we watch these towns slowly die out, all the while sitting on an oil replacement right in their own back yards.

    Yes, an approach like this would need to be handled sustainably, but mechanisms for this already exist (for example, the Forest Stewardship Council's forest certification system). Tens of thousands of new jobs could be created across rural America through more effective use of this vital natural resource.

    Mr. Khosla may well see a bigger picture than you give him credit for. I suggest you rethink your commitment to biodiversity and pay more attention to solving the problems in your own back yard. Electric vehicles (while a great part of the overall climate change and energy problem) just won't undo the mess in our forests...nor save countless rural communities from extinction. On Keeping power broker's hands out of the cookie jar posted 1 year, 11 months ago 57 Responses