Comments Peter Donovan has made

  • Soil is somewhat renewable

    Good points Tom. As Rattan Lal has pointed out recently, there is little use in spending millions developing seeds and varieties where there is no soil left to grow them. Few of our major philanthropic organizations, and no big economic sectors, are interested in soil.

    However, "Peak soil" is not a very good analogy to peak oil. The rate of oil formation is quite slow. In some cases, soil can be built rapidly, particularly the organic matter component. At Twitchell Island in California, the USGS has built two feet that you can stand on in 10 years, in a managed wetland. This is mainly carbon captured from the atmosphere by photosynthesis.

    Also, good soils capture and store water, zillions of acre feet of it. There's about as much water on the planet now as ever. It's not leaking off into space or into the center of the earth. The problem with water is typically a problem of soil, which when degraded cannot capture and hold water very well. It's not levees that protect against floods, it's the infiltration rate and runoff rate of the soil surface. We typically blame falling water tables on excess pumping, instead of the excess evaporation and lack of recharge provided by degraded soils.

    Over the last 50 years some strands of alternative agriculture have demonstrated how one can use atmospheric carbon and solar energy to build, rapidly, the water-holding soils that can feed people well.

    soilcarboncoalition.org

    On Is there anything that isn't peaking? posted 9 months, 4 weeks ago 8 Responses
  • carbon cycle

    Most of the thinking and writing on these issues deals with small slivers of the carbon cycle. Only about 3% of the annual global flux of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere is from fossil fuel burning, for example. See http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Library/CarbonCycle/carb ...

    Though ruminant livestock do emit methane, the methane concentration in the atmosphere has quit growing, in spite of livestock numbers increasing 17 million annually according to FAO. See
    http://www-naweb.iaea.org/nafa/aph/stories/2008-atmospher ...

    Who killed the climate? Was it Colonel Mustard in the dining room with the hamburger? Or was it Dr. Fossil in the driveway with the exhaust pipe?

    None of the above. We need to understand the carbon cycle.

    According to the IPCC, complete reduction of "carbon dioxide emissions" (they mean the anthropogenic part) will not get us below 350 ppm for many generations. See
    http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/FAQ/wg1_faq-10.3.html

    And yet this is what many are advocating.

    In order to have a reasonable chance for climate security, we need to understand the carbon cycle. The 96% or so that is not considered anthropogenic by the IPCC (though much of it is) is the key to the opportunity. The biggest carbon sink over which we have control is the soil, bigger than atmosphere and vegetation combined, and holds carbon for much longer on average. The soil carbon pool can be rapidly enhanced with regenerative agricultural practices, which include managed grazing.

    Though no-till grain farming is less destructive to soil carbon than tillage, and can build some soil organic matter (which is 50-59% carbon), a continuous cover of perennial grasses will usually build more soil carbon.

    As Michael Pollan stresses in Omnivore's Dilemma, before we answer the question what should we eat, we need to answer the questions, what are we eating, and where does it come from? In terms of its impact on the carbon cycle, grassfed beef is a generally superior choice to rice. Instead of higher or lower on the food chain, consider the impact on soil organic matter.
    On Roni Neff explains how the media miss the story on food's connection to climate change posted 1 year, 1 month ago 5 Responses

  • edges

    Do your best mowing around the edges. That is what your neighbors will see the easiest. If it's neatly mowed around the edges, and sort of gradually builds up toward the middle, it still will look pretty good.

    The electric portable netting made by Premier Fence Co. and Kenlove will contain sheep and goats nicely, it's easy to move, and offers a pretty good defense against neighborhood dogs if you connect it to a good energizer.

    soilcarboncoalition.org

    On My yard, a source of shame posted 1 year, 5 months ago 18 Responses
  • N cycle

    Good post Tom. N will increase as an issue because there is a short-term payoff in terms of reduced greenhouse warming to controlling N2O releases (unlike CO2 where the greenhouse payoff of controlling emissions is likely beyond generational or political timescales).

    soilcarboncoalition.org

    On 'Science': nitrogen as important as carbon in climate change posted 1 year, 6 months ago 12 Responses
  • cutting co2 emissions won't do it

    Maywa, some good points, but as the fourth assessment FAQ section 10.3 of IPCC states, even 100% reductions in co2 emissions in 2007 will only reduce atmospheric ppm by about 40 ppm by the year 2100. That means that 100% reductions will maintain what James Hansen calls dangerous levels not just for a few years, but for generations!

    Cutting emissions will help with energy independence, and that's a big deal. But expecting it to solve climate change by itself is a gallant cavalry charge into the barbed wire.

    Enhancing the biological carbon cycle will be more effective, and help with the food crisis as well. This will require a transformation of agriculture, but the models are already there.

    soilcarboncoalition.org

    On Growing your own food is fine, but governmental action is needed, and soon posted 1 year, 7 months ago 11 Responses
  • Why not soil organic matter?

    All of the benefits of the multifunctional approach could be captured using soil carbon rents, essentially payments for ecosystem services involving atmospheric stabilization, water enhancement and conservation, wildlife, etc. etc. Soil organic matter characterizes all of these benefits.

    http://soilcarboncoalition.org/future_of_farm_bill

    soilcarboncoalition.org

    On Gourmet magazine points the way toward a green and smart farm policy posted 1 year, 8 months ago 3 Responses
  • good post

    hey Pangolin, good job.

    We're a new nonprofit that wants to see soil organic matter as the center of gravity of future farm bills, etc. What do you recommend?

    http://soilcarboncoalition.org

    managingwholes.net

    On Aspirational green posted 1 year, 9 months ago 17 Responses
  • Reducing CO2 emissions has little leverage

    "Complete elimination of CO2 emissions is estimated to lead to a slow decrease in atmospheric CO2 of about 40 ppm over the 21st century."

    IPCC fourth assessment FAQ, 2007
    http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1- ...

    So, if we don't burn another gallon of gas after 2007, we only get down to about 1985 levels by 2100. (According to the same FAQ, with 100% reductions today, by 2200 we get down to about 1978 atmospheric CO2 levels.) The strategy of CO2 emissions reductions alone, even if we actually pursue it, has NO LEVERAGE. Might as well try to drive a wood screw with a hammer. We're not going to even notice the difference, and meantime the oceans continue to heat.

    The only leverage it has is on our feelings of guilt.

    Paralysis and continued unresolved conflict are the natural result of the routine advocacy of ineffective solutions.

    If we want to address climate change, technology or the regulation of it is not going to be enough. We will have to understand things like soil, how biospheric processes work.

    http://soilcarboncoalition.org

    managingwholes.net

    On Tackling the biggest source of climate confusion posted 1 year, 9 months ago 11 Responses
  • photovoltaics and surface energy budgets

    David, do you know why almost nobody is considering the effect of photovoltaics on surface energy budgets?

    Briefly: The earth's temperature is controlled by the optical characteristics of the atmosphere (clouds and greenhouse gases etc.) as well as by the optical reflectivity of the various planetary surfaces (albedo). A change of a few percent in overall albedo will have drastic effects.

    Photovoltaic panels, being typically dark, turn more watts per square meter into heat than they do into electrical energy. The carbon they save over say coal fired electricity may be canceled out by their heating effect due to their low albedo.

    Especially for desert areas, I think most people are ignoring the greater potential of solar thermal power.  

    managingwholes.net

    On A roadmap to getting 70 percent of U.S. electricity from solar by 2050 posted 1 year, 10 months ago 42 Responses
  • Let's wreck the world slower

    Ross, one of the big reasons for inaction is that the vision was partial and as you say, dishonest. We can't fix the problem with by reducing emissions alone. Yet the pretense that we might continues. It's hard to enlist people into the movement if your vision is, "let's wreck the world slower."

    Most continue to ignore or dismiss comprehensive solutions (e.g. Allan Yeomans's book PRIORITY ONE: TOGETHER WE CAN BEAT GLOBAL WARMING). This is a reflection of our science, which has been focused on things, events, and technology rather than biospheric processes such as the carbon cycle, and the importance of soil organic matter. It is also a reflection of our resolute but misguided focus on technology as both cause and solution to the climate issue.

    Global warming is BOTH a technological issue (fossil fuel emissions) and a land management issue (soil organic matter). If we look at only one side, as Ross Gelbspan does, the outlook is very negative, and there is not much reason for action.

    Peter Donovan
    http://managingwholes.net

    managingwholes.net

    On It's too late to stop climate change, argues Ross Gelbspan -- so what do we do now? posted 1 year, 11 months ago 45 Responses
  • no one at the helm

    Candidates may have positions on some of the shallower issues, but often not the deeper ones. We are conditioned to believe that someone is thinking about this, someone is working on a policy that makes sense, someone has a good policy in their pocket, but I think we all need to face the fact that there is NO ONE AT THE HELM, as Allan Savory noted recently.

    This is true not only in politics and policy, but also in science. As global warming forces our attention to the carbon cycle or water cycle, our disciplinary, individualist, thing-oriented science is having a hard time catching up and reorienting itself to processes, relationships, and wholes.

    In this situation, the leadership needs to come from the grassroots. This makes for a very difficult situation--those who are considered experts, but who have no real leadership, are then pitted against practical people who are showing new possibilities.

    The people who have discovered how to rapidly take carbon out of the atmosphere and turn it into soil organic matter (an essential part of any effective reponse to global warming) are not the environmental organizations, not the government, not the NRCS, not USDA, not university scientists.  They are practitioners of various types of alternative agriculture, who have often dissented from the orthodoxies of the various experts. This often poses problems for the experts, who are not usually accustomed to sharing power with people whom they consider nonexperts.

    So yes, we face an enormous political challenge. At the same time, we have many many citizens who care deeply about the kinds of lives they and their children will have. There are many, including farmers, who are not happy with the present situation and its possibilities.

    managingwholes.net

    On Moving toward responsible agriculture posted 2 years ago 2 Responses
  • soil carbon opportunity

    What would they do as President to take advantage of the soil carbon opportunity? If you need some details of the opportunity see managingwholes.net

    managingwholes.net

    On Leave suggestions in comments posted 2 years ago 35 Responses
  • We're forgetting photosynthesis again

    There is another side to global warming besides the fossil-fuel emissions side. That is the deteriorated state of the carbon cycle, the water cycle, and the solar energy capture by green plants.

    We can't run our engines in reverse to suck all the carbon out of the atmosphere. CCS is unproven, energy intensive, and if tried will result in a huge disposal problem.

    If we could transform most of our land management, and sharply reduce fossil fuels, we'd have a good chance. See PRIORITY ONE: Together We Can Beat Global Warming and managingwholes.net for details.On Is geoengineering worth a second look? posted 2 years, 1 month ago 8 Responses

  • blind men and the elephant?

    Good post Aimee.

    There's a lot to be against in the Farm Bill. Also, a very good argument can be made against CSP because the American people don't know what they are getting (in terms of measurable improvements). There are too many assumptions built into that program.

    It would be great if soil carbon could be the center of gravity of the 2012 Farm Bill. This would amount to a positive transformation. Soil carbon (organic matter) is fairly easily measurable, and in temperate climates is a reasonable proxy for improved water quality, less nitrate runoff, more drought and flood resistance, crop quality and disease resistance, less dependence on inputs, and on and on and on. Even urban residents would see the benefits, because soil carbon is likely the only way we are going to see economical removals of atmospheric carbon. By providing farmers incentives to increase soil carbon, we could initiate a positive change for agriculture as well as the world.On Good farm policies support good farm practices posted 2 years, 1 month ago 5 Responses

  • big markets need protection

    There is often a community of interest between the fossil carbon lobby and some common "environmental protection" causes. Logging restrictions help protect the enormous market for petroleum-based plastics. The anti-nuclear movement was a huge gift to the coal industry.

    Allan Yeomans's book PRIORITY ONE: Together We Can Beat Global Warming offers many examples of how the fossil carbon lobby tries to protect its markets, for example electric utility price manipulation leading to the bankruptcy of LUZ, one of the pioneer solar thermal providers who built the Mojave plant.

    Without serious competitors, the coal industry might better convince Congress to ladle out billions for CCS. Carbon capture takes a lot of energy, and the American coal industry is willing to provide that extra 40% or so. Kind of neat how that works.On Coal industry insider tapped to kill Cape Wind posted 2 years, 2 months ago 3 Responses

  • carbon sequestration?

    Don't you realize that obesity is one of our main forms of carbon sequestration?On The energy of crowds posted 2 years, 3 months ago 3 Responses

  • balance?

    Seth Godin noted a while back that it only takes the flimsiest excuse for a person or corporation NOT to do something new. But to stop what they have always done takes a lawsuit or something of similar magnitude.

    Thus the coal companies have it made. They don't need to pay journalists to defend the status quo, it happens automatically. Every little fear about nuclear proliferation, or about any kind of alternate energy, turns into a defense of coal proliferation.On Buoys posted 2 years, 3 months ago 1 Response

  • trees are not a significant sink

    Even though the article is mainly about the lack of additional response to higher CO2 concentrations, the role of trees in the biospheric carbon cycle has been consistently exaggerated because of unproven assumptions. While trees are the most obvious green plants, and there is considerable guilt about removing forests, earth's total biomass only contains about 540 Gt C versus 770 in the atmosphere and over 1500 in soils.

    That trees are a significant sink has been an assumption for a long time. Like most assumptions it is very hard to prove or disprove.On They're not going to save us posted 2 years, 3 months ago 11 Responses

  • good book on coal

    David: An explosive book that reveals in plain language the lowdown on coal is Priority One: Together We Can Beat Global Warming by Allan Yeomans. (Disclosure: I'm the US publisher, doing it because it had to be done.)

    Developing our carbon sinks in the soil could reclaim excess atmospheric carbon with low expense and huge benefits to all people. The coal, oil, gas, and agrochemical marketers, along with their politicos and nonprofits, do not want anyone to realize this. "Clean coal" is Harry Potter science, but a great way to market more coal.

    I've not met anyone who has read Yeomans's book and remained unaffected. In a fight against coal, don't overlook this resource.

    One of the troubles with coal is that it is hard to just drop it from the energy portfolio. We have to replace it. The Yeomans book is refreshingly, uncomfortably frank on what this is likely to entail. Whether or not you agree with his solution, it helps peel away the denial that is so common.On Listen up posted 2 years, 3 months ago 5 Responses

  • Rocket science rules?

    Kira and Lance are quite right that techno fixes dominate the discussion. And they won't even solve the problem--if we stop all fossil fuel emissions by dawn tomorrow, we still have an enormous problem. We must also reclaim excess CO2 from the air.

    Carbon capture with technology is energy intensive, and largely unproven. If it should work, it would produce mountains of waste material.

    The soil is the only practical reservoir for the excess carbon. By increasing the organic matter and fertility of our soils, we can capture all the excess carbon and ensure a better future for all.

    One of the reasons this huge opportunity is ignored is that if it's not rocket science, or has possibilities for billable hours by investment bankers or intellectual property attorneys, we're not interested. But if we're going to solve the problem, we've got to improve the biological carbon cycle, which has become dysfunctional over more and more of the world's land area. And this is a matter of working with processes and relationships.

    See managingwholes.net for details.On Is the environmental movement losing touch with its feminine side? posted 2 years, 3 months ago 17 Responses

  • soil the solution

    That trees make lousy offsets may be unpopular but it is correct. Trees hold carbon, but not that much, and for not that long before decay or fire returns it to the atmosphere. Making a tree into a valuable wood floor will hold the carbon out of the atmosphere for another century or so. Making a tree into a house, or a library, or something else of value, is the best way to watch over the carbon.

    Soil, even in its presently depleted state, holds more carbon than the atmosphere and all the world's vegetation combined. The best thing about soil is that it's a proven sink, we influence it greatly, and soil carbon is a tremendous asset as organic matter. We can feed soil with carbon using perennial grasses (mainly in temperate climates) using current solar energy. It's proven, it works.  Let's not use it to offset more fossil fuel burning. Let's use it to stop global warming.

    Details at www.biospheremedia.org On Smacking down a bad idea posted 2 years, 4 months ago 5 Responses