In what surely counts as one of the greatest feats in the history of global trade, the United States has essentially outsourced its manufacturing base to China in little more than a decade.
It all starts with shuttered factories.
Photo: iStockphoto
But in doing so, the U.S. has helped unleash new trends in global agriculture that threaten global climate stability and biodiversity. In short, China is rapidly plunking down factories and apartment buildings on prime farmland, and polluting much of what remains with industrial runoff.
To feed its rapidly urbanizing and meat-hungry population, China is in turn outsourcing its agricultural production to Brazil, particularly soybeans for livestock feed. In response, Brazil is plowing up its vast savanna (and even rainforest) lands to plant soy, negating vitally important natural sponges for global carbon emissions and swallowing habitat in one of the world's richest stores of plant and animal life.
Great Leap Forward?
As recently as 1996, the U.S. imported a modest $51.5 billion in goods from China, and ran a trade deficit of $39.5 billion. Last year, U.S. demand sucked in $287.8 billion in Chinese goods, and our trade deficit gaped to $232.5 billion.
Meanwhile, the U.S. manufacturing base has withered. American companies have been shuttering factories and laying off workers for decades, but those trends accelerated in the late 1990s. According to the Congressional Budget Office, U.S. manufacturing jobs plunged by nearly 20 percent between 1999 and 2004, and stand at their lowest level since the late 1950s.
The rolling up of our manufacturing base has done little to mitigate growth in domestic energy use, which continues to rise steadily. But China's manufacturing boom has caused its own use of the dirtiest fossil fuels, coal and petroleum, to spike. Lester Brown of the Earth Policy Institute reports that China's petroleum consumption doubled between 1994 and 2004; the country now trails only the U.S. as the world's most profligate oil user. According to the Financial Times, China expects its oil use to double from current levels within five years.
You can hear Wal-Mart's prices falling all the way from China.
As for coal, The New York Times reported last year that China already consumes more than the U.S., Japan, and the European Union combined. The Times added -- chillingly for anyone who understands the true horror of coal use -- that China has "increased coal consumption 14 percent in each of the past two years." Moreover, as oil prices rise, China is investing heavily in technologies to convert coal into liquid car fuel.
Thus China's industrial boom has obvious -- and dire -- consequences for climate change. What does it mean for global agriculture? For one thing, China's voracious demand has helped ratchet up oil prices over the last five years, and high oil prices have sparked a global rush to transform food crops into fuel. The U.S. government has hotly promoted this trend, inspiring record plantings of corn, our most environmentally destructive crop.
More directly, as China's industrial footprint grows, its farmland shrinks. About a year ago, the Chinese government revealed that the nation had surrendered about 8 million hectares of farmland over the previous decade -- 6.6 percent of its arable land, and about two-thirds the amount of land that's under cultivation in Iowa.
Industrial pollution has taken out another similar-sized chunk of China's farmland. On Monday, the government acknowledged that 10 million hectares had been "ruined" by build-up of heavy metals, mainly from coal-fired factories.
Plowing Up a 'Wasteland'
As its population grows and its farmland disappears, China is also scrambling to meet demands for a more Western-style -- i.e., meat-heavy -- diet among its population. That means industrial-style meat production -- and mountains of soybeans and grain for feed.
Thus China is increasingly looking to Brazil for sustenance. New York Times agriculture reporter Alexei Barrionuevo reported last week that Brazil's soy shipments to China are growing exponentially. "Last year Brazil sent nearly 11 million tons of beans to China, a 50 percent increase from the previous year and nearly double the amount shipped in 2004," he writes.
Brazil's soy boom, driven also by European demand, has already cut deeply into the Amazon rainforest, probably the world's most important natural sink for carbon emissions, as well as a vital store of biodiversity. However, much of that deforestation is illegal, and the Brazilian government has vowed to enforce bans on more soy plantations. Just last month, the government finally shut down a major soy plant located at the mouth of the Amazon owned by U.S. agribusiness giant Cargill. That move, if it holds, should greatly decrease incentives to illegally farm soy in the rainforest.
Brazil's Cerrado is being plowed under to meet growing appetites.
Photo: Sue Wren
But development of the Cerrado region, a vast savanna that borders the rainforest, continues apace. Until the 1960s, when the government began converting the Cerrado into farmland, global agribusiness interests viewed the area as an "inaccessible wasteland" [PDF].
Yet the Cerrado is home to the Xavante Wará, an indigenous group that has been under severe pressure from powerful soy interests. And like its more famous geographical neighbor, the Cerrado contains multitudes of rare wildlife and vegetation. According to a 2005 issue of Nature, the region provides habitat for 137 endangered species, "and the sparse, scrubby vegetation features more than 4,000 species that grow only here." The Nature Conservancy calls it "the world's most biologically rich savanna."
Unlike the rainforest, the Cerrado draws little legal protection. "Over the past 35 years, more than half of the Cerrado's original expanse of 2 million square kilometers has been taken for agriculture," reported Nature, adding that, if present trends continued, the ecosystem would be gone by 2030.
Turning the Cerrado into China's (and Europe's) soy patch requires copious lashings of synthetic fertilizers. The region's soils support a dramatic array of native plants, but they don't work so well for monocropped soy. Thus Brazil's soy miracle has been built on a cascade of outside inputs -- typically supplied, Barrionuevo reports, by the same agribusiness giants who buy most of the soy, companies like Cargill, Archer Daniels Midland, and Bunge.
Thus, to go back to the beginning of our story, our insatiable appetite for cheap goods from Wal-Mart and other big-box retailers comes at a steep price. We can't stop China from devouring and fouling its farmland, or unleashing vast stores of carbon by burning through oil and coal. Nor can we stop Brazilians from ripping into indigenous homelands and precious stores of biodiversity (though it should be noted that many U.S. citizens have participated in the Cerrado land grab).
But we can demand that the U.S. government stop using supranational institutions like the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the WTO to supercharge cross-border trade and capital flows. And we can also, as consumers, opt out as much as possible from the Wal-Martization of everything, and work to rebuild local economies.
Comments
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tg13535 Posted 11:21 am
12 Apr 2007
I am a financial planner and have been for 20 years. Trying to educate people on the value of experiences that are sustainable versus "products" that are not. The truly happy and fulfilled "rich people" I work with generally don't over consume. In the global economy model, economic development and consumption are the goals. The planets resources would be consumed in short order, should the rest of the world reach our level of consumption.
We need to explore avenues of growth that are sustainable in accretive on depletive. Economic growth in many third world countries would help the environmental situation. It is hard to tell a native not to cut down a tree when they are not sure if they are going to eat today or not. Moving our(the developed worlds) economic model will be difficult, but needs to be pursued.
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tonybogar Posted 12:14 am
13 Apr 2007
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Delay And Deny Posted 2:47 am
13 Apr 2007
Yes, and that's mostly due to increased productivity and efficiency. We've just gone through a wrenching time as we birthed ourselves into the Age of Information. Factories are automated, use CAD technology, databases...and employees are smarter and work harder than ever before.
We are actually competitive in steel again! USX (nee U.S. Steel) is thriving.
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bshizz Posted 4:11 pm
13 Apr 2007
"Methanol, a chemical usually derived from coal, can be added to petrol to create a cleaner-burning fuel. When oil prices are high, it is also cheaper."
...
"...officials had complained that the NDRC had been holding back the development of methanol in favour of ethanol, which is mainly made using corn in China."
...
"The two methanol standards...use fuel with 15 per cent and 85 per cent of methanol respectively."
So, it looks like methanol is a) cleaner than oil, and b) replacing ethanol, the unsustainability of which I have read about in this magazine many times (and which is even referenced in this very article)
Would China be doing itself and the world a big favor if it put methanol, or methanol mixed with oil, into its car engines instead of just oil?
I know Grist has written about Coal-to-liquid fuels here: http://gristmill.grist.org/story/2007/3/5/155252/7171
but is this methanol thing the same?
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Biodiversivist Posted 2:08 am
18 Apr 2007
Our computers were made in China, as was my bike, its electric motor, controller, the batteries that run the motor, and the charger that charges the batteries.
Few could afford an electric bike, or a computer for that matter if the parts were all made locally. Locally grown food is of course much more feasible and only slightly more expensive, so at least that idea has potential.
We have defined the problems. We need to put much more emphasis on finding solutions.
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danielbu Posted 4:13 am
25 Apr 2007
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