Not your daddy’s offsets 6

A new report, “Forging the Climate Consensus: Domestic and International Offsets” makes clear exactly how important a role high-quality offsets play in maintaining the integrity of climate legislation—and how they could allow an international climate agreement to achieve far stronger emissions reductions targets than would otherwise be possible.

The report was issued by the National Commission on Energy Policy, which represents major corporations, NGO’s, and labor unions (and whose executive director is Jason Grumet, Obama’s top energy advisor during the campaign, so it should be taken at least somewhat seriously as the type of thinking being seriously considered in the White House and on Capitol Hill). It includes strong support for offsets, but questions if the verification requirements in the legislation are too tough to allow offsets to be brought to market in sufficient quantity to deliver major cost savings for climate legislation, especially in the first years.

If the bill’s restrictions on use of offsets are so severe as to prevent them from being developed, their cost containment value would be reduced and the cost of climate legislation would be higher. That’s of concern to the members of the commission, many of whom represent utilities and other interests that are, to a great extent, focused on keeping the cost of climate legislation down (a concern shared by many senators whose votes we’ll need to pass climate legislation).

As a result, the commission recommends adopting alternate cost-containment measures like a price collar or an allowance auction reserve to hold prices down.

That’s a huge problem. Unlike offsets, which, when done right, deliver emissions reductions by financing affordable (and important) activities like forest conservation and reforestation, price collars let polluters off the hook whenever the price of carbon rises above a certain level—a dangerous policy, given that we can’t be 100 percent sure what the price of carbon will be at any given time. An allowance auction reserve works in a similar way—the government just releases more pollution permits whenever the price rises. Unlike offsets, which deliver affordability through pollution reductions, these mechanisms deliver affordability but no emissions reductions.

That’s a fundamental calculus that offset critics just don’t seem to get: if you remove offsets from legislation or an international climate agreement and you have to find cost control mechanisms somewhere else—or just lower the targets. And that doesn’t do any good for the planet or its people.

It was a perspective certainly missing from two anti-offsets broadsides issued this week by opponents of climate legislation: the “Dangerous Distraction” report by Friends of the Earth and a Greenpeace website mocking their use.

Of course, it’s essential that offsets actually deliver reductions in pollution. FOE and Greenpeace recycle decades-old claims to imply that many offsets are less than credible.

But these are not your daddy’s offsets. There have been tremendous advances to ensure that offsets, especially forest-based offsets, deliver the reductions they promise. Consider the offsets in the American Clean Energy and Security Act passed by the House of Representatives.

In addition to establishing a rigorous scientific board to evaluate any proposed offsets, the bill also includes an essential requirement: in order for any offsets to receive credit, they must have already taken place. In other words, you can’t get credit for a plan to offset emissions, but only for verified emission reductions that have already occurred.

In addition, there are a variety of very strict requirements to ensure, for instance, that indigenous and forest-dependent people benefit from tropical forest conservation offsets (indeed, if a country doesn’t meet the bill’s standards for protection of indigenous people, they could be entirely shut out of the program) and that domestic reforestation activities use only native species and protect biodiversity.

Protection of indigenous people is an especially important issue. Deforestation has brought disease, terror, and displacement to indigenous communities around the world. In the Amazon alone, more than 90 indigenous tribes have been wiped out since 1900. These forests are being destroyed because they’re not valued for the immense quantity of carbon they store.  To unscrupulous agribusiness and timber interests, their only value is as plantation land. In other words, they’re worth more dead than alive.  And to some corporations, the same goes for the communities who live in them. Offset critics sometimes forget that the greatest threat to forest-dependent indigenous people is the destruction of forests, not their conservation. The simple fact that forest offset critics sometimes forget is that the greatest threat to the indigenous people of the forests is their destruction, not their conservation. It’s for this reason that rainforest nations have been the leaders in calling for inclusion of incentives to protect forests in climate legislation.

But it’s not just Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth who underestimate offsets’ potential. I think those who are skeptical about how many will be eligible to be brought to market may underestimate the ability of even the poorest nations to develop, for instance, robust national plans and baselines to monitor the effects of deforesttation and conservation. With the possibility of big development resources on the table, they may be spurred to action faster than anyone realizes. Indeed, Brazilian states, in particular, have shown tremendous capacity to ramp up to monitor and attract forest conservation projects.

Of course, I don’t want to pretend that all offsets are good. A variety of polluting industries have in the past successfully lobbied for crediting of their dubious activities. Friends of the Earth is absolutely right to point out the absurdity of providing carbon credit to, for instance, big dams, as has been done under the Clean Development Mechanism. Even if one accepts their carbon reductions, the damage they do to rivers and local communities is enormous. These dams should be removed, not subsidized (tell that to the World Bank, which has drastically increased their subsidies for dams).

For instance, there are real worries that the standards behind the domestic agricultural and biomass offsets are way too weak—meaning that they could undermine a lot of the good work the legislation does to protect forests (see this post for more).

I think there’s a fairly easy way to tell which kinds of offsets we should be suspicious of and which we shouldn’t: look at what those backing certain kinds of offsets are saying: in general, those willing to embrace rigorous scientific and social standards can be trusted more than those who are lobbying for weaker standards, such as the Big Ag lobby. I wish offset critics were able to see the difference between crediting activities to save forests and giant environmentally destructive hydropower projects or unsustainable biofuels cultivation. Their legitimate criticisms might be listened to more seriously if they didn’t try to demonize, for instance, saving endangered forests as well.

This is especially true when it comes to tropical forests. Critics successfully fought to keep tropical forest offsets out of the Kyoto Protocol. The world has suffered the consequences since then. Because of this giant mistake, more than 300 million acres of forest have gone up in smoke in the last ten years, producing an amount of global warming pollution equivalent to ten times the United States’ annual emissions. That mistake has not only polluted the climate, it’s also made extinct an untold number of species and allowed genocide and murder to be perpetrated against indigenous peoples throughout the tropical forest belt. It’s time to come up with solutions to the deforestation crisis, not just dump on one of the key mechanisms that could provide ammo to solve it. 

A final point: the use of offsets shouldn’t be conceived of as some kind of necessary concession.  They should be used in any climate legislation (or international agreement), no matter how strong, to make it even stronger by getting bigger pollution reductions for the same economic and political cost.

 

Glenn Hurowitz is the Washington Director of Avoided Deforestation Partners (www.adpartners.org), an organization dedicated to protecting tropical forests as part of the solution to climate change. His writing has appeared in The New York Times, Politico, The Los Angeles Times, The American Prospect, and many other publications. He is the author of the critically acclaimed book Fear and Courage in the Democratic Party and has worked in a variety of senior positions in the environmental movement and on political campaigns. All his writing at Grist represents his own opinions and no organization should be held responsible for it!

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  1. JeanKoper Posted 5:53 pm
    17 Sep 2009

    I hear ya, Glenn. Greenpeace and FOE can get bent. You know who else can get bent? The U.N. Those know-it-alls just suspended the accreditation of the world?s largest auditor of offsets projects, SGS UK. I mean, I called them right up and said, "Take a chill pill, dudes." It's only a $100 billion business that's going to expand to trillions before we know it. I mean, come on! Criticisms of carbon offsets, especially forest offsets, are a total CROC. That's why we started the Carbon Regulatory Offset Committee. Check out our PSA on the internets: http://www.thecroc.org. It'll make your week and take away all those doubts you had about carbon offsets, lickity split.

    FYI: Here's an article on SGS UK: http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/article6832259.ece
    1. Glenn Hurowitz's avatar

      Glenn Hurowitz Posted 9:51 am
      20 Sep 2009

      The fact that they're suspending auditors for inadequate resources suggests to me that there is real policing of the market. Having said that, you will find no argument from me that we have to dramatically improve the CDM. There has to be rigorous certification and oversight. One of the challenges has been the expense and time required to get CDM projects verified. As methodologies become standardized, these costs are going down, making projects more efficient and helping with staffing problems. There will also be economies of scale. Of course, as I wrote in the post, I believe CDM currently credits some inappropriate projects, but doesn't credit others (like forest conservation) that are essential.

      UPDATE: Joe Romm at Climate Progress has an excellent discussion of how the CDM needs to be improved here -and how the problems with it are, in some respects, overblown (http://climateprogress.org/2009/09/13/clean-development-mechanism-cdm-auditor-copenhagen-international-offsets/). Of note especially: "For all the lame and/or insufficiently audited CDM projects that became certified emissions reduction (CER) credits for the Europeans to buy instead of actual emissions reductions, they only bought about 80 million in 2008 and the average price was about $25/ton."
      1. Ken Johnson's avatar

        Ken Johnson Posted 3:00 pm
        20 Sep 2009

        Glenn, If offsets meet adequate quality criteria, then should industry be allowed to meet its entire compliance obligation with offsets? What is the policy rationale for limiting offsets?
  2. enviroguy14 Posted 1:35 pm
    18 Sep 2009

    Glenn,

    Thanks for the post. This is an important issue, but I'm concerned because rather than addressing the actual reasons why some environmental groups oppose offsets, you made up concerns for them. For example (as you put so eloquently, obviously forgetting to proof-read):

    "Offset critics sometimes forget that the greatest threat to forest-dependent indigenous people is the destruction of forests, not their conservation. The simple fact that forest offset critics sometimes forget is that the greatest threat to the indigenous people of the forests is their destruction, not their conservation."

    So offset critics believe that forest destruction is better for indigenous people than forest protection? Who has ever said that?

    You also wrote, "I wish offset critics were able to see the difference between crediting activities to save forests and giant environmentally destructive hydropower projects or unsustainable biofuels cultivation." Critics DO see the difference. The problem is that as long as the latter exist and economic incentives drive corporations that way, corporations will use those.

    I'd love for you to address some of the real concerns that opponents to offsets have:

    1. How can we set up a system to properly vet offsets. Just a day before you wrote this article, the world’s largest auditor of clean-energy projects was suspended by United Nations inspectors. Yet you fail to address this. Why?

    2. How do we know that the areas being protected would otherwise be chopped down? (It would be easy to protect 10,000 acres that are miles away from any deforestation while allowing current deforestation to continue)

    3. Once all land is protected, and we've failed to move forward quick enough with lasting technical solutions (switching to renewable power, for example), what do we do then?

    4. Environmental economists have argued that cheap carbon offsets will dilute the price of carbon, further inhibiting real lasting action.
  3. Ken Johnson's avatar

    Ken Johnson Posted 3:16 pm
    18 Sep 2009

    This post concludes with a fallacy. Offsets are not about "getting bigger pollution reductions for the same economic and political cost" -- they are about getting the same pollution reductions for less cost. More specifically, they are about getting the same near-term (e.g. 2020) reductions for less near-term cost. The more difficult and costly reductions -- specifically, decarbonization of our energy technology base -- are not avoided; they are only deferred until later, making it less likely that we and developing countries will be able to achieve emission reductions sufficient to avert catastrophic climate change. The policy of outsourcing our emission reductions is fundamentally a policy of procrastination.
  4. djdan Posted 10:05 am
    19 Sep 2009

    I agree that that quality offsets (e.g., additional, permanent, enforceable...) can and should play a role in holding down the cost of complying with any emission reduction mandate. However, the word "quality" should be emphasized. Any offset, of course, should comply with strict scientific-based protocols. To the extent that Waxman-Markey relies on offset protocols, especially forestry protocols, developed by the California Climate Action Reserve (and I believe it does), we should all be concerned. On Sept 1, at the behest of the timber industry, CCAR recently adopted forestry protocols that permit clearcutting as a "Natural Forest Management" technique eligible for carbon credits. Huh? That's right. This Orwellian double-speak makes a mockery of the protocols and the deliberative process that allowed it to happen. The offensive provision didn't show up until just before the CCAR board approved it. Even CCAR staff admitted that the Board did not have sufficient time to vet it. The California Air Resources Board, under pressure from the sham green Governor, is set to approve these protocols pursuant to AB 32 next week. See letter of opposition below:

    September 17, 2009

    Mary Nichols, Chair
    California Air Resources Board
    1001 I. Street
    P.O. Box 2815
    Sacramento, CA 95812

    Re: Opposition to the Forest Clearcutting Provision in the Forest Project Protocols


    Dear Chairman Nichols and members of the California Air Resources Board:

    We are writing on behalf of the undersigned organizations to express our strong
    opposition to the forest clearcutting provision in the current version of the forest project
    protocols, and to urge you not to adopt the protocols with this provision included.

    At the upcoming September 24 meeting, the California Air Resources Board is scheduled
    to consider for adoption the “Updated Forest Project Protocols for Greenhouse Gas
    Accounting.” These protocols contain a provision, inserted as a single new paragraph by
    Climate Action Reserve staff into the June 22, 2009, version of the updates, which
    appears intended to allow clearcutting:

    Harvesting using even-age management must be conducted in stands no greater
    than 40 acres. Stands adjacent to recently harvested (even-age) stands must not
    be harvested using an even aged regeneration harvest until a recent even-aged
    regeneration harvested stand is 5-years old, or the average height of the
    regeneration in the recently harvested stand has achieved a height of 5 feet. On a
    watershed scale up to 10,000 acres all projects must maintain, or make progress
    toward maintaining, no more than 40 percent of their forested acres in ages less
    than 20 years. Areas impacted by a Significant Disturbance are exempt from this
    test until 20 years after reforestation of such areas. (Section 3.9)

    This paragraph is entirely inconsistent with, and explicitly contradicted by, the definition
    of “natural forest management” in the same protocols, which requires forest projects to
    “promote and maintain a diversity of native species and utilize management practices
    that promote and maintain native forests comprised of multiple ages and mixed native
    species at multiple landscape scales.” (Sec. 3.9.2). It is impossible for even-aged
    management, particularly clearcutting, to meet those overarching requirements.

    Forest clearcutting is not the solution for achieving greenhouse gas reductions in
    California. Scientific studies show that forest clear-cutting is the worst option for
    reducing forest carbon emissions, and that it has devastating impacts on California’s
    forests, water, biodiversity, and fish and wildlife. Moreover, the forest protocols were
    purportedly designed not only to help achieve greenhouse gas reductions, but also to
    provide a range of significant public and environmental benefits including clean water,

    biodiversity, fish and wildlife habitat, recreation, and aesthetics. The newly included
    paragraph incorrectly implies that clearcutting can achieve these goals, when in actuality
    the new paragraph would allow practices that exacerbate climate change while
    simultaneously causing a loss of important co-benefits for fish and wildlife habitat and
    biodiversity in California and other states.

    If the intention of the new paragraph is to extend to other states the environmental
    safeguards currently applied to California’s forests, then it is severely lacking. By
    offering a definition of clearcutting that omits critical regulations that limit clearcutting in
    California, the protocols succeed only in watering down California’s forest protections to
    the point that they are seriously deficient and unrecognizable. Furthermore, the
    California Air Resources Board should not be in the business of encouraging the
    clearcutting of California or any other state, particularly when such practices are likely to
    exacerbate climate change while simultaneously degrading forest ecosystems and fish
    and wildlife habitat.

    Given the misleading nature of the provision, and the potentially extreme negative
    environmental impacts associated with clearcutting, we urge the Air Resources Board to
    eliminate the forest clearcutting provision before adoption of the protocols. At the very
    least, we ask that you postpone adoption of the protocols to allow the Air Resources
    Board time to consider the implications of the provision following the September Board
    meeting.

    Thank you for considering these comments.

    Sincerely,



    Brian Nowicki Michael Endicott
    Center for Biological Diversity Sierra Club California
    (916) 201-6938 (415) 664-3508

    Susan Robinson Kim Delfino
    Ebbetts Pass Forest Watch Defenders of Wildlife
    (209) 795-5569 (916) 313-5800 x 109

    Scott Greacen
    Environmental Protection Information Center (EPIC)
    (707) 822-7711

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