With the new IPCC report finally out in the world, climate activists can again focus on action. What do we do now?
I say, first let's cut through the defeatism that's posing as realism, as in this article in yesterday's L.A. Times, "Game over on global warming?":
Everybody in the United States could switch from cars to bicycles.
The Chinese could close all their factories.
Europe could give up electricity and return to the age of the lantern.
But all those steps together would not come close to stopping global warming.
Really? I ran the numbers and came up with a 17-18% reduction in global CO2 emissions (4.3% from zapping U.S. cars, 7.7% for closing Chinese factories, 5.6% for converting European electricity to wind).
Hasn't the Times heard of harm reduction? Every percentage drop in emissions will translate into some mitigation in sea level rises, violent storms, and other harms from global warming.
No less vexing, for this writer, was Robert Reich's blog reaction to the IPCC report. The former Clinton Secretary of Labor hadn't even finished his lead paragraph when he threw in the towel: "You can forget a carbon tax any time soon."
C'mon, Bob. Don't mourn, organize. Surrendering just when a political critical mass is assembling to attack carbon emissions is, well, un-American. A carbon tax is essential, and the work of coaxing the public and pressuring policymakers has to start now. There's just no alternative.
Reich advocates a temporary windfall profits tax on oil companies to finance R&D in non-fossil based fuels. But what's holding back renewables isn't a lack of know-how, but the lack of a valuation of climate damage in the prices of fossil fuels. Reich's windfall tax might have meant something in the Clinton years. Now it would be a hollow, ineffectual gesture.
The Big Green groups have a different answer. Their flirtation with carbon cap-and-trade systems has turned into a torrid love affair. NRDC and Environmental Defense have teamed with ten giant industrial corporations, including GE, Alcoa, and PG&E, to push carbon cap-and-trade legislation through Congress.
What's wrong with that? A lot.
- Cap-and-trade won't diminish the price volatility that discourages investments in energy efficiency and renewable energy (whereas a carbon tax will lend predictability to energy prices).
- The workings of cap-and-trade systems are extraordinarily complex and will take years to iron out and start up (carbon taxes could be implemented much sooner).
- The costs of cap-and-trade systems are likely to become a hidden, regressive tax as dollars flow to market participants (carbon tax revenues can be returned to the public through rebates or progressive tax-shifting).
What Big Green likes about cap-and-trade is that it disguises the costs. But that is precisely what's wrong with it.
A carbon tax brings the cost of climate change to bear on every individual buying decision we millions make. Which is why, with Dan Rosenblum, an environmental lawyer and a good friend, I launched the Carbon Tax Center last month.
America is finally ready for an honest discussion of carbon taxing. Dan and I formed CTC to advance this discussion and provide intellectual and practical support to help carbon tax proponents grow into an irresistible civic force.
We are mindful of the obstacles to changing U.S. tax policy. (Our insistence on revenue-neutral and progressive tax-shifting is partly a response to this difficulty, though it is also rooted in our commitment to economic justice.) We've worked in both government and the public-interest sector, and we know how hard it can be to effect change.
But we also know that there's no surer way to lose than giving up before the fight has begun.
So we say to you, Grist reader, eco-citizen: visit our website and join the carbon tax movement. You have nothing to lose but ... well, actually, you have nothing to lose at all. And you have a world to win -- or rather, to win back.
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check thisCharles-
You should check the accuracy of this statement, it is scientifically incorrect, or at least incomplete:
"Every percentage drop in emissions will translate into some mitigation in sea level rises, violent storms, and other harms from global warming."
A reduction in the rate of emissions will only buy time, it will not have a proportional impact on those impacts, "harm reduction" as you say.
I discuss this here:
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/admin/publication_files ...
Further details here:
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/cli ...
Carbon tax is harmfulIt is helpful to consider gasoline tax, heating oil tax, retailed natural gas tax, coal-mining states' coal taxes, and perhaps some I've forgotten as guaranteed profits that some of us get when the fossil fuel industry is having a good year, and also when it is having a bad one.
Those of us with this pleasant connection are more influential than those without; thus, more carbon tax revenue will make us more adamant in opposing fossil fuel conservation and ...read more
Futile RANTThis world has gone completely nuts... do I care?
DANGER do not remove the so called greenhouse gases.
To unravel the problem of Global Climate Change will require considerable thought. The problem is not greenhouse gas but a HOT ocean and the oil membrane.
To rapidly remove the oil membrane (as if we can) will bring on a disaster, read massive Ice Age, as never seen before.
To remove the green house gases will lead to a precipitous cooling....
To leave the climatic ...read more
"only buy time"Mr. Pielke,
The consequences of global warming described in the IPCC and Stern reports show that time is at a soaring premium. So what's wrong with a mitigation strategy that will "only buy time"? Time is the vehicle of innovation and adaptation. Under the guise of scientific formalism, your clarification supports the trend of political fatalism criticized above. Let's not hide the value which lies between the present moment and the (threatened) arrival of ...read more
GJThanks, I don't disagree. But we won't be well served by mischaracterizing the challenge. There is no partial solution to decarbonization -- it has to reach a level of net zero emissions at some point. Pointing out the reality of the challenge is not political fatalism, it is, well, reality. Thanks ...
The opposite of time is deathPlease, please, please tax carbon. Buy me some time. I can deploy solar cheaper than coal. I need time.
Tax CarbonYes, I agree. We need to tax carbon; and to speed up the effects we need to supplement it with rule based regulation, along with public works spending for things like trains that won't happen based on individual decisions.
It seems possible to me ...that my message, that more money to the fossil fuel interests will not make them all that much more eager to support or allow CO2 emissions reduction, is not going as unheard as the various other responses in this thread would suggest.
Also not going unnoticed is their very economical way of saying "tax carbon" when a more precise and accurate turn of phrase would be, "tax carbon more.
--- G. R. L. Cowan, former hydrogen-energy fan
how motoring gains nuclear cachet
But, what if...Mr. Cowan, what if a commitment is made to channel carbon-tax revenue into sequestration efforts (terra preta, geologic, whatever) and additional clean generation?
I'm also not sure I follow you exactly on how the benefits of taxing carbon would have us support it. I certainly support cigarette taxes, but this does not make me want to smoke. Could you please explain it more precisely? Thanks!
Taxes affect the behaviour of those who spend themnot just those who pay them. If your support of cigarette taxes is not disinterested because you get a government cheque, you have an incentive to want others to smoke.
Does it perplex you that speed limits are not very strongly enforced? It seems to me they once were strongly enforced, but that this changed sometime in the early or mid-70s. Does anyone remember a different time for this to happen, or that it didn't happen?
--- G. R. L. Cowan, former hydrogen-energy fan
Oxygen expands around B fire, car goes