From ScientificBlogging:
Mathematical Model Says Climate Change Will Make Storms Worse
A new mathematical model developed by University of Michigan atmospheric and planetary scientist Nilton Renno says that dust devils, water spouts, tornadoes, hurricanes, and cyclones are all born of the same mechanism and will intensify as climate change warms the Earth's surface.
Renno hopes the new equation will allow scientists to more accurately calculate the maximum expected intensity of a spiraling storm based on the depth of the troposphere (the lowest layer of Earth's atmosphere) and the temperature and humidity of the air in the storm's path.
This equation improves upon current methods, Renno says, because it takes into account the energy feeding the storm system and the full measure of friction slowing it down. Current thermodynamic models make assumptions about these variables, rather than include actual quantities.
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Comments
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WWAGD?! Posted 3:30 am
11 Jul 2008
Wii Hear You
"mathematical model...dust devils, water spouts, tornadoes, hurricanes, and cyclones"
Does it have little pink smiley faces that gobble up grapes and bananas?
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Jay Alt Posted 4:11 am
11 Jul 2008
more info
Here is a link to the UM news release
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WWAGD?! Posted 4:28 am
11 Jul 2008
Not So Bad
According to the link, a 3.6F increase will make the storm 10 percent worse.
The Bailo Model includes other factors. It assumes that if temperatures rise steadily, there will already be more energy "in the system". That leaves less room for the heat differentials that drive extreme weather. These higher temperatures actually stabilize weather (doldrums) in the sense that it takes a lot more energy to push it into a storm design pattern.
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Des Emery Posted 12:24 pm
11 Jul 2008
Global Warming
Gee Whiz! jabailo really does believe in climate change after all!
Des Emery
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