Train of thought

Rail and the coming changes in transport 17

National Train Day was marked this year on May 10, so it's not too incredibly late to mention two new books of note: John Stilgoe's Train Time: Railroads and the Imminent Reshaping of the United States Landscape that came out in the fall says that rail is "an economic and cultural tsunami about to transform the United States." Maybe that's a little grand, but rail is definitely on the ascendancy, since it can move people and freight at a fraction of the energy usage vs. petroleum.

Also, Radio Ecoshock's March 28 edition of its useful weekly podcast had a recording (skip to minute 11 for the presentation) by authors Richard Gilbert and Anthony Perl at the launch event for their new book Transport Revolutions: Moving People and Freight without Oil. They are forecasting a grid-tied and electrified (increasingly from renewables) rail system among four revolutions coming in transport:

The high prices of oil could cause at least four kinds of transport revolution:

  • Now, almost all transport is propelled by internal combustion engines. In the future, transport will be propelled increasingly by electric motors, using electricity increasingly generated from renewable resources.
  • Now, almost all land transport is by vehicles that carry their fuel on board: petrol (gasoline) or diesel fuel. In the future, much land transport will be in electric vehicles that are grid-connected, i.e., they are powered while in motion, from wire or rails or in other ways.
  • Now, almost all marine transport is propelled by diesel engines. Their use will continue but with assistance from wind via sails and kites.
  • Now, air travel and air freight movement are the fastest growing transport activities. Soon, they will begin to decline because there will be no adequate substitute for increasingly expensive aviation fuels based on petroleum oil. Air travel and air freight movement will continue, but at lower intensities and mostly in large, more fuel-efficient aircraft flying a limited number of well-patronized routes ...

The above excerpt and more are available at the book's site.

The Q&A session of the audio is also pretty interesting. Among other topics, they discuss the coming contraction of air flight, and the pointlessness of airport expansions, like the one in Vancouver, B.C., in particular.

Erik Hoffner is the coordinator of the Orion Grassroots Network which supports the work of hundreds of grassroots groups and which connects the green leaders of tomorrow with good work today via the Grassroots Jobsource. Based in Massachusetts, he is also a freelance photographer.

Advertisement
Advertisement
  1. Jonas Posted 1:08 am
    04 Jun 2008

    We could use ultra-cheap EVsOver here, the TGV is a major success and has become hyper-competitive because it is powered by France's nuclear park. It's extremely comfortable, it's faster than any other transport option for medium distances (faster than airplanes), and it's relatively cheap.
    Add innovative ideas like the electric 'super bus' developed at the TU Delft, which will use its own road track, and we're off for a very efficient future.
    Electric cars too are the way forward.
    Electrifying mobility not only means we can plug in carbon-neutral renewables like wind or solar, we can even go carbon-negative via biomass. Each time we were to use this carbon-negative energy in our car, bus or train, we would be actively removing historic CO2 from the atmosphere!
    However, the most important task ahead is designing dirt-cheap electric cars for the developing world. If we don't succeed, we will see flex-fuel Tata Nano-like cars by the tens of millions over the coming decades. And that means ethanol or biodiesel, mixed with oil and coal-derived liquid fuels, which are all pretty inefficient. Much better use the biomass for the production of carbon-negative electricity to power EVs and towns. We need an ultra-cheap electric Nano (at least if we assume that we can't persuade developing middle classes not to buy individual cars - for the foreseeable future they will buy cars, simply because they are the ultimate symbol of the 'modernity' they are beginning to experience.)
    So this is really an important challenge our engineers must take and they must succeed: develop hyper-cheap EVs for rapidly developing nations.
    Else, the climate benefits of us in the wealthy West switching to mass transit or EVs won't make much of a difference.
    The bulk of the growth in transport energy and mobility over the coming 50 years will occur in 'developing' countries like India, China, Brazil, South Africa and many other countries of the Global South.
  2. Jon Rynn's avatar

    Jon Rynn Posted 1:24 am
    04 Jun 2008

    If people don't mind not going fast......like over 30 mph (er...about 45 kph?), then EV's are here now, and they are less expensive now than gas-powered cars, but I agree they should come down.
    Something rich countries could certainly help developing countries with: set up trains, light rail, bus rapid transit, etc.  No offsets, trading credits, just help the countries build the things so that they need less cars -- and it's much more efficient, anyway.
  3. Erik Hoffner's avatar

    Erik Hoffner Posted 2:52 am
    04 Jun 2008

    gridYes on the EVs. I wonder, though, if the "Revolutions" authors meant 'plugins' or not. From the talk, seemed like they were advocating that EVs and transport vehicles on hiways as well as rails would be getting their power from cables or other in situ sources on the roadway. Could be mistaken. Guess I'd need to read the book, but $99 per copy is a little steep. Guess it's aimed at academics.
    Erik

    The Orion Grassroots Network: 1,200+ grassroots groups working for conservation & more

  4. jgray008 Posted 6:20 am
    04 Jun 2008

    I hope these changes occur!It is interesting to read this prediction on the expansion of rail travel.  I certainly hope that they occur asap!  It is odd how here in the US, rail travel is actually good in some spots, such as Amtrak's northeast corridor and within California.  Where I am in Michigan, the schedule from Detroit to Chicago is pretty good with several trains per day, and the speeds are getting faster due to track upgrades.  At the same time, it is so mind-boggling how there are these huge, irrational holes in the network.  For instance, there is no train that could take me from my home in Lansing, the state capital with 500,000 residents in the region, to Detroit, a metro area with 5 million people.  I just wonder if there is anyplace else in a rich country where cities of similar regional importance aren't even connected by rail.  
    In another case, I read how Ohio is looking into rail service between Cincinnati, Columbus and Cleveland.  It is great that this is finally happening, but all of these cities are huge metro areas that are so interdependent.  How on earth did we get here?
    I hope we can finally get some sense and make projects like this happen once and for all.
  5. Pangolin's avatar

    Pangolin Posted 10:10 am
    04 Jun 2008

    Rail, roadbed and track....... will ultimately be the limiting factors. Rail access in California is spotty at best with several different commuter lines detached from each other and a totally dysfunctional statewide rail network. Amtrak along I-5 is effectively running a bus system.
    I'm a big advocate of suspended monorails and PRT schemes simply because I had to live through the massive disruption caused by installation of BART and other light rail schemes. With monorails you drop pylons and hang rails and with standard rail you tear up every inch of road along the route and reroute all the subsurface infrastructure. It's not pretty.
    PRT schemes offer not only widely distributed passenger rail but distributed freight delivery that could automate delivery of pallet sized loads to local loading docks. This could mean a great deal of savings in road maintenance as it is the larger vehicles that cause the majority of wear.
    Unless somebody comes up with a bio-asphalt we are soon going to discover that our federal, state and county governments cannot afford to lay down miles of crude oil asphalt as a driving surface and all of those electric car schemes will suffer accordingly.  They all like nice smooth roads as much as your basic SUV does. Luckily they provide a nice resource of recyclable steel that can be used for track and rolling stock on the new rail we have to lay.
    The big question is going to be "how much of our world are we going to tear up to lay down new railbed?" Unless we look again at monorails the answer is quite a lot.

    Put the Carbon Back
  6. Jon Rynn's avatar

    Jon Rynn Posted 1:12 pm
    04 Jun 2008

    There's always the good ol' Chicago El...Which doesn't tear up roads...
  7. hapa's avatar

    hapa Posted 1:59 pm
    04 Jun 2008

    elevationthis is all pretty funny, isn't it, like, "why don't we just build another new york city? that'll fix it." and everyone's like, "oh, yeah, i like new york! and it's much more efficient!"
    the proposals for PRT, because they're very light cars, use very light structures. we find ourselves building a great deal in the imagination and it starts adding up, much of it using metal or concrete, and building new elevated rail corridors inside cities or between, for full-weight trains, might be too much, considering. elevated bustransit, like at airports, shuttling people to important places from city-limits intercity depots, might be better -- loop service with elevated stations and various entry/exit ramps for returning to street-level -- might be less resource intensive and allow greater route flexibility.
  8. Gar Lipow's avatar

    Gar Lipow Posted 3:05 pm
    04 Jun 2008

    Elevated bus serviceDedicated bus lanes take a lot more concrete passenger mile for passenger mile (or even road mile per road mile) than PRT or PRT like ultra-light systems. You still use buses to get people from PRT stops to destinations to the extent they are not in walking distance. (And electric light trucks for freight.)
  9. hapa's avatar

    hapa Posted 3:19 pm
    04 Jun 2008

    oopsi did mean "might be better than elevated heavy rail." mistake worth making for the info tho!
  10. Jon Rynn's avatar

    Jon Rynn Posted 1:57 am
    05 Jun 2008

    hapa,it would be much more efficient if everybody lived in a NYC -- you'd need about 30 of them to house most of the population, with the left rest over for farming...
  11. Erik Hoffner's avatar

    Erik Hoffner Posted 3:43 am
    05 Jun 2008

    PRT and old railPangolin, thanks, good thoughts. The link for the PRT page is busted, but I think this is the page you were aiming at:
    http://faculty.washington.edu/jbs/itrans/prtquick.htm
    I wonder though about cases where it'll be less about tearing up the ground for new rail than about unearthing lines that have gone unused for a while and refurbishing them. Oh, and converting all those rail trails back into transport lanes? That could be unpopular. Around here, there aren't a lot of commuters that use the rail trail to get to work, but there are some. Mostly it's about exercise.
    Erik

    The Orion Grassroots Network: 1,200+ grassroots groups working for conservation & more

  12. Kristina & Jason Makansi Posted 3:51 am
    05 Jun 2008

    PRT and light rail v. highway expansionWe're currently living through the gazillion dollar closure and expansion/reconstruction of our major highway, Interstate 64, through St. Louis. As city dwellers, we know that as soon as the highway is completed and expanded, the pace of westward sprawl will increase. Many of us are dumbfounded as to why, with the highway closed, we aren't building a parallel light rail or PRT line along side the highway...maybe that just makes too much sense. With global warming and the price of gas weighing on all our minds, expanding the highway without also expanding our light rail/PRT options seems like just another short-sighted strategy that will ultimately lead to long-term regrets...

    Pearl Street::Jason and Kristina Makansi

    Read Lights Out reviews
  13. amazingdrx Posted 4:17 am
    05 Jun 2008

    Freeway median tubesPlenty of right of way, easy to electric power, speeds over 200 mph.  And very safe inside tubes.
    This is the way to go to replace car and even airplane travel and eliminate their GHGs.  With light commuter rail that "flys" in the tube on an air cushion.  These high speed rail cars are built more like aircraft than trains.

    http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog
  14. hapa's avatar

    hapa Posted 7:11 am
    05 Jun 2008

    too many mode changes spoil the tripit has to be easy for a typical senior with a parcel, a parent with a stroller, or a person on crutches or in a wheelchair. the simplicity of loading and unloading once per trip, for any trip, is the biggest advantage of cars. that and the mobile, lockable personal storage.
    @jrynn: density is excellent. sustainably building, what, 12–15 NYCs to house america would be pretty tough.
  15. Jon Rynn's avatar

    Jon Rynn Posted 7:25 am
    05 Jun 2008

    hapa, definitely tough,which is why proposing putting everyone in a NYC is sort of tongue-in-cheek because it would sound like a reverse-pol-pot (remember, they emptied all the cities because the cities were corrupt, blah blah blah).  But it is true that NYC is the most efficient part of the country.
    And the problems you note in terms of mode change is very important, but I think it can be at least ameliorated with high-quality public transit.  In NYC, seniors take the bus as opposed to the subway -- but it's much better than being stuck if you really shouldn't drive and you're in the suburbs.
    I've often wondered why public transit is not made so that it's easier for packages and strollers (believe me, I have not enjoyed taking a stroller with two little children on a bus).  The key, I think, would be to 1) have the buses/light rail at street level, 2) have a place for packages/strollers spread throughout the vehicle, and 3), ideally, some sort of standardized shopping cart that would fit into some sort of standardized slot on the bus or light rail.
  16. ahtist Posted 2:41 am
    18 Jun 2008

    Looking forward to less greed and more serviceI am SO glad to see this is being discussed and that the leading candidate is definitely open to the advancement of surface transportation in this country. (His opponent wants to do away with passenger service.)

    Selfish note--I am looking forward to riding the Desert Wind again : ). Service from Colorado to Los Angeles, at the moment, does not exist--you have to go to Sacramento, stay overnight in a hotel, and then ride south on the Starlate. It takes 3 days! (Still better than the plane)
  17. ahtist Posted 2:43 am
    18 Jun 2008

    Looking forward to less greed and more serviceI am SO glad to see this is being discussed and that the leading candidate is definitely open to the advancement of surface transportation in this country. (His opponent wants to do away with passenger service.)

    Selfish note--I am looking forward to riding the Desert Wind again : ). Service from Colorado to Los Angeles, at the moment, does not exist--you have to go to Sacramento, stay overnight in a hotel, and then ride south on the Starlate. It takes 3 days! (Still better than the plane)

Add a Comment

You are not logged in. Thus, you cannot post a comment. If you have an account, log in. If you don't have an account, well, by all means go make one! Meet you back here in five.

Hello, Visitor!    Why not register?

Advertisement