More plug-in hybrid goodness:
Let me again make the case for why electrifying transportation is one of the most important things happening.
We don't have an energy problem. Plenty of it all around: Sun comes up every day. Wind. Tides. Waves. Energy everywhere you look.
What we have is an energy storage problem. And electrifying transportation is the quickest way to perfect battery technology -- and distribute millions of them in houses throughout the country.
The combination of cheap solar and putting a big battery in every house will have implications so disruptive that predicting how people will get their energy 20 years out is a fool's game.
Comments
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GreenEngineer Posted 3:24 am
05 Apr 2007
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GreyFlcn Posted 3:31 am
05 Apr 2007
Motor Tech:
DC Physical Magnet
AC Electro Magnet
Energy Storage:
Batteries
UltraCapacitors
Drivetrain:
Parrallel
Serial
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The best type of plugins are going to be:
AC Motors, with UltraCapacitors, using a Serial drivetrain.
Since these promise the lowest cost, for the most performance, in the longrun timeframe.
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Gar Lipow Posted 3:32 am
05 Apr 2007
I've made the argument before: add a long distance grid to wind farms and you reduce the need for storage. Because you reduce the need for storage, we can use the least expensive but most environmentally intense form of storage pumped storage without serious environmental consequences because you won't need much of it. With a long distance grid you would need only a ten to twelve hour storage capability. That translates into less than 50 square miles of pumped storage for the whole U.S. (upper and lower reservoir combined) with 800 feet of head. Certainly most regions can find two or three square miles of 800 foot elevation somewhere. Some states are pretty flat of course, but they have neighbors.
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GreenEngineer Posted 3:36 am
05 Apr 2007
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GreyFlcn Posted 3:38 am
05 Apr 2007
So did you make these numbers, or did you get them from some report?
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GreyFlcn Posted 3:56 am
05 Apr 2007
Pretty much
Demand Response
Pumped hydro / Compressed air
UltraCapacitor/Lithium tech
Flow Batteries
Biogas (i.e. Cow Farts)
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On top of which, Tesla has figured out that if their car ran on COAL electricity.
It'd still be greener than a Prius.
http://www.teslamotors.com/display_data/21stCentElectricC ...
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Gar Lipow Posted 4:23 am
05 Apr 2007
So did you make these numbers, or did you get them from some report?
I have had two posts on those:
http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2006/12/17/212637/60
also more recently:
http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/3/12/63111/0928
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Nucbuddy Posted 4:25 am
05 Apr 2007
12-hour storage would not help windpower cope with seasonal fluxuations in energy demand, as illustrated by this graph:
nei.org/documents/NuclearPerformanceMonthly.pdf
Notice how, during the months of April and October, nuclear output is at its lowest. That is because demand during those months is low, and because nuclear power plant operators can select, with better than 98% confidence, when their generator-units will go offline for refueling and maintenance (and, conversely, when their units will be online at full power). Notice also how nuclear output is high during the month-pairs of Dec-Jan and Jul-Aug. In order to equal this performance, windpower (or other solar power) would need to either 1) store energy for a lot longer than 12 hours; or 2) have extra capacity that would lie dormant for the rest of the year, burning investment-capital.
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Delay And Deny Posted 5:34 am
05 Apr 2007
Some buses are hybrid...when they leave the grid for the suburbs, they put their antenna down and continue on.
So why not use this idea for cars? I mean, how about putting induction wires under the road in the highways -- a kind of "third rail".
Who says that we have to carry around our power in the car? Whether as gas, battery or what not?
For short hauls, yes, but for longer hauls on main arteries, we can put in infrastructure to draw power as we go.
The Texeme Construct offers international text memetics construction and textcasting services. http://www.you-read-it-here-first.com
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Nucbuddy Posted 5:42 am
05 Apr 2007
I have been thinking the exact same thing. I think it would make especially good sense for Class-8 long-haul trucking.
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GreyFlcn Posted 5:49 am
05 Apr 2007
When you got batteries which can recharge in under 10 minutes?
At very least, longhaul might be better suited toward diesel-hybrid technology.
Since that can be completely self sufficient.
Mining equipment and trains already use this.
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GreyFlcn Posted 5:52 am
05 Apr 2007
But I believe I've heard that our electric grid needs something like 2,700GW of electricity a day.
While all the cars in the US use up 29,000GW of energy a day.
_
This is why plugins make so much sense.
Since 90% of the time, they are parked.
Offering an amazing electric holding capacity.
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Nucbuddy Posted 6:04 am
05 Apr 2007
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Nucbuddy Posted 6:14 am
05 Apr 2007
Charging on-the-fly allows the investment in batteries to be smaller and/or reduces vehicle weight.
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Gar Lipow Posted 8:00 am
05 Apr 2007
In order to equal this performance, windpower (or other solar power) would need to either 1) store energy for a lot longer than 12 hours; or 2) have extra capacity that would lie dormant for the rest of the year, burning investment-capital
As pointed out in the articles I linked once you have links across different climate zones this is no longer a problem. Some climates have summer peaks; some winter. Connecting the too reduces differences in seasonal demand. The study I linked to looked specifically at firm capacity, and the number of hours when a firm capacity could not be met. With no storage wind could meet a firm capacity with 80% reliability. But the number of hours when it could not meet a target at a time is the important figure. Three hours of storage would meet that target 90% of the time, ten hours storage let it meet that target 95%, 12 hours storage let it meet that target 96% of the time. (22 hours btw would let wind meet a firm capacity with 99% reliability.)Hydro provides 4%-6% of our kWh consumed. But hydro represents 25% of nameplate capacity; this makes existing hydro extremely suitable for shaping wind power. So wind power + 12 hours of pumped storage + existing hydr could provide 100% of our electricity. New pumped storage plus existing hydro would provide capacity for daily peaks. And the twelve hours storage would provide enough time shifting ability to ensure we did not have to discard much power.
What about seasonal peaks? Well seasonal peaks mainly come from heating and cooling loads. First this is one of the areas we can most reduce demand. New buildings can reduce this by 90% or more, existing by 40% to 75%.
What about remaining demand? Low temperature heat or cold is cheaper to store than either electricity or high temperature heat. Build storage into both new and existing buildings - plain old thermal mass where practical, Phase Change Materials or natural zeolites where space was at a premium - about 36 hours worth. If a climate was cold enough that the seasonal peak was at night (as it is in Scotland) you could provide electric heat during the day. In cooling climates you could provide air conditioning at night.
So you have three things reducing seasonal peaks: connections between climates with summer and winter seasonal peaks, reduction of climate control loads, and storage within buildings of climate control energy - allowing them to shift demand by at least 24 hours.
Of course I would never suggest that wind and water provide 100% of our power. Solar is tremendously complementary to wind. Their peaks differ both daily and seasonally. The figures are pretty solid: wind and sun could provide extremely reliable firm power, wind at a price not differing much from that of our current grid, sun with current technology at a significantly higher price. For the sake of not making this comment longer I'm neglecting other sources such as geothermal and ocean current.
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Gar Lipow Posted 8:14 am
05 Apr 2007
Given that 6% of our power mix is "renewables", and that's almost entirely big hydro and burning biomass, I would say that we have an energy capture problem that we need to address. But solving the storage issue (by building the storage or eliminating the need for it) does make the capture problem much more tractable.
semantics. I don't think we have an "ability to capture" problem. We have a "willingness to capture" problem.
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Nucbuddy Posted 10:27 am
05 Apr 2007
I checked the two articles you linked,
gristmill.grist.org/story/2006/12/17/212637/60
gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/3/12/63111/0928
and I found no mention, in either one, of seasonal demand-fluxuation.
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Gar Lipow wrote: What about seasonal peaks? Well seasonal peaks mainly come from heating and cooling loads. First this is one of the areas we can most reduce demand.
Demand is partly a function of perceived value. Perhaps demand-fluxuation could be reduced by seasonally-adjusting prices. As it is right now, energy is cheap, construction is expensive, and capital is perceived to be very expensive (the average American heavily discounts the future value of money (up to 800%/year when considering energy-efficiency); he wants his money right now, not sometime later, so investing in energy-efficiency is not very appealing to him). Also, the most-important factor to homebuyers today is curb-appeal. Other important factors: luxury finish, incuding custom-looking kitchen and bathrooms; good schools; nice neighborhood; short commute distance; yard; good drainage; stable soil; clean air; etc. Making things easy on electrical-service providers is probably way down on the typical homebuyer's list of priorities.
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Gar Lipow Posted 1:07 pm
05 Apr 2007
That's what regulations are for.
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GreyFlcn Posted 6:29 pm
05 Apr 2007
Why go through the massive hassle of infrastructure [...] When you [have] batteries which can recharge in under 10 minutes?
Charging on-the-fly allows the investment in batteries to be smaller and/or reduces vehicle weight.
Kind of a silly angle to take, since the cost of batteries is largely a function of economics of scale.
Where as infrastructure, it gets more expensive as time goes on.
Furthermore, it'd be just like traintracks.
It'd be mostly useless for most driving.
And if it were that limited, then they'd be better off putting it on a train.
_
But lastly, nanolithium/ultracapacitors are reaching the volume/weight density of oil.
And surpassing it.
So they "excess weight" arguement doesn't hold up much.
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amazingdrx Posted 10:28 pm
05 Apr 2007
That's why induction charging lanes would make sense. The truck, bus, or car would drive in the charging lane until the batteries are full.
Quick charge batteries are not yet affordable. Maybe mass production will make that possible soneday. High current charging station infrastructure would need to be built out also. But long haul trucks can't afford to stop every hour or so to recharge anyway, even with 10 minute recharge.
And this is why slow charging,high energy density, inexpensive batteries like
this in serial plugin hybrids are the best strategy right now. They can easily be replaced as mass production brings the cost of better batteries down.
And the backup generator can always take over when batteries run down.
http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog
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Gary Gifford Posted 3:00 pm
06 Apr 2007
Chargers in cars could be programmed to charge only during off peak hours to make the full use of clean off peak energy.
Parking lots operated by employers or public agencies could contract with small solar energy providers who provide credit card operated charging stations in each stall for recharging during the day.
Cheers,
Gary Gifford
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