If crime rates are rising, how come I didn’t get mugged today?
P.S. from Grist’s Russ Walker: Given the example above, it’s not hard to see why so many Americans don’t believe human activities are causing global warming. Some grim polling data here from Rasmussen (though the survey questions aren’t exactly written in such a way to reflect the true complexity of the issue…)
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Baby Boomer Posted 4:34 am
22 Jan 2009
I forgot. I'm in a better mood now since I saw a helicopter flying away.
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katakanadian Posted 5:37 am
22 Jan 2009
(Non-green rant follows: Parents! Don't invent new spellings for your kids' names in an effort to be unique. It's a real pain. It wastes a lot of time asking little kids how to spell their name. "Is that SueZ, Szuxi, Suzi, Sjoozee, Csuzhi, Soozie, or Susie?" "No! It's S ... o ... u ... um ... j ... er ... h ... y ... e ... I think." The kid ends up being annoyed with seeing their name constantly spelled wrong.)
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Sean Casten Posted 5:58 am
22 Jan 2009
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Gar Lipow Posted 6:32 am
22 Jan 2009
On most issues a large percentage (ranging from a substantial minority to a small majority) have no opinion, and certainly no strong opinion. But pollsters don't like 'undecided' and try to minimize that response. But a lot of people are making up their mind for the first time in response to the survey. one way to try to compensate for this is having choices like "strongly believe" or "somewhat believe". or "strongly support" "somewhat support" "strongly oppose" "somewhat oppose". There are problems here too, because on the one hand you will get people saying "strongly" because they don't want to seem wimpy and on the other hand people saying somewhat because they don't want to appear fanatical. Don't know what phrasing would be better, but polling would really improve if more effort was put into distinguishing between strongly help opinions, weakly held opinions, and people who are just choosing an answer rather than saying "undecided" because they want to please the pollster by choosing something, or because they think "undecided" is for wimps.
Even strongly biased questions won't affect the answers of people with strong opinions. I suspect that biased questions may sometimes capture the political dynamic better than attempts as scrupulous fairness. Here is an example that is not green but illuminating. 45% of Americans support government health insurance even when it is called "socialized medicine".39% opposed it when called that, and 17% are undecided. Responses are much more favorable when it is explained means that the government provides help insurance rather than all the doctors become government employees. But I suspect the response to the biased phasing reflects actual public opinion - including the large undecided component.
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Pompey Road Posted 7:02 am
22 Jan 2009
The eons of time and nature was good to us down here. It was not until we become civilized that destroying our habitat become fathomable or fashionable.
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GreyFlcn Posted 1:10 pm
22 Jan 2009
"Most members of the public think meteorologists know climate, but most of them actually study very short-term phenomenon."
http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/americas/01/19/eco.globalwa ...
-David Ahlport
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SvenAERTS Posted 5:18 am
31 Jan 2009
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