Get out of my dreams, get into my car

Obama’s new mileage rules will be first real step to curb planet-warming emissions 18

President Obama is expected to unveil new fuel-economy standards for automobiles on Tuesday—the first major step by his administration to limit planet-warming greenhouse gases.

The new standards will reportedly raise fleet-wide standards for cars to 42 miles per gallon by 2016, up from 27.5 mpg now.  For light trucks, the required fleet average will rise to about 26.2 mpg by 2016, up from about 24 mpg now.  Ultimately, this will mean a 30 percent reduction in global-warming emissions from new vehicles by 2016, with improvements beginning in the 2011 model year. [Update: See below for clarification.]

The move will push the entire country to meet the aggressive standards proposed by the state of California.  California and 13 other states had requested a waiver from the U.S. EPA that would allow them to set tougher auto-emissions standards than the federal government by requiring cars to reduce their emissions of carbon dioxide—and the only viable way to cut CO2 emissions is to require cars to get better gas mileage.  The Bush administration denied California’s request last year, but Obama directed the EPA to reconsider the petition almost immediately after he took office.

The Obama administration will now officially grant California’s request for a waiver, and at the same time will adopt California’s standard for the whole country.  This means fuel-economy and emissions standards will be combined into one straightforward set of rules.

Obama’s expected announcement would end what has been an ongoing dispute between auto manufacturers, states, and the federal government by creating a unified national standard. Automakers had complained that granting the California waiver would create two separate emissions standards for the country, as they are already required to meet national fuel-economy standards—also known as corporate average fuel economy or CAFE standards—set by the Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA).

The announcement will also be an opening move for the EPA in its fight against global warming.  Last month, the agency indicated that it intends to begin regulating greenhouse-gas emissions under the Clean Air Act, having determined that planet-warming gases threaten human health. EPA’s first target was expected to be mobile sources—i.e., cars and trucks—which account for 20 percent of all U.S. emissions.

The move will please the Auto Alliance, the major industry group representing car makers, which has been asking for one standard that unifies emission and fuel-economy standards across the whole country.

“We recognize that greenhouse-gas emissions from automobiles need to be reduced,” Charles Territo, a spokesperson for the Alliance, told Grist last month. “At the end of the day, what’s most important is that we have a single, national standard that is achievable, but that is aggressive and cost-effective.”

Enviros are pleased too. “This is a very big deal,” Daniel Becker of the Safe Climate Campaign told The New York Times. “This is the single biggest step the American government has ever taken to cut greenhouse-gas emissions.” Daniel Weiss, director of climate strategy at the Center for American Progress, agrees: “The new clean car standard being announced tomorrow by President Barack Obama is a triple play: It will help move America off foreign oil, save families money, and spur American businesses to take the lead in developing the job-creating, clean-energy technologies of the future.”

Sierra Club Executive Director Carl Pope is happy too: “President Obama is putting the pedal to the floor when it comes to slashing our dependence on oil and confronting global warming. Today’s announcement is one of the most significant efforts undertaken by any president, ever, to end our addiction to oil and seriously slash our global warming emissions. The speed with which the Obama administration is moving to build the clean energy economy has been breathtaking.”

We’ll have more on the announcement soon, so stay tuned.

UPDATE: The White House held a background briefing with a senior administration official on the proposed rule change Monday evening. The official said that the administration will announce a notice of proposed rulemaking tomorrow that will call for an average annual fuel economy increase of 5 percent. That will bring cars up to 39 miles per gallon by 2016 and light trucks to 30 miles per gallon.

The official clarified that the Environmental Protection Agency has not yet decided whether or not to grant the California waiver. They have, however, reached an agreement with California, car makers, and the relevant federal agencies, and under that deal the state “will defer to national policy and not set a separate standard” through model year 2016 even if the waiver is granted. Thus, their current request for a waiver is pretty much moot, but California could decide to petition for higher standards for later model years.

Another significant change is that the new standards will include tougher requirements for each class size of vehicles, as well as a higher average across each company’s fleet, according to the official. The previous rules covered only the fleet average, which meant that companies could offset a giant SUV with some more fuel-efficient models.

“This has the effect of preserving consumer choice,” said the official. “You can continue to buy whatever size car you like, all cars get cleaner.”

The official also estimated that this emissions reductions from the CAFE increase will equate to taking 177 million cars off the road, or shutting down 194 coal-fired power plants.

Kate Sheppard is Grist’s political reporter.

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  1. Christopher S. Johnson's avatar

    Christopher S. Johnson Posted 4:49 pm
    18 May 2009

    Ahhhhhh. To quote Boxer, "Elections have consequences."Prediction: most cars will be plug-in hybrids in 2016 and will well exceed an average of 42 mpg anyway.
  2. scarletlew Posted 5:07 pm
    18 May 2009

    looks like Obama's firm on going gren. More electric cars in the future too. I hope I could convert my bmw m1 into something electric.
  3. ferrarimanf355's avatar

    ferrarimanf355 Posted 8:55 pm
    18 May 2009

    Sigh. I'd better get my hands on a Mustang before the standards kick in and we're back in the '70s...
  4. Christopher S. Johnson's avatar

    Christopher S. Johnson Posted 10:56 pm
    18 May 2009

    Why? A pure electric Mustang could beat an ICE Mustang off the starting line *any day*. Torque you could only dream of.http://www.opb.org/programs/ofg/videos/view/56-Electric-Drag-Racing
  5. splashy's avatar

    splashy Posted 11:27 pm
    18 May 2009

    I'm hoping that businesses will spring up that can retrofit existing vehicles to become hybrids. I would jump at the chance to change our Honda Element into a hybrid. That's the only way to get something small, square and roomy as a hybrid that isn't a full sized SUV. For now, you just can't get that. It's either a small car in the Prius or Insight, or a big SUV like the Highlander. The Element has a 4 cylinder engine, which is pretty good, but if it were a hybrid it would be that much better.Here's hoping!
  6. Christopher S. Johnson's avatar

    Christopher S. Johnson Posted 12:19 am
    19 May 2009

    My Ford Escape Hybrid gets 35 in the City. That's better than a Smart Car! And on old-school evaporative and sooty emissions its cleaner than a Honda Civic.Additionally, it is one of the very few hybrids that can be easily retrofitted to be a plug-in hybrid. I think only the Prius and the FEH can be done easily.The back seat goes completely flat with the deck, making for nice cargo room.  Oh and its about $10,000 cheaper than a Highlander Hybrid.
  7. Spence's avatar

    Spence Posted 1:00 am
    19 May 2009

    Obama pulls another perfect rope-a-dope on an otherwise natural enemy. I love it. For years the automakers have complained about having to engineer their vehicles to meet both federal regulations and California's tighter regs. So Obama gave them what they asked for, one regulation. California's. Be careful what you wish for around our President.
  8. ferrarimanf355's avatar

    ferrarimanf355 Posted 6:55 am
    19 May 2009

    It's not the same without that V8 rumble...
  9. thinazzabird Posted 9:28 am
    19 May 2009

    SO the auto industry has been upset about two standards for blah blah blah- Why?  Is it for them like being told to wipe back-to-front when they got a fundamentally forward momentum wrist-thrust?  The point is that THE TRIVIAL CONCERN of the auto industry MUST BE UNDERSTOOD to be OUR concern about the automoble industry a whole- even regarding the serious aspect of the industry, pollution.  This is because all covert positions when synergetically beheld make nothing work for proffessional panters.  Their function in life is to make people feel greatful that they are not allowed to torture. Obama's adherence to the lift the level on the old dip-stick technique means that all that has been well continues to be well.  A wiser course would be dedication of natural and gasoline reserves to military contingency- but these Goddamned futureless fools could'nt strategize their dipsticks out of a dried tuna-fish box and our way will be had with them very soon. 
  10. hapa's avatar

    hapa Posted 10:21 am
    19 May 2009

    great but doesn't help lower quintile folks with older cars and access only to used-car pool. need a "manhattan project" (note appropriate narrowness of focus) to greatly increase fuel-efficiency of buses, then big deployment, to soften the blow of high gas/diesel prices when they come back.
  11. Royal Enfield's avatar

    Royal Enfield Posted 10:27 am
    19 May 2009

       
  12. justlou Posted 11:45 am
    19 May 2009

    My guess is that by 2016, unless gas prices get back in the $4.00 to $6.00 per gallon range, there are still going to be too many people choosing the less is more route (light truck category) and that the entire fleet will be dragging near 25 mpg for many years after 2016.  This is not unrealistic considering that the current fleet average is about 20 mpg and the life cycle of autos is getting longer.  
  13. racc Posted 4:01 pm
    19 May 2009

    Not really. The first big step was support for high speed rail in the stimulus. Unless people stop driving more, the increased fuel efficiency will have no impact. In fact, by making it cheaper to drive, increased fuel efficiency will encourage people to drive more thus negating the impact of the increased fuel efficiency. Even worse, this will encourage even more sprawling development that has a higher carbon footprint.

    It is time to stop wasting money on highways and automobiles and invest our resources in high speed rail, rapid transit and cycling. These modes of transportation encourage compact, mixed use development that has a much lower carbon footprint.
  14. Tasermons Partner Posted 4:38 pm
    19 May 2009

    "Thus, their current request for a waiver is pretty much moot, but California could decide to petition for higher standards for later model years."Are we sure of that?  An article in the Detroit Press seemed to indicate that this move would mean that states wouldn't be allowed to challenge the federal standards ever again, even after 2016.
  15. diana_l Posted 7:23 am
    21 May 2009

    I disagree with the statement "the only viable way to cut CO2 emissions is to require cars to get better gas mileage"...I work for the Transportation and Land Management Agency of Riverside County, and it's a pretty well known fact that as one's MPG goes up, so do miles traveled!!!  We are currently working on a project right now to decrease vehicle miles traveled - another perfectly viable way to cut C02 emissions.  The project is called SB 375 which requires all MPOs in California to decrease vehicle miles traveled by 2020 and further by 2035.  Basically, California keeps on developing open land into urban sprawl, and urban sprawl is not sustainable.  SB 375 seeks to significanlty slow this down and therefore decrease vehicle miles traveled...which will cut C02 emissions!     
  16. splashy's avatar

    splashy Posted 3:22 am
    23 May 2009

    Interesting. Do you think you could fit a 3' by 5' painting in packaging that adds about a foot on each side (making it 4' X 6' X .5') in it? That's what we need to be able to do.
    Update: I looked it up, and yes it would fit. The problem is it's out of the price range we would have been able to afford. I read one review and the gas mileage is a bit better than what we are getting with our Honda Element, but not as much as you would think with it being a hybrid. Perhaps it weighs a lot more.Does it have carpeting inside? I hate carpeting - it would be a deal breaker. Too hard to clean.Not that I'm looking any more, but you never know.
  17. Christopher S. Johnson's avatar

    Christopher S. Johnson Posted 11:24 am
    23 May 2009

    Answer for SPLASHY,

    Well, it cost me almost $30,000 ($500 a month). I really wanted the realtime readout of milage and that's in a package that adds cost. That is $10,000 cheaper than the Toyota Highlander Hybrid.The trick with the Ford Escape Hybrid is that it really shines once it warms up. A short trip to the store is not going to get great milage. Also, it does better in urban traffic than highway (although I can get similar performance on highway at lower speeds). It BEATS a Smart Car in City mpg, OK? An average of mid 30's. And more than 35 if I use techniques like coasting to lights, keeping it in electric as long as possible, ect. This is the same exact performance as the Toyota Camry Hybrid.Also, when it comes to OLD SCHOOL POLLUTANTS like sooty and evaporative, the FEH is off-the-charts-clean. I dont understand everything they did, but things like seals, bladder gas tank, and the fact that it doesnt run the engine when in electric mode and no idling, makes it very-very clean in that respect.I think you can either custom fit it w/o carpet or you may have to order a third party custom mat.
  18. Clifford Wells's avatar

    Clifford Wells Posted 2:06 pm
    24 May 2009

    I guess we need all the help we can get, but better MPG on new cars will take years to have an effect.  Reason:  vehicle sales are extremely low in this recession. It's probably not the best time to pass along costs of a thousand or more for better fuel economy, which these kinds of regulations always do.  So I don't have rosy visions of huge CO2 reductions from new car fuel economy standards starting with the 2010 model.There is some evidence that to help comply with the new CAFE standards, most manufacturers will continue to take weight off the cars.  This involves more use of plastics for fenders and less rigid framing, which could become a safety issue.  Or, as some will find out, a repair bill headache:  the flimsier the vehicle, the easier it is to "total" in an accident.  Yes, I predict that costs will go up quite a bit.Of course, it's hard to predict new car buying trends or the price of gasoline and diesel, and most of that is mere speculation based on some "reasonable" assumptions, whatever those are.  But I'm simply not seeing a big rush for people to go buy a new car, and don't trust any CO2 reduction numbers.Interesting comment made above that VMT reduction is equally important as fuel consumption rate, by the way. 

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