Listen to the coal guy!

Why it’s better to invest in efficiency than to hold electricity rates down 9

Joe Romm draws attention to some extremely interesting thoughts from Glenn English, head of the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association. NRECA represents 900-plus small, not-for-profit, typically coal-based utilities in the Midwest. We tend to think all coal utilities are after more free allowance allocations under a cap-and-trade system, but as Climate Wire (sub req) reports, last week English said that ...

... “the basis for a deal” on climate would not revolve so much around allowances, but around whether people in coal-dependent regions would get enough help with efficiency retrofits on homes so they can manage potential electricity spikes.

These are words of wisdom, the words of a man whose primary concerns are his region and his people rather than profit. I have no idea how widespread English’s view is among coal utility execs—probably rare indeed among the for-profit set—but I choose to take great heart from it.

Here’s the truth English has grasped: it is better to give people efficiency than to give them cheaper electricity.

Given free allowances, utilities are likely to do one of two things: keep the profit and raise electricity rates anyway (as economists fear), or use it to keep rates down (as economists fear). The former scenario is bad for obvious reasons, but the latter is a more subtle danger. Holding down rates will mute the carbon price signal for dirty electricity—meaning other forms of carbon (gas, heating oil, etc.) will have to rise in price disproportionately to make up the difference. Neither option serves the purpose of cost-effectively reducing emissions or protecting consumers.

Money invested in efficiency is a different matter: Electricity rates still go up, preserving the price signal, but electricity bills go down, because consumers use less. Here’s the thing: even if ratepayers end the month with the same total out-of-pocket expenses (paying the same rate for the same amount of electricity, or paying a higher rate for less electricity), the two investments are not equivalent.

  • Relying on carbon revenue to hold rates down ties ratepayers’ fate to the whims of utility execs, public utility commissions, and politicians. At any time, utilities could pocket more profits; at any time, politicians could change their approach to emission allocation. Efficiency savings, in contrast, are reliable and intrinsically local. Every reduction in demand pays back not just once but on every future electricity bill. Once the investment is paid off it effectively creates a permanent value stream. That value is controlled by, and belongs to, property owners. By lowering their energy demand, they increase their independence from distant powerbrokers.
  • Holding down electricity rate increases can help ratepayers tread water, but efficiency investments raise property value. They add value to a region’s infrastructure and boost its economic competitiveness. What’s more needed in America right now than a program that staves off foreclosures by raising property values, not with financial gimmicks but with real upgrades in building stock?
  • Using carbon revenue to hold rates down will not affect rising demand; sooner or later, new generation will be needed, and new power plants are a huge incremental capital investment. Using the revenue for efficiency, by contrast, prevents the need for those new power plant investments. Amortized over time, the avoided costs of those new power plants make a dollar of efficiency go farther than a dollar of rate assistance.

In short, efficiency investment has all sorts of social advantages, multiplier effects, and system-of-system benefits that rate assistance doesn’t.

Finally, there’s good reason to believe, especially in coal-dependent areas, which tend to have the least efficiency building stock, that efficiency savings can easily exceed the rise in rates that a carbon cap will generate. That means consumers will take money they used to spend on energy and spend it on something else—and as it happens, a dollar spent spent on energy and a dollar spent elsewhere are not equivalent:

  • Money spent on energy almost always leaves a community, while money spent on other goods is more likely to stay in the community.
  • The energy sector has extremely low labor intensity; much spending on energy is simple scarcity rent. Dollars spent on energy create very few jobs relative to dollars spent on ... almost anything else, but again, especially efficiency. Money spent on non-energy goods and services creates somewhere between two to seven times as many jobs as money spent on energy.  (See Skip Laitner at ACEEE on this.)

Even if we keep overall consumer spending level, then, it’s better for that spending to go to non-energy sectors than to energy sectors. Efficiency shifts spending out of energy.

So, to wrap it up: English is right: the most important thing a federal program can do to “keep consumers whole” while reducing emissions cost-effectively is to invest heavily in energy efficiency. This may be the first and last time I ever say this, but: listen to the coal guy!

David Roberts is staff writer for Grist. You can follow his Twitter feed at twitter.com/drgrist.

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  1. magic612 Posted 12:04 pm
    27 Oct 2009

    Probably the easiest and fastest way a lot of people in both residences and businesses can be more efficient is look at their outdoor lighting at night. Many outdoor lights are either horribly mis-aimed, or simply flood photons up into the air. This serves only to light up the underside of airplanes and bats in 99% of all cases - in other words, it's wasted energy. Who would turn on their A/C then open their windows? That's effectively the same thing that happens with lighting now.

    Correctly aimed lights with proper shielding actually lights up the area needed - the ground - instead of the atmosphere, which wastes electricity. And it's not just wasted light up (light pollution), but also light that goes where it is unneeded or unwanted (light trespass). Have you ever had to pull the blind or curtains in your bedroom because an outdoor light was on all night from a neighbor or nearby business? That's light trespass.

    Full cut off fixtures allow lower wattage bulbs to be used, place the light where it's needed AND reduce electricity usage at the same time. In fact, most "all night" fixtures even pay for themselves in a few years time.
  2. Lane Burt's avatar

    Lane Burt Posted 2:16 pm
    27 Oct 2009

    Cheap electricity is impossible with economic growth unless the utility pursues energy efficiency. New power plants are expensive and energy bills will go up much more than they need to unless the energy that is already being generated is used as efficiently as possible. Even folks who think they have "cheap" electricity now are paying more than they could be, if only their homes and workplaces were efficient and that last power plant didn't get built.
  3. Daniel Coffey's avatar

    Daniel Coffey Posted 5:34 pm
    27 Oct 2009

    I think one of the odder problems to be faced is that, all things being equal, if growth demand is small, conservation tends to keep in place the current power generation technology instead of making space for renewable sources. When purchase agreements simply require power, how that power is made may be more under the control of contracts than other forces. With growth in new demand, renewable sources can painlessly slide into the gap, thereby establishing a market for the next generation of power production capacity.

    In fact, conservation and efficiency may extend the life of coal facilities simply because the alternative, competing forms of renewable electricity production, will not have customers to whom to sell their shiny new electricity.

    Just a thought.
    1. jestbill Posted 12:14 pm
      28 Oct 2009

      OK, right. Conservation (if done right) will result in fewer new power plants being built so alternative technology might have a smaller impact. Especially so if growth (minus conservation) is small.
      The problem with that thought is in the timing: once the new plant is built, there should be NO room for alternatives until growth sops up all its excess production.
      So would you rather stymie alt.power now or in the future?

      I'm always struck by how people talk about "efficiency" and "conservation" as if they are somehow static. The technology now in place was once "efficient" so there is a real question whether delaying the (called for) upgrades might result in even greater conservation.

      My guess is that people need to just put one foot in front of the other and go where they need to go right now. "Take the Cash and leave the Credit go /Nor heed the rumble of a Distant Drum."
      1. Daniel Coffey's avatar

        Daniel Coffey Posted 12:45 pm
        28 Oct 2009

        JESTBILL: The objective must be to reduce the role of the current 48% of US electricity production from coal fire plants. Coal is a source which is stable, useful and provides base-load, but at what environmental price? Mercury, radiation, CO2, ash, mountain top removal, acid rain, and the list goes on. There are many reasons to want to reduce reliance on coal, and that means building new, cleaner renewable energy sources.

        My point is that other mechanisms must come into play to assure that while conservation and reduction strategies are part of the mix that they don't inadvertently or unwittingly economically displace renewable generation in favor of already built, cheap, reliable - but environmentally expensive - coal.

        I got lost in some of the things you said and frankly, did not understand what you mean by "The problem with that thought is in the timing: once the new plant is built, there should be NO room for alternatives until growth sops up all its excess production. So would you rather stymie alt.power now or in the future?"

        In brief response to the last sentence, now versus future is not a choice. We need to build the potential in America to produce renewable energy production capacity. The Chinese are committed to building 100,000 MW of wind power, and in so doing are sending a signal that they are willing to commit $200-300 billion between now and 2020. That will give them enormous market power.
  4. Sean Casten's avatar

    Sean Casten Posted 6:02 am
    29 Oct 2009

    Good post. Note though that the apparent eccentricity of English's statement is only if you think of him as a coal utility exec. Far more appropriate to think of him as a voice for rural cooperatives. Recall that in a coop, the owners are the customers - as opposed to in an investor-owned utility where the owners earn money at the expense of the customers.*

    So for English and the constituency he represents, there is no conflict inherent in favoring efficiency over rate increases. That's not at all true for the investor-owned utilities of the world (coal or otherwise) wherein any reduction in sales must come out of owners dividends and any increase in price must come out of customer's wallets. That's not to say that all of the rural coop leaders understand this, and kudos to English for making it clear. But it's not fundamentally a coal story, nor a lesson that translates easily to the Dukes & AEPs of the world, sadly.

    *Note: this is NOT intended as a bash against capitalism, but as an acknowledgment of the fact that in a regulated, for-profit monopoly, the interests of owners and customers are exactly opposed. Add competition and this goes away. Convert it to a coop or other more "socialist" structure and this goes away. But half pregnant doesn't work.
  5. Chris Pratt Posted 8:58 am
    29 Oct 2009

    Dan, good point, but I take from this article that there is a social consequence to conservation efforts. Spending on money on home efficiency has a monetary multiplier effect that creates more jobs and supports more local and middleclass workers, and this is bigger political issue than global warming. In this ecoconomic climate, solar energy, wind, and home efficiency work is a decentralized approach that has a lot of political traction for both enviros and average financially strapped middle Americans.
    1. Daniel Coffey's avatar

      Daniel Coffey Posted 9:40 am
      29 Oct 2009

      Chris Pratt: You say: "creates more jobs and supports more local and middleclass workers, and this is bigger political issue than global warming." A bigger political issue than global warming??! Hmmm, I thought is was all driven by the need to stop global warming, or at least it should be. Otherwise, its just about jobs.

      You have said something which major implications for ordinary people trying to decide if the Nay Sayers are right about the whole "global warming" debate which has recently come to the fore. When you argue that labor is more important than some other topic, it undercuts the entire premise that motivates massive social, economic and resource utilization changes: namely, serious climate change and steps to head it off. If all that is really at stake is jobs, then that argument favors cheap energy, coal, and doing nothing.
      1. Chris Pratt Posted 5:11 am
        30 Oct 2009

        I was just pointing out that jobs creation has more political traction with the American public. I don't think jobs are more important then the issue of global warming, I just think that we could create more good jobs in our effort to slow global warming down. I think enviros are anti-growth, but pro-jobs. The current system is pro growth anti-good jobs. Don't ask me to explain how that works, but clearly we have had a couple of jobless growth recovery, so why can't we have a no growth job recovery.

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