Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)On On Thursday, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) introduced a bill aimed at getting 10 million new solar rooftop systems and 200,000 new solar hot water heating systems installed in the U.S. in the next 10 years.
Cleverly titled the "10 Million Solar Roofs & 10 Million Gallons of Solar Hot Water Act" (PDF), it would provide rebates that cover up to half the cost of new systems, along the lines of incentive programs in California and New Jersey (not coincidentally, Nos. 1 and 2 in installed solar in the U.S.). It also includes measures to insure that those who receive assistance get information on how to make their buildings more energy efficient.
Sanders currently has nine co-sponsors: Environment and Public Works Committee Chair Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) and Sens. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.), Frank Lautenberg (D-N.J.), Robert Menendez (D-N.J.), Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), Ben Cardin (D-Md.), Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.), Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.), and Arlen Specter (D-Pa.).
The bill would accelerate what is already a fairly rapid pace of growth for distributed solar power. Distributed energy has a number of advantages over its central-plant competitors (both clean and dirty): it's faster to build, avoids the need for expensive transmission lines, can use already developed land, and enhances community resilience and self-reliance. It's also labor-intensive, creating more jobs per dollar of investment than its competitors -- a feature that may make it more attractive during a recession, when Democrats are turning their attention to unemployment.
I chatted with Sen. Sanders about the bill, the growth of solar, and his colleagues' peculiar fixation on nuclear power:
Q. How much would your program cost?
A. We think this will cost between 2 and 3 billion dollars a year, and at the end of a 10-year period we are going to be producing 30,000 new megawatts of energy -- the equivalent of what 30 nuclear power plants produce. This is a very cost effective way of producing that energy.
Q. Even if you take half the price off a solar system, it still has relatively high upfront capital costs. Are you looking into ways for people to find financing?
A. Remember that there are already a lot of tax credits, federal and in many states. The federal tax credit would be up to 30 percent off the cost of a project. That's a lot. Let's say hypothetically you wanted to spend $40,000 on solar. If you take 30 percent off that, you're down to $28,000. If you get state help you're down to $25,000. Then the federal government would pay half of that.
That's a pretty good deal! It could be a major incentive for people to use photovoltaics. And the more photovoltaics we use, the more will be built; the more that are built, the cheaper it becomes.
Q. What about the objection that it's a subsidy that advantages some states (the sunny ones) over others?
A. The fact is that every state in this country can produce at least 10 percent of its electricity from solar. [Sanders' press release cites ISLR's report on Energy Self-Reliant States.] In Vermont, we're moving on solar. New Jersey is one of the leading producers of solar energy in America. It'll obviously work better in Florida and California -- that's true, and that's great -- but this is for all 50 states.
For people who are complaining about subsidies to energy, well, they've got to take a deep breath: huge amounts of money into nuclear, huge amounts of money into coal, huge amounts of money into oil. It is time that we begin to subsidize those technologies that are cutting greenhouse gas emissions and in the long run will be more cost-effective.
Q. Do you get the sense that your Senate colleagues appreciate the power of renewable energy, particularly distributed renewables?
A. No, they don't. I'm a member of both the Environment Committee and the Energy Committee, and it just astounds me how little discussion there has been about the potential of sustainable energy in general and solar in particular. If you go to an Energy Committee meeting, it's about nuclear, nuclear, nuclear. The general assumption is that nuclear is time-tested, it's cheap, it's reliable; solar is experimental, it's fringe, maybe someday.
Roughly speaking, a new nuclear power plant will cost you about $10 billion. Then at some point you've got to decommission it and get rid of the waste -- a great expense. The average nuclear power plant will produce about 1,000 megawatts for that $10 billion dollars. We can produce 30,000 megawatts for $30 billion and they're going to produce it for $300 billion.
Now, theirs is baseload ours is intermittent, that is true. But having said that, our form of production is far more cost effective than nuclear. Have you ever heard anybody talk about that outside of the environmental community? You have not heard that discussion on the floor of the House or the Senate. And the reason you're not hearing about this is the solar industry doesn't quite have the clout that the coal industry, the oil industry, or the nuclear industry has.
Now, you asked me [about distributed energy]. We need to push solar, in all of its forms, as aggressively as we can. I'm not very sympathetic to people who tell us, “If we don't move aggressively to cut greenhouse gas emissions the world will collapse, but I don't like wind because a bird got killed.” According to the secretary of the interior, we can produce almost 30 percent of the electricity for homes in this country through solar thermal in the Southwest. That is extraordinary. We should begin building those things tomorrow.
It's not a question of either/or. It's both. It's those, wind, geothermal, biomass versus coal and oil and nuclear. Our main job is to cut back greenhouse gas emissions in a fundamental way, and to transform our energy system. So people should be putting their shoulders to the wheel.
Q. Is anyone in Congress talking about the barriers to distributed energy posed by America's complex regime of utility regulations?
A. Yeah, they are. Many of us like what Germany has done -- feed-in tariffs. In Vermont, without state regulations, one of our major utilities has unilaterally instituted those with good results. A lot of the utilities are tied into coal and to gas, and they will be resistant. There's always resistance to change. But I think we have the wind at our backs, or the sun in our faces, or whatever. We are making progress.
Q. What's the road forward for the bill? Any chance it will be part of the upcoming jobs bill?
A. It's certainly something I would like to see. In any vehicle, any venue we can get, we're going to push it.
Read more interviews with members of Congress:
Does a renewable energy standard stand a chance?
How many species do you eat in a day?
How Chicago took the LEED in green building 


Comments
Post a Comment +
Senator Sanders is an actual leader and statesman. What a wonderful person ! Why are there so few like him in Washington D.C. ? Change that and we will all enjoy a much happier and more prosperous world.
Go Bernie. I think the weakest part of this is the base load of nuclear vs the intermittent nature of solar. I'd like to see a more detailed analysis from the senator on how to justify energy production that's intermittent. The electrical demand doesn't match the production curve of a typical sunny day, so how helpful is solar that's generated during off-peak times?
If federal and state tax credits can already reduce a PV system cost from $40,000 to $25,000, then why do we need more federal subsidies? Couldn't renewable funding make up the difference? If the tax credits make the system cost-effective, then the advantage of renewable funding is that it can reduce the up-front cost to zero -- at no cost to anyone.
I think a more constructive legislative program would replace tax credits with something like feed-in tariffs, financed by carbon fees within the subsidized industry. Make the program financially autonomous and self-sustaining, neither dependent on federal spending nor a source of carbon tax revenue. Use subsidies only to reduce up-front costs to the cost-effectiveness threshold; use renewable funding to make up the balance. The government's money can be spent on R&D to create sustainable technologies, after which those technologies should be weaned of government dependence ASAP.
Creating a sustainable economy requires a sustainable business model for financing renewable energy. Increased reliance on deficit federal spending is inherently unsustainable.
Great interview! Sanders is the only legislator that has displayed a grasp of distributed renewable smart grid technology. And exposed the fact that all he hears from his colleagues is nuclear, nuclear, nuclear (nuke-u-ler?). The rest of the sponsers of his bill ought to speak out too.
All these legislators should get a lot of invitations to tour the latest best renewable energy smart grid projects and zero carbon footprint buildings available. We have a few allies in high places! Eureka, who knew? No one that depends on mass media. Thanks again Grist.
The math doesn't make sense. 10 million PV roof-top installations at $40k a pop is 400 billion dollars. The load reduction from 200,000 solar hot water systems is trival, at best 1.2 million MWh/year.
It's what one would expect from Sanders and Boxer, no sense of reality.
I'm with you, Ken -- I would have liked to see more emphasis on financing (I actually asked about it but didn't get much). These big infusions of deficit spending are better than nothing but something more predictable and sustainable is better.
The math doesn't follow here. 30,000 MW of nuke for $300 billion implies a capital cost of ($300 billion / 30,000,000 kW) = $10,000/kW. Nuke is undoubtedly expensive, but that's a bit of a stretch. Most cited #s I've seen are in the $3000 - 5000/kW range. From his comments, he is perhaps adding in the costs of waste disposal? Are we sure this is apples:apples?
The solar is more suspicious though. 30,000 of PV for $30 billion, per the same math is $1000/kW - about the cost of a gas turbine. Is anyone credible citing #s that low for installed solar? It strikes me as very ambitious. Maybe it's right - but at the very least, it smacks of taking the highest possible end of the range for nuke and the lowest possible end of the range for solar.
The larger issue though is capacity factor. The current US nuke fleet averages 90% annual capacity factor. A PV array runs something like 20%. So on a MWh equivalent basis, you need 90/20 = 4.5x as many MW of solar to get the same amount of MWh volume of nuke. And you still need all the storage to be able to hold that mid day power and distribute it back to the grid at night (a cost that is decidedly not included in the $1000/kW implied value.)
Don't get me wrong; nuke has massive problems, and is inarguably not a technology that would ever be built by an economically-rational investor. But if we're going to frame arguments on purely economic grounds, solar PV is a heck of a lot worse. That's not to say ...read more
Well Sean check the latest Grist article on current nuclear costs from Sue Sturgis, it's approaching that 10 bucks per watt threshold of financial doom. I would think 8 bucks per watt would have doomed it.
What is wind adjusted for CP or solar? Sure Bernie's estimate of 1 dollar per watt is maybe too cheap for today's cost. But what about the cost for 38% efficient 10 sun concentration solar cogeneration that provides heat too? Or the latest mass produced heliostat powered solar cogeneration power from Google? It runs 24/7 on stored heat.
I think 2 bucks per watt for mass produced and installed renewable smart grid technology is realistic. Remember nuclear, coal, and natural gas plants are already subject to all the mass production cost reduction they will ever have. Renewables are just getting started on the mass production cost reduction curve. An exponential curve!
Investors have to look at the future, not present/past technologies as persistent opportunities. Coal and nuclear centralized power are going under, just like land line phone companies have.
Wikipedia has some recent cost estimates for nuclear plants currently being proposed: http://tinyurl.com/yf96kwm. Lower than $10,000/kW, but not quite $3,000-5000/kW.
To Sean and Smiley: I believe Sen. Sanders was just referring to the cost to the federal government for the program (30 billion). At least, that is they way I read it (2-3 billion each year over ten years = ~30 billion).
I agree the math is still handwavey, as are the references to energy quality, but I wouldn't go overboard with the flag throwing.
Hats off to Sen. Sanders.
Dr. X,
I think you miss my point, which is simply a request for honest analysis. I'm sure someone in the pro-nuke lobby has very high cost projections for solar, just as anti-nuke folks have high cost estimates for nuke. I don't say that to disparage either; the truth is that any technology is not currently being deployed on a large scale is bound to have a broad range of cost assessments - with one end being based on technology advancements and manufacturing scale and the other based on hiccups bound to be identified on both, historic costs, etc. (remember: there's been damned little solar deployed over the last 30 years relative to potential, but there's been more of that deployed than nuke!)
By all means, do the apples:apples comparison. But those values for nuclear are well in excess of anything that a pro-nuke advocate would support, while the numbers put forth for PV are arguable less than the most rabid pro-PV group would attest to. Whatever the merits of either number, it ain't apples:apples. And if we all accept that there is a need to sway public opinion, then I would hope we'd also agree that cherry picking data to bolster an argument is unlikely to do anything to pull fence-sitters towards you.