Going postal

Mail delivery cutbacks could trim vehicle emissions 11

Apparently, the U.S. Postal Service is considering cutting back on one day of mail delivery per week.

Personally, I suppose I’m fine with this, since I get very little time-sensitive mail. But I imagine that there are some folks who’d see this as a real hardship—yet another little blow, at a time when there are plenty of big ones to absorb.

Regardless, someone just emailed me to ask how the service cutbacks might affect global warming.

Sadly, I’ve got no time for a real answer. But Google gives me just enough information for a ballpark answer: as an upper-bound estimate, I think that a one-day-per-week cutback in mail delivery could reduce vehicle CO2 emissions nationwide by as much as 700,000 tons per year.

Here are some numbers—and consider these very preliminary. I think the back of an envelope might be embarrassed to have all this scribbled on it:

  1. USPS says that it spent $2.35 billion on energy in 2007—75 percent of which was for transportation.

     

  2. The same source says that fuel for cars and trucks accounted for about two-thirds of all transportation fuel spending.

     

  3. $2.35 billion * 75% * 67% = about $1.2 billion spent on highway fuels in 2007.

     

  4. Cutting mail delivery from 6 days to 5 would have saved about $200 billion in 2007.

     

  5. Gasoline averaged about $2.84 per gallon that year.

     

  6. At that price, $200 million would have bought about 70.4 million gallons of gasoline.

     

  7. When burned, gasoline emits about 19.56 pounds of CO2 per gallon.

     

  8. The CO2 savings total 70.4 million gallons * 19.56 pounds per gallon / 2,000 pounds per ton.

     

  9. That all adds up to 688,732 tons of CO2. Call it an even 700,000 tons.

     

How much is that? About as much as the annual emissions of a city of about 35,000. A drop in the bucket in a nation of 300 million, but nothing to sneeze at either.

But here’s the thing: I’m almost certain that this number is wrong! In fact, it could be too high by 60 percent or more. Y’see, even if local deliveries are trimmed, inter-city deliveries will still go on, at about the same pace—meaning that USPS trucks will still ply the nation’s highways, traveling every bit as far as they do now. Cutting delivery service by one-sixth might mean cutting total fuel consumption by much less.

So consider yourself warned—if you attribute this number to me, I’ll accuse you of not reading to the end of this post!

This post originally appeared at Sightline’s Daily Score blog.

Clark Williams-Derry is research director for the Seattle-based Sightline Institute, a nonprofit sustainability think tank working to promote smart solutions for the Pacific Northwest. He was formerly the webmaster for Grist.

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  1. Tasermons Partner Posted 2:14 am
    31 Jan 2009

    Actually, they're a bit low......remember that gas mileage for mail trucks is extremely low.  In addition to their large weight and non-aerodynamic boxy design (not to mention resistance from open doors), mail trucks make frequent stops and drive at very low speeds between mailboxes.  And they often idle while doing so.
    On the other hand, if a day were cut off, it's likely that at least a portion of the mail that would've been delivered by USPS will simply be delievered by private shippers instead.
    Still, I imagine that there would be at least a small cut in emissions.
  2. spaceshaper's avatar

    spaceshaper Posted 2:42 am
    31 Jan 2009

    FunnyI was just watching my local mail truck gunning it every hundred feet between mailboxes on my suburban street and thinking a more wasteful application for a gas engine would be hard to imagine. At least the inter-city truck engines get to run at something approaching reasonable efficiency for a substantial part of the trip. For most local delivery an EV fleet would make far more sense, no? Could be a very low-spec inexpensive vehicle. 35 mph, 50 mile range, lead acid batteries, overnight recharge. And keep six-day delivery.

    The true meaning of life is to plant trees, under whose shade you do not expect to sit.
  3. Pompey Road Posted 4:12 am
    31 Jan 2009

    Sacrifice for the Environment:It will be hard to do without the credit card offers, pleas to buy life insurance and extended warranties. I will miss all the wholesale furniture flyers that will let you buy with no money down and at 30%. The junk food restaurant flyers containing all the heart attack on a bun food I can't eat.
    When I think of all that paper pulp wood that could have been turned into wood ethanol for the coal trucks to haul coal to the power plant with, it just makes me want to give up Saturday Mail Service.
    My dog will miss the mail person more than I will but then again he will still have the power compamy meter man. Since my home is supplied with coal fired electric power I may just take him off the chain and let him enjoy.  

    The eons of time and nature was good to us down here. It was not until we become civilized that destroying our habitat become fathomable or fashionable.
  4. Des Emery Posted 12:33 pm
    31 Jan 2009

    Going PostalPerhaps you won't miss one-day deliveries (as long as it's Saturday) as much as you think.  In Canada, we used to have six-day mail service, with Sundays off.  The Post Office, years ago, cut costs by going to week-day deliveries only.  
    It only took about a week to get used to the new schedule, although the postman sometimes also missed junk mail on Fridays and Mondays - no loss of communications at all.  
    I trust your Postmaster General will check his Canadian counterpart to see how easy it is to eliminate that one day.

    Des Emery
  5. Green Granny's avatar

    Green Granny Posted 1:03 am
    01 Feb 2009

    Blue goes GreenThe US Postal Service has been adopting "green" environmental and money savings measures for years.  They even have a handy on-line CO2 calculator you can use to see what you can save by doing your postal business on-line instead of in person.

    http://www.usps.com/green/
    The USPS boasts the largest civilian alternative fuel vehicle fleet, 1/3 of all mail deliveries are made by foot, they are the largest recyclerer, stamps are printed with water-based inks, they are upgrading buildings with the goal of reducing energy use 30% by 2015, have built a straw bale post office, are currently building two LEED certified (or will be when they're done) processing facilities. . .
    The USPS is the first mailing/shipping company to achieve Cradle-to-Cradle certification for its packaging materials (like those free Priority mailing envelopes).
    The Postal Service is pioneering a "mail it back" program where customers can mail electronic gadgets for recycling instead of throwing them in a dump.

    "We must be the change we wish to see in the world." -- Mahatma Ghandi
  6. filups Posted 5:50 am
    02 Feb 2009

    typoon point 4 you typoed "million" into "billion".  And any decent estimate will need to take into account the increase in business for private companies as well.  Is there any data for the Canadian postal service from when they dropped from 6 to 5 days?
  7. estark Posted 8:38 am
    02 Feb 2009

    cut backing is no big dealWith so much of our mail now coming via email, I don't think it will bother the average person. We all need to cut back on waste, so this is a good place to start.
    I'm dating myself, but I remember when postal carriers actually hopped on the city bus to get from neighborhood to neighborhood. They had an awfully heavy load to carry, but it somehow was accomplished. Now they have it so cushy, driving a block here, a block there, and I can't tell you how often I see carriers sitting in their vehicle, eating lunch or whatever, WITH THE MOTOR RUNNING. That is disgusting.
  8. GreeningTX Posted 10:14 am
    02 Feb 2009

    probably off on the fuel cost/gallonI doubt that USPS, buying such an enormous quantity of gasoline, paid the retail price. So more gallons might have been consumed.
  9. Sam Wells Posted 10:18 am
    02 Feb 2009

    USPS contractorsMost of the heavy duty lifting is contracted out and not included in the calculations. Class 8 heavy-duty diesel are used between regional cities. Even AMTRAK carries some USPS loads. I am not sure about air freight, but you get the picture - if to send a letter from New York to SanFran it's not going to be on a cute little white residential Metro delivery truck.
    Let us not forget that a small portion of the postal deliveries are also performed by contract rural carriers.
    GreenMom was exactly right in the USPS is one of the few federal fleets that really did something about CO2 emissions, cradle to grave.
    I won't dispute the author's contention about CO2 emissions because I usually do things in a "bottom up" manner involving large databases and multiple pollutants such as methane and nitrous. My results could be very much different depending on how much upstream and contracted emissions you want to include.

    -sammie

    Onward through the fog
  10. Pangolin's avatar

    Pangolin Posted 10:38 am
    02 Feb 2009

    Junk mail gas!! I bet the USPS could run their trucks on free fuel if they just picked up yesterday's unwanted junk mail and fed it into wood gas generators on their little trucks. After all, paper is the perfect feedstock for a wood-gas burner, the ash powders so easily it can't clog up.

    Put the Carbon Back
  11. Tasermons Partner Posted 10:53 am
    03 Feb 2009

    Con Air......don't forget that USPS also runs a rather large fleet of airplanes as well.  Cuttin' back on days could affect pollution released by those as well.

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