'Decision-makers' rank GHG abatement technologies

Guess which type of energy comes in last in a recent poll 10

GlobeScan, a self-styled "global public opinion and stakeholder research" organization based in Toronto, has just published the results of a survey of 1,000 climate "decision-makers and influencers" from across 105 countries, conducted in the two weeks leading up to the Bali Climate Conference (Nov. 22-Dec. 5, 2007).

According to the firm's website:

Unlike public opinion polls, this survey focuses on the views of professionals in position to make or influence large decisions in their organizations and society. This focus, together with the survey's large global sample and good balance of respondents across all geographies and sectors, makes this survey unique.

A bar chart showing the results in graphic form is found below the fold.

GlobeScan_survey_results

Among the survey's findings:

  • Decision makers rate biofuels produced from food crops like corn as having the least potential of 18 technologies for reducing carbon emissions over the next 25 years.
  • Decision makers put surprisingly high emphasis on the protection of biodiversity and having sustainable development guide climate actions, while putting relatively low emphasis on cost effectiveness.
  • Decision makers expect fully half of their organization's reductions of carbon emissions over the next decade to come from energy demand management or efficiency improvements.

Another interesting result is the relatively high ranking given to tidal and wave energy. Tidal energy was first exploited decades ago, and it has been talked about ever since. Yet there are still only three tidal-barrage plants operating in the world. Perhaps the new designs, which are more like underwater wind turbines, hold more promise.

I am also curious what GlobeScan means by "human-powered vehicles." Does that mean, like, bicycles? If so, am I the only one surprised that they would rank third from the bottom, polling only slightly ahead of large-scale hydroelectric plants and first-generation biofuels?

That first-generation biofuels from agricultural crops ranked so low is both unsurprising and surprising -- unsurprising to anybody familiar with the debate on life-cycle GHG emissions associated with first-generation biofuels, but surprising because it should make one wonder how truly the polled professionals are "in [a] position to make or influence large decisions in their organizations and society." If they were, then why do politicians keep supporting first-generation biofuels so enthusiastically?

All it takes, aparently, is a visit by a key policy maker and his or her staff to a Farm Fest. According to the San Francisco Chronicle:

[House Speaker Nancy] Pelosi's role on the farm bill will be critical heading into next months' negotiations with the Senate to produce a final bill. [House Agriculture Committee Chairman Colin] Peterson said he believes Pelosi was won over to farm programs during a visit to his district for an annual Farm Fest.

"She just had a great time, and her staff did, and they bonded with the farmers and she was eating pork chops on a stick and riding around in an ethanol four-wheeler," Peterson said. "And that had a lot to do with her being as engaged and helpful as she was in finally getting the bill through."

Eating pork chops on a stick while riding around in a flex-fuel SUV.

Hooooooo-wee! Where's that silly little Farm Bill, Senator? Sign me up!

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  1. David Roberts's avatar

    David Roberts Posted 7:45 am
    12 Dec 2007

    Yeah,I wish these influencers had more influence!

    grist.org
  2. scatter Posted 8:53 am
    12 Dec 2007

    HmmmmIs the 25 year timeframe the reason for no mention of EVs, solar thermal electric or CSP? I'd hope that within two and a half decades those technologies are making very big dents in GHG emissions.
    But why solar water heating but not home insulation? Hot water demand must be pretty small compared to space heating demand.
  3. Ron Steenblik Posted 11:54 am
    12 Dec 2007

    Good points, scatterYes, why no mention of EVs, solar thermal electric or CSP? And why solar water heating but not home insulation?
    First, GlobeScan's surveys often provide surveyees with a discrete choice, and not a choice that always reflects the full range available. Having participated in other of their surveys, but not this one, I cannot say if that was the case this time.
  4. GreyFlcn Posted 11:58 am
    12 Dec 2007

    Where's the heat?I don't see Geothermal on that list :(
  5. GreyFlcn Posted 12:00 pm
    12 Dec 2007

    Also frankly"Next Generation Nuclear" isn't really in a 25 year timeframe either.
    They could also call it "Plutonium Reactors" and I'd imagine they'd get a very different response.
  6. GreyFlcn Posted 12:13 pm
    12 Dec 2007

    No Fuel EfficiencyNo Diesel, Hybrids, or HCCI Engines either.
  7. Biodiversivist's avatar

    Biodiversivist Posted 3:28 pm
    12 Dec 2007

    InterestingI wonder who these influential professionals are.

    In the end, it all comes down to biodiversity. Poison Darts--Protecting the biodiversity of our world
  8. amazingdrx Posted 4:31 pm
    12 Dec 2007

    PollsThe list seems to leave out conservation.  And a shift to plugin vehicles, really a conservation move.  Also geo heat exchange heating/cooling, another huge conservation area.  Polling based on a list, as with all polling, gets skewed by what is or isn't included.
    What it indicates is that someone, I guess we blogotistas are on the frontline, ought to bring these factors to the attention of the deciders.
    And where on the list is the renewable distributed smart grid to make this all work together.  Providing storage and backup when needed.
    Still it's a good sign, many of the best solutions scored well.  Are these powerfull not as dopey as one would assume from mass media portrayal of them?
    Where is conversion of coal to natural gas underground using bacteria?  There's a virtually unknown notion.  

    http://amazngdrx.blogharbor.com/blog
  9. Ron Steenblik Posted 4:41 pm
    12 Dec 2007

    More details on their PowerPointAccording to the PowerPoint version of their report (right-click to download), the respondents were a cross section of people from 105 countries around the world. A little more than 1/4 each work in North America or Europe. About one-quarter work for government.
    Before I changed my e-mail address, I was one of the people GlobeScan used to ask to participate in their surveys. So I guess it proves that their claim to have polled truly influential people is somewhat exaggerated!
    ;-)
  10. caniscandida Posted 7:28 pm
    12 Dec 2007

    "bonding with farmers"Well, you know, some of those farm kids out in the Midwest can be mighty bondable, and the urban sophisticates in Pelosi's staff would likely be up for a little adventure ...
    It would be useful to have the actual survey question printed out for us straight away.  Apparently it was something like, "How would you rank these 18 technologies ... ?"
    Like Grey Falcon, I too was wondering why geo-thermal is not included.
    I am surprised that "Second-generation bio-fuels from forest/field waste" is as high as the 66th percentile.  That was discussed not long ago in Gristmill, wasn't it, and I think it was established that encouraging the collection of botanical waste matter would be destructive of many ecosystems.  And yet these "decision-makers" are said to have put a "surprisingly high emphasis on the protection of biodiversity."
    Also, it might be asked that if these "decision-makers" are as influential as all that, do we see signs of their influence anywhere?

    Chickens are our cousins! So are fish! So are other sentient animals! Let us learn to be kind.

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