It's worth closely reading this Avery Palmer piece in CQ Politics: "The price of being green." It puts the frame around American energy/environmental politics in particularly crystalline terms.
To wit: environmentalists want to raise the cost of energy while everyone else wants to lower it.
Or more specifically: in order to lower greenhouse gas emissions, environmentalists want to put a price on carbon via a cap-and-trade system, which would have the effect of raising gasoline and electricity prices. Meanwhile, gas and electricity prices are already high and rising, and everyone else -- including the vast majority of voters -- is keenly concerned to bring those prices down.
"The solutions almost go in opposite directions," said Henry Lee, lecturer in public policy at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government.
Ergo: it's going to be extremely difficult, if not impossible, to get a major climate-change bill through Congress any time soon.
That is the conventional wisdom, and it dooms climate legislation, no matter what polls tell you about public concern over climate. People vote their wallets -- bet on it.
It's this very dynamic Shellenberger & Nordhaus address in their latest L.A. Times op-ed. Their conclusion is that public policy should not seek to raise (dirty) energy prices, but instead to lower (clean) energy prices. (Read Joe for more on that op-ed.)
That's a reasonable conclusion to draw, if you accept the premises. But we should not accept the premises. They are as follows:
- The best way to lower energy prices is to increase energy supply.
- A price on carbon would primarily drive a switch from dirty to clean energy, raising energy prices.
- Higher energy prices yield higher energy costs.
What's the missing ingredient that disrupts every one of those premises? The big fat hole in the middle of the argument. Anyone? Anyone?
That's right: efficiency.
The absence is glaring throughout the piece. A couple of examples:
It is also likely that the president will try to frame a climate change plan as part of a broader energy strategy, which could include both investments in alternative sources and increased production of fossil fuels.
Hm, if there were only some other part of a broader energy strategy ...
Energy legislation is notoriously difficult to pass because of regional differences that drive wedges inside both parties. Gulf Coast lawmakers tend to support increased oil drilling, for example, while politicians from Appalachia have an interest in protecting the coal industry.
Hm, if only there were some energy policy that could benefit everyone in every region of the country ...
"We have to do something, when we do it, that drives our economy, that adds to our GDP, that makes us more energy secure and deals with climate at the same time," said Republican Bob Corker of Tennessee, who is considered one of the swing votes in the Senate on global warming legislation.
Hm, if only there were an energy policy that did all that at once!
And so on. I don't blame Palmer for this. For some reason, the centrality of efficiency to smart energy policy is only understood by a small community of enviros and wonks. In the broader culture, efficiency is marginal, a kind of add-on that will "soften the impact" slightly. Despite all the energy talk in the campaign so far, efficiency has played a tiny role at best (see: last night's debate).
I'm not sure how to go about rep this state of affairs. There are certain intrinsic difficulties in selling efficiency -- which is not so much a thing as an absence -- in a culture obsessed with exploration and energy supply. Thus far the wonks don't seem to be getting through.
But it's important. Efficiency is what allows us to meet emission targets at a net economic gain. Efficiency is the only effective response to the economic difficulties energy prices impose on the poor and middle-class. Efficiency is what prevents higher energy prices from becoming higher energy costs.
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Jon Rynn Posted 5:48 am
09 Oct 2008
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Russ Posted 5:58 am
09 Oct 2008
I've always liked constructions like, "Detroit is America's biggest oilfield", i.e. the best domestic oil source is greater auto efficiency.
(I forget where I got that quote.)
Maybe think of other ways to recast the "absence" as a concrete thing, or the mirror image of it.
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Earl Killian Posted 6:22 am
09 Oct 2008
Efficiency is a huge help, and that's why so much of California's regulatory agency efforts are directed that way. However, at best it is only half of the solution. That's why the alphabet soup above included SB107, California's Renewable Portfolio Standard.
Rather than try and pass cap-and-trade legislation, Congress and the White House should:
1. Allow/require the EPA to enforce the Clean Air Act (as directed by the Supreme Court in Massachusetts v. EPA), e.g. getting much tougher standards than the new CAFE;
2. Adopt California policies, incentives, and regulations (e.g. Negawatts first) at the Federal level, including Title 24 and Title 20 and all the legislation listed above;
3. Convert the US passenger fleet to PHEVs from 2010 to 2050;
4. Fund Smart grid with V2G build out;
5. Fund HVDC grid build out;
6. Enact a Federal Renewable Portfolio Standard;
7. Buy out and shutdown Fossil power plants to remove generation no longer needed from #1, #2, #6;
8. Enact incentives for Reforestation;
9. Improve US agricultural practices;
10. Limit biofuels to Ag residue feedstocks;
11. Use U.S. trade leverage to encourage countries that export to the U.S. to adopt greenhouse pollution policies such as our own.
12. Use U.S. government purchasing power to jumpstart deployment where possible.
13. Begin research on atmosphere to below ground sequestration of carbon (not CCS, but rather how to drawdown what is already emitted).
Efficiency is built into #1, #2, #4, and #5.
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