Hot 14

Look at this remarkable graphic from the weather page on USA Today:

Global warming did not cause this heat wave. The heat wave is, in the term of art, consistent with what we expect to see more of due to (CWWWETSMODT) global warming.

I expect we'll find the distinction rather less germane when it's hot as hell every year.

(via TP)

David Roberts is staff writer for Grist. You can follow his Twitter feed at twitter.com/drgrist.

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  1. Ed Posted 4:25 pm
    16 Jul 2006

    Hotter than EverOn the same page is this link
    It's the hottest year ever in the US. Go team!

  2. caniscandida Posted 4:51 pm
    16 Jul 2006

    adjacent regions' variationsI have no idea what this is called technically, but notice these two similar patterns in temperature readings.


    In California, on the coast from around Big Sur to Marin, there are reported temperatures of 55 and 60.  But just to the north on the coast the temperature climbs to 93.
    In north central Arizona, maybe Flagstaff, maybe just north of the edge of the Mogollon Ridge, there is a remarkable reading of 65, when temperatures in the 100s are just to the south and west.  One wonders how much further north the 65 extended: to the Hopi Mesas and beyond?


    Anyway, I naively ask, are these phenomena "typical"?
  3. ffletcher Posted 6:44 pm
    16 Jul 2006

    California CoastThere are a number of places along the California coast, like Carmel and Eureka that are chilly along the coast year round.  Can be hot of course but such is rare.  Also quickly warms up as one goes inland.
  4. bookerly Posted 8:17 pm
    16 Jul 2006

    Nope, not global warming

      Naw, this is just seasonal variation.
      When global warming hits, it will get REALLY hot!
      But we won't believe it, so it won't bother us, no sireee!
    patrick
      (it is hot in Beijing and London, hot all over!)
  5. amazingdrx Posted 12:20 am
    17 Jul 2006

    Define "is"Is this heat wave a direct effect of global climate change due to human production of greenhouse gas?
    It all depends on what the definition of "is" is.
    Ah, parsing while Rome burns, much more effective than fiddling.

    http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog
  6. kmp Posted 1:43 am
    17 Jul 2006

    local variationCanis, I expect you are right and that "65" in Arizona is Flagstaff.  Flagstaff sits at an elevation of 7,000 feet... and Mt. Humphrey (the highest peak in AZ) rises up to over 13,000 feet, so a weather station could be anywhere in that range, which could explain the markedly cooler temps.
    That being said, I have been surprised by how much cooler it is in my new 'hood, only 60 miles north of Manhattan. It is always at least 10 degrees cooler at home than it is in the City...sometimes as much as 15 degrees (according to the thermometer in my car, at least). One thing to be thankful for in my ex-urban existence....  75 degrees with trees & shade is a hell of a lot more pleasant than the urban jungle at 90!
    Kaela
  7. caniscandida Posted 3:05 am
    17 Jul 2006

    Eureka vs. CarmelThanks, Ffletcher, for your comment on temperatures on the California coast.  I am well acquainted with how the temperature rises steeply as soon as one moves inland from even the east Bay, e.g. driving from Berkeley to Sacramento.  What I find surprising on the map in question is that the coastal temperature reading just north of Marin, and perhaps not quite so far north as Eureka but I cannot tell, is so high.
    And thanks, Kaela, for commenting on Flagstaff.  I suppose the steep difference between it, on the one hand, and Phoenix and Kingman and Vegas on the other, does not surprise me in principle.  But the amount does.  I lived in Santa Fe for a year, barely an hour's drive north of Albuquerque, at a much higher elevation; and I observed that the temperature tended to be much more like Denver's, a good piece to the north, than like Albuquerque's.
    Congratulations on finding a comfortable home in what I guess amounts to the best of both worlds: being upstate, sort of, but still within shooting distance of the city.
    Ourselves, we still prefer to be close to the sea.  We shall be vacationing in the next few weeks on the New England coast, passing between Provincetown and Bar Harbor.  Michael, looking ahead, has been toying with the possibility of our retiring some day to Portland, Maine.
  8. rivergal Posted 6:06 am
    17 Jul 2006

    A couple of states are missingfrom the weather map.  (That's right, the Weather Channel always ignores Alaska and Hawai'i.  I've never understood why Dish Network bothers including that channel on my satellite TV lineup.)
    Here at sea level in Southcentral AK, we're having a cool, wet summer in contrast to recent years.  It has only topped 70 a few times this year and 80 not at all (our daily records are in the low 80s).  Yesterday's high was in the low 60s, 40s at night.  Slept in my warmest down bag at 3000' on a nearby mountain Friday night, adjacent to a lake that still had 50% of its surface covered by ice.  So I don't know what you all are complaining about!
  9. Payton Chung's avatar

    Payton Chung Posted 3:00 am
    20 Jul 2006

    More weather news"The temperature at Wisley in Surrey, south of London, peaked at 97.7 Fahrenheit -- the hottest temperature ever recorded in Britain in July. The average temperature in southeastern England in July is 70 degrees -- and that figure has been the nighttime temperature the past few days." Laura-Claire Colson, AP wire today
    Meanwhile, what goes up must come down: heat broke over the Great Plains with clusters of "spectacular" thunderstorms reaching up to 12 miles high. Heat is the fuel for weather systems, and hurricane-force 90 MPH winds brought temperatures in St. Louis down from 100 to 75.
    Again, not necessarily warming, but CWWWETSMODTGW.
  10. caniscandida Posted 5:47 am
    20 Jul 2006

    "CWWWETSMODTGW"Und das bedeutet was, exactly, Herr Doktor Chung?  I am guessing the last four letters are "due to global warming."  But for the rest, no Rosetta Stone is at hand.
    There have been news stories, BBC mostly I guess, reporting that farmers in England are actually making a go of planting such Mediterreanean crops as olives and grapes.
  11. Chris Schults Posted 5:53 am
    20 Jul 2006

    CWWWETSMODTGWCWWWETSMODTGW = consistent with what we expect to see more of due to global warming

    Look out! It's a media shower!
  12. caniscandida Posted 5:55 am
    20 Jul 2006

    never mind, JaneWoops, there it is, up above.  Sorry, Herr Doktor Chung, the ball was never in your court after all.
    Unclear whether our own David Roberts is himself the creator of this breath-taking string of pearls, or whether he is merely passing along a tradition.  In either case, it would be nice if there were a cute jingle to go along with it.
  13. LegumeSam Posted 8:34 am
    20 Jul 2006

    Very niceCWWWETSMODTGW = consistent with what we expect to see more of due to global warming but I don't think it's going to catch on...

    http://ecosocialism.blogspot.com/
  14. StuartVail Posted 3:59 am
    25 Jul 2006

    Hot citiesRealize that cities are mostly buildings, concrete, and asphalt, so you are looking at one giant heat radiator, in contrast with the earth, trees, and grass of the country. That is not to say that it cannot be blazing hot in the country! But there can be a significant difference.

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